at 34:10 mark, the audience asked this question. Mearsheimer basically says US is a ruthless hegemon and will try to prevent China from a peaceful rise (at 38:40)
China is only peaceful to some, exclude the USA. The true losers can't remember any facts. China has killed thousands of UN army soldiers already. China is the ONLY UN member that had killed thousands of UN soldiers, including thousands of the US soldiers, led by the US five-star general and superior emperor of Japan, Douglas MacArthur. John J. Mearsheimer is a true loser, and a low class one.
That is a good question to ask because we have seen that the West had risen with unspeakable brutality -- from slave trade to looting of natural resources from colonial lands to devastation of native populations. The answer to your question appears to be affirmative considering the military conflicts involving the USA.
@@sakceeYou shut the shit up! He was absolutely right to ask if the UassA Empire of Lies can accept decline peacefully without wanting to drag the whole world down with it
Why would they "need to accept" that? As bad as the US is, I'd rather the US be in charge than the Chinese, and so would most of the world. Whether it will happen or not is still in question, but to say any country should "let them rise to power" is contradictory to every empire in the history of forever. No country gives up their power without a fight.
@@dartskihutch4033 well, obviously they need to accept that potentiality because it's the truth, i guess many rather the US be the hegemon but i think they've demonstrated that they are not fit for the task time and time again, (and i don't say that others are, for the record) and they are in a fast decline both morally and internally, so... we just have to see if they get their act together
@@kooshanjazayeri and when in history has one country dominated the world before? This is the first, and of course any country in power will abuse it, US, China, Russia, whoever, but in scale the morals of the US as a people is what makes them more fit than say China. You understand how Chinese leadership operates right? It's hard to say that they aren't fit, when you have no relative super power of the world to compare them to. Furthermore, you understand why the US is in fast decline? It's the left, and the psyop that is taking place to deconstruct American values. Who could possibly be behind such morals which go against the pillar of the US? Open borders and overwhelming waves of immigrants who support the leftist ideology, higher taxes, ever increasing leniency for crime (California and New York in particular), constant culture wars created by the media to show division. I mean C'mon, the US has never been more divided and I'm willing to bet it's the Chinese and corrupt and bought politicians (by the Chinese) who continue to push the agenda which is creating the US divide and collapse. Why would China ever do such a thing?! For the exact reason the US does what it does, to maintain or gain power over another. I find it so naive that you think any other country currently would be a better suit than the US, and that it isn't simply a changing of the same tyranny with a different flag. Simply put, careful what you wish for, the demise of the west will not be good for the world.
China is only peaceful to some, exclude the USA. The true losers can't remember any facts. China has killed thousands of UN army soldiers already. China is the ONLY UN member that had killed thousands of UN soldiers, including thousands of the US soldiers, led by the US five-star general and superior emperor of Japan, Douglas MacArthur. John J. Mearsheimer is a true loser, and a low class one.
No Chinese will not rise peacefully because fundamental to rise peacefully is absence of fear and the International system is formulated in a way which will always create a security dillemma and will not allow any major power to rise peacefully.
Mearsheimer point is not that great power war between US and China is inevitable. What Mearsheimer believe is that security competition between them is likely, not great power war
10 years later and his prediction that Chinas relationship with USA will become more antagonistic and war between them are closer than before have definitely come true
The main issue with John is that, he views China through his US lense. His main theory is based on if US did X, Y and Z, China will do X, Y and Z whilst not appreciating the difference in culture of these 2 countries undermines his key points completely. Some said John is an anti-war, that is so untrue. He is against what NATO does in Ukraine but thinks US should put the whole world at risk of being wiped out by provoking China and Taiwan as well as going to war if required.
He has described his theory repeatedly for more than 10 years without any change. He has grown older but not wiser. He views the cultural aspects of geopolitics solely from a Euro-centric approach. The world order of China is not the world order of JM and the US.
China is only peaceful to some, exclude the USA. The true losers can't remember any facts. China has killed thousands of UN army soldiers already. China is the ONLY UN member that had killed thousands of UN soldiers, including thousands of the US soldiers, led by the US five-star general and superior emperor of Japan, Douglas MacArthur. John J. Mearsheimer is a true loser, and a low class one.
Completely agree with both comments. These people can never get out of their Western centric view, end up their entire perspective is nothing but projection. Not taking accounts of Chinese historical precedents and cultural differences makes his theory on China baseless.
"...whilst not appreciating the difference in culture..." -> We need to understand that John is an academic in realism school of thought. Realism theory doesn't concern itself with cultures, it's mainly about great power politics. Like in other academic fields, you pick a field and a specific theory (e.g. Physics, string theory), and become an expert in that particular topic.
He is an American and no matter what he still prefer America to be the hegemon. Its very difficult for westerners to accept to be outdone by Asians after many centuries of world dominance and I can understand this . But the fact Asia rises and the west decline is becoming a reality and nothing can stop it.
No not Asians only " Han Chinese" don't group Asians to further your objectives. Chinese were and are the greatest benefactor of being in the bed with the West since 1970s . Remember Nixon and Mao reopening and China admitted in WTO .
I agree completely. His GPP is based on American dominance as well as American self exceptionalism. This is not Chinese behavior. He's an American and cannot understand China at all. But I've always believed this professor is actually a CIA puppet.
History had told, example the Plaza Agreement 1985 Japan v USA. China will not enter that trap. This lecture was 10 years ago, and J Mearsheimer still look at China same.
As John Mearsheimer said in Ottawa University (Q&A part) the US will not 'be happy' if Brazil devellops and becomes a rival. But many stupid or criminal Brazilians still believe or pretend to believe that the US government is a friend.
But can China Rise Peacefully? John and Mearsheimer's realism ignores real facts, including the Chinese killing thousands of soldiers of the UN army, talking about against the whole world, including the killing of thousands of American soldiers in Korea, which was done with inferior weapons. Thanks to Americans constantly reminding the Chinese of genocide, Now, with equal or even superior weapons and nukes, the Chinese will genocide Americans for sure to serve justice for Native Americans.
The question is not whether China can rise peacefully or not. The question is: Can the USA ( Empire) take it peacefully? If all the anti-China policies, sanctions and disinformation are factored in together with war-mongering industries and Washington's self-interests, the Empire will likely go rage, rage and rage into the good night.
China has far more protectionism, "anti-USA policies" (wumao like you), and disinformation than the USA. The USA returns 1% of that, and all of the wumao go crazy.
It's always a pleasure listening to John Mearsheimer I'm currently doing my undergrad in Pol sci and today he really got into the basics of IR and clarified so many concepts.
China is only peaceful to some, exclude the USA. The true losers can't remember any facts. China has killed thousands of UN army soldiers already. China is the ONLY UN member that had killed thousands of UN soldiers, including thousands of the US soldiers, led by the US five-star general and superior emperor of Japan, Douglas MacArthur. John J. Mearsheimer is a true loser, and a low class one.
35:34 "the Chinese have precipitated remarkably few crises" and yes do have "a vested interest in rising peacefully" while "the United States is a ruthless great power" that just ignored Nixons advice to assist Russia.
China is only peaceful to some, exclude the USA. The true losers can't remember any facts. China has killed thousands of UN army soldiers already. China is the ONLY UN member that had killed thousands of UN soldiers, including thousands of the US soldiers, led by the US five-star general and superior emperor of Japan, Douglas MacArthur. John J. Mearsheimer is a true loser, and a low class one.
China is only peaceful to some, exclude the USA. The true losers can't remember any facts. China has killed thousands of UN army soldiers already. China is the ONLY UN member that had killed thousands of UN soldiers, including thousands of the US soldiers, led by the US five-star general and superior emperor of Japan, Douglas MacArthur. John J. Mearsheimer is a true loser, and a low class one.
