I do not understand the attention given to Yuri Borisov in Anora throughout this award season. I personally felt both Mark Eydelshteyn ("Vanya") and Karren Karagulian ("Toros") were more memorable in the movie.
Yuri Borisov was the standout after Mikey, given a wide range of motions without even talking that much. Karren was amazing too, close to Yuri. Mark doing the drunken/drugged boy does not seem much of an acting effort.
If Nickel Boys doesn't get cinematography, the Academy is insane. The one thing that does stand out about that movie is the cinematography. It beyond deserves that nom. Not saying it might not get overlooked, but that's crazy if it doesn't get that and I agree it might well not.
Flow getting that double nomination would make me happy. 🐈⬛ The Wild Robot getting that triple nomination would also make me happy. 🤖 Perhaps Flow can win Animated, The Wild Robot can win Song (or the less likelier Score), and we're all happy for both extraordinary films. 🏆🏆
I'd prefer MJB and Torres getting the recognition, and Cythtia or Gascon getting snubbed. Even though I really like Cynthia, Wicked is only half of the movie... And Academy can choose to reward her for the second part. On the other hand, Emilia Perez is a mess for me. Karla and Zoe are good in it, but I can't stand EP.
ACU winning makes so much sense Chris. Like what if A Complete Unknown's surge isn't over after nomination morning? Sight unseen, but an easy-to-watch, well-made, middle-brow biopic? This seems like prime catnip for Academy tastes. First, Mangold and Barbaro surprise on the 23rd (alongside technical awards like editing, costumes, and cinematography), then the Chalamet SNL episode airs on the 25th, and suddenly everyone's talking about the movie. It's not unprecedented to win without Director/Screenplay, and ACU could reasonably pick up Actor and maybe Sound? It's a somewhat weak package, but not impossible. Every other win competitive contender (the Top 6 imo) has some kind of Achilles' heel and ACU can capitalize on that and go all the way.
Jeremy Strong should be CLEARING supporting actor this season. Culkin was fine, but A he is co lead and B it’s pretty much his same character from Succession. Baffled he’s clearing these critics groups for that fraudulent performance
I hope Daniel Craig gets in over Colman Domingo because out all actors that deserve consecutive back-to-back Oscar nominations Colman Domingo getting in twice for such average work over Andrew Scott and Daniel Craig who are more deserving is very disappointing and not ideal.
September 5 is gonna get nominated for best film as well as in one or two category I think . I just feel the Israel connection would help the movie get into the top 10.
I think Conclave is gonna manage to take best picture. Similar messaging as EP, but without the divisive audience/critics reactions. Also just an overall great movie.
Cinematography branch snubbed Top Gun: Maverick (where all the talk was about mounting cameras in the cockpit), The Zone of Interest (setup of multiple cameras around the house) so I think they won't react very positively to Nickel Boys and idea of mounting camera on the person. They prefer when DP is behind the camera
I think we're not going to have a clear best picture frontrunner. Anora, Brutalist, Complete Unknown, Emilia Perez will look like a four way jump ball with Wicked and Substance crouched at the side ready to jump scare.
I just feel Considering there's wicked part 2 this year , Cynthia and Ariana shouldn't be much preferred over others. Although they will be nominated. Some says Cynthia will get snubbed like Margot but I just don't think she will.
Cynthia and Ariana are complete locks for nominations, they've hit every single precursor and even got bafta nominations. They could do really well at critics choice and also crush it at sag, considering Ensemble is the one they're going to win. I'm sensing a great resurgence with Wicked. On top of that, the sequel is coming out this year and there's going to be lots of anticipation and hype for it. This is to the point where they'll want to award both films considering how different they'll be. The sequel is going to be PG-13 while this one is PG. They're going to have different tones and different energies and one is going to be far more emotional than the other, considering how emotional this was, I don't think anyone's ready. They wouldn't want to wait to award it considering how well it has done in the guild. So far, it's hit every precursor for best picture except bafta because of fantasy genre bias. But then again, Dune part 2 also got snubbed, but this film has a higher chance of actually winning. Considering the academy wants to go with a film that's more light-hearted and fun. Because of the wildfires, they want something that is going to take their stress away. This might be the film to do it.
