This Sports Bettor Nearly Fooled Me

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  • Опубліковано 30 лип 2024
  • Get 25% off Blinkist premium and enjoy 2 memberships for the price of 1! Start your 7-day free trial by clicking here: www.blinkist.com/spencercornelia
    The Money Buys Happiness podcast had a guest on recently who claims to make millions betting on sports. I react and give my input.
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КОМЕНТАРІ • 575

  • @SpencerCornelia
    @SpencerCornelia  Рік тому +15

    Get 25% off Blinkist premium and enjoy 2 memberships for the price of 1! Start your 7-day free trial by clicking here: www.blinkist.com/spencercornelia

    • @Noctoletsgo
      @Noctoletsgo Рік тому +2

      I'd like to raise a huge issue with your sponsorship video, which will rock your audience to its very core. At 2:45 You generate a link for 'Spencer's Girlfriend'. We all know that is false and that person doesn't exist, therefore it comes under the False advertising act and I will be seeking reparations in the amount of $300 to be deposited in BTC.

    • @antondovydaitis2261
      @antondovydaitis2261 Рік тому +1

      I thought this said "Bikinist Premium" and was about to sign up.

    • @notrixamoris3318
      @notrixamoris3318 Рік тому +1

      Course...

    • @az21bob666
      @az21bob666 Рік тому +1

      any that could make money of picking, long term would not need or want you money they could make betting more.
      unless they were rich as hell, like if warren buffet said here are some pick, or something like that.

    • @0Ciju0
      @0Ciju0 Рік тому +1

      I'm pretty sure Chat GPT can do what Blikist can do for free, lol

  • @TenTonNuke
    @TenTonNuke Рік тому +229

    Sports "gurus" are almost always crypto and forex gurus as well. Because they're not selling knowledge gained through time and expertise. They're selling a lifestyle. This is why all their videos focus on cars and watches and never on the thing they're claiming to be good at. They're hustlers, not gurus.

  • @joeyc9902
    @joeyc9902 Рік тому +350

    I legit won 10k on DraftKings & now they won’t ever let me wager more than $10 on any bet lol. Anyone who wins gets removed. Anyone making millions on picks is lying haha

    • @nicolegeorge3704
      @nicolegeorge3704 Рік тому +2

      Wow.

    • @Pantsinabucket
      @Pantsinabucket Рік тому

      You could check Spencer’s video working with a betting syndicate. First and foremost is they don’t advertise themselves. They use dozens if not hundreds of phones and accounts to make multiple smaller bets, and they make ~2-5% returns on a good day.

    • @UndeadxAssasian
      @UndeadxAssasian Рік тому +6

      i mean just not one one account but they do have to have 10s of millions in actions yearly to achieve that

    • @Stoner512
      @Stoner512 Рік тому +2

      Wow 10k?? Did you do a parlay ? And how much did you bet on it ?

    • @jevtickg
      @jevtickg Рік тому +26

      If you won some parlay bet(got lucky..whatever) there is no way this is true. If you were betting games with +EV over time and got to 10k Yes every book on the world will do that, because they will be loosing to you 100% on long run.

  • @masiomasio
    @masiomasio Рік тому +145

    I was a ticket writer for years at a top Stations Casino here in Vegas. The top bettors tend to lay pretty low & don’t sell picks publicly. Because it will expose their identity. & they also never really place any of the bets themselves. They use “agents” . . . An agent is someone hired to go around to multiple casinos & bet for them. Typically small units, between 4-5 properties. If you have 5 agents betting at 5 properties for you, that’s 25 bets placed. So you’ll never have to file paperwork if you win, & you can bet a grip of money without exposing identity.

    • @boozec
      @boozec Рік тому +11

      Damn!

    • @masiomasio
      @masiomasio Рік тому +18

      @@boozec Yea man. We would have pictures of certain individuals in our back office, that we were told we can’t take their action or we have to limit their action. Because the casino knows they win too often. At that point, you have to hire agents.

    • @jeremyscorpio4170
      @jeremyscorpio4170 Рік тому

      @@masiomasio ill walk in that bitch with a Mr beast mustache on and place my bet no problem 🤣

    • @kevinwilson3337
      @kevinwilson3337 Рік тому +1

      You’re right but All this doesn’t matter because betting on sports is very random . especially totals and spreads. You can randomly win 10 bets in a row and lose 10 bets in a row .

    • @masiomasio
      @masiomasio Рік тому +1

      @@kevinwilson3337 & you randomly don’t know shit. Beat it, bum

  • @jasmine1926
    @jasmine1926 Рік тому +128

    “I took my gas money and, instead of filling my tank, bet it!”
    *immediately ignores any advice coming out of this man’s mouth.*

    • @Brandino00
      @Brandino00 7 місяців тому

      facts LOL

    • @mattmorris4016
      @mattmorris4016 6 місяців тому

      Wait? Aren't you a fraud? Didn't you take $ from someone to perpetuate a legal fraud?

  • @panaceiasuberes6464
    @panaceiasuberes6464 Рік тому +131

    First rule about finding a glitch on the system: you don't talk about finding a glitch on the system.

