SF1 Qualifier Predictions - My Final 10 | Eurovision 2023

Поділитися
Вставка
  • Опубліковано 22 сер 2024
  • My Final predictions for SF1. This one is so difficult to call!
    I'm an Irish🇮🇪 Eurovision analyst, reactor and superfan from Dublin, Ireland.
    🐦 My Eurovision Twitter: @EurovisionTom 🐦
    ☕️🥰 I am currently trying to be a full-time content creator, so your support directly helps me keep doing what I'm doing. If you want to support my work, you can buy me a coffee or support me on Paypal, thank you! 🥰☕️
    www.buymeacoff...
    ❤️💃🏻 You can also support me at my Paypal 🕺🏻❤️
    www.paypal.com...
    Timestamps:
    0:00 Intro
    #ESC2023 #Eurovision #EurovisionReaction #eurovision2023 #EurovisionAnalysis

КОМЕНТАРІ • 283

  • @ESCTom
    @ESCTom  Рік тому +47

    Sorry this video is so late! I had planned to release it at 2pm but we couldn’t use airdrop in the press centre because it was broken. So I lost 3 hours trying to find a workaround 😭

    • @DarkFlareGC
      @DarkFlareGC Рік тому +2

      If it makes you feel better, it came out at 1pm in Canada 😜So in a way you were ahead of schedule.

    • @sparkz2337
      @sparkz2337 Рік тому +4

      My Qualifiers (In order)
      1. Finland (no comment)
      2.Israel (obvious qualifier)
      3. Norway (running order wont effect it much)
      4. Sweden (its not as much of a televote song as jury but will still do well)
      5. Serbia (for me they are a sure qualifier, dont worry too much about Luke)
      6. Moldova (Moldova are televote merchants, never fails them)
      7. Portugal (My country, we could be an NQ tho tbh)
      8. Croatia (it could finish anywhere imo so i just put it in the middle)
      9. Switzerland (the rehearsals seem promising, but if he flops its an NQ)
      10. Czechia (Most likely to be a shock NQ here icl, but i think it will go through)
      11. Malta (very upbeat party song, could easily qualify over any of the borderline Qs)
      12. Ireland (Same as Malta but just a bit weaker)
      13. Latvia (my nuber one but i just cant see it getting the votes)
      14. Azerbaijan (amazing song, tragic staging)
      15. Netherlands (their Rehersals have been tragic almost certain NQ, they use to be a Q for me)
      Top 5 are guaranteed for me, anyone else can Q or NQ

    • @sparkz2337
      @sparkz2337 Рік тому +4

      No way i got all of them right, first time predicting too

    • @stefanstorm4864
      @stefanstorm4864 Рік тому

      Wow, that was impressive!

    • @meagans-hx3hv
      @meagans-hx3hv Рік тому

      ​@Sparkz you were so on point! Amazing job. So sad about Latvia.

  • @cathalsheehan9596
    @cathalsheehan9596 Рік тому +28

    Q : Norway, Serbia, Portugal, Croatia, Israel, Switzerland, Moldova, Sweden, Czech Republic, Finland
    NQ : Malta, Latvia, Ireland, Azerbaijan, Netherlands

    • @valtsv
      @valtsv Рік тому +1

      so nice to see that bookmakers don't impact you

    • @cathalsheehan9596
      @cathalsheehan9596 Рік тому +1

      @@valtsv They usually don't but on this occasion I think they are spot on.

    • @carolinecharman5119
      @carolinecharman5119 Рік тому +1

      Spot on, wow, well done

    • @cultfiction3865
      @cultfiction3865 Рік тому

      @@carolinecharman5119 I also got all my predictions right. I hope that Tom remembers to give me a shoutout 📣

  • @vee_the_tree
    @vee_the_tree Рік тому +5

    My predictions:
    Finland, Sweden, Israel, Norway, Moldova, Croatia, Czechia, Serbia, Portugal, Switzerland

  • @Ziemniak23
    @Ziemniak23 Рік тому +4

    My qualifiers prediction (in random order):
    - Norway
    - Sweden
    - Finland
    - Israel
    - Serbia
    - Croatia
    - Moldova
    - Portugal
    - Czechia
    - Netherlands
    (I was thinking about Switzerland but I think this song is not so entertaining for public. But maybe i'm wrong)

  • @tuija21
    @tuija21 Рік тому +37

    I’ll be voting for Latvia tonight, so couple of votes coming from Finland. 😅 But could we please let them all through, I’m not ready to give up on any of them. ❤

    • @selvermbell7443
      @selvermbell7443 Рік тому +1

      Such a shame for Latvia, I had them fifth overall tonight :(

    • @tuija21
      @tuija21 Рік тому +1

      @@selvermbell7443 They were so good 😢

  • @emeraldgreen1973
    @emeraldgreen1973 Рік тому +36

    Last time I was this nervous about a semi-final was for Hatari in 2019. Fingers (and toes!) crossed for Serbia tonight. Ireland is a definite NQ and I'm not even bothered about that.😂

