this chanel has been the most grounded in reality since the start, no bogus claims, just facts. other channels been pushing all the Korean, Extreme casualties in russian side and other power fantasy stories
Tbh... I am a Nato supporter because I'm from one of that country. I have been hearing about RU heavy casualties since 2014 when ukr started its operation to take Lugansk n Donetsk but somehow RU can keep advancing. I stop believing in anti RU news from wstrn media after the overhyped game changing F16 and long range missile failed again.
@@ilovejesusalways I stopped blindly believing our media when I saw that Wikipedia completely changed the description of the 2014 Odessa clashes and what happened in Donbass before SMO. Musk is right, Wikipedia is now one of the many means of western political propaganda.
The Russians should make bluffs themselves. They should ask for a ridiculous amount of concessions like taking Dnipropetrovsk and Kharkov, which the Ukrainians won't accept. Then they should 'compromise' and ask for the 4 regions (what they actually want), which the Ukrainians won't accept. And then it will look like Zelenskiy is the one who doesn't want to negotiate.
The CIA and Pentagon have failed to inform the President, as they usually do, for their own internal Agenda! The CIA needs to be, to quote JFK: "broken into 1,000 pieces and never re - assembled.
@@damtygucr_9270 : the Russians are taking these regions as a buffer against the NATO expansion. The Russians are looking for a comprehensive European security plan, taking into the consideration of Russia and Ukraine included. They have seen the piecemeal arrangement, like the Minsk agreements.
I can understand not taking Odessa, but Dnipro city north to the Kharkiv oblast border, and the oblast itself, seems to be a much shorter land border (frontline) to entrench and defend, therefore taking less soldiers to hold a new line.
@@BSdetected I think he would prioritise Odessa and Nikolayev. This is because it would grant them the facilities which the Soviet Union used to use to build their ships, which Russia has not yet fully replaced, and it would give them a land border to Transnistria and would also allow them to supply the growing Gagauz separatist movement in Moldova.
@ yep… fully understand the logic… but without Odessa, Ukraine would virtually be a land locked country, which would significantly change everything about their economy/ society, moving forward, and not for the best. Without Odessa, Ukraine becomes Russia again.
The US has had the great privilege of printing paper to exchange for needed goods. With that said US citizens never have the need to understand maths, Geography, Geopolitics, history, economics (maybe MMT) so they are exceptional, greatestest and bestest nation in history and God only blesses America.
They also have some of the smartest running it all since they have the money to attract them if there is a gap in nationals. That is what keeps it alive. Not the masses of dumb sheep. Anyway its at a pivotal point. Lets see how it plays out under Trump. If he pushes too hard everyone will push back.
In addition to the Russian expeditionary army in Ukraine getting larger, Russia has also created two new reserve armies in Russia. This indicates their losses are even smaller than you estimate.
@@СергейСердюк94 from my perspective, as a conscripted military serviceman our losses seem to be a little bit more significant. But still not even close to 1 kk of ppl, as Zelensky declared.
I blank out at any points about losses. Everybody knows those won't be counted for years after the conflict ends. And to copium points about Russian losses - they advance through minefields and clear fortifications ww1 style. It is very painful and saying it's "1R to 10U" like Ritter does only destroys credibility.
Your math skills exceed the entire analytical staff at The Institute of the Study of War (ISW). Thank you for your excellent reporting and outstanding mapping of the frontlines.
It is not just dead and wounded who are losses to an army. There are also deserters and those who switched the sides. In terms of desertions estimates are 10k on the Russian side and 200k on the Ukrainian side. There are Russians fighting for Ukrainian side - but those are there from the first months of the war - I have not heard about a single case of a Russian soldier switching the sides - while there are certainly Ukrainian soldiers who switched the sides and now fight for Russia, but I have never heard what their numbers are - I would not expect those numbers to be in tens of thousands. There are also foreign volunteers (or mercenaries, if you like) and a number of them simply flee as they face hell on the frontlines they have never expected or imagined.
I have worked for a government think tank, and also on an advisor group on gonvernment contracts. I know how these groups seem to operate. The government people hires them expecting a certain result and the think tank create a justification for the choice. This even happens inside corproations. One of my senior project managers talked about working on the 747 team on the justification and a Boeing manager came in to look at the results and told this then junior guy that the study will justify the building of the 747. That was a success, obviously. I know John Mearscheimer has stated the governemnt has never come to him for advice. Imagine the idiocy of not going to John Mearsheimer for advice.
