Amazingly thorough, clear and balanced review of the components that work in concert to make our local weather conditions. Thx so much, Michael, for the sustained high quality of analysis.👍👍👍
Great weather. Finally a weather report we can rely on ,one we can trust. Appreciate your time. You are my go to for Southern California weather. Thank You
New sub! Finally a channel that gives more detail regarding California storms. So grateful for this info I live in the mountains in the North Bay Area so I really appreciate knowing what to expect. And not just some vague weather report. Thank you!
I watched you closely during California's atmospheric river, and at the time I couldn't tell if your interpretation of the data were overly sensationalist, or if it was luck (because there's always luck). I have concluded that you're spot on, and that you can tease far more info out of these data than just about anyone else. Certainly you can see an order of magnitude more than I can. I really respect your work!
Thanks for the update. Another concern with additional precipitation is the additional weight on people's roofs. Water is heavier than snow, which is why roofs collapsing tends to happen more in spring than in winter. It's important to get as much snow as possible off one's roof now, before it melts and forms ice.
Grew up in Southern CA and moved to Montana for 20 years. My parents taught us as young kids to always have food and water reserves. Usually had at least a months worth of goods and emergency heating options. Anything can happen preventing one from having access to grocery stores. Plan better people! Especially if you are subject to snow.
Michael, FYI: a lot of very, very heavy snow, more than I’ve ever seen, at low elevations below 5,000’. Soils are completely saturated from Past storms. If we get heavy warm rain that quickly melts this snow, the flooding in the Central Valley could be catastrophic.
Agree 100%. I understand Michael's desire not to hype or prematurely declare concern, but this really, really could be shaping up to be devastating and people are going to need to plan accordingly. Appreciate that Michael made a second video on this today.
It makes me very happy to see the growth in your channel, because I believe you really are the best. I am originally from the Bay Area, but have lived in Portland for quite a while. Did you pick up a lot of California subscribers after that was last flooding debacle? I would guess especially Northern California
So if you’re out of the drought and all your reservoirs are full, California doesn’t need the water coming out of the Colorado river. They can give it to Arizona, Utah and Colorado get your own water.
Please, Michael, tell us how they do the controls for the ensemble runs. 3 hours of no drizzle- compost dug in. No planting yet. Thanks from a gardener. ❤
Those ARs always seem aimed right at my North Bay County (Marin)! I’m hoping it might miss us for once? I live on a tidal creek at elevation 8 feet, so my property usually floods when we get heavy rain. If the tide isn’t high, the creek can drain about an inch of rain per hour, more than that is trouble.
This years CA snowfall is similar to the CA snowfall totals of 1846. With the heavy snows, followed by heavy water flows, came the 1848 Gold Rush. They are saying Donner Pass has received 40+ feet of snow. Could we see gold on the move in the mountains when the waters begin to flow?
Our local weather channels here in NorCal have been pointing this out lately. The hope is not too warm an AR. But no doubt we will have some water from the Sierras dumping into the Valleys. Places that usually get a dusting or no snow have 10s of feet on the ground. Hopefully the Central Valley will not flood like they did in the 1980/90s. Back then I remember see cows in fields all gathered on the one knoll for a mile that was above the rising water.
It would be ideal if the snowpack is maintained as late into the spring as possible and we get gradual melting, to refill reservoirs, begin to recharge some of our very-depleted aquifers to save some of our millions of drought-distressed trees across the state. I hope the coming storms aren’t warm enough to melt it prematurely. We’ll just have to make the best of what Nature sends us this crazy winter. Thanks so much for your great California reports, Mr. Snyder.
La Nina is giving her Grand Final for the West Coast. Hope it doesn't spread to the desert southwest, because I just got here, to escape the snow from the Owens Valley California.
The biggest problem is the weight of the snow and water on the tectonic plate preventing the pacific plate from moving under. When the spring hits the plate will rebound causing unforseen sizemic activity.