    • @marietg8025
      @marietg8025 Рік тому +2

      I'd be mortified if we got through over the other songs in it

    • @emeraldgreen1973
      @emeraldgreen1973 Рік тому

      @@marietg8025 I'd demand a recount 🤣

    • @marietg8025
      @marietg8025 Рік тому +1

      @@emeraldgreen1973 🤣

    • @logi-a
      @logi-a Рік тому +3

      :D it’s so nice to see people still remember Hatari since it’s probably one of those songs that we are super proud of sending and I don’t think we will ever forget them since seeing a song fully in Icelandic get into the top 10s is just spectacular

    • @tuija21
      @tuija21 Рік тому +2

      @@logi-a Ah, Hatari, my all time favorite Eurovision song ❤️

  • @MoltenAshes
    @MoltenAshes Рік тому +14

    Q: Finland, Israel, Sweden, Norway, Serbia, Moldova, Malta, Portugal, Croatia, Switzerland
    NQ: Czechia, Ireland, Latvia, Netherlands, Azerbaijan
    Czechia's certainly my hot take here, I don't think the general public will respect this as much as the Eurovision fandom.

  • @zwelfbungt
    @zwelfbungt Рік тому +14

    He took this sweet little whiteboard + magnets in the press center just for us 😍

    • @DarkFlareGC
      @DarkFlareGC Рік тому +3

      Gotta love him for that ❤

    • @anghara2001
      @anghara2001 Рік тому +2

      he's the best, hahahaha, those magnets now are legendary

  • @umactuallee
    @umactuallee Рік тому +25

    I think the qualifiers are gonna be
    -Finland
    -Sweden
    -Israel
    -Norway
    -Serbia
    -Czechia
    -Moldova
    -Croatia
    -Malta
    -Switzerland
    Really sad that Latvia will probably miss out on the final, I love them so much

  • @AmazingChi
    @AmazingChi Рік тому +25

    My algorithm/spreadsheet gives for SF1:
    Finland
    Sweden
    Norway
    Czech Rep
    Israel
    Moldova
    Croatia
    Switzerland
    Serbia
    Portugal
    Got 9/10 last year in each SF. Netherlands are so so close to making into that, so I can understand the difficultly picking that borderline batch.

    • @carolinecharman5119
      @carolinecharman5119 Рік тому +4

      Omg your sheet was spot on

    • @flappetyflippers
      @flappetyflippers Рік тому +4

      I need to know the spreadsheet details after this 10/10 prediction!

    • @AmazingChi
      @AmazingChi Рік тому +2

      @@flappetyflippers Whole bunch of factors haha. Some data, some based on trends (draw bias etc) and some a little subjective (but not too subjective - still recognise a good song even if it's not my cup of tea).

    • @NEvita198
      @NEvita198 Рік тому

      You got 10/10 right, what are your predictions for SF2? Would Love to know, Thank you.

    • @AmazingChi
      @AmazingChi Рік тому

      @@NEvita198 9/10, Had Georgia over Poland but bet against them in case I hadn't accounted for the negative momentum for Georgia enough (and I hadn't, evidently).

  • @siddhaaarrtth
    @siddhaaarrtth Рік тому +8

    My 8 sure qualifiers: Sweden, Finland, Israel, Norway, Czechia, Serbia, Portugal, and Moldova.
    The last spot is between Croatia, Latvia, and Switzerland. I think with Croatia & Swiz have the last remaining spots here.
    4 Sure NQ: Ireland, Azerbaijan, Malta, Netherlands.

  • @lordgianni3440
    @lordgianni3440 Рік тому +6

    TL;DR: Sweden, Finland, Israel, Norway, Czechia, Moldova, Serbia, Latvia, Croatia and Malta
    You have more data and have watched more rehearsal clips while I only heard you talking about it, because I try to stay away from visuals until at least tonight or maybe even Saturday, however from what I've heard you say and based on how good the songs are, I'd make a one tweak to your prediction.
    it sounds to me like Portugal falls a bit flat. While it might be a fun song, without some visuals to support her - and if it's just that couch from FdC - I'm not sure, I'd let her go through and if Latvia is the opposite to that, having a similarly interesting song but with way better staging, I'd flip those two.
    Now I'm only unsure about Croatia. On the one hand, I also have a feeling, this could go through because of the craziness, but as you said, maybe all the crazy, all the party will have already been snacked by Käärijä and, if they go through, Malta. Also I still remember you telling us, normally only a maximum of 4 entries advance from the 1st half, so if 1-4 advance, 5-7 might not. If Croatia doesn't go through, I'm sure Switzerland has more of the edge to go through than the Netherlands, not only because of the potential staging but also since you did not mention difficulties with the vocals for Remo unlike for the Netherlands ^^
    All in all, I think Croatia's crazy might be different enough though and we might be able to see 5 qualifiers from the first half for the first time, not only because we have a 100% televote semi-final, but also because personally I think the second half is filled with very, very strong songs, which are held away from each other by on average weaker songs. Therefore my final prediction would be: Sweden, Finland, Israel, Norway, Czechia, Moldova, Serbia, Latvia, Croatia and Malta.

