@@guadalupearias7118 In New York City. (I’m referring, of course to the 1959 classic film, The Mouse that Roared, starring Peter Sellers, Peter Sellers and Peter Sellers)... which explores this very scenario (almost).
Predictions for who will united every continent: Europe: Liechtenstein Asia: Bhutan Africa: Swaziland Oceania: Kiwi Empire Antarctica: Penguin Republic South America: Uruguay North America: Delaware
The fundamental problem with this video is that he's describing regional powers but calling them superpowers. There is a big difference between the two.
I agree. I think the superpower race is settled - a two horse race between China and USA. And even then USA is miles ahead in soft power, alliance networks, primacy of US dollar and tech. India long term can be a superpower but they have enough trouble dealing with internal issues of being such a diverse country that i donr think they have the energy to be the worlds policeman or justify throwing billions at Africa/BRI like China has.
@@rohanindra6401 Pretty much, Whatifalthist has touched on the current shift in US foreign policy to a more isolationist policy, allowing other friendlier nations to form stronger regional strength so they no longer have to dump their budget into the defence of other countries. It’s probably not a sign of peace though, i expect it to be more so that the US uses the saved funds to fund proxy wars against China
@@rohanindra6401 agreed. But india who is light years behind usa still puts immense pressure on usa.....diplomatically. The blinken-Jaishankar interaction shows it.
@@harveyspecter1855 In my opinion, that is largely due to America dealing with 'allies' that are dwarfed by the US, especially in military terms. Sure NATO as a whole ia quite strong, but the individual countries are still dependent on the US to a very large degree. Same goes for Japan and South Korea. India on the other hand is regional power on its own, and has never relied upon the US. Instead, up until very recently, Pakistan was the more preferred partner for the US. India has relied more on Soviets and Russia for armaments, but that is where the dependency ends. The recent US and India relation is more of an _alignment_ of mutual interests to counter China than anything else. And as such, The US ia simple not used to 'allies' not toeing its line and sentiments. This was most recently seen with Russia's invasion of Ukraine, where all other major allies of US parroted its stance, but India maintained ambivalence due to its own history with Russia. And the recent Janet Yellen's concession to India to but cheap oil and the CAATSA waiver for S-400 again highlight this fact. India is, for the lack of a better term, a more 'equal' partner to US than what the US is used to.
@@rohanindra6401 Nothing is ever really settled. Maybe there will eventually be a tripartite race between the US, India, and China (possibly with the first two allied). And you never know how possible future European and African (super)powers could affect things. Nevertheless you're probably right, at least for the next 50 years.
An india-china water war is highly unlikely, as the ganges river is sourced in India, and Chinese territory accounts for less than 3% of its water flow. The Brahmaputra IS sourced in china, but still receives almost 70% of its water flow from indian territory. China can build all the dams it wants, but India isn't dependant on foreign water sources, thanks in large part to the monsoons.
Exactly and thats why u need to study local geography instead of vast over generalizing facts , honestly india is more vulnerable to climate change than chinese dams in that regard
0:00 - Intro 4:39 - Number 6, East African Union 9:54 - Number 5, Iran 12:48 - Number 4, Ethiopia 15:13 - Number 3, India 19:29 - Number 2, France 22:37 - Number 1, Turkey 26:14 - Outro
@@ahmadfrhan5265 would rather die lol, don't enjoy my people being genocides, also the people of the Balkans would literally fight until they don't exist anymore, or are released.
As an Indian even idk much but Indians are very patriotic to their land and their country. There is this mindset that we may hate each other or fight each other but someone from outside causes us issues we all stand together to fuck them up
@@xavierlauzac5922 The ones on the internet who let people know they are Indian are pretty patriotic. Even if there's only a small part of a country that's really patriotic, they can still give off the impression everyone in India is, due to the massive population of India.
@@dl2839 Actually most Indian states are devoted to the Indian identity because of the shared culture of thousands of years. And even though there are hundreds of cultures in this country, inclusivity is instilled into them by their culture itself.
@@scholaroftheworldalternatehist Yes and no, I don't how strict Whatifhist is being when he talks about Malthusian pressures, but it is still a useful ideia if you consider larger trends beyond food like : Urban real estate, rent prices, oil and maybe lithium and cobalt if renewables really get going, rural land distribution, and wages and unemployment.
@@scholaroftheworldalternatehist Unfortunately the real world doesn't have a world government yet, so when you say "we" if you mean the developed nations in the world then yes. For the developing nations malthusian pressure is still kinda applicable depending on how much developed they are.
@@scholaroftheworldalternatehist its still a thing. But yeah its a idea from the 1800s Still holds up in a diffrent form. Instead of food other stuff like retail or wages. More important is mages.
As an Indian i would say that the current govt is much more clearer in their vision to make India a superpower , they know the diplomacy they are doing good with the military and economy as well. I will say this govt is trying to pull off a Deng xioping move as hide your capabilities and bide your time. Lets see if we can pull this off or not .
Unlike Asian tigers, India became wealthy by focusing on high-skill service sectors like IT. It's probably the hardest country to understand. It has the highest number of people living under poverty, but was able to eradicate polio before most African countries. Can't make a good rifle, but makes good quality nuclear submarines. And modern Indian military is probably the best military in the history of subcontinent (They even pulled off a blitzkrieg in 1971). A big factor is unlike most European nations today, IA has actually faced war both in conventional and non-conventional way. You should check out how they fooled CIA in 1998 Nuclear blasts. Crafty.
India is basically a gamble rn. It will either become a superpower with the blessing of the US, or it will be become a failed state subject to China. No in betweens
@@osobori If India falls to China, it will be a dark day for democracies across the world. It certainly isn’t perfect by any means, but it’s actually the most powerful democracy in Asia. It falling will usher in a new revitalism to Authoritarian regimes. We all know where that leads.
@@dragonstormdipro1013 That's why India needs to be more aggressive to China, especially on the dams China's planning on building. And the US needs to arm India to the teeth
India is one of those perennial "superpowers of tomorrow," like Brazil. It always has such great potential, yet is never realized. I predict much disappointment for the rest of this century as well.
They need to organize and form a powerful central government. That's how great powers emerge. Through strong and competent leadership. Take China as a textbook example.
THERE COULD ONLY BE ONE BIG BULLY. EITHER CHINA WILL FAIL TO FORM, TIBET HONG KONG AND OTHER REGION OR INDIA WILL FAIL TO FORM SOUTH INDIA, NORTHINDIA AND EASTERN STATES. THERE IS A HUGE POSSIBILITY
I’m hoping America stops being the superpower it is now, we need to focus on ourselves more than we need to worry about some foreign countries although America will probably continue to be a superpower for a very long time but probably not as much as we are today
@@amrahmed7856 I think opening up the markets more and stopping bureaucratic red tape will give major boost to Indian Economy. It's better to follow US model than China's.
THANK YOU FOR SAYING IT. As an American it's a hard pill to swallow but we had a great position after the fall of the USSR and between idiot politicians and greedy elites we gave up our unmatched spot at the top. I hate to see our country so divided and no longer dominating world affairs. Hopefully we can turn things around soon but I doubt it with Biden in office.
but the turn USA has made with the support of Ukraine, it IS well on it's way to install a second era of the USA policing the world... Also only under USA alliance flag China can be countered in it's expensions wish... So usa is now clearly showing to keep on defending it's interest in the Atlantic and pacific ! I do see the USA staying more hands off in the meditenian and Africa dough .. but how are we to say Africa, especially sub saharian Africa, should keeps its border determined by colonialism anyway? Go east African superpower ;-).
@@souventudubanned you do realize that not everyone that dislikes Trump is a leftist, right? Even the furthest rightist have noticed how incompetent Trump is
@@josephhoward4697 This is a big misconception, you're not a "visual learner" if you prefer looking at graphs. Graphs are often far more efficient at conveying information than a wall of text.
@@BLRSharpLight true he forgot major Factors like Presidency, Corruption, Economic downfalls and maybe Climate Change. A country may be fast developing but give it a weak leader and it can shatter, it may have alliances and peace talks but nothing is sure and most are unlikely to happen
The was very interesting video but I'm surprised you left out China, Russia, Poland, Hungary, as well as even Japan, and Vietnam. I personally think any one of those countries have a better chance of growth than any of the African ones or even India.
This video channel always has an interesting and thought-provoking take on things, but don't confuse his opinions with insightful analysis. He is, after all, just a UA-cam dude.
Lol. Any nation smart enough to challenge its far bigger and stronger neighbours and then proceeding to lose so many men that you're forced to be polygamous is bound to be a world leader soon. 7 million people! My gosh, I wonder why they haven't taken over the world yet.
@@bullmoosevelt4495 - France has the best geography in Europe -- access to the Atlantic and to the Med Sea. It has good soil and weather for farming. France gets into trouble when it thinks that it is bigger than it is.
@@SilvanaDil in comparison to USA or some other yeah France is pretty cheap in influence, but they are clearly in the few country in the world that can influence tone of other countries significantly. Britain is quite different you're right but I think it's because they are less independent from the US than France are. + The geographic advantage you just mentioned + the fact that britain is more isolationist (brexit...)
@La nova renaissance Right now yes, but this is talking about the future. It’s only a matter of time until Russia completely dissolves and this is a what if.
Anybody ever watch these and just think, "can't wait to see how things end up playing out in the year 20XX". Got me taking my vitamins and going for runs just to see what happens.
There was a Series in French and German called „with Open Borders“. In 2010 they said would be an Independent Kurdistan and Iran would conquer Parts of Afghanistan. But at the End nothing changed except Azerbaidschan and Armeni
Yep that may be true. But dubai was honest to god built by the South asians. Which goes to show that they have the potential to develop advanced infrastructure.
The turks claiming Crimea? That really isn't going to happen, all the claims they ever had have been totally eradicated by the russian empire, moreover the russians would have a better supply chain having only a small strait to cross. Not even mentioning the russian navy being stronger, the russian army being stronger and the fact that the russians would be fighting a defensive war. No, the turks would not take crimea in any scenario.
Exactly bro, That would be the dumbest shit could happen and there is no way its going to happen. As a Turk we literally have no interest and won't worth it.
To be fair this is based on his belief that the Russia has a good chance of collapsing in next 30-50. That is probably way to outlandish but a periods of destabilizations are likely. Obviously things would have to have gone really bad for Russia or really good for Turkey for Crimea to be even threatened
@@aman_2065 I mean he did make a disclaimer about his predictions he said a lot of these or a very long shot but still in the Realms of possibility. Saying that now I disagree most of these countries will not even close to be super powers or powerhouses. It's like looking back in 1950 and saying "Oh yeah Brazil and Argentina are going to be the next super powers in the early 21st century because all the GDP, population growth and resources they have." That's not the case.........
@@Reactionary_Harkonnen tell a german in 1900 that the russians and america will dominate the world in 50 years he wouldnt even laugh at you, hed think ur joking
@@trollinape2697 actually not really, many the Europeans already realized America had a huge potential to become a superpower by the late 19th century. In a matter of fact I think there's a German ambassador I forgotten his name but before World War 1 started or could have been right before World War II started that said his prediction is going to be America and Russia being thus next superpowers because Britain and Germany will ruined themselves over this war.
I'm Kenyan and I can promise you that there's a strong sense of National identity in my country and as far as I'm concerned in our neighbouring countries as well, best case scenario is formation of a strong confederation rather than a single unified federation
The United States started as a confederation too. It’s quite surprising how we ended up with a federal government. If there hadn’t been a Washington to draw together the many states, it could have gone completely the other way. Will be very interesting to see if the East Africans can pull it together
It would be great if the other countries in the federation redrew their internal borders, so that if the East African federation split apart, the borders would make more sense (particularly South Sudan and Tanzania). Personally I think if Kenya dominated the East African federation it could stabilize some of your chaotic neighbors like South Sudan
India has a potential to be a superpower if they avoid a big war with china in near future. Something that West is actively trying to push india towards (war with china)
@@JiaruiChen_in my lifetime I will see china go from the worlds most populated nation to their population being 100 million less than half of its peak I will see it go from a third world underdeveloped nation to a economic powerhouse to a stagnant economy like Japan idk about India but china is not going to be no.1 for sure
These countries would have to militarize seriously before they can compete one on one with turkey, which is a highly militarized country with the second largest standing army and the second most military assets in nato after US, though if germany was to militarize heavily like it did back in ww2 there would be no need for others. Hungary and poland aren’t in a suitable enough economy to sustain a big military. Austria isn’t even up for debate since its too small. Italy would have potential but I doubt it would give a fuck on whats happening outside their borders. The only sensible option would be to reactivate german war machine.