You two have major JLC blind spots. Neither predicted to win SAG. Neither predicted to win Oscar. JLC is the best campaigner. Watch out. And the fact that Chris doesn’t understand how the voting works - i.e., there is no splitting the “passion vote” - get it together.
That’s wrong. I understand it. I just think there’s a better chance the passion picks get those no. 3 votes behind the top two because their movies are stronger than JLC.
Chalamet has been in 5 Best Pictures after this year it will be 7! I truly hope he wins it will be a win for the future of Hollywood I don’t understand why this is not mentioned
I have a strong suspicion that Incident is winning Best Documentary Short. It grabs your attention. It's timely. It has won a gajillion awards. I couldn't look away.
Honestly I fell like voters don't watch the shorts. The ballad of John and Yoko won last year, because of its title, cuz everyone who actually watched it said it's mid/bad film.
Yup! It was entertaining at some points, but I felt like the movie as a whole was just okay. Very similar to Zola or even hustlers which imo were better.
When was the last time Picture, Director, Original Screenplay and Adapted Screenplay went to 4 different movies? This is why I think BP is between Anora, The Brutalist and Conclave.
Chris, I'm tired of hearing the comparisons of Cynthia Erivo and Margot. What Cynthia does here is 100 leaves further up than what Robbie ever did. These two performances aren't even in the same category. One was a summer comedy while the other a is a bombastic epic musical. She sings, dances, laughs, cries, and shows every facet of Elphaba's personality. It's also a completely different kind of performance. In terms of musical theater, she has more weight carried on her shoulders than any of the actresses in the film, even Grande. She's currently number four and she will not miss. She's hit every single precursor and there isn't a bias against Wicked as much as there is Barbie. Barbie had a massive bias against it, especially with internationals because of the fact that it's adapted from a children's toy. It's adapted from a children's toy and that's the main reason why it failed. Those major precursors. Wicked is a beloved musical adaptation and a beloved stage musical that has way more going for it than against it. It's beloved in the American fronts, but even internationally despite not doing well, there is still an audience for it and it still received more British American film and television award nominations than anyone thought. It got more nominations than the substance, and that says a lot. I can see Wicked walking away with many women's, many that no one is aware of. If the academy is looking for a fun feel-good film after the LA wildfires, they aren't going to look to a hard-hitting emotional film unless it also had lots of Comedy. It's clearly not the brutalist and Emilia Perez's upsetting Mexico. Also, Wicked has shown that it has distanced itself from these other genre. Films, doing better than anyone ever thought and a great resurgence of this film is coming, critics choice and sag will see to it.
I am laughing, Wicked got more BAFTA nominations than The Substance😆😆😆. Wicked missed director and screenplay nominations which are important than costume 😛
I love Cynthia, and I largely agree -- she is >> than Margot because of the depth of the performance and the finale. But clearly, there is a comp there worth discussing.
With how Sing Sing fell especially after PGA, i think Maclin is out, and even Domingo might be at risk of missing if Sing Sing doesn’t make it into picture or screenplay. I might go with Chris and go with Challengers in BP
Would love it because of all the hate shes getting online though Gomez is a choice for international voters especially Europe voters as emilia is most popular in Europe, American voters don't really gonna vote for her, proof is sag. So it's really hard.
