The Sad TRUTH About POKEMON INVESTING...
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- Опубліковано 5 лют 2025
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I love when new collectors come into the hobby cuz they are eager to buy and I can sell them stuff. And I love when people get scared and try to leave the hobby cuz I get to buy their stuff
TRUE
100%
Sell me ur stuff 😅
🤣
@@kangaskrantz what are you looking for?
I started collecting in 1998, and used to have a Pokemon base set master set, and have watched this hobby/ franchise grow so so so much bigger than I ever thought it would be, and it’s mixed parts scary and exciting
Edit:I’ve learned over the years that the card hobby is a patience game, buy your sets, your rares, do your “ripping”, get them graded, and patiently wait, for the next 5, 10, even 20 years to go by, then start offloading, let all those sets quit being printed/ reprinted first….
i like how they say childrens card game as if we didnt make the card game what it was.
Its a complete ghost town in every target and walmart in dallas. Only thing on the shelves are battle decks. Not slowing down yet!
Im in frisco and collin county is the same way. I literally can go to every single store and there woll be nothing. Even on restock days
Same here in California bro if ur lucky enough if u go to a local card shop u might find something luckily I get very along with the card owner and held a surging sparks booster box and he sold it at normal price $120 out of the $200 they where charging
I examine the charts. when a booster box's 69 day moving average hit's 169$ and it's more than 69 days since the last wave sold out at distributors then thats the signal to buy buy buy.
What do you use to easily see on what date distributors all sold out?
"They're going to take full advantage of you when you took full advantage of the market" ... Alex!! Writing bars brother! As always, very insightful.
My main takeaway from this video is that fusion strike exploded to $350, glad i went heavy into this set. Wow!
I have close to case and nobody wanted it for ever. Really surprised it caught fire.
It’s almost 500 now
Agreed. The thing is. Even if that happens (a set tanking), it still isn´t a problem if you are patient. At some point, the set will go up. Pokémon has such a great fanbase, true fans will probably always be accumulating. Then, at some point, the hype rises again and the ceiling will be a bit higher again. True fans will see their investment rise over time unless they are really unlucky and got in at the wrong time and had to sell at the wrong time.
“NEWS FLASH!” Is very funny to me. Plaster that onto a shirt, I’d buy it.
I opted for the one-way ticket to the moon. I don’t plan on coming back. I hate travel. So chances are I just live there forever. 🧠
Whenever someone starts saying something like "If X did/didn't happen then we wouldn't have Y" I always respond with "If my Aunt had balls she'd be my Uncle" 🤣Not much more needs to be said
🤣🤣🤣
Until they sell, Pokemon cards are unrealized assets. They are children's cards sold to adults who want to play investor. These cards have NO intrinsic value, unlike land, real estate, precious metals, etc. All you have is pieces of paper you cannot live in, build on or easily exchange.
All it will take is for someone of influence to say "Who Cares?" when you tell them you have a super-hyper-mega-ultra-rare Pikachu (which you likely have 20 of in your eBay) to burst the bubble (all it took was known scammer Logan Paul to say he spent serious money on a Pokemon card to get desperate man-children interested in the 'hobby'----it won't last).
