Will Tesla Robotaxis Live Up To 10 Years Of Development And Hype?
Вставка
- Опубліковано 21 лис 2024
- For a decade, Elon Musk has championed the idea that one day Tesla cars will drive themselves as robotaxis. On October 10, the company plans to reveal a “dedicated robotaxi” design at an invitation-only event in Los Angeles.
Despite years of bold predictions and missed deadlines, fans of the company are holding out hope that Musk will finally deliver. Regardless of what the company showcases at its robotaxi day, experts are skeptical of the company’s strategy, citing its Auotpilot and Full Self-Driving technology as a barometer for Tesla’s progress, or lack thereof.
While Tesla has been developing its autonomous vehicles, competitors like Google-owned Waymo and Chinese companies like Pony.ai and Baidu have already launched commercial robotaxi services.
With U.S. EV sales growth slowing, there’s a lot riding on Tesla’s potential pivot to autonomy. CNBC explores whether the company is ready for robotaxis and if Musk’s vision for driverless Teslas will become a reality anytime soon.
Correction:
2:41 The event date is mislabeled. The correct event is the Tesla Annual Shareholder Meeting, which occurred on June 13, 2024.
Chapters:
3:18 Ch 1 - Tesla’s vision for autonomy
6:33 Ch 2 - Full self-driving
10:13 Ch 3 - Realizing the robotaxi
15:34 Ch 4 - Sizing up the robotaxi competition
Produced and Shot by: Andrew Evers
Additional Reporting: Lora Kolodny
Edited by: Andrew Evers, Erin Black
Supervising Producer: Jeniece Pettitt
Additional Camera: Katie Tarasov, Lisa Setyon
Graphics by: Jason Reginato
Narration: Robert Ferris
Additional Footage: Cruise, Getty Images, Tesla, Waymo, Zoox
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#Tesla
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Will Tesla Robotaxis Live Up To 10 Years Of Development And Hype?
I have used Tesla FSD since 2018. It was scary in city driving but doing good in freeway. And it improved about 1 to 2 percent bettter with every update but still not good enough for me to drive in city street confidently until the last major update which they switch from commmand code to Artificial Inteligent technology. And this is a game changer, it drives really good in city street right now and i use it everyday confidently.
Totally agree. Before the AI things were 2 steps forward and 1 step back.
It will never be good enough to drive in downtown conditions. Just thinking about the construction zone I drove through yesterday and the orange cones were so ambiguously placed.
@chm2 Instead of spending all this time "thinking" why don't you take a ride in one through the cones to see for yourself how it reacts. That's exactly what people with FSD do everyday with new construction sites. They aren't hiding from them. Plenty of videos showing it navigating construction cones. There are people submitting videos of failures to help train the AI for weird scenarios it screwed up in. It learns from example.
@@someuser7501 No thanks. I don't want to pay to be their part-time employee. If they want me to risk my life to test their product, I should get paid for it -- not the other way around.
I test drove a Tesla last month and the Tesla rep put me in FSD and took me to a destination and back to the sales center and I was sold. Now I am waiting for my Model Y delivery. And now with ASS, it's getting better. I can see myself using FSD everyday and can't wait to watch it get better with each update. Looking forward to 10/10 event and taking delivery of my MY.
I used to hate FSD. More importantly, my wife hated it even more because it felt too jittery.
However, the most recent update, 12.5, has been fantastic for both of us. It’s the first time where we both feel comfortable having the car do its thing.
Agreed! It’s awesome. I was in the video and I wish we could reshoot it with 12.5.4
12.5 is horrendous. Bring back the 12.3 or quickly patch 12.5.
@@MarvinFontanilla $1 million to have it drive your kids 100 miles without you in there? Put your money where your mouth…
It works perfectly, right up until it doesn't.
@@Chris.Davies 12.5 is a huge step backward on hw3. Stopping on green light, stopping in the middle of the street. It’s overall horrendous again like all prior FSDs before 12.3. 12.5 is unusable unless you have it on to tinker with it.
12.5 is amazing, that's the thing with Tesla... it keeps getting better with every update.
Cruise, Waymo, Zoox, Wayve, Mobileye, Nuro, all get better with every update. The question is how far they are from being able to go hundreds of millions of miles in all conditons, 24/7, exceeding human safety levels by about 10x. FSD is a long way from that.
No it doesn’t, I’m in forums / groups specific for FSD users and testers and plenty of people say the latest version is a big regression from previous versions they were on.
"getting better with every update" - that's the bare minimum requirement for tech
@@Destorrrrr Exactly have shills for tesla and tesla isn't even testing anything to prove it. Unless you call human testers as testing like in parking lots. lol. sad. Meanwhile, china kicking our ass and they won't allow their cars here that are better.
Sure thats expected. But its also only one part of the problem. As the video mentions Tesla is missing several key things that software can't fix if they are actually going to try to create a robotaxi Uber like service. They mention several of them in the video. And the sad thing is that current drivers will not have hardware to make doing this possible. Despite having paid for it already. So they are either forced to pay for an expansive update or buy a new car.
