Ray Kurzweil: Get ready for hybrid thinking
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- Опубліковано 6 лют 2025
- Two hundred million years ago, our mammal ancestors developed a new brain feature: the neocortex. This stamp-sized piece of tissue (wrapped around a brain the size of a walnut) is the key to what humanity has become. Now, futurist Ray Kurzweil suggests, we should get ready for the next big leap in brain power, as we tap into the computing power in the cloud.
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It never fails to amuse me that Kurzweil's tone when explaining dramatic, forever world-changing developments is about the same as one would expect from a discussion of last week's weather.
That's because he doesn't really believe any of the bullshit he spouts. He's just out to make money and he's damned good at it.
Well that's very untrue.
And? Kurzweil is a fool and what's more and what has to be ultimately devastating news for him, he's going to die. Worse still is that in his mind there's no God and nothing beyond the grave, which must be profoundly vexing.
Barry Anderberg How is he a "fool"?
Matthew, he's an atheist. Atheists are fools, ergo he's a fool. Easy.
To all the people saying this is bad, or scary... that's fine, you don't have to do it. Eventually you will die, and you won't matter anymore. In every generation, there are revolutionary inventions, and there are always people who say it is too much and refuse to participate. There were people who opposed the idea of writing things down, thousands of years ago, because they believed that by writing things down, you no longer have to remember them and it would result in people becoming stupider. People opposed the idea of exploration. They opposed the steam engine, cars, technology, computers, the internet, telephones, and cell phones. They grumble about how the new things are bad, and then they die, and the new generation accepts what the old could not.
You miss the point. If Kurzweil and his atheist compatriots are correct, then nothing matters at all and we are all destined for utter annihilation as the universe expands ever outward. What I say is bad or scary and is ignored by future generations ultimately will not matter. You as you sit and read this do not matter at all. Literally, nothing matters at all in any way whatsoever if Kurzy and his atheist buddies are correct.
So basically your argument boils down to "There's no God because things aren't the way I think they should be." LOL Okay. Good luck with that.
Hey thanks for insulting me. Way to go. You've spent all that time writing up your dissertation and still, as far as I can tell, your basic argument is that God isn't real because things aren't the way you think they should be. Your arrogance is stunning. The amount of trust you put in that little wad of tissue between your ears is really quite astounding. I'd like you to type up a dissertation on why you can trust that evolved brain of yours to ascertain the truth about anything at all. I mean, really, a prerequisite for survival isn't and never has been an organism with a truth-detecting brain. In fact it has been demonstrated that a brain that provides false information to the host can provide an evolutionary benefit as well. Perhaps you're familiar with this argument? You can type until you're blue in the face your ridiculous, baseless assertions about how the universe ought to be but until you can demonstrate that your evolved brain can and does objectively ascertain the truth about external reality then you are as they say, sound and fury signifying nothing.
I also really love how you simply declare "there are certain minimal objective standards of engineering" as if no further proof is needed.
Are there certain minimal objective standards of engineering? How are they to be evaluated if they're objective? What objective authority are you appealing to when evaluating said standards, and where did those standards come from?
Your assertion that the epiglottis is a potentially fatal mistake really made me "LOL".
Isn't gravity a potentially fatal flaw? So is food. I mean, I could trip and fall and break my neck! I could choke on a hot dog! Damn it all, it's so clear to me now! There must not be a God because if there were, I would not be able to fall down and hurt myself!
Brilliant!! Just brilliant!
Wow, you're incredibly hostile aren't you? I wonder if you actually go back to read the incoherent nonsense that you yourself are spouting.
For example, you claim the universe isn't perfect. How do you know? What would a perfect universe look like? What is the standard for perfection against which it should be judged? Why is your conception of perfection the right one? I'll say it again - your argument boils down to (and I'll modify it slightly based on your last diatribe): "There is no God because the universe isn't my idea of perfection."
I do appreciate your at least acknowledging the idiocy of your own world view - namely that because you can be injured there must be no God. I think if you were honest you'd reframe your position to be one of "If there's a God, I refuse to worship Him because He didn't do things the way I and my tiny wad of evolved gray matter think they should be done". I can respect that, but don't fool yourself into thinking that it's an argument that stands up to even the slightest bit of scrutiny.
In conclusion, you've completely avoided my arguments which are really inescapable. The most devastating of which is that your evolved brain is telling you things that since it is an evolved brain cannot be trusted. Your own underlying ideology of natural evolution is undermining your arguments. That you are apparently unaware of that isn't very surprising. Most atheists aren't.