@@zanetlou1689 Germany is a militarily occupied state. If US gets out then the German pockets are so much deeper than Turkey that a decade be enough to create huge superior army.
India is really a mixed bag. Due to its vastness, both population-wise and landmass-wise, often both ends of a spectrum can be seen. Its economic hubs are among the fastest-growing in the world and in the meanwhile there also slums the size of international cities( these slums themselves amount to USD$500 million on average). Policies for the growth of companies are being implemented and also we can't do away with the socialist policies and appeasement. But one thing that I am sure of is that most of the population is devoted to its Indian identity and even takes pride in its pacifist outlook of the world. Common villagers too will stand for nationalistic pride. Freedom struggle from the british has cemented it. This is roughly the view of every common Indian.
The issue is sustainable development. Both Parties in india are beyond corrupted. One is only good to suck money out of india , other sucks out livelihood of india. New parties with Indian value of inclusiveness and Les Appeasement should come.
@@masochistboy653 impossible new parties will come apart from AAP getting in few more states , but I think in next 10 years both parties are going to change for good , Bjp s power anti Muslim is falling now I will not vote if India does strike against Pakistan but I will vote if india takes fight with China , which means Rss power will decrease and anti communists feeling will swell if China continues in it's path of becoming communist once again and Russia continues to be dick , second everyone knows this is last generation of Gandhis in power , The BJP blow has hit the soul of Gandhis , so if Congress looses in 2024 new Congress will take birth if it wins Congress is likely to loose in next election becuz now we are used to fast and bold decision of bjp , also I think now regional powers are diversifying , Mamta is finally looking to Northeast , Odissa , Bihar, jharkhand is looking solid ,
4:39 - Number 6, East African Union 9:54 - Number 5, Iran 12:48 - Number 4, Ethiopia 15:13 - Number 3, India 19:29 - Number 2, France 22:37 - Number 1, Turkey
The one problem with Turkey becoming a superpower is that the Arabs still resent the Turks for what happened under the old Ottoman Empire and won’t accept Turkish rule. The Turks are also incredibly arrogant and won’t moderate themselves to make themselves more appealing as a unifying Muslim empire. I can see a Caliphate forming but not under Turkey unless the Turks take a serious chill pill
Another great commentary from another great man! I especially love the chapters where I can see it advance with the big picture is of each lecture. Keep up the good work.
The problem with India is that growth is confined to very limited areas mostly big cities. Government should plan to setup economic zones in all states, especially the IT industry.
They need to apply the Singapore model to each state. India’s biggest problem is the fact that it’s still part of the Commonwealth of National and thus a proxy to Britain via indirect soft power. Until the Indian subcontinent gets rid of the commonwealth and then start its own bank, it will continue to be dragging itself in the mud trying to obtain the same level of prosperity as China, which will collapse in on itself in 30 years due to demographic depletion
@@NarasimhaDiyasena Singapore is a city state, it's highly unlikely that a model based off its governance will work for a vast, multi-ethnic mostly agrarian country.
@@NarasimhaDiyasena India is not depending on commonwealth bank or anything like that! SBI is the largest bank in India with total assets $650 Billion USD.
Yeah i don't any new formal superpowers emerging. Only medium powers sharing power under the umbrella with a larger superpower client under the US or China and i don't even think the US or China will go to war either. China's security forces are oriented towards national/regional deployment than an expeditionary war and the US is already tired of fighting the war on terror. In the next 30-50 their will be saber rattling and economic detachment but never a war larger than the Perisan gulf war of the 1990s, The Iran-Iraq war of the 80s or the 2nd Congo war.
There is a country more powerful than both china and usa. In fact that one country controls what happens to both china and usa. Israel is the only superpower in the world and now its making moves to show that. By the year 2030 israel wouldve assembled the mid east in its vision of the greater israel project. By 2030 most the world economic centres and exchanges will be based in the gulf countries but will heavily controlled by israel. China will remain a strong country but as for the usa its becoming clear that all the systems of government banking and social institutions are crumbling. The biggest downfall has come through over printing of money to cover debts owed and eventually that all comes to a head when it is no longer sustainable.
War will not create the new leaders in the worlds pecking order. Money and commerce will be the reason that the scales tip as china has already proved. While the usa has been waging wars for power over last 30 years just to maintain a grip and consolidate its position globally, china has been playing the economic root in expanding its influence globally. It seems the chinese way is working better.
@@haliesalasi5867 oh sweety... israel is not a super power... only a regional power. 10mil pepole cannot be a super power, and even with the high rate of birth it will take dacades as best est are 15mil in 2049... so ya... nop. But they can interfear with the turks plans and keep sudia arabia and the other gulf states alive for longer...
@ᴡɪɴᴛᴇʀᴍᴜᴛᴇ _ This thing isn't happening, it will take something extraordinary for it to come to life. Yes, there's the EALA and stuff but when was the last meaningful development on the EAC? It'll be 100 years before we see anything, just saying. Dead in the water. Not rolling. Needs spark. Hit rocks or whatever, idk
Is there a chance to remove the corrupt leaders through protests? It'd be nice to have Africa be able to defend itself from outside influences so they stop getting used.
He is right about one thing, India has been repeatedly conquered, but that's only half the story. When an empire conquers India, after some time a reactionary native empire arises to drive the invaders out. This reactionary force is pretty strong and it usually unites the Indian people. Some examples are how the Maratha's defeated the Mughals, how the Indian freedom movement defeated the British and how Ghazni was defeated by king Vidyadhara, dont even get me started on how changez khan did not invade india
@@Adil_Turysbek_TVRC There were more reasons- 1. Himalayas 2. India was being ruled by relatives of Genghis khan (Delhi Sultanate) and were related to the turks.Genghis will not invade his own relatives innit.
@@Adil_Turysbek_TVRC Partially true, but actually it's just that India mightve been quite a hassle to maintain honestly. There was already an Islamic kingdom in power, and the Mongols trying to gain power in an area which already has a sizeable number of contenders would lead to greater chaos, and might lead to an alexanderesque situation for the Mogols. But this wasn't the case for the entirety of the rule of the Delhi sultanate, like how it was quickly run down by the Mughals, who were essentially turkic descendants of the Mongols.
@@shiveshsingh3169 The Islamic Kingdom I mention initially is the Delhi Sultanate that ruled over India at that time. Post Genghis Khan, many of his successors converted to Islam, famously Tamer Lane, from whom the Mughal dynasty of India descended.
I personally would say China wouldnt have felt the deed to industrialise ,and would now maybe dissapeared broken either into pieces or occupied by Japan at least partwise
I don't think it couldn't happen except if Europe didn't rise to world dominance or that the history of China was too much different to really be China. You see, the chinese are a hegemon and a world conquering nation, their people took everything they wanted, only stopping at the natural borders such as the Gobi desert and Tibet (after the Qing dinasty started going as far as the Himalaias). China needed nothing from the outside World, they werea World in of itself, and the time kinda stopped for them. A proof of this is that when Britain sent requests for open trade, they denied it in Latin, for they still believed that the romans still ruled whatever the West was. From the same perspective, the invention of a steam machine in classical Alexandria didn't start the industrial revolution or just as discovering the gunpowder's fire function didn't lead them to invent modern warfare, in the Opium wars they still fought with spears.
The humiliations were a result of the weakness, not vice versa Likewise two of the three most devestating things that occured to China in the last two hundred years were internal China-On-China affairs (Taiping Rebellion and Communist revolution) with Japans invasion being the only thing on that scale that was external.
@@skytornadi3384 China wasn't capable of industrializing until it could be self sufficient in food (which it still barely is) because of how labor intensive rice cultivation is.
@@th3omachos I know that lord all Knowing Krauts said it but the real reason for the Latin was because the only real relationship that the Chinese Imperial Court had with the West was with the Chatolic Church, because Macao, the Portuguese, missionaries and ete cetera.
I think your reasoning for Turkey is pretty flawed. For one, Turkey is never expanding into the Balkans again (with the possible exceptions of Albania, Bosnia and Bulgaria). The Balkans still have very strong memories of the Ottoman era, and those memories are not fond ones even remotely. Turkey flexing in that area just sounds like a great (and possibly the only way you could) unite the Balkans against a common enemy. Most of these countries are also in the EU, aswell as in NATO, which really complicates things. I don't see Germany or France allowing a Turkish sphere of influence going on in the Balkans, given how antagonistic the Turkish government has been. Also, Turkey forging some kind of Islamic-nationalist identity doesn't make any sense even remotely. Irreligiosity is on a rapid rise in Turkey, and the refugee crisis has made tensions between Turks and Arabs much stronger (even reaching the point of racism in alot of instances). Furthermore, the Middle East is at the crossroads of alot of conflicting interests. Turkey isn't just going to plow through that whole area without getting into deep shit with someone comparable to them.
I agree on the balkans, and I also agree that atheism is on a rapid rise in turkey, yet I can’t see which country would be able to contest them if they wanted to assert their sphere of influence on middle east, aside from israel and maybe iran. As far as I know turkey is deep into syria and no one is giving a shit apart from local militia. Turkey also meddled with azeri-armenian conflict which is most likely the reason azeris won. At the end of last year turkey laid claims to a huge portion of mediterrenean sea and is operating their oil rigs freely at the zones which greeks claim as their own, the only western response was an half assed embargo which didn’t do shit. If the west doesn’t even give shit about balkan interests against turkey I highly doubt they would lift a finger for middle east
Remember in the video he said turkey will be stopped somewhere in Serbia likely between Sofia and Belgrade. In the middle east turkey will take Syria, its a given by now. In January turkey managed to stop Assad's offensive into Idlib using 20 drones. Once Syria falls, its a domino effect turkey will have Syria's oil and a new base to attack deeper into the middle east. Lebanon will fall quite quickly and Jordan soon after. The Turks will likely be stopped somewhere in Iraq by Iran My guess is they will be stopped at Fallujah. If Egypt collapses along with Saudi Arabia then turkey basically has free rain to do what it likes to the middle east. Israel may be a formidable force but it has no where near the population to contend with a turkey that has taken a quarter of the middle east. Iran would be by far the biggest and most powerful country to stop turkey although Iran is more geared to an insurgency against the USA then open warfare with a country that borders it. Russia can be completely defeated by simply mining the Bosporus strait. That's why he thinks turkey will be a world power.
@@calypso7709 *As far as I know turkey is deep into syria and no one is giving a shit apart from local militia.* This just isn't true on a number of levels. Turkey's intervention in Syria has pissed of Syria itself (obviously), Russia, Iran, the US (now that Trump is gone), France, the UK and Egypt). If they pushed more you'd bet the Saudis and gulf states would get involved too. They've barely pushed into Syria and have already managed to be essentially completely alone on the matter. They are the only state still officially supporting the Syrian Interim Government. *Turkey also meddled with azeri-armenian conflict which is most likely the reason azeris won.* Turkey only 'won' that conflict because Russia wanted them to win. Russia still sees the Caucasus as its backyard and is not going to let the status quo be shaken too much. Hence why Russia were the ones that brokered the peace deal, why they decided when the war was going to end and why Turkey essentially had to bend the knee to Russia on the matter. *At the end of last year turkey laid claims to a huge portion of mediterrenean sea and is operating their oil rigs freely at the zones which greeks claim as their own,* While the EU itself has unfortunately not done much on this issue, it has been a disaster for Turkey. Firstly, it's made pretty much everyone in the EU (with the exception of Hungary and Poland) hate Turkey's guts (you don't become a regional power by making everyone hate you). Secondly, while the EU has not responded much, Greece has. Greece has signed a maritime agreement with Egypt, Israel and Cyprus in response and is getting quite a bit of support from France. Even Turkey knows this whole thing isn't realistically going anywhere. Hence why they *always* pull out whenever the EU shows up to moderate, and then come back afterwards as a show of force. It's no different from them constantly violating Greece's airspace, it's dickmeasuring. Greece is in NATO and the EU, Turkey knows damn well that they can't push it much further.
