@@user-ui6kv2np8i Putin and poor outcomes for opponents poisoning, falls from planes or windows, and other suspicious incidents involving Russian citizens. Here are some notable cases: Poisoning: 1. Alexander Litvinenko (2006) - former FSB officer and critic of Vladimir Putin, poisoned with polonium-210 in London. 2. Sergei Skripal (2018) - former GRU officer and double agent, poisoned with novichok in Salisbury, England, along with his daughter Yulia. 3. Alexei Navalny (2020) - opposition leader and anti-corruption activist, poisoned with novichok, allegedly by FSB agents. Falls from planes or windows: 1. Boris Nemtsov (2015) - opposition leader and former Deputy Prime Minister, shot and killed on a bridge in Moscow, but there have been theories about a possible fall from a window. 2. Alexander Perepilichny (2012) - businessman and whistleblower, died from a heart attack in London, but there were suspicions of foul play. 3. Nikolai Glushkov (2018) - businessman and associate of Boris Berezovsky, found dead in his London home with neck injuries, possibly due to a fall or strangulation. You want more. 1. Sergei Magnitsky (2009) - lawyer and whistleblower, died in prison under suspicious circumstances. 2. Anna Politkovskaya (2006) - journalist and critic of Putin, shot and killed in her Moscow apartment building. 3. Mikhail Lesin (2015) - former Putin aide and media executive, found dead in a Washington, D.C. hotel room with signs of blunt force trauma.
Well technically he is, since he's not making any decisions himself. All orders handed down from Washington, London and Brussels. He's just an actor reading a script.
No it’s known because of all the military support and countless briefings and press releases from the left since 2008 concerning this exact topic , guess you think everyone has amnesia as yourself.
UA-cam comments told me that Ukraine is collapsing since 2022, while others told me that it was marching on Moscow all the while. It would be advisable not to sell the bear hide before killing it (pun intended lol)
Weeb, excellent representation! What you basically say here is that the enemy is too proud to redeploy forces from the Kursk trap, instead he weakens all the other fronts in order to slow down the Russians in three key -points. Which makes more clear the bitter defeat of Ukraine in the big operational picture. I have only one request: Please tell us more about casualties ratio, as this is maybe the most crucial factor in this war of attrition. Thank you.
Nobody knows the casualties, all you see is fake. There isn’t a single count of casualties that isn’t deep propaganda from both parts, so stop asking and go count yourself
What is the actual casualty ratio, both in total and what is going on currently? I sort of reverse what the mainstream media says and use that as a rough guide but I’d love someone more knowledgeable than me to inform us :)
I did. But the result is very bad for the ukr. And all detailed comments about this are deleted. So maybe a channel is able to enlight better than an insignicant commenter the most important part of the war.
@@m.cl.ballista4642the deleting of comments on this platform is getting to the point of absurdity. It’s utterly infuriating. I hope another platform comes along and takes over this garbage one. Similar to how X has become a fantastic and free experience compared to “Twitter.”
@@alessandrolombardi9329 Who has more losses? I think the only thing left for us is our own analysis. So let me try: I assume that both sides have equally capable soldiers and that there is a numerical balance. Correct? Maybe. The Russian side has a significant advantage in artillery and its firepower. Correct? The Russians have an advantage in long-range and other missiles. Correct? The Russians are carrying out a devastating aerial bombardment. Correct? I have the impression that the Russians have an advantage in drone warfare. Correct? Maybe. Ukraine suffers significantly higher background losses (energy, warehouses, industry, etc.). Correct? Ukraine has constant problems in the supply of weapons and ammunition by "allies". Correct? Ukraine is economically, demographically and morally devastated. Correct? ... I give up because everything is clear to me! For sure!
@@Davitofritonot sure if rain will overly affect the built up areas in Donbas so much (it will to some extent but not enough to completely halt operations entirely). But it’ll definitely have an affect up around Kharkov and especially in Kursk. The genius Ukrainian incursion into that area is just the gift that keeps on giving from a Russian perspective. Z
the unfortunate thing about this all is that the advances barely mean anything. it's the grinding down of forces, the attrition that really matters. as the russians advance their positions they're finding themselves in more defensible positions while at the same time killing and routing ukranian affiliated troops. the longer this happens the less sustainable it is for ukraine and the main reason for that is how many of their men are being killed or captured. the sad part is that this never needed to happen. pawns on a political chessboard. russia's declared war goal is to protect ethnic russian people in eastern ukraine. the wests declared war goal is to destroy russia. 🙄
A gem from Prof. John Meishemeier Ukraine’s invasion (of Kursk) was a major strategic blunder, which will accelerate its defeat. The key determinant of success in a war of attrition is the casualty-exchange ratio, not capturing territory, which Western commentators obsess over. The casualty-exchange ratio in the Kursk offensive decisively favours Russia for two reasons. First, it has caused relatively few Russian casualties because Ukraine’s army effectively overran undefended territory. Second, once alerted to the attack, Moscow quickly brought massive airpower to bear against the advancing Ukrainian troops, who were in the open and easy to strike. Unsurprisingly, the attacking forces lost many soldiers and a huge proportion of their equipment. To make matters worse, Kyiv removed top-notch combat units from the front lines in eastern Ukraine - where they are desperately needed - and made them part of the Kursk strike force. This move is tilting the already lopsided casualty-exchange ratio on that critically important front further in Russia’s favour. It is no wonder - given what a foolish idea the Kursk incursion is - that the Russians were caught by surprise.
More and more, it's resembling the Western Front in the summer of 1918. The Uke Nazis still have the troops to make advances cost, but no longer the strength to stop them. They will continue to withdraw, hoping to avoid a complete collapse, as the Germans did in the last months of WWI.
Perhaps you forget that the Russians also have to consolidate the ground they take - it would make sense that they slow down for some time between pushes
Also in this time they can let their artillery work on Pokrovsk and soften the target. First i tough they ran out of steam, but with todays update iam more sure they are preparing and still playing “whack a mole”. Means hitting where ucr is weakest and move on to the next weak spot when the old ons got hardend.