In core, professor Mearishimar is a dangerous extremist, rather than a realist. In reality, there always co-exists might vs anti-might, force vs anti-force, or action vs reaction force. But he single-mindedly preachs his type of alternative reality, “might makes rule". That's, brutal violence sets world order. The consequence is the U.S. is quickly depleting its diplomatic strength and financial resources, and declining quickly too.
China is only peaceful to some, exclude the USA. The true losers can't remember any facts. China has killed thousands of UN army soldiers already. China is the ONLY UN member that had killed thousands of UN soldiers, including thousands of the US soldiers, led by the US five-star general and superior emperor of Japan, Douglas MacArthur. John J. Mearsheimer is a true loser, and a low class one.
And give me your theory of why China would not want to become the greatest power in the system. Have you been a decision maker in their system or you are an astrologer that China will not behave exactly like west in future. Comeon mr expert i wanna hear your " Theory"
His realistic worldviews are interesting, but still US-overcentred. He completely fails in understanding the unique Chinese mindset, which is the very key of that civilization's exceptional capacity of sustainability for 4+ millenia. Such a pity he's probably too old to learn more seriously about Taoism...
@@fabiengerard8142 Since you mentioned Taoism... Johnny boy should know something about Christianity and have heard of God Bless America numerous times... If Christianity has any value, little Johnny should know that God must go against the communists in China for being godless. If God Bless America has any value, Johnny should not worry about China's rise violently.
There are two weaknesses in John's assumption - The lack of understanding on cultural difference and historical development of the Chinese. There is this missional topic about Cross-Cultural study in order for one to be effective in missional outreach into a different culture. The same is needed to understand India etc. Territorial disputes in Asia are legacy imposed and caused by the West during the colonial period of the past. We in Asia believe that multilateralism in a multi-polar world will works better for world peace.
JM cannot help being an American and can only project his American Consciousness (or lack of), and experiences on China. Would be beneficial for him to research China's history as he did European history, especially on his understanding of Ukraine. Spending time with people like George Yeo and Kishore Mahbhubani, could certainly be very helpful in giving him deeper insights and nuances into the Chinese mind. His understanding of Taiwan's relationship with the mainland is pathetic. Folks like him and Ziggy Brezinsky (can't spell his name!), reveals their Consciousness have not evolved from those barbaric days of survival winner takes all mentality and what's yours is mine and what's mine remains mine! No concept of Win- Win and shared prosperity.
Basically, for John's theories that the world's conflicts and wars needed to be maintained or even created by the USA in other countries, so it can keep its brutality hegemony power indefinitely... Therefore, with the similar but opposite reasoning for the argument is that, to have a more peaceful and prosperous world, the USA must become weaker and poorer as much as possible, so it's no longer be able to creat so many wars and miseries in the world! 😂
@@dfdf-rj8jr well, it was a great era, more or less, more for some, less and almost none existent for others, but the best thing to do, is to acknowledge the wrongs one has done, and is doing, and stop covert operations and meddling in other people's choices and politics, if done, this will ensure their as well as others peace and prosperity, And more, ensure the increasing of prosperity, and avoid catastrophes in the future, you have to know, these critiques are from a place of love, not hate the golden rule in life as in war and in politics is to love thy neighbors as yourselves,
I'm sure the shit hole you are posting from has received untold millions in U.S. funded aid, Protection by U.S. made weapons, or you live in a communist totalitarian dystopia and are getting paid pennies to push state propaganda.
@@kooshanjazayeri Before 1945, the US rarely interfered in Middle Eastern politics. How come you weren't all peaceful and happy then? If US meddling is the root of all problems, why wasn't the world happy and peaceful before 1945?
China is only peaceful to some, exclude the USA. The true losers can't remember any facts. China has killed thousands of UN army soldiers already. China is the ONLY UN member that had killed thousands of UN soldiers, including thousands of the US soldiers, led by the US five-star general and superior emperor of Japan, Douglas MacArthur. John J. Mearsheimer is a true loser, and a low class one.
You cannot explain the rise and future of China following Western guide lines... especially not the United States behavior which has always been violent, capitalist and expansionist... it just doesn't make sense. China is not an expansionist, aggressive empire like the US and the EU these days that cannot endure equal competition.
They haven't been expansionist because they have never had the power to do so.. don't be naive, you think China wouldn't act like the US if they had an overwhelming military? Or even worse than the US? You don't judge a country on their behaviours when powerless, you judge them on their actions when in power. It's easy for someone with no power to be morally righteous, it takes immense effort for a powerful person to be morally righteous.
@@dartskihutch4033 You don't understand the Chinese ethos. The answer is no. America is an aggressive expansionist power which subjugates other people. That's not China. China is a trading empire. Always was.. always will be. Just look at China's efforts in third world countries in Asia, Africa and South America... their cooperation is in unison with local governments, not building military bases and demanding power over those countries everywhere like the US does, but building infrastructure and improving local commerce so international trade becomes valuable to China. That's an essential difference between these 2 world powers. PS... Don't forget civilization in China is thousands of years older than the US & Europe.
Yes, he doesn't know that China has long term plans and objectives like 50 and 100 years milestones! They have a few thousand years of rise and fall, and surely they know their history well, and what to expect in time to come.
Mearsheimer is a liberal hegemonist. He's written a whole book about it and how Western hegemony must be maintained. His stance doesn't have anything to do with knowing it not knowing the history of China: I'm a retired literature professor and if I know enough about the history of China to know that it's always rejected hegemonic behaviour, I'm sure Mearsheimer too is fully aware of this. That's why he dances around the issue and needs his "theory of great power" behaviour. He needs an excuse, a rationale for what he wants, which is to persuade US elites that a war with China is necessary.
@@vaska1999 china was the hegemon in their region, this is obvious. they even had a pretty harsh rules and rituals which was meant to confirm their dominance over their neighbours. The reasons why they never tried to project their power further can be debated. I'm convinced that it would have been impossible and hence it may not have crossed their minds. To their west any expansion would have been impossible and to the south they did try to project their power. I think their geography created a culture to go along with it..... contain themselves to the region itself. And at the time that was hard enough. Civil wars and uprisings and attacks from nomads were enough for them to be busy the whole time. " Not sure what yoy mean with ( he is a liberal hegemonist ) International relations is the most simple semi-science in the world. It just is 2+2=2 And mearsheimer is just that 2+2=4 International relations were like this 5000 years ago and to this day not much has changed
@@farsalami8605 you haven't got the point in China history yet. History-wise, the "under the sky" region was all that they care about, which only includes China proper. It was Manchu with a steppe mind brought Tibet, Mongolia, Xinjiang and Manchuria into this picture. Unless there is anything exceptional, Chinese mind is limited in this area, the area where Chinese culture is permeated. Land beyond the area, belongs to foreigners (or barbarian), not appropriate for Chinese state to take. When ROC came into being, they were even thinking to only keep China proper, somehow they eventually decided to keep what Qing left to them including Tibet and others, as it's the heritage of Qing, the last Chinese dynasty.
@@fargr5926 " what you say... is called by people " Orientalism" which proposes that The " chinese mind" i static, it does not change. It essentially is what it was during the Qing, tang etc. If you get the opportunity... go to china and stay for a while. You'll see that they are " alomost" just like other people. Btw i know china and chinese people reasonably well. I dod not say all you said is BS....... But your conclusion is a cheap popular thing people say which is baseless at best. Chinese were btw very well aware of the world beyond them..... and had ambitions beyond " china proper" It did not work out. You miisunderstand the situation in certain era's. One thing to consider is the interaction between the sedentary people and the warrior-like nomadic people. In eurasia this came mostly from the north. And in case of china and iran this was the primary threat. they were much more preoccupied with them than anythingelse. As an example..... iran would gladly leave territory to rome to conquer than let the northers confederations defeat them Their priority was never rome.... it was always the northeners ( different names in different times ). Chinese had the same problem ( arguably.. a little less dangerous, because of the smaller numbers of the nomadic confederations= i have no data for this .... this is my logical imagination ) Anyway in went too far with my comment lol sorry... i like to speculate about history. Chinese are not the chinese of 100 year ago.... americans are not the americans of 100 years ago... Arabs are also changed.... indians have changed..... The idea of a pro-active policies has clearly taken china and indeed it was not so 300 years a go. I hope you forgive any sub-standard sentences i have made.... i think my overall comment should be intelligible
Read "Towers of Ivory and Steel" and ask yourself why Reed still partners with universities that violate human rights and John gave a great talk so on that note keep it up
China is only peaceful to some, exclude the USA. The true losers can't remember any facts. China has killed thousands of UN army soldiers already. China is the ONLY UN member that had killed thousands of UN soldiers, including thousands of the US soldiers, led by the US five-star general and superior emperor of Japan, Douglas MacArthur. John J. Mearsheimer is a true loser, and a low class one.
