Russ’s 2024 stats: 4,200-4,500 Yards 35-40 TDs 8-10 INTs 67-70% Complete 106-110 Passer Rating He’s gonna bounce back. Russ can still run too. I believe he will exceed 400 yards rushing. He had 340 in 15 games this past season on mostly non-designed runs, which is the equivalent of 386 yards over a full 17-game schedule. So, I take the over on the 400 yards rushing. Russ will be in the MVP conversation. Essentially, he will be in Pittsburgh what we all thought he would be in Denver. Two teams won the 2022 Russ trade: the 49ers and the Steelers!
To me they’ve set themselves up well at QB if Russ fails they have Wilson waiting and ready for his next opportunity. I hope Russ does have a coo season i would hate to see Russ flame out the league. They should at least win a playoff game this year.
Where going to struggle in the pass game when it comes to blitz packages from good defensive teams. Both sides maybe up the middle due to both vets helping out the tackles.
Russ will be fine. He still has upper echelon arm talent and deep pass accuracy. His stats this season will look something like this TD's: 35 to 40. Int's: 8-11. Comp%: 70%. Yards: 3,500. Passer Rating:108.00 Russ will be Top 5 in completion percentage, touchdowns, and passer rating. As long as Pittsburgh can run the ball well enough to make opposing defenses play 8 in the box and Pittsburgh's defense plays up to their abilities then Pittsburgh is bringing home the Lombardi Trophy 🏆 this year. I see Pittsburgh going 12-5 or 13-4 this year.
That’s what I predicted: 4,200-4,500 Yards 35-40 TDs 8-10 INTs 67-70% Complete 106-110 Passer Rating He’s gonna bounce back. Russ can still run too. I believe he will exceed 400 yards rushing. He had 340 in 15 games this past season on mostly non-designed runs, which is the equivalent of 386 yards over a full 17-game schedule. So, I take the over on the 400 yards rushing. Russ will be in the MVP conversation. Essentially, he will be n Pittsburgh what we all thought he would be in Denver. Two teams won the 2022 Russ trade: the 49ers and the Steelers!
@@PatriotWatchUSA : Russ’s second year in Denver made me a believers if he could do what he did with a coach sabotaging him, he is still VERY elite. Russ is going to shock people this year.
This offense will be solid under the leadership of Russell Wilson, they will excel actually. The fun collision with be Patrick Queen vs. Derrick Henry....two mammoths, two beasts at their position.... play for play, helmet to helmet ...gear up folks, it's going to be fun to watch!
@@PatriotWatchUSA Indeed. Russ (nor his backup who was rejected by Chitcago) are the answer nor are there enough highly talented pieces around him to have much success, especially in the tough AFC North.
Let’s review Russ’s 2023 stats-rankings here: 2nd in Adjusted Completion Rate* 3rd in TD% (5.8) 4th in Completion Differentials 5th in TD-INT Ratio (26:8) 9th in TDs (26) 9th in INT Rate (1.8) 10th in INTs among qualified QBs (8) 11th in Completion% (66.4) Wilson posted a 66.4 number in 2023, ranking 11th out of the 30 qualifying quarterbacks. Not bad on surface level. Then looking at adjusted completion rates, we encouragingly see Wilson rocket up to second-best in the NFL, at 78.8-percent. He also had 4 of the top-5 least probable completions and led the Broncos to a #1 red zone performance rating for half the season. He had 340 Yards rushing on 15 games, which is the equivalent of 386 yards for a full season, and that was primarily on improvisation, not designed runs. His stats were a mixed bag, but there is much more room for optimism than there is for skepticism. He isn’t the least bit washed, and his stats have never been padded. His career efficiency has been ridiculously consistent, win or lose, so he isn’t padding his stats at all. If anything, his coaches have deflated his volume.