I tried the free trial of FSD on my 21 Model Y, even with the older hardware chip and cameras, it did surprising well with very little interventions. It has a long way to go but with MOJO coming online, the progress will speed up. Remember, all the other companies are having issues too and can only drive on pre-mapped areas, Tesla FSD can drive anywhere, a MUCH harder task!
its DOJO, but MOJO is also cool!
I am very happy with FSD supervised. Last weekend, I had the car drive me from my home (long Sault, Ontario) to Syracuse, NY, and back. I only took control at the border crossings. My 2024 Model Y (with FSD ersion 12.5.4) drove me back all the way to my driveway. And I used summon to park it in a tight parking shelter.
Without FSD, at my age of 75, I couldn't do the trip in one day.
Yes, I had to touch the car controls every now and then when I was reminded by the car to pay attention. But hey, I was relaxed, and the car was handling all the lane changes, the steering, the distance, and the speed keeping.
It was doing it all by vision. My return trip was all at night. I had some messages that FSD was reduced because cameras were ocluded but, FSD still worked and brought me to my home safely and confortably.
Thank you Elon, and thank you Tesla. Keep the good work, and keep forging ahead. One day, we will have real FSD.
You are so full of it!😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂
@@ahmedlasfar3290 tell yourself whatever you want to justify your waste of 15k
What does Full Self Driving Supervised mean? That’s an oxymoron.
@@user-ns7ip8qy9l Do you live the History channel? Firstly most owners like myself pay a $99 subscription. Btw the rrecent updates are amazing and since 12.5.4 and as long as you Tesla has a cabin camera then no hands are required at all.
I have this feature but I almost never use it. I feel like it's more stressful to supervise FSD than it is to just drive. One major issue is potholes in NYC. But tbh I haven't really tried the latest update. The pervious ones made too many errors to be trusted. I have to learn to trust it again.
I have had FSD and I'm surprised with the amount of optimization with every update. After seeing so much improvement and safety I do not doubt that in a few years, the system will be safer than 90% of all human drivers on the road.
only if those humans are drink driving or speeding or fiddling with their mobile
👍
@@turbodewd1not sure where you live but I am perplexed at the amount of trust you give Humans to keep driving
Isn't that 90 percent of drivers?
who are these "experts"? 😭
fanboy butthurt
exactly, whoever knows about Tesla know they are full of BS
They are on CNBS which gets money from ICE. They are lying.
noones
@@htc334similar to Kamala Harris 😂.
I'm actually dumber having listened to CNBC's "experts."
Can’t wait for 10/10 long live Robotaxi 🚖
This report is dated. They used version 12.3.6. What a poor reporting job CNBC.
Unfortunately it was filmed in July 2024. It’s my Tesla. The new version is incredible
@@niteshnmehta Thanks for clarifying. The problem is this is a misleading, inaccurate report and CNBC should fix it.
Typical CNBC crap😂😂😂
I just drove my brother's model Y 200 miles on Full FSD. Amazing.
Dirt lanes to Super highways. No intervention required.
But all these idiots who haven’t experienced say it doesn’t work. Ignorant moron trolls. It’s off the charts amazing. Took my cousin on a 75 mile drive over the weekend and he was freakin out the whole drive. He couldn’t believe that the car drove the whole way without me touching the wheel once! He even texted me twice after still in utter disbelief. Now calls my car Christine.
@@twothbeave what I liked was the driving at night. More relaxing especially now that my eyes are getting old.
@@twothbeave ignore the trolls, instead profit off of their ignorance. Tesla stock will skyrocket when no driver is needed.
@@twothbeave The average driver goes 120,000 mile between accidents. Tesla Data shows 360 miles between "Critical intervention". So according to Tesla's own data the system is 333 times worse than a human.
I’m so excited to see genuine self-driving cars in the near future. I think it will be an unbelievable technological achievement. My wife and I could own one car if my car could drive back home after dropping me off at work in the morning.
It is one of the most challenging endeavor. Why not respect and Be happy an American company will most likely succeed at it first. And once again take on the world. 😊
Make TOYOTA 🗾 Great Again 😎 Scotty Kilmer
Just got a Tesla, the new fsd software is great. It moves over slightly when you pass a semi which is something I do naturally. It slows down slightly for a railroad track. The little human things we do when we are driving is being built into the software. We only intervene to avoid bad drivers, but it’s getting better at dealing with that too.
I have FSD version 12.5.4 and use it everyday, 90% of my drive, it is comfortable and safe. FSD makes driving relaxing and fun.
So literally 10 years late by his 2014 comment 😂
@@d.r.656 Elon may be off with his predictions, but he always delivers.
@@daydreamer8373oooof.. that is.. not true. Hyperloop? Semi trucks? Truly free speech on twitter? Lol 😂
@@f50elite He is literally building the Semi truck factory as we speak after Pepsi showing impressive results fro the trucks they are operating. Hyperloop is not where he is focused.
@@f50elite hyperloop was a concept, he didnt say "we're building it soon" or anything like that. it was mostly an idea he put out there for someone to hopefully build.