@@Garmin21111 Real life is not a game of EU4, countries don't just "take" land. It's unproductive, expensive and make you look like a bad actor internationally. Russia took *just* Crimea in 2014 and got bombarded with tons of sanctions that have massively stagnated their economy.
turkey already has alot of influence in bosnia, albania i dont think so because albania is having heavy american influence rn but also turkish but american is higher, turkey is investing alot in countries you wont expect such like serbia. Turkish influence is more in the caucas i dont think they will ever have a big impact on the balkans other then a war with greece and thats it.
The Brahmaputra originates in the Tibetan plateau, where it is known as the Yarlung Tsangpo. Running eastward for about 1,100 km through a dry region, the river makes a dramatic U-turn at the Great Bend, and flows southward into Arunachal, where it is known as Siang. From there, a great volume of water is added to the river by its tributaries such as the Dibang, Subansiri, Lohit and Kameng in India, and the Teesta in Bangladesh. In fact, far more water is added to the Brahmaputra's flow in India, Bhutan and Bangladesh than in China. According to the Food and Agriculture Organisation's AQUASAT survey of 2011, the annual flow of the Brahmaputra basin from China to India is 165 cubic kilometre, but from India to Bangladesh the flow is 537 cu km. Bhutan alone discharges 78 cu km - half of China's amount - into the river. According to another study, although 50% of the Brahmaputra basin is in China, it generates just about 22% of the annual water discharge of the river because of the dry weather there. India accounts for 34% of its basin area but contributes 39% of the total discharge. Bhutan covers 6.7% of basin but 21% of the discharge, almost the same as China. This is why most experts dismiss the fear that China will someday choke the Brahmaputra water supply to India. "There is no question of the Chinese controlling the water flow in the Brahmaputra since most of the water comes from Indian tributaries, that is the monsoon rainfall. The water flow issue is quite overstated and a result of ignorance and prejudice acting together," says Jabin Jacob, fellow at the Institute of Chinese Studies. And do read about ganga..chinas geo role in its origination and its course is too insignificant to bother.. i hope this guy do a little more research....the world politics and geography is not as simple as he thinks.
@@najayanlama4048 do u kno anything bout the geography of Himalayas... indias geographical position due to Himalayas is considered a strategical advantage for india...both r nuclear power countries..it doesn't matter how much nukes u have...both have enough to destroy each other completely...they are never gonna invade..or they will invite a nuclear war...yes we lost in 1962..n the reason being foolishness of the government dat time...considered china as friend..did not bothered to deploy many soldiers..we were hell outnumbered ....but do read bout 1967 war..when they tried d sam..but this time we were prepared n we kicked der ass off...
Exception and not the rule After the collapse of the Pratihara dynasty the central gangetic plains were ruled by foreign dynasties in perpetuum for nearly a thousand years disrupted only by the short rise of the marathas
hahahaha. India didn't "conquer" afghanistan. It was part of India. It's the arabs that conquered and removed you. You were defeated to cleanly that you consider it "foreign" to you when it isn't. What a painful joke. It's like I kick you out of your house and you start telling everyone it was never yours anyway. hahahaha
@@darthnerd4432 france doesnt have nearly the coastline and natural ports the US does. further more france is a land power, which means it will necessarily support a large army for its own security, hence less power projection power through the navy.
@@allmightywhale yea but "funding" does provide better technology. As both US and UK sent aircraft carriers and troops to fight India in Bangladesh liberation war but gladly, Soviet union and Israel was there to help India.
15:13 India's main problem is its very peaceful Hindu majority. Hindus are always defensive in manner. It is very easy to break it internally than externally. Bcoz outside pressure will just unify all of them regardlessly how religiously divided they're.
@@BasSiTT11 Kurds have a really high birth rate whilst the birth rates of Turks is below replacement rate and declining. This is already leading to a shift in demographics which will probably put a dent in any dreams of a neo-ottoman empire.
why everything is joke to you westerns? why are you hurt? Turkey will be super power from Arab and most Kurds support Turkey only pkk who are funded by your governments.prove me wrong i dare you
I like the fact that this guy, who is pretty knowledgeable in the field of history and geopolitics doesn't have much clarity about India (he understands more than most, but not enough to do decent forecasts). This is pretty common across the world, and will keep India safe - either by being ignored by other major players, or by being underestimated by them.
So true. People like to underestimate india when they don't know the reality. We have many many problems like every other country. No country can be perfect especially with a large population. We are making progress (although slowly) but by 2040 we will dominate the world in workforce/youth we will have which will have a big effect.
@@aartiyadav-nl3wb if India survives the current non secular wave across world, Congress gets free from Gandhis , BJP forgets Muslim and become anti communists ( which I think can if once pak accept China fully ) and some luck helps India get industrialized ( like fall of China once again to socialism , Africa continue to be mess and Western world starts loving India ) , I think India have chance but it will need some little God level push like dot com bubble for service sector , Bjp becoming anti communists and fall of China is best bet
Let they underestimate us, that's the real strategy that would work when every country is trying to flaunt its power! We live here and we know what's the undergoing process is gonna result consequently. Policies of BJP have a broader vision with a major impact on the world and one can witness it if one is actively concerned. 🙌
@@jacobarmour6325 yep, named after Thomas Malthus I believe (might need to check that first name). He realized that in his time population growth would outpace agricultural output and that this would inevitably lead to famine, war, and chaos. He wasn't wrong, just didn't foresee how technological advancement would increase agricultural output, nor did he foresee declining birthrates. The general fear about a growing global population today is derived from Malthusian sentiments.
18:33 map is flawed, Nagaland official language isn't Ao, it's English and has 27 different tribes and their own respective languages and dialects. I would know because that's where I live.
@@Cato_of_Georgia China and the US are both trying to dominate Africa so I don't see them letting any African countries grow too powerful unfortunately
@@Illusivemoose us domination over the world is slowly coming to a stop , china would have no use with a broken africa if east africa is successful however the two would be able to have good trade and cooperation.
Dont worry Pakistan wont fall. Since its inception, people kept calling it a "failed state" which it isn't. EDIT: Also, Pakistan joining India is literally impossible because of Hindu rule.
Bro still has a hard time accepting nation-state... "Cultures" don't usually align together like that sometimes artificial borders can make people hate eachother
I doubt Greece will fall under Turkish rule, it's been vehemently anti-Turkish in all of its existence. Not to offend anyone, Turkey also does the same. But in my view, Greece is more likely to fall under France's sphere of influence.
If we are going to be annexed or be a puppet i definitely prefer the French. Like i don't have anything personal with the Turkish people but their regimes are kinda shit to everyone non Turk. Like the resistance the Balkans would show probably outweighs their worth tbh .
@@yigitalguney235 Well judging by Ottoman Greece that was indeed the case. Local Paças basically had the power of God and they could abuse their population but as long as they stayed loyal to İstanbul and collect taxes no one cared.
yes please come . Oh i am an Arab and as a Muslim i 10000000% that the Polish people will literally fight you and not the Ottomans this time. i think you believe they forgot right?
With global warming and desertification of the the American fruited planes, the tundra of Canada will become the bread basket of the world...and with a very low population density, a lot of clean water, arable lands and oil...look for Canada to become a de facto US colony before we are long dead and buried.
@@zhoubaidinh403 yeah that theory is pretty good too I read a little about it. Bet its probably with a bigger timefram in mind, imo in the 22nd century its more probable
I would like to let you know, that I am Indian, and we have extremely strong social unity. In fact it's increasing quickly, and our government is becoming more and more right-wing, and it's also rapidly becoming offensive, as a result of which Indians are uniting together faster and faster.
@@naillijseer it's mixed, Muslims who still live in ghetto's are against this political shift. Muslims who are distributed amongst the census generally support this shift
@@naillijseerMuslims are backbone of India , many Indians don't know but we care about islamic value more than Hinduism it is basically becuz British broke the backbone of Hinduism with modernization , Hinduism of 19 th century is extinct ,
@Shlok Paatni I am Hindu and I want my friends who are Muslim or any other religion to get treated equally and have the same opportunities in life as me
@@jagaadhep9116 Go and clear up your definitions first before building up false assumptions. I strongly support the removal of the word secular and religion both - abolish it in fact - since this identities are the antithesis to indic worldview. Also, it is a civilizational state which is reduced to a mere nation-state and not allowed to taught it's history.
On the East African empire, you forgot to mention one distinct unifying factor. The region mostly speaks or understands a common language Swahili to some level from the eastern DRC to the Coast despite the multiple tribes. More like a Swahili empire of sorts. I forsee the DRC breaking up eventually due to a prolonged lack of governance especially in the east and south who are already more linked to East African states than they are to the western part of the country. So the Kivus down to Katanga in the south may join the East African Federation. Fun fact, today all countries now fly the EAC flag and play the regional anthem in addition to their own, citizens crisscross borders easily compared to other African states. The end point is rather obvious if you live in the region like I do.
With the coming US$ crash, countries and geopolitical regions will have to be much more self sufficient. Globalism as we e know it will be a thing of the past. Given the time he allows, I find these pontifications to be reasonable.
9:37 - yeah, because of outside interference... This will not be maintained once the influencers leave and the people will need to fight for themselves... The people that have been guided for thousands of years will not have the stability in mind and body to take the steps themselves, this will leave them open to easy conquests such as Islam... You can not expect a child to be able to cope with any situation, regardless of field, without their parent... A person fresh out of school can not perform in the same way as a person with 25 years of experience in their respective field... This is really dangerous regardless if it is religion, business or culture...
I honestly think the world needs more major powers. Yes, our governments will attempt to demonize any “threat.” But I feel more large groups of people need more representation on the global scale
I disagree. More power means that, for example, social advancements such as women's and LQBGT+ rights aren't going to be important or even developed in places such as China or India, since the West (America + Canada, Europe, Australian and NZ) aren't going to be a major cultural powerhouse and thus cultural colonization will not happen the way it is happening now. The only reason things like feminism is a thing in Latin America it's because the west see having a feminist government as sign of a developed country and heavily criticize those who aren't on the wagon
To be fair, the pipeline wasn’t as important as people made it out to be since other smaller pipelines will cover the production that would come from it
Everyone always forgets Poland. Indeed, one of the most constantly conquered countries out there, but they seem to greatly enjoy their new found post soviet sovereignty. Plus their social policies are largely opposite or directly spiteful toward the rest of the EU's policies in terms of immigration, family values, societal norms, in addition to enjoying strategic favor from the US by way of tech, military, protection both conventionally and through nuclear umbrella. I think Poland will surprise many in the next few decades. Just an opinion from a random internet person
The armenian azerbaijan war and I can't remember the other two off the top of my head but if you check out his video ua-cam.com/video/N3bEVlNcpq0/v-deo.html he mentions them here.
Neither of the 2 were as big as he predicted. He predicted a war in Central Asia but Armenian and Azerbaijan aren’t in Central Asia and he also predicted a Ethiopian civil war which was pretty much just Ethiopia sending their military to a northern city in like a week
"Predicted" is a very loose word. He made some claims that were vaguely similar to what happened and/or very close to happening anyway. We cherry-pick only what we get right anyway..
Have you guys ever visited Istanbul? Try living there for a while. You'll quickly learn why it won't be a world power in our lifetime. Turks are very nice people though. If anyone should be ruling the Islamic world, they'd be the choice of literally everyone with common sense. They'd stop the extremism in it's tracks.
Being French I'm actually very interested to know how different regions of turkey view themselves. From what I heard, most of the country's riches and technologies comes from rather secular, almost European-like western part of the country, while Erdogan's power come from (and policies appeal to) the more rural, Muslim conservative rest of the country.
