As brilliant as ever. I’ve always respected this guy and once I knew that he regularly takes time for the people it’s only increased. Appreciate the efforts and insights
1. The world order is undergoing significant changes, with key forces shaping its future. 2. Five major forces influence these changes: debt, internal conflict, international conflict, acts of nature, and technological advancement. 3. Debt and money spending, especially on credit, are critical challenges for the U.S. government. 4. Internal conflict, particularly between the far left and far right, is a pressing issue in the U.S. political landscape. 5. The U.S. faces rising political polarization, with Donald Trump and Republicans aiming for significant change. 6. International conflict is intensifying, especially with countries like China, Russia, North Korea, and Iran. 7. The U.S. is engaged in a form of "war" with these countries, which could escalate tensions globally. 8. Acts of nature, such as droughts, floods, and pandemics, are becoming more prominent, partly due to climate change. 9. Technology is a driving force for innovation and change, affecting all sectors of society. 10. A successful transition of power in the U.S. is crucial and should not be taken for granted. 11. If the 2020 election had been closer, there might have been serious consequences, but a peaceful transfer of power occurred. 12. Donald Trump’s administration has focused on renovating the government to run more like a business, emphasizing efficiency and cost-cutting. 13. The Trump administration aims to reduce inefficiencies and foster industrial policy, moving away from pure free-market capitalism. 14. Key appointments in the Trump administration reflect a commitment to this "business-like" approach and loyalty to the mission. 15. Internationally, the U.S. is preparing for a more adversarial stance with China, Russia, and their allies. 16. A policy of self-sufficiency and protectionism is expected to shape U.S. foreign relations. 17. Domestic issues like education and poverty may take a backseat to these more urgent geopolitical and economic concerns. 18. The post-World War II order, which promoted multilateralism and moral leadership, is being replaced by an "America First" approach. 19. The U.S. is shifting from being a moral leader to focusing on national interests and alliances in the face of global conflict. 20. This transition marks a new era where the U.S. is less focused on global coordination and more on managing direct competition with rival powers.
Thank you so much for sharing your perspective! It’s so hard to see the big picture by following the news. So it’s particularly valuable to have your high level perspective that is informed by the wisdom gained through examining history. I also love your impartial insights in this highly divisive time. Thank you!
Thank you Mr. Dalio! You're book on Principles has really made me a better person. Thank you for these uploads! I highly recommend that book to anyone who has not read it yet.
Argentina President has openly stated he has strategically aligned with the USA, so we are even seeing Nations openly taking sides now in the scenario Ray is describing.
Teacher, how do you view the global economic situation in 2025? Will China's economy deteriorate under the competition between China and the United States.
Growing up, the whole world was inspired by America and America was interested to help build a better word. Now, America has turned inward, and left the world to fend for itself. We will rue having wasted the opportunities these last decades to sow greater prosperity and engagement around the world. The world's problem will become our problems once again.
Pretty hearty and motivating for the US. Let's generate some game playing scenarios. What are the chances of Trump's administration succeeding on internal and external fronts? Will the top-down industrialization be a war economy to serve the external objectives? My last question: when all is said and done, how many humans will be left and in what shape?!
Yeah sounds impossible, yet with Maria Luisa Clare, I've come to the conclusion that financially anything is possible. I got my self my dream car 🚗 just last weekend and a whooping $320k in savings already, My journey with her started after my best friend came back from New York and saw me suffering in debt then told me about her and how to change my life through her. Maria L. Clare is the kind of person one needs in his or her life! I got a home, a good wife, and a beautiful daughter. Note!:: this is not a promotion but me trying to make a point that no matter what happens, always have faith and keep living!!
I know that woman(Maria Luisa Clare) If you were born and raised in new York you'd know too, No doubt she is the one that helped you get where you are!!
It was guaranteed to get worse under the opposition. When the other side is voting against a candidate instead of for a candidate, it's the blind leading the blind.