Welp I'm definitely concerned about how much rain we are talking about here on the Central Coast. No likey the bullseye coming at us in some of those model runs.
IMHO the most likely scenario is one where lowlands flood widely. The valley is so big that anything about 10' above river elevation should be ok, but anything lower than that will be a giant lake for at least a week, maybe two, and that tens of thousands of homes and hundreds of roads will be unusable. So, the higher and drier parts of Sacramento may see lots of displaced people incoming and diminishing food stocks due to transport disruptions.
This isn’t actually completely good, these warm storms can melt snow at low and mid elevations. If it goes higher than 6000 ft, then the snowpack can be doomed
California needs all of this snow and rain , it was desperate , 10’s of thousands of acres gone in forest fires in the summers each year the last three years . But yeas people should prepare and not stay by the rivers , everyone else will be fine.
Best weather channel I’ve found so far. Really appreciate your coverage of California, thanks!
its ryan hall yall that dude does drugs and wears tie dies👍
Amazingly thorough, clear and balanced review of the components that work in concert to make our local weather conditions. Thx so much, Michael, for the sustained high quality of analysis.👍👍👍
Great weather. Finally a weather report we can rely on ,one we can trust. Appreciate your time. You are my go to for Southern California weather. Thank You
Thanks!
So Kind!
Thanks for California weather information that makes sense to me and that I can trust.
New sub! Finally a channel that gives more detail regarding California storms. So grateful for this info I live in the mountains in the North Bay Area so I really appreciate knowing what to expect. And not just some vague weather report. Thank you!
I watched you closely during California's atmospheric river, and at the time I couldn't tell if your interpretation of the data were overly sensationalist, or if it was luck (because there's always luck). I have concluded that you're spot on, and that you can tease far more info out of these data than just about anyone else. Certainly you can see an order of magnitude more than I can. I really respect your work!
Youre the best weatherman in America thank you for the great job you do
Thanks for the update. Another concern with additional precipitation is the additional weight on people's roofs. Water is heavier than snow, which is why roofs collapsing tends to happen more in spring than in winter. It's important to get as much snow as possible off one's roof now, before it melts and forms ice.
You sound as though you think people follow wise advice (chuckle). "Yeah, yeah, I know all about that; now go advise someone else, Professor Science".
Grew up in Southern CA and moved to Montana for 20 years. My parents taught us as young kids to always have food and water reserves. Usually had at least a months worth of goods and emergency heating options. Anything can happen preventing one from having access to grocery stores. Plan better people! Especially if you are subject to snow.
Most forecasts show a few inches this weekend in bay area.
Thank you for the update, grabbing sand bags for sure.
Thanks for the extra briefing today, Michael. Great job as always!!
Hey Michael thank you for your hard work Brother
Thanks for the updates
Michael, FYI: a lot of very, very heavy snow, more than I’ve ever seen, at low elevations below 5,000’. Soils are completely saturated from
Past storms. If we get heavy warm rain that quickly melts this snow, the flooding in the Central Valley could be catastrophic.
No golf??
Agree 100%. I understand Michael's desire not to hype or prematurely declare concern, but this really, really could be shaping up to be devastating and people are going to need to plan accordingly. Appreciate that Michael made a second video on this today.
@@oletreed4230 lots and lots of people could be about to see their homes under water. Please don't trivialize.
It doesn't appear to be warming anytime soon. Check out what's happening with the weak polar vortex, leaking freezing air over the US and EU.
Thank you! Sitting at 5k ft and worrying about this crazy AR. Nowhere left to put snow and even less room for water 🤔❄
Good luck, California. Hang in there.
Perfect timing I just sat down
Thank you for your excellent update and I hope you have a blessed week ahead 🙏🌎🍀
Great job Michael! Thank you for doing what you do. Your my new weather guy.