The importance of the middle of the field attack is not as cut-and-dry as people are led to believe. Like other ELITE passers, Russ consistently excels at the more difficult throws, and has shown that he can hit receivers over the middle. The problem in Seattle was Pete Carroll’s scheming and inadequate personnel moves: no elite TE or O-Line draft picks and inconsistent scheming of receivers over the middle. *Passing over the middle is a misunderstood and often overrated concept, and its use is declining in the NFL.* Quarterbacks, like the NBA’s crunch time scoring leaders, work to find the best opportunity with a seemingly accelerating (internal) clock. Passes (excluding throwaways) can be grouped into three categories from the offense’s perspective: left, middle and right. Passes over the middle of the field in football have become what corner threes are in basketball. These throws have been shown to be both more efficient and more available in favorable situations. Passes out wide, in contrast, are akin to the midrange shot. These difficult throws represent more difficult situations that require players to perform at their best. Middle of the field passing, despite being the most efficient area of the field for an offense to pass into, can be difficult to execute as it may require the quarterback to hold onto the ball longer to get through progressions or be an area of the field where a safety is present. Effective play action and RPO’s can help the quarterback get some lay-ups as defenses play with the middle of the field open more often, but defenses tend to push the offense into more difficult throws. There could be a selection bias here, though, as quarterbacks might get sacked more on plays where their progression takes them to wanting a middle of the field throw, but they are not able to get the throw off in time. We can see that this has not wavered over time as, regardless of pass depth, the middle of the field seems to be the area where the offense can generate the most Expected Points Added (EPA) per pass attempt. Looking at this from a season-level, passes over the middle of the field have consistently produced a higher EPA per play than passes thrown to the left or right. Middle of the field passes, like the NBA’s corner three, have also become some of the least frequent pass location despite its high efficiency. Every season from 2015 to 2020 (with the exception of 2017 partially due to multiple big quarterback injuries) saw middle of the field passing clear 0.25 EPA per pass. A season long passing attack of 0.25 EPA per pass would have been the 2nd most efficient in the league during the 2022 season. Defenses have deployed different ways to deal with middle of the field passing and the EPA per pass of such throws has been on a steady decline. Despite the defense’s best efforts, the league’s best play callers still know how to give their offense a boost by hitting the easy buttons. Previous research has shown how play-action passes can be particularly explosive given the linebackers natural desire to fit the run fake opening up the middle of the field to both a higher chance of completion and a higher expected yards after catch. But, passing over the midfield is overvalued with a QB like Russell Wilson. Much like the superstars who succeed in the midrange in the NBA, the NFL has elite quarterbacks who make the tough shots look easy and succeed throwing out wide. The group of Patrick Mahomes, Joe Burrow, Josh Allen, and Trevor Lawrence make up some of the best quarterbacks in the league and are also those who are asked to pass out wide more often than the average quarterback. Russ is included among that group of QBs who consistently make the most difficult throws, including those out wide. Their unique skill sets can make their play callers feel more comfortable calling these plays because of how efficient they are at executing them. Quarterbacks seem to have more control over passes out wide while scheme and weapons seem to play more of a role in passes over the middle of the field. On a year-to-year basis, there is around twice the amount of stability for how quarterbacks perform passing out wide as opposed to over the middle of the field. This supports the original hypothesis that middle of the field passing can be influenced more by scheme and supporting cast while quarterbacks have more control over their passing out wide. As the surroundings change, middle of the field efficiency can change as scheme and yards after the catch play a role in how effective these throws are. Finding a quarterback that can be effective on passes out wide and scheming passes over the middle of the field might be a plan teams could follow as they look to build on what they already have in the passing game. Elite quarterbacks are effective passing out wide and when the defense expects the pass. These are the midrange jumpers of the NFL - reserved only for the best players in the most high-leverage situations. Teams with top end quarterback talent can continue to hit their midrange shots while teams without these quarterbacks may have look elsewhere. Manufacturing space in the middle of the field through play action is one way for these teams to generate production. Unfortunately, the shot clock winds down sometimes and situations can arise where the teams that cannot generate middle of the field passes have their limitations exposed.
Russ is a good fit for us! People need to give Russ a chance he still got it! We got the Offense that he needs to protect him. But he can't hold on to the ball to long like he did in the pass in this division! Can't wait till the season start and watch we he do. Great coverage AllPro!!
Arthur is a great offensive mind . Art will take an offense with no schemes to one that will have 1, 2, or three men in motion before the snap. There are going to be many missed assignments and open space in the backfield.