(IMO) The change from We-The-People to Oligarchy has been underway for many decades. We can definitely see it taking shape more quickly now, but the road never-really-changes. It is just that the road is very, very long and full of twist and turns. Peace
An interesting read for you might be "we the elites" which lays out our system of government as having been from the beginning designed by the framers of the Constitution to favor the wealthy class and to set up a judicial system that makes it super difficult to change. It pulls back the curtain and makes these things clear. It's nothing "new". They sure as hell don't teach it in school.
@@samahdy Oh I agree. There hasn't been any change in the evolution of individualism at all. The rich and powerful have always fought for control over the world convinced of their own superiority and other's stupidity. Occasionally tho, there are a few that have awaken from this endless kill or be killed mentality, Dalio. Unfortunately those type of people don't really crave the spotlight or control and rarely end up in government positions. However, I do believe in the Constitution and there were wise and compassionate people involved with that.
@@ER-kr2nu. Well, nice thoughts there - but the Constitution is now a relic of the past. How was it enforced in the past ? To keep a Govt in check. The courts. But if an Oligarch has the courts / judges in his pocket, then the Constitution does not get enforced. And a court may never rule against the desires of Maga now. Else they suffer their wrath of terror. Kind how fascism works.
Trump says America First but his actions are America Last. Why not mention DOGE and the coming "significant hardships" aka austerity. The debt cycle will skip a cycle because the government will be run like a business by clowns? Austerity is coming.
We should add two new parties to move beyond our current system, which is totally controlled by the oligarchs. I propose Bernie form a new populist liberal party and Liz Chaney to form a conventional conservative party. Three parties will never work, we need four to break up the oligarchs control.
Running the US federal government as a business. HMMM! Remind me again what a great businessman tRumpy is? How the F do you go bankrupt as a casino owner?
If Trump could be President i dont see why Dalio couldn’t. Man has more wisdom and insights on how to navigate and lead today’s climate. Ray Dalio 2028 anybody? 😆
People right to choose hu they want leader. But it doesn't mean leader hv a powerful????????????? Bfr all leaders said we are God now to my country. But aftr the blueprint de federation my mom send in malacañan Palace the former president he saw that leader and government hv no powerful bcz they are a servant if the people we hired them even monarchy the old monarchy they signed it all???? No one excuses of that system so why the former president he always said to the public leader not god like they think that's a big wrong they are a servant only paying the system... reserve we have all we pay that in your country in 50yrs when that yrs no one can pay the responsibility all of that for the federation all not your country so why I said you stop don't force me to open totaly in the public bcz it's so shameful you saw all your arugant
Lovely!! Poverty and education will be second fiddle to businesses and war. Considering most of the MAGA voters come from this sphere, they are going to get a rude awakening. Sad.
I don’t think this guy is nearly as insightful as he thinks he is. His predictions have been dead wrong and he literally repeats himself year after year.
He made money doing something else so people think he’s a genius at everything and hang on his every word. It’s the world we live in now. He admitted things could have been worse if the other side won so it was good that they didn’t win. So how does that make the side that won a good thing if there would have been trouble by then if they lost. A peaceful transfer of power is what’s supposed to happen no matter who wins and loses. Some bizarre stuff that guy just said. Run the govt like a business. Massive layoffs and no new jobs for a ton of businesses. That’s not a good thing with more and more people. I don’t think they care about rising prices and increasing unemployment when they’re already billionaires.
While I understand your explanation, I absolutely have no idea why most Americans voted for Trump for American First Policy. Dems are just a lot better at creating jobs and opportunities. For example, Biden's Chip Act is a big deal that will guarantee America's technological domination in the future. I have seen clips of how it has changed people's lives in places where poverty was so bad. On the other hand, Dems are just so bad at bragging about what they did. I had no idea why Harris didn't talk about these achievements during her campaigns.