I certainly would never refuse to dialog with someone just because I think their opinions are foolish so if you'd like to continue our conversation please feel free to reply.
If you reply maybe you can tell me why you decided to bring Jesus into the conversation.
Thanks, and have a blessed day!
Even if Ray Kurzweil doesn't get his singularity, he has made it possible for public discourse to include such ideas. I think he has been the greatest pioneer of mainstream acceptance of transhumanist notions. The best salesperson and popularizer. He is the father of giving us transhumanists a fighting chance/voice.
Are you serious? There is no transhumanism, or anything else. If Kurzweil is correct then the ultimate fate of you and every other entity composed of atoms is complete and utter destruction. I wish atheists would just embrace and espouse complete and total nihilism and spare us the long, drawn out show.
Barry Anderberg total nihilism is absurd, existential nihilism is the right way to go though and there's plenty of purpose in such a world.
Barry Anderberg To think we're going to be destroyed because of the singularity is kind of rediculous. Now I'm not saying it _couldn't_ happen. But, quite frankly, the chances of that are much smaller than the chances of humanity advancing because of this.
Sage Mantis you transhumanists are a dangerous sect, like Raelians, Salafists, or the Church of Scientology, etc. If I were in power I would eliminate you physically.
de mun upswing You're a psychopath who should be in federal jail.
9 years later what he has predicted literally happened. Natural language models understand what is written in the internet, and can give us an interpretation or summary of what we're looking for -> Chat GPT & Bing.
Yup, I wonder if the 2030s thing about the brain connected to the cloud is gonna happen
@@colemorgan2795 Yes. It is inevitable
@@colemorgan2795 I think Neuralink had a go to for human trails implementing there chips allready. I mean ok no Nanobots so far but still 6-7years left.
@ Neuralink
I Came here from a Dawrkesh Patel interview and these kind of "understanding" machines will do are quite close with chatgpt and these multimodality coming for it. This neocortéx could even sounds like science fiction back then, but 7 years from now it does seems possible. This guy is in another scale of thoughts and inteligence.
7 Years later and we have GTP-3 That can understand and summarize any literature like complicated research papers😳 but we don't have it in a everyday use case like google assistant yet
Now we have ChatGPT, which is closer to a personal assistant.
I bet Google will put it into their phones soon enough. I also saw grammarly recently added it into their software hahahah
9 years later AGI is basically here at the village idiot level
Give me more Ray Kurzweil!
If I want my brain to be on a cloud I'll smoke some pot thank you very much
👌👏👏👏😅
Kurzweil as director of Engineering at google. I can only imagine his conversations with the guys at deepmind. Fascinating.
What is fascinating? Spewing fancy complicated words to appear as an intellectual? Yeah, it's very "fascinating" isn't it?
What I find even more fascinating is children in Africa being used as labor to mine all the minerals required by technology to grow its cancerous growth.
whats the point of replying if you have nothing relevant to contribute?
probably mainly boring. He's getting pretty ... annoying in his old age. I liked him better in the 90's when he just had a website about AI
Funny seeing a lot of people struggling to use their imaginations in the comments. The man knows what he's talking about, he's the one doing the science, and can see where it is leading. These people live in the future, a completely inconceivable world to us. It will all change over and over, way beyond what he's talking about. Everything recognisable to us becoming artefacts, ancient technology and the small-brained organisms called humans.
I love how calm Kurzweil is.
Just wait for 20 years and this will be recommended to everyone
I could listen to him all day.
he makes a great point and articulates it really well but do u seriously want to upgrade to a version which according to him will be more hip, sexy and better??!
Hay man at least you are not the people of grave
It's interesting how Ray Kurzweil doesn't raise any questions or doubts, he just announces
This is all pro no con, that is bad planning. What if many of these proposals/ideas fail &
destroy existing people & life that can ever be replaced. You will come back with the same reply that is used today, we didn't know that or foresee that, I'm sorry. It better to go slower to progress than making rash rapid changes without knowing consequences. Just look at the last 80 years
How many people have lost their lives or health to progression, being told the changes were not harmful or it was for the greater good. The individual doesn't really count. If you believe in humanity, fix what's lacking/broken today, give today's humans happiness & good lives. Work on the future as a future project not as a deadline project. It won't hurt one thing to be prudent & cautious in all things. Don't let greed & pride be more important than humanity.