    • @balboafightpicks4792
      @balboafightpicks4792 Рік тому +1

      There are glitches on these online apps/books all the time, but you get the ban hammer if you play them more than a few times. And if you're sharp you can be banned the very first time you play a glitch

    • @aFREEsportsbettingSYSTEM
      @aFREEsportsbettingSYSTEM 4 місяці тому +1

      Yeah, glitches aren't a long term strategy. What you need is an edge of some kind based on stats, that's how you get ahead.

    • @Expertslips
      @Expertslips 4 місяці тому

      lmao, nah.. think outisde the box brutha.@@aFREEsportsbettingSYSTEM

  • @ryanjones-mk8rs
    @ryanjones-mk8rs Рік тому +79

    The ironic thing is, the small % of legitimate sports bettors are the ones with the fewest number of followers on social media. The "Get Rich Quick" narrative is far more attractive than the long term grind of occasional small edges.

    • @Jeremy_the_bot
      @Jeremy_the_bot Рік тому +1

      Agreed. The loudmouths and entertainers get the followers.

    • @STARSENMT
      @STARSENMT Рік тому

      Yup, when it actuality it is a get broke quick scheme. That's why so many of those guys sh** on college because in college those people have to actually put the work in for years before seeing results.

    • @Mr-pn2eh
      @Mr-pn2eh Рік тому +17

      Plus I'm pretty sure that if they figured out the pattern to getting rich off sports betting I'm pretty sure they wouldn't be sharing it on social media.

    • @ryanjones-mk8rs
      @ryanjones-mk8rs Рік тому

      @@Mr-pn2eh - nobody is getting rich, however some that have been cut off from betting sites have built a business around teaching others how to find an edge…ie something like OddsJam.

    • @madamkirk
      @madamkirk Рік тому

      Exactly.

  • @blondyewest
    @blondyewest Рік тому +39

    After obsessively betting on sports for about four years, I learned a ton about the industry and the psychology of the humans. Even Vegas Dave claims he is banned from casinos so it's a hard fact that if someone is placing 6 figure bets at one single casino, they are a square in the eyes of the casino. There is a zero % chance RJ has an edge on sports gambling other than being drawn to a flashy lifestyle and using it to promote himself as a "winning" sports bettor. The absurd amount of sign ups for his losing picks merely uphold his lifestyle and image to draw in more suckers to his subscriptions. Once you live in the sports gambling world for sometime, you will realize that winning gamblers who do this full time do not dress, act, or promote themselves with gaudy jewelry, designer clothes, or shouting "Whale Clean Sweeps" from a Miami balcony in a cocaine riddled frenzy.

    • @IDONTPARTYMUCH
      @IDONTPARTYMUCH Рік тому

      Yup a lot of it has to do with humans psychology. I see it all the time, how I profit! I see the lines and how the tricks try to trick people. Personally, I’m seeing that good defense 75% will cover spread against a team with good offense (college basketball) Ive made sure to track the data. Vegas knows what’s sup but also it’s an entertainment business alot of the time certain penalties,fouls , etc is already predicted at the top by the ones who really run this shit!

    • @TzUuup
      @TzUuup Рік тому +1

      100% I was an avid sports gambler a few years ago.we were buying bets off this guy's and had 2 great weekend in a row. Biggest bet a placed was a $1200 in play to win about 400. It was a lock barring a pick six or fumble returned for a td. But my heart was pumping. I won that one but eventually I broke even

    • @zydney6600
      @zydney6600 Рік тому

      Lol vegas Dave is the biggest scammer out there, he’s completely broke and been banned from casinos for various offences

    • @blondyewest
      @blondyewest Рік тому +2

      @@zydney6600 In no way is he an upstanding, honest, or ethical person but he’s smart enough to market himself as “banned from the casinos” to elude that he wins too frequently for them to accept his bets

    • @joelinkpen6096
      @joelinkpen6096 Рік тому

      What happened to old Vegas Dave lol

  • @tevinarchuleta8725
    @tevinarchuleta8725 Рік тому +17

    Anybody that where’s a black and white balenciaga hat cannot be trusted😂

  • @jason5093
    @jason5093 Рік тому +14

    He’s lying the casino will not allow you to put up 500k a game. They would ban him immediately.

    • @SamStar486
      @SamStar486 Рік тому +4

      Not if he’s losing , they’ll take 7 figures if you’re a loser and if they don’t take it he could easily have the amount spread out as multiple bets through multiple books

    • @michaelmcw111
      @michaelmcw111 Рік тому +1

      ​@@SamStar486 you 💯 correct

    • @aFREEsportsbettingSYSTEM
      @aFREEsportsbettingSYSTEM 4 місяці тому

      I wonder if it was a game in the NBA finals, but even then, that isn't like the superbowl.

    • @user-um3oo5cn2w
      @user-um3oo5cn2w 3 місяці тому

      There’s video evidence of people placing million dollar bets at casinos

  • @latchmanlall2200
    @latchmanlall2200 Рік тому +14

    You will win some and you will lose some. Sport's betting isn't for everyone. If you work hard for your money please spend it wisely.