Pokemon hasn't (yet) made the same mistakes Ty Warner did (the Beanie Baby guy) but ultimately Pokemon cards are no better than Beanie Babies---there will come a time when you cannot give these things away. If you think the opposite, then what's your optimism based on? Your 90s nostalgia? Younger Gen-Z'ers and Gen Alpha do not and will not have the same experiences with Pokemon you had----they won't spend thousands of dollars on them out of a desire to return to Neverland and a fear of death. It will crash and NOT recover. :3
Another commenter phrased this better than I ever could,
"TCG investors are just kids in mind and heart that want to dress up like a grown up and make grown up investments but are too stupid and lazy to learn about investing. So they just buy a lot of toys and call it investing. And then have to store their investments in their garage for their whole lives and require their investment to appreciate by at least 20% before seeing any profit at all due to selling fees. And even then they have to contend with scammers who will try to say they were sold a dodgy box"
I find nobody has ever actually left the hobby. They just have long periods where the money needs to go to other things in life. They all return eventually even if they sold their entire collection. So nobody actually ever leaves the hobby
You've been watching me
Fusion Strike had such a low print run. On eBay UK there’s just 10 Fusion Strike listings available by UK sellers compared to Evolving Skies at 27. Same story on eBay US, way more ES boxes. Take into account ES is an older set so more would have been opened. I think it’s fair to say FS print run was at least half of what ES was and even the ES print run was considered small. I’ve picked up another 5 boxes of Fusion today at £190 - 200. I’m looking at selling my small stack of One Piece to fund more Fusion whilst it’s still cheap
Was you buying fusion a few weeks back when it was at RRP?
@ Yeah I had been picking them up since late April/May. I picked up 155 from the Pokémon centre, man it was such a strange experience seeing them in stock for so long when it was such an obvious insane pickup. I thought best case scenario I’d get 20 at a big push before we sold out as I was buying when CR and the US sold out of FS. I’ve got another 10 off the secondary market after PCUK sold out typically £170-200 a box. Even at £250 though I believe it’s a good price for what they’ll be in 5 years time from now. I’m feeling £1500 a box, maybe crazy but someone tag me in 5 years to see if I was crazy or not! By then it’ll be a 8/9 year old set from the best modern era and the 2nd best SWSH main set so there’s a decent chance
Fusion was £147 on PC in the UK well after it sold out in the US. That's what gave me the sign to go all in on FS. It went up to around $250 - $300 while stock stayed around in the UK for 4 months after. I would argue it was very heavily printed. It's the next set behind ES in terms of hits and cards. It's the sister set. The demand for strips the supply. Many can't afford ES, FS is the next option for nearly a 1/4 of the price. As of now, ES sells for £1250 in the UK, while FS sells for £350. I don't see ES crashing unless it does some stupid gains in this bull run. So FS will only keep rising 😊
I still believe Moonbreon and Butthole Pikachu are artificial inflated, and doesn't worth the price. If anyone has it, cash out.
Pokemon will never hit 0, and that's a fact. There is no way it can be disputed.
Tell that to the thing called "nuclear bombs"
It’s true Pokémon cards were worthless to the Japanese in 1945. Do you want to sell me your cards?
@julius8441 money is worthless then as well. So is an index fund lol. Pokemon will be just fine. Especially the cards that survive the blast and in 50 years when the world gets back to normal. Pretty sure pre 1945 baseball cards are worth tens of millions.
@@julius8441I was gonna say this
When I first started collecting, it was during the Diamond and Pearl sets and everything between till HS Undaunted. Those sets were all so iconic to me. I always wanted to collect every card from each set when I started so that is now my goal again having come back into the hobby. I'm learning I am going to have to get on top of todays poke investing in order to complete my goal. PSA10s are cool and all but not my aim. I'm gonna do what it takes to get there and playing the market while trading/selling is gonna have to be my main route to go it seems
Somebody get my mans some water!! The coughing had me chuckling after a while 💀💀
Keep up the content my dude!! I’m new to the hobby so your videos have been really helpful understanding what I’m getting into!
FINALLY someone said it! All these bozo's scared of a crash are under capitalised! Wealth is made when fear is HIGH! Be fearful when confidence is high and be confident when fear is high. Simple economics, buy low, sell high! Bring on the bear market!
Great points. You’ve been really showing me how it’s done! Growing little by little!!
Not you showing our age with that “Tom from MySpace” comment. 😂 💪🏼
Congrats on 20k dude!
I’ve learned so much the past year since I started watching your content. Thanks for everything, it was an awesome 2024. Here is to a great 2025!