hopefully he will make it till his singularity point in time
For all the capability tech affords us, don’t forget spiritual balance (NOT religion), which no one either mentions herein, or seems to consider. Does everyone think with advancing transhumanism comes advanced “humanity?” With the last 100+ years of technology advancement, so much from reverse engineered UFO tech, consider today’s state of humanity (being humane). We’re now supporting infanticide, euthanasia, converting America to communism, limiting ALL speech, reigning in ALL freedoms & liberty, still enslaved to petrochemical control (unneeded since Tesla - 1890-early 1900), still enslaved to medical-tech void of providing “known medical cures”, still enslaved to fiat-currency control, still enslaved to conventional science and intellectual ignorance of a non-terrestrial “super-populated” universe, active societal acceptance of the TOTAL loss of privacy of every kind (ALL under surveillance 24/7 birth-death), societally embroiled in limitless racism (virtually not heard of until 2008), to mention just a handful of realities. Will ALL of these human conditions automatically disappear? Will ALL of these multi-hundred-$billion businesses completely disappear because “some” could afford having their brains “plugged into” some new tech? What new super-ego, ambition, or AI influenced mindset will be born of this enhancement?Transhumanism, is just the technological enhancement of human foibles. Signed, A 50+ year tech junkie/computer guru.
Yes! It seems like a brilliant idea, to let a company control your mind! Thank You xD
Indeed!! How could one possibly adore such an evil man with such a dark agenda???? .....
Issakariet depends if you think ittl change your behaviour in a way that modern technology doesn’t already
it depends on how you handle the relationship with the company. And how you use your life to improve "Life" and the system. Using technology its not about being a "cheap" ruled by goverments of companies... Its about growth and expantion of your inteligence. So, if you use all this advance tech in your body you might not expect to live how you live today (living the 8-5 life, tv, and the rest of the actual society programs). So, you can check more info about "Singularity is near" and how YOU can improve and grow as a human and of course how we can move forward finally to the WE generation.
he talk about nano robots inside our brian, come one,!!and I hope we don't lose the free of choice.
WELL Well well..destroy the earth
Hitman
Rape
&
&
&
What do u need!?
Gvrn mntal
Despite almost every comment being an argument, the comments are quite good for this video. Instead of commenters just shouting and sprouting insults they are actually engaging with one another about this serious subject. Well done people, you have done the internet proud this day.
When they promise that humanity will evolve through technology just remember that someone else will control that technology not us...
Thats the human fear talking, just the same as if someone were to explain our current modern world to someone who lived 200 years ago. We adapt, and if our future is to become "one" with AI, through collective/cloud thinking, then so be it. You'll probably won't be alive to see it, but you should prepare your children for the change.
@ we are constantly pushing back these corporations from our bed rooms. At some point we may give up or make a compromise, but the truth is their goal is to make money and our goal is to have more convenience.
But to rent portion of my thought process to an app is like renting a portion of my soul to the devil.
That's why twitter has become a swamp and that's why Scientology exists.
@ You've managed to *completely* miss point of his concern
Yeah, let's give billions of people control over an advanced technology that accelerates evolution as if that were somehow the most rational thing to do. Such a level of control will most likely be the domain of artificial superintelligence.
That someone else is us though. It doesn't have to be evil I hope.
Anybody else see any problem with allowing someone to implant computers in your head?
Yeah, other people will be jealous!
People that want to change something have goals, people that want to hinder something have reasons.
That's happening it's called a brain chip once you get it's controls you and make you a slave.
@The Black Dawn/Ajjqi Actually he is making a brain implant in people brains called neuralink which is the mark of the beast 666.
@The Black Dawn/Ajjqi because the mark has to be implanted in your body in right hand and forehead to do buy or sell.
Nanobots in the brain connecting you to the cloud making you smarter than Einstein but then you become an embarrassed idiot when the wifi signal drops off! Yeah great.
yuup... I'm calling it SDS (sudden disconnection syndrome)... we already suffer it, but you become a total numbskull if wifi connection drops off, instead of just having anxiety and a general idea of having lost something.
won't be a problem just install nanobots that have broadband networks integrated in them so that you are living wifi problem solved
LOL
Dude, WiFi is old thinking in this case.
