The Current Moment and the Changing World Order | Ray Dalio
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- Опубліковано 19 чер 2022
- The billionaire hedge-fund investor Ray Dalio believes the world order is changing. Looking at the rise and fall of empires over 500 years of history, he discovered three factors occurring simultaneously: debt and monetization, political extremism, conflict and populism and the rise of a new great power.
Watch the full conversation at charlierose.com. - Розваги
This interview needs to be spread everywhere. It's a hard truth everyone needs to understand.
Charlie Rose is the best interviewer. I've been impressed by his skills and the preparation he brings to conversations for years. I'm glad he's back.
just keep the female staff away from him this time
Charlie, thank you for doing these. It's the work that is important and you're so gifted at this. These interviews mean a lot to me wherever I find them (on PBS, UA-cam, etc).
People have been reporting on this since the bailouts since 2009 and youtube censored them all of. Mainstream is just handing you your two weeks notice
If PBS is paying for this it’s surely a lie. Why do you think they disabled comments on their UA-cam channel?
Charlie I’m happy you’re back. Always enjoyed your informative programs.
I've learned a lot from Ray Dalio. I hope your spirit passes over to next generation & i'll do my best to do so. we need this in our lives.
ccp mouse piace.
Glad to see Charlie Rose is back.
Great to see Charlie back! Keep up the great interviews.
Thank you, Charlie and Mr. Dialo. for this interview. Keep it simple in terms of understanding how we got here and understanding where we are headed. This should be shown to junior high school age kids these days to learn how to adapt and survive the coming storm we are headed into.
I missed Charlie Rose. Glad to see you back!!!!
why he had gone?
@@learn2237 He was a streaker.
@@lenblack1462 ok he should not comeback then.
Ray Dalio is such a bright guy! His book "The Changing World Order" should be taught in every school in the entire world. He is basicly educating the readers about the whole cycle of a nation/empire. From the start of the cycle, typically after a war, till the end of the cycle with huge wealth gaps, populism and war starting to begin.
I can recommend everyone reading this book made by Ray Dalio, who is by the way leading the largest hedgefund in the entire world. I got so much respect for this man and I'm very eager to learn much more from him in the future.
Agreed. Reading it now. Great book. Eye opening
I always watched every time he was on air regardless of who he interviewed. I miss watching Charlie Rose so, to me, this is a gift... Thank you Charlie Rose... please, please submit more interviews
this is an awesome video, educational . thanks for uploading.
Anyone else here cuz this popped up in ur feed and you went "Holy shit charlie rose has a youtube channel lel I gotta see this"?
Thank goodness Charlie is back. Really missed his programs and formats. The world is getting crazier and noisier by the day, and we have too few enough 'analysts' of this chaos like Mr. Rose.
I’d submit that Dalio is more the analyst than Rose.
Good to see you Charlie
Nice 2:27 minus the hardening
Holy cow, this man is awesome, this is the truth I was looking for.
Just look for this book. And u uploaded interview. Thank
Can't watch. No captioning. Please consider adding captioning to the videos for the benefit of those of us in the Deaf and hard-of-hearing community. Thanks.
Technically you can watch, you just can’t listen!
Sorry lol just kidding 😅
There are a lot of apps and devices that will convert spoken words into a text. Hope this information will help you to help yourself. Be your own boss, don't wait for other people to do all the work. I wish you a great day 🙏❤️
I read Alvin Toflers book; The Third Wave about 35 years ago and what he mentions in there is starting to come to fruition....
Ray Dalio is the most legendary economist and political analyst in human history.
and scammer
He’s good but not the most legendary. Milton Friedman was better for sure.
not even an economist though
NO, Please accept someone's idea critically. His model is too ideological to me.
the most legendary American Communist member
Thank you so much Charlie for "being back". Another great interview, as you've always given us.
🐽
250yrs old Nation built on war over wars (only 20yrs without bombing another country).. hope for peace please.. we are all 1 on this planet
I used to think that when people saw all the information, a logical conclusion would be naturally drawn
In other words, Ray thinks the CCP in China will lead the New World Order.
I'm going to start learning Mandarin.
I was thinking the sameeeee lmao
Eminently logical.
We are very close to the possibility that neither side of a presidential election, will admit defeat 🤔.
Vvaa and I HAVE BEEN WORKING
There is only one party that denies the results of free and fair elections.
Let the b'odi given...be the only controller...let us learn it.
Must rebuild the People Presented with good legal standing...first You have to be able to stand...they are out of line to falsify the flaws of the b'odi.