Im not worried about the wr position calvin is about to cook. All our wrs are deep threats. Their either tall with speed or short with speed. Our wepons are legit running backs can block or catch out the back field. TEs can catch or block really good. You know #0 out of Georgia baby. We are good
This narrative that Russ has been causing his own sacks is highly disputable. He caused about 15% of his sacks in Seattle according to PFF, and it wasn’t because of his holding the ball due to indecisiveness but rather his refusals to throw away the ball and attempts to make plays when they were badly needed. That had more to do with Pete’s conservative play-calling than it any deficiency on Russ’s part. Pete constantly put the offense in holes with his predictable 1970s ground-and-pound offense, requiring bailouts from Russ. Furthermore, I can show data proving that similar QBs such as Aaron Rodgers, Josh Allen, and Patrick Mahomes held the ball for as long or longer but were sacked far less frequently, sometimes by half. Even less mobile QBs Tom Brady and Jared Goff held the ball for about the same time but were sacked less often. The following is a breakdown of Russell Wilson's time to throw, and sack numbers year by year, with some notable comparisons in given years while in Seattle. *NOTES* (1) Time to throw = Release time (2) Hold times are ranked from 1st (longest) to last…there are typically 25-28 full-time starters, so a ranking of #20 would be one of the fastest release times. *2020* Russell Wilson - 2.97 seconds Time to Throw (5th longest), Sacked 47 times Patrick Mahomes - 2.89 seconds Time to Throw (7th longest), Sacked only 22 times *Mahomes had similar hold times but was sacked less than half as frequently* Josh Allen - 3.04 seconds Time to Throw (3rd longest), Sacked 26 times *Josh Allen held the ball much longer than Russ did but was sacked 44.7% less frequently* *2019* Russell Wilson - 2.85 seconds Time to Throw (T10th longest), Sacked 48 times Aaron Rodgers - 2.88 seconds Time to Throw (6th longest), Sacked 36 times *Rodgers held the ball longer by 0.03 seconds but was sacked 25% less frequently* Patrick Mahomes - 2.82 seconds Time to Throw (8th longest). Sacked 17 times *Mahomes’s average hold time was nearly identical to Russ’s; yet Mahomes was sacked 65% less frequently. He was barely touched all season long! Another note of consideration: in SB55, we got a glimpse of what Mahomes might look like with the type of Sorry protection Russ has had his whole career. It wasn’t pretty.* Josh Allen - 2.85 seconds Time to Throw (T10th longest), Sacked 38 times *Allen held the rock for as long as Russ did but was sacked 20% less frequently.* *2018* Russell Wilson - 3.02 seconds Time to throw (3rd longest), Sacked 51 times Patrick Mahomes - 2.91 seconds Time to Throw (8th longest), Sacked 26 times *Mahomes’s hold times were only slightly better but he was sacked 50% as often* Aaron Rodgers - 2.95 seconds Time to Throw (5th longest), Sacked 49 times *Rodgers held the ball similarly and was sacked with about the same frequency. This is important because everybody ragged on the Packers’ O-Line that year instead of bashing Rodgers. In contrast, Russ was blamed for his own sacks. Btw, Russ was as efficient and productive in a per-throw basis as MVP Mahomes that year. See my other post comparing the two (2018).* Josh Allen - 3.22 seconds Time to Throw (#1 longest average hold time!!!), Sacked 28 times *Allen had the longest hold time but was sacked half as frequently* Jared Goff - 2.95 seconds Time to Throw (6th longest). Sacked Sacked 33 times *Even a far less mobile Jared Goff was able to hold the ball as long as Russ without being sacked as often *2017* Russell Wilson - 3.05 seconds Time to throw (2nd longest), Sacked 43 times Jared Goff - 2.93 seconds Time to Throw (5th longest), Sacked 25 times Should an average +0.12 seconds time to throw result in 18 more sacks? *Russ’s extended hold times shouldn’t result in THAT big of a disparity. Remember what happened in 2017. The Seahawks had no Run game whatsoever, and Russ accounted for 89% of the Seahawks’ offense, including all but one TD - breaking Brady’s record for single-season individual offensive production. Russ held the ball because he HAD to, and he led the Seahawks to a would-be 13-3 record. FK Blair Walsh single-handedly torpedoed that record into 9-7 by missing four in-range game-winning FGAs.* *2016* Russell Wilson - 2.61 seconds Time to throw (20th longest, so he had one of the quickest average release times), Sacked 41 times Aaron Rodgers - 2.87 seconds Time to Throw (6th longest) Sacked 35 times Aaron Rodgers held the ball longer, yet is sacked 6 fewer times* Tom Brady - 2.56 seconds Time to Throw (25th longest) Sacked 15 times *Brady unloaded it a little more quickly (0.05 seconds faster), but he’s sacked 63% less frequently.* *CHECKMATE!* *I bring receipts, people. When you debate me, you had better be ready to perform statistical analyses.* Although the numbers vary by QB from year to year, Wilson has consistently taken a beating no matter how long he holds the ball. And those numbers don't quite line up with other QBs and their sack numbers/hits relative to how long they hold the ball. ~NextGen
Look up Seahawks vs. Steelers, 2019. There’s a highlight video available 2 minutes, 44 seconds. That video might explain why Mike Tomlin stole Russ away from teams like the Falcons, Raiders, Vikings, and Even the Giants before free agency even began. Russ received special permission from the Broncos to speak with the Steelers and Giants before he was actually a free agent. Russ has thrown across the midfield just fine. It depends on his protection and weapons. This narrative that he can’t use the midfield of the field is bull. He hasn’t used it as much as some other QB, but he can be quite deadly.