Chris, hate to break it to you, but Defying Gravity is not an undeniable moment in the film. It’s an undeniable SONG, but there’s a large contingent of fans who think it’s one of the weaker and more disappointing moments in the film. It’s one of those moments where the CGI is super obvious and bad. And I even like the film! But c’mon, you gotta call a spade a spade here. Hell, online there are even Defying Gravity fan-made animatics which are staged much better that was done in the film: ua-cam.com/video/72Crxzb_oDc/v-deo.html
I want Emilia Pérez to overperform, to be honest. I'm Mexican, but I'm tired of people blaming a movie for not tackling social issues the way they wanted. Movies are not responsible for the reality we live in; they are a product of it. Also, Emilia Pérez is the obvious F Trump movie of the year. I hope it wins.
Omg I was scared this was gonna be a Joyce-less video based on the thumbnail 💀
ngl i was also idk my favourite is joyce and rosen and joyce duo i only watch
@ need them both. Solo would seem cursed
🙂
I just changed the thumbnail. There is no Chris without Joyce!
@@chrisjrosen we love the chris and joyce duo
I still hate that a lead performance goes into supporting. Kieran and Zoe are leads but oh well
Yeah, along with Grande and Qualley, 2025 is another year of category fraud.
oh just move on
I do not understand the attention given to Yuri Borisov in Anora throughout this award season. I personally felt both Mark Eydelshteyn ("Vanya") and Karren Karagulian ("Toros") were more memorable in the movie.
🤔
Yura Borisov is an extra
Karren is the GOAT for sure.
Yuri Borisov was the standout after Mikey, given a wide range of motions without even talking that much. Karren was amazing too, close to Yuri. Mark doing the drunken/drugged boy does not seem much of an acting effort.
@@juanvasquez9399 for being an extra????? Anora is a new low in cinema
If Nickel Boys doesn't get cinematography, the Academy is insane. The one thing that does stand out about that movie is the cinematography. It beyond deserves that nom. Not saying it might not get overlooked, but that's crazy if it doesn't get that and I agree it might well not.
Flow getting that double nomination would make me happy. 🐈⬛
The Wild Robot getting that triple nomination would also make me happy. 🤖
Perhaps Flow can win Animated, The Wild Robot can win Song (or the less likelier Score), and we're all happy for both extraordinary films. 🏆🏆
I'd prefer MJB and Torres getting the recognition, and Cythtia or Gascon getting snubbed. Even though I really like Cynthia, Wicked is only half of the movie... And Academy can choose to reward her for the second part. On the other hand, Emilia Perez is a mess for me. Karla and Zoe are good in it, but I can't stand EP.
ACU winning makes so much sense Chris. Like what if A Complete Unknown's surge isn't over after nomination morning? Sight unseen, but an easy-to-watch, well-made, middle-brow biopic? This seems like prime catnip for Academy tastes. First, Mangold and Barbaro surprise on the 23rd (alongside technical awards like editing, costumes, and cinematography), then the Chalamet SNL episode airs on the 25th, and suddenly everyone's talking about the movie. It's not unprecedented to win without Director/Screenplay, and ACU could reasonably pick up Actor and maybe Sound? It's a somewhat weak package, but not impossible. Every other win competitive contender (the Top 6 imo) has some kind of Achilles' heel and ACU can capitalize on that and go all the way.
Jeremy Strong should be CLEARING supporting actor this season. Culkin was fine, but A he is co lead and B it’s pretty much his same character from Succession. Baffled he’s clearing these critics groups for that fraudulent performance
Culkin reminds me of Laura Dern who basically won her Oscar for playing Renata from Big Little Lies 🤷🏽♂️
Never agreed more.
@@bryanalstoncoxinggood comparison
I hope Daniel Craig gets in over Colman Domingo because out all actors that deserve consecutive back-to-back Oscar nominations Colman Domingo getting in twice for such average work over Andrew Scott and Daniel Craig who are more deserving is very disappointing and not ideal.
you are a lulu
September 5 is gonna get nominated for best film as well as in one or two category I think . I just feel the Israel connection would help the movie get into the top 10.
I don’t like the black background. It’s tooooo dark.
I think Conclave is gonna manage to take best picture. Similar messaging as EP, but without the divisive audience/critics reactions. Also just an overall great movie.
