Taiwan: More likely 'when rather than if' China will take action against Taiwan, says analyst
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- Опубліковано 24 тра 2024
- China's military has finished two days of military drills around Taiwan in the greatest escalation in tension across the Taiwan Strait since 2022.
China's military described the drills this week as a simulation of how to “seize power” on the island.
Taiwan's defence ministry condemned the action, calling them an "irrational provocation and actions that disrupt peace and stability in the region".
Read more: news.sky.com/topic/china-5869
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It may take 3 months to take the island, but it won't take 3 months to distrupt global economy and semi-conductor deliveries.
No worries, they have already moved to USA or these companies like TSMC will get punished by the Biden Administration. They are all scared of USA. The consequence for having your money frozen by the US govt is too much risks for these people who own TSMC. This is about money.
中国的目的不是优先解决台湾，装作一副要打台湾的假象，可以先看一下地图，琉球的地理位置比台湾更好，琉球群岛地理位置更广，向上牵制日本向下牵制台湾菲律宾，向东牵制美国2,3条岛链，而且每次包围台湾美军也要出动，但是要知道一点美国离台湾远，中国离台湾近，中国军舰去台湾更省油。
占领台湾不需要三个月，超过24小时代表解放军无能
@@user-nx1mt7ei3q I don't think they plan to go to war with Japan, the Philippines, or Taiwan. Especially Japan, basically the most popular country in the world, NGL
@@Zze_611 中国有句古话叫：“杀鸡儆猴”，意思是杀鸡给猴看，上个月东南亚几乎所有国家都访华了，除了菲律宾，你知道为什么吗？为了孤立他，方便对他动手。日本也是，解决台湾有两种一是直接进攻台湾，二是解决第一岛链其他国家，打狗不一定要直接打狗，你可以打狗绳后面牵绳的主人，这样狗自然就老实了。前几天中国外交部发言人直接引用《开罗宣言》宣布冲绳不属于日本领土，中国走的每一步都是有目的的，中国促成伊朗沙特和解，俄乌战争背后是中美博弈，以色列妨碍了中国的一带一路所以挨打，而一带一路是为了团结欧亚大陆将美国势力剔除，今天明天中东逊尼派领导人全部访华，你可以把自己的视野拉到离地面5000公里的地方去看整个地球，这样你才能把世界局势看清楚，中国的工业产能占全球40%，但现在一直在装人畜无害的小白兔，就是为了让西方产生战略误判。在这个百年未有之大变局下，如果你当不了“棋手”，你就只能是“棋子”。
The world's in such a mess
@NeilLitchfield All done by design
@@JonnaJonesOG what a poor design
Armageddon is coming as predicted by the most read and influential book in history of mankind
HALLELUJAH
@@MrStefangyro man the most self destructing animal on earth
Wherever there's Amurikan foot print, there's trouble spot.
Very soon he will be saying china is running out of missiles.
😂😂😂😂 like Ukraine getting they arse kicked atm but before the west keep brainwashing their zitizens that Russia is loosing bad😂😂😂
Well if the dictatorships around the world hadnt sold theirs to ruSSia the Ukraine war would have been over by now .
哈哈哈哈哈哈哈哈哈哈 确实
…😂 or running out of plastic!
Lol...
soon he will be saying china is running out of population
They are of young men being born all western countries are suffering the same fewer babies being born . Look up the facts . They invade sooner than leave it years
😂
What does "running out of population" mean? Grammar is important.
@@michaelp4122 running out of people bruv
@@michaelp4122yes, grammar is very important. regards
It’s never been a better time to stop being made in China and start buying made in your own country.🇨🇦🇺🇸👍
youre so ignorant. the reason everything is affordable is due to chinas cheap labor. If it wasnt for them everythingn would be Too expensive
Taiwan’s Top Trading Partners
mainland China: US$95.7 billion (22.1% of Taiwan’s total exports)
United States: $76.3 billion (17.6%)
Hong Kong: $56.5 billion (13.1%)
Japan: $31.4 billion (7.3%)
Singapore: $29.7 billion (6.9%)
South Korea: $18.2 billion (4.2%)
Malaysia: $15.2 billion (3.5%)
Netherlands: $12.9 billion (3%)
If only it was that easy.
