Humans Need Not Apply (How Automation Will Change The World)
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- Опубліковано 26 чер 2024
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Progress has an accelerating rate of change due to the compounding effect of these technologies, in which they will enable countless more from 3D printing, autonomous vehicles, blockchain, batteries, remote surgeries, virtual and augmented reality, robotics - the list can go on and on.
These devices in turn will lead to mass changes in society from energy generation, monetary systems, space colonization and much more! All these topics and then some will be covered in videos of their own in the future.
In this video we will be discussing automation, which is often confused with being the ‘technological revolution’ in it of itself as it is what the mainstream focuses on, and for good reason, as how we handle automation will determine the trajectory or collective future takes.
00:00 Intro
01:30 Progress Traps
03:50 Automation
11:51 Retraining
13:55 The Gig Economy
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Amy Sandifer
Douglas Cornish
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Soundtrack ➤
♫ 00;00 "Flash Delirium" by RELAYER
♫ 01;29 "Sun" by HOME
♫ 03;55 "Hold" by HOME
♫ 07;13 "Resonance" by HOME
♫ 10;35 "If I'm Wrong" by HOME
♫ 13;06 "Flood" by HOME
♫ 16;24 "We're Finally Landing" by HOME
♫ 17;42 "June" by Aire Atlantica
Sources ➤
[1]Diamandis, Peter. Kotler, Steven. Abundance: The Future Is Better Than You Think, 2012.
[2]Pinker, Steven. Enlightenment Now. 2018.
[3]Wright, Ronald. A Short History of Progress. 2004.
[4]www.ers.usda.gov/data-product... & www.foodsystemprimer.org/food-...
[5]www.brookings.edu/blog/the-av... & www.ft.com/content/dec677c0-b...
[6]www.mckinsey.com/~/media/McKi... & cdn2.hubspot.net/hubfs/224036...
[7]www.bbc.com/news/world-us-can...
[8]public.tableau.com/profile/mc...
[9]Roose, Kevin. Futureproof. 2021.
[10]time.com/5876604/machines-job...
[11]www.mckinsey.com/business-fun...
[12]startupsanonymous.com/blog/gi...
[13]www.epi.org/publication/uber-...
[14]www.govtech.com/opinion/The-U...
[A1]www.bvp.com/assets/media/bess...\
[A2]ourworldindata.org/future-pop...
[A3]fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CE...
[A4]www.mckinsey.com/~/media/mcki...
[A5]www.statista.com/statistics/9...
[A6]public.tableau.com/profile/ip... & www.federalreserve.gov/releas...
Producer ➤ Ankur Bargotra
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amazing video
where is the new update??
"An Optimistic Future"
Dont stop uploading videos. Sooner or later they will reach their crowd and you will gain more praise and recognition for you hard and valuable work.
his narration his terrible
Great video, Futurology! I'm always hyped to see whatever new video! Can't wait for the one on UBI :)
From a pure jobs perspective this video is spot on.
Still I can’t help but think that biotechnology, materials science, nanotechnology and atomically precise manufacturing belong on your list
Similar to the example where the cavemen drive 200 Mammoths off a cliff and starve themselves as a result, I can easily foresee a future where companies realize they've driven too many people out of the workforce, leading to a sharp decline in profits as there simply aren't enough people with disposable incomes to consume the products.
We might eventually discover an artificial ceiling to high-level automation, where companies intentionally scale back how efficient their production processes are in order to keep a certain percentage of the population employed.
I can picture it similar to a Laffer Curve, where after a certain level of automation is reached, profits begin to go down.
Automation is inevitable and necessary to keep up with the demand for goods. It is becoming harder and harder to find people willing to do the mundane tasks of assembly. We need regulation to force corporations to pay for the societal externalities of their creative destruction. This is not a technology problem, it's a governance one.
Agreed, we need policy to keep up with the pace of technological change.
Yes it seems that we've exhausted our working class so there's a lot of need in service jobs. Those of course who haven't fallen into the legal system and have become disqualified from employment that is.
If you attempt to regulate them that heavily, expect a massive increase in lobbying. You never get one without the other. No one wins ,then.
@@Fredjoe5 Exactly, we need to solve the governance, starting by overturning the Citizens United v. Federal Election Commission decision.