@@ServentOfGod_1 Imagine you are getting a lot of money from different places. Now you have 20 stacks of 10$ on the table. But that is a bit messy to manage. Now you try to put it all together in one compact stack of money resulting in 200$. Essentially the RUAF has gained significant ground throughout the frontlines but need to reorganise and not overextend. If one them pushes too deep too soon it could lead to counter-attacks and flanks by the Ukrainians which could be a big blow for their recent gains. Just look at the south of the Pokrovsk section, there is such a HUGE Ukrainian pocket that they need to worry about before the push to Pokrovsk is continuing. Its like a nail in their boot.
@kevinallies1014 That is not true at all. The region they are fighting in is still politically significant for their goal. Furthermore they have gained a tremendous amount of industry and natural reserves so its in the interest of the government to keep things secure and intact. They sure are fighting to destroy the Ukrainians but just pushing in and not being prepared is a recipe for disaster.
The largest union in the history of the world? I doubt many wokies would be willing to pay their dues though, as they all believe they are the centre of the universe and others are nothing to them other than an opportunity to virtue signal
@@nton8057 I guess any building with a basement works decently as a bunker. Probably not as good as the Azovstal, but it doesn't need to resist for two months to make the comparison justified.
@@emunozq ideally it has to be be a heavily reanforced steel concrete structure. With a lot of underground areas. Ideally you want the russians to be stuck rather then just slowed like in bakmut
The Ukrainians should have pulled out those troops south-east of Pokrovsk long ago. But as we know Zelensky wants the conscripts to fight to the last man.
@@beowolfgangDann sei froh das du nicht in Dortmund warst. Wenn man von Westen über die Schnellstraße rein kommt, siehts aus wie kurz nach dem Balkankrieg. Und natürlich alles voll geschmiert und versifft.
@@LordDucarius Alles richtig gemacht, viel Glück beim Abschluß, ich hatte noch das Glück Diplom machen zu können. In diesem Irrenhaus Steuern zu bezahlen kommt einer Höchststrafe gleich.
@@MaxFreibier Ohje ;-( Danke für die Info, einfach nur traurig, wir hatten früher Urlauber aus Dortmund die in unserem bayerischen Dorf immer ihren wohlverdienten Urlaub machten.
It was obvious that Ukr war command sacrificed soldiers in industrial zone of nu York, they have orders not to surrender at any cost I presume, and all it that is for the purpose of stalling and slowing Russ advance toward Toretsk from south, they managed to bring reinforcements in mean time and now trying to break lines towards in circled soldiers, but they might end up losing more troops, and not gaining nothing more than postponing the inevitable.
We've seen it several times before. This sort of strat will buy Ukraine a few weeks at the cost of a lot of lives. But life is seemingly cheap in Ukraine.
Few days back there were reports that afu withdraw forces near Klescheivka and Andreevka. All area east from canal. It might be RuAF just claimed abandoned area
Ukrain tries to fill the holes in the defence by moving troops and equipment from one place to another. They are already in a foxhunt with Russia as the hunter with all the logistical problems that arise. There is also the danger to be destroyed while on the move as in a war this may be a dangerous thing.
@@husjoh Ukraine's in such trouble, as it destroys Russian oil and gas industry. The following attacks on Russian oil refineries and infrastructure: 1. April 2022: Novoshakhtinsk oil refinery (Rostov Oblast) - drone attack 2. June 2022: Kremenchuk oil refinery (Poltava Oblast, Ukraine, near Russian border) - missile strike 3. December 2022: Tuapse oil refinery (Krasnodar Krai) - drone attack 4. February 2023: Lipetsk oil refinery (Lipetsk Oblast) - drone attack 5. March 2023: Novokuibyshevsk oil refinery (Samara Oblast) - drone attack 6. April 2023: Angarsk oil refinery (Irkutsk Oblast) - drone attack 7. May 2023: Ryazan oil refinery (Ryazan Oblast) - drone attack 8. June 2023: Ufa oil refinery (Bashkortostan) - drone attack 9. July 2023: Omsk oil refinery (Omsk Oblast) - drone attack 10. September 3, 2024: Moscow oil refinery (Moscow) - drone attack Note that this list is not be exhaustive.
@@thofMay Putin and poor outcomes for opponents poisoning, falls from planes or windows, and other suspicious incidents involving Russian citizens. Here are some notable cases: Poisoning: 1. Alexander Litvinenko (2006) - former FSB officer and critic of Vladimir Putin, poisoned with polonium-210 in London. 2. Sergei Skripal (2018) - former GRU officer and double agent, poisoned with novichok in Salisbury, England, along with his daughter Yulia. 3. Alexei Navalny (2020) - opposition leader and anti-corruption activist, poisoned with novichok, allegedly by FSB agents. Falls from planes or windows: 1. Boris Nemtsov (2015) - opposition leader and former Deputy Prime Minister, shot and killed on a bridge in Moscow, but there have been theories about a possible fall from a window. 2. Alexander Perepilichny (2012) - businessman and whistleblower, died from a heart attack in London, but there were suspicions of foul play. 3. Nikolai Glushkov (2018) - businessman and associate of Boris Berezovsky, found dead in his London home with neck injuries, possibly due to a fall or strangulation. You want more. 1. Sergei Magnitsky (2009) - lawyer and whistleblower, died in prison under suspicious circumstances. 2. Anna Politkovskaya (2006) - journalist and critic of Putin, shot and killed in her Moscow apartment building. 3. Mikhail Lesin (2015) - former Putin aide and media executive, found dead in a Washington, D.C. hotel room with signs of blunt force trauma.
You should make a video about how modern warfare actually works. Most people do not get it right. How important are planes mines tanks vehicles artillery? Looking at the maps you display what are the actual dynamics on the ground? what are those fortifications how do they look, how important are trenches? and many more questions. It could be a great video to make
Who has more losses? I think the only thing left for us is our own analysis. So let me try: I assume that both sides have equally capable soldiers and that there is a numerical balance. Correct? Maybe. The Russian side has a significant advantage in artillery and its firepower. Correct? The Russians have an advantage in long-range and other missiles. Correct? The Russians are carrying out a devastating aerial bombardment. Correct? I have the impression that the Russians have an advantage in drone warfare. Correct? Maybe. Ukraine suffers significantly higher background losses (energy, warehouses, industry, etc.). Correct? Ukraine has constant problems in the supply of weapons and ammunition by "allies". Correct? Ukraine is economically, demographically and morally devastated. Correct? ... I give up because everything is clear to me! For sure!