I love it when we have something for sale and somebody comments like" I can get that at Target for a third the price' Even though it's 2 years on a print cycle and just for fun we look it up and it's literally more than what we're selling it for on Target's website😂
Hey Alex! Do you recall, roughly, how much booster boxes for EX Team Rocket Returns and EX Deoxy were in the 2015/2016 era?
I’m not a phili 76er fan, but “trust the process” will never go out of style
Appreciate u- good info and just facts. Again, learning again. ❤
A wise investment once said “ When people are greedy be careful and when people are careful be greedy” Battle Styles if you can buy in large volume is the long term play.
So impressive getting these videos out daily. I wonder if there’s something about the name Alex like Alexander the great that gives you this drive. lol
Keep it up
@@AliceinSilverland 🤣🤣🤣
At this point I'm sitting on what I have, (if I can get more PC ETB's for Prismatic Evolutions I'll get whatever I can) and loading up on cash... I'll buy into next years sets at or below MSRP where possible but you're absolutely right, there will be a time where the buying opportunities are what goes to the moon
To all the people that say no way I’m selling cheap just wait till you’re out dry needing the cash, people always are quick to answer and never really think about what they’re saying
Hey, just found your channel as I’m getting back into Pokemon cards! What are your thoughts on collecting PSA 10 Slabs versus Sealed ETBs and booster boxes? As of now, I have a couple slabs and ETBs, thanks and cheers from Canada!
Its a lot more risky but can pay off
@ thanks man! Yeah that’s why I’m dipping my feet in both sectors, PSA 10 Slabs are expensive.
It hit its highs during the pandemic. It will never be that high again ever!! 2008 housing market crash.
Shelby M.C. Davis:
"You make most of your money in a bear market; you just don’t realize it at the time."
One think i learned about investing is doing your own diligence and research for yourself because if you listen to anyone else you'll lose if they lose
I don’t see it happening either. Pokemon is the largest franchise ever, they’re not going anywhere. They’re seeing these booms in cards, games and other products. Like you’re saying the kids now watching and playing will be the investors in the products.
I recently started collecting Pokemon by selling my Magic cards that I don’t use. I buy them graded or I get them graded so they are preserved better for the future. I’m not buying to make money. I display them so I can look at them every day. And it better to have my savings in art and cardboard then on my bankaccount
I agree with this video, but I hate just how difficult it has been to get new sets and product. Surging sparks can out and immediately boomed; I think that is possibly due to TCG pocket but then there’s set like prismatic evolutions where my local retail stores aren’t even able to get product to sell. It’s like at what point does the high demand with so little supply just kill all new sets for people because others just take as much as they can then skyrocket the price
Been enjoying your stuff for awhile now. I used to be really active on the pokemon deals discord. I still hold my 200 english bbs and over 100 japanese bbs. Hope someday to go to different card shows and sell and trade as a vendor. I just figure im pre buying for my job in a few years 😆
You think those fusion strike 4pack battle boxes in Pokemon center a good investment?
Not my choice but could be
@ damn thing just sold out on Pokemon center couple hrs ago 😂
Of course there's a downturn everything's Hyper inflated and a hype train and it comes around and goes around .... It was Super Saturated and Pricing has been due to Emotions , Boardman from Covid and Now it's Resolved beyond the Low point .... The collectible market is like this ... Can't get Discouraged .. because it always comes back around for a Grand slam ... Just sit and forget that's the best policy forget SOCIAL MEDIA
Everyone has a story about the way that they entered the hobby even if it’s basic like they got interested in the hobby because of their friends. It’s crazy that I probably wouldn’t know anything about Pokemon or have all of the incredible memories opening packs if it wasn’t for a McDonald’s happy meal in 2015 with a zigzagoon card as the happy meal toy inside. My dad could’ve said that we’re going to Wendy’s that day instead of McDonald’s and I wouldn’t be watching this UA-cam channel right now or have a collection worth at least $1,000 from a decade of collecting😵💫
“Alex!!!”