Will take the west age's to prepare for stopping trade with China. SURELY the pandemic taught us that!!!!!🕊️✌🏼
That would be fantastic and would be way easier then to boycott the USA. I'll be buying everything china and nothing yank.
Good luck with that dumbass
Is this the same guy that thinks Russia is losing 😂😂😂😂
Yep. And btw Russia IS losing.
@@IusedtohaveausernameIliked 🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣
Russia arent losing now. At first they failed in taking kyiv. But now ukraine are stretched and russia are gaining.
@@IusedtohaveausernameIlikedfrontline never lie
He gets bonuses to read his propaganda script
A peaceful world seems to be wishful thinking at the moment... :/
Now this modern age China is acting & thinking like Britain colonizers or Hitler's empires during ww2!
How can she stand on those heels with that body?
Lots of talent
Opiates
Good balance.
@@AJ-lk3ky Best answer! lol
It sounds like announcing a football match. This could be WW3.
I don't like war but I have to admit that wars are getting more interesting these days. News would be boring without modern wars.
@@HuanLeVuong Isn't boring news okay?
Ww3 began when Russia invaded Ukraine
Nope.. the US will not fight.
Afterall, the US spent $2 trillion over 20 years, and they couldn't even defeat the Afghan cavemen.
They lost, the Taliban won..
@@MichaelHampton-fn5rl nope it began when NATO had that idea of shift the Ukraine government into a proxy western government and start the killing of many innocent people in Donbas , this when it started, don't forget
Let F around and find out
😳😳😳😳😳
What's your cruising speed and economy Mic ?
Very soon he will be saying Taiwan is winning 🤣🤣
It'll be Taiwan plus the U.S. and Japan winning for they've offered to intervene on Taiwan's behalf.
Yeah sky news only repeating lies all the time and ukraine and taiwan is peacefull retreating and protesting against their governments who wants to go to war with China because they believe they can win... what a bunch of udiots.
Taiwan would win.
@@AGLTONY Or Taiwanese soldiers fighting with Keyboard?
Taiwan would resist quite well with full western support mate
some neurons about to be taken out of our brains by the resident ''analyst''
Och, they ask a guy who was reporting lies abiu Russia Ukraine war from the start.
How many super duper invincble s400 air defence 😂😂😂 systems have been lost in the last 2 weeks ,and what about the black sea fleet being beaten and running away by a country with no navy 😂😂😂😂 oh the shame of it 😂😂😂😂😂.
What lies? Russia is losing hundreds of thousands of people for small towns, and Ukraine had trouble defending themselves without western aid.
Now they have missiles, so let's see what happens.
lmao people who defend russia have bottomless pit heads
The negatives outweigh the positives in this situation!
The Southern PLA drill area is just a few miles from the Mavulis island of Batanes.
Would be funny if all this time everyone is thinking they're going to invade Taiwan, then they invade some random country like Jamaica.
And are never seen again 🤣
Art of War 🤣
The only country(s) that invade or do coups are usa knesset, and engeland
I mean, they have been kind of invading Africa. They have snatched up a lot of mineral rights and own several very large properties in multiple African countries, and likely have some secret bases there.
Actually no. Not funny at all.
Last summer China put out a map claiming territory in seven other countries angering all those countries and there are other countries with territory that China seems to have designs on.
Why the heck does China want to take territory from so many countries or any countries for that matter?
China is big enough and is facing demographic collapse - it doesn't need any more territory.
Imagine having Russia as your primary Ally 💀
That's like saying what if your 5ft 4 250lb 14 yr old nephew with carpal tunnel from gaming and makes videos of himself playing with lightsabres as your primary ally
And now we're seeing a sequel to the Sino-Soviet Split. Xi is horrified by the meatgrinder that is Ukraine. He recognizes how the failure of the 3 day plan has given time to all the European neutral states to reconsider their position. Russia is now just a market to him, not a legitimate ally.
Is it 30 years of UK oil production or consumption?
Well... if the US State Dept has anything to say about it, anyway 🙄
Nope.. the US will not fight.
Afterall, the US spent $2 trillion over 20 years, and they couldn't even defeat the Afghan cavemen.
The US lost, the Taliban won..
They’ll wait until America can’t react because its own troubles.