I think there is the factor that generally speaking (excluding Kursk) Ukrainians are defending, this means they do get defender’s advantage, then again, Russians have such a numerical advantage that that might not matter.
@rexinox- Ukraniens doesn't have any defender advantage it's no longer defending castle. Russians first destroy Ukrainians defending positions with artillery, MLRS, FABS, drones etc so basically Ukrainians lose any defender advantage. So Russians enter when it' s all very soft. 95% of casualties comes from artillery sistem and in this department Russians have advantage of 10:1. Do the math.
Any guesses on New York, are AFU getting in to stay/reinforce or are they trying to get out? If you were RF, to what extent/rate would you allow more AFU to get in the cauldron?
Probably too late for that, the Russians have had plenty of time now to build defensive lines. I think Ukrainians needed to do it in the first few days if that was even possible
You talk about retreats, but you forget the priority of the Russians, the primary action of this special operation, to annihilate the military unit, in order to obtain unconditional surrender. So there is no such thing as offering the withdrawal of troops, only to find them in other sectors. This is obvious.🤔🤔🤔🤔🤔🤔
But the russians doing this for a long time. They leave one line open, usually under fire control, and bombard the retreating troops. Why risk attack and lose troops when you grind down the enemy troops and live to fight another day, with a weakened enemy?
Russia does not try to fully encircle the enemy. They prefer to allow them a small corridor for escape that they can offer surrender or they pound them to pieces with overwhelming firepower. Think of the road of death in Bakhmut for a good example. They have been doing that since Syria and encirclements are predictable, hard to pull off, time consuming, resource intensive, and costly. Think of Azovstal and Mariupol.
Ukraine is losing this war on all fronts. Ukraines ability to fight has been 99% diminished. Zelensky cant pay debt. Zelensky has no electrical grid Zelensky cant produce weapons nor ammo Zelensky has to beg for everything. Zelensky has lost. Its over
A gem from Prof. John Meishemeier Ukraine’s invasion (of Kursk) was a major strategic blunder, which will accelerate its defeat. The key determinant of success in a war of attrition is the casualty-exchange ratio, not capturing territory, which Western commentators obsess over. The casualty-exchange ratio in the Kursk offensive decisively favours Russia for two reasons. First, it has caused relatively few Russian casualties because Ukraine’s army effectively overran undefended territory. Second, once alerted to the attack, Moscow quickly brought massive airpower to bear against the advancing Ukrainian troops, who were in the open and easy to strike. Unsurprisingly, the attacking forces lost many soldiers and a huge proportion of their equipment. To make matters worse, Kyiv removed top-notch combat units from the front lines in eastern Ukraine - where they are desperately needed - and made them part of the Kursk strike force. This move is tilting the already lopsided casualty-exchange ratio on that critically important front further in Russia’s favour. It is no wonder - given what a foolish idea the Kursk incursion is - that the Russians were caught by surprise.
The best description of Zelensky ever (it is not mine, but I can not find to whome give credit. didn't copy author's nickname): - Zelensky the World Champion of Nigeria Mail
If i tell u seriously, no one is interested in that war, as there is only jenoside happening, no frontline changes like that happening there, that's why.
@@7Little701 i think he didn't followed USA Propaganda, that if USA or there ally attack any country or destroy them or do genocide then it will be taken as normal, no one will say that as war crime and don't spread negativity against those countries 😂, if any country who are not USA ally if they do same then that's only called as war crime and spread negativity against them. He must have voileted USA Propaganda rule and spoken truth against Israel 😐.
@@_SuRyA_.They had Scott Ritter harassed by the FBi and his home searched too. That started afternhe criticized Israel. They are investigating him as an undeclared foreign agent after 2 1/2 years of covering the war and his recent coverage of Israel.
Can any pro russian tell me if its BENEFICIAL to russians IF they open another front on the map? or rather new areas in the north for example. is it because the land area it would be hard to attack that they dont do it or?
About losses , the ratio should be around the artillery s firepower ratio , with a correction because russia use glide bombs and has more air support than ukraine. I think around 6 to one in favor of russia, but maybe more.
Things are probably slowing down on the Pokrovsk sector because the russian units involved are simply exhausted a month long push. Equipment tearing down in overuse and personnel to tired to fight at peak capability. If the Ukrainian's lines remain in disarray, in some days the Russians will probably resume the onslaught.
They rotate troops and whole units unlike Ukraine. In fact a huge group is about to return from furlough any day now. This is just part of the process of advancing. You have to take short pauses to prevent overextension and to let others catch up on the flanks and other areas. They will go back to work in the next few days. They have been doing this the whole time. This isn't a blitzkrieg run. It is a different type of offensive.
Yes it was reported like 3-4 days ago that their assault units needed to be regrouped and reorganized because of the fast push stretched their supply lines, units were fighting all over the place in small groups, defenses obviously weren't prepared across all the new flanks, etc. Usually it takes them a few weeks before they're ready again.
zelensky saying that Kursk offensive is going well with all objectives being met. On the other hand Russia saying nearly 10 000 ukr troops either killed or disabled over 80 tanks destroyed and hundreds of smaller vehicles destroyed. So whats the deal ????
Russians will not attack Vulhedar. They will force Ukranians to send reinforcement to Vulhedar from Pokrovsk. For its PR Value Ukranian will send all men to Vulhedar. Thus giving free Hand to Russians in Pokrovsk
While Russia is gaining territory in Donbass, Ukraine strategically attacks russian logistics and we can already watch Russia getting weaker and weaker. The fact that Russia is not able to push away a couple of thousands ukrainian soldiers from their OWN territory shows that weakness perfectly. Putin needs to decide. Either making gains in the Donbass to fulfill his own propaganda OR pushing ukrainians away from Kursk. Doing both at the same time is not possible for Russia anymore. Because Russia has a lack of nearly everything. Fuel, Tanks, military equipment and most importantly MEN! Russia has only one strategy left: Flatten every square meter with glide bombs and then sending thousands of soldiers over of whom 80% are getting killed. All in all Russia is going all in on Prokovsk. No matter, the main thing is that Putin can explain to his people that the “strong” Russian military has once again “liberated” a village. What huge numbers of military vehicles and soldiers he sacrifices for these minimal gains in territory is of course not mentioned. Nevermind if Russia will take over the whole Ukraine anytime… the price Putin paid is insanely huge and it will need many decades to repair the damage to his own country. But it will Never come to this point because if Russia keeps this tempo going they will need more than 5 years just to capture the whole donbass region. But the Reality is: Russia has no military ressources anymore to keep a war ongoing for this long because Ukraine destroyed everything with drones and Atacms and they still doing it. Specifically Russia has military ressources left until end 2025. Russia is losing this war in front of our eyes and most of you really think it‘s winning because they do some gains in the donbass. You guys really don’t unterstand this conflict and modern warfare at all.
