Once AGI gets in a self improving feedback loop then we’re really gonna be getting places, I also think people like Julia McCoy are going to be in for a surprise because prompt engineering will have just turned out to be a fad once AGI is autonomous.
I used to be a skeptic of the Singularity, but now I am coming around to the idea that the Singularity is near. AI, as technology, is advancing at an incredible rate. AGI/ASI will be the *midwife* for technologies that have proven difficult for humans to crack such as space colonization, cyborgs, nuclear fusion, nanobots, and radical life extension.
I hope u had a good Christmas 🙌 heres to a crazy 2025 A correction for the video... Your timelines are quite conservative is Sam Altman is to be believed. He's said o3 mini is releasing to the public late January and o3 not long after. And that the rate of new models (like o4) will likely be similar to the timeframe of o1 to o3. So we could see a new model every 3-6 months
I think o3 to o4 SHOULD be MORE steep. We'll see what they share. OpenAI's been working with ASI in their "clearance only" lab for months now. China might get ASI to us via open source before OpenAI gets it to us, but the new Grok might be close... What do you think about crypto with the Willow/China quantum possibilities?
Surprising as it is, China has actually been a greater ally to open source than Silicon Valley right now. Regardless of the motive, this only helps the acceleration process.😁
Most of the advancements you named seem to be more or less incremental improvements. Maybe if you named your predictions for each year to the end of the decade it would be easier to see where you think we're going. 🤔
Can I vent about David Shapiro's predictions here? Yeah?ok: Dude, I think that what he's saying that only 2026 will be the year of Robotics, while 2025 is for agents,doesn’t necessarily make that much sense. Solving for both Robotics and Agents would in turn solve for Infinite-Space-Causality-Path-Finders, as in systems that infer a causal determinate sequence of actions (to interface) in an infinite-possibility space of actions; So in my view, if anything, these fields should heavily feed off of one another. I am trying to be skeptical here, but from where I see it, these systems walk side by side
When will AI and robotics start leading to both higher quality consumer products while lowering prices. Even if the technology stays where it is it should be able to drastically improve the current quality of life of everyone. Instead the only current selling point is that it has the potential to replace many human jobs. We currently have a shortage of skilled workers in many areas I see AI and robotics being applied there first. But it still takes years for an established business to incorporate new technology into its operations
@ the reason why it’s getting so much more difficult to find jobs is because job seekers use AI to write a resume in seconds and hr people us AI to screen resumes because so many more applications are being sent in. Anything that 1 person using AI agents can produce 100 million other people can produce.
Most of your predictions are on par with what is to be expected, but I’m sure the singularity bit will bring on disagreements, although with the rate things advanced in 2024 I wouldn’t say you are far off.
@@distiking I doubt it, maybe a long time from now but not anytime soon. In a decade things will start getting cheaper, a few decades houses will not cost a whole lot. Still going to need some type of money system, things will be cheap but not free.
Wow, hope it goes so fast! :)
i cant wait for AGI bro
Once AGI gets in a self improving feedback loop then we’re really gonna be getting places, I also think people like Julia McCoy are going to be in for a surprise because prompt engineering will have just turned out to be a fad once AGI is autonomous.
agreed 100%
Great video, thank you very much!
I used to be a skeptic of the Singularity, but now I am coming around to the idea that the Singularity is near. AI, as technology, is advancing at an incredible rate. AGI/ASI will be the *midwife* for technologies that have proven difficult for humans to crack such as space colonization, cyborgs, nuclear fusion, nanobots, and radical life extension.
As long as it helps with life extension that's what I care about.
Lol, the rest doesn't matter much to me if I die of old age/disease before it happens
I say one word: A.G.E.N.T.S Autonomous, Generalized, Efficient, Neural, Task-Oriented
OpenAgent: Science is spelled wrong in on-screen text.
oops lol
I hope u had a good Christmas 🙌 heres to a crazy 2025
A correction for the video... Your timelines are quite conservative is Sam Altman is to be believed. He's said o3 mini is releasing to the public late January and o3 not long after. And that the rate of new models (like o4) will likely be similar to the timeframe of o1 to o3. So we could see a new model every 3-6 months
Oooo nice! Merry Christmas
I think o3 to o4 SHOULD be MORE steep. We'll see what they share. OpenAI's been working with ASI in their "clearance only" lab for months now. China might get ASI to us via open source before OpenAI gets it to us, but the new Grok might be close... What do you think about crypto with the Willow/China quantum possibilities?
Surprising as it is, China has actually been a greater ally to open source than Silicon Valley right now. Regardless of the motive, this only helps the acceleration process.😁
could be true
I'm afraid giving a technology more powerful than nukes to everyone will end up badly.
Most of the advancements you named seem to be more or less incremental improvements. Maybe if you named your predictions for each year to the end of the decade it would be easier to see where you think we're going. 🤔
I agree with all of this except for one thing. I think it’s going to come faster than that late in the year 😊
We are moving too slowly, I need to finish this Flutter app but my LLM capability is still to low, I need something that can deliver production grade.
Can I vent about David Shapiro's predictions here? Yeah?ok: Dude, I think that what he's saying that only 2026 will be the year of Robotics, while 2025 is for agents,doesn’t necessarily make that much sense. Solving for both Robotics and Agents would in turn solve for Infinite-Space-Causality-Path-Finders, as in systems that infer a causal determinate sequence of actions (to interface) in an infinite-possibility space of actions; So in my view, if anything, these fields should heavily feed off of one another. I am trying to be skeptical here, but from where I see it, these systems walk side by side
I tend to agree
When will AI and robotics start leading to both higher quality consumer products while lowering prices.
Even if the technology stays where it is it should be able to drastically improve the current quality of life of everyone. Instead the only current selling point is that it has the potential to replace many human jobs.
We currently have a shortage of skilled workers in many areas I see AI and robotics being applied there first. But it still takes years for an established business to incorporate new technology into its operations
I guess its more probable to see startups surpassing lots of old and big companies because in the coming meta it is way more important to pivot fast.
@ the reason why it’s getting so much more difficult to find jobs is because job seekers use AI to write a resume in seconds and hr people us AI to screen resumes because so many more applications are being sent in.
Anything that 1 person using AI agents can produce 100 million other people can produce.
Pedant here, I before e in science
Most of your predictions are on par with what is to be expected, but I’m sure the singularity bit will bring on disagreements, although with the rate things advanced in 2024 I wouldn’t say you are far off.
I just want to keep making money in the AI world.
Money will become irrelevant I hope
@@distiking I doubt it, maybe a long time from now but not anytime soon. In a decade things will start getting cheaper, a few decades houses will not cost a whole lot. Still going to need some type of money system, things will be cheap but not free.
You forgot about OpenAI’s Orion model they said they would release in Q1 and is reportedly 100x more powerful then GPT4.
Not a thing lol
AGI
First!
Ban ai