You need to be careful about your facts. You have two facts wrong. First, the Broncos didn’t ask him to “waive” any guaranteed money. They asked him to defer his salary buyer guarantee for a year, and that was only to avoid the prospect of having to pay him $100M for the 2024 season if he suffered an injury. But you are right, they would’ve kept Russ for another year if he had agreed to do it. That shows you they still valued Russ. He wasn’t Payton’s cup of tea off the field, but he wanted to see what would happen and let Russ to mentor a rookie QB draft pick for a year. Secondly, Sean Payton did the opposite of what he said he would do with Russ. Before taking the job, he said he would build around Russ’s skill set, just like Hackett had hailed he would the year before. Both coaches showed how limited they were. Hackett tried to make Russ play Rodgers’s style and Payton tried to make Russ play like Drew Brees! Furthermore, Payton was trying to tank anyway. He constrained Russ and then lied about why he was doing it, claiming Russ couldn’t digest his offense. It was complete bullsh!t. Russ can digest any offense you put in front of him, and that’s know this because he ran Brian Schottenheimer’s offense expertly. That offense is as complex as anything in Payton’s book by all reports. Russ was killing it under Schottenheimer and had three of his best seasons while doing it. And what moron believes Teddy Bridgewater, Taysom Hill, and Jameis Winston could digest an offense that Russ couldn’t?
Russ is a washed up statpadder who threw the ball behind the line of scrimmage(27%) more than any QB of the last 20 years since bust David Carr in 2005. Also was 2nd in throws within 5 yards of the line scrimmage(62%) as well since 2005. That means only 11% of his throws went beyond 5 yards 💀. The only success they’ll find is another successful wasted season getting dominated by Elite teams like they’ve been since 2018.
You can’t really blame Russ for that though a lot of that is play calling from Sean Payton. Russ had a lot of bad moments but good ones as well with Sean Payton. I believe Sean didn’t do the best when it came to working around Russell weakness. Is he washed kinda yes but at the same time he’s still solid at best.
@@loganjames936 yes I can blame him when WRs were wide open on Film throughout the season. Stop with your excuses fanboy watch Jets, Texans, first chiefs game, Texans 2 years ago, colts 2 years ago, rams 2 years ago and Lions games he was garbage both seasons just stat padding once the pressure and heat was turned on.
@@rawswisher43 Hold up you’re only picking his bad games the man saved them vs the Vikings. Had 3 tds vs the chiefs one of the best defenses in the league I watch film he’s not a bad QB. Sean just runs an outdated system that only worked with Drew brees and Romo at times. Sounds like you’re a Sean Payton fan boy. Let’s be real Sean Payton is a washed up coach that can’t win without drew and it’s about to show with Bo Nix watch. Russ doesn’t have to worry about getting chewed out for when his teammates make huge mistake with coach T.
As a Titans fan - Watching Art call Mr. Unlimited/Pickens/Warren RPOs in 2024 is gonna hit like crack
Like crack in 1980!
But i also believe that due to us running zone pulling both tackles, it's going to be fun to watch. Run game, no problem, thier.
Russ’s 2024 stats:
4,200-4,500 Yards
35-40 TDs
8-10 INTs
67-70% Complete
106-110 Passer Rating
He’s gonna bounce back. Russ can still run too. I believe he will exceed 400 yards rushing.
He had 340 in 15 games this past season on mostly non-designed runs, which is the equivalent of 386 yards over a full 17-game schedule.
So, I take the over on the 400 yards rushing.
Russ will be in the MVP conversation. Essentially, he will be in Pittsburgh what we all thought he would be in Denver.
Two teams won the 2022 Russ trade: the 49ers and the Steelers!
To me they’ve set themselves up well at QB if Russ fails they have Wilson waiting and ready for his next opportunity. I hope Russ does have a coo season i would hate to see Russ flame out the league. They should at least win a playoff game this year.