Delusional... Out of soldiers? And you think Putin has no allies, only Zelensky??? 😂 Ukraine destroying his own country, owes a lot of money to US, will be forever in debt. Your whole comment is unhinged, unintelligent, unrealistic.
Sounds like you read a little too much David Axe at Forbes. Glad you got it all figured out though. Can we stop sending money to the fascists now? I'm sure Russia will collapse some time later today. 😂😂😂😂
Kursk incursion ended up being a "Congrats you just played yourself" moment
Pr stunt that cost a lot of lives
They did it to take selfies in one rural supermarket... The Lancet is taking a lot of pictures now.
@@WiseOwl_1408 also wasted a lot of air defense
Not surprising that Zel is "sacking" so many top people because things aren't going as planned, however the "top man" is absolutely blameless lol
@@user-ui6kv2np8i
Putin and poor outcomes for opponents poisoning, falls from planes or windows, and other suspicious incidents involving Russian citizens. Here are some notable cases:
Poisoning:
1. Alexander Litvinenko (2006) - former FSB officer and critic of Vladimir Putin, poisoned with polonium-210 in London.
2. Sergei Skripal (2018) - former GRU officer and double agent, poisoned with novichok in Salisbury, England, along with his daughter Yulia.
3. Alexei Navalny (2020) - opposition leader and anti-corruption activist, poisoned with novichok, allegedly by FSB agents.
Falls from planes or windows:
1. Boris Nemtsov (2015) - opposition leader and former Deputy Prime Minister, shot and killed on a bridge in Moscow, but there have been theories about a possible fall from a window.
2. Alexander Perepilichny (2012) - businessman and whistleblower, died from a heart attack in London, but there were suspicions of foul play.
3. Nikolai Glushkov (2018) - businessman and associate of Boris Berezovsky, found dead in his London home with neck injuries, possibly due to a fall or strangulation.
You want more.
1. Sergei Magnitsky (2009) - lawyer and whistleblower, died in prison under suspicious circumstances.
2. Anna Politkovskaya (2006) - journalist and critic of Putin, shot and killed in her Moscow apartment building.
3. Mikhail Lesin (2015) - former Putin aide and media executive, found dead in a Washington, D.C. hotel room with signs of blunt force trauma.
Well technically he is, since he's not making any decisions himself. All orders handed down from Washington, London and Brussels. He's just an actor reading a script.
@@DAIadvisor and you know because Putin told you so. Hahaha
No it’s known because of all the military support and countless briefings and press releases from the left since 2008 concerning this exact topic , guess you think everyone has amnesia as yourself.
@@jonemnemonicjustjohnny7012 In what way are Washington, London and Brussels _the left_ to you? Because they're not to anyone else.
As always and as usual, TY for all your hard work and content contributions…just appreciating
Ukraine is collasping
even the cabinet of ministers
Yip
Lies
*_URA_*_ !!!_
UA-cam comments told me that Ukraine is collapsing since 2022, while others told me that it was marching on Moscow all the while.
It would be advisable not to sell the bear hide before killing it (pun intended lol)
Weeb, excellent representation! What you basically say here is that the enemy is too proud to redeploy forces from the Kursk trap, instead he weakens all the other fronts in order to slow down the Russians in three key -points.
Which makes more clear the bitter defeat of Ukraine in the big operational picture.
I have only one request: Please tell us more about casualties ratio, as this is maybe the most crucial factor in this war of attrition.
Thank you.
Nobody knows the casualties, all you see is fake. There isn’t a single count of casualties that isn’t deep propaganda from both parts, so stop asking and go count yourself
What is the actual casualty ratio, both in total and what is going on currently? I sort of reverse what the mainstream media says and use that as a rough guide but I’d love someone more knowledgeable than me to inform us :)
I did. But the result is very bad for the ukr. And all detailed comments about this are deleted. So maybe a channel is able to enlight better than an insignicant commenter the most important part of the war.
@@m.cl.ballista4642the deleting of comments on this platform is getting to the point of absurdity. It’s utterly infuriating. I hope another platform comes along and takes over this garbage one. Similar to how X has become a fantastic and free experience compared to “Twitter.”
@@alessandrolombardi9329 Who has more losses? I think the only thing left for us is our own analysis. So let me try:
I assume that both sides have equally capable soldiers and that there is a numerical balance. Correct? Maybe.
The Russian side has a significant advantage in artillery and its firepower. Correct?
The Russians have an advantage in long-range and other missiles. Correct?
The Russians are carrying out a devastating aerial bombardment. Correct?
I have the impression that the Russians have an advantage in drone warfare. Correct? Maybe.
Ukraine suffers significantly higher background losses (energy, warehouses, industry, etc.). Correct?
Ukraine has constant problems in the supply of weapons and ammunition by "allies". Correct?
Ukraine is economically, demographically and morally devastated. Correct?
...
I give up because everything is clear to me! For sure!
Russia is retreating foward
Ukraine is pushing backward
The Russian army has achieved concrete results in the most fortified sector of the front, time is not on the side of the Ukrainian army.
Yes and no. The rainy season is starting and Russia will need to regroup, fortify and replenish everything for spring offensive.
@@Davitofritonot sure if rain will overly affect the built up areas in Donbas so much (it will to some extent but not enough to completely halt operations entirely). But it’ll definitely have an affect up around Kharkov and especially in Kursk. The genius Ukrainian incursion into that area is just the gift that keeps on giving from a Russian perspective. Z
Russians can't mount big offensive since 2022
Really? How did the Moscow citizens react over the recent blackouts?
They still believe kremlin lies about them shooting down all drones and missiles?