America has no right to be active in Asia. Go home and sort out your own collapsing economy, homelessness and dire poverty. Stop scape- goating others and recognise that your economic system has failed.
It's none of Americas business. Focus on your domestic issues and waiting on Jesus.
” being Friends of the US is fatal”
Democracy mate, being friend of US means progress and freedom. Tell me what china can give? NOTHING
Being an ally like Australia is not much better lol
That was quoted by the one who betrayed Taiwan(ROC), when US recognized Communist China (PRC) as the legitimate government of China. This is why the US has a responsibility to Taiwan. Although they did that they also promised Taiwan support against forced invasion.
@@lanzdy9215 US should mind its own business. 34 trillions in debt
Wumao spotted... Lol
Correct me if I'm wrong, but the water is too choppy to invade over sea except in April & October.
Finally someone mentions the importance of submarine bases.
SKY NEWS = Stop Kidding Yourself Not Everyone Was Stupid
It's OK I get it
Beware of all the Expert journalists in the west.. all paid for telling lies, even if it is true.
😂😂😂
Very soon he will say China has no Balls
I don't think so
better tell us what ukronazis are doing the parliament???
Best way to prevent this from happening is by whole heartedly helping Ukraine to kick out Ruzzia. How hard can it be?
Exactly
Sky news known for propaganda
?
@@informedchoice2249Best US warmachine complex advertising contractor award winner.
Western Media is the World Rumor Factory, and his name is Western Media Rumor Manufacturing Co., Ltd., which releases new rumor products from time to time
Then what is BBC, Al Jazeera, TRT news?
It's just a propaganda machine that deceives ordinary people
I thought Taiwan was apart of china?
Not for over 100 years, which was before the creation of the country that we call China today. Taiwan was once a part of the Qing Dynasty and then Imperial Japan before being taken over by the ROC who still controls it today.
Yes
In Taiwan the most important school subject is Drone Utilization and Effectiveness.
It’s not could, it’s when. The US is well aware of this.
America has never won a war.
Nope.. the US will not fight.
Afterall, the US spent $2 trillion over 20 years, and they couldn't even defeat the Afghan cavemen.
They lost, the Taliban won..
I don't think that " China is running out missiles " will fly this time
Imagine the amount of drones Tawain has
Sean Bell, simply one of the best military analysts in the business.
The headline doesn’t make bloody sense !
"More likely when rather than if" who wrote this and what are they smoking 😂
'When' should be the question, not 'why',' if', 'because' or 'who' .
Analysts here and there but no one knew what China's really thinking. These analysts are always playing safe in their comments.
China has said they will take back Taiwan by any means necessary.
Ohh Boy here we go........
As Taiwan is recognized by the world as part of China the Chinese could move into Taiwan and take over without an invasion
Yes if agreed by the Taiwanese people.
Actually hardly anyone believes the Chinese governments rhetoric, most people quite happily accept Taiwan as an independent nation in my experience. Wether it actually is or not should be a descision made by the people of Taiwan without any external interference from the USA or PRC.
No one recognizes Taiwan as a part of China LOL. It may as well be a part of Japan with that logic.
@@christianmarriott3696你叫台湾人把中国文物还给中国
@@michaelp4122琉球群岛不是日本得
Taiwan's new president = Zelenzky V 2.0
Xi is Putin 2.0.
truth
Wumao alert !
@@willsmith39 Falun cult
Go for it!
Why does the analyst not consider transport, logistics and terrain? His lack of consideration of these factors renders his analysis useless.
First, China does not have enough troop transport ships. Their sea lift capacity is 50k of troops. With the Taiwanese reserves mobilized they will have more than a half million troops in the field defending a terrain that is described as Afghanistan with tree cover. Standard military doctrine says the attacker will need a 3 to 1 advantage but given the terrain that number would likely be higher. So please tell me how China is going to transfer 1.5 to 2.5 million PLA soldiers across 100 miles of treacherous, highly contested ocean when their sea lift capacity is 50k.
And even if we suspend disbelief and imagine that 2 million Chinese soldiers magically teleport to the island of Taiwan, how are they going to resupply them? PLA logistics break down once the troops move beyond a railhead and there are no trains running from mainland China to Taiwan.
