2024 Hurricane Season Preview • Potentially Record-Breaking Season Ahead? | WWS
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- Опубліковано 27 вер 2024
- Hello everyone, and welcome! In this special report, I’ll show you my preliminary thoughts on the coming hurricane season and why we need to be especially aware of what’s coming.
Special thanks to my channel partner for the Hurricane Ian and Idalia footage towards the end of this video. Subscribe to his channel down below! / @mesohunteryt
#weather #hurricane #majorhurricane #tropicalstorm #storm #tropical #hurricaneseason2024 #2024 #majorstorm #europe #europeweather #category5 #hurricaneirma #hurricaneophelia #hurricaneseason2017 #hurricaneseason2020
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I could listen to you forecasts for hours. These are not forecasts but meteorology lectures. I have no words to thank you for your ability to squeeze so much information in a few minutes. BTW.. thank you😄
You’re very welcome!! I’m glad you enjoyed! 😄
I am 60 old years. I use to listen to my father explain the weather patterns in detail.
You remind me of those years, when weather patterns were explained in detail, which we definitely don't get from the mainstream weather forecasts!!
Well done, I love your channel!
Thank you, I’m glad you liked it! 🙂
Finally a weather forecaster on utube not scared of👏👏👏telling about climate change🙌🙌🙌❤ 🎉🎉
I heard that there is a potential for a category 6 to be added to the hurricane scale, for hurricanes with winds greater than 193 mph. (311 km/h, 86 m/s) 2023 to note was an El Niño, and yet was above average from a normal El Niño year, and since there is way less shear, I think this year could be worse. Good forecast! Keep it up Weather Watcher!
Thank you for your comment Chesham, that is correct! I have heard lots of talk on the internet about that, and it’s part of the reason why I decided to do an early hurricane related video. I don’t think they’re adding the category 6 rating just yet, because I think it will require a long process of approval from different organizations. But it’s probably in the cards within the next decade or two.
Always A Great Day When Weather Watcher Post Who Agrees 👍
Great Vid WW 👌😊
Thank you! 😁
Yw @@WeatherWatcher14
Very imformative video. There are alot of other parameters that are just horrendous, its not impossible for very destructive storms and even hurricanes to hot Europe in 2024. I have been in a hurricane force wind storm Gundrun, cos billions in damage and caused several casualties and in 2024 storm from Norway.
The north of Europe is going through a big climate change with The UK, Ireland, France Belgium, Netherlands coast Germany, fires in Portugal and Spain and again in France.
There are other problems that could be a major propblem with the increased volcanic activy in Iceland , possibilties for a major eruptions are high.
All we can do is follow your videos and try to plan....although im optimistic that we will have a very shot summer in Southern Sweden in June and July ....well hopefully.
Thanks
Peter
Very true. I’ll do my best to keep the public informed in the coming weeks, months, and even years!
@WeatherWatcher14
I know you will, i certainly aprreciate all of the time in making the videos.
Weather is nature, it has tradional and unexpected paterns some of which develope very fast, and togher with the increased earthquakes mudslides and volcano activity they are factors that can have a seroius effect on us all.
Thanks again
Peter
I am very worried about this upcoming Hurricane Season, Weather Watcher! Awesome forecast!
We in the Netherlands live in a relative very quiet corner: not much of any kind of weather and uptill now the experts can handle the water-supply/flood. Even the ns (dutch rail company) manages well the fallen leaves. We are blessed. I do not know why.
yeah it seem like this season could be hyperactive. After all we have summer SST in february, 26-27° in the gulf of mexico and the caribbean islands and we're soon approching spring so additional cooling will cease soon, so the atlantic waters will be very warm. There's already high anomalies near the main tropical developements regions where the tropical waves come off and this is concerning ( and exciting ) . Now imagine if we get an early and above average moonsoon activity and no dust from the sahara this season will be chaotic.
Precisely. It should be very interesting…
😊we will see what happens.
Thank you very much for providing us with this important and informative weather report. One can only hope that those who live in areas where they experience hurricanes will be especially prepared for this, what would appear to be, more trying season than usual. It will certainly be interesting to see how far East these hurricanes will come , and, how they will effect Europe.
You’re very welcome! Thank you for your comment as always!