Yura Borisov will be legendary with his best supporting "extra" nomination.
Cinematography branch snubbed Top Gun: Maverick (where all the talk was about mounting cameras in the cockpit), The Zone of Interest (setup of multiple cameras around the house) so I think they won't react very positively to Nickel Boys and idea of mounting camera on the person. They prefer when DP is behind the camera
I love the James Mangold nomination
Pundits obsessing over “haters” and “stans” in determining their oscar predictions is so funny
You guys are great!!!
Joyce needs to get a background! Black is too gloomy.
It would just be a close up of the log pillow. 😄
But Chris needs to keep the Zebras. I adore them!
True
Have you seen im still here? Her perfomance is amazing. I think Fernanda deserves it.
we don't have money for second grade actresses.
😮
@@margaretlittleenglander1800What are u talking about, she just won the GG even against Jolie, Kidman. And what about you?Won something?
@@margaretlittleenglander1800 you're saying you're poor. Got it.
I think we're not going to have a clear best picture frontrunner. Anora, Brutalist, Complete Unknown, Emilia Perez will look like a four way jump ball with Wicked and Substance crouched at the side ready to jump scare.
Conclave is definitely in the picture top four over ACU
I just feel Considering there's wicked part 2 this year , Cynthia and Ariana shouldn't be much preferred over others. Although they will be nominated. Some says Cynthia will get snubbed like Margot but I just don't think she will.
Cynthia and Ariana are complete locks for nominations, they've hit every single precursor and even got bafta nominations. They could do really well at critics choice and also crush it at sag, considering Ensemble is the one they're going to win. I'm sensing a great resurgence with Wicked. On top of that, the sequel is coming out this year and there's going to be lots of anticipation and hype for it. This is to the point where they'll want to award both films considering how different they'll be. The sequel is going to be PG-13 while this one is PG. They're going to have different tones and different energies and one is going to be far more emotional than the other, considering how emotional this was, I don't think anyone's ready. They wouldn't want to wait to award it considering how well it has done in the guild. So far, it's hit every precursor for best picture except bafta because of fantasy genre bias. But then again, Dune part 2 also got snubbed, but this film has a higher chance of actually winning. Considering the academy wants to go with a film that's more light-hearted and fun. Because of the wildfires, they want something that is going to take their stress away. This might be the film to do it.
Big fan of you guys- wish there was a graphic or list of the nominees as you went through each category for the UA-cam viewers
You two have major JLC blind spots. Neither predicted to win SAG. Neither predicted to win Oscar. JLC is the best campaigner. Watch out. And the fact that Chris doesn’t understand how the voting works - i.e., there is no splitting the “passion vote” - get it together.
That’s wrong. I understand it. I just think there’s a better chance the passion picks get those no. 3 votes behind the top two because their movies are stronger than JLC.
Chalamet has been in 5 Best Pictures after this year it will be 7! I truly hope he wins it will be a win for the future of Hollywood I don’t understand why this is not mentioned
I have a strong suspicion that Incident is winning Best Documentary Short. It grabs your attention. It's timely. It has won a gajillion awards. I couldn't look away.
Honestly I fell like voters don't watch the shorts. The ballad of John and Yoko won last year, because of its title, cuz everyone who actually watched it said it's mid/bad film.
1:01:34 No, Marianne is not giving the best performance. I found all that yelling and shouting absolutely terrible..
🤔
Honey it is part of the character. That's your issue with the character, not her performance.
that’s her fucking character. stop it
the critics overwhelmingly disagree with you lol
If JLC gets in, so does Anderson.
😬
the academy might be too snobby for anderson
My take, anora is mid at best. Whats the fuss about it the story is not that exceptional.
Agreed
It was basically the Russian version of Tangerine. I enjoyed it for what it was, but he basically redid Tangerine, but added Russians in the mix 🤷♂️
Yup! It was entertaining at some points, but I felt like the movie as a whole was just okay. Very similar to Zola or even hustlers which imo were better.