It makes me very happy to see the growth in your channel, because I believe you really are the best. I am originally from the Bay Area, but have lived in Portland for quite a while. Did you pick up a lot of California subscribers after that was last flooding debacle? I would guess especially Northern California
Thank you for showing California Weather issues.
I'm wondering if they should be releasing more from the reservoirs to help handle a big melt off.
No don’t release anything!!
Pre
@@fredgarcia7536 no preemptive releases before things warm up?
No!! Absolutely not don’t release anything out of water supply
We are completely out of the drought where I live in between Sacramento and Tahoe.
Thank you so much, Michael!
So if you’re out of the drought and all your reservoirs are full, California doesn’t need the water coming out of the Colorado river. They can give it to Arizona, Utah and Colorado get your own water.
Newsom will find a way to make a drought 🤷🏽♂️
@@fredgarcia7536 I don't get any of your water where I live in Northern CA! Read what I said! I said where I live!
👍
@@fredgarcia7536 keep in mind, California feeds the nation
Epic! as always still recommending your channel you been spot on
Please, Michael, tell us how they do the controls for the ensemble runs. 3 hours of no drizzle- compost dug in. No planting yet. Thanks from a gardener. ❤
Those ARs always seem aimed right at my North Bay County (Marin)! I’m hoping it might miss us for once? I live on a tidal creek at elevation 8 feet, so my property usually floods when we get heavy rain. If the tide isn’t high, the creek can drain about an inch of rain per hour, more than that is trouble.
This years CA snowfall is similar to the CA snowfall totals of 1846. With the heavy snows, followed by heavy water flows, came the 1848 Gold Rush. They are saying Donner Pass has received 40+ feet of snow. Could we see gold on the move in the mountains when the waters begin to flow?
I die to go to the Donner monument.
It will help but cali banned mining
@@Betonrg You don't have to go as far as that. Driving, getting on a bus, or a plane would work, then you would be alive to see it.
@@KWAHU93 completely false
@@photonjones5908 coming from a gold miner
Good info. I’m a subscriber now. You jumped to one of my meteorological BEST OF sites.👍
Nice Michael!
Thank you for this long range forcast🌧🌦🌧🌦looks like an astonishing amount of rain headed for Mendocino! Really appreciate your work here!
Wow! California is sure getting hit more than normal.
Our local weather channels here in NorCal have been pointing this out lately. The hope is not too warm an AR. But no doubt we will have some water from the Sierras dumping into the Valleys. Places that usually get a dusting or no snow have 10s of feet on the ground.
Hopefully the Central Valley will not flood like they did in the 1980/90s. Back then I remember see cows in fields all gathered on the one knoll for a mile that was above the rising water.
It would be ideal if the snowpack is maintained as late into the spring as possible and we get gradual melting, to refill reservoirs, begin to recharge some of our very-depleted aquifers to save some of our millions of drought-distressed trees across the state. I hope the coming storms aren’t warm enough to melt it prematurely. We’ll just have to make the best of what Nature sends us this crazy winter. Thanks so much for your great California reports, Mr. Snyder.
FULL MOON RAIN DANCE FOR THE COLORADO RIVER ❄️ 🌧 ⛈️ 🌨 🌦 🌩
Try praying. That is what I did for California.
Thanks Again!
La Nina is giving her Grand Final for the West Coast. Hope it doesn't spread to the desert southwest, because I just got here, to escape the snow from the Owens Valley California.
I don't think it's over, I expect Spring to remain cool and showery for a while yet, probably well into May.
Here in Barstow we need any rain it's so dry here
Wouldn't surprise me if April ends up wetter than normal, and if not, May-June may be wet for the state of California.
I wouldn’t even be surprised if the rain lasts into June this year
I expect the spigot will shut off abruptly by April.
@@Spagine What if we got an AR-2 or 3 in June. That would be crazy but way to humid.
Wouldn’t it be nice to have a summer free of wildfires?
@@rapunzel39 that would be nice to take out wildfires plus take out hot weather in Summer.