Karl Allison Haha that’s what’s gonna happen when some company gets greedy and tries to release the product too early
Call me close-minded but I would second-guess throwing thousands of nano computers into my bloodstream :D
My thoughts exactly
is this so much worse than eating at fast food joints or drinking vodka?
and I'm quite sure that the nanobots won't be limited to linking with cloud, they more than likely will be able to monitor your health in real time
in 1980s: Call me close minded but I would second-guess using a computer find information about things when I could just go into the library. Moral of the story is people dont know what they want till they have it
yet you dont hesitate an instant when you hop into a 3 ton vehicle that sends you at speeds of 80 mph on the highway like a speeding torpedo .
Don't worry, it won't happen in our lifetime.
I can guess that most of the people commenting in here wouldn't be elected for cerebral expansion, although they seem to really need it.
I'll second that. "This isn't 100% backed up by cold hard science. Let's throw this one in the idea dumpster. Intuition be damned, ALL HAIL SCIENCE!" If we only gave the ideas that were backed up by current science a chance, we would still be in caves. Intuition shows us the starry night sky, science pin points which stars shine the brightest. There is nothing wrong with trusting your intuition when current science fails to have the tools to prove or disprove your theory. The truth will eventually come out. Evidence-worshipping scientists need to let us intuitives do the fumbling around in the dark for them. We are nocturnal, we don't need the facts to see the many truths. ;)
lol
I'm sorry citizen you have insufficient credits to pay your CerebroCast bill all neurological functions will be terminated at midnight.
Nobody talks about the implications and consequences of cutting-edge research. This will only accelerate our extinction as specie.
Who has the remote control? What if it was hacked?
I've always felt power with a computer extending my hands and mind, doing things that I could not necessarily do myself. Now going to the cloud as an extension of my mind? Imagine no more forgetting? No more erroneous computations? No more errors in judgement?
Amazing possibilties for a senior citizen. Where do I sign up???!!! :-)
Are you still alive buddy?
Earliest chance to do this will be Neuralink
Twenty years from now sounds really interesting all of a sudden. I'll remember that when another inevitable bout of depression comes along.
👀2020
@@blingec hahhaa
1. ubiquitous infinitely advanced nanotechnology
2. infinitely intelligent, wise, creative AIs
3. infinite technological progress
4. ubiquitous infinitely advanced ontotechnology (technology that can warp reality itself)
5. omnifarious (unlimited shapeshifting), immortality (ageless, disease free, indestructible), imaginary vr from within nervous system(live out any fantasy regardless), omnipowers (all superpowers and abilities, including infinite intelligence), omni mind shifting, etc.. transhumans
6. infinitely fast and powerful computers
7. everything even palaces being free
8. no labor
etc.. r just some things to occur because of the singularity this century
Good god I can't wait for this!
2045 (or whenever the singularity happens) can't come soon enough.
Von Stein same here
And might I add an lul to the people who don't think it's going to happen. It's inevitable now. We can't stop it. Embrace it.
People thought you would never have a computer in your pocket. A box in your house where you can watch people live. A remote to control your household objects, and flying machines.
Yet here we are. More things than we could imagine.
The future is so exciting.
Von Stein im doing just that
And with this quantitative expansion of our mind, and the use of external gestalts and catalysts to further the complexity of our thinking, comes an expansion of our bodies in the form of controlling external objects with our minds. This will start with moving a cursor around on a screen, grow to a more useful form such as turning the lights on in a room or a dark house before you enter it, and so on. Let's just hope our historical fight for individual freedoms will stay strong in us to keep the hybridization of our mind from becoming just a node stuck in an ever-present overwhelming thought of a hive mentality.
For the sake of keeping the transhumanist camp in check, I'd like to illustrate a flaw in the argument I've seen being used against those who rise ethical concerns of future technologies. The argument goes like this: "people were afraid of airplanes, now we have airplanes and love them." What the transhumanists fail to include are the other three possible scenarios that play out for new technologies. They are as follows: 1) People resist new tech, new tech is decided to be too controversial to proceed. 2) People embrace new tech, new tech is fantastic. And finally, number 3) People embrace new tech, new tech produces unforeseen consequences that must be dealt with. Thus, it is not a catch-all argument to say that occasionally throughout history people have resisted good ideas.
I am also troubled by the following claim: Because people have enhanced themselves in the past, any enhancement, such as the cloud computing augmented brains in this video, is necessarily advantageous or inevitable. I should note that the argument was never stated so bluntly, but that I think I have written it's underlying nature. Anyhow, it's simply unsubstantiated. Nobody here, not even the experts, has a thorough enough understanding of society to make such broad claims.