@kevinallies1014 Seems like you have missed the footage of massive Russian equipment losses.
the unfortunate thing about this all is that the advances barely mean anything. it's the grinding down of forces, the attrition that really matters. as the russians advance their positions they're finding themselves in more defensible positions while at the same time killing and routing ukranian affiliated troops. the longer this happens the less sustainable it is for ukraine and the main reason for that is how many of their men are being killed or captured. the sad part is that this never needed to happen. pawns on a political chessboard. russia's declared war goal is to protect ethnic russian people in eastern ukraine. the wests declared war goal is to destroy russia. 🙄
A gem from Prof. John Meishemeier
Ukraine’s invasion (of Kursk) was a major strategic blunder, which will accelerate its defeat.
The key determinant of success in a war of attrition is the casualty-exchange ratio, not capturing territory, which Western commentators obsess over. The casualty-exchange ratio in the Kursk offensive decisively favours Russia for two reasons. First, it has caused relatively few Russian casualties because Ukraine’s army effectively overran undefended territory. Second, once alerted to the attack, Moscow quickly brought massive airpower to bear against the advancing Ukrainian troops, who were in the open and easy to strike. Unsurprisingly, the attacking forces lost many soldiers and a huge proportion of their equipment.
To make matters worse, Kyiv removed top-notch combat units from the front lines in eastern Ukraine - where they are desperately needed - and made them part of the Kursk strike force. This move is tilting the already lopsided casualty-exchange ratio on that critically important front further in Russia’s favour. It is no wonder - given what a foolish idea the Kursk incursion is - that the Russians were caught by surprise.
Precise, concise and without BS day-to-day reporting on Ukraine SMO. Excellent! Thx for great effort. Very helpful and informative.
More and more, it's resembling the Western Front in the summer of 1918. The Uke Nazis still have the troops to make advances cost, but no longer the strength to stop them. They will continue to withdraw, hoping to avoid a complete collapse, as the Germans did in the last months of WWI.
Ukraine nazis 🤣
@@lonely_ghost7144 "J'ai rencontré un des néonazis les plus dangereux d’Europe" by C. Villa
@@lonely_ghost7144
Putin has Destroyed the following refineries. Very clever tactical move. Oh wait, that's Russian Federation oil and gas refinery and storages. Ooops.
1. April 2022: Novoshakhtinsk oil refinery (Rostov Oblast) - drone attack
2. June 2022: Kremenchuk oil refinery (Poltava Oblast, Ukraine, near Russian border) - missile strike
3. December 2022: Tuapse oil refinery (Krasnodar Krai) - drone attack
4. February 2023: Lipetsk oil refinery (Lipetsk Oblast) - drone attack
5. March 2023: Novokuibyshevsk oil refinery (Samara Oblast) - drone attack
6. April 2023: Angarsk oil refinery (Irkutsk Oblast) - drone attack
7. May 2023: Ryazan oil refinery (Ryazan Oblast) - drone attack
8. June 2023: Ufa oil refinery (Bashkortostan) - drone attack
9. July 2023: Omsk oil refinery (Omsk Oblast) - drone attack
10. September 3, 2024: Moscow oil refinery (Moscow) - drone attack
@ronbernardi
Those Russian shovels don't need oil.😉
😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂
@@BillMartin-h2g hahaha, true.. meat Russian war tactics need new meat 🍖🥓.
Perhaps you forget that the Russians also have to consolidate the ground they take - it would make sense that they slow down for some time between pushes
Bro, what is the consolidation of gains ?
Explain please.
Bro, what is the meaning of consolidation of gains ?
Explain please. 🙂
Also in this time they can let their artillery work on Pokrovsk and soften the target. First i tough they ran out of steam, but with todays update iam more sure they are preparing and still playing “whack a mole”. Means hitting where ucr is weakest and move on to the next weak spot when the old ons got hardend.
@@ServentOfGod_1 Imagine you are getting a lot of money from different places. Now you have 20 stacks of 10$ on the table. But that is a bit messy to manage. Now you try to put it all together in one compact stack of money resulting in 200$.
Essentially the RUAF has gained significant ground throughout the frontlines but need to reorganise and not overextend. If one them pushes too deep too soon it could lead to counter-attacks and flanks by the Ukrainians which could be a big blow for their recent gains. Just look at the south of the Pokrovsk section, there is such a HUGE Ukrainian pocket that they need to worry about before the push to Pokrovsk is continuing. Its like a nail in their boot.
@kevinallies1014 That is not true at all. The region they are fighting in is still politically significant for their goal. Furthermore they have gained a tremendous amount of industry and natural reserves so its in the interest of the government to keep things secure and intact. They sure are fighting to destroy the Ukrainians but just pushing in and not being prepared is a recipe for disaster.
excellent analysis thanks
Kursk is looking very much like a Leeroy Jenkins moment
At least Leeroy got chicken.
@@destroydapacka wow Russians were nearly able to reach a city after 2.5 years of fighting. Wow
@@destroydapacka UA troops managed to raid a Pyaterochka too.
@@ronbernardi Wow Ukrainians crossed into Russia along a barely inhabited border region after 2.5 years of fighting. Wow.
@@robertadams4600 Russia is used it's oil and gas industry to destroy Ukraine drones.
Putin's clever tactics.
1. April 2022: Novoshakhtinsk oil refinery (Rostov Oblast) - drone attack
2. June 2022: Kremenchuk oil refinery (Poltava Oblast, Ukraine, near Russian border) - missile strike
3. December 2022: Tuapse oil refinery (Krasnodar Krai) - drone attack
4. February 2023: Lipetsk oil refinery (Lipetsk Oblast) - drone attack
5. March 2023: Novokuibyshevsk oil refinery (Samara Oblast) - drone attack
6. April 2023: Angarsk oil refinery (Irkutsk Oblast) - drone attack
7. May 2023: Ryazan oil refinery (Ryazan Oblast) - drone attack
8. June 2023: Ufa oil refinery (Bashkortostan) - drone attack
9. July 2023: Omsk oil refinery (Omsk Oblast) - drone attack
10. September 3, 2024: Moscow oil refinery (Moscow) - drone attack
We strongly support Ukraine- COAI
(Clowns of America International Inc)
An actual Union based in Minnesota😂
Biden is a lifelong honorable member
The largest union in the history of the world? I doubt many wokies would be willing to pay their dues though, as they all believe they are the centre of the universe and others are nothing to them other than an opportunity to virtue signal
That's funny 😁
@@ruzaki1212 😂😂 Thank you, sir!😊
”Full-scale offensive in the negative direction"... ;-)
The Ukrainians had to attack in Kursk so they could withdraw betterer in Donbas
How did Kursk facilitate a withdrawal in Donbas?