This is basically how the neocons "massaged" the intelligence and facts to fit their bogus narrative about Iraq, WMDs, and tying hussein to bin laden (who was also lied about). And ultimately , helping their Israeli overlords. It's all out in the open now. Things haven't really changed.
@@СергейСердюк94 Really you know shit about him obviously. He went to the United States Military Academy. And it was so obvious that he was good that he got in as an enlisted man. Wow you people comment knowing shit. This is your copium right?
I think he knows it perfectly, but he also has to take care of domestic politics and does not want to show the US in a weak position. Also because even a child would understand that this war is anything but ridiculous. If it had been truly "ridiculous" and unimportant, the West would not have provided any support to Ukraine. And for a truly unimportant war, you do not threaten further sanctions.
@@trumpforever6706 I don't buy it. Trump simply doesn't know, or is lying about it ... which, in both cases, is strike one in my book! Strike two is 500 billion to AI. One strike to go, and Trump have prooven to me, that he is a plant.
The difficulties that Tulsi faces with her confirmation - from both sides - shows how important the control of that flow of intel is in shaping narratives and then strategies.
To be honest i saw plenty of videos showing ukrainian war cemeteries and they're massive and numerous. I have also seen some russian war cemeteries and there's no match. They're way way much smaller
I think Trump is very well informed, at least regarding the origins of this war. People close to him, such as David Sacks (All-In Podcast), RFK and Oliver Stone have spoken extensively about the Euromaidan and its actors, such as Victoria Nuland, George Soros, Ihor Kolomoisky and Andriy Biletsky. This could cause a few surprises during the negotiations.
Nope, he continues talking bullshit like he did in Rogan interview. His view is, that whole Ukraine is destroyed, people live in groundholes and are defending against Russians who live in same conditions because of sanctions. The reality is completely different.
As a Russian citizen, I can say for sure that your estimates of losses are unrealistic. When you mention the annual recruitment reports for the contract, you don't even mention that in the same 23rd year it was an example of "sending good news to the top." Hundreds of thousands of new contract soldiers turned out to be former mobilized civilians who were simply offered to improve their financial conditions of service. Therefore, for those who did not delve into the details or simply did not know, it seemed that the army had grown by hundreds of thousands, but really by a couple of tens of thousands. Once again, for those who didn't understand. These are the same people who have already served, but transferred to new conditions. However, at the same time, they were reported to the leadership as new soldiers. If you don't believe me, I ask you to look for a conscripted person who hasn't signed on.)) Success! Such situations with "beautiful reports to the top" are something we struggle with on a daily basis. Keep this in mind in your estimates.
Trump said that Putin has 100 days, this is the time that America needs to implement all the directives issued by the new government, then the talks will begin. No impositions, much less accusations.
Talking about casualties, just compare the disparity in fire power. Do people know what it means to be at the receiving end of FAB -1500 for example and how many FAB bombs Russia has used? Do they know what it means for your concentration camps to be hit by Iskandars and how many have been used? Do they know the impact of Tos flamethrowers eliminating everything in vast perimeters on the front lines compared to Ukraine that relies heavily on FPV drones where Russia still outperforms them in that domain. Ukrainian permanent losses including those of embedded NATO officers outnumber 1.5 millions. Donald Trump wants the war to end quickly because he knows what has happened but unfortunately for him, if he gives Russia ultimatums, Russia will soon be coming for the US. It is American missiles under American satellite guidance systems that have been fired deep inside Russia making America a direct participant in the war against Russia and Russia WILL one day retaliate, when we don't know. The best Trump can do is to make amends for Boden's errors that began since under Obama. But if he follows on with an anti Russia policy, I can guarantee you that Russia will come for America at a time they least expect and it could be now.
Lol…. Hes giving his mate Putin the victory… three months to agree to negotiate… a decent time for back and 😂 will add more time to the clock… then any implementation of sanctions if they withdraw from talks will take months to make an impact, which is likely to be small (given existing sanctions) and potentially more damaging to both Ukraine and western concerns in general.