Mearsheimer's theory assume rational state behaviour. The problem for the western world is that they confuse Chinese rationalism to be the same as western rationalism. It is not. China pursues greatness not through war but commerce.
John M's theory is a theory from a bully of cowardice. It is based solely on “以小人之心，度君子之腹”. Basically he says - The #1 goal is to be the bully in your school. The #2 goal is to make sure there is no other bully in your school. Let me interpret it with an example. ...So, this kid who had been bullied by you went to learn Karate to avoid being bullied. He started by getting a white belt and working toward a black one. It does not matter the kid's intention was just to better himself so that he won't be bullied. That is because we cannot tell the future, and no one can tell others' intentions now nor in the future. So for fear of your own survival, you double down your bullying and make sure the kid does not get the black belt and potentially becomes a bully. There is no telling what the Karate kid will turn into. After all, why wouldn't the kid who you bullied before will make you pay back? You would if the table is turned. Whatever holes there is with this theory, it can be explained away with that we cannot be certain about others' intentions. The whole theory is very laughable.
Did you watch what he's talking about? He said we're going towards a multipolar world and away from a unipolar world. America was that unipole. He didn't say we're going from an American unipolar world to a Chinese unipolar world because we're not. If you were paying attention he actually lists China rising as an assumption he takes for granted and goes from there and that assumption is contested by many economists both in and out of China.
I can’t understand why the rise of China is bad for Taiwan. This is only in the thoughts of outsiders and especially the one from US perspective. What is so difficult to have a prosperous Taiwan within a powerful motherland and especially when they are treated with very special priority and able to functions as they used to be in politics and governance. So, why sow negativity just to ensure that Taiwan will remain status quo for the US outpost. For goodness sake, they are both Chinese and for those small numbers whose intention of independence and the uninformed gullible, selfish public to allow the Taiwan people’s interests to be ruined? Like, which state wants to be themselves when they are living in the shell of the USA, the most powerful country.
John has a saying that big countries are ruthless. Like China, it conducts tariff-free trade with 33 African countries. This is completely incomprehensible to the United States.😢
Hehe, Mr. John J. Mearsheimer? He thinks that the Chinese think in the same way that he thinks, with limited vision. Does a power always seek hegemony? In your Westerner's mentality, absolutely yes. But in the oriental wisdom, no, at least not necessarily. Chinese research tanks nowadays know way more about the US than the reverse. John might have been to China for times but still hasn't got a clue about the oriental wisdom. After thousands of years of precipitation, we have found that "if disagreed, be a better yourself to invite agreement"! But the American theory is "if disagreed, I will kill you"!
That's what the Realism school of thought (a model of international relation between countries) says, it's not about the person. Anyone who picks Realism (or specializes in, in case of academics), probably has similar thoughts and conclusions as John.
@@harshitsingh1600 Not only wanting, but they are working hard to achieve that. This is their only path according to Realism. And because of this inevitability, they will invariably clash with the US which is "the tragedy of Great Power politics" as John named his book as such.
@@hitthedeck4115 That's what i m saying but many Chinese and superficial geopolitical specialist here are claiming how China is great and has different culture which will make them to take different path . All bs peddled when we can know from the capabilities which they are building like blue water navy , claiming entire SCS and grabbing land here and there . At the end as Jhon says " Why do you not want to becoming Godzilla in the anarchic world " .
Its always amazing that why we common people are not taught these international political concepts in schools. UA-cam has made it possible for common people like us to even hear such things but this is how the world works. Interesting
John is obviously not familiar with Chinese history and political traditions. China is a face-loving celestial country. In ancient times, as long as neighboring countries such as Japan, North Korea, and Vietnam paid tribute, China would not dictate their internal affairs. Just like Columbus sailed for plunder, Zheng He of China's Ming Dynasty sailed to the West to showcase China and give gifts.
That's not the reason. The real reason is that China's economic model does not give it incentive to be aggressive. The west gains economic advantage by taking resources and labor from other country. The Chinese, on the hand, has always been a surplus production country. What it wanted was open markets to sell it's excess production and accumulate wealth. The trade surplus and wealth disparity makes it a target of war in the past. There is no reason to think it'll be any different this time around.
@@henli-rw5dwDidn't the West’s rise was due significantly to plunders and wars? The stolen resources have been contributing to its First World status, up to this very day. The USD as the world reserve currency gave it an 'exhorbitant privilege', basically parasiting on the whole world to grow fat and rich. China on the other hand, did it the hard but more honest way
"as long as they paid tribute" is a key point. In fact, Zheng He was sent out on his journeys to militarily enforce Chinese intentions and the payment of tribute. This is exactly what he is talking about.
Mearsheimer is my hero. I’m German and he helped me more to understand my country’s history of the 20th century than all my school’s history lessons combined. He is a gift of god.
Maybe because the speaker had become very popular recently. He gets hundreds of thousands - millions of views per video. The war with Ukraine has propelled geostrategist to popularity.
John J. Mearsheimer is not an expert. He assumes and makes his conclusion based on his US lens of geopolitics theories that is linear of competition of great powers.
He used domestic variable to explain US-Israel relation, hence neorealism not used by Mearsheimer to understand special relationship between Washington and Tel Aviv
Wars fit for Mearsheimear’s theory, while coups for Fukuyama’s. But both obey the Law of Instrument: When all you have is a hammer, everything looks like a nail. The neo-realism is too Hobbesian. Don’t make it a self-fulfilling prophecy. Use the brain to think of a better theory with a better human nature.
Because of technological advancements, circumstances have changed. Humans are still humans. This global system is unnatural and may not last. In that case, John's right.
John Mearsheimer has been exactly correct about everything he’s had to say for a long time. It’s my humble opinion that he should use his theoretical framework and intellect to work on the bigger picture issues we’re going to be confronted with as a species (which all happen to be interconnected). He’s nailed the IR part of the equation. He should venture out of his comfort zone and try to tackle the other parts of the equation which all together are referred to as the metacrises.
What I find striking in your plausible approach is how incredibly pointless and dangerous all this competitive activity has become. The development of competitive states may describe the death of civilization. Humans are limited by environmental conditions. This reality is ignored in your approach.
I personally love the United States, but we are tired of its isolation in the world and its foreign policy, and I think that many agree with me, but at the same time the rise of China is very scary and I do not wish for a war to occur between China and America. I hope that American politicians will listen to people like Professor John so that we can avoid war as much as possible. Thanks for the rich lecture❤
17:10 His 'roaming' theory is in conflict with US policy and US action. Law on the Sea, Freedom of Navigation are just two examples of US encouraging 'roaming' not limiting it.
He knows absolute ZERO about Taiwan. I am Taiwanese, and every single point he mentions about Taiwan is entirely wrong. We aren't "scared" of China. We are 99% ethnic Chinese; literally almost everyone has family or does business in China. Our government claims to be the government of all of China after fighting a civil war against (and losing to) the Communists; we lost because we sided with the imperialist Americans, who never actually wanted us to win but always wanted us to stay in a suspended state of war against China so they could profit. In the modern world, even we understand that our grandfathers' claim that Taiwan rules all of China is ridiculous and that we need to come to consensus how to resolve our civil war. It's our business and not the US or anyone else's.