  • @Shannis75
    @Shannis75 Рік тому +7

    "I'm not a robot, I'm a person, I have a heart"
    Yes, you do, and that's why you are one of my favourite Eurovision vloggers. You are genuinely so nice and root for EVERYONE. Yes, you offer criticism, but it's not mean, it's meant to help them to improve, and you do it because you want the audience fall in love with the performer and the song, too.
    And when the performance is good, you are SO EXCITED for them, it's a joy to behold. :)

  • @Doodforsoreeyespnd
    @Doodforsoreeyespnd Рік тому +9

    Passing:
    Sweden
    Finland
    Serbia
    Norway
    Croatia
    Israel
    Portugal
    Czechia
    Switzerland 😴
    Moldova

    • @Doodforsoreeyespnd
      @Doodforsoreeyespnd Рік тому

      What do I get a Tom shoutout?

    • @cultfiction3865
      @cultfiction3865 Рік тому +1

      @@Doodforsoreeyespnd Hopefully he will search through the comments and pick out all the people that got 10/10. See you there!

  • @doublejumps5167
    @doublejumps5167 Рік тому +12

    Sweden
    Malta
    Finland
    Moldova
    Czech Republic
    Portugal
    Israel
    Switzerland
    Norway
    Serbia
    In no particular order haha

  • @kennyvancullen9949
    @kennyvancullen9949 Рік тому +12

    Qualifiers: Norway, Serbia, Latvia, Portugal, Croatia, Israel, Moldova, Sweden, Czechia, Finland
    Non-Qualifiers: Malta, Ireland, Switzerland, Azerbaijan and Netherlands

  • @oslohund
    @oslohund Рік тому +24

    My prediction: Sweden, Finland, Israel, Czechia, Moldova, Serbia, Portugal, Malta, Latvia, Netherlands.

  • @AjMz96
    @AjMz96 Рік тому +6

    Predicted 10 in Order:
    🇫🇮
    🇸🇪
    🇳🇴
    🇲🇩
    🇮🇱
    🇭🇷
    🇷🇸
    🇵🇹
    🇨🇿
    🇨🇭

  • @jmch2186
    @jmch2186 Рік тому +11

    Yep Tom, Muse fan watcing here from Howth, Dublin and yes I am voting for @suddenlightsLV, stunning in every way for me. Just need more to give it that push, fingers crossed.

    • @jmch2186
      @jmch2186 Рік тому

      Actually, Malta is one of the 5 songs I muted on the Eurovision 2023 Spotify play list. Does absolutely nothing for me, in fact that sax drives my tinnitis crazy!

  • @buddy605
    @buddy605 Рік тому +4

    My predicted qualifiers
    1 Sweden
    2 Finland
    3 Israel
    4 Czechia
    5 Moldova
    6 Norway
    7 Switzerland
    8 Serbia
    9 Portugal
    10 Malta

  • @lillecathrine
    @lillecathrine Рік тому +5

    I'm just making a guess here to be a part of the fun...
    Qualifying: Finland, Sweden, Norway, Israel, Malta, Serbia, Portugal, Switzerland, Czechia, Moldova
    Not Qualifying: Latvia, Ireland, Azerbaijan, Netherlands, Croatia
    Probably gonna get this totally wrong... I am not really confident about Norway with the vocals & there is so much 'but what if...' I can see pretty much everyone somehow going through with the right crowd watching/voting. Send help!!! Haha

  • @boniipekoglu506
    @boniipekoglu506 Рік тому +4

    My predictions:
    - Finland
    - Sweden
    - Israel
    - Czechia
    - Moldova
    - Norway
    - Croatia
    - Serbia
    - Portugal
    - Switzerland
    I have the same prediction. I can't decide which one to put for 10th place. I'm really in between Switzerland, Latvia and Malta. Everytime I put someone else. In this comment I went for Switzerland. Btw I see Norway shock non-qualifier

  • @daida..
    @daida.. Рік тому +9

    As long as 🇫🇮🇷🇸🇭🇷🇸🇯🇲🇩 will qualify I'm happy, but I'd like to see 🇲🇹🇵🇹🇨🇿🇨🇭 in the final too.
    Among the possible borderline qualifiers Serbia has Croatia and the diaspora in Switzerland, Croatia has Serbia, and Portugal has the diaspora in France, but Latvia, Malta and the Netherlands don't have anyone bc Estonia, Lithuania and Belgium are in the other semifinal and Malta's neighbour Italy just never cares about neighbour and friendly voting at all, so that could affect the result a little bit as well.