I would expect negotiations to be similar to those between N, S Vietnam and USA. Eventually S Vietnam just collapsed despite recieving massive amounts of military aid. The vital thing for Russia is not to all NATO to rebuild Ukrainian forces during a ceasefire
👏 better! Casualty update is missing a key guesstimate. How many men has Ukraine mobilised. Weeb unfortunately doesn’t try give his figure. It’s a big number but how big. So. RU 400k vs Ukr’s …? Based on Uk census ~3% of the population is aged between 25-27 which is the max additional Ukr acquired by dropping the conscription age. On a 37m population that’s 1.1m. And that’s just the incremental from the conscription change. And they are still short. If I have time I’ll try to build a model using reasonable assumptions but clearly however you look at it the number is going to be huge.
Honestly in my opinion i dont thing russia care anymore what us says or ask as long as they get what russia. Wants even if more tarrif is added russia careless at thos time. Both side womt give up easily
Hi Weeb, why such a complicated calculation? At the beginning of the war, the Ukros said they had about 800k personnel. The Ukros also claim over and over again that they recruit about 30k personnel per month. which equates to about 1 million personnel in 3 years. And since they now only have 800k, ca. 1 million must have been destroyed, right?
Threatening both sides to negotiate with each other is not a wise option, as both parties are likely to base their calculations on the assumption that the other will refuse.
There has only been one actual encirclement in this war .... anyone remember it? In every other case there have been threatened encirclements to beat the band but troops have always escaped them.
There's a couple third party groups in the UK that are looking obituaries in both countries. By their numbers (as of this morning reported by sources that I trust), Russia has an average approx 140k KIA (not including Wagner or Donetsk/Luhansk local fighters). Then Ukraine they there are, from the same third party research groups, an average of around 1.1m KIA this is not including 200k MIA (AWOL). Both the numbers for Russia and Ukraine do not include Injured that will be able to make a full recovery. This is the same numbers for Ukraine that the Russian permanent diplomat for the UN Security Council stated in Nov 24. He broke it down as 560k Ukrainians KIA since the beginning of 2024 and 1m+ KIA since the beginning of the SMO in 2022.
Тот, кто ищет эти данные - вампиры. Правильно делают на ЦК России, что не называют цифры. Чтоэо поменяет в ходе боевых действий для народа. И когда и где народ что-то решал🤪
@@fred4687 He already back up the sources but it also proven by UFA lack of troops and total mobilisation of 18 years old. You dont do such things when everything is alright and you have just 40k KIA through 3 years of war like Zelesky declare
Can someone explain to me why we seem to say that when RUAF creates a cauldron on the map, its a pincer manoeuver to encircle Ukrainians, but it's not russians that risks to be encircled by ukrainians? After all, when you make a push on a front, you get surrounded with enemy troops around your push, right?
Because the Russians are "playing it safe" they take the fortified positions and the high ground before they attempt more dangerous maneuvers. Of course its always possible for them to fail but I comment on their intent with their actions so we can understand them and what is happening. If the Ukrainians were attacking the flanks I'd be talking about how they are attempting to encircle with a pincer.
OK.Ukrains kidnep thousend of people from the streets and send them to the front line.BUT they can not kidnep officers and that does not help if anybody is the sergent one day and an order makes him a Captain the next day.
the torn ear made him believe that he was chosen by God. this is pathology. In Eastern Orthodoxy there is a concept (in Russian) Прелесть (Pr'el'est'). Russia has already seen two "kissed by God" in its history
One military problem from the beginning was that the Ukranians took the decision to take towns and villages as fortifications. There was not built a real defence line in the country all along the border with Donbass and other areas. So the military concentration in the towns - it is like having many big castles as in the middle ages to control areas - has proofen to be easely targeted by modern warfare and led to a concentration of military power at certain points that is now destroyed at many places.
Mr armchair general, it is much more efficient to defend in city than in open field, where you are constantly liquidated by artillery, aerial bombardment and drones. While city fighting puts attackers into serious disadvantage, because every house is possible bunker and defenders can hide or relocate positions without being detected. Not to mention that street full of mines covered by fire teams located on roofs or random flats in blocks of flats is complete hell. And even if attacker levels all buildings, defenders still have sewer lines and rubble to hide in. Even worse are factories and similar things with multiple concrete bunkers from soviet times.