The fact that the analyst did not consider these things tells me he is not a serious person. Therefore, this video is a complete waste of time.
Invade is the wrong word.
In civil war, it's called capture.
It would be invade
Peacefully reunification of Taiwan province
This guy doesn't know what he's talking about
He does. Honest. Rishi and Starmer said so. It must be true 🤔
Thats the whole western media.
Change happens the world order is changing
Oh yeah but Krembots do 🤣
this man never got it right
The answer is NOOOO
Sky news expert joker , love it
And where are the yanks bases??
All around
Everywhere
American imperialism is surrounding Asia
They are situated all over planet Earth, and they have some pretty good mobile ones too.
It's called pine gap in Australia not even Australians are allowed to go there only the yanks.
China running a military drill on its own trade route. Heaven forbid we in the Uk do a drill in the English channel.
Can we just get this conflict sorted already
No industrially developed islands are very hard to invade and even ones close to the mainland like Great Britain have been virtually impossible to invade once they had developed strong military forces.When they are still rural they aren't so difficult to invade as the Romans and Normans prove.Island groups like Taiwan and Japan are much further out at sea too .
Not only Taiwan is a small but also nowhere near an industrially developed island, your logic doesn’t apply here.
@@AB-fi5jt Not industrially developed? Mate, it makes the majority of the world's most advanced chips.
Taiwan has been invaded. Once by Japan and then by the USA. It is not a membrr of the UN because it is not a sovereign nation. It is part of China. It is called Formosa.
@@russellowen6302
Obviously Taiwan is a sovereign nation.
Who runs Taiwan? The people of Taiwan.
Communist China leaders can spout all the nonsense they want but Taiwan is still a sovereign independent nation.
Sure buddy 😂
This “Military Expert” is as knowledgeable as Bettle juice
...here comes the Russian propaganda trolls.
I disagree.. Beetle Juice has more brain..
Isn’t this the guy that was saying Russia was losing the war and now they’ve got him talking about the Chinese. C’mon Sky!
The world reminds me of the conditions in the 1920s and 1930’s
Well they should hurry up if they are gonna do it
Why? Why not wait like 5 years when China will have a bigger, more modern navy than the US? And there could be an "America First" President who will let it slide. They are not in a rush.
Taiwan should learn from Ukraine. Gamechangers won't change anything.
How it will happen if japan and usa is with taiwa?n
@@robertarevalo-ii3ny How did Ukraine lose territory when the entire NATO was with them..still losing btw
It's a very different scenario, but it's pretty obvious that wether or not a Chinese invasion of Taiwan succeeds the cost to them would be enormous, it's just not worth it for China to take this action and I don't think Xi is that stupid really.
Russia invaded ukraine...... ukraine did not go to war with Russia, NATO are indirectly involved in ukraine, they don't have troops on the ground or jets in the sky, if they got involved physically they will push into Moscow
@@fresh6993 The entire NATO isn't with Ukraine though, It;s just sending a few billion $ and mostly some old weapons stocks. And a bit of training. NATO could kick Russia out of Ukraine in a few months if it decided to.
I can't wait! Another reason for all companies to raise the prices of everything again!
Soon he will be saying chinese soldiers are fighting with dull shovels😂
This guy is funny!! 🤣 "The world will stop buying Chinese products" 🤣🤣🤣 I doubt that VERY much....
The world certainly wouldn't work through technology that's for sure lol
His world, Western Europe, the United States, Canada, Australia
@@ydy2001001
China put out a map last summer claiming territory in Russia, India, Malaysia, the Philippines and three other countries angering all those seven countries.
On top of that China has serious territorial disagreements with Japan and Indonesia and China's last major war was an invasion into Vietnam.
None of these countries likes the idea of an Imperialist China invading their country and taking land so they will not be happy to see China acting in an Imperialist way.
And India has major political conflicts with China including anger over a Chinese dam that is going to block a lot of water from flowing into northeast India.
Plus China is very friendly and close to Pakistan with which India has had major political conflicts bordering on war ever since the 1940s.
Don't have the delusion that all non-Western countries love China.
G7 countries alone have close to half the GDP of the world.
That alone is a lot of business for China to throw away on a stupid, unnecessary invasion.