  • @bobsanders2145
    @bobsanders2145 Рік тому +8

    “Glitch in the system.” Bro got lucky. There ain’t no glitch in math.

  • @ThePatriotPirate
    @ThePatriotPirate Рік тому +9

    The younger they are, the smarter and more successful they claim to be, even though they have the least experience

  • @TenTonNuke
    @TenTonNuke Рік тому +26

    I personally hate sports pick services because I like to make my own lineups using my own strategies, and then I go to check the contest standings and see that 90 out of the 100 people entered have the exact same cut and paste lineups they got from a "guru." Which means if I don't beat the lineup, I drop from finishing in the top 10 to finishing in the bottom 10. It takes all the fun out of it.

    • @ronswanson1410
      @ronswanson1410 Рік тому

      Most of the time you can't trust the pick rates and they give you the picks without any type of instructions on unit management, which is obviously extremely important.

    • @cptrelentless80085
      @cptrelentless80085 Рік тому

      Unless you are arbing and betting the difference in odds then surely you are picking teams based on form and stats from player performance. Even then you are betting against the bookies knowing those same stats, so your odds are lower anyhow. If everyone thinks Bayern is going to win, then you will get shit odds unless you are a crazy fool and bet against them. And if you are a consistent winner you get gubbed

    • @jeremyscorpio4170
      @jeremyscorpio4170 Рік тому

      If your using your own line ups and your own strategies then how do those 90/100 people have similar information ad you? Sounds like you need better information lol
      The majority are usually focused on moneylines, spreads, and overs *so you instead target unders, first halves, 10 pt teasers, & ingame go where their not and you'll have a much better chance of not wining up with the same games using the same info lol.
      I dont have that problem because unlike the people that pose infront of rented Lamborghinis with fake cash?
      I ACTUALLY spend 10 hours a day working on my craft creating new edges and refining my current ones over multiple seasons so I dont have that problem 🤗
      They say dont buy points *I recommend always buying points*
      They say play only 6pt teasers and my 10 pt teaser strategy went 13-5 *on paper over the full season* I backtested it with 6pts and it was 💩 lol.
      Anyways create and verify your own edges and you will rarely be on the same side as the majority.

  • @snooganslestat2030
    @snooganslestat2030 Рік тому +25

    No matter how rich i was i cant imagine betting nearly 500k on anything!

    • @westleywhitehair9890
      @westleywhitehair9890 Рік тому

      they are degenerate gamblers, addicts. scumbags. they cant help it.

    • @dj4monie
      @dj4monie Рік тому +5

      Then you aren't rich enough. Mattress Matt loss over 2 million on Texas making the Final Four.

    • @LanceH134
      @LanceH134 Рік тому

      When you're that rich, scared money doesn't make money

    • @hostileaks4495
      @hostileaks4495 Рік тому +3

      ​@@dj4monie he owns a business it's an advertising business expense he writes off in a loss that gains him huge publicity nationwide, and if he wins he gets huge publicity nationwide.

    • @jeremyscorpio4170
      @jeremyscorpio4170 Рік тому

      Well you should only wager $500k if you have a $10m bankroll even tho its alot but 5% is the max i would ever wager per bet.
      I only bet like 1-3 games a week *sometimes four* but in baseball ⚾️ i don't have a game to sell my client friends until at LEAST April 10th.
      So I have to wait three days for a game either April 10th or 14th because I have nothing 👈
      ......where as people that are selling picks the lying piece of shit social media "gurus" have several picks a day lol *how in the fuck do you find an edge every single day* 🤣🤷‍♂️
      I put in 8-10 hour days and I can't find an "edge" to bet on every single day so I know their garbage lol......its just funny to someone like me 😂
      Like I could give out tampabay runline, Chicago whitesox overs, I could say that okc is 1-8 ats, & Orlando magic is 9-2 ats ect. But those aren't my best EDGES those are just fun things I follow on paper that I know will win the majority but their not STRONG ENOUGH for my clients especially if I wait ill have better shit *which is what I do*👌
      Anyways I cant wait to bet $500k on a game lol I wish they would let me do it in preseason because I will truly fuck them up 😈
      Unfortunately they only take big action during the playoffs & championships
      But I'd bet $500k during the NFL playoffs ⬅️
      Nba playoffs ⬅️
      Nhl playoffs ⬅️
      A few March madness games ⬅️
      & the MLB PLAYOFFS ⚾️⬅️
      If they allowed me to bet $500k on any bet ill fuck em up and I mean that.

  • @JackDecker63
    @JackDecker63 Рік тому +8

    For those who don't know what a parlay bet is, Forbes says it is "Parlay bets are wagers used by sports bettors of all experience levels to tie two or more bets together on the same ticket to create a larger bet. This requires multiple outcomes to go your way but increases the payout if successful."

