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I am from Turkey :)) we can not keep up the prices . We dont keep salary anymore . We always buy stuffs with the salary . Because everyday everything gets expensive:((
The 10 year about to hit 4.3%. The next great stock and real estate market crash will be a result of "higher for longer" actually meaning "higher for longer". The FED isn't going to trash the dollar/ world reserve currency that they control just to save your 401K or home equity.
I'm becoming more and more bullish by seeing these videos. It just means so many people are waiting on the sidelines for a recession. Guys it will only come when you see real euphoria and the bears cannot take it anymore and jump in the party. Then there will be no one left to buy
That inflation rate chart is the annual inflation, it’s dishonest because we had inflation come down in terms of rate, but hasn’t corrected which would require it to go negative. So should be shown in absolute terms with a given anchor rather than rate.
From what I could find it seems that Blackrock and "Big Three" control up to 25% of sp500, that is huge. These large asset holding companies look like some sort of stabilisation force in the market.
The government inflation numbers are bogus. The rate of inflation may have slowed, but the energy costs and wild government spending that caused this have stuck and remained. Actual inflation was higher than what the government reported. The prices for everything rose and stuck. They have not reverted back because energy costs and government spending are still above normal ranges.
Disinflation does NOT mean prices are going to come down. It only means it will only go up at more acceptable rate of 2+% from here. For prices to come down to 2020 you will need deflation and/or depression.
@@bobbobertson7568 This is because US has ramped up fracking and shale extraction. We are now a net exporter of oil. Can't last forever though; the slurping sound is quite loud...
Problem is interest rates are high and fed has to drop them and print to keep the ponzi going. We will get another wave of inflation in the medium term. Maybe a slow down happens first the next year but they will do what they always do and print us out of it
Saw someone mention that there’s the possibility we see insane deflation as a reaction to everything, and just to tie a concrete reason to that theory: bitcoin. Starting to see more and more politicians throw out the idea of adopting bitcoin to help stabilize inflation, IF this were to happen we would absolutely see deflation of the dollar because bitcoin is inherently deflationary.
@@jonathantaylor6926 Excellent question. Remember the bond market isn’t a free market since the Fed manipulates rates by acting as a straw my buyer and seller of US debt and mortgages. They are currently sitting on $7 trillion in US debt and mortgages (about half accumulated during Covid). If the Fed tried to unload these, treasury yields would skyrocket. But the Fed can’t keep the inevitable at bay forever.
I've been through the 'bonds and beating stocks' periods since the 90s with no bonds and with all aggressive stock mutual funds. At 63, my IRA and cash accounts are far more than I expected for my retirement. I can easily handle a worst-case stock crash, Thanks to my trade advisor Kenneth Barnett Durham
As November 5 draws near, campaign commercials, news coverage, and heated social media posts are not the only things stressing me out. I have roughly $600k invested in the markets but with much uncertainty, I'm under pressure if I should sell off or not.
I’ve been on the sideline with cash stuck in a high yield savings account. I’m beginning to get fomo. Would anyone recommend me putting money into all 3 major index funds and put a stop loss?
📢Game of Trades is now Bravos Research!
Subscribe to our FREE Macro Report 📈👉 newsletter.bravosresearch.com
🎤 Spanish Voiceover Translator Needed! 🎤
We need to translate videos for an institutional client in Spanish (South American accent). Interested?
Apply and submit your trial here👉forms.gle/jHBbXbA8eijBPXnJA
Challenge - Technical analysis guys try not to call a big crash based solely on graph readings (impossible - gone wrong)
people been calling a big crash since 2010
We were in a big crash in 2010....it lasted from 2008 to 2012....
I am from Turkey :)) we can not keep up the prices . We dont keep salary anymore . We always buy stuffs with the salary . Because everyday everything gets expensive:((
Pretty sure if you pull out the magnificent seven then the market has been flat for years
For sure. Whole other ballgame that!
The 10 year about to hit 4.3%. The next great stock and real estate market crash will be a result of "higher for longer" actually meaning "higher for longer". The FED isn't going to trash the dollar/ world reserve currency that they control just to save your 401K or home equity.
Excatly, the government will manufacture a crisis in order to drop rates to 0%. It is the only way they can stay ahead of the ballooning deficit.
In the previous decades you didn't have all these passive ETFs with millions of people putting money in them each month whatever happens
I'm becoming more and more bullish by seeing these videos. It just means so many people are waiting on the sidelines for a recession. Guys it will only come when you see real euphoria and the bears cannot take it anymore and jump in the party. Then there will be no one left to buy
Need to add the US debt level, that would show the true money inflation.
Everyone is currently expecting more inflation. The opposite will happen. The worst kind of deflation that will put even 1929 in the shade.
Adjust it for dollar purchasing power
Who isn’t pretty much living in poverty at this point?? I need y’all’s job.