  • @kirisaki5584
    @kirisaki5584 Рік тому +3

    Qualifiers prediction: SE, FI, ISR, NOR, CZC, MOL, SWL, SER, CRO, NED. Sad for my own Portugal, but the song is not good enough to cover no real staging or elevation. We were one good prop away from being solid qualifiers.

  • @marietg8025
    @marietg8025 Рік тому +3

    Through
    Sweden
    Finland
    Israel
    Norway
    Serbia
    Portugal
    Switzerland
    Moldova
    Czechia
    Croatia

  • @andreas74764
    @andreas74764 Рік тому +5

    My 100% correct prediction:
    1. Finland
    2. Sweden
    3. Croatia
    4. Norway
    5. Czechia
    6. Serbia
    7. Malta
    8. Portugal
    9. Latvia
    10. Israel
    11. Azerbaijan
    12. Moldova
    13. Switzerland
    14. Ireland
    15. Netherlands

  • @darkchocolate5494
    @darkchocolate5494 Рік тому +19

    absolutely love Latvia and Malta, I'll be devastated if they don't qualify 😭

    • @PatGeo95
      @PatGeo95 Рік тому +3

      How are you holding up?

    • @darkchocolate5494
      @darkchocolate5494 Рік тому

      @@PatGeo95 😭😭😭

    • @vanadium163
      @vanadium163 Рік тому

      Big hugs, I thought both Latvia and Malta looked and sounded absolutely perfect - there's just no justice in Eurovision... 😭

  • @zsokapados5197
    @zsokapados5197 Рік тому +6

    I'm 100% with you in this prediction! Exactly my qualifiers. Let's hope for the best!

  • @MrTwarner
    @MrTwarner Рік тому +6

    My Q: Finland, Sweden, Israel, Norway, Czechia, Portugal, Moldova, Serbia, Switzerland, Latvia
    NQ: Croatia, Netherlands, Malta, Azerbaijan, Ireland

  • @ABCXYZ-je3db
    @ABCXYZ-je3db Рік тому +4

    Wow! Your prediction skills are amazing!! So glad for Switzerland that they made into the final! I am so happy with the results, nonetheless I am very sorry for Latvia - love these guys.

  • @PatiMoon
    @PatiMoon Рік тому +8

    My prediction:
    Finland
    Sweden
    Czechia
    Moldova
    Israel
    Serbia
    Malta
    Latvia
    Switzerland
    Azerbaijan

    • @4gamezz155
      @4gamezz155 Рік тому

      Azerbaijan, Latvia and Malta sure nq

  • @silverwheel3281
    @silverwheel3281 Рік тому +4

    My prediction:
    Sweden
    Finland
    Norway
    Israel
    Czechia
    Malta
    Switzerland
    Moldova
    Serbia
    Croatia
    I wish Latvia would go through though... 🙏

  • @gocilydakov7747
    @gocilydakov7747 Рік тому +7

    🇷🇸 💓

  • @callumhoward5747
    @callumhoward5747 Рік тому +8

    My 10 predicted (in order):
    Finland
    Sweden
    Israel
    Norway
    Serbia
    Croatia
    Czechia
    Moldova
    Switzerland
    Latvia (I 🙏)

    • @4gamezz155
      @4gamezz155 Рік тому +2

      Swipe Portugal with Latvia

    • @renesebel4794
      @renesebel4794 Рік тому +1

      ​@@4gamezz155 latvia very terrible song
      I don't hope they qualify !!
      🙏🙏🙏🙏🙏

  • @loujohnson3735
    @loujohnson3735 Рік тому +13

    My predictions: Norway 🇳🇴, Sweden 🇸🇪, Czechia 🇨🇿, Finland 🇫🇮, Malta 🇲🇹, Serbia 🇷🇸, Israel 🇮🇱, Moldova 🇲🇩, Latvia 🇱🇻, Portugal 🇵🇹.

  • @Cal_Night
    @Cal_Night Рік тому +4

    i predict:
    In: finland, sweden, norway, israel, czechia
    borderline yes: malta, croatia, serbia, switzerland, moldova

    • @Cal_Night
      @Cal_Night Рік тому

      One wrong 👀 poor malta 😢

  • @tanktheplayer4275
    @tanktheplayer4275 Рік тому +36

    My prediction: Finland, Sweden, Israel, Moldova, Malta, Norway, Serbia, Croatia Czechia and Portugal. For your shoutout

  • @lovelypolishperson5566
    @lovelypolishperson5566 Рік тому +5

    Excellent analysis of those songs, I agree 100%.