  • @jacobcooper2252
    @jacobcooper2252 Рік тому +16

    If you’re THAT good, the casino bans you

    • @ronswanson1410
      @ronswanson1410 Рік тому +5

      Or severely limits you

    • @1Heirborn
      @1Heirborn Рік тому +1

      That's why the guys who win hire "agents" to place bets on their behalf. I've actually seen a pit boss bribe an agent to rat on their analyst.

  • @OldVetNerdSage
    @OldVetNerdSage Рік тому +19

    Absolutely love the sports betting content. Thanks!

    • @TzUuup
      @TzUuup Рік тому +1

      Is my favorite content he does

  • @Lrxxx321
    @Lrxxx321 Рік тому +10

    Damn that's Toronto accent is strong before they showed the picture I was about to be like is this guy Canadian

    • @Todd_Kobell
      @Todd_Kobell Рік тому +1

      probably lives in Georgetown though

    • @deadtotheworld00
      @deadtotheworld00 Рік тому +2

      ​@@Todd_Kobellnah that's definitely Toronto mans, he has to be closer. Sauga or Scarborough

  • @FriendsForFriends666
    @FriendsForFriends666 Рік тому +12

    how come every prof bettor looks like his iq isnt enough to tie his shoes by himself?

    • @SamStar486
      @SamStar486 Рік тому +1

      because they’re usually alcoholics and drug addicts who are drowning in debt but believe the lies they tell themselves about being winning sports bettors 😂😂😂

  • @MrSamPhoenix
    @MrSamPhoenix Рік тому +2

    Great video as always, I hope he revisits the whole “Hyperverse” thing soon.

  • @hutton420
    @hutton420 Рік тому

    This is awesome to see! I dm’d you maybe 2 months ago asking if you knew who he was and you hadn’t at the time

  • @smith077906
    @smith077906 Рік тому +4

    Any tipster in front of a lambo is a fraud

  • @luxurytaxprep
    @luxurytaxprep Рік тому +5

    I’m a tax preparer for tax payers with at least mid 6 figure income on average, and I’ve only witnessed 1 out of maybe 7 or 8 taxpayers with gambling income actually have a gain.

    • @DadeMurphie
      @DadeMurphie Місяць тому

      Many of those with actual gains wouldn't be having you report it. You just don't know about those ones and likely never will. If they gambled unrated at a table game there would be no paper trail just some extra cash sitting in their safe even if they were cashing out over $10K triggering a CTR it's not an income report sent to the IRS.

  • @ChaceBonanno
    @ChaceBonanno Рік тому +5

    This same bullshit happens in trading. Ik a kid who runs a discord giving out trade alerts. He’s signed up to a discord where he gets the trade alerts. The guy that runs that discord is just signed up to a different discord. It’s ridiculous smh

    • @STARSENMT
      @STARSENMT Рік тому

      Yeah I've seen discord guys give callouts from Twitter lol and what's sad is people look up to them. There are 16 year olds ditching school thinking those guys have their best interest at heart.

  • @laxyasharma7535
    @laxyasharma7535 Рік тому +5

    If there are angels, it's people like you and coffizilla... God bless you brother!! #respect #love from India

  • @yippypubb1942
    @yippypubb1942 Рік тому +2

    When they lie about their results, and they all do, it’s scamming.

  • @honestreviews5410
    @honestreviews5410 Рік тому +56

    I knew a guy personally in college named hevad khan who's parents were doctors or med ed field, he was a stats and econ major and at that time poker stars was like the newest thing then. I knew a good circle of these guys gambling in their dorm rooms. It wasnt surprise to me when one day I saw him on tv on the final table of world poker tour. But truth was his parents probably highly rejected this choice of his and it prob conflicted with his life. Relationships and lifestyle. He was very americanized and that led him to pursue that but I have a feeling he eventually realized the personal damage it inflicted upon himself. Theres no way it can be healthy in prof gambling to desensitize you to be wreckless with money or bets. And it trains the ego poorly. These days I dont think hes gambling anymore.

    • @dj4monie
      @dj4monie Рік тому

      That depends and sounds judgy judgy. Immigrant parents would be horrified because of old school beliefs. All you clowns under 35 lack life experience. You can either spend years in school to make 25% of what the owner of the company makes or you figure out some way to make money everyday, all the time.

    • @TzUuup
      @TzUuup Рік тому +6

      Dude pokers a different story. That is a more responsible gambling. You're playing against other players. Sports betting you're going against the house

    • @420villain
      @420villain Рік тому +2

      What happened to Hevad after poker?

    • @Bully-mu1su
      @Bully-mu1su Рік тому +5

      What kind of story was this bro??

    • @landismclennan3230
      @landismclennan3230 Рік тому +5

      @@420villaintalk about a cliffhanger

  • @christofferjonsson
    @christofferjonsson Рік тому +2

    Problem is every site will limit you, if you continue to win. And it goes really fast. Then you can only make really small bet. Then you have to use other people to make the bets on your behalf. And there is very few that can make a living, and it is a real grind, to compare every site where you might have an edge. Almost impossible.