I think what this comment section could use is a more elaborate discussion, from both sides, of the *possible* and specific benefits and harms that such a device could have. Who cares if it isn't yet "proven," all the fun lies in exploring the hypothetical. Alright gang, on three let's talk this over like adults. 1, 2, 3...
The most fundamental key to man's evolution is expression of choice. To choose to eat or not to eat; to fight or not to fight, and then to experience the consequences. If you place this responsibility onto a machine, man's mind will disintegrate. We also have this neat thing called 'teaching', that neo-cortex beings are pretty good at. Not perfect, but it's only been 100 years since we've created indestructible knowledge preservers. Help the human. Don't overwrite him.
"Yeah, yeah, but your scientists were so preoccupied with whether or not they could that they didn't stop to think if they should".
Dr Ian Malcolm - Jurassic Park
This guy makes great synthesizers.
One thing that isn't discussed enough is what this could do to a person's psyche, having so much brainpower. Mental illness gets more common the more intelligent people are. I've seen this firsthand quite a bit. I'm concerned that people won't be able to function in a happy, productive way if they can overthink things to such a degree
i love this guy dude he's so optimistic about technology
He is not optimistic... He is the father of sight and hearing implants... Is a eminency in his field... One of the most credited voices to talk about future.
@@LuisFernandez-ql2er So what are your chances of failing your calculations?
The Singularity is already here. Everything you do, everywhere you go and everything you say is being recorded. It's Orwellian.
@@kdiggy1100 According to the most popular version of the singularity hypothesis, called intelligence explosion, an upgradable intelligent agent will eventually enter a "runaway reaction" of self-improvement cycles, with each new and more intelligent generation appearing more and more rapidly, causing an "explosion" in intelligence and resulting in a powerful superintelligence that qualitatively far surpasses all human intelligence.
The first use of the concept of a "singularity" in the technological context was John von Neumann.[4] Stanislaw Ulam reports a discussion with von Neumann "centered on the accelerating progress of technology and changes in the mode of human life, which gives the appearance of approaching some essential singularity in the history of the race beyond which human affairs, as we know them, could not continue".[5] Subsequent authors have echoed this viewpoint.[3][6] "The Singularity is already here. Everything you do, everywhere you go and everything you say is being recorded. It's Orwellian."
@@kdiggy1100 "AI is in it's infancy."? You better check yourself before you wreak yourself. Obviously you are part of the problem and not the solution when you banter about someone making a statement that is beyond your understanding and comprehension. Maybe you need to read 1984, with that being said, good luck to to you Mr. healthy news, what a joke, LOL.
That's not the definition of the singularity.
@@shariqehsan "..we’ve only seen the tip of the algorithmic iceberg."
Ominous yet exciting. Imagine what a AI could do to education, each student receiving a personalised artificial tutor who knows exactly how to ensure its subject actually understands what it's teaching.
In the future, google will think for you.
More duality than slavery...
Google already thinks for me and billions of other Humans
Hi I am from 2020. It is already going so.
Not me Robert Marlowe.
Jesus Christ is Lord here and He is the only antedote for this mindless insanity that intends to kill off the human race and replace it with the mother of all Frankenstein monsters!
@ 🤣🤣🤣🤣
If you still haven't read his book he is referring to: How to Create Mind. An amazing journey through our mind, from the perspective of an engineer. Every single line of that book carries knowledge, I can say it's in top 10 in the field.
You should read 'the age of virtual machines too if you liked it'.
@@chrisgrootwassink7488 “spiritual machines”
I love Ray Kurzweil and I'm really into futurology, but we're talking about losing our humanity here. Someone mentioned "now you can learn a new skill in seconds!" - great, and now we can forego any and all merit that it takes to master that skill.
If anyone is familiar with the myth of Sisyphus, what happens when we finally roll the boulder up the hill and achieve that "perfection"? You will want to start off where you began, where people are not equal and life is incredibly unfair, because you know this is also what surprises and mesmerizes us.
I don't think so, Letting people design new bodies or merging them with AI isn't really any different than giving a cripple crutches. You can say it's synthetic, but in the end I think it'll make us more Human. It helps us and extends our reach, if we are going to go into that discussion we minds well say we've been losing our Humanity since we started picking up sticks to build houses. I mean by that logic we shouldn't be flying or going into space either.
I mean, if You want to become someone in the 1850s, You'll be able to do that if You want to. With FIVR You can be anyone and live in any kind of world You would want to.