@@klardfarkus3891He is just sarcastic😅
“Victory plan” tactics 😂😂😂
@@klardfarkus3891 Taking troops from Donbas to Kursk will cause Donbas region to be unstable no?
@@FemboyLegendGD Russia has not moved troops from the Donbas to Kursk. They moved reserve troops there. So that idea did not work.
Uraaaa long live mother Russia 🇷🇺 ☦️
If the ukranians did not leave Niu York, it would be a similar situation than what happened in Mariupol, right?
If there are any fortified structures to bunker in
@@nton8057 I guess any building with a basement works decently as a bunker. Probably not as good as the Azovstal, but it doesn't need to resist for two months to make the comparison justified.
@@emunozq ideally it has to be be a heavily reanforced steel concrete structure. With a lot of underground areas. Ideally you want the russians to be stuck rather then just slowed like in bakmut
@@nton8057 war conditions are never ideal.
@@emunozq Of course but you want to get as close as possible to this ideal.
Guy i really really pray 🙏 you enter at least 200k subscribers this year ❤
You're more persistent than history Legends
Love your channel 😀
Thank you Weeb, great updates
The Ukrainians should have pulled out those troops south-east of Pokrovsk long ago. But as we know Zelensky wants the conscripts to fight to the last man.
Grüße aus dem Ruhrpott
Mein Beleid, ich war letzthin in Düsseldorf da kam ich mir vor wie in Kabul.
@@beowolfgangDann sei froh das du nicht in Dortmund warst. Wenn man von Westen über die Schnellstraße rein kommt, siehts aus wie kurz nach dem Balkankrieg. Und natürlich alles voll geschmiert und versifft.
@@beowolfgang Ja ich zieh auch bald aus der BRD weg. Aber bis mein Studium fertig ist bleib ich noch😆
@@LordDucarius Alles richtig gemacht, viel Glück beim Abschluß, ich hatte noch das Glück Diplom machen zu können. In diesem Irrenhaus Steuern zu bezahlen kommt einer Höchststrafe gleich.
@@MaxFreibier Ohje ;-( Danke für die Info, einfach nur traurig, wir hatten früher Urlauber aus Dortmund die in unserem bayerischen Dorf immer ihren wohlverdienten Urlaub machten.
Nato's on the RUN 🏃♂️ 😂
NATO’s got the runs 🚽
I think that's the name of a 1970s song by Paul McCartney and Wings.
Russians at the gate of New York: "meh, whatever. Not a good city anyway"
Thanks Weeb 🙏
So the effects of attrition are now full circle..AFU now falling like a house of cards...😢
It was obvious that Ukr war command sacrificed soldiers in industrial zone of nu York, they have orders not to surrender at any cost I presume, and all it that is for the purpose of stalling and slowing Russ advance toward Toretsk from south, they managed to bring reinforcements in mean time and now trying to break lines towards in circled soldiers, but they might end up losing more troops, and not gaining nothing more than postponing the inevitable.
We've seen it several times before. This sort of strat will buy Ukraine a few weeks at the cost of a lot of lives. But life is seemingly cheap in Ukraine.
@@entropybear5847
Well yeah, they have quite a lot of population to spare ngl but so does Russia.
Few days back there were reports that afu withdraw forces near Klescheivka and Andreevka. All area east from canal. It might be RuAF just claimed abandoned area
So what?
Who have forces on territory they claim it.
Regardless how they enter.
@@danielkurtovic9099 just saying. this was expected due previous info
Thanks :)
Ukrain tries to fill the holes in the defence by moving troops and equipment from one place to another. They are already in a foxhunt with Russia as the hunter with all the logistical problems that arise. There is also the danger to be destroyed while on the move as in a war this may be a dangerous thing.
Gettin land for free ... what better? 😂😂
@@husjoh Ukraine's in such trouble, as it destroys Russian oil and gas industry.
The following attacks on Russian oil refineries and infrastructure:
1. April 2022: Novoshakhtinsk oil refinery (Rostov Oblast) - drone attack
2. June 2022: Kremenchuk oil refinery (Poltava Oblast, Ukraine, near Russian border) - missile strike
3. December 2022: Tuapse oil refinery (Krasnodar Krai) - drone attack
4. February 2023: Lipetsk oil refinery (Lipetsk Oblast) - drone attack
5. March 2023: Novokuibyshevsk oil refinery (Samara Oblast) - drone attack
6. April 2023: Angarsk oil refinery (Irkutsk Oblast) - drone attack
7. May 2023: Ryazan oil refinery (Ryazan Oblast) - drone attack
8. June 2023: Ufa oil refinery (Bashkortostan) - drone attack
9. July 2023: Omsk oil refinery (Omsk Oblast) - drone attack
10. September 3, 2024: Moscow oil refinery (Moscow) - drone attack
Note that this list is not be exhaustive.
@@ronbernardi Cope harder...
@@thofMay
Putin and poor outcomes for opponents poisoning, falls from planes or windows, and other suspicious incidents involving Russian citizens. Here are some notable cases:
Poisoning:
1. Alexander Litvinenko (2006) - former FSB officer and critic of Vladimir Putin, poisoned with polonium-210 in London.
2. Sergei Skripal (2018) - former GRU officer and double agent, poisoned with novichok in Salisbury, England, along with his daughter Yulia.
3. Alexei Navalny (2020) - opposition leader and anti-corruption activist, poisoned with novichok, allegedly by FSB agents.
Falls from planes or windows:
1. Boris Nemtsov (2015) - opposition leader and former Deputy Prime Minister, shot and killed on a bridge in Moscow, but there have been theories about a possible fall from a window.
2. Alexander Perepilichny (2012) - businessman and whistleblower, died from a heart attack in London, but there were suspicions of foul play.
3. Nikolai Glushkov (2018) - businessman and associate of Boris Berezovsky, found dead in his London home with neck injuries, possibly due to a fall or strangulation.
You want more.