@@mikestaub - It didn't change anything. You could put it back in place, and we'd still have Google, censorship, et al. Citizens is a bogeyman sold to people as a solution to an unfixable problem.
One of the best videos in about automation I’ve watched. Hope you are doing well and working on the next one!
Best videos out there on these topics. Really appreciated!
There are more than 4 pillars. You're missing robotics. AI doesn't include robotics. I'm sure there are other pillars too.
An optimistic future.. A nice thought at best. Our race will most likely never see the day thanks to our "PROGRESS" to the only planet habitable to humans.
Great video 😁
I’d really like a future that gives more financial security compared to work opportunities. As in, concepts like UBI. It would help a lot with mental health for a lot of people while also giving them the space/time to grow their own skills to make extra cash. That’s a future i’d love to see! :)
Great vid
Why have you stopped uploading? Your videos are awesome.
A.G.I Will be man's last invention
I know this is a serious topic and you made a really good video here, but once you said "boomer remover" it was over. I had to pause the video cause I couldn't stop laughing. That came unexpected.
Something that would solve a lot of this would be abolishing the minimum wage since it would make it easier to find jobs and employ people at a price that is more economical than having to pay for automated services. Would also help in introducing new people into the work force and give them experience. But yeah the education system is something that really needs an over haul. Maybe automation could help in that area as well.
There is more and more talk that Moore's law cannot continue because the laws of physics make it more difficult to build smaller transistors. How will it affect the fourth industrial revolution?
He's made other videos explaining the different ways we can continue to get increased performance from processors. They are really good you should check them out when you can.
Please Make video about Universal Basic Income....
Your videos are mind blowing
Love from TamizhNadu, India ❤️❤️❤️❤️
more videos pls mate
Do believe UBI is a potential solution to this present and further inevitable replacement of human work force? Whether temporary or Long term
So do I, which is also what the next video in this series will be on 😉
Yeah but you'll be fighting tooth and nail for it with the Democrats and Republics and they also have automated killing machines too if you do something they don't like
@@jamesbra4410 Luckily enough, military application of technology is always at least 20-40 year behind the civilian sector thanks to fact that the military-industrial complex is run by an oligarchy.
The automated weapons that are available and will continue to be available for the next 20 years are inaccurate, expensive and prone to consistent breakdowns because they're built with maximum profit in mind rather than effectiveness.
@@blackjoker2345 Yes well that happens in all facets of American society where contracts are awarded to companies who regularly inflate the price tags to get more profit out of the public funds to build weapons, transportation, buildings, and other vital infrastructure. I would say that the US military is behind Russia with its largely state-subsidized missile program. The rocket engine industry in the US was largely nonexistent until recently when private companies like SpaceX were able to stay above water to supply NASA as before it was the Russian state-subsidized rocket industry. While maximum profit is exacted from the American public to build and run the war machine, that doesn't mean that it is behind the civilian sector. One example of this is the 5g radar technology. Generally, the military required much more powerful electronics then before much of the new technology we see now had been conceived of. It was first implemented on the radar of the F22 in the mid 90's. Active electronic scanning is the idea behind the microwave antennas that are being put up for the 5g infrastructure since they have a much higher bandwidth to support more demanding devices like automated cars which are essentially uplinked to a network not different from what the military has done a while ago for IFF on the battlefield. So I would have to disagree with you and say that the military takes the majority of the intellectual capability from universities and employs them for top secret weaponry to maintain supremacy, but yes it is done much more costly than it would otherwise need to be I will agree with you there.
@@jamesbra4410 I see your point, but the few technologies that are implemented from the civilian sector are localized to a minority of bases. Said bases being mostly used to test R&D or as something to show off as super advanced to American civilian sector.
The vast majority of tech available to the US military hasn't changed since the 1980's. This is due to a mixture of having a large back-log of equipment the military refuses to update and modernize for cost reasons. The f22 example you gave is a great example because production of F22 model aircraft has been halted Entirely to cut costs and it's become so expensive to re-open the program that they instead chose to open the f-35 program. The f-35, I might add, has so far failed to meet the mission requirements set out for it since it's initial inception.
The issues with the American military industrial complex are much worse than much of the public is aware of. I'm very convinced that if we went to war with a country that was an actual military threat(like china or russia) rather than a smaller country like we currently do, then we'd collapse our own military And economy(granted their economy would also likely collapse because every single "Super power" has built their economy on a house of cards for some reason).