Russia should just ally with Mexico. As russian i approve. Imagine american reaction lmao what they gonna do but be mad and threaten more...tarrifs? LOL
I have 2 Questions that come up on probably every talk I have about the RusUk-War: 1) Why should Putin stop taking the 4 oblasts he wants. Uki is down to its knees, russia will probably never have such a good chance to take the land east of dnipr and the whole black sea landborder. Hell, he could take the whole ukraine and give some of it to Belarus and other interested States, to tie some alliances. And 2) Why is "Ukraine has to be Neutral" still a point? Rus has 6 other Nato partners on its boarders
![Lp. Сердце Вселенной #60 РОЖДЕНИЕ ЛОЛОЛОШКИ [Финал] • Майнкрафт](http://i.ytimg.com/vi/YoR0pAV9FVQ/mqdefault.jpg)
this chanel has been the most grounded in reality since the start, no bogus claims, just facts. other channels been pushing all the Korean, Extreme casualties in russian side and other power fantasy stories
Tbh... I am a Nato supporter because I'm from one of that country. I have been hearing about RU heavy casualties since 2014 when ukr started its operation to take Lugansk n Donetsk but somehow RU can keep advancing. I stop believing in anti RU news from wstrn media after the overhyped game changing F16 and long range missile failed again.
@@ilovejesusalways I stopped blindly believing our media when I saw that Wikipedia completely changed the description of the 2014 Odessa clashes and what happened in Donbass before SMO. Musk is right, Wikipedia is now one of the many means of western political propaganda.
This channel had so many bogus claims and Ukrainian narrative propaganda pushed its joke.
I DID NOT EXPECT A 5AM UPDATE
I didn't expect it either
Thank you Weeb putting this,out at this time and your constant thorough work. Nice to watch your honest straightforward coverage.
Great updates as usual
frfr
i hope u will be doing ur political reports even when RUS-UK war will end, U are one of my most trusted sources, ty man for ur service
Watch Daniel Davis Deep Dive and Judge Napolitano
Good evening Weeb 10:05 pm central time United States. Great update stay safe, my friend.❤ from Wisconsin.
I'd love to visit wisconsin some day, the midwest looks like a great place to live!
@@WeebUnionWUyou wouldn’t like it it’s really boring there 😂🤣
@@Bigbluecollector316 Some people try and work to make life where they are living more exciting.
Trump doesn't have a strong hand. He is a business man first. Russians should call his buff . Thanks for uploads.
The Russians should make bluffs themselves. They should ask for a ridiculous amount of concessions like taking Dnipropetrovsk and Kharkov, which the Ukrainians won't accept. Then they should 'compromise' and ask for the 4 regions (what they actually want), which the Ukrainians won't accept. And then it will look like Zelenskiy is the one who doesn't want to negotiate.
Trump has no power over Ukraine
He doesn't want anything from Russia or Ukraine he is trying to mitigate the political damage from obidens folly
The CIA and Pentagon have failed to inform the President, as they usually do, for their own internal Agenda! The CIA needs to be, to quote JFK: "broken into 1,000 pieces and never re - assembled.
@@damtygucr_9270 : the Russians are taking these regions as a buffer against the NATO expansion. The Russians are looking for a comprehensive European security plan, taking into the consideration of Russia and Ukraine included. They have seen the piecemeal arrangement, like the Minsk agreements.
Thanks for the continued reporting!
Early, 3 am update is crazy
Suriyak is late with his updates today😅
fr
23/1/25 12:37pm. Lunchtime update. You must be upside down.
@@theendmyfriend 4 am in Europe buddy
@Citizenm2g depending on which part of Europe
Weeb so deeply into the Rus/Ukr war that he sleep analised the front again.
sleep talkers: exist weeb union: hold my beer im making a new update while i sleep
@dunecat8538 nah not beer, weeb keeps it halal
Great work WEEB , your the man
Imagine being one of the guys told to stay behind and hold them up in Velika Novosylka 😢
A death sentence
West as usually negotiate with themself.
Excellent briefing Weeb. Many thanks!!
Just got off work & bam! An update! Thank you Weeb!
Many thanks Weeb, do I ever need this tonight, been a tough one dear Friend.
The real question is whether Putin will settle for not taking Kharkiv and Odessa
what if he wants to keep going
@dunecat8538 then in years if he has enough supplies he will
I can understand not taking Odessa, but Dnipro city north to the Kharkiv oblast border, and the oblast itself, seems to be a much shorter land border (frontline) to entrench and defend, therefore taking less soldiers to hold a new line.