It doesn't have to be this way, but the shortsightedness of US and EU makes it.
scary stuff. how do you manage after you watched this?!?
Dude is telling the truth. I never thought I'd see New York turn into what it's turned into since 2020. The US doesn't have it together right now. ✌
His comments I read today on yahoo titled Ray Dalio attacks US populists I totally agree with and is very logical and practical that Russia will be the lesser or the loser. Very practical logical comments that is not shared by our president or congress who are making decisions based on their and or the countries invested interests or more importantly lack thereof...
Build America 🇺🇸 up not other nations while US citizens struggle to survive.
America is going through its fastest reindustrialization. No one can challenge america in any capacity
why no subtitles? I can not make out some words. It's frustrating.
this is when? is charlie back?
CHARLIE ROSE IS AN OG IN THE GAME. REAL JOURNALISM✊🏾😅
Good morning world 🌍 interesting 🤔
One feast. Let's eat.
Ray the man.
Mr. Rose, Peter Zeihan, in depth interview per request. Thanks, and glad to see your doing your thing. Fuck em' all.
“Civil Disobedience” discusses the need for each individual to decide their own moral code and live up to it. Throughout the essay Thoreau argues that the best form of government is one that allows the most individualism and requires the least from its citizens. He asserts that an individual has a responsibility to ignore laws that go against the higher laws of their conscience or faith. He writes that his only “obligation” is “to do at any time” that which he thinks is right (5). The alternative is to live as part of the machine of government, furthering injustice by doing not what is right but what the law requires. In doing so, men become “servants” to the State or, worse, “machines” (5). They lose their sense of humanity and their freedom. Indeed, as they become more entwined with society, they lose more of their humanity and moral footing each day. Living in society, thus, is a slow death.
I would like to see Peter zeihan and Ray Dalio in the room together to debate their ideas
Lol
Oh....it's changing and it will be much worse for the average person.
Dalio is just a brilliant man, nothing more to say and I think we should all be watching very closely was Bridgewater is investing in... heavily investing in pure value plays right now!!
They are currently shorting Europe.
Ties to China may be coloring his thinking.
I’m not taking anything away from Dalio as far as his investing and business success… But he is way off on his assessment of China’s military might. They are still way behind us and will be for some time. They’ve finally just built their first carrier that is possibly in the same class as ours, but as far as experience in warfare, they have none… Chihuahuas bark loudest so they can sound tougher than they are. There is a reason the west doesn’t talk like authoritarian third world economies (make no mistake China is still a third world country outside Beijing and Shanghai. And even inside those cities, you still find pockets of lacking infrastructure). We sale and fly our big sticks around as reminders to these regimes.
Bring back the Fairness Doctrine if you want more unbiased news. That legislation was vetoed by Reagan. It required the holders of broadcast licenses both to present controversial issues of public importance and to do so in a manner that fairly reflected differing viewpoints. We usually get only one viewpoint from each news source.
Good point!
We will have 3 at the end you will see
American made corporations and American made banks listed in American Stock Exchanges that cannot be bought by foreign corporations or persons should be the new corporate rule. Ownership of these entities by foreigners deminishes the value of US Dollar 💵. It's just my opinion but I think my theory is sound.
Dirty money... not good for family's... brings negative and dangerous effects in each person's family....
Just from the videos I've listened to, Mr. Dalio hasn't mentioned population in his sequence of steps. I don't think it was much of an issue in other empires because the world population was much smaller with room to grow. However, many countries today foresee sharp population decline such as China, Korea, Japan, many European countries, Russia and the U.S to a lesser extent. How does an empire sustain itself when it's population is shrinking? The interesting facet with the U.S. is immigration. While it is a heated subject in the U.S., it continues and will continue to let in people from all around the world, to become citizens, to share their talents, to vote, to own property, etc. In essence, the U.S. can always open the immigration spigot to compensate for population decline. One would think this would factor into the equation of an empire's longevity.
Not only decline, aging population is a big problem as well. Maybe not so much for the US for the reasons you stated, but it is for many countries.
@@HelderP1337 Agreed. Fewer young people at the bottom providing for a massive elderly population at the top. An inverted pyramid precariously balanced.
Productivity is the most important thing. If 50% labor is obsoleted in the next 20 years, which system is in better shape?
Declining or increasing population?
"50% labor is obsoleted in the next 20 years", do you mean 50% will be automated in the next 20 years? If so, that's a good point. I guess, one could argue that the success of productivity is measured by consumption. Consumption drives productivity. Who consumes more? A declining population or a growing one?