We roll it up the hill and find another, bigger hill that we couldn't see from our previous perspective. Your thinking too subjectively with your amazing but very limited Darwinian brain, friend. We simply don't know how a being with a superior intellectual capacity will view the universe compared to us and its not logical to assume it will be somehow inferior because it isn't like us.
Heinrich S Cool response but I think we're misunderstanding each other. What I'm saying is I never really hope to have God-like cognitive capability. I don't want to be able to listen to music or watch movies in the span of a nanosecond. I don't want people to stop putting in the work to learn new talents and skills, because it destroys its corresponding worth.
In regards to your last point - that is what I'm most excited for (being able to immerse yourself in any world/environment), but it's kind of separate. I'd like to be immersed in those worlds while retaining my current level of humanity, if that makes things clearer for you.
*Ray Kurzweil: Get ready for hybrid thinking.* (about 10 mins)
_Really enjoyable talk, including the future of Search and even the Cloud._
#kurzweil
Yep - definitely intersting. and a bit scary!
Watched this a couple of weeks ago. Interesting, thought provoking and just a little bit scary. :-)
Wow...
The one thing Kurzweil does not address is the processing split between the conscious and the unconscious.
Some research suggests that all the actual work is done at the unconscious level and the conscious portion of our brain manages the creation of post-decision rationalizations.
Therefore the hybrid environment connecting to the conscious layer may not be all that useful if it filters out information in the cloud by using bias, prejudice, and preconception.
An interesting talk that makes me wonder if man-machine learning will even extend beyond recall and recognition.
***** awesome share. In many ways we have hybrid thinking now, thanks to our devices and growing connectivity. In the very near future we shall have better integration of that hybrid thinking plus its expansion to include many more people than today's online population.
What he predicted back then has literally happened!!! Strange!!
Rays the reality of Skynet.
“Welcome, my son. Welcooommmeee tooo the machineeeee...”
Love Ray. Are those rings he's wearing or tiny computers? 😀
Sounds good, my only concern is what if the prolonged use of this brain implant slowly stops the function/development of some areas of the brain. For example: animals that have appendages that they lost the use of during evolution, because they weren't using it or the environment didn't call for it.
What if our brains start to totally rely on this connectivity, could we become vegetables without it? Or maybe our later generations. I'm alittle high right now so I could be tripping.
I'm so happy I won't live long enough when things he talks about will become compulsory. Will check out to a better (after) life.
What afterlife?
How old are you
This sort of thing could happen easily within 25 years
"The beast will be half mud, half iron" exactly what the Bible predicts.
Hehehe, it's cute to watch little humans resist technology like they did the locomotive and the sail boat. Such a primitive race we still are, then again a few hundred years ago it was the dark ages.
Let me tell you something, you either become an Android with immense possibilities, or you go extinct. Take your pick. I'll go with the no sickness or aging route.
But good luck y'all.
impossible for you... maybe your grandkids. You'd have had to start at the beginning of your life. But yeah, with new possibilities comes new problems, and you can't know the problems until you try it out, so... just remember to get your children to get those implants for your grandkids while still pregnant.
Heinrich S7 Wolf do you realise that you are a human? You speak of humans with
contempt LOL
ANDROID!!! In 2060 reverse aging will be invented 2150 cyborg immortality ill be a cyborg and immortal
fucking furries
You sound like such a pretentious douchebag
I don't want hybrid thinking. I want purebred thinking.
He calls Watson a computer that understands human language ... but the connotation of the word "understand" is really silly ... the computer does not understand, to understand it needs a context and a point of existence ... otherwise it is just a machine reporting on its connections. It's an amazing accomplishment, but I wish they would not use the word understand, of qualify what they mean.
"needs a context and a point of existence" It has both.
"it is just a machine reporting on its connections" Which is also what humans are like.
Careful that you don't get cut on your edginess there.
"It's an amazing accomplishment, but I wish they would not use the word understand, of qualify what they mean."
He does qualify it in his most recent book--"How to Create a Mind". There he explains that if what Watson does _isn't_ "understanding", then what humans do isn't actually "understanding" either.
Human cognitive abilities often seem uncanny and special merely because we fail to see what's actually going on under the hood. Lately we've started to get a better idea through a maturing neuroscience, and the brain is seeming less and less like magic.
The machines Will Understand the same way and Better than humans. You are a biological machine.
man in a box scenario.