  • @nathanhubball
    @nathanhubball Рік тому +11

    I'm getting alot of last minute nervousness for Moldova but that's inevitable at this point lol

  • @dianajianu4271
    @dianajianu4271 Рік тому +20

    Trying to guess the qualifiers is insanely hard, but going on pure instinct I would say:
    1. Sweden
    2. Finland
    3. Norway
    4. Israel
    5. Moldova
    6. Serbia
    7. Portugal
    8. Switzerland
    9. Malta
    10. Czechia
    Tonight I'll probably find out I got at least 2 of these wrong, but it doesn't hurt to try.

    • @sparkz2337
      @sparkz2337 Рік тому

      u will get atleast 5 right so its a win 😅

    • @Lucian86
      @Lucian86 Рік тому

      Wasn't that hard. You just had to look at the odds..100% spot on

    • @dianajianu4271
      @dianajianu4271 Рік тому +1

      @@Lucian86 No I wasn't spot on. I had Malta in and Croatia out, so one was wrong

    • @Lucian86
      @Lucian86 Рік тому

      Not you, the odds

  • @kubaz6201
    @kubaz6201 Рік тому +10

    My prediction:
    Sweden
    Finland
    Norway
    Moldova
    Israel
    Chechia
    Switzerland
    Croatia
    Latvia
    Serbia

  • @roguesniper4148
    @roguesniper4148 Рік тому +9

    Just finished watching dress rehearsal review, and now more Tom to watch? What a treat!

  • @anyrija.
    @anyrija. Рік тому +9

    i want latvia to qualify so bad

  • @haydenbland3780
    @haydenbland3780 Рік тому +6

    My prediction: Sweden, Finland, Israel, Norway, Czechia, Moldova, Serbia, Portugal, Croatia and Switzerland, but personally I would rather have Netherlands over Croatia

  • @Andre_stats_0111
    @Andre_stats_0111 Рік тому +4

    I've said it again, and I'll say it once more: I really love your magnets, wish I could buy them somewhere.
    My predictions:
    Definite yes: 🇫🇮🇸🇯🇸🇪🇵🇹🇮🇱🇷🇸🇨🇿
    Borderline yes: 🇲🇹🇲🇩🇳🇱
    Bordeline no: 🇱🇻🇨🇭
    Definite no: 🇦🇿🇨🇮🇭🇷
    From the borderliners I had to pick 3 out of 5. Went for the fun one, the ethnic one and the chauvinistic one.

  • @arcaniacq
    @arcaniacq Рік тому +4

    Honestly it's really hard to say the top 10. Like my sure qualifiers are Sweden, Finland, Norway and Israel My likely qualifiers after that is Serbia, Czech republic and Moldova. Borderline however both on the yes and no scale might aswell be Portugal, Switzerland, Latvia, Malta and the netherlands. again this year is tough. Also my likely no are Azerbaijan, Croatia and Ireland.

  • @biofabio8478
    @biofabio8478 Рік тому +4

    Seeing this again after the semi-final shows how good you know Eurovision, I just found you a few weeks ago, but I love u though, very killing prediction
    Edit: I am also really crying to say goodbye to Latvia, they've done wrong with this semi

  • @joegarton
    @joegarton Рік тому +19

    My prediction:
    1. Finland
    2. Sweden
    3. Norway
    4. Israel
    5. Moldova
    6. Serbia
    7. Croatia
    8. Czechia
    9. Netherlands
    10. Malta

  • @jornwend3959
    @jornwend3959 Рік тому +2

    Wow, you came so close to a perfect prediction! Congratulations!

    • @ESCTom
      @ESCTom  Рік тому

      Thank you 🥰

  • @if3530
    @if3530 Рік тому +4

    I need Serbia to qualify so i will vote as much as I can, we need to value this level of artistry

  • @toky2590
    @toky2590 Рік тому +7

    Wish list ✨
    - LATVIA 🇱🇻
    - Sweden 🇸🇪
    - Finland 🇫🇮
    - Croatia 🇭🇷
    - Portugal 🇵🇹
    - Israel 🇮🇱
    - Malta 🇲🇹
    - Moldova 🇲🇩
    - Serbia 🇷🇸
    - Norway 🇳🇴
    NQs:
    - Czechia 🇨🇿
    - Netherlands 🇳🇱
    - Switzerland 🇨🇭
    - Azerbaijan 🇦🇿
    - Ireland 🇮🇪

    • @toky2590
      @toky2590 Рік тому +1

      Here is prediction tho
      Qualifers :
      - Finland 🇫🇮
      - Sweden 🇸🇪
      - Israel 🇮🇱
      - Norway 🇳🇴
      - Serbia 🇷🇸
      - Croatia 🇭🇷
      - Portugal 🇵🇹
      - Switzerland 🇨🇭
      - Czechia 🇨🇿 (bruh pls no 🤞)
      NQs :
      - Latvia 🇱🇻 (BRUH , I'm better be wrong)
      - Netherlands 🇳🇱
      - Malta 🇲🇹
      - Azerbaijan 🇦🇿
      - Ireland 🇮🇪