Where going to struggle in the pass game when it comes to blitz packages from good defensive teams. Both sides maybe up the middle due to both vets helping out the tackles.
But a good run game, and then play action, and we good
Russ will be fine. He still has upper echelon arm talent and deep pass accuracy.
His stats this season will look something like this
TD's: 35 to 40.
Int's: 8-11.
Comp%: 70%.
Yards: 3,500.
Passer Rating:108.00
Russ will be Top 5 in completion percentage, touchdowns, and passer rating.
As long as Pittsburgh can run the ball well enough to make opposing defenses play 8 in the box and Pittsburgh's defense plays up to their abilities then Pittsburgh is bringing home the Lombardi Trophy 🏆 this year.
I see Pittsburgh going 12-5 or 13-4 this year.
Everyone excited in July
That’s what I predicted:
4,200-4,500 Yards
35-40 TDs
8-10 INTs
67-70% Complete
106-110 Passer Rating
He’s gonna bounce back. Russ can still run too. I believe he will exceed 400 yards rushing. He had 340 in 15 games this past season on mostly non-designed runs, which is the equivalent of 386 yards over a full 17-game schedule.
So, I take the over on the 400 yards rushing.
Russ will be in the MVP conversation. Essentially, he will be n Pittsburgh what we all thought he would be in Denver.
Two teams won the 2022 Russ trade: the 49ers and the Steelers!
@@DeCurtaRican 👍🏾⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐. I couldn't agree more.
@@DeCurtaRican lol
@@PatriotWatchUSA : Russ’s second year in Denver made me a believers if he could do what he did with a coach sabotaging him, he is still VERY elite. Russ is going to shock people this year.
This offense will be solid under the leadership of Russell Wilson, they will excel actually. The fun collision with be Patrick Queen vs. Derrick Henry....two mammoths, two beasts at their position.... play for play, helmet to helmet ...gear up folks, it's going to be fun to watch!
Russ is a upgrade from all the QB's we had on the roster last year! Even with the tough schedule I expect us to make a deep run in the playoffs!
Probably all the way to the AFC Championship game. Will probably win that and go off to the SB lol You and that 28th ranked offense
@@PatriotWatchUSA Indeed. Russ (nor his backup who was rejected by Chitcago) are the answer nor are there enough highly talented pieces around him to have much success, especially in the tough AFC North.
Yes, Russell can succeed in Pittsburgh.
The Steelers can be a force to be reckoned with, but they get in their own way. Hopefully, things will come together with Russ.
Let’s review Russ’s 2023 stats-rankings here:
2nd in Adjusted Completion Rate*
3rd in TD% (5.8)
4th in Completion Differentials
5th in TD-INT Ratio (26:8)
9th in TDs (26)
9th in INT Rate (1.8)
10th in INTs among qualified QBs (8)
11th in Completion% (66.4)
Wilson posted a 66.4 number in 2023, ranking 11th out of the 30 qualifying quarterbacks. Not bad on surface level. Then looking at adjusted completion rates, we encouragingly see Wilson rocket up to second-best in the NFL, at 78.8-percent.
He also had 4 of the top-5 least probable completions and led the Broncos to a #1 red zone performance rating for half the season.
He had 340 Yards rushing on 15 games, which is the equivalent of 386 yards for a full season, and that was primarily on improvisation, not designed runs.
His stats were a mixed bag, but there is much more room for optimism than there is for skepticism.
He isn’t the least bit washed, and his stats have never been padded. His career efficiency has been ridiculously consistent, win or lose, so he isn’t padding his stats at all. If anything, his coaches have deflated his volume.
Watching this video bro all I can say is "I guess" but I’m not expecting much from Russell
🙏🏾🙏🏾🙏🏾🙏🏾🙏🏾
21-25 pts a game , we should be solid .. what year you think we in ? last year we averaged between 18-25 pts a game and we saw where that us 😮💨👨🏾🦯
The importance of the middle of the field attack is not as cut-and-dry as people are led to believe.
Like other ELITE passers, Russ consistently excels at the more difficult throws, and has shown that he can hit receivers over the middle. The problem in Seattle was Pete Carroll’s scheming and inadequate personnel moves: no elite TE or O-Line draft picks and inconsistent scheming of receivers over the middle.
*Passing over the middle is a misunderstood and often overrated concept, and its use is declining in the NFL.*
Quarterbacks, like the NBA’s crunch time scoring leaders, work to find the best opportunity with a seemingly accelerating (internal) clock.