Thank you for the warning. I definetly have to do something l was avoiding...cuting the big oaks above my house. Two are right above the house and if they fall, it will be exactly on my sleeping room.
I guess it's time to do it 😢
You’re welcome! Unfortunately Europe is slowly becoming a tropical hazard zone, and we’ve seen multiple examples in recent years. 2024 may bring more threats to us…
@@WeatherWatcher14no cold winters means no more blueberries and other fruits. On the other hand, my tropicals like mangoes are loving it 😊.
The strong wind is what terrifies me because of all the big trees that we have here
Amazing. Thank you. A video of this quality comes with sooooo much work. Thank you again for all your time and invaluable information. ❤
Thank you so much, and you’re welcome! I enjoyed making it, but you’re right… it was a lot of work. Took me about 9 hours! 😂
Very interesting developments are in the horizon. Your forecasts and information are so useful. Thank you for your hard work.
You’re welcome! 🙂
A very good view of the situation, I was very curious to hear your thinking, that the Atlantic is already very warm, the Mediterranean, the Adriatic, it promises a very hot season, it is true that hurricanes with warmer waters approached Europe, once the route was known, along the east coast of the USA and the way to Iceland and Britain, now the hurricanes started to turn to the right towards Europe already halfway compared to the previous ones usual routes. It is already known that the cause is the jet stream, which is getting stronger.All the systems that start from West Africa towards the Gulf of Mexico are caught in the western high current and are carried closer to Europe, the Azores and Portugal, these regions will be directly in the future affected by hurricanes but in a milder form than that expressed in America
I agree with you! Thanks for your comment
thank you very informative
You’re welcome!
I am grateful to not have any hurricanes where I live. Interesting video👍
That’s great you are safe from hurricanes - Thank you so much for watching even though these types of storms don’t affect your area! I appreciate it :)
Hi Weather Watcher, thanks for that. I am very impressed with your knowledge of the weather , you can give yourself a pat on the back. You have me well and truly hooked. I am looking forward to the year with you and hope that it’s not too serious for us here in the UK and Europe. God bless.🙂🙏
Hello! Thank you so much, I’m glad you liked it! I appreciate the kind words 🙂
Honestly I'm excited to see your next winter forecast prediction praying we finally get a better chance of snow in rhe Midwest.
Something tells me it will be a much snowier winter for the northern states for 2024-2025, but it’s way too far away to talk about yet.
Thank you for posting
You’re welcome! I’ll keep the updates going in the coming months, looks like a very active season ahead.
Awesome and very detailed outlook! This hurricane season will be something. Same with severe season.
Thank you so much! I agree. Should be very interesting…
Was at sea in a sailboat off of Portugal during Hurricane George. In the days before I had Navtex or smartphones were around. I never want to see a barometer fall as far and fast ever again. It had been forcast to dissipate, but didnt..... fun night.
Wow!
What does this information mean temperature-wise? Last summer in northern Europe was pleasantly mild, and I recall that the summer of 2020 was also mild and the 2019/2020 winter was completely non-existent. But I am also aware that this does not apply to the whole continent and we, up there, are just lucky..
Last year was the hottest year on record on Earth, so if Northern Europe escaped the worst heat, then this year may be about the same… but it’s honestly hard to say for a fact at this point.
Absolutely fascinating and filled with so much information!! Memories of early 2000's when here in England we were affected by storm Delta..maybe Zeta or Epsilon on December 6-7 th!!! This year may exceed the number of storms... l think it may have been the same season as Hurricane Katrina...😃⛈️🌀😀
It’s going to be an interesting one for sure! Thanks for watching 🙂
Hurricanes despise being very and extremly devastating are still quite interesting to me. I really do wonder that some 15-20 million years ago when the Meditereanenan was still part of the Thethys ocean if there have been Hurricanes hitting south Europe of that time. I know it is very far past, but i do hope one day someone will write articles about that. As someone did when Europe transitioned from the trade winds dominated climate to the westerlies predominant now which happemed some 6-10 million years ago.
It’s interesting to imagine what it was like back then! Thanks for your comment
Great explanation weather watcher. Also I have a question why is El Nino collapsing more quickly then previously thought. And why does La Nina occur so often. What if we enter another triple dip La Nina??