@@geofflepper3207 There is no territorial dispute between China and Russia. China sees India as a clown. Look at the Sino-Indian War. The outbreak of the Chinese-Indian War in 1962
Cuban missile crisis on October 16, 1962
The Chinese-Indian War began on October 20, 1962. The Cuban missile crisis ended on October 29. The U.S. Navy embargoed Cuba until November 20, 1962。On November 21, 1962, the Chinese government declared a unilateral ceasefire.
The world that matters won't be buying and anyone else will suffer the consequences.
This guy is so smart.
2006: we are approaching peak oil production, what are we going to do?
2024: news about every regional tension includes the words: 'there are massive oil/gas reserves in the region'.
Taiwan has to defend itself. Along with Europe.
Taiwan’s official name is still Republic of China. ROC ruled whole China before it lost the civil war and retreated to Taiwan in 1949, ROC vowed to take the mainland of China back until 1980s and its constitution still claims the mainland as its territory. Yes, more people in the island are willing to give up the mainland and become a separate country but the 1.4 billion mainland Chinese people will never allow their motherland to be divided, regardless what their system is.
Wrong, the system matters a great deal bc Taiwan people don't want to be ruled by communist CCP. Fact is Taiwan has been separated from mainland China since 1949... not independent country but separate government. Also, CCP never occupied Taiwan (not even 1min) in its entire CCP history from 1921when CCP was created by Mao.
China could have unified peacefully, but dictators lack the correct attributes for such a process to occur.
Sorry but Taiwanese people don't give a F what 1.4 billion commies objection and Taiwanese people are to be Taiwanese not Chinese commie.
@@vanessali1365 If China had an election system instead the current CCP led system, China would have already reunified the country at any cost. Since the First Emperor established the first united Chinese Kingdom 2200 years ago, all Chinese dynasties had the unification of the country as their highest goal.
ROC has tasted freedom and they will never give it up. They day that PRC is free, is the only day that peaceful reunification can happen.
I just hope there will not be another war. Why do we have to be so territorial? Both people in both countries deserve to live in a peaceful and free environment. These talks about wars break my heart. I think I have to stay away from the internet for the moment. 😢
Didn’t realise Rishi Sunak was this desperate
If we are at war no general election and the penny drops 😂
Rishi Sunak, our appointed great leader 😂😂😂😂
It'd be the US election making them think about it. They couldn't care less what the UK does.
Put in this way - Taiwan will unify with mainland when US hegemony is over. Then why go after Taiwan at all? The island is always there.
Taiwan will be able to buy China once Xi has finished with his wrecking ball.
What happened to the one China policy?
Alright, so when?
Tell this guy to keep quiet
Yes I agree
When will UK recognize Taiwan as a country?
Taiwan or Republic of China?
Will never happen.
The world will recognize Scotland as a country instead.
dun't they supposed to ask this question instead " why is taiwan so important to american?" Almost all news group/media in american or europe is so so particular interested in this.
I hope that companies are pivoting away from putting their entire business supply chains in China, HK or Taiwan. This could all get very very nasty quickly.
Sean Bellend, calls a 5yr girl a young lady
There is no country called Taiwan, only ROC and people's ROC. Both sides are still in civil war. Just like the Southern government and the Northern government in the American Civil War.
it's exactly same with east and west germany.... 1 country, different political systems
There is a country called Taiwan
@@rogerramjet9505 wrong couch potato.
China never interfered in the American Civil War. So it's best the US stays the hell away from China and its territory. Taiwan is and has been China since the Qing dynasty and we will not take that away from China.
I think the American people would stop buying their crap. I always check to see if I’m not buying their stuff anyway
This is a very dangerous more to my country
Could they invade taiwan??
Ofcourse they could
What a dumb title
But will they? Very unlikely.
@@willbrink biding their time, what smart people do
It means are they going to do it soon.
How can a country invade its own country? Try reading something- UN charter, the three communiques, anything outside mainstream warmongering.
@@pauliewalnuts6734 70 years?
Who chose her trousers ?
😂😂😂
Saville left them in his will to the BBC behind closed doors 🤫 😂 😆
If this guy says Taiwan is going to win, the opposite will happen Definitely.