Passes (excluding throwaways) can be grouped into three categories from the offense’s perspective: left, middle and right. Passes over the middle of the field in football have become what corner threes are in basketball. These throws have been shown to be both more efficient and more available in favorable situations. Passes out wide, in contrast, are akin to the midrange shot. These difficult throws represent more difficult situations that require players to perform at their best.
Middle of the field passing, despite being the most efficient area of the field for an offense to pass into, can be difficult to execute as it may require the quarterback to hold onto the ball longer to get through progressions or be an area of the field where a safety is present. Effective play action and RPO’s can help the quarterback get some lay-ups as defenses play with the middle of the field open more often, but defenses tend to push the offense into more difficult throws. There could be a selection bias here, though, as quarterbacks might get sacked more on plays where their progression takes them to wanting a middle of the field throw, but they are not able to get the throw off in time.
We can see that this has not wavered over time as, regardless of pass depth, the middle of the field seems to be the area where the offense can generate the most Expected Points Added (EPA) per pass attempt.
Looking at this from a season-level, passes over the middle of the field have consistently produced a higher EPA per play than passes thrown to the left or right. Middle of the field passes, like the NBA’s corner three, have also become some of the least frequent pass location despite its high efficiency.
Every season from 2015 to 2020 (with the exception of 2017 partially due to multiple big quarterback injuries) saw middle of the field passing clear 0.25 EPA per pass. A season long passing attack of 0.25 EPA per pass would have been the 2nd most efficient in the league during the 2022 season. Defenses have deployed different ways to deal with middle of the field passing and the EPA per pass of such throws has been on a steady decline.
Despite the defense’s best efforts, the league’s best play callers still know how to give their offense a boost by hitting the easy buttons. Previous research has shown how play-action passes can be particularly explosive given the linebackers natural desire to fit the run fake opening up the middle of the field to both a higher chance of completion and a higher expected yards after catch.
But, passing over the midfield is overvalued with a QB like Russell Wilson.
Much like the superstars who succeed in the midrange in the NBA, the NFL has elite quarterbacks who make the tough shots look easy and succeed throwing out wide. The group of Patrick Mahomes, Joe Burrow, Josh Allen, and Trevor Lawrence make up some of the best quarterbacks in the league and are also those who are asked to pass out wide more often than the average quarterback. Russ is included among that group of QBs who consistently make the most difficult throws, including those out wide. Their unique skill sets can make their play callers feel more comfortable calling these plays because of how efficient they are at executing them.
Quarterbacks seem to have more control over passes out wide while scheme and weapons seem to play more of a role in passes over the middle of the field.
On a year-to-year basis, there is around twice the amount of stability for how quarterbacks perform passing out wide as opposed to over the middle of the field. This supports the original hypothesis that middle of the field passing can be influenced more by scheme and supporting cast while quarterbacks have more control over their passing out wide.
As the surroundings change, middle of the field efficiency can change as scheme and yards after the catch play a role in how effective these throws are. Finding a quarterback that can be effective on passes out wide and scheming passes over the middle of the field might be a plan teams could follow as they look to build on what they already have in the passing game.
Elite quarterbacks are effective passing out wide and when the defense expects the pass. These are the midrange jumpers of the NFL - reserved only for the best players in the most high-leverage situations. Teams with top end quarterback talent can continue to hit their midrange shots while teams without these quarterbacks may have look elsewhere.
Manufacturing space in the middle of the field through play action is one way for these teams to generate production. Unfortunately, the shot clock winds down sometimes and situations can arise where the teams that cannot generate middle of the field passes have their limitations exposed.
Don't forget about cam heyward
Russ is a good fit for us! People need to give Russ a chance he still got it! We got the Offense that he needs to protect him. But he can't hold on to the ball to long like he did in the pass in this division! Can't wait till the season start and watch we he do. Great coverage AllPro!!
Arthur is a great offensive mind . Art will take an offense with no schemes to one that will have 1, 2, or three men in motion before the snap. There are going to be many missed assignments and open space in the backfield.
Im not worried about the wr position calvin is about to cook. All our wrs are deep threats. Their either tall with speed or short with speed. Our wepons are legit running backs can block or catch out the back field. TEs can catch or block really good. You know #0 out of Georgia baby. We are good
Good until GP gets hurt then u have a bunch of wr 3s and 4s 😂
This narrative that Russ has been causing his own sacks is highly disputable. He caused about 15% of his sacks in Seattle according to PFF, and it wasn’t because of his holding the ball due to indecisiveness but rather his refusals to throw away the ball and attempts to make plays when they were badly needed.