@@lostedges9876 "consumption drives productivity" there's not really evidence of this.
Cheap supply from China drove the largest consumption gain in human history in the US, US consumption drove massive inefficiency (moving from efficient US labor to inefficient Chinese labor 30 year ago)
If you read Vaclav Smil, fossil fuel discovery massively improved energy used/energy generated ratio, creating the largest energy consumption boom in human history
Plenty more of direct evidence that the causation is reversed
What was the impact of the 911 terror in 2001? The trade tower collapsed, and many intelligent people died at that time. How have you changed after that? How did you overcome it?
"[Allah] will say, "Enter among nations which had passed on before you of jinn and mankind into the Fire." Every time a nation enters, it will curse its sister until, when they have all overtaken one another therein, the last of them will say about the first of them "Our Lord, these had misled us, so give them a double punishment of the Fire. He will say, "For each is double, but you do not know.""
Inflation not only is the result of debt, disruption of supply chain has a big role here, out of control sanctions also affect the supply chain. By impeding countries to participate in global markets also causes inflation, to destroy the working class also causes inflation because you are also cutting off streams of tax revenue, that also impairs the power behind the vote, curtailing democracy in the process, dwindling votet participation is directly related to lack of representation. Too many variables.
Of our last 6 elections in the last 22 years: Bush 1, Bush 2, Obama 1 Obama 2, Trump and Biden, 3 were not believed to be a genuine loss by the opposition.
dems lost by slim margins and they conceded and congratulated the winner, repub loses by a landslide and refuses to admit defeat, leads an insurrection.
@@ricardoramirez4884 That's delusional. I said the results were not believed - not that they were not conceded. Hillary wrote a book on how her result was unfair and repeated the same on Colbert in 2020. Al Gore - to CR at the Y - agreed with a audience member that his result was unfair in 2013, more than a decade after. Trump conceded and condemned the day after his. So you're wrong on all counts. You're not entitled to your own facts.
Get ready for this year, let alone 2024. Rs & Ds no longer need to stand for anything, only in opposition to the other, in order to maintain their lifestyles and the mechanics of our class structures; the entire process serves emotional narratives and increasingly lacks a foundation in reason. Facts are almost always the enemy of narratives and those seeking to drive them
Notable that the two most recent are among those three.
4th Turning, difficult decade ahead for Europe, Usa, China and dont forget Putin
when robots and Ai take over the robots will decide the amount of human population they want the world to have, so this argument is moot.
You can't convince me these guys have not been loaded with psychedelics in the past.
why do you say that?
@@28goldenboy just look at how clear they are.
Project mockingbird. PBS ABC Fox MSNBC all are government assets. The potato in chief isn’t in charge, so who’s really pulling the policy strings right now? We are in a banana republic where we focus more on things that happened a year and a half ago, instead of where we’ll be in a year and a half with the current path we’re on. Economic growth is stagnant, we are a nation of services when we should be manufacturing. This is agenda driven with nefarious purposes and many people will suffer.
Maybe it's time to break the power grid
He still hasn't touched on the subject in the worded caption, or must we read between the lines, as I already have...
Ray loves the Fed!
Didn’t sound like that here
@@fhowland The Market is being held together with fiat money! That’s what the 1 10th of 1% like.
U sure?…
if they can print just unlimited dollars, why they do not convert these dollar to Gold by buying unlimited gold and other assets worldwide and use them as reserve assets, since the dollar is in high demand. In this case, they buy unlimited gold and other expensive assets by using papers.
Been saying the same.e stuff for 15 years. Nothings changed . He's heavy on China and is frustrated it's not worked out yet.
the American empire might end up being the shortest-lived empire in history.
Fast rise fast fall. But there is still a long way to go before any falls. China has too many issues to take the top spot.
Of all the major empires, I think they will barely even get a mention in future history books. They neither ruled for a long time, nor expanded their territory. The only reason they ever received that spot was because the rest of the world was completely decimated and they had a clear path to take over.
@@avarmauk steady contributions in terms of culture throughout the twentieth century, aside from that they just mainly pissed a lot of people off and stole a lot of natural resources from other countries.
@@geckojinn1604 certainly their impact on culture has been huge
Might😳…. 🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣 we’re a joke.. laws only apply to the middle class and poor.
Its time to learn mandarin
Global Declaration of Independence - Fight the Power (UA-cam video) offers a unique and viable global solution to global problems such as these! Fixing America's Democracy: There's a future app for that.