France didn’t technically leave NATO, just the command structure. Although NATO troops aren’t stationed in France and they don’t put troops in NATO bases, they’re still part of the core alliance of collective defence. They’re still allied to Italy and Spain.
That alliance with Spain and Italy is required for France to be a superpower, since the both of them together can take control of the Mediterranean. France will have to find a middle ground between them, or form a unified bloc (like the Latin Bloc).
Yeah this threw me for a loop to. They're still a member state, so what on earth is he talking about? I've found stuff saying they left in 1966 but surely something that long ago is no longer relevant?
I really like your videos and you are very well informed when it comes to geopolitics and history. However, I feel as if you underestimate the absolute power of the nuclear bomb. Things like world wars and empires simply can't exist in a world where countries can obliterate each other in a single day. I believe the current status quo (small countries continuing to divide) will be the norm for many many years.
Well... these days India is super nationalist(in a good way) and super anti Chinese. Being pro chinese basically means the end of the career of a politician in India I am Indian
India is more Pro hindu anti muslim anti chinese. but they cant defeat china if they keep letting down the farmers and the back bone of the nation and causing religious divide
@Manav Kumar singh bruh only you are anti muslim. Avg indian/hindu has always been encompassing muslims. I also understand that religious nationalism is inferior compared to cultural or civilizational nationalism. I hope other also understand this
Indians generally are very shy people and only focus on work. This has also been our strategy for diplomacy that we kept shy for way too long and our neighbors took advantage of our shyness or unwillingness. I also think that in few years this shyness will be gone and Indians will try embrace their civilizational roots and civilizational nationalism will also emerge. Jai hind🇮🇳
Switzerland will continue to be the world’s cameraman.
Edit: My God they picked a side.
Ahahaha best comment i have ever
seen
Always.
This should have 1k Likes
They're so lucky I wish I lived there.
Lol
Everyone's a gangsta till Lichtenstein successfully tests it's first nuke.
Lol xd
I don't even know a country exists with the name Lichtenstein until i have seen this comment😂😂😂
But where would they test them?
@@guadalupearias7118 In New York City. (I’m referring, of course to the 1959 classic film, The Mouse that Roared, starring Peter Sellers, Peter Sellers and Peter Sellers)... which explores this very scenario (almost).
ua-cam.com/video/oKOftmWGGXk/v-deo.html
Obvious prediction: Iceland will dominate the entire Northern hemisphere
Jannich Torp
Well, it did defeat England in the cod wars.
@Jk Idk And start a project to make the entire world into the shape of Luxembourg
Predictions for who will united every continent:
Europe: Liechtenstein
Asia: Bhutan
Africa: Swaziland
Oceania: Kiwi Empire
Antarctica: Penguin Republic
South America: Uruguay
North America: Delaware
Well, as a norwegian I gladly welcome our icelandic overlords
More likely than the East African Federation becoming a superpower, lol
The fundamental problem with this video is that he's describing regional powers but calling them superpowers. There is a big difference between the two.
I agree. I think the superpower race is settled - a two horse race between China and USA. And even then USA is miles ahead in soft power, alliance networks, primacy of US dollar and tech. India long term can be a superpower but they have enough trouble dealing with internal issues of being such a diverse country that i donr think they have the energy to be the worlds policeman or justify throwing billions at Africa/BRI like China has.
@@rohanindra6401 Pretty much, Whatifalthist has touched on the current shift in US foreign policy to a more isolationist policy, allowing other friendlier nations to form stronger regional strength so they no longer have to dump their budget into the defence of other countries. It’s probably not a sign of peace though, i expect it to be more so that the US uses the saved funds to fund proxy wars against China
@@rohanindra6401 agreed. But india who is light years behind usa still puts immense pressure on usa.....diplomatically. The blinken-Jaishankar interaction shows it.
@@harveyspecter1855 In my opinion, that is largely due to America dealing with 'allies' that are dwarfed by the US, especially in military terms. Sure NATO as a whole ia quite strong, but the individual countries are still dependent on the US to a very large degree. Same goes for Japan and South Korea.
India on the other hand is regional power on its own, and has never relied upon the US. Instead, up until very recently, Pakistan was the more preferred partner for the US. India has relied more on Soviets and Russia for armaments, but that is where the dependency ends. The recent US and India relation is more of an _alignment_ of mutual interests to counter China than anything else. And as such, The US ia simple not used to 'allies' not toeing its line and sentiments. This was most recently seen with Russia's invasion of Ukraine, where all other major allies of US parroted its stance, but India maintained ambivalence due to its own history with Russia. And the recent Janet Yellen's concession to India to but cheap oil and the CAATSA waiver for S-400 again highlight this fact. India is, for the lack of a better term, a more 'equal' partner to US than what the US is used to.
@@rohanindra6401 Nothing is ever really settled. Maybe there will eventually be a tripartite race between the US, India, and China (possibly with the first two allied). And you never know how possible future European and African (super)powers could affect things. Nevertheless you're probably right, at least for the next 50 years.
An india-china water war is highly unlikely, as the ganges river is sourced in India, and Chinese territory accounts for less than 3% of its water flow. The Brahmaputra IS sourced in china, but still receives almost 70% of its water flow from indian territory.
China can build all the dams it wants, but India isn't dependant on foreign water sources, thanks in large part to the monsoons.
Can’t be more true. India just needs to modernize its water management and make sure the drinkable water remains drinkable
Exactly and thats why u need to study local geography instead of vast over generalizing facts , honestly india is more vulnerable to climate change than chinese dams in that regard
@@devansh3700 Yeah isn’t a lot of South Asia at risk for rising sea levels? Especially Bangladesh.
@@NightcorEDM shut up hater thats the only thing western media shows
@@NightcorEDM fun fact:if you will stop watching bbc you will realise that how much brain washed you are
By the 2080s I'll be in my 80s so I probably wouldn't even care
Fck me ill probably be dead or to senile to remember what living feels like.
I'll be 100+ years old, assuming that I haven't died of a sudden heart attack, yet.
ill be 94 years old, id most probably still be alive
I will probably still be alive then, i hope to see india become the giant it once was in my lifetime.
@@iaw7406 It was never a giant under Hindu Leadership
I was doing homework but this seems way more important
faxxx
This comment is in literally every one of my geopolitics videos
@@WhatifAltHist priorities.
videos dont go away tho
@@JDKDKDLDKDKDKDKKKDERYY and the homework book jumps out the window?
So basically Africa will go through what Europe went through. Truly, history repeats itself.
0:00 - Intro
4:39 - Number 6, East African Union
9:54 - Number 5, Iran
12:48 - Number 4, Ethiopia
15:13 - Number 3, India
19:29 - Number 2, France
22:37 - Number 1, Turkey
26:14 - Outro
Legend
thank you
Thx
Absolutely legend
I guess nobody learns from history..... don't count Germany out lol
When a random dude on the internet says your country might become a superpower.
National pride goes 📈📈📈📈
Oui oui
am not Turkish and i am from Kuwait and i support Turkey 🇹🇷🇹🇷🇹🇷🇹🇷🇹🇷🇹🇷🇹🇷🇹🇷🇹🇷🇹🇷 LET'S MAKE THE WORLD GREAT AGAIN 2023
@@ahmadfrhan5265 would rather die lol, don't enjoy my people being genocides, also the people of the Balkans would literally fight until they don't exist anymore, or are released.
@@ck.singhyt1190 Yeah, we might see a divided India as if it was 1670
Kkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkk GO BRAZIIIILLLL
Switzerland is like the kid that films the fights at school
lmaoooo
Has no beef with anyone
Switzerland got some fine woman though
@@rrf6747 super fuckable ik
@@rrf6747 if jihadis groups know this fact then civil war will also reach to Switzerland ....lol
France has so many non french people living in it, that it will crumble way sooner than becoming superpower 😂
Until the French establishment reads your comments and takes measures..You might just have provided a great service to those lazy bums😂😂😂😂😂😂
As an Indian even idk much but Indians are very patriotic to their land and their country.
There is this mindset that we may hate each other or fight each other but someone from outside causes us issues we all stand together to fuck them up
It's because we based our foundation on "Unity in diversity" and consider ourselves the true successor of the subcontinent's cultural identity.
@@govind.m86 fr fr
Not everyone is patriotic. You don’t know your people.
@@xavierlauzac5922 The ones on the internet who let people know they are Indian are pretty patriotic. Even if there's only a small part of a country that's really patriotic, they can still give off the impression everyone in India is, due to the massive population of India.
@@dl2839 Actually most Indian states are devoted to the Indian identity because of the shared culture of thousands of years. And even though there are hundreds of cultures in this country, inclusivity is instilled into them by their culture itself.
Can't spell Whatifalthist without Malthusian Pressures.
I thought we broke free of Malthusian pressures in the 20th century...or am I missing something?
@@scholaroftheworldalternatehist Yes and no, I don't how strict Whatifhist is being when he talks about Malthusian pressures, but it is still a useful ideia if you consider larger trends beyond food like : Urban real estate, rent prices, oil and maybe lithium and cobalt if renewables really get going, rural land distribution, and wages and unemployment.
@@scholaroftheworldalternatehist
Unfortunately the real world doesn't have a world government yet, so when you say "we" if you mean the developed nations in the world then yes. For the developing nations malthusian pressure is still kinda applicable depending on how much developed they are.
@@scholaroftheworldalternatehist its still a thing.
But yeah its a idea from the 1800s
Still holds up in a diffrent form.
Instead of food other stuff like retail or wages.
More important is mages.
Take a shot every time he says ‘downright’
The Emus of Australia are getting more advanced as we speak
Breaking news: The Emus have just signed a pact of mutual military assistance with the Rheas of Argentina.
Give me 10 thousand Emus and I will conquer the world!
- Mc Arthur
@@aldrianevampir9570 Shit's about to go down emu style!
@@scipioafricanus5871 lol
Cyborg Emus are going to take over, you can laugh now, you won't later
As an Indian i would say that the current govt is much more clearer in their vision to make India a superpower , they know the diplomacy they are doing good with the military and economy as well. I will say this govt is trying to pull off a Deng xioping move as hide your capabilities and bide your time. Lets see if we can pull this off or not .
If northern Macedonia isn’t on this list then god help you
I'm expecting to see Poland.
@@Zen-sx5io too many emigrants and not enough kids to replace the parents
Lol.
Where is greater Chile, stretching gloriously from up south americas all the way to North America’s coast
you mean bulgaria?
Unlike Asian tigers, India became wealthy by focusing on high-skill service sectors like IT. It's probably the hardest country to understand. It has the highest number of people living under poverty, but was able to eradicate polio before most African countries. Can't make a good rifle, but makes good quality nuclear submarines.
And modern Indian military is probably the best military in the history of subcontinent (They even pulled off a blitzkrieg in 1971). A big factor is unlike most European nations today, IA has actually faced war both in conventional and non-conventional way. You should check out how they fooled CIA in 1998 Nuclear blasts. Crafty.
@Manav Kumar singh Yet it’s the only country with an ocean named after it.
India is basically a gamble rn. It will either become a superpower with the blessing of the US, or it will be become a failed state subject to China. No in betweens
@@osobori If India falls to China, it will be a dark day for democracies across the world. It certainly isn’t perfect by any means, but it’s actually the most powerful democracy in Asia. It falling will usher in a new revitalism to Authoritarian regimes. We all know where that leads.
@@dragonstormdipro1013 That's why India needs to be more aggressive to China, especially on the dams China's planning on building.
And the US needs to arm India to the teeth
@@dragonstormdipro1013 If China pull that move and get India, we will have new Cold War.
India is one of those perennial "superpowers of tomorrow," like Brazil. It always has such great potential, yet is never realized. I predict much disappointment for the rest of this century as well.
They need to organize and form a powerful central government. That's how great powers emerge. Through strong and competent leadership. Take China as a textbook example.