That had more to do with Pete’s conservative play-calling than it any deficiency on Russ’s part. Pete constantly put the offense in holes with his predictable 1970s ground-and-pound offense, requiring bailouts from Russ.
Furthermore, I can show data proving that similar QBs such as Aaron Rodgers, Josh Allen, and Patrick Mahomes held the ball for as long or longer but were sacked far less frequently, sometimes by half.
Even less mobile QBs Tom Brady and Jared Goff held the ball for about the same time but were sacked less often.
The following is a breakdown of Russell Wilson's time to throw, and sack numbers year by year, with some notable comparisons in given years while in Seattle.
*NOTES*
(1) Time to throw = Release time
(2) Hold times are ranked from 1st (longest) to last…there are typically 25-28 full-time starters, so a ranking of #20 would be one of the fastest release times.
*2020*
Russell Wilson - 2.97 seconds Time to Throw (5th longest), Sacked 47 times
Patrick Mahomes - 2.89 seconds Time to Throw (7th longest), Sacked only 22 times
*Mahomes had similar hold times but was sacked less than half as frequently*
Josh Allen - 3.04 seconds Time to Throw (3rd longest), Sacked 26 times
*Josh Allen held the ball much longer than Russ did but was sacked 44.7% less frequently*
*2019*
Russell Wilson - 2.85 seconds Time to Throw (T10th longest), Sacked 48 times
Aaron Rodgers - 2.88 seconds Time to Throw (6th longest), Sacked 36 times
*Rodgers held the ball longer by 0.03 seconds but was sacked 25% less frequently*
Patrick Mahomes - 2.82 seconds Time to Throw (8th longest). Sacked 17 times
*Mahomes’s average hold time was nearly identical to Russ’s; yet Mahomes was sacked 65% less frequently. He was barely touched all season long! Another note of consideration: in SB55, we got a glimpse of what Mahomes might look like with the type of Sorry protection Russ has had his whole career. It wasn’t pretty.*
Josh Allen - 2.85 seconds Time to Throw (T10th longest), Sacked 38 times
*Allen held the rock for as long as Russ did but was sacked 20% less frequently.*
*2018*
Russell Wilson - 3.02 seconds Time to throw (3rd longest), Sacked 51 times
Patrick Mahomes - 2.91 seconds Time to Throw (8th longest), Sacked 26 times
*Mahomes’s hold times were only slightly better but he was sacked 50% as often*
Aaron Rodgers - 2.95 seconds Time to Throw (5th longest), Sacked 49 times
*Rodgers held the ball similarly and was sacked with about the same frequency. This is important because everybody ragged on the Packers’ O-Line that year instead of bashing Rodgers. In contrast, Russ was blamed for his own sacks. Btw, Russ was as efficient and productive in a per-throw basis as MVP Mahomes that year. See my other post comparing the two (2018).*
Josh Allen - 3.22 seconds Time to Throw (#1 longest average hold time!!!), Sacked 28 times
*Allen had the longest hold time but was sacked half as frequently*
Jared Goff - 2.95 seconds Time to Throw (6th longest). Sacked Sacked 33 times
*Even a far less mobile Jared Goff was able to hold the ball as long as Russ without being sacked as often
*2017*
Russell Wilson - 3.05 seconds Time to throw (2nd longest), Sacked 43 times
Jared Goff - 2.93 seconds Time to Throw (5th longest), Sacked 25 times
Should an average +0.12 seconds time to throw result in 18 more sacks?
*Russ’s extended hold times shouldn’t result in THAT big of a disparity. Remember what happened in 2017. The Seahawks had no Run game whatsoever, and Russ accounted for 89% of the Seahawks’ offense, including all but one TD - breaking Brady’s record for single-season individual offensive production. Russ held the ball because he HAD to, and he led the Seahawks to a would-be 13-3 record. FK Blair Walsh single-handedly torpedoed that record into 9-7 by missing four in-range game-winning FGAs.*
*2016*
Russell Wilson - 2.61 seconds Time to throw (20th longest, so he had one of the quickest average release times),
Sacked 41 times
Aaron Rodgers - 2.87 seconds Time to Throw (6th longest) Sacked 35 times
Aaron Rodgers held the ball longer, yet is sacked 6 fewer times*
Tom Brady - 2.56 seconds Time to Throw (25th longest) Sacked 15 times
*Brady unloaded it a little more quickly (0.05 seconds faster), but he’s sacked 63% less frequently.*
*CHECKMATE!*
*I bring receipts, people. When you debate me, you had better be ready to perform statistical analyses.*
Although the numbers vary by QB from year to year, Wilson has consistently taken a beating no matter how long he holds the ball. And those numbers don't quite line up with other QBs and their sack numbers/hits relative to how long they hold the ball.
