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Cmon JLC won best supporting last year Demi Moore should certainly be nominated!

The guy in the blue shirt needs to hop off of SAG dick and get an opinion for himself and start to change how we view nominations.

You guys judge off of popularity, movie campaigns, and studios! Let’s break the cycle and vote on the actual performances hop off SAG dick!!!

Stop making ‘fetch’ happen! It’s never gonna happen!

Currently I have Wicked getting into: • Best Picture • Director (with Audiard getting snubbed and Scott missing) • Best Actress (Erivo) • Supporting Actress (Grande) • Editing • Production Design (I have it winning) • Visual effects • Makeup/Hair • Costumes (I have this winning) • Visual Effects Hilariously, I think it will miss score because I am not sure whether adapted scores are eligible? And there doesn’t appear to be any original songs, so it’s missing song. Basically, I have it getting 10 nominations but only winning in 2 or 3 technical categories. I also have Goldblum in my top 10 since he seems to be marketing the movie heavily. But I think he might be more competitive next year for the second half.

I see it for Actress, Makeup and maybe Screenplay? I think the fact it's horror isn't a deterrent this time.

I think because of the third part it will not. It kinda went into B movie towards the end.

Mubi being the distributor is a worse hindrance than The Substance being a horror film. The bloody finale may hurt it with older voters. The positive side is that Demi Moore is ultra famous and beloved. She is doing dozens of interviews, red carpets, and other campaigning. She might help The Substance get nominated into Best Picture, Best Actress, Best Supporting Actress, Best Makeup, Best Director, and Best Screenplay. Coralie Fargeat has been doing a lot of premiers and interviews, which helps because she seems to be seen as a real new French auteur with a feminist stylish vision and body positive messaging.

I see it getting Actress, Screenplay, and Makeup. There’s always a fun possibility of Picture too. Thinking good thoughts

The Substance in the Golden Globes has chances in: best picture comedy/musical, best actress in comedy / musical and best screenplay. nothig else

Night Bitch is very divisive among critics. I don't see Amy Adams getting in

Angelina Jolie really? I haven't heard one good review from critics that saw it in festivals

Fingers crossed. I saw it 4 times in the theater, and I still loved it. I'm not putting a lot of expectations because of the Academy's shameful treatment towards horror films. I'd love to see the film nominated at the Oscars for: Best Picture Best Director Best Actress - Demi Moore Best Original Screenplay Best Cinematography Best Film Editing Best Makeup Best Sound I'd love to see Margaret Qualley and Dennis Quaid get nominated. Plus, if they can nominate Best Song (The Substance), that'd be awesome cause it's a banging ass song. Of course, none of it will probably happen, but we'll wait and see.

Margaret Qualley has A GREAT SHOT TO SHOW UP AT THE GLOBES. Zaldana, Jones, Deadwyler, Gomes, Lee Curtis, Qualley. alt at the Globes- Grande, Ronan, Rossellini and Ellis Taylor

Gascon feels more and more like a shocking snub. Divisive film, supporting character, Zaldana has all the buzz and ARE THEY REALLY READY TO NOMINATE A TRANS WOMAN? I will believe it when i see it.

BIG MISTAKE HERE. Us and Hereditary were not cultural phenomenons like The Substance is. You know which genre films movies were, and were able to break big with Oscars? Joker, Black Swan, Get Out, Black Panther, Barbie. The Substance is in the same position. Also Demi's praise is mostly for her dramatic parts and the now already iconic mirror scene which doesnt have anything to do with horror but could easily be and is already seen as a PURE DRAMATIC SCENE as it belonged in a drama film. Once the real s**t starts its more Maragret's character that is involved in wtf scenes. The Substance is directed by a woman(points), is a FEMINSIT FILM(more points), ODE TO KUBRICK AND CRONNENBERG (even more points and older voters could flip out on those things) AND IS A SATIRE AND BLACK COMEDY its NOT A MAINSTREAM HORROR THAT ONLY SHOCKS like Hereditary and Us(again more points). Us and Hereditary were NOT SEEN AS PRESTIGE ART FILMS AND WERE NOT AS BELOVED and didnt have any chances outside the leading lady performances that were just pure disturbing horror performances. Substance is full of Hollywood messages, body messages, feminist messages, ode to cinema etc. Its also eye catchy unlike the other two AND HAS WON SCREENPLAY AT CANNES. DEMI MOORES NARRATIVE IS THE NARRATIVE OF THE YEAR ANS SHE IS ALREADY CAMPAIGNING MORE THAN LUPITA AND COLLETTE TOGETHER HAD. Again, Us and Hereditary were not cultural phenomenons like The Substance is. Joker, Black Swan, Get Out, Black Panther, Barbie were. You do the math.