THERE COULD ONLY BE ONE BIG BULLY. EITHER CHINA WILL FAIL TO FORM, TIBET HONG KONG AND OTHER REGION OR INDIA WILL FAIL TO FORM SOUTH INDIA, NORTHINDIA AND EASTERN STATES. THERE IS A HUGE POSSIBILITY
I’m hoping America stops being the superpower it is now, we need to focus on ourselves more than we need to worry about some foreign countries although America will probably continue to be a superpower for a very long time but probably not as much as we are today
@@amrahmed7856 I think opening up the markets more and stopping bureaucratic red tape will give major boost to Indian Economy. It's better to follow US model than China's.
@Qalidurut at the same time
, India is focusing on renewable! As it account for 40 percent of India's need now
THANK YOU FOR SAYING IT. As an American it's a hard pill to swallow but we had a great position after the fall of the USSR and between idiot politicians and greedy elites we gave up our unmatched spot at the top. I hate to see our country so divided and no longer dominating world affairs. Hopefully we can turn things around soon but I doubt it with Biden in office.
but the turn USA has made with the support of Ukraine, it IS well on it's way to install a second era of the USA policing the world...
Also only under USA alliance flag China can be countered in it's expensions wish...
So usa is now clearly showing to keep on defending it's interest in the Atlantic and pacific !
I do see the USA staying more hands off in the meditenian and Africa dough .. but how are we to say Africa, especially sub saharian Africa, should keeps its border determined by colonialism anyway? Go east African superpower ;-).
With Biden, USA is in deep trouble both inside USA and outside.
You say that as if Trump would accomplish any of that
@@souventudubanned you do realize that not everyone that dislikes Trump is a leftist, right? Even the furthest rightist have noticed how incompetent Trump is
Of course you'd be downhearted you are a JEW
As a visual learner, I really value all the copious amounts of graphs you put into your videos. It's basically a visual gold mine. Thank you.
Very true
Dont take any of this shit as fact do your own research.
Too dumb to keep up without photos?
@@barbaralynnjoy3840 That’s a stupid question. Some people like pictures. Some people don’t like pictures. It has nothing to do with intelligence.
@@josephhoward4697 This is a big misconception, you're not a "visual learner" if you prefer looking at graphs. Graphs are often far more efficient at conveying information than a wall of text.
If you were to make this video in 1940 you would say Argentina would become a great power by 2020
@@BLRSharpLight the videos are good
@@BLRSharpLight shut up
@@BLRSharpLight true he forgot major Factors like Presidency, Corruption, Economic downfalls and maybe Climate Change.
A country may be fast developing but give it a weak leader and it can shatter, it may have alliances and peace talks but nothing is sure and most are unlikely to happen
Exactly, it had everything to become one. But things happened...
The was very interesting video but I'm surprised you left out China, Russia, Poland, Hungary, as well as even Japan, and Vietnam. I personally think any one of those countries have a better chance of growth than any of the African ones or even India.
Why is Kekistan not on the list?? I now find this offensive.
LOL
Abraham Lincoln the first president of Kekistan.
Kekistan, humbug. Elbonia shall rule them all
Because Kekistan is already a superpower. It is one of the most influencial e-countries.
@@darthnerd4432 KEKW *
This video channel always has an interesting and thought-provoking take on things, but don't confuse his opinions with insightful analysis. He is, after all, just a UA-cam dude.
I predict Tonga as a world power so we can finally all say *it's Tonga time*
I think its tonga time
Yeah :D
On the serious side I'm actually worried about nations like samoa,tonga and kiribati sinking due to climate change
Bruh
colonizing the entire pacific ocean
You'll stop laughing when Paraguay 1 v. 194s the entire world and forms a thousand-year imperio
@La nova renaissance Singular human race via enforced miscegenation 😎
@La nova renaissance Best world leader ever to exist, probably
Lol. Any nation smart enough to challenge its far bigger and stronger neighbours and then proceeding to lose so many men that you're forced to be polygamous is bound to be a world leader soon. 7 million people! My gosh, I wonder why they haven't taken over the world yet.
Funny thing is Paraguay declared war on Brazil Argentina and Uruguay in the 1860s but lost 90% of the population
@@theeccentricwriter4657
Hey, Portugal did quite a good bit with an even smaller population.
Britain to France: *quick! recolonise while America is sleeping*
Like France tried to "conquer" Mexico during the usa civil war
I think the French would be more into that than the British would.
People always make fun of France because of World War 2. But in the end they turn out to be the smartest European power.
@@bullmoosevelt4495 - France has the best geography in Europe -- access to the Atlantic and to the Med Sea. It has good soil and weather for farming. France gets into trouble when it thinks that it is bigger than it is.
@@SilvanaDil in comparison to USA or some other yeah France is pretty cheap in influence, but they are clearly in the few country in the world that can influence tone of other countries significantly. Britain is quite different you're right but I think it's because they are less independent from the US than France are. + The geographic advantage you just mentioned + the fact that britain is more isolationist (brexit...)
People: in 2080 corporations will rule world, economy of states will grow
Real 2080: take the water and run! Raiders are coming!
Turkey:becomes a superpower
The Balkans: "aw shit,here we go again..."
Exactly my thoughts!
Sounds good to me
@@GabrielEddy my thoughts were, Turkey taking Crimea of Russia, he's on some strong drugs
Ottomanss
@@sradanbirisi977 not with an Islamist President and party in power, with no end in sight.
"Turkey would claim Crimea"
In what world would Russia ever allow that?
Ikr?
In a world where Russia is declining and trying to hold on for dear life but not managing to hold on nonetheless. Oh yeah, it´s this world.
@La nova renaissance Right now yes, but this is talking about the future. It’s only a matter of time until Russia completely dissolves and this is a what if.
@Adi Doki: That's what Hitler said. Actually every failed person has said that.
@La nova renaissance cough cough Ukrainian Turkish alliance loading..... oh wait they are already allies and building huge army and weapons.
Anybody ever watch these and just think, "can't wait to see how things end up playing out in the year 20XX". Got me taking my vitamins and going for runs just to see what happens.
There was a Series in French and German called „with Open Borders“. In 2010 they said would be an Independent Kurdistan and Iran would conquer Parts of Afghanistan. But at the End nothing changed except Azerbaidschan and Armeni
@@mykalo96 The probability for the First man on Mars is higher than a Kurdish State a.k.a ,,Kurdistan"
Lol i want some shit to go down this year
So relatable
17:34 that's not India, that's Dubai Marina LMAO
Yep that may be true. But dubai was honest to god built by the South asians. Which goes to show that they have the potential to develop advanced infrastructure.
The turks claiming Crimea? That really isn't going to happen, all the claims they ever had have been totally eradicated by the russian empire, moreover the russians would have a better supply chain having only a small strait to cross. Not even mentioning the russian navy being stronger, the russian army being stronger and the fact that the russians would be fighting a defensive war. No, the turks would not take crimea in any scenario.
Exactly bro, That would be the dumbest shit could happen and there is no way its going to happen. As a Turk we literally have no interest and won't worth it.
Crimea is strategically important to control the Black Sea, but yeah, it’s not as likely.
To be fair this is based on his belief that the Russia has a good chance of collapsing in next 30-50. That is probably way to outlandish but a periods of destabilizations are likely. Obviously things would have to have gone really bad for Russia or really good for Turkey for Crimea to be even threatened
It could happen if Crimea got independent they will probably seek turkey's help aganist Russia
@@theArgent44 And how would Crimea get independent?
"The stereotype of the starving Ethiopian is no longer true".
Wow just 5 months later and that statement did not age well.
He predicted what was going to happen pretty well (besides that part).
@@aman_2065 I mean he did make a disclaimer about his predictions he said a lot of these or a very long shot but still in the Realms of possibility.
Saying that now I disagree most of these countries will not even close to be super powers or powerhouses. It's like looking back in 1950 and saying "Oh yeah Brazil and Argentina are going to be the next super powers in the early 21st century because all the GDP, population growth and resources they have."
That's not the case.........
In the Tigray region, yes. Outside of that, I'm pretty sure Ethiopia is doing fine on food these days.
@@Reactionary_Harkonnen tell a german in 1900 that the russians and america will dominate the world in 50 years he wouldnt even laugh at you, hed think ur joking
@@trollinape2697 actually not really, many the Europeans already realized America had a huge potential to become a superpower by the late 19th century.
In a matter of fact I think there's a German ambassador I forgotten his name but before World War 1 started or could have been right before World War II started that said his prediction is going to be America and Russia being thus next superpowers because Britain and Germany will ruined themselves over this war.
I'm Kenyan and I can promise you that there's a strong sense of National identity in my country and as far as I'm concerned in our neighbouring countries as well, best case scenario is formation of a strong confederation rather than a single unified federation
The United States started as a confederation too. It’s quite surprising how we ended up with a federal government. If there hadn’t been a Washington to draw together the many states, it could have gone completely the other way. Will be very interesting to see if the East Africans can pull it together
It would be great if the other countries in the federation redrew their internal borders, so that if the East African federation split apart, the borders would make more sense (particularly South Sudan and Tanzania). Personally I think if Kenya dominated the East African federation it could stabilize some of your chaotic neighbors like South Sudan
I'm really, really racist and even I think you should be proud of Kenya.
It still makes sense, East Africans even have a lingua franca, Suaheli that predates colonialism.
@@S41GON Indians really obviously colonized East Africa a few centuries back. Lots of words are common between the two i.e. "singha" and "simba".
As a young indian , this century is going to be really interesting . india is surely the underdog but who doesn't love a good underdog story .
India has a potential to be a superpower if they avoid a big war with china in near future. Something that West is actively trying to push india towards (war with china)
you guys are not going to anything.
except get your ass kicked by China
@Jiraui You aren't going to do anything, kid
@@JiaruiChen_in my lifetime I will see china go from the worlds most populated nation to their population being 100 million less than half of its peak I will see it go from a third world underdeveloped nation to a economic powerhouse to a stagnant economy like Japan idk about India but china is not going to be no.1 for sure
Turkey: *resurrects Ottoman Empire *
Austria: *calls Italy, Germany, Hungary, Poland * "Jawohl, es ist freilich wieder diese Zeit"
lol poland: My turn
Lets check, austria lost their military, germany and italy have a weaker military then turkey, hungary.... 🗑️ And poland doesnt even have a chance
Germany has the 4th reich. I mean the EU
These countries would have to militarize seriously before they can compete one on one with turkey, which is a highly militarized country with the second largest standing army and the second most military assets in nato after US, though if germany was to militarize heavily like it did back in ww2 there would be no need for others. Hungary and poland aren’t in a suitable enough economy to sustain a big military. Austria isn’t even up for debate since its too small. Italy would have potential but I doubt it would give a fuck on whats happening outside their borders. The only sensible option would be to reactivate german war machine.
@@zanetlou1689 Germany is a militarily occupied state. If US gets out then the German pockets are so much deeper than Turkey that a decade be enough to create huge superior army.
India is really a mixed bag. Due to its vastness, both population-wise and landmass-wise, often both ends of a spectrum can be seen. Its economic hubs are among the fastest-growing in the world and in the meanwhile there also slums the size of international cities( these slums themselves amount to USD$500 million on average). Policies for the growth of companies are being implemented and also we can't do away with the socialist policies and appeasement. But one thing that I am sure of is that most of the population is devoted to its Indian identity and even takes pride in its pacifist outlook of the world. Common villagers too will stand for nationalistic pride. Freedom struggle from the british has cemented it. This is roughly the view of every common Indian.
The issue is sustainable development. Both Parties in india are beyond corrupted. One is only good to suck money out of india , other sucks out livelihood of india. New parties with Indian value of inclusiveness and Les Appeasement should come.