  • @Richking213
    @Richking213 Рік тому +5

    I had a spicy 11 leg parlay yesterday and the yankees lost…. I was close to winning a bag🤦🏾

  • @Dbales34
    @Dbales34 Рік тому +2

    Not to mention with these alt leg player prop parlays you get way below fair value as most books don't offer those lines and thus there's no market standard or norm to determine fair value

  • @craigmills6275
    @craigmills6275 Рік тому +3

    It’s insane how all of these online gambling sites have hooked in young dudes. They will learn the hard way.

  • @YoungTrash-ro1ip
    @YoungTrash-ro1ip Рік тому +6

    IDK if he's a winning sports bettor but if he uses a tool the tool is probably oddsjam which is about $200 a month. It's a screener that finds positive EV bets and arbitrage opportunities as well. Nobody gets rich on arbitrage opportunities alone so positive EV bets are where the money is made. A lot of newbies make SO MANY negative EV bets that work against them, it's not even funny. It's ok if you're betting as a hobby or on your favorite team but if you really want to make it as a successful sports bettor it takes math and bankroll management and even then you can still be limited by sportsbook. I just stick to a day job, youtube AI automation and crypto. And NO Im not some dumbass day trader. I literally make decisions once a day based on where the price closes.

    • @SpencerCornelia
      @SpencerCornelia  Рік тому +4

      I was thinking Odds Jam too, but he may just be using something within an app

  • @BatCaveOz
    @BatCaveOz Рік тому +2

    The data shown regarding parlays circa 1 minute 17 seconds into this video appear to be based on "Win Percentage".
    Plenty of gamblers are happy to throw a dollar or two on a parlay (aka multi-leg) bet knowing that they will likely lose... but could win big.
    Thus the winning percentage will be low, but the total dollar amount gambled will also be low.
    This kind f changes everything.

  • @scottn79
    @scottn79 Рік тому

    Love the sports betting stuff, need more of it, maybe even a follow up on previous guys posted - and this isn't on the gambling playlist

  • @johnvincentleano4673
    @johnvincentleano4673 Рік тому +5

    Vintage Spencer 🔥🔥

  • @conspiracyman8353
    @conspiracyman8353 Рік тому +2

    If you could sell your picks to enough people you could kind of a "Pump and Dump", especially if you could get them all to bet on the same sportsbook. eg. Team A vs. Team B. Tell all of them to bet on Team A. The bookie get several bets on Team A from the tip buyers and adjusts their odds down and Team B odds up. Then the tip-seller could bet on Team B at inflated odds. It would probably be hard enough to get an odds movement to make that bet profitable though.

  • @OrangePandaBear1
    @OrangePandaBear1 Рік тому +3

    It baffles me these people even conned near enough people to rent out the jewlrey, cars, and places they stay at

  • @OkuhleNtshweni
    @OkuhleNtshweni Рік тому

    “I hope you’re following” no I’m not and will continue watching 😂

  • @snapchatsnacks3154
    @snapchatsnacks3154 Рік тому +1

    This video is great and a return to form.

  • @ChintamaniHelekar
    @ChintamaniHelekar Рік тому

    The boxing gloves on the shelf behind you look like an elephant doing a yoga position lol

  • @bacardibum
    @bacardibum Рік тому +2

    billy walters summed it up when he said that casinos now don't even want winners. but if there are no winners why would anyone want to play at a casino? you have to have winners from time to time but now casinos are just insanely greedy and don't care

    • @UndeadxAssasian
      @UndeadxAssasian Рік тому +1

      the winners are people who win and stop betting

  • @frontseatdog4296
    @frontseatdog4296 Рік тому

    Ty SC!

  • @javiermori1710
    @javiermori1710 Рік тому +1

    Im a Vegas local since 71. In late 80s early 90s me and cpl friends tried to launch a sports betting service. The 900# service was really popular at that time and we tried to get a service started. The industry is so slimy and below board we got really turned off and just said screw it and stopped. Any late night tv in early 90s had informercials with these guys screaming on tv spots to call their numbers. Larry Ness and Jim Feist were huge at that time at least locally. I gave myself the nickname NBW..nothing but winners.haha. we were young and dumb and betting parlays. Still bet today but the industry is very tough to make living.

  • @_Manimal_
    @_Manimal_ Рік тому +4

    This has happened to a few guys, And it's luck, Because once you buy their picks all the customers are p***** off of why they're losing money. Out of a million gamblers you're going to inevitably get few lucky winners. People don't see it that way they just see this guy knows what hes doing, When you start buying the pickss then you realize he doesn't know what hes doing
    You can tell right away hes not a winning sports better, he cant explain his edge.
    His recklessness of 500k in one bets says it all

    • @TzUuup
      @TzUuup Рік тому

      Went through it once. This guy in Vegas off of the radio went 22-0 one weekend off college and nfl football. We bought his picks the following week and was up 2 grand. I was placing 200 to 300 bets. We were on cloud 9. Yeah next week I lost $800 on the first 3 picks

    • @SamStar486
      @SamStar486 Рік тому

      Absolutely if he’s betting $100k per month than $500k on one bet is trash 🗑 this guy must be drowning in debt

  • @echo5394
    @echo5394 Рік тому +1

    This might be the first sponsor I didn't skip

  • @Holycurative9610
    @Holycurative9610 Рік тому +1

    I played the UK lottery and the first week I won about GB£75 and I have never bought another lottery ticket since. That's what you need with betting and when I worked at Goodwood racecourse I bet on a 6 race accumulator and when Smokey Native came in my £8 bet turned into just under £1000 and I have never bet on horse racing again. This is the only way you're ever gonna win with betting....