Thanks! La Niña is returning since stronger trade winds are bringing colder water back to the surface. This has a domino effect on the weather in North America and the Atlantic Ocean.
@@WeatherWatcher14 Thanks 👍 Which Enso phase is more dominant La nina or El Nino?
La Niña seems to be more common, since sometimes they stick around for more than one year at a time. :) @@StrikeWeather250
Funny you should ask... I do have a question. What are your thoughts on adding a 6th category to the Saffir-Simpson scale?
Hello :)
Great question. I think adding a Category 6 rating is a good idea. Maybe not immediately, but looking ahead to the coming decades, I think it would be good since there seems to be more and more powerful hurricanes. Having a rating for “the worst of the worst” would help highlight the biggest storms so people know how bad it is. My only concern would by other ratings like Category 3 losing significance. If there’s more hurricane ratings, then people may naturally start to push aside hurricanes rated 1-3, and may only pay attention to them is they’re above category 4. It’s a working progress!
Do you have information going back to Jan 31 1953? It looks like that scenario is going to repeat itself!!!
Who knew natural variability cycles can have a huge effect on global weather and climate. As well as shorter term oscillations there are Multidecadal patterns too. Couple that with solar cycles and Milankovitch and all manner of fun things can happen globally.
Hi. Is there any chance to have any hurricane in Eastern Mediterranean?! Thanks
Hello! With the very warm water, then maybe a chance of a Medicane there. I’ll have to do more research on medicanes though!
@WeatherWatcher14 thanks allot
Absolutely fascinating.
Thanks for watching!
2024 is an election year, the European Parliament in May (unlikely to see a extra tropical system make landfall during the elections, but the UK general election (slated for October) and the US presidential election (November 2nd) are bound to, therefore if an extra tropical system were to make landfall in the UK or the US in the weeks leading to the elections, do you believe that the Green parties would see an increase in support above what they have now? (3% in generic US polls and 9% in the UK)
THANKS ❤❤❤❤
You’re welcome!
I pray for no Sahara dust this summer i live in Florida and we had hardly any rain because of the dust it was horrible yes i hope Florida gets a lot of rain
Hey, WW what setting or website are you using in 0:16 thanks in advance btw!
Is it possible to talk more about the times of year for hurricanes. When are the seasons..how long do they last….can we determine the tracks? Is it possible to go a bit slower and define terms eg El Niño and La Niña ? Perhaps instructional videos ?
long it don't come todownFlorida
Weather watcher will there be more severe weather than usual for Northern Wisconsin
I’ll have to do more research, but it’s possible. I’m planning my tornado season forecast sometime later this month or March! :)
@@WeatherWatcher14 sounds good
Hey i have a question about El Nino, so i live in Finland and they said El Nino would make it hotter but this winter started much earlier than normal and has been pretty harsh until now, can El Nino be the reason for this harsh winter or may it be other stuff that made it start early and be quite harsh? btw ur videos are really good :)
Thank you so much!
I’ll try to come up with a good answer 😂 I’ve been covering European weather since Autumn of 2023, so I’m basically still relatively new to it… but in just the past few months, I’ve picked up on so many patterns and how weather itself manifests itself over Europe. When I created my winter forecast, I didn’t find information about El Niño’s impact on Europe very easily. Basically, the impact of ENSO on Europe hasn’t been sufficiently researched. One thing that this winter proved to me personally, is that El Niño or La Niña has a bigger effect on Europe than many people think. My theory is that El Niño produced increased storminess across North America… which obviously finds its way all the way to Europe. With the help of favorable pressure patterns, these storms were redirected into the British isles and Scandinavia. Regarding the temperatures, that’s honestly a harder one to figure out. We did have a phenomenon called a Polar Vortex Disruption, which I think led to an extremely cold period.
If you have any further questions, feel free to ask! Hopefully I didn’t talk too much 😂 Hope this helps!
Thanks for the answer to my unusual question!@@WeatherWatcher14
@@WeatherWatcher14Thanks for the answer to my question!
Will the East Coast or NYC be impacted?
It’s possible, but that’s something we can only know for sure when there’s a specific storm to track. I’ll be covering hurricane season so stay tuned for updates!
I have a question: What's your favourite ice cream?
32 storms?
Does this mean snow for norway?