@@masochistboy653 impossible new parties will come apart from AAP getting in few more states , but I think in next 10 years both parties are going to change for good , Bjp s power anti Muslim is falling now I will not vote if India does strike against Pakistan but I will vote if india takes fight with China , which means Rss power will decrease and anti communists feeling will swell if China continues in it's path of becoming communist once again and Russia continues to be dick , second everyone knows this is last generation of Gandhis in power , The BJP blow has hit the soul of Gandhis , so if Congress looses in 2024 new Congress will take birth if it wins Congress is likely to loose in next election becuz now we are used to fast and bold decision of bjp , also I think now regional powers are diversifying , Mamta is finally looking to Northeast , Odissa , Bihar, jharkhand is looking solid ,
I don't think socialism will be a problem if we implement it like Nordic countries
Im and indian
And couldn't care lesss
@@Nyoomad You are just one Indian. You don't represent majority
4:39 - Number 6, East African Union
9:54 - Number 5, Iran
12:48 - Number 4, Ethiopia
15:13 - Number 3, India
19:29 - Number 2, France
22:37 - Number 1, Turkey
😂
Thanks
LOL
The one problem with Turkey becoming a superpower is that the Arabs still resent the Turks for what happened under the old Ottoman Empire and won’t accept Turkish rule. The Turks are also incredibly arrogant and won’t moderate themselves to make themselves more appealing as a unifying Muslim empire. I can see a Caliphate forming but not under Turkey unless the Turks take a serious chill pill
why can't he ever include this in the description ffs....
Another great commentary from another great man! I especially love the chapters where I can see it advance with the big picture is of each lecture. Keep up the good work.
The problem with India is that growth is confined to very limited areas mostly big cities. Government should plan to setup economic zones in all states, especially the IT industry.
You haven't been keeping up with developments, have you?
They need to apply the Singapore model to each state. India’s biggest problem is the fact that it’s still part of the Commonwealth of National and thus a proxy to Britain via indirect soft power. Until the Indian subcontinent gets rid of the commonwealth and then start its own bank, it will continue to be dragging itself in the mud trying to obtain the same level of prosperity as China, which will collapse in on itself in 30 years due to demographic depletion
@@NarasimhaDiyasena Singapore is a city state, it's highly unlikely that a model based off its governance will work for a vast, multi-ethnic mostly agrarian country.
@@NarasimhaDiyasena India is not depending on commonwealth bank or anything like that! SBI is the largest bank in India with total assets $650 Billion USD.
Problem with india is their national consciousness. They're divided by castes and religion, it's very hard to create a coherent national identity.
I feel that you lose a lot on underestimating international pressure
Yeah i don't any new formal superpowers emerging. Only medium powers sharing power under the umbrella with a larger superpower client under the US or China and i don't even think the US or China will go to war either. China's security forces are oriented towards national/regional deployment than an expeditionary war and the US is already tired of fighting the war on terror. In the next 30-50 their will be saber rattling and economic detachment but never a war larger than the Perisan gulf war of the 1990s, The Iran-Iraq war of the 80s or the 2nd Congo war.
If that worked China wouldnt need to be constantly monitored out in the ocean
There is a country more powerful than both china and usa. In fact that one country controls what happens to both china and usa. Israel is the only superpower in the world and now its making moves to show that. By the year 2030 israel wouldve assembled the mid east in its vision of the greater israel project. By 2030 most the world economic centres and exchanges will be based in the gulf countries but will heavily controlled by israel. China will remain a strong country but as for the usa its becoming clear that all the systems of government banking and social institutions are crumbling. The biggest downfall has come through over printing of money to cover debts owed and eventually that all comes to a head when it is no longer sustainable.
War will not create the new leaders in the worlds pecking order. Money and commerce will be the reason that the scales tip as china has already proved. While the usa has been waging wars for power over last 30 years just to maintain a grip and consolidate its position globally, china has been playing the economic root in expanding its influence globally. It seems the chinese way is working better.
@@haliesalasi5867 oh sweety... israel is not a super power... only a regional power. 10mil pepole cannot be a super power, and even with the high rate of birth it will take dacades as best est are 15mil in 2049... so ya... nop.
But they can interfear with the turks plans and keep sudia arabia and the other gulf states alive for longer...
As a Kenyan, I really agree with your assessment, EAC will be big, just needs a spark to get it rolling
Def. Hopefully the future is bright.
Hello fellow Kenyan here, for the EAF to be successful we’ll also need Museveni out of power in Uganda to prevent it falling apart immediately
@@number1kenyan Museveni joh heeeh
@ᴡɪɴᴛᴇʀᴍᴜᴛᴇ _ This thing isn't happening, it will take something extraordinary for it to come to life. Yes, there's the EALA and stuff but when was the last meaningful development on the EAC? It'll be 100 years before we see anything, just saying. Dead in the water. Not rolling. Needs spark. Hit rocks or whatever, idk
Is there a chance to remove the corrupt leaders through protests? It'd be nice to have Africa be able to defend itself from outside influences so they stop getting used.
He is right about one thing, India has been repeatedly conquered, but that's only half the story. When an empire conquers India, after some time a reactionary native empire arises to drive the invaders out. This reactionary force is pretty strong and it usually unites the Indian people. Some examples are how the Maratha's defeated the Mughals, how the Indian freedom movement defeated the British and how Ghazni was defeated by king Vidyadhara, dont even get me started on how changez khan did not invade india
Ghingis Khan did not invade India because China is a much better place to conquer)
@@Adil_Turysbek_TVRC There were more reasons-
1. Himalayas
2. India was being ruled by relatives of Genghis khan (Delhi Sultanate) and were related to the turks.Genghis will not invade his own relatives innit.
@@Adil_Turysbek_TVRC Partially true, but actually it's just that India mightve been quite a hassle to maintain honestly. There was already an Islamic kingdom in power, and the Mongols trying to gain power in an area which already has a sizeable number of contenders would lead to greater chaos, and might lead to an alexanderesque situation for the Mogols.
But this wasn't the case for the entirety of the rule of the Delhi sultanate, like how it was quickly run down by the Mughals, who were essentially turkic descendants of the Mongols.
@@amansaikia9518 But Genghiz was not a muslim, as far as I know. The Mongols followed Tengrism.
@@shiveshsingh3169 The Islamic Kingdom I mention initially is the Delhi Sultanate that ruled over India at that time. Post Genghis Khan, many of his successors converted to Islam, famously Tamer Lane, from whom the Mughal dynasty of India descended.
I'm betting it all on Antarctica. Go Penguins! 🐧
* W.A.P penguins
1:30 *Shows Taiwan as a part of china*
Taiwanese: *t r i g g e r e d*
true
omayoma nani!
I believe you mean China as part of Taiwan
@@lvcivssylvvs8796 china mainland is just west china man
*臺灣是一個國家*
What if the century of humiliation didnt happen
I personally would say China wouldnt have felt the deed to industrialise ,and would now maybe dissapeared broken either into pieces or occupied by Japan at least partwise
I don't think it couldn't happen except if Europe didn't rise to world dominance or that the history of China was too much different to really be China.
You see, the chinese are a hegemon and a world conquering nation, their people took everything they wanted, only stopping at the natural borders such as the Gobi desert and Tibet (after the Qing dinasty started going as far as the Himalaias). China needed nothing from the outside World, they werea World in of itself, and the time kinda stopped for them.
A proof of this is that when Britain sent requests for open trade, they denied it in Latin, for they still believed that the romans still ruled whatever the West was.
From the same perspective, the invention of a steam machine in classical Alexandria didn't start the industrial revolution or just as discovering the gunpowder's fire function didn't lead them to invent modern warfare, in the Opium wars they still fought with spears.
The humiliations were a result of the weakness, not vice versa
Likewise two of the three most devestating things that occured to China in the last two hundred years were internal China-On-China affairs (Taiping Rebellion and Communist revolution) with Japans invasion being the only thing on that scale that was external.
@@skytornadi3384 China wasn't capable of industrializing until it could be self sufficient in food (which it still barely is) because of how labor intensive rice cultivation is.
@@th3omachos I know that lord all Knowing Krauts said it but the real reason for the Latin was because the only real relationship that the Chinese Imperial Court had with the West was with the Chatolic Church, because Macao, the Portuguese, missionaries and ete cetera.
Europe in 1940's: To War!!!!!!!
Switzerland in 1940's: Better get some popcorn again
I think your reasoning for Turkey is pretty flawed. For one, Turkey is never expanding into the Balkans again (with the possible exceptions of Albania, Bosnia and Bulgaria). The Balkans still have very strong memories of the Ottoman era, and those memories are not fond ones even remotely. Turkey flexing in that area just sounds like a great (and possibly the only way you could) unite the Balkans against a common enemy. Most of these countries are also in the EU, aswell as in NATO, which really complicates things. I don't see Germany or France allowing a Turkish sphere of influence going on in the Balkans, given how antagonistic the Turkish government has been.
Also, Turkey forging some kind of Islamic-nationalist identity doesn't make any sense even remotely. Irreligiosity is on a rapid rise in Turkey, and the refugee crisis has made tensions between Turks and Arabs much stronger (even reaching the point of racism in alot of instances). Furthermore, the Middle East is at the crossroads of alot of conflicting interests. Turkey isn't just going to plow through that whole area without getting into deep shit with someone comparable to them.
I agree on the balkans, and I also agree that atheism is on a rapid rise in turkey, yet I can’t see which country would be able to contest them if they wanted to assert their sphere of influence on middle east, aside from israel and maybe iran. As far as I know turkey is deep into syria and no one is giving a shit apart from local militia. Turkey also meddled with azeri-armenian conflict which is most likely the reason azeris won. At the end of last year turkey laid claims to a huge portion of mediterrenean sea and is operating their oil rigs freely at the zones which greeks claim as their own, the only western response was an half assed embargo which didn’t do shit. If the west doesn’t even give shit about balkan interests against turkey I highly doubt they would lift a finger for middle east
Remember in the video he said turkey will be stopped somewhere in Serbia likely between Sofia and Belgrade. In the middle east turkey will take Syria, its a given by now. In January turkey managed to stop Assad's offensive into Idlib using 20 drones. Once Syria falls, its a domino effect turkey will have Syria's oil and a new base to attack deeper into the middle east. Lebanon will fall quite quickly and Jordan soon after. The Turks will likely be stopped somewhere in Iraq by Iran My guess is they will be stopped at Fallujah. If Egypt collapses along with Saudi Arabia then turkey basically has free rain to do what it likes to the middle east. Israel may be a formidable force but it has no where near the population to contend with a turkey that has taken a quarter of the middle east. Iran would be by far the biggest and most powerful country to stop turkey although Iran is more geared to an insurgency against the USA then open warfare with a country that borders it. Russia can be completely defeated by simply mining the Bosporus strait. That's why he thinks turkey will be a world power.
@@calypso7709
*As far as I know turkey is deep into syria and no one is giving a shit apart from local militia.*
This just isn't true on a number of levels. Turkey's intervention in Syria has pissed of Syria itself (obviously), Russia, Iran, the US (now that Trump is gone), France, the UK and Egypt). If they pushed more you'd bet the Saudis and gulf states would get involved too.
They've barely pushed into Syria and have already managed to be essentially completely alone on the matter. They are the only state still officially supporting the Syrian Interim Government.
*Turkey also meddled with azeri-armenian conflict which is most likely the reason azeris won.*
Turkey only 'won' that conflict because Russia wanted them to win. Russia still sees the Caucasus as its backyard and is not going to let the status quo be shaken too much. Hence why Russia were the ones that brokered the peace deal, why they decided when the war was going to end and why Turkey essentially had to bend the knee to Russia on the matter.
*At the end of last year turkey laid claims to a huge portion of mediterrenean sea and is operating their oil rigs freely at the zones which greeks claim as their own,*
While the EU itself has unfortunately not done much on this issue, it has been a disaster for Turkey. Firstly, it's made pretty much everyone in the EU (with the exception of Hungary and Poland) hate Turkey's guts (you don't become a regional power by making everyone hate you). Secondly, while the EU has not responded much, Greece has. Greece has signed a maritime agreement with Egypt, Israel and Cyprus in response and is getting quite a bit of support from France.
Even Turkey knows this whole thing isn't realistically going anywhere. Hence why they *always* pull out whenever the EU shows up to moderate, and then come back afterwards as a show of force. It's no different from them constantly violating Greece's airspace, it's dickmeasuring. Greece is in NATO and the EU, Turkey knows damn well that they can't push it much further.