How do you know Watson did not understand?
One of my life goals is to eventually be referred to as a "futurist."
Eric, nice to meet a futurist like you.
McGyver777ATGMAIL That was easy.
I'm from 5 years in the future
Futurist
If you believe that the gap between rich and poor is huge...
Wait till the gap between mortal and immortal humans will come.
If someone achieve immortality, that for sure is not deserved neither for you nor for me. It will be deserved for a powerful elite that will also dissapear like most of us.
There are people who know the course and direction of human evolution. This man has a front row seat and most likely the podium of course. We are lost to that world as we go about our daily life. Nice glimpse into the possibilities of what the future may hold.
This talk feels like the intro for something bigger.
You got that right.
"How was your brain surgery?" "The neuroscientists were all just standing around. Isn't that just HILARIOUS? No? Really?? I guess you had to be there."
The Singularity Is Near
Some birds have highly evolved problem solving skills. Being much smaller and apparently less complex, maybe computer geniuses should try to model raven brains too
Next thing you know, Elon has started something called Neuralink
and now it's advancing
Yea now.
I already have hybrid thinking after smoking a joint. Thank you very much
So is the point that we are all going to be like the borg or just have Tony Stark's computer in our head?
Neither. It's about being smarter, able to retain more information and with more detail, learning extremely complicated skills at levels that were unattainable previously, reading books in seconds, understanding those jazz pieces where everyone solos at once -- that kind of thing.
So matrix.
Vaibhav Gupta
The Matrix is the closest to it that a 2000 big budget film could yet, yes. It still was more pessimistic about it (robot war and revolution! humans as batteries!) than Kurzweil is.
Then the 3rd Matrix arrived that was more positive towards the tech itself (resulting in even a form of peace with the machines and many choosing to stay in the Matrix!) - and of course, that movie was popularly panned ;)
Malcolm Swoboda I don't think we would have even gotten to mud huts, caves after all are self building, why would you want to build your own... you couldn't improve on the perfection of a cave.
Ultan Coyle
Because many regions of the world have very, very few caves.
Today, we don't even fully understand how a fly's brain works and we're eons away from fully understanding the human brain. More conservative experts in AI and the neighbouring fields such as Marvin Minsky and Noam Chomsky think we haven't gained any new understanding about what constitutes intelligence. Minsky argues, that AI research is much less well funded now than it was, say in the 1970 or 80s.
It has all become very corporatised and all they do is use old concepts such as pattern recognition and machine learning for products such as SIRI or Google cars.
Chomsky thinks that Watson is pretty much a marketing gimmick.
Furthermore, Minsky worries that the billion Dollar spent on the human brain project may become a waste of money, since we might not be studying the right aspects of the brain, so we'd be much better of spending that billion on fly's brains.
Question to everyone:
Given all those objections, how can Ray and his followers be so optimistic that we'll be able to understand the human brain and human intelligence enough to recreate it or to have nanobots interact with it? Let alone the agressive timeframe he has set for the 2020s or 2030s....
Moore's law and exponential trends in IT in general won't help with those problems either.
Ray Kurzweil !! You are Truly Amazing !! Thank you !!!! :) ~
It’s about to happen moving forward 2021 !
Wow. I can't wait 'til I fully evolve.
Buddy, what makes you think that _you_ will be gifted with any of the potential benefits of this? It will be used to further enslave you.
@kath david Indeed, devolved and destroyed!!
@@lex.cordis Absolutely! First enslave you and take your rights away, to then easily exterminate you!! Isn 't the coronaPLANdemic a wonderful situation to realise that??
I love Ray Kurzweil.
Does anyone know about a Kurzweil video where he does NOT talk about mind uploading?
They said we would have mainstream flying cars by now...I'm not holding my breath.
YES! All so true. This man. Very nice. Very nice.
Just because they can do this, doesn’t mean that they should! We are Humans not Androids!
It seems that there are still a lot of scientists believe in the technological Utopia ! So sad that they didn't learn from the present. The mankind has achieved significant advancements in nearly every field, but did it make people happier or give them the inner peace they sought ? Numbers don't lie ! Let's stop for a while and ask ourselves WHAT we are chasing after and WHY ?
exactly.. you seemed the only one here, that understand this things..
people are thinking that implementing a chip and make them smarter will make them also happier.. whata delusional thought
@luisbarbosa8136 Wow, that comment was 10 years ago !