Flood of 1964 conditions setting up for the North Coast of California.
So Lake Sacramento lives again?
Lake Corcoran.
The biggest problem is the weight of the snow and water on the tectonic plate preventing the pacific plate from moving under. When the spring hits the plate will rebound causing unforseen sizemic activity.
Time to build the ark 🌊
Did you know they have found Noah's Ark?
Love it thank so much
Like Tevia said "hope for the best, prepare for the worst". Oy very ist mir!
Amazing year.
Welp I'm definitely concerned about how much rain we are talking about here on the Central Coast. No likey the bullseye coming at us in some of those model runs.
The rain god is like "You cant be in a drought if you are underwater!".
God of the rain brought us the rain to California. I prayed for it
Ha! Seriously, though.
With that cold versus warm water vapor will that bring tornados to California?
Wow! Sure is a lot of precipitation!
An atmospheric river almost sounds like rain. I drove over 3 non-atmospheric rivers (I was on bridges) a couple of hours ago.
SIR!! can you help me decide what days to travel from humboldt to seattle and back. will take me two days
Who says we can't get enough precipitation in just one season to refill the reservoirs and aquifers?
A Ma Zing. TY
This may be a crazy question but is controlled thawing a thing?
Not that I know of
Controlled reservoir releases
@@rachelcarter2443 True, but except for Shasta the primary reservoirs are going to be reaching capacity real soon.
@@craigwall6071 I don't know why they are not doing preemptive releases now.
I’m moving to Oregon 3-17 traveling from central California going through hwy 99 north - I-5 north what do you think can I make it?
At least some good news for SoCal! Seems we won’t be hit to bad if those model runs stay accurate with those predictions🙏🏼
Is there someone like you for s calif?
What the ##《《 is that?? Sinister. Jet Stream. Arctic Circle Burst. What is that? That is weather I have never seen.
Been talking about, what if "pineapple express" heads for CA now .. would be so devastating. This could be epic!
California got TWO videos?? Are you cheating on us??
😀😀
Lol. We sure appreciate it here. We need to prepare
I'll be back tomorrow!
Two more storms coming so stock up or just get out some options to think about.
Will Sacramento get hit hard to
IMHO the most likely scenario is one where lowlands flood widely. The valley is so big that anything about 10' above river elevation should be ok, but anything lower than that will be a giant lake for at least a week, maybe two, and that tens of thousands of homes and hundreds of roads will be unusable. So, the higher and drier parts of Sacramento may see lots of displaced people incoming and diminishing food stocks due to transport disruptions.
Wow update number 2! AR4 yikes.
Could sulfuric acid being sprayed in our atmosphere cause this weather?
Lake Corcoran will raise again.
👍🙏🙏
Talk about a possible worst case scenario!
makes me happy knowing that all the bums are getting a shower.
La Niña doesn't do scales.
Can we trust the gfs? I heard that they are using new AI as of several months ago and it's not as accurate as it used to be.
👍
This isn’t actually completely good, these warm storms can melt snow at low and mid elevations. If it goes higher than 6000 ft, then the snowpack can be doomed
OUCH
20" of rain in two weeks... man my golf game is going to suffer
Hmmm the billionaire environmentalists are freakin out. This debunks their agenda.
California is in big trouble. Leave the valleys, move to higher ground.
The higher elevations are buried in snow. No electricity, someplace no food or water.
California needs all of this snow and rain , it was desperate , 10’s of thousands of acres gone in forest fires in the summers each year the last three years . But yeas people should prepare and not stay by the rivers , everyone else will be fine.
Please don’t promote panic
Don’t worry!
So you can get a nice little historic blizzard.
Napiyonuz millet
California is ridiculous
Get out now
Aloha
Adios!
@@hopespringseternal2624 🤡
I TOLD YOU MICHAEL!!! LOL ....seeeeeeeeeee???
Tons of water no more high cost water bills need to ratchet it down.