Maximum likelihood estimation of GARCH parameters (FRM T2-26)

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  • Опубліковано 3 гру 2024

КОМЕНТАРІ • 29

  • @bigMtotheL123
    @bigMtotheL123 3 роки тому +1

    Awesome video found it very helpful

  • @DayOfMourningHasCome
    @DayOfMourningHasCome 5 років тому +4

    Thank you so much, Sir. Your channel is a blessing.

  • @mfiras4033
    @mfiras4033 5 років тому +2

    thank you very much !

  • @fars1d3s
    @fars1d3s 2 роки тому +1

    Curious how you calculate the variance in cell E9 = D8*D8 Why don't you use E9 = VAR.P(D8, D9) ??

  • @Nelca24
    @Nelca24 3 роки тому +1

    Hi Sir how u determine de Raw values for the Omega, Beta and Alpha? Is there a calibration or its just a theoric number?

  • @lenskie9559
    @lenskie9559 Місяць тому

    Bro just casually carries my bachelor thesis

  • @avinashmishra6783
    @avinashmishra6783 4 роки тому +4

    Please mention all constraints to be used in solver clearly.

    • @investwithvincent6329
      @investwithvincent6329 2 роки тому

      That’s too easy of a question…using excel simply set the objective to “Max” subject to 3 constraints…
      1) the yellow cells should be able to change
      2) the weights equal 1
      3) the weights should all be positive values

    • @avinashmishra6783
      @avinashmishra6783 2 роки тому +1

      @@investwithvincent6329 Might be for you. But was difficult for me back then.

  • @vishnupp951
    @vishnupp951 4 роки тому +1

    Sir,How you got the Omega,Beta and Alpha values please reply me

  • @samrathore9396
    @samrathore9396 5 років тому +1

    Superb

  • @ramatallynadeem8750
    @ramatallynadeem8750 4 роки тому +1

    How to forecast volatility then?

  • @bionicturtle
    @bionicturtle  6 років тому

    I forgot to explicitly say in the video: the v(i) shown in the MLE equation is identical to the GARCH variance; i.e., v(i) = σ^2(i). The u^2(i) should be familiar as the daily return-squared (which, as mentioned, I suggest thinking of as simply a one-day variance). Also, Analytics Vidhya just happen to post a good on MLE (albeit this is not GARCH specific): trtl.bz/2Lctz19 ... if you find a great MLE tutorial article, please do share!

  • @Phl3xable
    @Phl3xable 6 років тому +1

    I used to solver on my data set. Is it normal to get an omega of exactly 0? Would that matter in estimating volatility?

  • @investwithvincent6329
    @investwithvincent6329 2 роки тому

    I see that this example deals with just one asset, the s&p 500 index. What if I am observing a portfolio of 3 or more risky assets, how do I go about setting up the MLE model?

  • @mcdonalds1499
    @mcdonalds1499 5 років тому +1

    Oh my. You ve saved my life. Thank you!!

  • @panos7256
    @panos7256 2 роки тому

    Variance or Variance estimate?

  • @opheliaampaire5197
    @opheliaampaire5197 3 роки тому

    How did you get the likelihood?

  • @yallowrosa
    @yallowrosa 3 роки тому +1

    GARCHs explain the volatility with ... the volatility

  • @gonzalosyd8640
    @gonzalosyd8640 5 років тому

    Hi my friends. I have a one questions: whats is the meaning of alpha and beta adding 1 ?? (this is not the case with this video)

  • @zibaouilaila8003
    @zibaouilaila8003 4 роки тому

    hello guys please how do we calculate alfa and beta

  • @DamiensRegicide
    @DamiensRegicide 4 роки тому

    Are you able to share the solver password? Thank you.

  • @007ritvij
    @007ritvij 6 років тому

    Sir please share the link for excel file.

    • @bionicturtle
      @bionicturtle  6 років тому

      Link to XLS begins the description (see above), here also trtl.bz/2NlLn7d

  • @washingtonmhlanga3689
    @washingtonmhlanga3689 2 роки тому

    Alpha +Beta should be less than one, in your example it was greater than one

    • @davidharper7592
      @davidharper7592 2 роки тому

      it helps to listen to the video (yellow are rescaled "user friendly" values): beta 0.910121 + alpha 0.083390 < 1.0

    • @ZahidRahimov
      @ZahidRahimov 7 місяців тому

      I think it should be added as a constraint when use solver