Thanks for sharing 😃🇨🇴
So with all the new goods made cheaply and me being put out of work, how am I to afford to live?
I do not want to be the IT tech responsible when the remote surgery machine glitches and kills someone.
The government is complicit w/ the exploitation of workers. That is why reform never happens; regardless of the civil unrest or crises.
The problem is that the Socialists/Communists proposed a solution which was, basically - more government. Which was always going to be more of the same kind of government. A spiral to nowhere.
I agree that more gov is bad under capitalism because the interest of the owning class is always reflected in policy.
@@raulmcgangbang6890 Oh, it's no better under *any* other system, just look at Communism. It's just less corrosive under capitalist systems.
@@Fredjoe5 I don't agree, and there is evidence that shows otherwise if you bother to look.
@@raulmcgangbang6890 - I've looked, never found it.
Welcome back
Great work, the music is mesmerizing
All the best inch'Allah
nice videos!
It's sad to see how all we do is reliant on the same device.
Very well done video, good stuff! The world is changing faster than ever before and within the next few decades there will be technologies that will change how our entire civilization functions. Unless something very stupid happens we will get to witness the most transformative time in human history. And i really hope that all of humanity can benefit from this and there is reason for hope.
Most of the progress seems to be software, rather than hardware. It's great to say ai is there but if it has nothing to plug into then where is the progress. Robotics is lacking innovation or funding. Take a chickens foot or humans foot. It has a sort of self balancing structure that merges with the surface it walks on. Yet all robots seem to have rigid feet. Why is robotics not merging with 3d printing to create artificial human shaped bones. The human foot and chickens foot should be copied exactly. Why not copy the entire chickens bone structure and make a robot that can walk with less exact computation. Simply the structure gives balance and the ai needs to do less to compute movements that don't result in falling over. Like when I place my foot on the floor it influences the position of the rest of my leg, almost like auto balance. Ligaments to limit movements work with bones.
Because when it comes to creating robotics making them human or even animal shaped is kind of a waste. What is more efficient is just make a machine designed to do a specific job. Like for instance instead of creating an entire humanoid robot to wash dishes for you people just made a dishwasher instead. Instead of a humanoid robot to drive you around they just turned the car itself into the robot that drives you around. Humanoid form isn't exactly the best when it comes to doing most task.
@@GiRR007 it is the best because it can do multi tasks. If I had a robot that did the dishes, cleaned the house, and drove the car and could chat then that is better value. Since we can 3D print bone shapes why not try to replicate a robot based of a human skeleton, from toes to head. Pick someone with good balance because structure matters. Ai could train to use the body, even with 3d printing modelling the body in vr for training might be easier. Single function robots also can be useful in teams especially in a factory, they are more machine than robot though. Robots move around an environment. Ai Cars are driving robots that control a machine. A body is a machine. Make it work !
The essence o nihilism is the postulate: "Nothing forever".
I would think the more automation there is the better things would turn out in the long run. Things would get less expensive because employers wouldn't have to be paying other people thus not needing to raise prices to raise prices as much to make a profit. All they would need to do is pay for the initial machine cost and electricity. Thus leading to cheaper products over all for everyone
It is absolutely inevitable that robots and AI will be able to substitute any human work in the foreseeable future. Qualification is therefore useless because, for example, photonic computers will be almost infinitely superior "cognitively". Robots will also maintain, improve and reproduce themselves. Even an organic fusion of man and machine is inefficient compared to this. The game is over.
Politicians must recognize the inevitability and fundamentally adapt the economic and social system to it, if the agenda is not to exterminate as many as possible. There is too much thinking in systemic imperatives in the video. The focus on economic individual income and human value creation is completely outdated. There will simply be no more scarcity and no need to do low-quality, i.e. human, work. For fun, perhaps, yes. The state will provide goods or you simply print them for free in a 3D printer. The increase in structurally induced unemployment is also a challenge in terms of public order and security. Probably the change is too fast and the primitive human mind cannot adequately anticipate it to the point where much smarter machines take over. As Elon Musk said, it's going to be really weird.
Not a problem if everyone is in the army. I see China looking like Germany pre WW2. With high internal debt fuses instead. Recipe for war. If China invades Taiwan it's ww3. Job loss solved.
