Cem Karsan On Volatility & A.I. Boom
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- Опубліковано 22 сер 2024
- Cem Karsan discusses the outlook for market volatility. He talks about how the A.I. boom compares to the 1999 dot-com boom. He then goes over what lies ahead for yields. Tune in to find out more about the stock market today.
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I appreciate as I always. I need to admit, that I am following a few experts which "surprisingly" came to the same conclusion independtently on each other and Cem is one of them. That keeps me more and more confident that something is about break. We can see it everywhere but degens have too much strenghts to push market higher. GL
Video from 4 weeks ago with Schwab is called Cem Karsan. Short term bear case
He says the massacre at 6:20 on the video. Video is about 12 minutes long. S and P was 4776 that day
How long should I buy my vix calls?
@@timothyha2854 I am not financial advisor :), sorry. DYOR
@@timothyha2854 2x the duration you have for your thesis.
The degends are the hedge funds and institutions though. The ones with all the money
He's right.
He was also right a month ago and people don't understand what he was saying. If downside pressure let's up (he's specifically said within the next week, week-and-a-half) ther's a chance that those veta flows could lead to a push higher. If that happens it'd be a little bit of a given and take. From the 17th till now we had a 5.7% move and several 1%+ downdays.
Cem said we were going to break in mid January. Then mid February to include the Valentine’s Day tech massacre.
did Cem really say Valentine's tech massacre? Crazy how people can continue listening to him.
Video from 4 weeks ago with Schwab is called Cem Karsan short term bear case. At 6:20 he talks about the massacre on valentines day
I was thinking about the same thing.
It was a day early…Dow dropped 400 pts, volatility spiked through the roof. To be fair, he was right in a sense. He also mentions several time that volatility would increase and it would be time to be aware and not risk on. You can’t expect anyone to predict the market outcome to an exact number and date.
He specifically said that vixpiration would be a bell weather indicator and that the window of weakness is potentially available. Going into Vix feb exp the market pulled back 1.2%. He's also spoke about vanna and charm effects and to be aware, if there's not enough pressure to the downside, be long. If you get that vol supply be long calls in later durations as you're being compensated for your time risk by higher IV. We had feb opex this past friday... NVDA could be the biggest indicator as we go through this week with a potential 200B market cap expected move.