@@dr.s8972 They have been raised to hate America, there's not much you can do about it. Just wait 50 years when China is running the show in Taiwan and suddenly they will come crying, like they always do.
@@dr.s8972 It is for him as it is an internal matter for Chinese to resolve and given that he is Chinese. You would not like that if people in China want to have a say in your country matters.
I'm a Taiwanese too. I think you are absolutely talking out of your ass. Your view of the history and society of Taiwan is very biased. Not 99% of Taiwanese came from China. That's just not true. Go look up the statistics. Not all of Taiwanese have relatives in China or doing business with China. You are talking out of your ass. Most of Han Taiwanese family have been living in Taiwan for over 200 years. Only those Chinese who moved to Taiwan with KMT after the WWII has relatives in China. The rest of your comment is just your personal view and opinions of Taiwanese history.
It seems JM's biggest influences are his mother and the bully in the (us) classroom Mother "God will help them who help themselves" : China is actually adhering to that in a peaceful way "Always be aware of the bully in the classroom": China is conducting itself in the appropriate diplomatic manner
The question not whether China can rise peacefully as they proved since WW2 they have rather whether the US can recede peacefully as they have proved they cannot
Even though I like John advocate realist geopolitics which China exercise, opposite of US wanting to make the whole world to America style liberal governing bodies, in someway it's successful where many countries in the world have so call democractic elections! Yet he also stress US should maintain its hegemony in Asia and should prevent China to become one even in Asia arguing unpredictability of China ambition! Seem contradictory! Realist mean nations deal with one another base on reality of individual state, for example Iran, a religious theocratic government, North Korea, hereditary dictatorship yet dealing with them as sovereign nations. But in a world where many countries are economically moving up, its just not feasible for USA to dictate the term other countries have to comply to against their own interest like economically hurt oneself for American desire to matain hegemony. American exceptionalism can only work if American can adhere to its own grandiose ideal and principal without hippocratic practices!
In core, professor Mearisheimar a dangerous extremist, rather than a realist. In rality, here is always might vs anti-minght, force vs anti-force, or action vs reaction force. But he single-mindedly preachs his type of alternative reality, “might makes rule". That's, brutal violence sets world order. The consequence is the U.S. is quickly depleting its diplomatic strength and financial resources.
China is only peaceful to some, exclude the USA. The true losers can't remember any facts. China has killed thousands of UN army soldiers already. China is the ONLY UN member that had killed thousands of UN soldiers, including thousands of the US soldiers, led by the US five-star general and superior emperor of Japan, Douglas MacArthur. John J. Mearsheimer is a true loser, and a low class one.
I mean to this question I would ask another... How long did last the last historical empire ? Not less than 20, 50, 100 years. It's a new paradigm that is here for the rest of our life at least. We should adapt instead of staying into denial.
Mearsheimer doesn't pretend or try hard that he's an expert of Chinese culture or history. He's basically explain how great power politics operated according to his IR theory
Absolutely, I would love to make this English lecture by Professor Mia Scheimer a compulsory listening requirement for Japanese high school English. Then students would be able to look at contemporary history and international affairs from an objective perspective. まったくもって、ミアシャイマー教授によるこの英語講演を日本の高校英語の聴き取り必修にしたいくらいだよ。 そうしたら、学生たちも少しは現代史と国際情勢を客観的に俯瞰できるようになるだろうに。
China is only peaceful to some, exclude the USA. The true losers can't remember any facts. China has killed thousands of UN army soldiers already. China is the ONLY UN member that had killed thousands of UN soldiers, including thousands of the US soldiers, led by the US five-star general and superior emperor of Japan, Douglas MacArthur. John J. Mearsheimer is a true loser, and a low class one.
@@jamesgo2014 China killed thousands of the American soldiers. China is only peaceful to some, exclude the USA. The true losers can't remember any facts. China has killed thousands of UN army soldiers already. China is the ONLY UN member that had killed thousands of UN soldiers, including thousands of the US soldiers, led by the US five-star general and superior emperor of Japan, Douglas MacArthur. John J. Mearsheimer is a true loser, and a low class one.
Prof. Mearsheimer is a gift to America as a fantastic, thoughtful and intellectually honest public intellectual. I always enjoy his lectures. But like any set of theories on human behavior, it’s just a theory. One of the areas where his Ukraine analysis is stressed is his 4th assumption of his theory of great power politics - we can’t be certain about the intentions of Russia and Putin - which he sometimes neglects in making his argument that there is no evidence that Russia had expansionist desires. And his 5th assumption that there is no limit to what states will do to protect themselves also weakens his arguments on Ukraine - Russia has been invaded countless times in history with Ukraine being one of the superhighways along with other parts of Eastern Europe.
Very good. From 10 years on, we can see that Israel/Palestine falls into the 25%+ he gets wrong, but he admits that his theory doesn't deal with nonstate actors or actors who have been made desperate enough to risk the "irrational"
Interstellar just tells you, “Do not go gentle into that good night,Old age should burn and rave at close of day; Rage, rage against the dying of the light.” So i guess that's the reason of recent chaos in the world?
Prof Mersheimer is truly brilliant. I rarely miss opportunities to listen to his lectures and interviews. On one point though, Prof Mersheimer missed out explaining, rather incorporating, "war on terror" or terrorism, in general, into his theory. Here is how I would consider incorporating "terrorism" into his theory. 1) Terrorism and terrorists will be employed by state actors to serve their interests. U.S. used and funded contra rebels in Central America. Used Osama bin Laden against USSR in Afghanistan. Used military juntas to carry out genocides across the world - Congo, Chile, East Timor. 2) "War on Terror" is a wonderful peg to hang U.S.A.'s never ending quest to produce deadlier and deadlier weapons and use them to "roam around the world". So, to conclude, "terrorism" is used as a supplement to further the state actor's goals of being a regional hegemon. And, in the case of U.S.A., to extend those hegemonic designs to the entire world.
This theory reminds me of the five New York crime families. They used to war over terf constantly until Lucky Luciano convinced them to set up and respect each other's territory.
On starting to lay out his theory , he says we are not sure of future behavior of China ! Whereas we know historically thinking China is among the most peaceful nation in the past 4 to 500 years in the world and even more ! And we know how Today's China how it has reacted to our hegemonic warrior behavior ( of USA ) , when attacking Korea , China stepped in and stopped our complete conquest of Korea in 1952 , then we tried with Vietnam , and got a bloody nose and had to escape and withdraw completely in 1975 after 4 years of intense genocidal bombing and fighting ! Then we tried to get in the backdoor of China from Afghanistan's side , there even after two wars and second lasting over 20 years we had to withdraw abruptly and leaving billions of dollars of war materials and technologies ! So we know now with China , starting to aid Chiang KaySchek we lost , Korea , no success , Vietnam Loss , twice Afghanistan total loss , who , except a crazy person would think that USA against China will win over Taiwan or else ???? No need to theorize here you can look at history and say USA will certainly loose now , deeply in Debt and lots of people in USA against Permanent Wars' doctrine today in 2024 !
There are almost 200 military bases of USA and UK surrounding China from Japan to Malaca strait... why ??? Why all those troops, war planes, strategic bombers, submarines, strategic misils, etc, etc.
@@jerrychao9742 but then he talks about an impending “intifada” which kinda is what Oct 7 was, wasn’t it? He also speaks about impending Ukraine-Russia war which is happening right at this moment 🤷🏻♀️
Does question "Can China Rise Peacefully?" have to do anything with USA preventing the rise of China? Wouldn't the answer to this question also depend on actions taken by USA? or is USA considered force of nature?
To think the students following this lecture, once they get to power, will pursue the very same polycies driven by the current leaders . There is no hope.
This lecture is from 2014. Someone should show this video to Mearsheimer and ask him if his opinion changed on anything he said here... Especially when he said Russia and Ukraine confrontation is not much of a hot spot likely to cause WW3.