    • @toky2590
      @toky2590 Рік тому +1

      Fine I got everything correct , but still ... LATVIA 😭

  • @ninatuomi8731
    @ninatuomi8731 Рік тому +3

    I hope the best songs qualify tonight, good luck everyone ❤

  • @maddyartman2627
    @maddyartman2627 Рік тому +3

    Finland, Sweden, Israel, Moldova, Serbia, Latvia, Switzerland, Portugal, Czechia, and Norway

  • @enthughesed
    @enthughesed Рік тому +2

    I think the same, but Latvia and Switzerland over Malta and Portugal, because I think they are two of the more ballady songs, which should help them. I also think Serbia will be announced last again

  • @cinektokoks
    @cinektokoks Рік тому +4

    My prediction:
    Q:
    Sweden
    Switzerland
    Latvia
    Norway
    Israel
    Finland
    Malta
    Czechia
    Croatia
    Moldova
    Who I personally want:
    Serbia
    Sweden
    Latvia
    Malta
    Switzerland
    Portugal
    Moldova
    Finland
    Azerbaijan
    Norway

  • @tony0930
    @tony0930 Рік тому +5

    Prediction
    1. Finland 🇫🇮
    2. Israel 🇮🇱
    3. Sweden 🇸🇪
    4. Norway 🇧🇻
    5. Serbia 🇷🇸
    6. Croatia 🇭🇷
    7. Moldova 🇲🇩
    8. Czechia 🇨🇿
    9. Portugal 🇵🇹
    10. Netherlands 🇳🇱
    ------------------------
    11. Malta 🇲🇹
    12. Switzerland 🇨🇭
    13. Latvia 🇱🇻
    14. Ireland 🇮🇪
    15. Azerbaijan 🇦🇿

  • @DarkFlareGC
    @DarkFlareGC Рік тому +3

    Thanks for the analysis! Love hearing your thoughts on this insane Semi-Final. 😄I think i landed on mostly the same as you. I think I ended up swapping Latvia and Croatia.
    Maybe it's just wishful thinking, but Latvia seems to have very big diehard fans (that converted me lol) They are worried about not getting through and actively trying to drum up support. I think the staging really helps, i find this song a LOT more engaging with the beautiful visuals than the music video which was how i first saw it. I think the seizers took me out of the song lol
    Croatia on the other hand might just be too divisive to get through. Thinking back on my first viewing I was wowed but extremely confused lol That confusion could turn off people, also I agree about the first minute, might have helped to chop that down....
    Final lock in choices.
    Qualifiers: Finland, Sweden, Norway, Israel, Moldova, Czechia, Portugal, Serbia, Latvia and Malta
    Non-Qualifiers: Azerbaijan, Ireland, Netherlands, Croatia and Switzerland
    But ya....this one is too crazy to call. You know what would be the craziest shock non-qualifier? If anyone is so worried about their borderline favourites that they forget to vote for Loreen. 🤣

  • @alexhodder4129
    @alexhodder4129 Рік тому +4

    Wish I could support you tom but I can't vote tonight praying for Serbia

  • @flappetyflippers
    @flappetyflippers Рік тому +1

    The fact that the only one you got wrong was Malta (which was basically just a wildcard pick anyway) is very impressive!
    (Still upset about Latvia and Netherlands not qualifying though...)

  • @TheMarcosutra
    @TheMarcosutra Рік тому +3

    same for me but serbia would move up to likely and norway up to def

  • @who_the_hell_is_hugo
    @who_the_hell_is_hugo Рік тому +4

    Pred: Sweden, Finland, Norway, Israel, Czechia, Serbia, Portugal, Moldova, Croatia and Latvia

  • @tappytoeclaws2233
    @tappytoeclaws2233 Рік тому +3

    "Oh fuck it, Malta" LETS GO TOM, LETS FUCKING GOOOOO MALTA.

  • @lunamagnoona1788
    @lunamagnoona1788 Рік тому +6

    Ok.... this is hard but I think Switzerland, Sweden, Norway, Israel, Finland, Czechia, Croatia, Portugal, Serbia, and Moldova will qualify, although I hope it's not true for Latvia...

  • @Roxannah79
    @Roxannah79 Рік тому +2

    Regarding Latvia. Being mostly an indie/alternative rock listener, I can confirm people who typically listen to these types of genres do not care for or watch Eurovision (I'm a huge Eurovision fan but I'm in the minority). Latvia's song lies on the more introspective part of the alternative spectrum (Radiohead, Placebo). For me, it's incredibly beautiful (and in my top 3) but sadly most Eurovision fans aren't used to this type of sound and people who would appreciate it don't watch the contest. I'm not surprised it didn't qualify, a song like this is easy to get lost, even though I was hopeful after watching their flawless performance and staging. If anything, Latvia going through would likely encourage other indie/alternative artists to compete in the future, something I would absolutely adore to see happening. I'm sad for them as band, you can tell how much heart and professionalism they and their delegation put into this, I'm sad for such a mesmerising song and performance not being rewarded, I'm sad for the lost opportunity to act as an open door for future bands in this genre.