  • @radaction5743
    @radaction5743 Рік тому +2

    Legalized sports books are like nightclubs that use the velvet rope to let in the "right" people and exclude others.

  • @thewizzzzard
    @thewizzzzard Рік тому

    Great video! 🧡

  • @almaguerluis5522
    @almaguerluis5522 Рік тому +2

    Keep doing this type of work Spencer!

  • @TzUuup
    @TzUuup Рік тому +3

    One of my friends has cashed over a million dollars in sports bets. He starts low with a few hundred and just rolls his bets. It's a different mindset you have to have. Say once you get up to 10 20 grand and you lose it, you have to look at it as you only lost that few hundred you started with. It's not easy

    • @UndeadxAssasian
      @UndeadxAssasian Рік тому +1

      so how much is he losing

    • @UndeadxAssasian
      @UndeadxAssasian Рік тому +1

      is he cycling through different casinos or what cuz making millions that is hundreds of wins in the positive if he is just going all in every single time

    • @TzUuup
      @TzUuup Рік тому

      @@UndeadxAssasian thousands of bets between all the casinos and apps. I believe the 700k he cashed on a single bet was from red Rock. He starts low and takes bets he really likes that's it and rolls it. I've tried the method and pussied out once I got over 1000. Started off with 100 and just keep rolling it. -110 bets mostly never any parlays. His mindset is you aren't losing the amount your currently at, you're only losing $100

    • @TzUuup
      @TzUuup Рік тому

      @@UndeadxAssasian we all lose. Personally I'm in the red still but that's because I was parlaying bets alot before I moved to his method. Using his method has put money back in my pocket. Take 1 bet at a time and be patient.

  • @cerberus3426
    @cerberus3426 Рік тому +1

    I think these sports organizations instilling ML's and other betting odds as part of their programming should be illegal! Gambling shouldn't be advertised the same way tobacco isn't allowed to.

  • @psphacker57
    @psphacker57 Рік тому +4

    Spencer with another banger, just rewatched this vid 30 times

    • @ltlocus
      @ltlocus Рік тому

      Impossible. the video has only been out 30 minutes. Spencer using bot comments?

    • @pretty.billy.
      @pretty.billy. Рік тому

      @@ltlocus it seems we truly lost spencer…idk wtf happened

    • @danshilm
      @danshilm Рік тому

      @@ltlocus Or... it's just someone being funny?

    • @tariqreid1866
      @tariqreid1866 Рік тому

      Thanks Mom!

  • @marchechter5047
    @marchechter5047 Рік тому +3

    hahah when this clown said "we discovered a glitch in the system" ... i lay these clowns bets all day

  • @feelincrispy7053
    @feelincrispy7053 Рік тому +3

    You think Americans gamble big just check out Australia’s bets per capita. By farrrrr the biggest gamblers on the planet

    • @jeremyscorpio4170
      @jeremyscorpio4170 Рік тому

      Good, get me some clients then mate and ill share some of the profits with you 👌

  • @justing6594
    @justing6594 Рік тому +1

    There's a simple saying with gambling. Casinos and lotterys are not built on winners.There built on loosers!

  • @anpeck464
    @anpeck464 5 місяців тому +1

    Loved the video, as a winning gambler (part time) all the things you said where true. The one thing I would say is that you can get better than a 3% edge. Finding short term edges can yield results closer to 10-40% but no good thing last forever.
    YOU CAN BEAT THE BOOKS but.... it takes time and effort. And will not last, you will be banned. Find +ev bets, put in the time and let the math play out. Last year i made a solid 8% roi over thousands of bets.

  • @deadserious9714
    @deadserious9714 Рік тому

    I wonder who’s gonna under cut blinkest whenever there summary’s are too long lol

  • @silulamiliwani6609
    @silulamiliwani6609 11 місяців тому +1

    The bookies will limit you very quickly. If someone shows consistent big wins with high stake. You must know it's a scam

  • @christopherton
    @christopherton Рік тому +1

    Does anybody ever bring receipts to these shows ? I’ve never seen any paperwork. Dudes just claiming this and that

  • @derek85581lj
    @derek85581lj Рік тому +3

    I’m winning at a 58% clip right now, there’s two big casinos where I live, I see so many people in there just flushing away their money on parlays I think they probably just think I’m another losing gambler.

  • @cerberus3426
    @cerberus3426 Рік тому +3

    One thing yall have to understand is that if someone is truly beating the books, they'd be banned! So next time yall see some clown showing his Bovada/Prize Picks/Draftkings slip, he's not beating the books.