@@BSdetected I think he would prioritise Odessa and Nikolayev. This is because it would grant them the facilities which the Soviet Union used to use to build their ships, which Russia has not yet fully replaced, and it would give them a land border to Transnistria and would also allow them to supply the growing Gagauz separatist movement in Moldova.
@ yep… fully understand the logic… but without Odessa, Ukraine would virtually be a land locked country, which would significantly change everything about their economy/ society, moving forward, and not for the best. Without Odessa, Ukraine becomes Russia again.
Hi Weeb. Greetings from India. Thanks for that logical analysis!! Your insights make interesting reading. Do post more frequently.
Thank you! 🙏
President Putin has all his conditions. These threats will not change!
Thank you for the update and comprehensive coverage.
There are no Russian products left to sanction, is he nuts😂
And who hasn’t Trump threatened with tariffs 😂
Insanity is doing the same thing over and over again and expecting different results.
He maybe intends to sanction any country buying any russian product. India will cave in that situation
@@arostwocents Sanctions rarely work.
@@arostwocents Interesting because Russian products goes with a label of another country.
Bro sounds like he just rolled out of bed😂
I thought the same thing 😂
I hope not, please get it
Great update 🇬🇧👍
Thanks Weeb 🙏
Like how you keep it real and simple.
Thank you!!! Salute from Greece!!!
Boy you know its COOKED when Weeb updates at 4AM
You had a stew on? 🍲
The US has had the great privilege of printing paper to exchange for needed goods. With that said US citizens never have the need to understand maths, Geography, Geopolitics, history, economics (maybe MMT) so they are exceptional, greatestest and bestest nation in history and God only blesses America.
Well, thanks to such moves world start reject $ much quicker
They also have some of the smartest running it all since they have the money to attract them if there is a gap in nationals. That is what keeps it alive. Not the masses of dumb sheep. Anyway its at a pivotal point. Lets see how it plays out under Trump. If he pushes too hard everyone will push back.
xD
In addition to the Russian expeditionary army in Ukraine getting larger, Russia has also created two new reserve armies in Russia. This indicates their losses are even smaller than you estimate.
Their losses are around ~360k included unrecoverable wounded
@@СергейСердюк94 from my perspective, as a conscripted military serviceman our losses seem to be a little bit more significant. But still not even close to 1 kk of ppl, as Zelensky declared.
I assume they count their own losses and project them onto the enemy. Or they also count Ukrainians as Russians.
Sounds possible
I blank out at any points about losses. Everybody knows those won't be counted for years after the conflict ends.
And to copium points about Russian losses - they advance through minefields and clear fortifications ww1 style. It is very painful and saying it's "1R to 10U" like Ritter does only destroys credibility.
Thank you 🙏🇬🇧
Your math skills exceed the entire analytical staff at The Institute of the Study of War (ISW). Thank you for your excellent reporting and outstanding mapping of the frontlines.
Thanks :)
Thank you Weeb for your every-day hard work for the last almost three years!
It is not just dead and wounded who are losses to an army. There are also deserters and those who switched the sides.
In terms of desertions estimates are 10k on the Russian side and 200k on the Ukrainian side.
There are Russians fighting for Ukrainian side - but those are there from the first months of the war - I have not heard about a single case of a Russian soldier switching the sides - while there are certainly Ukrainian soldiers who switched the sides and now fight for Russia, but I have never heard what their numbers are - I would not expect those numbers to be in tens of thousands.
There are also foreign volunteers (or mercenaries, if you like) and a number of them simply flee as they face hell on the frontlines they have never expected or imagined.
I have worked for a government think tank, and also on an advisor group on gonvernment contracts. I know how these groups seem to operate. The government people hires them expecting a certain result and the think tank create a justification for the choice. This even happens inside corproations. One of my senior project managers talked about working on the 747 team on the justification and a Boeing manager came in to look at the results and told this then junior guy that the study will justify the building of the 747. That was a success, obviously. I know John Mearscheimer has stated the governemnt has never come to him for advice. Imagine the idiocy of not going to John Mearsheimer for advice.
John mearsheimer is pretty clueless regarding military analysis but a good geopolitical expert
This is basically how the neocons "massaged" the intelligence and facts to fit their bogus narrative about Iraq, WMDs, and tying hussein to bin laden (who was also lied about). And ultimately , helping their Israeli overlords. It's all out in the open now. Things haven't really changed.