If your video is talking about a software version that's been out for more than 7 months, its irrelevant. FSD v12.5.4 is basically robotaxi.
100%. It’s my car. I wish I could do it now but we shot this in July 2024
Took delivery of a Model Y the end of July. Thought FSD was a gimmick. It’s not. As someone in their mid-60’s, I’m done with driving if the car can drive itself. I push the right roller wheel, tell the car where I want to go, pull down the right stalk and relax. The only problem are things where other drivers don’t do what they’re suppose to do. Like yesterday, an ole boy pulls on the interstate, I’m in the left lane to pass him but he forgot to turn off his blinker. The car doesn’t know what that car is doing. I completely understand the logic being on the spectrum myself the car thinks exactly like I do about things😏
That’s the thing, if only Everyone was using a self-driving car, we’d be fine. Plain and simple think about it. The cars could communicate and drive Around each other better than stupid humans ever could.
@@AznPrzsn I 100% agree. I am surprise there is no legislation in place to have a common language where all manufacturer must use so the machines can communicate effectively with each other.
that is a good use case youcited about not turning off the blinker
Driving is an inherently human activity. Not knowing what other drivers are actually doing is a limitation of the tech.
Yeah one of the most annoying things about fsd is when youre stuck behind someone who forgot to turn their blinkers off. And there are multiple other scenarios where human drivers do things fsd does not react well too. Honestly i dont think they will ever do.
I avoided expressways for over a decade due to panic attacks. This is the reason why I bought an EV just over a year ago. I decided on a Tesla Model Y and couldn't be more happy. I am back on the expressways and save 40 minutes of drive time to work a day. It is impressive the improvements I have seen in FSD in the past 12 months. It is now picking me up in front of grocery stores and other public places. The look that I see on people's faces is priceless.
FSD is incredibly impressive and with the latest updates I use it often. But you absolutely have to be ready to take over. It does make silly mistakes 😊
It is Simple Inevitable....
I've owned a Tesla for over 5 years w/ FSD. It's definitely not perfect, and I hesitate to use it much in the city, but on long trips it makes the drive so much more relaxing. That alone is worth it.
As someone using FSD 12.5.5, its basically there
*basically
Lol bro. I have it as well and its not "there". Cope harder. Its impressive, but not there at all. Which is probably why they have built a dedicated platform for it. Which means YOUR car will likely never be a "robo taxi", which is something I've assumed all along, but rather it will have an impressive driver assistance feature.
So when can I book your tesla on Uber?
Never after he finds out Tesla will take 75% of the fare and he will get $4. 😅
@@ultrastoat3298
You are taking this wery lightly but many will not!
Supervised is not what was promised and what people have paid a lot of money for!
I knew from the beginning they were lying, but many take everthing serious what comes from Elons mouth!
They will sue Tesla!
Tesla is using vision based tech for a good reason. They are building a general vision framework that can be implemented into all AI products that are required to navigate around the real world, such as humanoid robots. One system that will ultimately allow AI (and not just cars) to see.
I love cnbc documentaries they are my go to relaxation 😊
they are trash and full of bias information
Ignorance is bliss
It's a biased reporting. Do you remember that CNBC said VW is winning the EV race against Tesla?
Documentaries by news media should not be trusted, it's all the same propaganda
@@DanielL-ee7fe Agreed. VERY biased. These guys need to fact-checked all the time!
YOU SHOULD TRY THE 12.5.5 branch. It's completely hands free, barely requires you to watch the road and is simply amazing. Don't bet against Elon and Tesla
Ha ha ha. Wait for it!
Can't wait to rent your car on Uber in 2020!!
problem is their sales are under serious pressure from BYD...
@@turbodewd1BYD is never coming to America and Tesla is the top selling EV in china
@@TheGuillotineKing ha ha ha
Sounds pretty negative reporting but I have FSD and the latest versions are amazing to me. This is the hardest software application ever attempted to conquer and it takes time.
I was out in silcon valley a few months ago. I finally test drove a tesla. It was super fast, very quite, very comfortable but no life and no soul. I prefer gas. I did try the auto pilot, it worked perfectly. I was very amazed at its ability to completely drive without any interaction from me. I even changed the address and it did a legal u turn drove me right to what ever address I added. Amazing vehicle. Unfortunately I love the soul of gas. Not for me but my daughter loved it and of course she prefers the car to drive for her.
I would trust Tesla any given day when compared to bull sh*t media like you guys 😂😁. CNBC you never disappoint me 😂
Yeah well they said these things like tesla couldn't be successful as an EV company and here we are. Of course they must protect their investors and instil doubt into consumers. FSD is great and forces the market to shift in attempt to keep up. But we all know there is no real competitor here. Tesla is leagues ahead.
Like it or not, the FSD technology is miles ahead of the competition in offering autonomous driving in a passenger vehicle available for purchase today. The latest update doesn't require you to hold the steering wheel anymore either as long as you keep your eyes on the road.
If you can't drive your own vehicle, then you should walks!
