Volatility: GARCH 1,1 (FRM T2-23)

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  • Опубліковано 20 січ 2025

КОМЕНТАРІ • 26

  • @hai.1820
    @hai.1820 5 місяців тому

    After seeing the second video on this topic, I started to get a light grasp! THank you so much for clearly explaining this!

  • @finansalmodeller3468
    @finansalmodeller3468 5 років тому +2

    Super clear! Thanks a lot admin

  • @fffabiofigueiredo
    @fffabiofigueiredo 6 років тому +2

    Its possible to share this spreadsheet? I dont understand what isthe 0.880348% means... its the cel S73 and isnt possible to see... Thank you!

    • @bionicturtle
      @bionicturtle  6 років тому +5

      A link to the spreadsheet is found in the description, at the beginning; ie, the XLS is at trtl.bz/2JQufJy . I calculated 0.880348% by applying the "tedious" GARCH(1,1) on the previous day, σ^2(n-1). Thanks!

  • @bartas8891
    @bartas8891 5 років тому +1

    Thanks David ! good explanation as always.

  • @bluehorseshoe444
    @bluehorseshoe444 Рік тому

    Why are the formulas in the 'D' column inconsistent? In the 'D9' cell, you divide current day by the previous day, but in all subsequent cells, you divide previous by current

  • @samrathore9396
    @samrathore9396 5 років тому +1

    Superb, as usual

  • @abenaokromea
    @abenaokromea 6 років тому +1

    Awesome video. Thank you!

  • @LinhNguyen-ih1zl
    @LinhNguyen-ih1zl 8 місяців тому

    Can I use GARCH (1,1) for portfolio returns, or GARCH (1,1) just applicable for a single security returns?

  • @AkshatPande92
    @AkshatPande92 5 років тому +2

    Please throw more light on the Long Run Variance. Will it be given directly to us on the FRM exam?

  • @m.r.5855
    @m.r.5855 5 років тому +2

    Thx for the great explanation. There seems to be a typo in the xls. It seems only the first relative (cell D9) is correct - the others are calculated as S(i-i)/Si.

    • @bionicturtle
      @bionicturtle  5 років тому +1

      Yes, you are totally correct ... such that the prior returns are negatives of those shown (e.g., -1.63% rather than 1.63%). Although because the first is correct, and the squared-returns are identical, it turns out to have no impact on the rest of the results! But you are still totally correct, great observation ...

  • @clarence5965
    @clarence5965 4 роки тому

    Question might be kind of dumb, how did you obtain the volatility for the day prior at 12:35

    • @clarence5965
      @clarence5965 4 роки тому

      nvm i watched the the how to calculate historical vol video.

    • @felipegirardi4379
      @felipegirardi4379 8 місяців тому

      I have the same question

  • @noname_whatsoever
    @noname_whatsoever 6 років тому

    Amazing again. Thanks!

  • @devonk298
    @devonk298 5 років тому +1

    great!

  • @joaquimazevedo3679
    @joaquimazevedo3679 6 років тому +5

    How can I calculate the long run variance?

    • @akibnizamify
      @akibnizamify 4 роки тому

      Please someone answer

    • @jrfabian
      @jrfabian 4 роки тому

      @@akibnizamify Using eviews i think

  • @SphereofTime
    @SphereofTime 5 місяців тому

    6:34

  • @BettyDavenport-k3w
    @BettyDavenport-k3w 4 місяці тому

    O'Keefe Squares

  • @NobukoPasquarelli-q9q
    @NobukoPasquarelli-q9q 3 місяці тому

    Gusikowski Lock