-the folks
Man said dec 23, 2024 I had to look what day it was 😂
Released a day early lol
Well said Alex! Straight to the point. This hobby is not cheap, as it was once been. Investing in Pokémon should be like investing in anything..... with discretionary funds only. This way we are not forced to sell when times are tuff. In fact, we should hold some dry powder (aka cash), as Alex explained, to take advantage on bear market cycles and steep discounts like Black Friday/Boxing Day and new set releases.
Hope you're doing good Nom's ! Thank you for the video 🙂
I don’t see this happening for a LONG time! Pokemons growing more and more now more then ever!
The only time I can say I waited and it was worth it was when ultra prism got a small reprint. I definitely got super lucky on that.
The haters in this hobby are the reason why I continue to buy more. Keep it up haters.😂😂 Great video brother. #hatersgunnahate
Honestly I’m barely getting into again…use to have a master set of the base set in first edition but it got lost in a move YEARSSS ago but getting back to it to leave my son something when I’m gone!
"When blood flows in the streets it's time to buy"
Great content Alex, happy holidays.
Thanks again for the info, love the way you break things down 🥃
F O L K S ? !
Rudy?!?!?
I'll be hunting as well during the downturn. Good solid advice as usual Alex!
i actually just started this hobby no lie last week. all because of the tcg pocket mobile app. i realized instead of spending money on the digital cards let me put that money into physical cards that I can make a return on in the future should it ever come to that.
The rare cards will never lose value
Your breakdown the the cyclical nature of the markets with fear and greed was so well done
Cash is King. I’m going balls deep when the market is down.
You can’t time the market
Cash is king
I thought you had a new mic what the hell is going on 😅🤣🤣 thanks for the video bro get better for Christmas sake
Definitely my favourite poke investor on UA-cam. You and poke plumber are the goats bro
I have a grandson who is 10 and I just bought 6 Build and Battle Masquerade Boxes, plus 2 Booster Display sealed boxes. Can he really enjoy them if they remain sealed? Looking for advise, new to this.
Maybe just buy 2 of each thing if it's affordable and give him one to open and enjoy and put one away for the future for him?
@@TimDiaz-j2s you sound like an awesome grandfather
I've disagreed with you in the past but this time you were spitting straight facts.
In every market, whether it's Pokémon or even crypto, when others are fearful that is the time to be greedy and to accumulate.
Thumbs up from me 👊
1:08 TALK YOUR SHIT ! 😂💪🏾
I saw u have otherverse boxes I have some cards are they worth looking after ?
That's called chasing the dagger, buying when the drop is happening. Its a common stock fallacy that usually ends in more losses for the dagger chaser.
@wspatriotsrock27 Pokemon sealed is different. Every day there is less and less in existence. It would be like a stock losing publicly traded shares every day.
If you only expect to get yout money back in 10 to 15 thats ok. But to every scalper out there making a kids hobby expensive I wish the prices plumber as low as possible
Pokémon card are over period now. If you like em thats cool. But it will never be like it was EVER. To saturated
im looking for cases to buy and its been pretty dry last month. if boxes are 80 again im happy even if im losing value cuz i get to buy again
the cool thing about pokemon products is that they dont go bankrupt like companies can on the stock market.
Bruh it ain’t going to $80 again anytime soon😂
You just gotta know the right people. Got a case of PR just last month for $520. Plenty of other S&V cases still around for $650-750. If you see them on the market for the public at $800, best believe someone else is getting it for $100 under.
i joined the hobby of collecting 3 months ago and investing 2 months ago. and all knowledge i collected without investing or collecting in it is all explained in this video. i also think the bull market will continu for at least half a year but i also think it wont last for more than 1 and a half year becaus after the team rocket set there is at least 1 lesser set in hype than sets that came out this year and prismatic and team rocket next year
Should I keep my 151 booster bundle display caese or sell. Knowing blooming water going to come out with decent amount of packs inside but maybe after that the booster bundle box will rise?