Tesla still requires you to supervise the car, and while they have made advancements over the years, people still have to take over way too often to simply say that this is ready for an autonomous vehicle.
And as mentioned in the video: no, current Teslas are not designed to be autonomous taxis. Even if they could drive autonomously one day, you are still lacking so much functionality.
@@tomnguyen9931 Why not let it act safer and smoother than you
@@BenefitOfTheDoubtInquiry but its not... it acts weirdly in traffic endangering everyone.
it is far from truth. Google and Biudu is leading.
I did 5 rides with Waymo last weekend while in SF and it was incredibly impressive
I took my Tesla with FSD out last week and my street was blocked off with 5 signs because the street was closed due to an fair that was going on. The care advanced close to the signs, turned left, turned right, turned left, turned right, and I had to disengage. I also have yellow sidewalk lights in my neighborhood and when I stop for stop signs, the car wont start again on its own. Until these issues are resolve, it is not street safe without a driver.
Hahahaha. You got confused. Bad driver.
@@davidbeppler3032 What makes you say that these things are the drivers fault?
@@leothepeo He does not tell us the year make and model of car he supposedly owns or the software number he is using.. A 2014 Tesla with Mobileye FSD would have those problems.
I have a 2024 TM3LR with 12.5.4 It is amazing. I live in STL Missouri and it does 99% of my driving. All over the area. Several trips a day. Very rarely have a problem. When I do, it is usually something silly like not cutting off people to make an exit that requires you to cut people off to make. The system wants to be a good driver. Not possible. The road design does not allow it. His "I can't use it because of one edge case that nobody else in the world will ever have." is just BS. That is why, bad driver. Clearly he does not understand what FSD is, where it came from, or where it is going. Amazing. Every day it is Amazing.
CNBC obviously does not agree with Elon politically. This video has a noticeable negative slant. I own a model-Y. It’s awesome and FSD 12.5 is amazing. They are very close to Robo-Taxi. Also factor in Tesla Energy, humanoid robots, FSD licensing deals and this stock will 10X in 10 years.
I have 2 teslas and FSD is a lot better now than myself driving, and the good thing is it continue to improve. Book a drive test now and see for yourself.
No offense, but if that's true I would question your baseline. Instead of assuming FSD is good, have you considered maybe your driving is not great?
You obviously work for tesla
@@Kodakcompactdisc as a person that is new to EV, I have FSD version 12.5.4 and I have to say FSD drives safer and better than most drivers on the road.
@@PreschoolDropout673 I am new to EV and have FSD version 12.5.4. I have to agree that SFD drives safer and better than most drivers on the road
It isn't even close as good as Waymo.
Elon Musk is the best con man in Silicon Valley.
buy my car. Its an appreciating asset!
@@randomnobody8770ha ha ha
He's a male counterpart of Elizabeth Holmes.
Tell that to Mark Zuckerberg 😮
If Trump moved to San Fran, musk would have competition. But now he is far and a way the biggest ConMan in the valley.
I’ve been driving a Model Y for the last 3,000 miles, using FSD 98% of the time, starting from v12.3.6 to v12.5.4. I’m completely addicted to FSD. Its quick reactions and 7-camera alertness make me feel extremely safe. It’s a dream come true - low-stress driving. 🙏🏽
I’m definitely an Elon fanboy. He’s probably an alien: SpaceX, the boring company, NeuroLink, X, and Tesla
what happens on the 2% of drives you don't use it?
Imagine nobody does it (or fails) the way Tesla does - we have a problem!
To expect CNBC to report anything with full transparency and honesty is impossible - legacy media at its finest.
I just got back from Abbotsford all the way to (Yaletown) Vancouver with 0 intervention.
Yes, it's supervised (for now), but the feeling of enjoying the ride is something that can't be explained to anyone.
It's exactly like trying to tell a friend the funny scene in a TV show; no matter how a person tries to explain the scene, it doesn't have the same effect. It to be experienced to fully appreciated.
FSD is a good demo now, and impressive driver assist. It is a very long way from solving full autonomy everywhere.
CNBC who?😂😂😂
Thank goodness for the comments here to combat the click-bait reporting by CNBC. Hard to argue with personal experience.
No way you quote Ark's wood. Her stock is worth 30% of what it was. Even I have made more return than she has in the past 4 years
The stocks she picks are usually right. Her problem is she sells too early
total side note, somewhat a nerd about this but why are they showing the really dated versions of the FSD/autopilot in the beginning of this video? I get in the start of the video it was based on the past but when they moved on, they still were showing old UI and such? They should've showed the new FSD and A.S.S.
Are you telling me the the "new" version is better at killing the owners of the car better than the old one. Musk ODOR is all about monies and they used everyone to that end just like his love DADDY the Orange BLOB!
12.5 is phenomenal
Agree, the nee FSD is amazing. I've watch so many videos of tesla owners being fully driven home lol
Is the B-roll really that important?
@Hans-gb4mv no, but why use old ass footage? This is supposed to be news
FSD has gotten really good. Would like to see the latest version get a little better on HW3 but sounds like HW4 is seeing better performance.