I enjoy your your videos. But leave politics out of it.
Mate you are way off with the minimum wage per hour in the UK. In USD it’s $12.15 not 8…
That just makes the point stronger
I think he made the mistake of not converting from pounds
It's not wrong, it just depends on what age group you look at in the UK. For people aged 18-20 in the UK, $8 is around the equivalent
@@ejames1235 8.72 is the minimum. Its highly likely he just didnt convert.
Still long years to go, Fusion surplus energy is expected to be in the year 2073. ETER reactor program is too small for energy surplus, the reactor needs to be bigger.
I home tory lanez baby
Logistically automation makes sense but realistically it's crushing the lives of billions
Im not really into ubi
Just better working life is what i asked
@The Black Dawn/Ajjqi oh no humans of the past most definitely had jobs. They were just not paid for them. There jobs were things like hunting and gathering and farming. Also slavery. In the modern age those things aren't as nessecary for individuals to do though so labor has been diversified for the better. People are kinda meant to work, not really to be couch potatoes Having a function in society gives people purpose.
♥♥♥♥♥♥♥♥♥♥♥♥♥♥♥
we're 'smart-enough' ??? &, 'care-enough' ??? har.
&, i was an 'Idealist Optimist,' all of my own life, too... :/ scary-realities... 'the-great-hack'... ??? ya think ??? :/ i have personally, RAILED ON MANY people, about A LOT OF this 'stuff,' myself... FOR YEARS... like: 'worked FAR too much,' over ALL OF IT, too...
good ideas, in 'optimism,' tho,' Futurology... thanks.
Can't say i 'like it,' as WHOA-NELLY, to them all tho'... :/
)...we've 'wasted more money, on ROCKETS,' than on 'society,' in my own 'Moon-Landings,' generation... &, doubled-the-pop., since i finished college, in 1979... btw... iiiitttt's 'crazy'... you have a 'straight-head,' but, difficult to KEEP ONE... lol... :/
I cant wait until every job is automated. Then everyone will be on a nice vacation
Yeah, just like in the movie Wall-e, what a scary thought...
Vacations cost money.
Technically work is a curse… a lot of people work their whole lives to achieve nothing, nothing except the acquisition of capital which they can use to survive. But their work is meaningless and ultimately completely useless. Of course having no work is equally as meaningless but it’s less effort. I mean it’ll be a massive problem if we ever do get to the point where nobody has to work to survive. You’re right, we’d probably end up like the people in Wall-e. But at the same time, it’s a preferable problem to have than our current problem of “work or else you die.” Or “do something meaningless that you hate because otherwise you’ll starve.” Or “you want to be an artist? You want to go into social studies? Good luck! You’ll never be over the poverty line or pay back your loans.” People should be free to pursue what they want. If we end up doing nothing, that’s squarely on our shoulders as individuals in a world that’s automated and provides for everyone. It won’t be society’s problem, it’ll be ours. It’s a problem we’ll need to solve for sure! It’ll wreck our mental and perhaps even our physical health. But it’ll still be a better problem to have. And the fact that there is a massive problem to solve will give us meaning. That’s what work is supposed to be after all. It’s supposed to be solving problems or at least maintaining a structure that prevents more problems from arising or that solves problems. And that is what progress is, replacing old problems with better ones. Replacing homelessness and starvation with having to find meaning and something to be passionate about. Both are problems, but one is clearly better than the other.
@Juice darling maybe in 100+ years but at this point, Automation/AI is too dumb to take every job. And keep in mind it will also create other jobs. Maybe in the far future when AI is smarter than humans and has a self-awareness that can happen but maybe that's the luck the 22 or 23-century folks will get.
Great video, if you are searching for high-tech video I invite you on our channel
Very ignorant on economics. Too many falllacies to count.
Yup, sadly so. His videos are best when they stay away from economic and social issues; he's not very good at them.
Overly optimistic, automation will only make life boring because of hedonists wanting no single challenge, this channel lives in a f*king fairytale
Well if you want, in our fully automated future, you can offer to work for someone, flipping burgers for their family 8 hours a day if you think it makes your life worthwhile. I'll be down the beach (more likely we'll all be out rioting when all the jobs are gone and the elites leave us with nothing)
Never try to steal the name from my boy futurology ever again 🤡
boomer remover ....
Buy stocks, this is the capitalist panacea