The chips act was good and kudos to you for bringing it up because most of the Democratic supporters just say that Trump is a bad person and point to political convictions and non presidential language and comparisons to Hitler (because he and Musk favour free speech and some if it is right wing). My guess is that Harris did not mention it at all during her campaigning because she felt that a more effective message was to say that Donald Trump is bad. And to be honest I am not 100% sure that she really understands the economy and the benefits of things like the chips act. I think most Democrat voters she needed to appeal to would tune out if you talked about something that would benefit corporations as well as jobs. Eyes would glaze over if they heard about the chips act because telling people that Donald Trump will take away women’s rights, even when that was incorrect, is something that the voting public can understand. But I have no doubt that, the chips act is not going anywhere because it had bipartisan support and I also have no doubt that a lot of Trump policies will spur domestic investments well beyond what the chips act is going to do. Simply lowering the corporate tax rate will bring a lot of manufacturing back to the US..
I think it came down to the Democrats wanting voters to focus on one thing only… that Trump was going to take away women’s choices, even though people could see through the power of the internet that he has been pro-choice his whole life would like to help fund IVF rather than shut it down . So that was the Democrat message, but then voters were also looking at what other things a democratic government also means since rate Biden administration did a lot of harm. They managed to start a couple of wars; started after the world saw the weak response during the Afghanistan withdrawal…. We are now closer to nuclear warheads being used than at any time before. Highest inflation since Jimmy Carter. Failed policies in Democrat run cities that went soft on crime. Record high illegal immigration that threatens higher crime and overwhelmed social services, women no longer competing in sports they’ve trained for their entire lives, threatened rollback of Trump tax cuts that lowered taxes across every income bracket, crazy tax proposals like taxing unrealized capital gains that will stop innovation and risk taking dead in its tracks.
Just as the British had to close their overseas military bases to cut spending, the US would have to do the same so that there is funding for its renovation. the renovation sounds like a Chinese style top-down approach 😂
As brilliant as ever. I’ve always respected this guy and once I knew that he regularly takes time for the people it’s only increased. Appreciate the efforts and insights
1. The world order is undergoing significant changes, with key forces shaping its future.
2. Five major forces influence these changes: debt, internal conflict, international conflict, acts of nature, and technological advancement.
3. Debt and money spending, especially on credit, are critical challenges for the U.S. government.
4. Internal conflict, particularly between the far left and far right, is a pressing issue in the U.S. political landscape.
5. The U.S. faces rising political polarization, with Donald Trump and Republicans aiming for significant change.
6. International conflict is intensifying, especially with countries like China, Russia, North Korea, and Iran.
7. The U.S. is engaged in a form of "war" with these countries, which could escalate tensions globally.
8. Acts of nature, such as droughts, floods, and pandemics, are becoming more prominent, partly due to climate change.
9. Technology is a driving force for innovation and change, affecting all sectors of society.
10. A successful transition of power in the U.S. is crucial and should not be taken for granted.
11. If the 2020 election had been closer, there might have been serious consequences, but a peaceful transfer of power occurred.
12. Donald Trump’s administration has focused on renovating the government to run more like a business, emphasizing efficiency and cost-cutting.
13. The Trump administration aims to reduce inefficiencies and foster industrial policy, moving away from pure free-market capitalism.
14. Key appointments in the Trump administration reflect a commitment to this "business-like" approach and loyalty to the mission.
15. Internationally, the U.S. is preparing for a more adversarial stance with China, Russia, and their allies.
16. A policy of self-sufficiency and protectionism is expected to shape U.S. foreign relations.
17. Domestic issues like education and poverty may take a backseat to these more urgent geopolitical and economic concerns.
18. The post-World War II order, which promoted multilateralism and moral leadership, is being replaced by an "America First" approach.
19. The U.S. is shifting from being a moral leader to focusing on national interests and alliances in the face of global conflict.
20. This transition marks a new era where the U.S. is less focused on global coordination and more on managing direct competition with rival powers.
Such a pretty picture you paint. Really?
Thank you Ray. Look forward to your updates in the midst of all this chaos.
Thank you so much for sharing your perspective! It’s so hard to see the big picture by following the news. So it’s particularly valuable to have your high level perspective that is informed by the wisdom gained through examining history. I also love your impartial insights in this highly divisive time. Thank you!