  • @nolol1040
    @nolol1040 Рік тому +1

    This is exactly the same as my prediction :)

  • @nightslipkno
    @nightslipkno Рік тому +3

    my ten qualifiers:finland,sweden,croatia,norway,portugal,serbia,czechia,israel,moldova,malta

  • @johanjory3825
    @johanjory3825 Рік тому +1

    I have the same prediction as you, Malta just seems like so much fun on stage that I can't dismiss them for either Netherlands or Switzerland !

  • @robertlmao_
    @robertlmao_ Рік тому +4

    My prediction:
    Sure Q: 🇸🇪Sweden, 🇫🇮Finland, 🇮🇱Israel, 🇨🇿Czech Republic, 🇳🇴Norway, 🇲🇩Moldova, 🇷🇸Serbia
    Borderline Q: 🇭🇷Croatia, 🇨🇭Switzerland, 🇵🇹Portugal
    Borderline NQ: 🇱🇻Latvia, 🇳🇱Netherlands, 🇲🇹Malta
    Sure NQ: 🇮🇪Ireland, 🇦🇿Azerbaijan

  • @RickyPro888
    @RickyPro888 Рік тому +2

    I picked all 10 qualifiers over a month ago! I feel so proud lol

    • @ESCTom
      @ESCTom  Рік тому

      haha awesome, congrats

  • @Captain_Alberta100
    @Captain_Alberta100 Рік тому +2

    My predictions
    1 Finland
    2 Sweden
    3 Israel
    4 Norway
    5 Moldova
    6 Croatia
    7 Serbia
    8 Czechia
    9 Portugal
    10 Switzerland

  • @rikkeenora
    @rikkeenora Рік тому +1

    I got 10/10 for this semi final and I won't shut up about it to my friends and family. I'm sad though that Latvia didn't get through, i had hoped they would be a 'shock' qualifier.

  • @jameswatson7254
    @jameswatson7254 Рік тому +2

    My prediction is Sweden, Finland, Israel, Norway, Czechia, Moldova, Serbia, Portugal, Malta and Switzerland (my personal favourite atm)

  • @dickwintered
    @dickwintered Рік тому +1

    You got 9/10 Tom! Nice work :)
    I think we all wished Malta make it instead of Switzerland lol

  • @mikemckinney1564
    @mikemckinney1564 Рік тому

    Came here looking for your live reaction!

    • @ESCTom
      @ESCTom  Рік тому +1

      Ive saved it on my phone, ill put it up tomorrow. im only back from the press conference now

  • @jonathanv9526
    @jonathanv9526 Рік тому +1

    Pure based on a feeling:
    - Finland
    - Israel
    - Sweden
    - Norway
    - Chezchia
    - Moldova
    - Switzerland
    - Latvia
    - Portugal
    - Croatia

  • @Sarah-og3mp
    @Sarah-og3mp Рік тому

    Been waiting for this! Cant say i agree with you on every country, but it's really interesting what you have to say about it, especially considering how much knowledge and expertise you have in this

  • @nikolastojkovic9781
    @nikolastojkovic9781 Рік тому +1

    Totally same prediction!

  • @jonnywoo5962
    @jonnywoo5962 Рік тому

    I gave you a shout out and played Subwoolfer! I hope you heard it! was great semi yayyyyyy

    • @ESCTom
      @ESCTom  Рік тому

      omg Jonny, so i was walking in the outside part trying to get a drink and I hear GTWAB and so i RAN in, and then later when I posted a pic of my seat on Twitter, loads of people were saying that you'd mentioned me and i was devastated that I missed it. BUT at the same time, you playing that literally drew me into the arena 😂
      You were amazing by the way!!!! 🤩

  • @jet687
    @jet687 Рік тому

    I am so excited! After the sure yes, I can't make up my mind. Hoping for Latvia too as well as Malta (another saxophone song in the 2nd slot like last year's Salad).

  • @Lucian86
    @Lucian86 Рік тому +3

    My NQ predictions: Azerbaijan, Ireland, Latvia, Malta and Serbia (the shock of the night)

  • @beepgaming7598
    @beepgaming7598 Рік тому +3

    My predictions:
    Qualifiers - Sweden, Czechia, Israel, Moldova, Switzerland, Portugal, Finland, Norway, Croatia, Serbia
    Non Qualifiers - Latvia, Malta, The Netherlands, Ireland, Azerbaijan

  • @stevieboy666
    @stevieboy666 Рік тому +3

    The message of this prediction is: Let go of all emotion 😅

  • @garryd7748
    @garryd7748 Рік тому +2

    I don’t understand why everyone says this is the tougher semifinal. The top 4 or 5 songs are fantastic, but I think the quality of the borderlines is better in Semifinal 2.