History never repeats itself in verbatim, but it rhymes. Dalio fails to incorporate the idiosyncratic points that shape the Pax Americana in his template analysis, and omits its likely outcome. Fair insight in broad strokes, though.
just an fyi - it's not polite to point at people.
Time to invest in yen!
It's matrix!!! There's always a reset after a bloody truce.
what do you mean?
I’m confused? I was under the impression Mr. Rose was in “Me-Too” Jail.
Neophyte, I.
Regards.
“Circle the Red Lights?”
I was too. I’m hoping he’s out and this interview is new. It certainly looks and sounds to be new…
The People are wondering 🤔 in the WRONG DIRECTION.
Maybe?
Sounds like they had a plan.
And yet, here we are, fighting over if its socially acceptable to identify as a chicken...
To summarize:
The Golden Ruke: whoever has the gold makes the rules.
Right?
😆 😂 🤣
:36 Charlie is wearing pants... thats good. also good to see him, I watched him on PBS often.
Look at Bosnia - Herzegova conflict: a Civil war on top of an international war.
Should be good times! Whoa whoot!
that's exactly what they say in Russia now. the conflict in Ukraine is the start of losing its "neocolonies" by the west. that's why it spends so much money "helping ukrainians" after they left people of afganistan alone with Taliban just less than a year ago
Think Ray Dallio is disgusting. He said cash was trash and people invested. Then now equity is trasher.
His average in TDOC is 130? And bought more last three months. He has so much money and buys everything and can take chances. His focus on money is disgusting.
Bridgewater isn’t doing well as far as China investment or any stocks they bought.
Winners write the history books too
By definition, the World Order is ALWAYS changing as per Dalio. Bad question.
asian cultures the middle way is the path for win-win - balance and peace.
Yeah, but most Chinese do NOT incorporate taoism into their daily life or even practice it. So there is that. 👀
@@Jacked2theTs Indonesia where Dalio's office relocated - isnt China - I was saying in general we could all learn from being more centered and less selfish - it is the right path.
@@deedetres703 and I’ll just answer like the farmer from the Chinese proverb: “Maybe?” 🤷♂️
I agree with what he says about the USA declining. But I think he overestimates China.
I agree.
@@Romogi You are fools.
Totally not. You have to look at history to really understand China. Its the ONLY country with 4000 years of history, in which the language, the culture survived. China dominated Asia throughout most of those time. They had empires that lasted more than America since founding, civil war that lasted hundreds of years. Chinese people are now unified, determined to get back on track and they’ve been doing amazingly well. Standard of living of an average Chinese person 25x in less than 40 years. No country has ever achieved that in history, ever. And doing it with the size of 1.3 billion people. Its just crazy to underestimate them.
Recommend watching Lee Kuan Yew’s interviews on China.
@@TommeyNg 4000 years of history made them arrogant in 1840. Look what happened.
@@illegally Speaking of Alibaba, what happened to Jack Ma? Locked in his own home like millions of other Chinese due to stupid "Zero Covid" policy? As for Chinese work ethic you should check out 躺平 and 摆烂 movements.
Neither of these men can sit up straight lol
Horrible interviewer - keeps interrupting
That is his style ...
2 hooked beaks having a secret conversation
China is not a "Great" superpower. If they lose a military campaign, their whole regime could implode. The people there are "silent" but they hate the oppression and the lack of upward mobility. Housing is unaffordable, and the youth despise the restrictions. Empires don't become empires overnight and they don't lose their power overnight either. US has major issues, but we also have a melting pot of great ideas and potential leaders that can ease our tensions and solve problems. I think the US will show the world why we are truly great this decade!
Out of curiousity, when was the last time you went to China?
I lived in China for 3 years recently. I love China. But it is not going to be the number one global power.
You know not what you speak of
Samson, China has the oldest recorded civilization on the earth. For over twenty thousands years China has existed.
What is given China the upper hand is the United States government with the approval of the Congress made treatises given manufacturing rights to have American jobs exported to China and other countries.
China manufacturers our drugs, larges and small appliances, furniture, our clothing, you name it and China makes it.
Clearly China took full advantage and now American made is a rarity.
It is called cutting off your nose to spite your face.
i like your optimism. china rules world trade, their economy is bigger, their military spending has been increasing, they invest in r&d. they don't have a lot of friends yet and although their capital markets seem to be growing; their bond market is terrible.
Buy Bitcoin.
no
Wall.street.ececonemy..in.the.banking.of.bounds.holders