Obviously important to China the question should be why is it important to the USA? It's like saying usa is going to invade Hawaii except Hawaii is 2400 miles from the USA and Taiwan is 100 miles from China
Won't be fun when everyone is called up to serve will it the washing machines will all run out
The military analyst missed the most important point of why Taiwan is most important for China. The answer is that it BELONGS to China. No more no less. So the military analyst only has a Western lens that misunderstands China's motive as geopolitics.
A very interesting perspective on China’s need of deepwater access for its submarines
2:45 ‘Taiwan normally plays the long game’. If they invade Taiwan, they would have to deal with a bunch of disgruntled citizens that would cost endless grieve for years to come. That’s why China has always prefer a peaceful unification. In the recent election, the opposition party that favours China has won majority seats. Already it is trying to push through legislations that limit the power of the president. This may be the thin edge that China is looking for.
West Taiwan needs to chill out
It won't uh unfortunately not until Taiwan is conquered.
Underrated comment.
It‘s highly unlikely that china isn‘t at least going to try, or to even set an example on them.
At the time china is pretty much on course to achieve its goals.
If Taiwan is so important to China why do they then not try to be more friendly to them instead of pushing them away?
above all it is the South China Sea the name says it all.
First this reporter says ‘ what does china’s drills around Taiwan tell us’.
He she having a laugh.
It means Taiwan is in trouble.
She started with the question “Why is Taiwan so important to China?”, which is equivalent to ask “Why is Hawaii so important to America” and “Why is Falkland Islands so important to UK?” 😅
Taiwan is not in trouble not if the U.S. and Japan can help it.
@@Shadowless_KickIt is a matter of principle.
@@Shadowless_Kickexcept, Taiwan has nothing to do with CCP.
@@jeffhsu7027 Regardless if the mainland is ruled by the CCP or not, Taiwan is a part of Ch1na, the reunification is 100x more justified than the UK taking Falkland Islands
Oh yes. With drones and robot dogs. Never seen before!
Why is Ukraine So important to America?
Funny, that the west won't get involved in this one.
Because they all know Taiwan is part of China as a UN member.
Britain shouldn't be anywhere near this conflict if it happens
Ok we'll just accept a complete loss of microchip and the affect that will have on our economy and daily lives. Coward.
Already is. A third of the world's trade goes through there and Taiwan produces 90% of the world's semi-conductors. As a G7 country, the UK has a huge economic interest.
@@Eideric UK has lost all it's old prestige and glory of being the world superpower. Now it should not involve itself in destructive conflicts around the world like ukraine, palestine or taiwan otherwise it will result in utter destruction of their lands
Uk will be part of it cos they will always stick with the power of the USA.
Wrong, we already have a military presence on the island and have committed to defend Taiwan against any Chinese invasion. China won’t risk it
The PRC is using their PLA to test out how to invade taiwan, right now they have 40x PLA naval vessels surrounding Taiwan, they aka the Chinese gov and their military is testing Taiwans defense response and gathering intel.
They can test all they want they're going to be sitting ducks for anti ship missiles when they try to cross the Taiwan strait.
Ray 😢
there is only one thing i want to know...how will Americans know the difference between Chinese and Taiwanese if war brake out 😂😂
They don’t that’s the funny part lol
Their flags. China and Taiwan have different flags.
@@farsiga2899 lol.... no one hoist their standard on battlefield anymore
Taiwan issue is not about South China Sea nor submarine at all, the "expert" should've learnt more history
Well, strategically, it very much is. Otherwise, China would be boring the world senseless with inevitable historical trend of re-unification of the motherland, and avenging the century of humiliation, with respect to the ~900, 000 sq. km. of outer Manchuria/Amur annexations of 1858 and 1860 by Russia, every time he meets Putin. How many times bigger than Taiwan was that territory again? 25, 26 times? And a hell of a lot easier to invade than crossing the ~180km Taiwan Strait, too.
Technically, it is. Coz South China Sea issue is from the republic of china. The sad thing is, Taiwan now is too shamed to fight for their own land.
你们两个都是中国人，还说英语。真搞笑。
@@user-wn1oq6xg5h 应该没你搞笑;) 看您多急 。嘻嘻
我急什么？看到俄罗斯的下场，你党爹吓得尿裤子了，根本不敢入侵台湾。
What on earth does the expert think he is on about, sounds like he's talking about the US,