The Chinese through sheer hard work have brought 800 million of its population from abject poverty to near middle class within the last 3 to 4 decades is unprecedented in the world. Look at every major Economic parameters from Health span,mortality rate, home ownership,car ownership,internet penetration,education levels..etc etc it is the fastest progress the world has ever seen. This was archieved without a war..a invasion..a regime change ..a colonization spree..or plundering of other natives resources etc..How on Earth can this not be classified as the most Peacefull rise of a Nation ever.. Look at " Great: Britain how many colonies did it Ravished..France..Spain and even US on the number of Fertile Territories from Texas to Carlifornia it took from Mexico ..etc ( The Mexicans are returning the favour by coming back to resettle it😢) Of Course the Speaker here is not into the morality question but just Real politics ..US just wants to be the no 1 Dorminant Power of the world ..and will do its utmost to supress any upcoming power .. US and the West fears that the next non West Dorminant Power will BEHAVE just like them.. But don t worry the Chinese DNA through their 4 000 years history has shown that they are non Evangelistic and For "God King and Country " Colonizing methodology but a more The Prosperity Gospel stream..😊.. Ie Prosper thy neighbour so that in turn thy neigbour will buy more stuff from China and prosper China even further...😂
The only part that aged well was the part about Russia/Ukriane, thats the part he actually had extensive knowledge on, the rest are just his dogmatic personal beliefs and projections, based mostly on an Americentric view (most scholars tend to at least try to steer away from their own culture bias and be at least somewhat objective). Since this lecture America has been involved in wars in Libya Yemen Syria Palestine Ukraine etc. while China participated exactly 0 war in the same time period, expect the same trend for the next 3 or 4 decades, Americans and their proxies love bombing other countries while demonizing the Chinese.
What are you criticizing him for exactly? You brought up points that he stated himself, that china is not interested in fighting at the moment and the US is, that is exactly his point
Confused about US being the only regional hegemony. Before World War I, wouldn't the British Empire be considered a regional hegemony? Didn't they have a huge presence all around the world? They had a literal hegemony in the Australian continent/ Didn't the British control the Indian subcontinent until after World War 2?
I think Dr. Mearsheimer does not read Chinese classic philosophy about how to govern the world: It is not hegemony but Justice, i.e. everyone gets his/her deserved reward based on his / her contribution.
The only one theory that makes at least 50% sense is on Capability substitute as Intentions. However we can always get a good sense of Intention if we only try to understand each other. US always fears that other countries are as bad as itself
The question is wrong from the inception. West has no right to raise or ask this question when the rise of west has never been peaceful. See and compare how many wars were invoked by West in the last two hundred years, including the US, after 1945. Compare it with how many wars Chinese have invoked on other nations in the last 2000 years. I feel that minus west, peace suits every other nation on the globe. West will try its best to invoke and impose new wars on the world. The war is the only way known to west on their pursuit to lead the world.
Small Correction: If a country is on the rise (China, India, Southeast Asia) Politics trumps Economics, but if it (America, E.U) is in decline, then Tribal-Ethnocentrism trumps economics.
I thought this was a new lecture but it’s a 2014 lecture uploaded in 2024, 10 years after almost to the day. Why? Better late than never? Or especially relevant right now somehow?
The right question should be "Can USA decline peacefully?" Compared to USA, China has been boringly peaceful for decades . 😊
at 34:10 mark, the audience asked this question. Mearsheimer basically says US is a ruthless hegemon and will try to prevent China from a peaceful rise (at 38:40)
China is only peaceful to some, exclude the USA.
The true losers can't remember any facts. China has killed thousands of UN army soldiers already. China is the ONLY UN member that had killed thousands of UN soldiers, including thousands of the US soldiers, led by the US five-star general and superior emperor of Japan, Douglas MacArthur. John J. Mearsheimer is a true loser, and a low class one.
That is a good question to ask because we have seen that the West had risen with unspeakable brutality -- from slave trade to looting of natural resources from colonial lands to devastation of native populations. The answer to your question appears to be affirmative considering the military conflicts involving the USA.
The former foreign secretary of Britain has said it took Britain 100 years to get used to not being number one.
very true! USSR did decline peacefully
USSR could have asked the US to share everything half and half otherwise we all die
"Can China Rise Peacefully?" That is the wrong question. The correct question is, "Can the US decline peacefully?"
This question immediately disqualify because of the "peacefully" at the end.
Shut up CCP bot
probably, US only fights lopsided wars technologically, the people are soft and can't tolerate many deaths
@@sakceeYou shut the shit up! He was absolutely right to ask if the UassA Empire of Lies can accept decline peacefully without wanting to drag the whole world down with it
Impossible for the "exceptional" country.
The U.S. needs to accept that a non-Anglo European country can be a world power.
It has happened many times before the U.S. even existed or the West was still in the Dark Age.
China had been the World's major power in her long history!
Why would they "need to accept" that? As bad as the US is, I'd rather the US be in charge than the Chinese, and so would most of the world. Whether it will happen or not is still in question, but to say any country should "let them rise to power" is contradictory to every empire in the history of forever. No country gives up their power without a fight.
@@dartskihutch4033 well, obviously they need to accept that potentiality because it's the truth, i guess many rather the US be the hegemon but i think they've demonstrated that they are not fit for the task time and time again, (and i don't say that others are, for the record) and they are in a fast decline both morally and internally, so... we just have to see if they get their act together
@@kooshanjazayeri and when in history has one country dominated the world before? This is the first, and of course any country in power will abuse it, US, China, Russia, whoever, but in scale the morals of the US as a people is what makes them more fit than say China. You understand how Chinese leadership operates right? It's hard to say that they aren't fit, when you have no relative super power of the world to compare them to.
Furthermore, you understand why the US is in fast decline? It's the left, and the psyop that is taking place to deconstruct American values. Who could possibly be behind such morals which go against the pillar of the US? Open borders and overwhelming waves of immigrants who support the leftist ideology, higher taxes, ever increasing leniency for crime (California and New York in particular), constant culture wars created by the media to show division. I mean C'mon, the US has never been more divided and I'm willing to bet it's the Chinese and corrupt and bought politicians (by the Chinese) who continue to push the agenda which is creating the US divide and collapse. Why would China ever do such a thing?! For the exact reason the US does what it does, to maintain or gain power over another. I find it so naive that you think any other country currently would be a better suit than the US, and that it isn't simply a changing of the same tyranny with a different flag.
Simply put, careful what you wish for, the demise of the west will not be good for the world.
The question should really be: will America allow China to rise or rise peacefully
China is only peaceful to some, exclude the USA.
The true losers can't remember any facts. China has killed thousands of UN army soldiers already. China is the ONLY UN member that had killed thousands of UN soldiers, including thousands of the US soldiers, led by the US five-star general and superior emperor of Japan, Douglas MacArthur. John J. Mearsheimer is a true loser, and a low class one.
No Chinese will not rise peacefully because fundamental to rise peacefully is absence of fear and the International system is formulated in a way which will always create a security dillemma and will not allow any major power to rise peacefully.
"Can" or "Could"
America allow....
If the tables were turned would China allow America to rise peacefully?
10 years past from this lecture and China still not in any war.
you probably aren't aware there was a standoff of 2 carrier battle groups made noise around the man-made islands in 2016. US lost the standoff.
Was this lecture 10 years old? I thought it was a recent lecture, like maybe a week ago?
@@iwanagohome326watch again, the first minutes gave description this video recorded in 2014
Mearsheimer point is not that great power war between US and China is inevitable. What Mearsheimer believe is that security competition between them is likely, not great power war
10 years later and his prediction that Chinas relationship with USA will become more antagonistic and war between them are closer than before have definitely come true
The main issue with John is that, he views China through his US lense. His main theory is based on if US did X, Y and Z, China will do X, Y and Z whilst not appreciating the difference in culture of these 2 countries undermines his key points completely.