Tesla’s vehicles DO have the capability of closing the doors without the help of a human. Some people interviewed here are just plain ignorant.
Market research here was lacking. Such is the risk of free, spoon fed, information.
Absolutely, also I can access the interior camera from my phone. Believe me, you can see everything in the interior!
Litterally, only the model x can close all closes. No other cars can rn
@@ragnarox16 just a matter of a software update
You're actually incorrect. Only Model X's can they have door drive units in all doors. Every other model doesn't. I was a Tesla tech for 7 years
If it were up to people like you we would have never gotten past the stone wheel. I have a refreshed Model 3 Tesla and it drives better than I do, and I am an excellent driver.
There is so much misinformation in this..
Like?
Hardly any.
FSD tech isn’t truly here until 2030
@@WELVAS. That Tesla's FSD is falling behind others. When in reality it's the closest to FSD and the most scalable.
I wish I had the ability to properly express my next point, but I'll do my best. Forgive me for being a bit drawn out with this. I hope it makes sense.
When you hate or dislike something/someone, it's easier to take a video like this at face value. Some of it is true, so it's not entirely a bad thing to do. But the problem you run into is, people tend to stop at what they're shown.
Conversely, to any fan/follower/user of the product, it's immediately obvious how much context or facts might be missing.
Think of something you know extremely well. Could be something related to your job or a hobby you love. If someone else comes up to you and criticizes this thing you're knowledgeable on, it's immediately obvious to you what they're missing or that they don't understand some of the deeper moving parts.
This is what it's like for me and others watching something like this. It's immediately obvious how shallow it is.
@@alexhein6054 The rate of improvement in 12 alone suggests it will be much sooner. That is, the rate of improvement compared to V1 - V11. It's kind of insane...
They'll show one prototype, promise production deliveries next year... and we'll be waiting for it for another 5. By which time it will be irrelevant.
No mention that Waymo only operates in geofenced areas while Teslas can operate anywhere?
Yes, tesla can hit trains anywhere
@@alex_lllthey're even known to drive themselves off the road, truly revolutionary
@@WrathChild-NZ Waymo operates SAE Level 4 robotaxis in geofenced areas, which is the best Tesla would be able to do as well.
Tesla currently operates Level 2 everywhere and robotaxis nowhere.
#1. Nope. Telsa, today, cannot operate lev3 anywhere. Your statement is wrong.
#2 Tesla can't even do what waymo does in the geofanced area.
Also no mention of unprofitablility of Waymo
I agree with CNBC Robotaxi experts on here WayMo is 10 to 15 years ahead of Tesla’s Robotaxi in development and that maybe in 2040, we see Tesla’s 1st Robotaxi on the streets of Austin, TX. WayMo will dominant the Robotaxi marketplace in 2030 capturing 85% of the rides.😊
Tesla has some huge advantages over the competition, anyone thinking Waymo is ahead are not seeing the bigger picture. FSD is well placed to dominate in this space.
@@daydreamer8373CNBC Robotaxi experts do not even think Tesla is in the Robotaxi game now! Has no lidar in the vehicles yet! Tesla is completely lost according to the experts here and on Bloomberg News!
@@Agent77X Well I'm not sure who these so called experts are? But FSD is improving at a rapid pace. Experts said Elon would never compete in the car industry. Now Elon has the best selling car in the world.
Although recent, your examples are version 12.4.3 and current is 12.5.5, much improved. You edited a quote from Elon such that it completely changed what he said. Elon stated that he hopes Tesla will apply for robo-taxi license this year in a few States, but then you cut to another statement where he says they are applying for permission to market FSD (Unsupervised) in Europe and China, and he expects to get approval early next year. He did NOT state when he expects to get approval for robo-taxi. You make it look like Tesla is applying for robotaxi certification in Europe and China and expect quick approval.
You also quote Reuters' statement that the low cost car has been cancelled, but that was denied by Elon. The denial was within 24hours and well known, but you deliberately ignored that.
I do agree that it was foolish of Elon to think that autonomous driving would be easy to solve 6 years ago. They still have a way to go, 2025 could be the year FSD is certified for SAE Level 3 (private) and 4 (robotaxi). Level 5 is many years in the future.
Cars are fun. Telsa is a cool car. I like FSD. FSD is neat.
We will be the conservative old people against mandated self driving tech in a few decades.
Lol you're white 😂
Tesla stock will be at 0 and we'll be riding around in Google waymos.
No to self driving vehicles.
They have killed and no one is responsible or held accountable.
I agree
Been waiting since 2014 for it... Been 10 years and he JUST released a car model... Nevermind figured out the self driving...
FSD is impressive, my problem with Elon is the massive overpromises and massive underdelivery. Been following the man for a while and FSD is far from the only thing he's either overstated the capabilities or completely lied about them.
He did a Ted talk in the last year or two where the host was probing about the robot. He was asking about random household tasks and wether the bot could do it, all yeses from Elon.
Can it do the laundry?
Yes
Can it serve Grandma her tea?