Those are like bigger booster boxes for 151. They are a collectible in their own right like the UPC and the PC ETB. Not everyone keeps theirs sealed either. Most people piece out the bundles inside. They carry a premium above the prices of the packs inside combined. They have never been priced based on the value of the packs inside either on the secondary market.
Solid insight. Thank you!
I am basically out buying new product till things settle down. Of course I will “attempt” to get a Primatic ETB from PC.. But I got some Black Friday deals that were reasonable to open some ETBs in the interim and will sell cards into the highs.. 😮
Just buy items that people will always want if you are a investor. Do your research that’s it.
I do have some long term pokemon card investments but I don’t think you can invest in this hobby short term. I bought SS case for $990 after taxes back when it was $140 a booster box. Sold that same case for Christmas at $1200. After fees/shipping I barely broke even. Only going to invest in this hobby if I believe in the long term of the product.
Alex I sold a evolving skies and unified minds bb today. That's how I feel about pokemon sealed right now 😅
love the pokemon market because its nothing like the stock market, its nothing like real estate, its nothing like the rolex market.
That's like me I got a Gengar Vmax Alt Art 10 days ago and I am a happy man !
For $399 ****
This is like sports cards all the time regardless of market. Good info thank you for the content!
Soooo basically… Fusion Strike to the moon! 😅😂. Btw brother, today is the 22nd. Merry Xmas.
Ya i ended up releasing it a day early lol
What do you think is the most slept on set that’s still available???
🤷♂️
perfect example, i just bought evo skies for £700 ($888.01) it currently sells for around $950 roughly. i think in 2-3 years it could reach $2-3000 and people will look at it and think damn i wish i'd bought it at £700. if you look at the set value between evo skies and team up evo skies is worth about $700 more than team up and team up sells for around $2000 to evo skies is heavily discounted but people don't see it because they just see a big price tag rather than looking for where the value is.
do you see the eeveelutions cards crashing at any point in the next 2-3 years?
then why haven't you bought in yet?
I feel the same way, but it will be after prismatic evolution or 30 years celebration
Got into fusion late about half a year to a year ago at 1800 cdn a sealed case and 250 one loose bb. No regrets. Holding one case PC exclusive etbs MSRP, 1 case 3 pack blisters MSRP and like 200 loose packs. To the moon
Also price sensitivity is spot on for people joining this hobby people just want the cards they don’t care what someone paid 5 years ago
Great video as always Alex!
Thats why rudy always says that the things that actually destroy an investor is when Products stagnate. No movement is worse than a crash.
i think future sets like prismatic evoltion will not have a downfall or flatning in price like chilling reign or something
I myself just found the hobby this year I buy stuff that’s above its original retail from 5 years ago . I thought that’s how it works lol
You proved your point over 6 times in this video
I love your videos, content, and knowledge of how investing actually works. Very nice way of making it simple for people to understand. Keep it up Alex!!
Trump will make the economy great again and Pokemon will benefit for at least the next 4 years imo.
That’s why you only should invest with money that you can miss…
Another great take Alex! I can’t wait for things to be more affordable so I can buy more 😂
Pokemon = Rolex
I love listening to these youtubers, with HUNDREDS of product hoarding in the background talking about how buying cards and reselling is a problem. 🤣 You are the problem.
Sealed is king! When there’s a crash its time to bring out the cash, when prices rise be smart with your buys.
Why do you avoid the topic of ct scanning? Is that because of all those boxes behind you making you scared to bring it up?
I made an entire video and live dedicated to it months ago. It's honestly not a big deal.
Boxes are not valued off the cards inside over enough time. They are valued as collectible items themselves which is what people fail to understand.
The only thing I think is foolish about this video is the assumption we’re going to see a downturn here coming up.
Prismatic Evolution’s to start 2025
Journey Together in March
Team Rocket set in Summer.
2025 is going to see new highs
Coming up as in a year to 2 years down the road.