@@Garmin21111
Real life is not a game of EU4, countries don't just "take" land. It's unproductive, expensive and make you look like a bad actor internationally. Russia took *just* Crimea in 2014 and got bombarded with tons of sanctions that have massively stagnated their economy.
turkey already has alot of influence in bosnia, albania i dont think so because albania is having heavy american influence rn but also turkish but american is higher, turkey is investing alot in countries you wont expect such like serbia. Turkish influence is more in the caucas i dont think they will ever have a big impact on the balkans other then a war with greece and thats it.
The Brahmaputra originates in the Tibetan plateau, where it is known as the Yarlung Tsangpo. Running eastward for about 1,100 km through a dry region, the river makes a dramatic U-turn at the Great Bend, and flows southward into Arunachal, where it is known as Siang. From there, a great volume of water is added to the river by its tributaries such as the Dibang, Subansiri, Lohit and Kameng in India, and the Teesta in Bangladesh.
In fact, far more water is added to the Brahmaputra's flow in India, Bhutan and Bangladesh than in China. According to the Food and Agriculture Organisation's AQUASAT survey of 2011, the annual flow of the Brahmaputra basin from China to India is 165 cubic kilometre, but from India to Bangladesh the flow is 537 cu km. Bhutan alone discharges 78 cu km - half of China's amount - into the river.
According to another study, although 50% of the Brahmaputra basin is in China, it generates just about 22% of the annual water discharge of the river because of the dry weather there. India accounts for 34% of its basin area but contributes 39% of the total discharge. Bhutan covers 6.7% of basin but 21% of the discharge, almost the same as China.
This is why most experts dismiss the fear that China will someday choke the Brahmaputra water supply to India. "There is no question of the Chinese controlling the water flow in the Brahmaputra since most of the water comes from Indian tributaries, that is the monsoon rainfall. The water flow issue is quite overstated and a result of ignorance and prejudice acting together," says Jabin Jacob, fellow at the Institute of Chinese Studies.
And do read about ganga..chinas geo role in its origination and its course is too insignificant to bother..
i hope this guy do a little more research....the world politics and geography is not as simple as he thinks.
He has said many times he doesn't understand south Asian history and it's politics. Btw ur point is 100% true.
he also said that China can invade India through the Himalayas, while the Russians can't invade Georgia through the Caucasus.
@@najayanlama4048 do u kno anything bout the geography of Himalayas... indias geographical position due to Himalayas is considered a strategical advantage for india...both r nuclear power countries..it doesn't matter how much nukes u have...both have enough to destroy each other completely...they are never gonna invade..or they will invite a nuclear war...yes we lost in 1962..n the reason being foolishness of the government dat time...considered china as friend..did not bothered to deploy many soldiers..we were hell outnumbered ....but do read bout 1967 war..when they tried d sam..but this time we were prepared n we kicked der ass off...
@@piyushpriyam8798 I live in sikkim and get to see the kanchanjanga everyday.
@@najayanlama4048 so what..u can see all the Himalayan geography wid your eyes...
15:35 the indian maurya empire expanded westward with there war with selecus, conquering much of modern afganistan
Lol
Exception and not the rule
After the collapse of the Pratihara dynasty the central gangetic plains were ruled by foreign dynasties in perpetuum for nearly a thousand years disrupted only by the short rise of the marathas
Yeah*
hahahaha. India didn't "conquer" afghanistan. It was part of India. It's the arabs that conquered and removed you. You were defeated to cleanly that you consider it "foreign" to you when it isn't. What a painful joke. It's like I kick you out of your house and you start telling everyone it was never yours anyway. hahahaha
@@ihavenojawandimustscream4681 and we are still ruled by foreigners via embassies and the gandhis. :(
Welp… looks like like Germany has beefed their military by 100 Billion Euros. Aaaaand the Birthrate is getting better…
Oof
They are getting ready for round three
I think the term "Great Power" would have been more accurate than "Superpower". But great video thou.
Edit:Though
I think France, India, and Turkey are compatible with the term superpower in this scenario
@@darthnerd4432 Of course.
@@darthnerd4432 not really. Neither will have the kind of global power projection power US does.
@@artruisjoew5473 it seems like the French will, and maybe the other two.
@@darthnerd4432 france doesnt have nearly the coastline and natural ports the US does. further more france is a land power, which means it will necessarily support a large army for its own security, hence less power projection power through the navy.
The US and France relationship is basically two friends who love to tease each other
Yeah pretty much
ye
virtually yeah
Acurete. Similar to America and Britain in some ways.
For the first couple decades of US history, the question of whether France of Britain was a better ally was a major partisan political issue.
The Republic of India's military record is pretty good . They clinched impressive victories in their post-1947 history
I mean sure, but most of these were against Pakistan, who had and still had a pretty corrupt and weak military. So it’s not very surprising they won
And USA is backing them
@@allmightywhale India defeated Pakistan many times, when USA was funding and openly supporting Pakistan.
@@anixes the US also supported South Vietnam, and they got fucking steam rolled. US support doesn’t make up for poor military skill
@@allmightywhale yea but "funding" does provide better technology. As both US and UK sent aircraft carriers and troops to fight India in Bangladesh liberation war but gladly, Soviet union and Israel was there to help India.
15:13 India's main problem is its very peaceful Hindu majority. Hindus are always defensive in manner. It is very easy to break it internally than externally. Bcoz outside pressure will just unify all of them regardlessly how religiously divided they're.
"Turkey is a superpower"
Kurds and their 10 Kids: I got something to say about that.
10 kids?
*gets bombed*
@@BasSiTT11 They don't know what condom is
@@BasSiTT11 Kurds have a really high birth rate whilst the birth rates of Turks is below replacement rate and declining. This is already leading to a shift in demographics which will probably put a dent in any dreams of a neo-ottoman empire.
why everything is joke to you westerns? why are you hurt? Turkey will be super power from Arab and most Kurds support Turkey only pkk who are funded by your governments.prove me wrong i dare you
I like the fact that this guy, who is pretty knowledgeable in the field of history and geopolitics doesn't have much clarity about India (he understands more than most, but not enough to do decent forecasts).
This is pretty common across the world, and will keep India safe - either by being ignored by other major players, or by being underestimated by them.
On the money. :)
True.
So true. People like to underestimate india when they don't know the reality. We have many many problems like every other country. No country can be perfect especially with a large population. We are making progress (although slowly) but by 2040 we will dominate the world in workforce/youth we will have which will have a big effect.
@@aartiyadav-nl3wb if India survives the current non secular wave across world, Congress gets free from Gandhis , BJP forgets Muslim and become anti communists ( which I think can if once pak accept China fully ) and some luck helps India get industrialized ( like fall of China once again to socialism , Africa continue to be mess and Western world starts loving India ) , I think India have chance but it will need some little God level push like dot com bubble for service sector , Bjp becoming anti communists and fall of China is best bet
Let they underestimate us, that's the real strategy that would work when every country is trying to flaunt its power! We live here and we know what's the undergoing process is gonna result consequently. Policies of BJP have a broader vision with a major impact on the world and one can witness it if one is actively concerned. 🙌
Ah yes whatifalthist's favourite term: Malthusian pressures
That is not what he is saying. The word is Malthusian pressure, not "malfusion" pressure, which isn't a real word.
@@marza339 thank you I for the clarification did not realize this as I have never seen the term in writing lol
@@jacobarmour6325 Ah, understood
@@jacobarmour6325 yep, named after Thomas Malthus I believe (might need to check that first name).
He realized that in his time population growth would outpace agricultural output and that this would inevitably lead to famine, war, and chaos.
He wasn't wrong, just didn't foresee how technological advancement would increase agricultural output, nor did he foresee declining birthrates.
The general fear about a growing global population today is derived from Malthusian sentiments.
Hello fellow bruhify soldier
18:33 map is flawed, Nagaland official language isn't Ao, it's English and has 27 different tribes and their own respective languages and dialects. I would know because that's where I live.
East Africa I’m really rooting for to be successful
@Spartan 506 If they do something about that I’m gonna have to send a strongly worded letter to the CIA
@@Cato_of_Georgia China and the US are both trying to dominate Africa so I don't see them letting any African countries grow too powerful unfortunately
@@Illusivemoose sadly das probably true
@@Illusivemoose us domination over the world is slowly coming to a stop , china would have no use with a broken africa if east africa is successful however the two would be able to have good trade and cooperation.
Yes
We just rolled out a single East African passport and anthem so....a proper federal union might be on the horizon
Is the anthem any good?
@@theredsir869 ua-cam.com/video/ccl-Zbn4wB0/v-deo.html
😅It's grown on me since I first heard it
@@patrickkathambana4112 For a relatively more recent anthem it actually hits the beats quite well. Much better than I expected.
Hope it works out. Peaceful strong nations in Africa could really help reduce alot of the problems Europe caused over there.
Wait for real? It’s actually happening
Me, a Pakistani: This is...bad
welcome to the club...............
I'm Indian I want peace between Hindu and Muslims and Indian and Pakistanis
@@walrusmcwave6840 same
@@walrusmcwave6840 Same man. I'm Pakistani and I f**king the goverments of Pakistan and India.
Dont worry Pakistan wont fall. Since its inception, people kept calling it a "failed state" which it isn't.
EDIT: Also, Pakistan joining India is literally impossible because of Hindu rule.
Bro still has a hard time accepting nation-state...
"Cultures" don't usually align together like that sometimes artificial borders can make people hate eachother
I doubt Greece will fall under Turkish rule, it's been vehemently anti-Turkish in all of its existence. Not to offend anyone, Turkey also does the same. But in my view, Greece is more likely to fall under France's sphere of influence.
If we are going to be annexed or be a puppet i definitely prefer the French. Like i don't have anything personal with the Turkish people but their regimes are kinda shit to everyone non Turk. Like the resistance the Balkans would show probably outweighs their worth tbh .
@@d-phoenix2198 Its shit to everyone who isnt a close friend to whomever is ruling
To be honest mentally and culture of Greece almost same to Turkey.
@@alperenbaser7952 but that doesn't mean anything noone in the balkans would like to be under Turkish leadership, except maby the muslim Albanians
@@yigitalguney235 Well judging by Ottoman Greece that was indeed the case. Local Paças basically had the power of God and they could abuse their population but as long as they stayed loyal to İstanbul and collect taxes no one cared.
The ottomans are coming back? Well, time to bust out the winged hussars once again......
Ceddin deden intensifies
Holy shit dearth Vader is going to lead the crusade
yes please come . Oh i am an Arab and as a Muslim i 10000000% that the Polish people will literally fight you and not the Ottomans this time. i think you believe they forgot right?
We’ll have it, only in Guarde Imperiale form
yap
I bet for Canada, the rest of the world will discover just how good maple syrup is and our Economy will be the biggest in the world ! 🌎🇨🇦
With global warming and desertification of the the American fruited planes, the tundra of Canada will become the bread basket of the world...and with a very low population density, a lot of clean water, arable lands and oil...look for Canada to become a de facto US colony before we are long dead and buried.
@@zhoubaidinh403 yeah that theory is pretty good too I read a little about it. Bet its probably with a bigger timefram in mind, imo in the 22nd century its more probable
@@NBeaver-bx4yl Yes, a couple of hundred years
Canada 🤭 upcoming terrorist hub
@@loveandthunder2928 no no, your wrong, its upcoming alien landing ground.
We have a UFO landing pad if they want to come in :D
"The US is now energy independent"
Me in March of 2022:😭😭😭😭
I would like to let you know, that I am Indian, and we have extremely strong social unity. In fact it's increasing quickly, and our government is becoming more and more right-wing, and it's also rapidly becoming offensive, as a result of which Indians are uniting together faster and faster.
How do the Indian Muslims feel about this, bro?