Some said John is an anti-war, that is so untrue. He is against what NATO does in Ukraine but thinks US should put the whole world at risk of being wiped out by provoking China and Taiwan as well as going to war if required.
He has described his theory repeatedly for more than 10 years without any change. He has grown older but not wiser. He views the cultural aspects of geopolitics solely from a Euro-centric approach. The world order of China is not the world order of JM and the US.
China is only peaceful to some, exclude the USA.
The true losers can't remember any facts. China has killed thousands of UN army soldiers already. China is the ONLY UN member that had killed thousands of UN soldiers, including thousands of the US soldiers, led by the US five-star general and superior emperor of Japan, Douglas MacArthur. John J. Mearsheimer is a true loser, and a low class one.
Completely agree with both comments. These people can never get out of their Western centric view, end up their entire perspective is nothing but projection. Not taking accounts of Chinese historical precedents and cultural differences makes his theory on China baseless.
US did genocide the native Americans, China will do genocide the Americans, because no more native Americans.
"...whilst not appreciating the difference in culture..." -> We need to understand that John is an academic in realism school of thought. Realism theory doesn't concern itself with cultures, it's mainly about great power politics. Like in other academic fields, you pick a field and a specific theory (e.g. Physics, string theory), and become an expert in that particular topic.
He is an American and no matter what he still prefer America to be the hegemon. Its very difficult for westerners to accept to be outdone by Asians after many centuries of world dominance and I can understand this . But the fact Asia rises and the west decline is becoming a reality and nothing can stop it.
No not Asians only " Han Chinese" don't group Asians to further your objectives. Chinese were and are the greatest benefactor of being in the bed with the West since 1970s . Remember Nixon and Mao reopening and China admitted in WTO .
Yes ! Yes ! Yes !! Nothing can stop it.
CHINA IS UNSTOPPABLE !!!
Asians don't make enough babies to keep the momentum on
this
I agree completely. His GPP is based on American dominance as well as American self exceptionalism. This is not Chinese behavior. He's an American and cannot understand China at all. But I've always believed this professor is actually a CIA puppet.
The question should be "Can the U.S. allow China to rise peacefully?"
This question is waste time to ask. Everyone on the earth know USA will try very hard to not let any nation surpass him.
History had told, example the Plaza Agreement 1985 Japan v USA. China will not enter that trap.
This lecture was 10 years ago, and J Mearsheimer still look at China same.
As John Mearsheimer said in Ottawa University (Q&A part) the US will not 'be happy' if Brazil devellops and becomes a rival. But many stupid or criminal Brazilians still believe or pretend to believe that the US government is a friend.
YES... THAT is the proper question! JM approaches his "realism" with American/Western values, so his realism is biased.
The answer is hells naw
Mearsheimer isn't an expert on China like Kishore Mahbubani. So whatever he opines about China is limited.
Yess yes !! Mehbubani is a expert because he says West bad and China good . Right ?
Mearsheimer isn't expert on China on cultural and historical aspect of that country. He's more focused on security issues regarding China
Mahbubani basically has more positive views regarding China's rise as great power
While his view might be limited it may be a good place to start for westerners who are new to the topic.
But can China Rise Peacefully?
John and Mearsheimer's realism ignores real facts, including the Chinese killing thousands of soldiers of the UN army, talking about against the whole world, including the killing of thousands of American soldiers in Korea, which was done with inferior weapons. Thanks to Americans constantly reminding the Chinese of genocide, Now, with equal or even superior weapons and nukes, the Chinese will genocide Americans for sure to serve justice for Native Americans.
The question is not whether China can rise peacefully or not. The question is: Can the USA ( Empire) take it peacefully? If all the anti-China policies, sanctions and disinformation are factored in together with war-mongering industries and Washington's self-interests, the Empire will likely go rage, rage and rage into the good night.
China has far more protectionism, "anti-USA policies" (wumao like you), and disinformation than the USA. The USA returns 1% of that, and all of the wumao go crazy.
It's always a pleasure listening to John Mearsheimer
I'm currently doing my undergrad in Pol sci and today he really got into the basics of IR and clarified so many concepts.
Even then you will do jihaad😂 no political science works in an islamic society 😂
China had risen peacefully already.
China is only peaceful to some, exclude the USA.
The true losers can't remember any facts. China has killed thousands of UN army soldiers already. China is the ONLY UN member that had killed thousands of UN soldiers, including thousands of the US soldiers, led by the US five-star general and superior emperor of Japan, Douglas MacArthur. John J. Mearsheimer is a true loser, and a low class one.
yes it can
Not yet .. not yet
it will keep rising
@@darthvadeth6290 - unless everyone comes together to stop it ..
35:34 "the Chinese have precipitated remarkably few crises" and yes do have "a vested interest in rising peacefully" while "the United States is a ruthless great power" that just ignored Nixons advice to assist Russia.
China is only peaceful to some, exclude the USA.
The true losers can't remember any facts. China has killed thousands of UN army soldiers already. China is the ONLY UN member that had killed thousands of UN soldiers, including thousands of the US soldiers, led by the US five-star general and superior emperor of Japan, Douglas MacArthur. John J. Mearsheimer is a true loser, and a low class one.
China is a blessing and benefactor to the world 👍♥️🇨🇳
China is only peaceful to some, exclude the USA.
The true losers can't remember any facts. China has killed thousands of UN army soldiers already. China is the ONLY UN member that had killed thousands of UN soldiers, including thousands of the US soldiers, led by the US five-star general and superior emperor of Japan, Douglas MacArthur. John J. Mearsheimer is a true loser, and a low class one.
Uhhhhhh careful now. Just because you hate the US doesn't mean China is a "blessing". You must be very naive to the doings and history of China.
wumao
@@dfdf-rj8jr comfort woman
@@dfdf-rj8jrCIA paid bot
In core, professor Mearishimar is a dangerous extremist, rather than a realist.
In reality, there always co-exists might vs anti-might, force vs anti-force, or action vs reaction force. But he single-mindedly preachs his type of alternative reality, “might makes rule". That's, brutal violence sets world order. The consequence is the U.S. is quickly depleting its diplomatic strength and financial resources, and declining quickly too.
China is only peaceful to some, exclude the USA.
The true losers can't remember any facts. China has killed thousands of UN army soldiers already. China is the ONLY UN member that had killed thousands of UN soldiers, including thousands of the US soldiers, led by the US five-star general and superior emperor of Japan, Douglas MacArthur. John J. Mearsheimer is a true loser, and a low class one.
He is an Amercican Exceptionist, for sure.
And give me your theory of why China would not want to become the greatest power in the system. Have you been a decision maker in their system or you are an astrologer that China will not behave exactly like west in future. Comeon mr expert i wanna hear your " Theory"
His realistic worldviews are interesting, but still US-overcentred. He completely fails in understanding the unique Chinese mindset, which is the very key of that civilization's exceptional capacity of sustainability for 4+ millenia. Such a pity he's probably too old to learn more seriously about Taoism...
@@fabiengerard8142 Since you mentioned Taoism...
Johnny boy should know something about Christianity and have heard of God Bless America numerous times...
If Christianity has any value, little Johnny should know that God must go against the communists in China for being godless.
If God Bless America has any value, Johnny should not worry about China's rise violently.
There are two weaknesses in John's assumption - The lack of understanding on cultural difference and historical development of the Chinese. There is this missional topic about Cross-Cultural study in order for one to be effective in missional outreach into a different culture. The same is needed to understand India etc.
Territorial disputes in Asia are legacy imposed and caused by the West during the colonial period of the past. We in Asia believe that multilateralism in a multi-polar world will works better for world peace.
Agreed... basing Chinese future behavior based on American characteristics is ridiculous.