    • @jimipet
      @jimipet Рік тому +1

      Its even worrse than that. Bookies have sophisticated systems that shows them how likely you are to take advantage of them, and the higher this possibility, the lower your stake until eventually gets to 0. Its impossible to trick this system. The only way you can beat the bookies, is by finding some technicalities in their odds and take advantage of it. Like 1-3% edge arbitrage bets when bookies are slow to update odds. This translates to profits eventually with very low variance, but profits with very low variance will trigger immediately the system that bans you, because thats what they are looking for. You have to extremely increase your risk, to trick the bookie that you were just lucky, for example make a couple of crazy high odds bets, lose, and when your stakes go higher leave with 2-3 huge wins before they find out. But of course this is impossible, there is no way you can be profitable with this extreme risk tactic, unless you litterally know the future.

    • @SamStar486
      @SamStar486 Рік тому

      Correct 😂 they’re only showing the ONE WINNING TICKET 🧾 from a pile of losers …

    • @jeremyscorpio4170
      @jeremyscorpio4170 Рік тому

      @@jimipet the bookies are looking for people that game the system

  • @joemopa
    @joemopa Рік тому +3

    I bet professionally all the time and winning bettors place bets based on percentages...they don't put 400k down on one game...lol.
    Typical percentages are 3,4, and 5 percent of your bankroll.

    • @TzUuup
      @TzUuup Рік тому

      A Buddy of mine was a straight better and just rolled hid bets

  • @damianwhindleton2218
    @damianwhindleton2218 Рік тому +3

    If you buying picks your being finessed hard af

  • @supportmytroups7
    @supportmytroups7 Рік тому +1

    I’ve seen 10000 sports betting ads in the last month.
    Betting is gambling and really, only fools do it.

  • @nick011894
    @nick011894 2 місяці тому

    I paid $500 for a month of his picks 2 years ago. I can tell you right now that he's not even close to profitable. He sends picks 30-60 seconds before the game's start time, so you'll never beat CLV.
    I don't have the spreadsheet anymore, but I recall losing ~30% of my bankroll in the first week. That was with me betting 2.5-5% of my BR per bet. Over the month my BR had dropped to below 50%.

  • @RTM661
    @RTM661 Рік тому

    Have them post record for the whole year😂😂

  • @pjl_bee514
    @pjl_bee514 Рік тому

    ARV
    all time exists now. If you can tune into the 'future' event, you can know who wins.

  • @BiggiiYoung-qj3nw
    @BiggiiYoung-qj3nw Рік тому

    I love to follow your community

  • @ajrichards1190
    @ajrichards1190 Рік тому

    Unless sportsbooks allow alternate betting lines, Parlays are fools gold.

  • @davidangelo1211
    @davidangelo1211 Рік тому +3

    Long time spencer

  • @kijinkim18
    @kijinkim18 Рік тому +1

    It sounds like he's using one of the many tools out there to do "positive ev betting". He might have gone on a run in the beginning and even figured out a temporary edge on the house when he talks about hitting the unders. Once the books closed that leak he probably either started using a paid for tool for arbitrage betting, but most likely for something like +EV betting. When he talks about the probability of how well a bet cashes, it sounds like most videos here on YT about +EV betting. In fact, when watching your previous Dave Miller video, they seem to also be doing a very sophisticated version of +EV betting. But in his case he knows it so well that he probably recognizes a +EV line by just looking at it, without the need for a tool.

    • @jeremyscorpio4170
      @jeremyscorpio4170 Рік тому

      Thats not a strategy or an "edge" lol.
      I use to test that for fun but without a solid strategy your just guessing 👈
      *i use to test playing the under in the last 2 or 3 minutes of a game going off the pace of the game do I believe they can score 15-20 pts in that time frame ect 👈
      GARBAGE STRATEGY BEEN THEIR DONE THAT AND IF IT WORKED I WOULD HAVE INCORPORATED IT AND WORKED ON IT TO MAKE IT BETTER LOL.
      If im not on it or interested in it then chances are the strategy is probably worthless.

  • @prxdigymf
    @prxdigymf Рік тому

    off topic was that the South Point casino you used for the video before the Sponser ?

  • @baumgartner96
    @baumgartner96 Рік тому

    Next football season you need to do a story on Stu Finer

  • @Keys2motionmethods
    @Keys2motionmethods Рік тому

    Thank you

  • @HaveaGudOne
    @HaveaGudOne Рік тому +2

    I was waiting for Spencer to do an episode on this guy to see if he’s legit or not 😂

  • @joshuapatrick682
    @joshuapatrick682 Рік тому +1

    That right there proves he ain’t no pro, no one with any ability or critical thought would have picked Conor Mcgregor in either of his fights with the 💎

  • @michaelfinger6303
    @michaelfinger6303 Рік тому +1

    What he's saying regarding his edge didn't work and there are other reasons his story is not believable... and yes we love people having a good time and place crazy bets, betting is about having fun... The only thing thats real is him making money of the people buying his picks and his sponsorship/affiliate deals... Regarding the 500k bet for it to be accepted, you must be a long term looser, winning guys get bets reduced...