@@naillijseer it's mixed, Muslims who still live in ghetto's are against this political shift. Muslims who are distributed amongst the census generally support this shift
@@naillijseerMuslims are backbone of India , many Indians don't know but we care about islamic value more than Hinduism it is basically becuz British broke the backbone of Hinduism with modernization , Hinduism of 19 th century is extinct ,
@Shlok Paatni I am Hindu and I want my friends who are Muslim or any other religion to get treated equally and have the same opportunities in life as me
@@jagaadhep9116 Go and clear up your definitions first before building up false assumptions. I strongly support the removal of the word secular and religion both - abolish it in fact - since this identities are the antithesis to indic worldview. Also, it is a civilizational state which is reduced to a mere nation-state and not allowed to taught it's history.
On the East African empire, you forgot to mention one distinct unifying factor. The region mostly speaks or understands a common language Swahili to some level from the eastern DRC to the Coast despite the multiple tribes. More like a Swahili empire of sorts. I forsee the DRC breaking up eventually due to a prolonged lack of governance especially in the east and south who are already more linked to East African states than they are to the western part of the country. So the Kivus down to Katanga in the south may join the East African Federation. Fun fact, today all countries now fly the EAC flag and play the regional anthem in addition to their own, citizens crisscross borders easily compared to other African states. The end point is rather obvious if you live in the region like I do.
DRC is 1.
Somalia id not part of eac nor plays it's anthem
@Sean Shadow Somalia don't need to join any of you for it to become a power in the region
@Sean Shadow we didn't need you to start with
@@Mahad921 Big talk from a country that depends on military support from East African countries for security
The countries are a bit too "bloby" and a word superpower i a bit innacurate but other than that this channel is gold.
More like Regional or Great Powers.
Superpower is the hip new word for "regional" power or even 2nd-rate powers at this point
@@scholaroftheworldalternatehist I prefer the term Great Power.
he probably meant great power
With the coming US$ crash, countries and geopolitical regions will have to be much more self sufficient. Globalism as we e know it will be a thing of the past. Given the time he allows, I find these pontifications to be reasonable.
Turkey reclaiming Crimea, even in a world where Russia has massively declined, is probably one of the most spiciest things I’ve ever heard
Never been this early, cool.
Same.
Same.
Now you a chance to be the first person to tweet us and possibly win a shirt!
same
Same
Country: dams someone’s water supply
Whatifalthist: *superpower*
France number 2 and Turkey number 1, are we in 1444 EU4 start?
Does that mean Germany is going to be a 2300 gp
So by the year 2280, Prussia will re-emerge.
Brb immigrating to Ulm
Brb buying an onion hat and applying for role of sultan.
Bro thats hurtful im turkish.
9:37 - yeah, because of outside interference... This will not be maintained once the influencers leave and the people will need to fight for themselves... The people that have been guided for thousands of years will not have the stability in mind and body to take the steps themselves, this will leave them open to easy conquests such as Islam... You can not expect a child to be able to cope with any situation, regardless of field, without their parent... A person fresh out of school can not perform in the same way as a person with 25 years of experience in their respective field... This is really dangerous regardless if it is religion, business or culture...
Alternatively titled: "Oops! All Malthusian"
0:56 Pretty sure Saudi Arabia and the UAE should be dark blue
that's based on our research
Why do we literally always watch the same videos Kim?
Heil Kim, what about Indonesia Malaysia Thailand ?
@@bachtiari8960 probably China, tbh.
@@MeanBeanComedy malaysia is a big uk puppet, there's no way malay will lean to china. and indonesia has been anti-communist since a long time ago.
And how do we pronounce UAE, Mr. Kim? Is it ooaaeh?
if Africa had smart leaders it would be one of the richest continents of all time
True that.
@Pratik Pokharel plus it doesnt help that the borders make no sense whatsoever
You can say that for almost any large region
It has or had. Either they have been overthrown or assassinated. Ethiopian prime minister , the Rwandan president and so on.
Mansa Musa would turn around in his grave
I honestly think the world needs more major powers. Yes, our governments will attempt to demonize any “threat.” But I feel more large groups of people need more representation on the global scale
I disagree. More power means that, for example, social advancements such as women's and LQBGT+ rights aren't going to be important or even developed in places such as China or India, since the West (America + Canada, Europe, Australian and NZ) aren't going to be a major cultural powerhouse and thus cultural colonization will not happen the way it is happening now.
The only reason things like feminism is a thing in Latin America it's because the west see having a feminist government as sign of a developed country and heavily criticize those who aren't on the wagon
@@xiiir838 the world will be multipolar, nobody tolerate the United States exporting woke culture to the world anymore.
@@xiiir838 lol you wait until those immigrants and refugees in the west turn all your "modern social advancements" upside down in a generation or two.
"The US is oil independent now"
Joe Biden: Say what now? **Saying that while Breaking the Keystone Pipeline**
Only the Military Industrial complex and the elite want to continue the forever wars. This is probably the real reason why they wanted to kill it.
Biden does want to end the US dependence on oil for good. So if he succeeds, the same principle applies.
Name checks out😂
To be fair, the pipeline wasn’t as important as people made it out to be since other smaller pipelines will cover the production that would come from it
The US oil independence that has emerged recently is mostly due to fracking, so the pipeline won't affect this.
I think you underestimate Luxembourg, they’ll take all of us out easily
San Marino can beat the shit out of Luxembourg
_Vatican stares menacingly_
Y’all think two enclaves of Italy could handle Luxembourg? How pitiful
@@Voyager-mc8lg but they wont
@@meslahhh9896 oh yes they will
"There are two million more SLAVES in India......"
Slaves? I'm not sure what you mean.
Well me neither but it's India , waste , diverse and not very well documented so there might be but I also think he's calling the house workers slaves
Bonded labour ig
@@MuhaamadAreeb waste??
@@rupeshmaurya9721 wast *
@@MuhaamadAreeb I think it's vast🙂
Everyone always forgets Poland. Indeed, one of the most constantly conquered countries out there, but they seem to greatly enjoy their new found post soviet sovereignty.
Plus their social policies are largely opposite or directly spiteful toward the rest of the EU's policies in terms of immigration, family values, societal norms, in addition to enjoying strategic favor from the US by way of tech, military, protection both conventionally and through nuclear umbrella. I think Poland will surprise many in the next few decades.
Just an opinion from a random internet person
"The U.S is oil independent now"
Joe Biden : *Laughs in executive orders*
why destroy your land for resources when you can do it to the middle east?
Oof
@@eyasulegesse6208 how to assert dominance on other countrys 101
The Eternal Superstar, could you please share some sources about how Biden's executive orders are undercutting American oil independence?
@@obligatoryusername7239 he literally canceled the Keystone pipeline on day 1 dipshit
Finland, we have tactical Nokia 3310 phones aimed at all parts of the world, don't fuck with us
Just näin 😁
LOL
PERKELE
10th day of asking until you notice me
What if the Spanish Armada was successful
I want you to know I stand with you. Keep going!
USA: your civilians did 9/11 we won't protect you anymore!
Me:💀
we may be diverse, we may have issues, we may be divided BUT when it comes to Patriotism India got 1.3 Billion Army
india shouldn’t exist
@@mint8648 its existence is a reality. foreigners cant understand "vasudhaiva kutumbakam" they only understand "survival of the fittest"
@@kishalaysaharia1314 yes the world is one family because of the aryan invasions that existed
@@mint8648 u need some clarity mate! "theory" means something not confirmed, had it been confirmed it would have been termed "Proof"
@@kishalaysaharia1314 wait are you denying that the Indo-European invasions happened?
I truly still haven't comprehended the fact that you've somewhat predicted 3 wars.
That gains you so much street cred.
The armenian azerbaijan war and I can't remember the other two off the top of my head but if you check out his video ua-cam.com/video/N3bEVlNcpq0/v-deo.html he mentions them here.
@UlisesHeureaux Armenia Vs Azerbaijan, Ethiopian mini civil war and I don't know the third one.
Neither of the 2 were as big as he predicted.
He predicted a war in Central Asia but Armenian and Azerbaijan aren’t in Central Asia and he also predicted a Ethiopian civil war which was pretty much just Ethiopia sending their military to a northern city in like a week
"Predicted" is a very loose word. He made some claims that were vaguely similar to what happened and/or very close to happening anyway. We cherry-pick only what we get right anyway..
I'm in a standardized test but I think I saw Big Turkey in thumbnail, so...
Looks like Thanksgiving came early my fellow Americans!
@@AbrahamLincoln4 lol
@@AbrahamLincoln4 It's Ottoman empire
The Balkans got PTSD from it.
@@volenchilov8675 LOL
22:49 Put x2 speed and some slander song.
The perfect combination
as a fellow byzantophile im offended, hurt, dissapointed, and crying. why you got hurt me this way :(
Have you guys ever visited Istanbul? Try living there for a while. You'll quickly learn why it won't be a world power in our lifetime. Turks are very nice people though. If anyone should be ruling the Islamic world, they'd be the choice of literally everyone with common sense. They'd stop the extremism in it's tracks.
@@Chris-ey8zf The Silk Road makes empires in the Middle East. It is a secular trend.
Haha walking ships and giant 18tons heavy 69 connons moach. Fall constantinepole. war of indipendence go brrrrrrr
@@Chris-ey8zf your mind occupies a very different world from that which your body inhabits.
Being French I'm actually very interested to know how different regions of turkey view themselves.
From what I heard, most of the country's riches and technologies comes from rather secular, almost European-like western part of the country, while Erdogan's power come from (and policies appeal to) the more rural, Muslim conservative rest of the country.
You’re right Pakistan does have a huge identity crisis. Look at how they view Ertuğrul, they think they are Turkish now
😆😂😂😂
I was arguing to one and he called himself a descendant of mughal😂😂😂
The thing is that Pakistan was ruled by Turkic kings and they got some tradition out of that .
🇹🇼🇹🇷🇵🇰
They just Muslim Indians
France didn’t technically leave NATO, just the command structure. Although NATO troops aren’t stationed in France and they don’t put troops in NATO bases, they’re still part of the core alliance of collective defence. They’re still allied to Italy and Spain.
What about stuff like the German-French batallion? Thats shared command in some way
@@GaladorLP really?
That alliance with Spain and Italy is required for France to be a superpower, since the both of them together can take control of the Mediterranean. France will have to find a middle ground between them, or form a unified bloc (like the Latin Bloc).
Yeah this threw me for a loop to. They're still a member state, so what on earth is he talking about?
I've found stuff saying they left in 1966 but surely something that long ago is no longer relevant?
@@Coolcleverstone They're already allied though lmao
I really like your videos and you are very well informed when it comes to geopolitics and history. However, I feel as if you underestimate the absolute power of the nuclear bomb. Things like world wars and empires simply can't exist in a world where countries can obliterate each other in a single day. I believe the current status quo (small countries continuing to divide) will be the norm for many many years.
We all know that only one country can be THE superpower: ULM
Man of isle
A men of culture I see
17:56 Slaves in India? Wtf? From which Hollywood fantasy movie you got this information??
maybe try moving out of the big cities then you'll know how poor most of india is
@@mint8648
Poverty≠Slavery
There are people broken in Americas but no one terms them Slave lol.
Believe me Harshal
There will be some dic heads trying to prove all the poop he says 🤣🤣🤣
@@mogambochamchokaabaap7262 have you not heard of human trafficking?
@@mogambochamchokaabaap7262
Slavery in all but name.
Well... these days India is super nationalist(in a good way) and super anti Chinese. Being pro chinese basically means the end of the career of a politician in India
I am Indian
Yeah I see a lot of Indian nationalist sentiment online.
did you mean "Angry Indian"?
India is more Pro hindu anti muslim anti chinese. but they cant defeat china if they keep letting down the farmers and the back bone of the nation and causing religious divide
@Manav Kumar singh bruh only you are anti muslim. Avg indian/hindu has always been encompassing muslims. I also understand that religious nationalism is inferior compared to cultural or civilizational nationalism. I hope other also understand this
Indians generally are very shy people and only focus on work. This has also been our strategy for diplomacy that we kept shy for way too long and our neighbors took advantage of our shyness or unwillingness. I also think that in few years this shyness will be gone and Indians will try embrace their civilizational roots and civilizational nationalism will also emerge. Jai hind🇮🇳
Hmm, not gonna lie, Ottoman empire 2 sounds kinda cool