    • @lysanderlonshadow8653
      @lysanderlonshadow8653 Рік тому

      Agreed, this semi has great stand outs, but everything else is mid, average or straight up bad, semi 2 is stronger and more tough in my opinion.

  • @algrave
    @algrave Рік тому

    I have to agree completely with your ten. But I kind of wish we could get more of these songs through. So much great music this year! I think everyone on your Borderline NO would qualify out of Semi 2.
    (For the record: Norway, Malta, Serbia, Croatia, Portugal, Israel, Moldova, Sweden, Czechia, Finland.)

  • @VascoTeixeira354
    @VascoTeixeira354 Рік тому +1

    9 out 10, not bad, Tom!

  • @Ace_Keira
    @Ace_Keira Рік тому

    Oh Tom! You had the clean sweep in your hands!

    • @ESCTom
      @ESCTom  Рік тому

      I know 😭 I literally held the magnet of truth in my hand!

  • @Thedogshousegarden
    @Thedogshousegarden Рік тому +4

    Sweden, Finland, Switzerland, Norway, Moldova, Czechia, Israël, Netherlands, Malta, Azerbaijan

  • @popsr8270
    @popsr8270 Рік тому +3

    id want press access for liverpool purely to see the legendary magnets in real life

  • @vveles
    @vveles Рік тому +2

    My prediction:
    Finland
    Sweden
    Norway
    Israel
    Czechia
    Moldova
    Croatia
    Switzerland
    Portugal
    Latvia
    My preference:
    Finland
    Serbia
    Malta
    Moldova
    Portugal
    Latvia
    Azerbaijan
    Czechia
    Croatia
    Netherlands

  • @lighthouse620
    @lighthouse620 Рік тому

    Don’t know how early you were at getting in to the arena tonight but the pre show dj played Give That Wolf a Banana and shouted you out!!!

  • @stevieboy666
    @stevieboy666 Рік тому +3

    This is really interesting to me. As soon as we eliminate the juries, you’ve probably put through (not intentionally) the 10 boppiest songs and eliminated the 5 slower songs. Love it!

  • @blackwomenvalues
    @blackwomenvalues Рік тому +1

    Huge Eurovision fan here who follows all pre parties, national selections etc but with friends who don't follow anything-all of us from all ranges of knowledge and music taste agreed (to my shock) that Moldova was our stand out favourite. Now that they are through I think its time to actually see this as a threat. Until yesterday I blew them off completley but ended up voting for them last night. The consensus from the casual fan freinds was sweden was underwhelming and Finland got mixed reactions but people who voted for Israel and Switzerland ALSO voted for Moldova so the appeal in my freind group was WIDE. We also were voting from Germany, Ireland, and Rest of World options, and are based in Belgium so once they can vote in the final Moldova will probably get a few votes from Belgium as well. With that I see Moldova as a much bigger threat or top 5 than ever before.

    • @ESCTom
      @ESCTom  Рік тому

      ah ok interesting. its always cool to see what does well with epople outside of the Eurovision bubble

  • @valentinosgilbert3489
    @valentinosgilbert3489 Рік тому +1

    Great analysis! Well said!

  • @Oxe1988
    @Oxe1988 Рік тому +1

    The borderline qualifiers are really hard to predict, but I would say: Finland, Sweden, Norway, Moldova, Israel, Portugal, Malta, Serbia, Croatia & Czechia.

  • @hedgiecc
    @hedgiecc Рік тому

    Exciting! Enjoy the show 😊

  • @cshields05
    @cshields05 Рік тому +2

    Love the thumbnail

  • @cultfiction3865
    @cultfiction3865 Рік тому +3

    Great video Tom. Ok for your shout out here is my qualifier prediction
    Qualifiers (no
    Particular order)
    1.Sweden
    2.Finland
    3.Norway
    4.Serbia
    5.Moldova
    6.Israel
    7.Switzerland
    8.Czechia
    9.Croatia
    10. Portugal
    NQ.
    11. Netherlands
    12.Latvia
    13.Ireland
    14. Malta
    15.Azerbaijan

  • @andrelini
    @andrelini Рік тому

    you were almost spot on tom!

  • @karleduard7725
    @karleduard7725 Рік тому

    Dude, literally when I'm over to watch your video, at the end it literally will start the broadcast signal 😂

  • @justinkhchen
    @justinkhchen Рік тому +2

    Hope you're enjoying Liverpool! Honestly all the borderline yes/no entries are SO hard to determine!