Yes
Just like how he has been claiming since the semi reveal that it'll be cheaper than rail, and it's something "we can do today"
Idk how he can keep getting away with Therenos levels of deceit.
With Elon, it's always coming next..next year...and next year. Just like cybertruck, by the time it's delivered...the price is doubled.
can you blame him? look at tesla market cap, you would lie if you can get away with it.
Because he's surpassed all his skeptics' expectations, repeatedly, in delivering breakthrough technological advancements in multiple fronts. Not saying it's right for him to get away with deceit. But that's why.
@@jakesiu7773that’s inflation for ya buddy
Even his underdelivery is more than what other companies and people can accomplish. Just look at the promise of interplanetary travel, while still a promise and not reality, SpaceX is still impressive and the only company that can get people safely off the International Space Station.
We'll put all this stuff right up there with the flying cars that I read about in Popular Science back in the 1970's.
Much of what you’re reporting is completely false
Mainstream media are just bunch liars. The country is going to be ruined by these liars
@@S13-w4k much what you are saying has absolutely no substance
CNBS
Not at all, MIT professor point out that FSD is only SAE level 2 that should not be called robo taxi. Current camera on Tesla models are really
unreliable at night or dusk . Without LiDAR or ultrasound, how Tesla could achieve Full self driving is mystery.
@@chang-kp9sp have the sun right in front of you, low above the horizon. Good luck with vision only. One of the first fatalities with Tesla's Autopilot was because of such an incident, but what was worse was that that car was equipped with radar and Autopilot decided to ignore the radar and give priority to vision which to this day is mindboggling to me. If one source says: there's an object in front of you and the other says there isn't. Why not play it safe?
Yes one more decade and we’ll be closer to level 3
When Musk needs money he overpromises to inflate the stocks, and eventually when he underdelivers the stocks plummets but a bit above the initial value, obtaining a net gain.
Bet you are voting for Kamala.
@@DavidDedmon-pw8jz So stating a FACT about Musk automatically means that you align with a particular candidate? So problematic on many levels. I miss the days where we could give opinions without automatic political associations. Believe it or not, you can have a positive/negative opinion on someone and it can have absolutely nothing to do with who you vote for. Shocking in 2024, I know.
The majority of my interventions are for the timing of lane changes and to increase speed through intersections which are not safety critical but more for optimal route planning and speed. The lane choice is mainly a mapping and memory problem. Once they solve this problem, we are basically there
"Tesla way behind Waymoo" !!! What a BS ep.
Promised and missed the time - it's much better than to put something dangerous to the real road. So, "not ready yet" is not a bad thing. This is not a topic for rush.
And they are all wrong. Tesla will do it.
I do think Tesla made a mistake by removing ultrasonic sensors and radar. They should be adding more sensors and cameras, not removing them. But I do also think Tesla FSD has improved significantly throughout the years. Maybe not full robo taxi, but it has improved and less scary to use.
Lol. Of course not. All hype designed to pump stock. For it to increase Tesla’s revenue significantly, it would have to squeeze even more money out of people which just not realistic. Ride hailing just another tech bro con. It is not profitable nor are people making a lot of money on taxis. Anyone claiming otherwise, just doesn’t know what they are talking about.
I love it when people say others don't understand what they are on about, then fail to understand the huge leap autonomy will make. If you think this is simply about Taxis, you are seriously mistaken.
@@daydreamer8373 Obviously you know nothing about transportation. If you did, you would know AVs won’t be anywhere near as beneficial as those hyping them are saying. You need to realize as with most tech much of it is just a con to get money from investors and the government.
@@daydreamer8373 you fail to understand that Tesla has been faking their self driving for years and has fallen behind.
you should buy an ETF that tracks tesla and shorts it and put all your money into it
@@apple1231230 Anybody stupid enough to short Tesla, deserve to lose their money.
If you’ve never tried FSD you have no business talking about its capabilities.
I like it - it’s not perfect but it’s far safer than the usual distracted or drunk driver.
Robotaxi is a matter of when, not if
I'm skeptical of Elon musk. He over promises and under delivers.
Skeptical? Are you stoned?
He promesis and delays over delivery Again and Again they are late to the party but they always executes unlike all their competition.
@@isaksidenius7059 Hyperloop, their rockets instead of a plane, he also promised electric VTOL supersonic jet...
@supee7541 you don't know what your talking about
FSD by 2016, 2nd mission to Mars by 2024, roadster 2 by 2020, all by a guy closer to the tech than anyone. He's terrible at predicting things.
Good objections: Items left in cab (Tesla will notify via app), doors not closed (will be required to "end trip" I am sure), ....or notify passenger to CLOSE door, "Charging".....well, there is already Tesla and other companies that has wireless charging of EVs - which I am sure will be shown 10/10.
I actually trust FSD more than other drivers out here in Vegas
OK then get into the back seat like you would a uber and drive around.
I am not worry if Tesla Tobotaxi is immediately become available after10/10, but i am more concerned the doubters being slapped in face once FSD suddenly proves itself works much safer than human drivers in near term
They used 12.3.6? Why?
Because Waymo has won the race to full autonomy.