@@СергейСердюк94look at the IDF, these people aren't good warriors and they know it 😂
@@СергейСердюк94 Really you know shit about him obviously. He went to the United States Military Academy. And it was so obvious that he was good that he got in as an enlisted man. Wow you people comment knowing shit. This is your copium right?
Tak for opdatering.
Shit must be going down in Ukraine if Weeb is posting at 3am!
It means that Putin wants more output.
Very good analysis thankyou
I found the final part on the casualty count very interesting. Could you make a video going in depth on casualties?
Trump thinks that Russia have lost a million men.
Trump doesn't actually understand what is going on.
I think he knows it perfectly, but he also has to take care of domestic politics and does not want to show the US in a weak position. Also because even a child would understand that this war is anything but ridiculous. If it had been truly "ridiculous" and unimportant, the West would not have provided any support to Ukraine. And for a truly unimportant war, you do not threaten further sanctions.
@@trumpforever6706 I don't buy it. Trump simply doesn't know, or is lying about it ... which, in both cases, is strike one in my book!
Strike two is 500 billion to AI.
One strike to go, and Trump have prooven to me, that he is a plant.
@@trumpforever6706 I don't buy it. He either doesn't know, or is lying about it.
Both are really bad, for different reasons.
@ZappyOh Yep, either he is lying or his "advisers" are lying to him. Just like his first term, I guess.
If there is an early update it means something important happened
The difficulties that Tulsi faces with her confirmation - from both sides - shows how important the control of that flow of intel is in shaping narratives and then strategies.
1M Russian casualties? Western cope lol
American advising him I’m British. He listened to them and he kissed their ass too.
I am deeply grateful for the Russian people, for Mr. Putin and Mr. Lavrov. Respect!
Weeb legend!!!
To be honest i saw plenty of videos showing ukrainian war cemeteries and they're massive and numerous.
I have also seen some russian war cemeteries and there's no match. They're way way much smaller
God is on Russia's side❤
God? Seriously?😂😂😂. Well actually that is as important as having the Easter bunny and the tooth fairy on your side
Yes
@@Pasta_watcher As much as he is Zimbabwean, Iranian, English, Chilean, French, Russian,Chinese, American, Mexican, Pakistani, etc.
@@irfanhusein1445Such a smart ass you are.👍🏻First Prize 🏆
No. I'm not. I'm neutral.
Seems like a lot of activity at the moment. Wouldn't be surprised if there's another update later today
In other words, Trum sanctioning that already sanctioned, it's useless 😂
Great video!
Mr T lives on Fantasy island and his chief advisors are Tattoo and the wizard of Oz.
The Trump hopium by Ritter Duran et al is embarrassing
Thank you
As Ukraine morphs into RUSSIA. This is what happens when you put ears to the USA, alone at the end and well done.
Weeb's final comments were epic.
"Anyone with two brain cells can figure this out", isn't that the truth.
I think Trump is very well informed, at least regarding the origins of this war. People close to him, such as David Sacks (All-In Podcast), RFK and Oliver Stone have spoken extensively about the Euromaidan and its actors, such as Victoria Nuland, George Soros, Ihor Kolomoisky and Andriy Biletsky. This could cause a few surprises during the negotiations.
@@lukasmolzberger4680 I agree, Putin and Trump have common enemies..
Nope, he continues talking bullshit like he did in Rogan interview. His view is, that whole Ukraine is destroyed, people live in groundholes and are defending against Russians who live in same conditions because of sanctions. The reality is completely different.
As a Russian citizen, I can say for sure that your estimates of losses are unrealistic. When you mention the annual recruitment reports for the contract, you don't even mention that in the same 23rd year it was an example of "sending good news to the top." Hundreds of thousands of new contract soldiers turned out to be former mobilized civilians who were simply offered to improve their financial conditions of service. Therefore, for those who did not delve into the details or simply did not know, it seemed that the army had grown by hundreds of thousands, but really by a couple of tens of thousands.
Once again, for those who didn't understand. These are the same people who have already served, but transferred to new conditions. However, at the same time, they were reported to the leadership as new soldiers.
If you don't believe me, I ask you to look for a conscripted person who hasn't signed on.)) Success! Such situations with "beautiful reports to the top" are something we struggle with on a daily basis. Keep this in mind in your estimates.
Does Putin make a thrust for Odessa?