  • @killerkid4941
    @killerkid4941 Рік тому

    Hey Spencer can you give me advice on any good credit repair companies?

  • @michaeldelzitti895
    @michaeldelzitti895 Рік тому +1

    10:46 That's true.
    There are many sites to get information. For the past 10 years I don't even bother watching games. Better things to do.
    Bankroll management is important in any form of gambling. It's a reason why many fail.

    • @jeremyscorpio4170
      @jeremyscorpio4170 Рік тому

      Yep if these idiots watch the games then their not legit because why would you waste 2 hours watching a game when you can spend that same two hours looking for your next game or going over why your last game won or lost ect.
      Do your research, select your game, bet on it/give it to your clients, then thats it.
      Once thats done find your next game or work on your strategies thats what I do 🤷‍♂️
      What i DONT do is waste my time watching the games hahaha!

    • @paulrobarge6611
      @paulrobarge6611 Рік тому

      @@jeremyscorpio4170 because its fun to watch, retard. some people actually enjoy it

  • @Fedgery007
    @Fedgery007 Рік тому

    The pic of him standing on the Lambo was photoshopped. He didn’t actually stand on the car. 😂

  • @danfairfw
    @danfairfw Рік тому

    Would like to see what the PHD's who came up with the research that was shown at UNLV, their sport betting sheets. Probably blank.

  • @panam747
    @panam747 Рік тому

    They kick you out when you win!!!

  • @LostSoulsmusic22
    @LostSoulsmusic22 Рік тому +1

    It's almost like they're all gonna stay poor no matter what anyone else thinks about it.

  • @almighty9946
    @almighty9946 Рік тому +1

    I won a decent amount of money and fab duel won’t let me bet any more

  • @joeybanks961
    @joeybanks961 Рік тому +1

    Beat Caesar's sportsbook now I am limited to only 10 dollars.

  • @joshuapatrick682
    @joshuapatrick682 Рік тому +2

    Fortunately so many fan boys did bet on Mcgregor that those of us with sense got paid when DP KOed that gutter punk

    • @brendonross5774
      @brendonross5774 Рік тому

      I was sure betting on the guy who has the most social media followers was a winning formula!

  • @stevesetzer3361
    @stevesetzer3361 Рік тому +1

    why anyone in their right mind believes random people on the internet is a mystery.... i guess suckers are in endless supply

  • @leopoopsonyou
    @leopoopsonyou Рік тому

    Betting the under every 1st quarter & always winning? lmaoooooo I wish that’s how it works

  • @BiggiiYoung-qj3nw
    @BiggiiYoung-qj3nw Рік тому

    I really love this

  • @jameshanna2287
    @jameshanna2287 Рік тому

    Same thing happened to me on draft kings it was halftime on the TV but on draft kings said 30 sec left so I put 300 on the team to score the next basket I knew that Texas made the last 2 pointer before half to win 1k so he ain't lying

  • @tchef2525
    @tchef2525 Рік тому +1

    That's why u gotta play +ev only not your favorite player . Those casinos do the work for us , they pay trillions of dollars for stats and research for their teams to beat us gambling. If you follow Pinnacles lines vs these newer apps it's a smoke show . You can beat the house over 8% a day on where you shop for your oddss. That's why prizepicks is thriving it's -119 all day

    • @LanceH134
      @LanceH134 Рік тому

      Did u just describe the glitch?? Lol

  • @dustinwhiles8428
    @dustinwhiles8428 Рік тому

    I smacked on a 4 leg home run parlay 2 weeks ago and only got 2 followers. I was so confused 😭😭

  • @Dbales34
    @Dbales34 Рік тому +4

    5% of bankroll per game seems pretty heavy by the way, especially if you opt for volume and are willing to take plays below 5% ev (expected value)

    • @TzUuup
      @TzUuup Рік тому

      Start low and go all in on every game. $100 and keep rolling it

  • @theskinnieguinea
    @theskinnieguinea Рік тому +1

    I don't like parleys I usually just do flat bets but if you're only trying to risk 10 15 20 a day I work with guys who hit pretty good they arent quitting their jobs but they do well.... Ita very hard to win consistently..

  • @TomassWolf1
    @TomassWolf1 Рік тому

    I’m up over 100% year to date with my sports betting group, Over 400 bets

  • @18aplateindoors
    @18aplateindoors Рік тому +1

    And I wonder if people are using AI and chapgpt to makes picks on games

  • @BlacksmithBets
    @BlacksmithBets Рік тому +1

    Most of these cappers are poor but there are a small number who are very good and no they don’t do parlays!

  • @skar2246
    @skar2246 Рік тому

    Please do a video on the D Lucky slot experience. Thank you

  • @adriankennedy1759
    @adriankennedy1759 3 місяці тому

    Crazy..I live in vegas and sports bet for a living I make 3k a week betting on the books side of lopsided games..I bet same amounts and pay myself weekly and show no flash at all these gurus are nuts and sad