When was the last time Picture, Director, Original Screenplay and Adapted Screenplay went to 4 different movies? This is why I think BP is between Anora, The Brutalist and Conclave.
Chris, I'm tired of hearing the comparisons of Cynthia Erivo and Margot. What Cynthia does here is 100 leaves further up than what Robbie ever did. These two performances aren't even in the same category. One was a summer comedy while the other a is a bombastic epic musical. She sings, dances, laughs, cries, and shows every facet of Elphaba's personality. It's also a completely different kind of performance. In terms of musical theater, she has more weight carried on her shoulders than any of the actresses in the film, even Grande. She's currently number four and she will not miss. She's hit every single precursor and there isn't a bias against Wicked as much as there is Barbie. Barbie had a massive bias against it, especially with internationals because of the fact that it's adapted from a children's toy. It's adapted from a children's toy and that's the main reason why it failed. Those major precursors. Wicked is a beloved musical adaptation and a beloved stage musical that has way more going for it than against it. It's beloved in the American fronts, but even internationally despite not doing well, there is still an audience for it and it still received more British American film and television award nominations than anyone thought. It got more nominations than the substance, and that says a lot. I can see Wicked walking away with many women's, many that no one is aware of. If the academy is looking for a fun feel-good film after the LA wildfires, they aren't going to look to a hard-hitting emotional film unless it also had lots of Comedy. It's clearly not the brutalist and Emilia Perez's upsetting Mexico. Also, Wicked has shown that it has distanced itself from these other genre. Films, doing better than anyone ever thought and a great resurgence of this film is coming, critics choice and sag will see to it.
I am laughing, Wicked got more BAFTA nominations than The Substance😆😆😆. Wicked missed director and screenplay nominations which are important than costume 😛
@kuzko6832 It still received more, the academy is going to like it more anyway. You watch.
Wow. You’re really trying with these long, drawn out defense.
I ain’t reading all that. I’m happy for you though. Or sad that happened
I love Cynthia, and I largely agree -- she is >> than Margot because of the depth of the performance and the finale. But clearly, there is a comp there worth discussing.
Cynthia performance is not debatable. She acts her butt off. Lol
With how Sing Sing fell especially after PGA, i think Maclin is out, and even Domingo might be at risk of missing if Sing Sing doesn’t make it into picture or screenplay. I might go with Chris and go with Challengers in BP
Who votes for International Feature Film?
There’s a committee I think
Good on Joyce for sticking to her guns, too many people have underestimated Gomez unfairly. I hope she gets that 5th slot ❤
there are more deserving supporting for that slot than gomez
🙄🙄🙄🙄
@@umairuddinshaikh9433 in your racist opinion*
Would love it because of all the hate shes getting online though Gomez is a choice for international voters especially Europe voters as emilia is most popular in Europe, American voters don't really gonna vote for her, proof is sag. So it's really hard.
unfairly? the reception is on pair with the performance
Once more don’t believe your take on some of them especially supporting actress 🙄🙄🙄🙄😑😑😑
Chris, hate to break it to you, but Defying Gravity is not an undeniable moment in the film. It’s an undeniable SONG, but there’s a large contingent of fans who think it’s one of the weaker and more disappointing moments in the film. It’s one of those moments where the CGI is super obvious and bad. And I even like the film! But c’mon, you gotta call a spade a spade here. Hell, online there are even Defying Gravity fan-made animatics which are staged much better that was done in the film:
ua-cam.com/video/72Crxzb_oDc/v-deo.html
I want Emilia Pérez to overperform, to be honest. I'm Mexican, but I'm tired of people blaming a movie for not tackling social issues the way they wanted. Movies are not responsible for the reality we live in; they are a product of it.
Also, Emilia Pérez is the obvious F Trump movie of the year. I hope it wins.