1. Sergei Magnitsky (2009) - lawyer and whistleblower, died in prison under suspicious circumstances.
2. Anna Politkovskaya (2006) - journalist and critic of Putin, shot and killed in her Moscow apartment building.
3. Mikhail Lesin (2015) - former Putin aide and media executive, found dead in a Washington, D.C. hotel room with signs of blunt force trauma.
@@ronbernardioil and gas infrastructures can easily be rebuilt heaply. Russia has lots of them outside the range of any Ukrainian attack.
Cheers Weeb.
Thanks Weeb!
You should make a video about how modern warfare actually works. Most people do not get it right. How important are planes mines tanks vehicles artillery? Looking at the maps you display what are the actual dynamics on the ground? what are those fortifications how do they look, how important are trenches? and many more questions. It could be a great video to make
Hej makker tak for din opdatering! og du må self os ha en gó dag!
tak og i lige måde!
When you correct yourself and apologize to deepstatemap for make fun for something they were right, you made me forget many things you did wrong
Can you please make the Ru/Ua border a bolder line below Kursk? It’s difficult to see the border line there. Thanks Weeb
Yes please!!! I can't stand how it is right now
Who has more losses? I think the only thing left for us is our own analysis. So let me try:
I assume that both sides have equally capable soldiers and that there is a numerical balance. Correct? Maybe.
The Russian side has a significant advantage in artillery and its firepower. Correct?
The Russians have an advantage in long-range and other missiles. Correct?
The Russians are carrying out a devastating aerial bombardment. Correct?
I have the impression that the Russians have an advantage in drone warfare. Correct? Maybe.
Ukraine suffers significantly higher background losses (energy, warehouses, industry, etc.). Correct?
Ukraine has constant problems in the supply of weapons and ammunition by "allies". Correct?
Ukraine is economically, demographically and morally devastated. Correct?
...
I give up because everything is clear to me! For sure!
I think there is the factor that generally speaking (excluding Kursk) Ukrainians are defending, this means they do get defender’s advantage, then again, Russians have such a numerical advantage that that might not matter.
@rexinox- Ukraniens doesn't have any defender advantage it's no longer defending castle.
Russians first destroy Ukrainians defending positions with artillery, MLRS, FABS, drones etc so basically Ukrainians lose any defender advantage.
So Russians enter when it' s all very soft.
95% of casualties comes from artillery sistem and in this department Russians have advantage of 10:1.
Do the math.
You are correct
The Niu York thing just sounds like Ukrainian cope
Ukraine troops still in New York singing: "I want to be a part of it - New York New York..."
Stop spreading the news!!
Love it!🤣
The famous Russian compressor roll...on a roll...
Russia doesn't count occupied space in Sq Kilometers, they are counting in trillions of dollars (dollars are still good for measurement)😅
I can't believe they actually withdrew from Krasnohorivka area and didn't get encircled as always.
Tak for opdatering
There is only unconditional surrender for Ukraine now or later
The red jacks are coming!😅
History legions says things
Any guesses on New York, are AFU getting in to stay/reinforce or are they trying to get out? If you were RF, to what extent/rate would you allow more AFU to get in the cauldron?
Why Ukraine doesn't learn from encirclements. This is not the first time to be encircled. Can't learn?
Realistically, Ukraine has until mud season to capture the Kursk nuclear power plant if their offensive is to be salvaged
Probably too late for that, the Russians have had plenty of time now to build defensive lines. I think Ukrainians needed to do it in the first few days if that was even possible
ukraine advance by retreating being betrayed by u s enslaved crooks
Tis is honest and real. I can't just stand those predictions of mr. Nostra Deema any more, who says things he wishes to become truth.
The mighty Ukraine, winning in reverse for over two years. 😂😂
You talk about retreats, but you forget the priority of the Russians, the primary action of this special operation, to annihilate the military unit, in order to obtain unconditional surrender. So there is no such thing as offering the withdrawal of troops, only to find them in other sectors. This is obvious.🤔🤔🤔🤔🤔🤔
But the russians doing this for a long time.
They leave one line open, usually under fire control, and bombard the retreating troops.
Why risk attack and lose troops when you grind down the enemy troops and live to fight another day, with a weakened enemy?
Russia does not try to fully encircle the enemy. They prefer to allow them a small corridor for escape that they can offer surrender or they pound them to pieces with overwhelming firepower. Think of the road of death in Bakhmut for a good example. They have been doing that since Syria and encirclements are predictable, hard to pull off, time consuming, resource intensive, and costly. Think of Azovstal and Mariupol.
Go RU✌
Ukraine is losing this war on all fronts. Ukraines ability to fight has been 99% diminished.
Zelensky cant pay debt.
Zelensky has no electrical grid
Zelensky cant produce weapons nor ammo
Zelensky has to beg for everything.
Zelensky has lost. Its over
Nice❤
👍💕🇷🇺
Sup bro
A gem from Prof. John Meishemeier
Ukraine’s invasion (of Kursk) was a major strategic blunder, which will accelerate its defeat.
The key determinant of success in a war of attrition is the casualty-exchange ratio, not capturing territory, which Western commentators obsess over. The casualty-exchange ratio in the Kursk offensive decisively favours Russia for two reasons. First, it has caused relatively few Russian casualties because Ukraine’s army effectively overran undefended territory. Second, once alerted to the attack, Moscow quickly brought massive airpower to bear against the advancing Ukrainian troops, who were in the open and easy to strike. Unsurprisingly, the attacking forces lost many soldiers and a huge proportion of their equipment.
To make matters worse, Kyiv removed top-notch combat units from the front lines in eastern Ukraine - where they are desperately needed - and made them part of the Kursk strike force. This move is tilting the already lopsided casualty-exchange ratio on that critically important front further in Russia’s favour. It is no wonder - given what a foolish idea the Kursk incursion is - that the Russians were caught by surprise.
Excellent brief
Ukrianian in losing situation be like: Please give me money or anythings. Because otherwise we won't win anything for you
It's a rout!!! 😂
10 square kilometers is practically nothing. Like from here to the nearest stoplight.
Why you show 2 sorts of highlights at same time ? Confuses watchers ,which highlights circle is the latest development.
.... Kiev...Next stop...allll aboard
👍
10 square km!
😂😂😂😂😂
1823 views in 7 minutes.. incredible
The best description of Zelensky ever (it is not mine, but I can not find to whome give credit. didn't copy author's nickname):
- Zelensky the World Champion of Nigeria Mail
Why is it that you-tubers only cover this war and no Israeli Palestine war?