~NextGen
Look up Seahawks vs. Steelers, 2019. There’s a highlight video available 2 minutes, 44 seconds.
That video might explain why Mike Tomlin stole Russ away from teams like the Falcons, Raiders, Vikings, and Even the Giants before free agency even began. Russ received special permission from the Broncos to speak with the Steelers and Giants before he was actually a free agent.
Russ has thrown across the midfield just fine. It depends on his protection and weapons. This narrative that he can’t use the midfield of the field is bull. He hasn’t used it as much as some other QB, but he can be quite deadly.
Stole him?? Hahahahhah. He was virtually free this coming year.
But Kenny went to PITT
Even in his last season Ben tossed a good deep ball. Go back and watch the Highlights. Scheme.
You need to be careful about your facts. You have two facts wrong. First, the Broncos didn’t ask him to “waive” any guaranteed money. They asked him to defer his salary buyer guarantee for a year, and that was only to avoid the prospect of having to pay him $100M for the 2024 season if he suffered an injury. But you are right, they would’ve kept Russ for another year if he had agreed to do it.
That shows you they still valued Russ. He wasn’t Payton’s cup of tea off the field, but he wanted to see what would happen and let Russ to mentor a rookie QB draft pick for a year.
Secondly, Sean Payton did the opposite of what he said he would do with Russ. Before taking the job, he said he would build around Russ’s skill set, just like Hackett had hailed he would the year before. Both coaches showed how limited they were. Hackett tried to make Russ play Rodgers’s style and Payton tried to make Russ play like Drew Brees!
Furthermore, Payton was trying to tank anyway. He constrained Russ and then lied about why he was doing it, claiming Russ couldn’t digest his offense. It was complete bullsh!t.
Russ can digest any offense you put in front of him, and that’s know this because he ran Brian Schottenheimer’s offense expertly. That offense is as complex as anything in Payton’s book by all reports. Russ was killing it under Schottenheimer and had three of his best seasons while doing it.
And what moron believes Teddy Bridgewater, Taysom Hill, and Jameis Winston could digest an offense that Russ couldn’t?
The Falcons also had no QB
The Falcons going to beat you week 1
RUSSEL WILSON CAN SCORE AND WILL TAKE STEELERS TO THE FINALS
If Russ can't get the job done for the Steelers, Justin Fields can.
lol So why doesn't Fields start? I know!
@@PatriotWatchUSA Exactly. Fields is another Chitgago reject. Overrated in my book.
Russ is a washed up statpadder who threw the ball behind the line of scrimmage(27%) more than any QB of the last 20 years since bust David Carr in 2005. Also was 2nd in throws within 5 yards of the line scrimmage(62%) as well since 2005. That means only 11% of his throws went beyond 5 yards 💀. The only success they’ll find is another successful wasted season getting dominated by Elite teams like they’ve been since 2018.
You can’t really blame Russ for that though a lot of that is play calling from Sean Payton. Russ had a lot of bad moments but good ones as well with Sean Payton. I believe Sean didn’t do the best when it came to working around Russell weakness. Is he washed kinda yes but at the same time he’s still solid at best.
@@loganjames936 yes I can blame him when WRs were wide open on Film throughout the season. Stop with your excuses fanboy watch Jets, Texans, first chiefs game, Texans 2 years ago, colts 2 years ago, rams 2 years ago and Lions games he was garbage both seasons just stat padding once the pressure and heat was turned on.
@@rawswisher43 Hold up you’re only picking his bad games the man saved them vs the Vikings. Had 3 tds vs the chiefs one of the best defenses in the league I watch film he’s not a bad QB. Sean just runs an outdated system that only worked with Drew brees and Romo at times. Sounds like you’re a Sean Payton fan boy. Let’s be real Sean Payton is a washed up coach that can’t win without drew and it’s about to show with Bo Nix watch. Russ doesn’t have to worry about getting chewed out for when his teammates make huge mistake with coach T.
Where did you get the STATS from?
@@rawswisher43so was it Russ’ fault the defense went for the #1 to #31? Is it russ’ fault the defense gave up 70?