As someone who recently had 30 days of FSD as a free trial, I am extremely curious to see how Tesla will make FSD work on a taxi yet not function well on its cars and trucks. I was seriously underwhelmed by my Tesla FSD trial, it was mostly annoying and did not meet my expectations at all.
I expect some nasty backlash from Tesla owners who paid big money for this ability to see it accomplished on Tesla's robo-taxis but not their personal vehicles.
Pivot? lol robotaixs is are a small business. Selling cars are big business. Also….Musk is always wrong always wrong about timelines.
5:30 alert, dinosaur speaking lol
If they bring seamless level 5 autonomy on 10/10, then yes, it will be ready
If AI becomes that good it'll be way more than just FSD. Think cure for cancer, nuclear fusion. Everything humans aren't smart enough to solve the AI will
You honestly believe they have level 5 now? 😂
Electric cars with lithium ion batteries are becoming the new “Duraflame” logs that are perfect for those super cold winters….once they’re lit, you’re going to be warm…..until summer!! 💥👊😆💥🫵🤡💩💩💩💯
Tesla model Y was the Best selling carmodel on planet Earth in year 2023 🎉🏆🥇
Actual balanced report with a mix of Dan Ives fantasy land predictions and the real-world difficulties of achieving driving automation.
Dan Ives knows absolutely nothing about autonomous vehicles. His "Tesla robotaxis in 2025" prediction is so dumb.
Is everybody poor at CNBC and driving old Pintos? Why do you need to go out and find a Tesla owner?? The Model Y is a top seller. Next are you going to go out on the streets and look for an iPhone owner to find out how they work? There has to be someone at CNBC with a Tesla you can pay $99 to have FSD turned on and you can play with it for a month.
6:18 Cameras can achieve depth perception, that is how 3D cameras work and even human vision.
I have FSD. It drives better than I do. Amazing. Long time coming, but it's here now. It really is. I recommend giving it a try (the new version, not what existed 6 years ago).
Tesla is an example of what goes wrong when you have a board of directors who don’t do their fiduciary duty.
Self-driving is raw as hell every job that humans do other than making robots is done by the end of this decade
LOL. Look, I'm a big Tesla fan and love my AP1 Model S, but if you have any real expectations of something substantial then you are a fool. If its a vehicle of some sort, it'll be little more than a prototype just like every other vehicle "release" has been. If it's a software update, then what exactly do you think has changed that hasn't been released in Beta form that will be giant leap?
Musk gets hated on, but lets face it - ALL car manufacturers claim what they want with no repercussions. Every single manufacturer claimed that they'd have Level 5 by 2020 and here we are in late 2024 and nowhere close. They claim that all of their new vehicles would be electric and no more ICE but there's not a single manufacturer that is even close to that. You claim what you want and make excuses when it doesn't even close to happening.
For me with a 2 month old Model Y, the latest hardware, the over air update which included summon is incredible. Tried it the other day at the movie theater. Stood outside and watched the car pull out of my parking space and drive to me. That’s got to be part of this new era. Tesla can “summon” your car if one has signed up their car to participate.
@@Skyking6976 Neat! I'd personally be so scared to do it, but I'm sure it works well.
@@kirkhilles523 Wife is the same but she is type AAA personality. I was a test pilot for years so I’m use to that sort of thing and still have really fast reflexes.
Everybody wants to be smarter than Elon .
So many pro Tesla FSD comments are suspiciously similar.
Or perhaps people that use it actually realize how good it is. Its the nay sayers that get me. It takes zero effort to be negative.
I tried it on my MYP 24 with the free trial. It bugged out on a long curved turn at night on a street and I had to take over. On the highway it was too slow for my taste. Not worth the subscription at least for me yet. Autopilot is good enough tho, drove from LA to Oxnard and it saved me the hassle of stop and go traffic when we caught an accident on the 101. For $100 a month it might be worth it for a long road trip and just cancel afterwards. Might consider it if I do Coachella again next year to assist on the tiring drive back home.
@@AlexJee7601 The system is not very good mathematically. A human goes 100,000 miles between accidents if you took a 1,000 miles of FSD driving how many interventions you think you would have?
If Musk pulls this off Tesla stock will 10x. He will pull it off it’s just a matter of time. The big advantage Tesla has over their FSD competitors is instant scale and the ability to pivot this technology to their Optimus robots. It’s a multi trillion company in the making.
I'm surprised that people still take Musk at his word for any of his predictions. What makes you certain that he'll pull it off?
@@TheSpartan3669 are you for real ? Look what he has done to the space industry. Look what he has done to the car industry.
FSD is just time - something that he is prone to being a bit too optimistic about.
All these pieces about being “late”…. They are working on SELF DRIVING CARS people! I think the real angst should be directed to companies who have made the same basic cars for 50 years. At least Tesla is moving innovation forward.
Not the con man saying "your car will appreciate in value because it'll have FSD by 2016. I mean 2017. Or 2018. Okay, maybe 2020. This time for sure: 2022. No wait, 2025". Its fair to say he is selling cars and at best has no idea what he is talking about.