JM cannot help being an American and can only project his American Consciousness (or lack of), and experiences on China. Would be beneficial for him to research China's history as he did European history, especially on his understanding of Ukraine. Spending time with people like George Yeo and Kishore Mahbhubani, could certainly be very helpful in giving him deeper insights and nuances into the Chinese mind. His understanding of Taiwan's relationship with the mainland is pathetic. Folks like him and Ziggy Brezinsky (can't spell his name!), reveals their Consciousness have not evolved from those barbaric days of survival winner takes all mentality and what's yours is mine and what's mine remains mine! No concept of Win- Win and shared prosperity.
Basically, for John's theories that the world's conflicts and wars needed to be maintained or even created by the USA in other countries, so it can keep its brutality hegemony power indefinitely...
Therefore, with the similar but opposite reasoning for the argument is that, to have a more peaceful and prosperous world, the USA must become weaker and poorer as much as possible, so it's no longer be able to creat so many wars and miseries in the world! 😂
More than that, the loss of US social cohesion is permanent due to its immigration policy, its military capability is only going to decline.
B.S. territorial dispute among country in Asia have been there before the west.
Americans get nightmares about what they have done all over the world.🙏
and sadly continue to do so... they are even doing it internally to themselves at this point.. recipe for disaster
Ah yes, the most peaceful and prosperous era in human history. Truly evil stuff by America.
@@dfdf-rj8jr well, it was a great era, more or less, more for some, less and almost none existent for others, but the best thing to do, is to acknowledge the wrongs one has done, and is doing, and stop covert operations and meddling in other people's choices and politics, if done, this will ensure their as well as others peace and prosperity, And more, ensure the increasing of prosperity, and avoid catastrophes in the future, you have to know, these critiques are from a place of love, not hate
the golden rule in life as in war and in politics is to love thy neighbors as yourselves,
I'm sure the shit hole you are posting from has received untold millions in U.S. funded aid, Protection by U.S. made weapons, or you live in a communist totalitarian dystopia and are getting paid pennies to push state propaganda.
@@kooshanjazayeri Before 1945, the US rarely interfered in Middle Eastern politics. How come you weren't all peaceful and happy then? If US meddling is the root of all problems, why wasn't the world happy and peaceful before 1945?
Mearsheimer is an honest imperialist, that's what I appreciate about him. Most are not. Not the best covering China but relatively great in the West.
China is only peaceful to some, exclude the USA.
The true losers can't remember any facts. China has killed thousands of UN army soldiers already. China is the ONLY UN member that had killed thousands of UN soldiers, including thousands of the US soldiers, led by the US five-star general and superior emperor of Japan, Douglas MacArthur. John J. Mearsheimer is a true loser, and a low class one.
I can't agree more. He is basically against anything bad to US supremacy, domestic or abroad
You cannot explain the rise and future of China following Western guide lines... especially not the United States behavior which has always been violent, capitalist and expansionist... it just doesn't make sense.
China is not an expansionist, aggressive empire like the US and the EU these days that cannot endure equal competition.
They haven't been expansionist because they have never had the power to do so.. don't be naive, you think China wouldn't act like the US if they had an overwhelming military? Or even worse than the US? You don't judge a country on their behaviours when powerless, you judge them on their actions when in power. It's easy for someone with no power to be morally righteous, it takes immense effort for a powerful person to be morally righteous.
@@dartskihutch4033 You don't understand the Chinese ethos. The answer is no.
America is an aggressive expansionist power which subjugates other people. That's not China. China is a trading empire.
Always was.. always will be.
Just look at China's efforts in third world countries in Asia, Africa and South America... their cooperation is in unison with local governments, not building military bases and demanding power over those countries everywhere like the US does, but building infrastructure and improving local commerce so international trade becomes valuable to China.
That's an essential difference between these 2 world powers.
PS... Don't forget civilization in China is thousands of years older than the US & Europe.
"China good, West bad" right wumao?
true. Exactly !
@@dartskihutch4033 In fact, Chinese people prefer to do business with you. China's thousands of years of wisdom is: war is always a losing business.
Judging by the 180+ US military bases and 40+ biolabs surrounding it, I’d take a jab here and say “No?”
This guy doesn't understand China ang China history, that was why he said he didn't know what Chinese is going to do after 30 years later.
Yes, he doesn't know that China has long term plans and objectives like 50 and 100 years milestones! They have a few thousand years of rise and fall, and surely they know their history well, and what to expect in time to come.
Mearsheimer is a liberal hegemonist. He's written a whole book about it and how Western hegemony must be maintained.
His stance doesn't have anything to do with knowing it not knowing the history of China: I'm a retired literature professor and if I know enough about the history of China to know that it's always rejected hegemonic behaviour, I'm sure Mearsheimer too is fully aware of this. That's why he dances around the issue and needs his "theory of great power" behaviour. He needs an excuse, a rationale for what he wants, which is to persuade US elites that a war with China is necessary.
@@vaska1999 china was the hegemon in their region, this is obvious. they even had a pretty harsh rules and rituals which was meant to confirm their dominance over their neighbours.
The reasons why they never tried to project their power further can be debated. I'm convinced that it would have been impossible and hence it may not have crossed their minds. To their west any expansion would have been impossible and to the south they did try to project their power.
I think their geography created a culture to go along with it..... contain themselves to the region itself. And at the time that was hard enough. Civil wars and uprisings and attacks from nomads were enough for them to be busy the whole time.
" Not sure what yoy mean with ( he is a liberal hegemonist ) International relations is the most simple semi-science in the world. It just is 2+2=2
And mearsheimer is just that 2+2=4
International relations were like this 5000 years ago and to this day not much has changed
@@farsalami8605 you haven't got the point in China history yet. History-wise, the "under the sky" region was all that they care about, which only includes China proper. It was Manchu with a steppe mind brought Tibet, Mongolia, Xinjiang and Manchuria into this picture. Unless there is anything exceptional, Chinese mind is limited in this area, the area where Chinese culture is permeated. Land beyond the area, belongs to foreigners (or barbarian), not appropriate for Chinese state to take. When ROC came into being, they were even thinking to only keep China proper, somehow they eventually decided to keep what Qing left to them including Tibet and others, as it's the heritage of Qing, the last Chinese dynasty.
@@fargr5926 " what you say... is called by people " Orientalism" which proposes that The " chinese mind" i static, it does not change. It essentially is what it was during the Qing, tang etc.
If you get the opportunity... go to china and stay for a while. You'll see that they are " alomost" just like other people.
Btw i know china and chinese people reasonably well. I dod not say all you said is BS....... But your conclusion is a cheap popular thing people say which is baseless at best. Chinese were btw very well aware of the world beyond them..... and had ambitions beyond " china proper" It did not work out. You miisunderstand the situation in certain era's. One thing to consider is the interaction between the sedentary people and the warrior-like nomadic people. In eurasia this came mostly from the north. And in case of china and iran this was the primary threat. they were much more preoccupied with them than anythingelse. As an example..... iran would gladly leave territory to rome to conquer than let the northers confederations defeat them Their priority was never rome.... it was always the northeners ( different names in different times ). Chinese had the same problem ( arguably.. a little less dangerous, because of the smaller numbers of the nomadic confederations= i have no data for this .... this is my logical imagination )
Anyway in went too far with my comment lol sorry... i like to speculate about history.
Chinese are not the chinese of 100 year ago.... americans are not the americans of 100 years ago... Arabs are also changed.... indians have changed.....
The idea of a pro-active policies has clearly taken china and indeed it was not so 300 years a go. I hope you forgive any sub-standard sentences i have made.... i think my overall comment should be intelligible
There is so much in this lecture that a whole class could and should be given on its interpretation.
Banger I love this guy and he has good things to say on Israel Gaza
Read "Towers of Ivory and Steel" and ask yourself why Reed still partners with universities that violate human rights and John gave a great talk so on that note keep it up
China is only peaceful to some, exclude the USA.
The true losers can't remember any facts. China has killed thousands of UN army soldiers already. China is the ONLY UN member that had killed thousands of UN soldiers, including thousands of the US soldiers, led by the US five-star general and superior emperor of Japan, Douglas MacArthur. John J. Mearsheimer is a true loser, and a low class one.