Well, 5 years later what we have is corona, chip shortage, Ukraine-Russia war and Oil supply crunch
We should take into account both the potential dangers and the potential benefits, but transcending our own biology could be a very positive thing. It doesn't need to replace the valuable and positive things about who we are today, but can be extensions - making us into more than we already are. Better putting our destiny into our hands than in the control of the amoral process that invented cancer and "decided" that animals should eat each other alive with no anesthetics.
I don't need another billion of anything to come up with a witty response. I have Rapid-Comeback-Syndrome. RCS allows me to instantly crush people with my wit.
Scaryly cool.
I don't lack ideas. I need courage, energy, and money.
Why you need money when everything in theeze days may be simulated by a program. If you do that and your idea is greate the money comes.
I hope I live long enough to experience that.
I hope I am not. I rather to die as human
@@user-iu1jf4hp7g you are not an archetype
Yes. Here we are. The most accurate prediction about the search engines. Now those nanobots came a long way as well, 2030 seems pretty real for what was presented here.
Ray Kurzweil is the epitome of a mad scientist, a modern day Frankenstein.
How do you opt out?
It will be a nightmare, all the spams and unwanted emails directly in your head.
Right because today we have no access to anti-malware software and the similar.
In what way does anti-virus software not work?
(Its an old alias I made on the spur of the moment and I would rather defy UA-cam and Google by continuing to use it rather than my real name lol what kind of last name is 'w' by the way :))
lololololol47 too bad for the poor people- screw their heads.
Robert w
What? If future malware software gets better. Then future anti-malware gets better too.
FrostbitexP The big thing about security in the future is you need to block 100% threats for it to prevent species destruction and existential nightmares. Biological terrorism is going to be a horrible thing in the future. So much so that we will need to allocate more than 50%, perhaps 90% or more of all computing power (which will make for slower progress in computing) to protect existence.
Good stuff; I can't wait for a myriad of body augmentations to become available.
Very good talk :)
2023 and still on point!!! I ❤️ u doc
ChatGPT is here now... General AI will eventually lead to singularity... His predictions are coming true
In 2014, he described how the best AI could start to beat JEopardy players with natural language poceessing. In 2022, this vision blossomed even further as Large Lange Models exploded onto the world. Yet another example of the future being already here, just not evenly distributed
The T-1000's highest probability for success now would be to copy Sarah Connor and to wait for Ray to make contact with her.
I know Ray Kurzweil isn't someone who changes his mind very often, but defending your thesis that you wrote when you where 14 years old is pretty extreme. Guess he was a genius from a very early age.
What about privacy concerns, hackers, mind control, so many possible scenarios animals with super inteligence this whole thing is sketchy this guy looks like a mad scientist probably has some weird experiments in the basement.
Very profound!!!
this man is a hero of A.I.
Wow he’s fun. Hey UA-cam algorithm, give me more like this!
I am so excited for these technologies, I will finally be able to use my brain to the extent I have always wanted to.
The older and less youthful I get, the more this future holds appeal.
Kurzweil is in denial of his own mortality; he hopes to transcend death and evolve into an immortal, digital being. Sadly, that is hundreds of years away, far too distant to save the likes of me and Kurzweil. The future “human race” is definitely going to non-organic, there’s little doubt of that. But we humans today are just an early stage of that evolution. People alive today are going to live a bit longer than our parents if we’re lucky, but don’t expect any miracles.
The difference between Kurzweil and I, is that I accept this reality. He doesn’t.
And God bless him. May his movement succeed against all odds. I don’t really want to die any more than he does!
Just so you know Elon Musk also says this is going to happen by 2045 so how old are you? Because this is coming faster than you think
That was excellent. Great job, Ray. You hit all the salient points needed for an overview, and only predicted the most predictable milestones.
Thanks
Let's make a neo-neocortex :D
#hope #RaceAgainstTheMachine .
Brilliant. I love this.
Ray is always right.
www.independent.co.uk/life-style/gadgets-and-tech/news/ibm-makes-tiny-chips-as-small-as-a-blood-cell-10378349.html
It's interesting to note that the mark-of-the-beast brigade have failed to realise that AI will outperform humans by a huge margin, rendering human slaves largely pointless. It would be like implanting a control chip into a tortoise. Human egotism at its finest.
Kurzweil!! Instant upvote!
We are still far from expanding intelligence because thinking is not a problem of computing power. Its about understanding the right algorithms that our brains, or other possible brains could use.