If Brendan Fraser + _The Whale_ can (undeservedly) win Best Actor + Makeup & Hairstyling 2022, then so can Demi Moore + _The Substance_ this year (way more deservedly).

It should get nominations for makeup, sound editing, screenplay, and actress.

🎉

Darling, Helen and I believe Demi Moore will be nominated.

Bafta nominated Saltburn last year. I dont see any reason why They should over look The Substance

Nicole Kidman I don’t think is a lock by any means

I don’t think it’ll get any techs other than makeup

The substance is getting Best Picture, Best Actress, make up and maybe director. The competition isn't that hight and most talked about movies and performances will be in.

Jack, you just want Nicole Kidman and Marianne Jean-Baptiste to be nominated. This is why you don't praise Demi.

The Substance is a British film and BAFTA will nominate anything British.

People here are really missing the point. The Substance isn’t horror in the same sense as Hereditary or Us. It’s got a powerful message about aging actresses that’s likely to resonate with the Academy’s older members more than the younger ones. The message of Us is still unclear, even now, and neither Hereditary nor Us had the kind of thematic depth to make them Oscar contenders. Antony’s wrong if he thinks younger Academy members will be the only ones backing this film. Plus, unlike Hereditary or Us, neither of which was released during awards season or became a cultural phenomenon, The Substance has that impact.

i agree with your assessment - Moore and make-up is the best case scenario

Adams should win the Oscar, not just be nominated. She gave a better performance than Madison for sure personally.

Not going to happen

It needs critics groups to go insane for it and even so it's unlikely, it's too weird and out there

Academy isn't going to touch this film - the last 20 minutes made sure they wouldn't. It's ok though it should wear it as a badge of honor

I just want Demi Moore nominated. That's all I ask

lol. Sorry, don’t see it. Conclave, Nightbitch, blitz all better personally. Also rather see Adams or Ronan win than Madison.

Adrien Brody is winning Best Actor handedly

I saw it. It's really good. It needs to released in many more theaters.🍺😺

You’re kinda cute

It's a good movie, go see.

After seeing both Blitz and Nightbitch, both of these movies should be higher on your list. Personally, they are my favorites of 2024 at least among the discussed contenders at one point or another.

Interestingly Toni Collette and Nicholas Hoult were mother and son in About a Boy.

Wonka was cute, but in the end a pretty light-hearted, if not shallow prequel. Wicked is an inherently political revision of a classic fairy tale that challenges our preconceived notions of good and evil (at least if they pull it off correctly, and granted, if you consider the story in its entirety, both acts 1 and 2). That should factor into any discussion of "quality" I think.

The gist of every review is: wasn’t expecting much going in, blew me away coming out of it.. so I’m thinking it’s got Oscar chances. Literally everyone that hasn’t seen it is sounding pessimistic

I think Ariana Grande, Costumes, Makeup, Production Design, & Sound can get in at The Oscars.

Could Oscar winner Michelle Yeoh cancel out Grande?

I don’t see grande getting in at all. Maybe at the globes that’s it

I saw the movie early and I must say, the movie is incredible

I actually think being connected to Wizard of Oz could hurt it and not help it since it looks so much more bland and lifeless than the colorful original film

this awards season is taking so many twists

these early reactions are always hyperbolic. this will get one or two noms and the money will be the win

i have it in for just tech categories still right now (costumes, production, sound, make-up)