Will Putin rescue Transnistria!? 🤔
@@ethercruiser1537we hope so on both counts 🍀 🤞
In 90 days will not fall even pokrovsk
5 am analysis,now that's commitment😂
19th comment. Here watching at 1am in my zone. ✨
Welcome back
Weeb sponsoring himself as advisor😂
Trump said that Putin has 100 days, this is the time that America needs to implement all the directives issued by the new government, then the talks will begin. No impositions, much less accusations.
It’s to audit the $200 billion that was already sent
Talking about casualties, just compare the disparity in fire power. Do people know what it means to be at the receiving end of FAB -1500 for example and how many FAB bombs Russia has used? Do they know what it means for your concentration camps to be hit by Iskandars and how many have been used? Do they know the impact of Tos flamethrowers eliminating everything in vast perimeters on the front lines compared to Ukraine that relies heavily on FPV drones where Russia still outperforms them in that domain. Ukrainian permanent losses including those of embedded NATO officers outnumber 1.5 millions. Donald Trump wants the war to end quickly because he knows what has happened but unfortunately for him, if he gives Russia ultimatums, Russia will soon be coming for the US. It is American missiles under American satellite guidance systems that have been fired deep inside Russia making America a direct participant in the war against Russia and Russia WILL one day retaliate, when we don't know. The best Trump can do is to make amends for Boden's errors that began since under Obama. But if he follows on with an anti Russia policy, I can guarantee you that Russia will come for America at a time they least expect and it could be now.
Any information on how the russians crossed the Oskil river? Do they have pontoon crossings or just boats?
Walk on water spell.
The part about the casualities is very important, would had been better to put the numbers in a graphic or table.
Trump drank a little of that "Coka Cola" from the Green Goblin
Well hire you, WU! Do not doubt it for a second!!!
Remember Vuhledar
Late night update for Canada lol
Deep night (around 3-4 AM) update for Central Europe, where Weeb nion is located.
We need Weeb Union for the Trump advisor
But but but denis say awesome news, kaboom, kaput... 🤭
Another great report thanks Weeb. It looks like Trump saying he wants peace in 100 days has just accelerated the Russian push to get it done by then.
Lol…. Hes giving his mate Putin the victory… three months to agree to negotiate… a decent time for back and 😂 will add more time to the clock… then any implementation of sanctions if they withdraw from talks will take months to make an impact, which is likely to be small (given existing sanctions) and potentially more damaging to both Ukraine and western concerns in general.
14:45 including the troops in reserve that do the rotations?
I would expect negotiations to be similar to those between N, S Vietnam and USA. Eventually S Vietnam just collapsed despite recieving massive amounts of military aid. The vital thing for Russia is not to all NATO to rebuild Ukrainian forces during a ceasefire
👏 better! Casualty update is missing a key guesstimate. How many men has Ukraine mobilised. Weeb unfortunately doesn’t try give his figure. It’s a big number but how big. So. RU 400k vs Ukr’s …? Based on Uk census ~3% of the population is aged between 25-27 which is the max additional Ukr acquired by dropping the conscription age. On a 37m population that’s 1.1m. And that’s just the incremental from the conscription change. And they are still short. If I have time I’ll try to build a model using reasonable assumptions but clearly however you look at it the number is going to be huge.
Wonder if there will be a second update since this one is early😏
Honestly in my opinion i dont thing russia care anymore what us says or ask as long as they get what russia. Wants even if more tarrif is added russia careless at thos time. Both side womt give up easily
Bro is go like crazy with 3am update
Hi Weeb, why such a complicated calculation? At the beginning of the war, the Ukros said they had about 800k personnel. The Ukros also claim over and over again that they recruit about 30k personnel per month.
which equates to about 1 million personnel in 3 years. And since they now only have 800k, ca. 1 million must have been destroyed, right?
The only zambian🇿🇲🇿🇲🇿🇲ku chalo
Ops....i never expected that soon
Threatening both sides to negotiate with each other is not a wise option, as both parties are likely to base their calculations on the assumption that the other will refuse.
There has only been one actual encirclement in this war .... anyone remember it? In every other case there have been threatened encirclements to beat the band but troops have always escaped them.
Weeb Union Well said 👍 ,I always thought that way , I Agree with your Analises , Defetenly Trump is Mislead !!
There's a couple third party groups in the UK that are looking obituaries in both countries.