It’s going to be a tough environment for regular folks for many years. Not sure how many.
Sir you’re Brilliantly make everythin simple. Eddy needs you 👌
1.5ish million vote difference isn't a mandate, it's a squeaker. ~1.5% Mandate...smh
Electoral college blow out is what it was
Thank you Mr. Dalio! You're book on Principles has really made me a better person. Thank you for these uploads! I highly recommend that book to anyone who has not read it yet.
Argentina President has openly stated he has strategically aligned with the USA, so we are even seeing Nations openly taking sides now in the scenario Ray is describing.
Reminds me of the Cold war
No mandate it was close 1% close.
This really resonates with me. Thank you. I think this analysis makes a lot of sense.
Simple Claro y muy revelador. Muchas Gracias
Ray is a brilliant man.
I have huge respect for you sir. Always worthy to listen to. Thank you
Thanks Ray
Teacher, how do you view the global economic situation in 2025? Will China's economy deteriorate under the competition between China and the United States.
Thanks Sir for sharing the knowledge
Dear Sir: the world needs your insights, wisdoms, and instructions badly at this crucial historical moment. Thank you so very much. 🎉
Growing up, the whole world was inspired by America and America was interested to help build a better word. Now, America has turned inward, and left the world to fend for itself. We will rue having wasted the opportunities these last decades to sow greater prosperity and engagement around the world. The world's problem will become our problems once again.
If you think Trump is going to make the world a better place, you are sadly mistaken
Proof? Cause he has proven otherwise.
@ , proof?
God bless you Ray! Never stop striving!
Grazie ray 💪🚀
Thank you for sharing
Great video Mr.Dalio.
Thank you, Ray. Some great education for all resources: Saylor Academy and Modern States
Pretty hearty and motivating for the US. Let's generate some game playing scenarios. What are the chances of Trump's administration succeeding on internal and external fronts? Will the top-down industrialization be a war economy to serve the external objectives? My last question: when all is said and done, how many humans will be left and in what shape?!
$45k biweekly changed my mindset and behavior, my goals, my family and I've to say this video has inspired me a lot!!!!❤️
I'm feeling really motivated.
Could you share some details about the biweekly topic you brought about up? 😊
Yeah sounds impossible, yet with Maria Luisa Clare, I've come to the conclusion that financially anything is possible. I got my self my dream car 🚗 just last weekend and a whooping $320k in savings already, My journey with her started after my best friend came back from New York and saw me suffering in debt then told me about her and how to change my life through her. Maria L. Clare is the kind of person one needs in his or her life! I got a home, a good wife, and a beautiful daughter. Note!:: this is not a promotion but me trying to make a point that no matter what happens, always have faith and keep living!!
Wow 😱 I know her too
Miss Maria Luisa Clare is a remarkable individual whom has brought immense positivity and inspiration into my life.
I started with a miserly $1500. The results have been mind blowing I must say TBH!
I know that woman(Maria Luisa Clare) If you were born and raised in new York you'd know too, No doubt she is the one that helped you get where you are!!
Any new book are you planning to write please answer sir ?
People think their lives will improve with Trump are wrong.
If he makes USA industrial again, it will improve INSHALLAH.
It was guaranteed to get worse under the opposition. When the other side is voting against a candidate instead of for a candidate, it's the blind leading the blind.
Can you make the argument why?
Such a dumb statement.
1. You have no idea what will happen.
2. it really depends upon who you are.
Prove it
(IMO) The change from We-The-People to Oligarchy has been underway for many decades. We can definitely see it taking shape more quickly now, but the road never-really-changes. It is just that the road is very, very long and full of twist and turns.
Peace
An interesting read for you might be "we the elites" which lays out our system of government as having been from the beginning designed by the framers of the Constitution to favor the wealthy class and to set up a judicial system that makes it super difficult to change. It pulls back the curtain and makes these things clear. It's nothing "new". They sure as hell don't teach it in school.