Print money like monopoly and this is what happens
My prediction, after the election result, stock market is going to crash .
Indeed
After election govt will oficillay anounce recession
that's everybody's prediction. Not saying ain't gonna happen but I prefer my mind prediction free. Just trade what you see.
You and everyone else...
All the real economic data will be released in late winter or spring of next year. But market peak will probably be this november like it did in 2007
That inflation rate chart is the annual inflation, it’s dishonest because we had inflation come down in terms of rate, but hasn’t corrected which would require it to go negative. So should be shown in absolute terms with a given anchor rather than rate.
Great video. I'm a Gold and BTC bug, and I've been thinking this way for a decade.
Do you think the stock market's current valuation is sustainable, considering the recent surge in tech stocks?
All of that was before Blackrock was big enough to manipulate the market because they own nearly all of the market.
Yes, we've hit a tipping point such that workers and consumers no longer affect asset prices.
From what I could find it seems that Blackrock and "Big Three" control up to 25% of sp500, that is huge. These large asset holding companies look like some sort of stabilisation force in the market.
what do you think about shadow stats? they say that the inflation is way higher
And right when I've pulled back into cash... anticipating a rug pull. 🤨🙄😠😡🤬 😂😂I'm thinking of signing up with Bravos Research, no kidding.
Thanks, very useful pieces of information! 😊👍
Is CPI calculated the same way it was in the 1970s that’s my main concern with this analysis
The government inflation numbers are bogus. The rate of inflation may have slowed, but the energy costs and wild government spending that caused this have stuck and remained. Actual inflation was higher than what the government reported. The prices for everything rose and stuck. They have not reverted back because energy costs and government spending are still above normal ranges.
Disinflation does NOT mean prices are going to come down. It only means it will only go up at more acceptable rate of 2+% from here. For prices to come down to 2020 you will need deflation and/or depression.
No oil is definitely down, below $70
@@bobbobertson7568 This is because US has ramped up fracking and shale extraction. We are now a net exporter of oil. Can't last forever though; the slurping sound is quite loud...
Problem is interest rates are high and fed has to drop them and print to keep the ponzi going. We will get another wave of inflation in the medium term. Maybe a slow down happens first the next year but they will do what they always do and print us out of it
do those S&P returns include dividends?
Yes that's including dividend reinvested.
So.. keep savings in stocks then. Understood.
Look at the yearly chart. SPY will end the year around 505 is my prediction
Great Reset, hyperinflation the largest consumer and the largest producer are fighting a war in all aspects
Thank you
Just found this channel and seen a new video uploaded. Great stuff.
Saw someone mention that there’s the possibility we see insane deflation as a reaction to everything, and just to tie a concrete reason to that theory: bitcoin. Starting to see more and more politicians throw out the idea of adopting bitcoin to help stabilize inflation, IF this were to happen we would absolutely see deflation of the dollar because bitcoin is inherently deflationary.
The fed is lowering rates while the market is raising them
I do think hyperinflation is eventually coming but it’s still a few years away.
When does the bond market figure that out?
@@jonathantaylor6926
Excellent question. Remember the bond market isn’t a free market since the Fed manipulates rates by acting as a straw my buyer and seller of US debt and mortgages. They are currently sitting on $7 trillion in US debt and mortgages (about half accumulated during Covid). If the Fed tried to unload these, treasury yields would skyrocket. But the Fed can’t keep the inevitable at bay forever.
Thinking hyperinflation can happen in the US is crazy
It will not when analysts or experts say but when the time comes
It’s gonna happen with 100% certainty.
I mean, even five years ago, if you told me the US would owe 35 trillion, I’d call you crazy but here we are
Fiat currencys only end one way. Open a history book.
@@thehungrysage*36
2026. Real estate will lead the crash..
trumps tarrifs will give us that 60 percent pullback
Party On 🥳✌️🥳
That’s pre-tax too
Out of the markets for me 😢now until who knows when. Or, definitely a STOP LOSS.
I've been through the 'bonds and beating stocks' periods since the 90s with no bonds and with all aggressive stock mutual funds. At 63, my IRA and cash accounts are far more than I expected for my retirement. I can easily handle a worst-case stock crash, Thanks to my trade advisor Kenneth Barnett Durham
As November 5 draws near, campaign commercials, news coverage, and heated social media posts are not the only things stressing me out. I have roughly $600k invested in the markets but with much uncertainty, I'm under pressure if I should sell off or not.
The stock market is a casino. Prove me wrong
As soon as the election hits, boom!
Turkey dedi 🇹🇷🇹🇷🇹🇷🇹🇷
I’ve been on the sideline with cash stuck in a high yield savings account. I’m beginning to get fomo. Would anyone recommend me putting money into all 3 major index funds and put a stop loss?
melt-up !
if market was hyperinflated gold would not be touching all time highs
2nd?
👍
First?
Nope, on my comment section you're the fourth. You lost again.
Second