By their numbers (as of this morning reported by sources that I trust), Russia has an average approx 140k KIA (not including Wagner or Donetsk/Luhansk local fighters).
Then Ukraine they there are, from the same third party research groups, an average of around 1.1m KIA this is not including 200k MIA (AWOL). Both the numbers for Russia and Ukraine do not include Injured that will be able to make a full recovery.
This is the same numbers for Ukraine that the Russian permanent diplomat for the UN Security Council stated in Nov 24. He broke it down as 560k Ukrainians KIA since the beginning of 2024 and 1m+ KIA since the beginning of the SMO in 2022.
Thanks for providing the information🙂🙂🙂
Тот, кто ищет эти данные - вампиры. Правильно делают на ЦК России, что не называют цифры. Чтоэо поменяет в ходе боевых действий для народа. И когда и где народ что-то решал🤪
Who are the sources ?
I dont believe any number. All guess and propaganda. How can check obituaries in rus and ukr?
@@fred4687 He already back up the sources but it also proven by UFA lack of troops and total mobilisation of 18 years old. You dont do such things when everything is alright and you have just 40k KIA through 3 years of war like Zelesky declare
Can someone explain to me why we seem to say that when RUAF creates a cauldron on the map, its a pincer manoeuver to encircle Ukrainians, but it's not russians that risks to be encircled by ukrainians? After all, when you make a push on a front, you get surrounded with enemy troops around your push, right?
Because the Russians are "playing it safe" they take the fortified positions and the high ground before they attempt more dangerous maneuvers.
Of course its always possible for them to fail but I comment on their intent with their actions so we can understand them and what is happening.
If the Ukrainians were attacking the flanks I'd be talking about how they are attempting to encircle with a pincer.
OK.Ukrains kidnep thousend of people from the streets and send them to the front line.BUT they can not kidnep officers and that does not help if anybody is the sergent one day and an order makes him a Captain the next day.
Trump is another clown who thinks he can dictate terms to Russia.
He suffers from extreme hubris.
the torn ear made him believe that he was chosen by God. this is pathology. In Eastern Orthodoxy there is a concept (in Russian) Прелесть (Pr'el'est'). Russia has already seen two "kissed by God" in its history
100 days or what? Tariffs and economic sanctions do not work.
One military problem from the beginning was that the Ukranians took the decision to take towns and villages as fortifications. There was not built a real defence line in the country all along the border with Donbass and other areas. So the military concentration in the towns - it is like having many big castles as in the middle ages to control areas - has proofen to be easely targeted by modern warfare and led to a concentration of military power at certain points that is now destroyed at many places.
Mr armchair general, it is much more efficient to defend in city than in open field, where you are constantly liquidated by artillery, aerial bombardment and drones. While city fighting puts attackers into serious disadvantage, because every house is possible bunker and defenders can hide or relocate positions without being detected. Not to mention that street full of mines covered by fire teams located on roofs or random flats in blocks of flats is complete hell. And even if attacker levels all buildings, defenders still have sewer lines and rubble to hide in. Even worse are factories and similar things with multiple concrete bunkers from soviet times.
👍💯👍💯👍💯👍💯👍💯👍💯👍💯👍💯👍💯👍!!!!!! Have you heard anything about the North Koreans?
Russia should just ally with Mexico. As russian i approve. Imagine american reaction lmao what they gonna do but be mad and threaten more...tarrifs? LOL
I have 2 Questions that come up on probably every talk I have about the RusUk-War:
1) Why should Putin stop taking the 4 oblasts he wants. Uki is down to its knees, russia will probably never have such a good chance to take the land east of dnipr and the whole black sea landborder. Hell, he could take the whole ukraine and give some of it to Belarus and other interested States, to tie some alliances.
And 2) Why is "Ukraine has to be Neutral" still a point? Rus has 6 other Nato partners on its boarders
Some guy said the other day "the Ukrainian ability to get themselves into a cauldron needs to be studied"
Another wrecking ball in the oval office! He and his team are so dangerous. 1 million, Spain is in Briks, and who knows what else 🤪 Pathetic
Trump était obligé de parler de cette façon quand il s’adresse au public... il a été sûrement bien renseigné sur les pertes réelles.
Je l'espère pour lui... parce que d'autre manière on ne peut pas conclure d'affaires.
Get well soon, you sound sick.