@@samahdy Oh I agree. There hasn't been any change in the evolution of individualism at all. The rich and powerful have always fought for control over the world convinced of their own superiority and other's stupidity. Occasionally tho, there are a few that have awaken from this endless kill or be killed mentality, Dalio. Unfortunately those type of people don't really crave the spotlight or control and rarely end up in government positions. However, I do believe in the Constitution and there were wise and compassionate people involved with that.
@@ER-kr2nu. Well, nice thoughts there - but the Constitution is now a relic of the past.
How was it enforced in the past ? To keep a Govt in check. The courts.
But if an Oligarch has the courts / judges in his pocket, then the Constitution does not get enforced.
And a court may never rule against the desires of Maga now. Else they suffer their wrath of terror.
Kind how fascism works.
America, this man is the person who you need as a president.
sad isn't it, we can't choose smart people to represents us
@@sitlyfeniase3742smart or brilliant people would never take that job.
We’ve already been in endless war for the past 100 years so nothing has changed
Great content 😊
Shout out for this update 😂🙏🏾
Shady Pines is missing a resident.
I re-watched the changing world order video you did a few weeks ago
Interesting analysis. But as always with Dalio he is weak on real action steps you should take.
Trump says America First but his actions are America Last. Why not mention DOGE and the coming "significant hardships" aka austerity. The debt cycle will skip a cycle because the government will be run like a business by clowns? Austerity is coming.
Those must be fire, earth, gold, water, wood
air
So, what will happen next?
Thanks mr. Dalio. Im from Russia, we respect USA. You are strong nation.
You forgot to write that Russia is stronger
Probably, but Americans are richer@@TheStrelok
3:55 America has the best reverse engineers if you make something will make it better
Master Dalio :)
We should add two new parties to move beyond our current system, which is totally controlled by the oligarchs. I propose Bernie form a new populist liberal party and Liz Chaney to form a conventional conservative party. Three parties will never work, we need four to break up the oligarchs control.
Brilliant as usual. Thank you sir
To run the government like “a (corrupt) business”.
So in an very intellectual way- the shits hitting fans fast and hard and there’s more!? 😑
Every country now has their own free market. We gave you the playbook. If you wanna play it’s up to you the playbook comes with all the cheat codes.
Thank you sir for the update.
I used to think this guy was wise.
Ikr we’re in trouble
Orderly transition now. Not so much in 4 years.
Running the US federal government as a business. HMMM! Remind me again what a great businessman tRumpy is? How the F do you go bankrupt as a casino owner?
By not wanting to pay his debts to those who had contracts and running away with what he can get leaving those behind holding the bag.
He said the same exact speech years ago. This guy is a fraud / coucou.
The art of stating the obvious 😊😊😊
We were never a moral leader and never should have put ourselves there. My generation learned that mistake from yours.
The moral leadership rhetoric was just an excuse to interfere with other countries to allow the US to exploit them
If Trump could be President i dont see why Dalio couldn’t. Man has more wisdom and insights on how to navigate and lead today’s climate. Ray Dalio 2028 anybody? 😆
hello sir, can I kindly ask you a question just one question...you are a natural introvert or an extrovert?!
American moral leadership 😂😂😂
Americans do not want to be dictated to by the UN, World Bank, IMF, etc.
Let me throw up first 🤮
Hopefully they will renovate ❤
just tell us the big thing. nuclear missiles triggered or no?
🙌
Will you be on the cabinet Ray?
If he sells out and works for Trump then he's going to seriously compromise his credibility
People right to choose hu they want leader. But it doesn't mean leader hv a powerful?????????????
Bfr all leaders said we are God now to my country. But aftr the blueprint de federation my mom send in malacañan Palace the former president he saw that leader and government hv no powerful bcz they are a servant if the people we hired them even monarchy the old monarchy they signed it all???? No one excuses of that system so why the former president he always said to the public leader not god like they think that's a big wrong they are a servant only paying the system... reserve we have all we pay that in your country in 50yrs when that yrs no one can pay the responsibility all of that for the federation all not your country so why I said you stop don't force me to open totaly in the public bcz it's so shameful you saw all your arugant
Lovely!! Poverty and education will be second fiddle to businesses and war. Considering most of the MAGA voters come from this sphere, they are going to get a rude awakening. Sad.