Not during hurricane season since it’s the warmest time of the year. 🙂
Is the video for europe coming out soon
Prob tomorrow or Tuesday
Yay i cant wait i hope it gets colder and more snow in europe
I think we end up in a neutral year. Not quite a la nina.
I think it will be neutral for a time, such as Spring, but it should be La Niña by the summer, especially by late summer/early autumn… which is peak hurricane season.
2024 could be the worst hurricane year
Hopefully not, but the signs we are seeing aren’t good now…
You make these videos so very interesting, and it's a pleasure to watch them and see how things unfold, and also it looks as if we may get some sort of strong winds on the South Coast of England from the edges of the storms, I look forward to seeing more later and watching them develop. Thank you.
I’m glad you enjoy them! Should be a very interesting hurricane season. I’m on the coast of Iberia, so I have a front row seat to whatever may come this way; same for you on the South coast of England!
I bet we are going them here. I was in Berlin during the 2017 storm that hit in the fall. It was just like the many hurricanes I experienced in my life having lived many of my years in Florida.
Nice video just want to ask my weather app is showin ice rain possible 60% for this month in slovenia is it realy possible
Thanks! I think it’s POSSIBLE later on, but I’m not sure when yet… since the models are disagreeing now.
@@WeatherWatcher14 thank u for that information becuse if we get ice rain again we Will hawe Massive damages in forest and power outeges and when is the weather video for europe coming out
Great again, I only watch your predictions.. they were spot on as usual, we had everything you said we would here in the uk.
Im happy to hear that! Thanks for watching 🙂
Is it out of the ordinary that La Ninia comes this soon? Not being a climate expert, for me the major red flag is the rise of the temperature anomaly in the Atlantic. This can mean more storms can make landfall in America and Europe. I believe major hurricanes have hit Europe in the distant past but very little evidence is present before written accounts existed . However the temperature anomaly seems to be persistent and probably here to stay for many decades. So from my standpoint on Hurricanes in Europe will be the new norm rather than the anomaly. Thanks for the report and explanations always good to listen to down to earth accurate information.
You’re welcome! And I agree with you. Records only go back about 150 years, there’s lots we don’t know. There has been other years when La Niña rapidly re-develops, such as 2017. And of course, widespread warmer than normal sea surface temperatures will spell trouble for other landmasses (like Europe) that don’t typically get tropical cyclones
@@WeatherWatcher14 Your work is very important and the information is truthful. The weather anomalies have to do with a more larger issue than just man made global warming. The issue is the energy received into earth's atmosphere seems to be unable to discharge out. So might we be into a runaway greenhouse effect? Or we just fundamentally don't understand certain mechanism at all. This sure needs more investigation by people that are not conspiracy wacos. Maybe this is just all normal but we just don't know about it to be extra certain.
I like how you think. I can tell you aren’t close-minded, and you try to understand the “big picture”. I admire that! Like you said, we just don’t understand everything yet… that’s why weather forecasting is still not an exact science. We do what we can with the information at our disposal, but there’s no guarantees. I’ve had sooo much fun learning about weather over the past several years, and especially within the last couple of months, when I started tracking European weather! It’s helped my broaden my coverage beyond the U.S. That really made me realize how connected weather is. I look forward to continue learning and doing what I can to keep people informed. @@SuperMAZ007
I love the way you análise and explain
Following you ❤
Glad you like it!
mmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmm
Thank you from southern Italy for yet another interesting and informative update. I am always looking forward to them.
You’re welcome! Have a good evening!
great explanation:) thank you
You’re welcome! :)
Wow…great video! Thanks for sharing
Thank you, and you’re welcome!
Would La Niña bring a active severe pattern for Ohio valley?
La Niña naturally increases overall severe weather activity, so I predict a few waves of intense storms up in Ohio in the coming Spring and Summer seasons. Be safe and have fun!
@@WeatherWatcher14 oh! Exciting weather for recording it sounds like!😁
@@WeatherWatcher14 I thought El Niño had something to do with the lack of severe weather last summer, now I know why! Hopefully, La Niña comes to tuition and hopefully the storms come to tuition! Looking forward to spring and summer!
IM BACK
It me weather watcher you remember me
I live in south (east) Florida and greatly appreciate your extensive report. Great work 👍
Thank you! Be safe!
Thx for info!
You’re welcome!