The problem with this perspective is we both say, "This is a completely new technology with the potential for automous actions" then say, "But lets look at history no technology has ever reduced jobs on net". In the words of stock brokers, "Past performance doesnt indicate future performance"
In history, new jobs were created because humans were more efficient than machines for these jobs. But now, AI is surpassing human intelligence in many dimensions, what type of job would meet the precondition of humans being more efficient than AI? I'd like to hear some examples.
If A.I. gets to the point of AGI there is no reason to believe jobs will be secure. It will literally be able to do anything we can do. It will have human level intelligence…before it exceeds it.
One more comment as someone who spent 12 years at the Fed. Economists are inherently retroactive looking in nature. Also, when they ask for "what is happening now" they make a presumption that 1) the pace of technological growth is understood and know by a majority of the industry and therefore 2) that insights into the future can be gleaned by economists who look backwards, and industry that is looking through fog forwards.
No tech in history was made to compete with human intelligence.... Will the billions going into this race for AGI or whatever economically functional level of AI... What will the outcome be exactly? At best case, the trajectory of various takeoff scenarios (betting in scaled computing yielding more powerful models) what is the period for transitioning displaced roles and functions into the roles we do know will exist? What the responsible plan to transition to that and how do people survive in the interim.Like everyone else, your just making a guess at where this is heading. A tech designed to compete with human economic value.
You’re not gonna have to do anything. Blue collar workers will continue to make money and have families. Tech workers will automate themselves to oblivion
AI is starting to "complement" the better jobs. Where the automation is cheaper than people it will replace people. When I got into tech we had a staff of english majors helping with MilStd documentation. Now a days thats automated with templates on MS Word. Whats an english major to do?
‘No Tech in History Has Reduced Employment’ !!!????? this person must be employed to keep the blinders on people so they don't start some kind of agrarian/anti-tech revolution...
The problem with this perspective is we both say, "This is a completely new technology with the potential for automous actions" then say, "But lets look at history no technology has ever reduced jobs on net". In the words of stock brokers, "Past performance doesnt indicate future performance"
In history, new jobs were created because humans were more efficient than machines for these jobs. But now, AI is surpassing human intelligence in many dimensions, what type of job would meet the precondition of humans being more efficient than AI? I'd like to hear some examples.
If A.I. gets to the point of AGI there is no reason to believe jobs will be secure. It will literally be able to do anything we can do. It will have human level intelligence…before it exceeds it.
One more comment as someone who spent 12 years at the Fed. Economists are inherently retroactive looking in nature. Also, when they ask for "what is happening now" they make a presumption that 1) the pace of technological growth is understood and know by a majority of the industry and therefore 2) that insights into the future can be gleaned by economists who look backwards, and industry that is looking through fog forwards.
No tech in history was made to compete with human intelligence.... Will the billions going into this race for AGI or whatever economically functional level of AI... What will the outcome be exactly? At best case, the trajectory of various takeoff scenarios (betting in scaled computing yielding more powerful models) what is the period for transitioning displaced roles and functions into the roles we do know will exist? What the responsible plan to transition to that and how do people survive in the interim.Like everyone else, your just making a guess at where this is heading. A tech designed to compete with human economic value.
IMO not everyone can or even want to be tech workers; what do we all do with them?
You’re not gonna have to do anything. Blue collar workers will continue to make money and have families. Tech workers will automate themselves to oblivion
Sure, and tech layoffs are imaginary
All rich old tech executives sound like that, they are glad they don't have to start their careers now 😢
Lost track of count if lies
Love being gaslight into believing everything is fine
such nonsense
AI is starting to "complement" the better jobs. Where the automation is cheaper than people it will replace people. When I got into tech we had a staff of english majors helping with MilStd documentation. Now a days thats automated with templates on MS Word. Whats an english major to do?
‘No Tech in History Has Reduced Employment’ !!!????? this person must be employed to keep the blinders on people so they don't start some kind of agrarian/anti-tech revolution...
she seems very smart
lol what a crock
ugh
I don’t believe her