So much disinformation here… one guy said you don’t have depth perception with cameras only.
My Model Y literally creates a 3D generated view when parking!! No sensors
These CNBC documentaries are usually really nice but anytime you all talk about Elon Musk, it's overwhelmingly negative. It's a bit much.
Overwhelmingly negative? Trying to ground expectations following what Elon promises in tech conferences and interviews is not overwhelmingly negative. It is the appropriate journalism when a person who regularly overpromises and delivers way late (or not at all) tries to convince the public of the next miracle technology.
I personally think Elon is a total hack, an egomaniac, and WAY too idolized. But that bias pointed out.. this journalism is fine.. they aren't bashing Elon at all. They are taking his promises and pitting those promises against all the realities and external hurdles.
Elon Musk knows nothing about technology at all! Everybody knows that! The why all the news outlets are alway negative on him because he does not know anything!😂
So many unqualified people debating an engineering debate on whether or not VSLAM is better than LIDAR (the “larger array of sensors”). In engineering, counterintuitively, *less is more*. And a sensor suite that uses AI for depth perception (contrary to what the Guidehouse Insights guy said) that *costs less* is obviously more scalable and more likely to win market adoption because it simply costs less to put in the road
The issue is that the depth perception from stereo is more computationally demanding, less accurate, and also fails to offer redundancy. Software glitches, camera blockage, and damage from an accident can render cameras useless which is why LIDAR is useful to compensate for this.
@@TheSpartan3669 Tesla are proving it working, and are making huge strides towards solving automation. I have no doubt Tesla are very close to solving self driving, when they do, I don't see how Waymo can compete.
@@daydreamer8373 Do you believe 13 miles per intervention is close?
@@TheSpartan3669 I believe whatever the intervention rate. The rapid progress being made will make whatever number you quote irrelevant.
@@daydreamer8373 How do you objectively measure progress without disengagement/intervention rate?
I’d be shocked if this happens.
Edit: I see elon got lots of tesla employees to comment on here 😂
He also has a fair number of fan boys who are competing to give him the Biggest kiss on the behind possible.
I don't work for Tesla, and I would be shocked if it doesn't happen. FSD is making huge waves in the race to autonomy.
RICH coming from complicit media corporations consistently failing to meet even basic expectations of viewers.
CNBC should be called the Tesla and EV misinformation media. I clicked on it as soon as I saw CNBC's replay of the video from 10 years ago. It is October 2, 2024. 😂
Well let's just take a look what's going on with Tesla. They (Tesla) have just recently fired up these huge, end to end, ai training supercomputers. As I take it, the compute they are current using is wimpy compared to what's coming for FSD. End to end AI training scales. The more compute you have, the better results. Suppose the huge "We Robot" event on 10/10 will be a demonstration of vehicles and the Optimus bot actually trained by the new, huge, training computers Tesla is investing in. If I'm correct, the "robotaxi" demo should be absolutely astonishing. Not just a improved version of FSD, but something monumentally better.
2:42 That was not Cyber Rodeo 2022 it was the annual shareholder meeting in June of this year.
All these self driving companies are chasing a wild goose. Cities need to be redesigned from the ground up, literally. There are too many incompatible systems conflicting with each other and they need to be kept separate unless you like to live in a chaotic environment, which is what we have today…
He’s just trying to pump the stock…again.
I'm surprised so many people haven't caught on to his scams. Tesla Q1 2024 earnings tanked and he immediately made the robotaxi announcement. I'm convinced the cybertruck is the last vehicle that will be in production since they are betting big on vapourware products like robotaxis, robots and fsd.
No FSD is getting very close to being ready. It is as simple as that.
Like a pump and dump situation?
huge difference in the view point between talking heads, academics and the engineers that build things to run in the real world.
Many cringy Tesla karens here defending their lord and saviour Elon.
Pushing back on stupid claims like needing lidar for FSD is reasonable. Your ad-hominem is not.
@@cybertrk That's why waymo does 100.000 robotaxi rides a week and Tesla zero.
@@gerritjanboeve Yes Waymo does do rides in very limited areas, with a huge array of sensors and a back room staff monitoring it. Despite all, that it still makes errors. FSD is tackling true autonomy, a car able to drive anywhere. If they solve it, and they are getting very close now. Waymo will look childish in comparison.
@@daydreamer8373 Fan fiction. Tesla is nowhere near the level of autonomy of Waymo by a factor of 100 - 1000.
@@gerritjanboeve The evidence out there tells a different story, a story of a rapidly improving FSD, which is not limited in where it can drive, Unlike Waymo, which as I said is far from perfect, despite its limitations.
FSD is like those signs at a bar or pub... Free beer tomorrow!
Before the neural net approach Tesla is taking, I might have agreed. But since the progress FSD is making is clear to see. Tesla are now very close to solving automation.
FSD is a good companion but not close to Robotaxi by any stretch. Robotaxi is a hype to prop up the stock valuation in the midst of slowing sales
From what I am seeing, Tesla are a lot closer to solving self driving than people think.
Tesla has created the future