If i tell u seriously, no one is interested in that war, as there is only jenoside happening, no frontline changes like that happening there, that's why.
Probably a taboo on UA-cam
@@7Little701 which country arrested him and why?
@@7Little701 i think he didn't followed USA Propaganda, that if USA or there ally attack any country or destroy them or do genocide then it will be taken as normal, no one will say that as war crime and don't spread negativity against those countries 😂, if any country who are not USA ally if they do same then that's only called as war crime and spread negativity against them. He must have voileted USA Propaganda rule and spoken truth against Israel 😐.
@@_SuRyA_.They had Scott Ritter harassed by the FBi and his home searched too. That started afternhe criticized Israel. They are investigating him as an undeclared foreign agent after 2 1/2 years of covering the war and his recent coverage of Israel.
Update. how many soldiers have now in the front? from Ukraine , from russia, from others nationality
Can any pro russian tell me if its BENEFICIAL to russians IF they open another front on the map? or rather new areas in the north for example. is it because the land area it would be hard to attack that they dont do it or?
not really, a lot of troops cant be used inside ukraine and those that are meant for ukraine are already there
Jak zwykle proszę o tłumaczenie wpisów na język Polski 🇵🇱
Grind the enemy tactic has started giving fruits. Russia will pass through way easier now. By the next summer it should be walk in the park already.
Ukies are close to defeat.....finally!
About losses , the ratio should be around the artillery s firepower ratio , with a correction because russia use glide bombs and has more air support than ukraine. I think around 6 to one in favor of russia, but maybe more.
Hurra Hurra Hurra 🇷🇺🇷🇺💪🏻💪🏻
Things are probably slowing down on the Pokrovsk sector because the russian units involved are simply exhausted a month long push.
Equipment tearing down in overuse and personnel to tired to fight at peak capability. If the Ukrainian's lines remain in disarray, in some days the Russians will probably resume the onslaught.
They rotate troops and whole units unlike Ukraine. In fact a huge group is about to return from furlough any day now. This is just part of the process of advancing. You have to take short pauses to prevent overextension and to let others catch up on the flanks and other areas. They will go back to work in the next few days. They have been doing this the whole time. This isn't a blitzkrieg run. It is a different type of offensive.
Yes it was reported like 3-4 days ago that their assault units needed to be regrouped and reorganized because of the fast push stretched their supply lines, units were fighting all over the place in small groups, defenses obviously weren't prepared across all the new flanks, etc.
Usually it takes them a few weeks before they're ready again.
Imagine if you reported about the war in Gaza strip the way you're reporting about this
weeb did do videos about it but this kind of format doesn't really work well for the kind of conflict going on there at present
From what I've seen about Gaza, is that there's nothing left to report about lol. Netanyahu is bombing ghosts at this point
@@MrJekkenidf is so cooked bro😭🙏
🥇👍
Don't make dima dumb speculation mistake
I wouldnt believe a single word coming out of Ukraine MOD....
😎
Not clear
You are sounding nervous. Might you lose your bet? As you have implied your UA-cam career bets on Russia winning
I’ll bet you on it
zelensky saying that Kursk offensive is going well with all objectives being met. On the other hand Russia saying nearly 10 000 ukr troops either killed or disabled over 80 tanks destroyed and hundreds of smaller vehicles destroyed.
So whats the deal ????
Truth is in the middle
Propaganda is called
@kevinallies1014
elenskyy is a skilled comedian. every time he speaks we laugh heartily
The truth is on the Russian side and those numbers are estimates. They are not exact in terms of casualties. Vehicles are closer to exact figures.
What objectives are those
9th
Kursk has turned out to be the most amazing own goal.
Mauripol 2.0
Trump 2024
Selensky is a poor wretch...
Run, Forrest. Run!
1st comment!
Slava Russia
Russians will not attack Vulhedar. They will force Ukranians to send reinforcement to Vulhedar from Pokrovsk. For its PR Value Ukranian will send all men to Vulhedar. Thus giving free Hand to Russians in Pokrovsk
First
first
While Russia is gaining territory in Donbass, Ukraine strategically attacks russian logistics and we can already watch Russia getting weaker and weaker. The fact that Russia is not able to push away a couple of thousands ukrainian soldiers from their OWN territory shows that weakness perfectly. Putin needs to decide. Either making gains in the Donbass to fulfill his own propaganda OR pushing ukrainians away from Kursk. Doing both at the same time is not possible for Russia anymore. Because Russia has a lack of nearly everything. Fuel, Tanks, military equipment and most importantly MEN! Russia has only one strategy left: Flatten every square meter with glide bombs and then sending thousands of soldiers over of whom 80% are getting killed. All in all Russia is going all in on Prokovsk. No matter, the main thing is that Putin can explain to his people that the “strong” Russian military has once again “liberated” a village. What huge numbers of military vehicles and soldiers he sacrifices for these minimal gains in territory is of course not mentioned.
Nevermind if Russia will take over the whole Ukraine anytime… the price Putin paid is insanely huge and it will need many decades to repair the damage to his own country. But it will Never come to this point because if Russia keeps this tempo going they will need more than 5 years just to capture the whole donbass region. But the Reality is: Russia has no military ressources anymore to keep a war ongoing for this long because Ukraine destroyed everything with drones and Atacms and they still doing it. Specifically Russia has military ressources left until end 2025. Russia is losing this war in front of our eyes and most of you really think it‘s winning because they do some gains in the donbass. You guys really don’t unterstand this conflict and modern warfare at all.
Nice story bro
Delusional...
Out of soldiers? And you think Putin has no allies, only Zelensky??? 😂
Ukraine destroying his own country, owes a lot of money to US, will be forever in debt. Your whole comment is unhinged, unintelligent, unrealistic.
Sounds like you read a little too much David Axe at Forbes. Glad you got it all figured out though. Can we stop sending money to the fascists now? I'm sure Russia will collapse some time later today. 😂😂😂😂
477 square kilometers in Pokrovsk sector in August alone isn't minimal gains. 😂😂😂
@@blackgoth7545unhinged is right! That kid is so stoned on propaganda he went on a fanatical tirade.
nato- russian war
Disappointing videos lately... many click bait Headings and very few interesnting info