No free market under Trump, OMG !
I don’t think this guy is nearly as insightful as he thinks he is. His predictions have been dead wrong and he literally repeats himself year after year.
He made money doing something else so people think he’s a genius at everything and hang on his every word. It’s the world we live in now. He admitted things could have been worse if the other side won so it was good that they didn’t win. So how does that make the side that won a good thing if there would have been trouble by then if they lost. A peaceful transfer of power is what’s supposed to happen no matter who wins and loses. Some bizarre stuff that guy just said. Run the govt like a business. Massive layoffs and no new jobs for a ton of businesses. That’s not a good thing with more and more people. I don’t think they care about rising prices and increasing unemployment when they’re already billionaires.
❤🎉
You’re not in a war. Ukraine is.
👍
While I understand your explanation, I absolutely have no idea why most Americans voted for Trump for American First Policy. Dems are just a lot better at creating jobs and opportunities. For example, Biden's Chip Act is a big deal that will guarantee America's technological domination in the future. I have seen clips of how it has changed people's lives in places where poverty was so bad. On the other hand, Dems are just so bad at bragging about what they did. I had no idea why Harris didn't talk about these achievements during her campaigns.
The chips act was good and kudos to you for bringing it up because most of the Democratic supporters just say that Trump is a bad person and point to political convictions and non presidential language and comparisons to Hitler (because he and Musk favour free speech and some if it is right wing). My guess is that Harris did not mention it at all during her campaigning because she felt that a more effective message was to say that Donald Trump is bad. And to be honest I am not 100% sure that she really understands the economy and the benefits of things like the chips act. I think most Democrat voters she needed to appeal to would tune out if you talked about something that would benefit corporations as well as jobs. Eyes would glaze over if they heard about the chips act because telling people that Donald Trump will take away women’s rights, even when that was incorrect, is something that the voting public can understand. But I have no doubt that, the chips act is not going anywhere because it had bipartisan support and I also have no doubt that a lot of Trump policies will spur domestic investments well beyond what the chips act is going to do. Simply lowering the corporate tax rate will bring a lot of manufacturing back to the US..
I think it came down to the Democrats wanting voters to focus on one thing only… that Trump was going to take away women’s choices, even though people could see through the power of the internet that he has been pro-choice his whole life would like to help fund IVF rather than shut it down .
So that was the Democrat message, but then voters were also looking at what other things a democratic government also means since rate Biden administration did a lot of harm. They managed to start a couple of wars; started after the world saw the weak response during the Afghanistan withdrawal…. We are now closer to nuclear warheads being used than at any time before. Highest inflation since Jimmy Carter. Failed policies in Democrat run cities that went soft on crime. Record high illegal immigration that threatens higher crime and overwhelmed social services, women no longer competing in sports they’ve trained for their entire lives, threatened rollback of Trump tax cuts that lowered taxes across every income bracket, crazy tax proposals like taxing unrealized capital gains that will stop innovation and risk taking dead in its tracks.
Did this guy get rich by stating the obvious?
No he got rich doing something else so now when he states generic obvious people think it’s something brilliant.
Hit 250k today. Appreciate you for all the knowledge and nuggets you had thrown my way over the last months. Started with 24k in July 2024
Do you invest with a professional broker??I'd appreciate it if you show me how to go about it.
Sounds good,how do you do that? I'm interested,how do I go about getting started?
Elon Musk would be a best leader🎉 anyway hope it changes for good.
Just as the British had to close their overseas military bases to cut spending, the US would have to do the same so that there is funding for its renovation. the renovation sounds like a Chinese style top-down approach 😂
You Didd y it
BS
Go, D.O.G.E Go!