Mearsheimer's theory assume rational state behaviour. The problem for the western world is that they confuse Chinese rationalism to be the same as western rationalism. It is not. China pursues greatness not through war but commerce.
"China good, West bad" right wumao?
An excellent and pragmatic presentation as well as the Q & As .
John M's theory is a theory from a bully of cowardice. It is based solely on “以小人之心，度君子之腹”. Basically he says - The #1 goal is to be the bully in your school. The #2 goal is to make sure there is no other bully in your school. Let me interpret it with an example. ...So, this kid who had been bullied by you went to learn Karate to avoid being bullied. He started by getting a white belt and working toward a black one. It does not matter the kid's intention was just to better himself so that he won't be bullied. That is because we cannot tell the future, and no one can tell others' intentions now nor in the future. So for fear of your own survival, you double down your bullying and make sure the kid does not get the black belt and potentially becomes a bully. There is no telling what the Karate kid will turn into. After all, why wouldn't the kid who you bullied before will make you pay back? You would if the table is turned. Whatever holes there is with this theory, it can be explained away with that we cannot be certain about others' intentions. The whole theory is very laughable.
"China good, West bad" right wumao?
Nicely said! He generalized and use it to predict.
Meanwhile the rest of the world asks: Can United States fall peacefully?
Europeans are not asking this question.
@@edwardcumpstey9061 they already know the answer is no and their countries will be the battlefield
@@milanstepanek4185 That is what I am predicting as well.
Did you watch what he's talking about?
He said we're going towards a multipolar world and away from a unipolar world.
America was that unipole.
He didn't say we're going from an American unipolar world to a Chinese unipolar world because we're not.
If you were paying attention he actually lists China rising as an assumption he takes for granted and goes from there and that assumption is contested by many economists both in and out of China.
Not if you’re European, certainly not
Haha. I didn’t realize that that talk was from 2014 until about half way through…
First minutes of this video basically give description that this video recorded in 2014
Thought this talk is from 2024, found out later it is from 2014. This man had quite a lot of foresight.
Foresight about other nations behaviour as a result of predictable American aggressive and provoking behaviour
I can’t understand why the rise of China is bad for Taiwan. This is only in the thoughts of outsiders and especially the one from US perspective.
What is so difficult to have a prosperous Taiwan within a powerful motherland and especially when they are treated with very special priority and able to functions as they used to be in politics and governance.
So, why sow negativity just to ensure that Taiwan will remain status quo for the US outpost. For goodness sake, they are both Chinese and for those small numbers whose intention of independence and the uninformed gullible, selfish public to allow the Taiwan people’s interests to be ruined?
Like, which state wants to be themselves when they are living in the shell of the USA, the most powerful country.
"China good, West bad" right wumao?
@@dfdf-rj8jr Truth hurts
John has a saying that big countries are ruthless. Like China, it conducts tariff-free trade with 33 African countries. This is completely incomprehensible to the United States.😢
Hehe, Mr. John J. Mearsheimer? He thinks that the Chinese think in the same way that he thinks, with limited vision. Does a power always seek hegemony? In your Westerner's mentality, absolutely yes. But in the oriental wisdom, no, at least not necessarily. Chinese research tanks nowadays know way more about the US than the reverse. John might have been to China for times but still hasn't got a clue about the oriental wisdom. After thousands of years of precipitation, we have found that "if disagreed, be a better yourself to invite agreement"! But the American theory is "if disagreed, I will kill you"!
That's what the Realism school of thought (a model of international relation between countries) says, it's not about the person. Anyone who picks Realism (or specializes in, in case of academics), probably has similar thoughts and conclusions as John.
@@hitthedeck4115Give me your theory mr expert why China would not want to be the greatest power in international system!!
@@harshitsingh1600 Not only wanting, but they are working hard to achieve that. This is their only path according to Realism. And because of this inevitability, they will invariably clash with the US which is "the tragedy of Great Power politics" as John named his book as such.
@@hitthedeck4115 That's what i m saying but many Chinese and superficial geopolitical specialist here are claiming how China is great and has different culture which will make them to take different path . All bs peddled when we can know from the capabilities which they are building like blue water navy , claiming entire SCS and grabbing land here and there . At the end as Jhon says " Why do you not want to becoming Godzilla in the anarchic world " .
He's approaching this theory with his American mind... which is completely different from the Chinese philosophy to growth.
Its always amazing that why we common people are not taught these international political concepts in schools. UA-cam has made it possible for common people like us to even hear such things but this is how the world works. Interesting
The title should be "How did China rise so peacefully and quietly?"
Listening during my walk. Perfect
John is obviously not familiar with Chinese history and political traditions. China is a face-loving celestial country. In ancient times, as long as neighboring countries such as Japan, North Korea, and Vietnam paid tribute, China would not dictate their internal affairs. Just like Columbus sailed for plunder, Zheng He of China's Ming Dynasty sailed to the West to showcase China and give gifts.
FGS he's even using Pentagon strategies to label Chinese aggressiveness... China is not the USA... which he doesn't seem to comprehend.
That's not the reason. The real reason is that China's economic model does not give it incentive to be aggressive. The west gains economic advantage by taking resources and labor from other country. The Chinese, on the hand, has always been a surplus production country. What it wanted was open markets to sell it's excess production and accumulate wealth. The trade surplus and wealth disparity makes it a target of war in the past. There is no reason to think it'll be any different this time around.
@@henli-rw5dwDidn't the West’s rise was due significantly to plunders and wars? The stolen resources have been contributing to its First World status, up to this very day. The USD as the world reserve currency gave it an 'exhorbitant privilege', basically parasiting on the whole world to grow fat and rich. China on the other hand, did it the hard but more honest way
@@iwanagohome326 You mean US does not care about face??? Silly
"as long as they paid tribute" is a key point. In fact, Zheng He was sent out on his journeys to militarily enforce Chinese intentions and the payment of tribute. This is exactly what he is talking about.
Mearsheimer is my hero. I’m German and he helped me more to understand my country’s history of the 20th century than all my school’s history lessons combined. He is a gift of god.
So this video originally recorded in 2014. So why upload now? Or this is just a reupload?
Maybe because the speaker had become very popular recently. He gets hundreds of thousands - millions of views per video.
The war with Ukraine has propelled geostrategist to popularity.
Thanks for the upload
The USA should see itself as one among many, and not the one above many.
The Imperial Germans, Nazis, Imperial Japanese, and Soviets said the same thing
Mozambique salutes the lecture
John J. Mearsheimer is not an expert. He assumes and makes his conclusion based on his US lens of geopolitics theories that is linear of competition of great powers.
Brilliant! Performance? Yes! But unquestionably brilliant.
Somehow Mearsheimer never apply his theory to Israel, which he always derides
He used domestic variable to explain US-Israel relation, hence neorealism not used by Mearsheimer to understand special relationship between Washington and Tel Aviv
but he does,
although i'm not sure what specific thing are you looking for
"China good, West bad" right wumao?
I like JM more and more. He is not playing around. Slaps you with his theory right in the face
Wars fit for Mearsheimear’s theory, while coups for Fukuyama’s. But both obey the Law of Instrument: When all you have is a hammer, everything looks like a nail.
The neo-realism is too Hobbesian. Don’t make it a self-fulfilling prophecy. Use the brain to think of a better theory with a better human nature.
Because of technological advancements, circumstances have changed. Humans are still humans. This global system is unnatural and may not last. In that case, John's right.
There is no better human nature. Your utopian roots are showing.
John Mearsheimer has been exactly correct about everything he’s had to say for a long time. It’s my humble opinion that he should use his theoretical framework and intellect to work on the bigger picture issues we’re going to be confronted with as a species (which all happen to be interconnected). He’s nailed the IR part of the equation. He should venture out of his comfort zone and try to tackle the other parts of the equation which all together are referred to as the metacrises.
What I find striking in your plausible approach is how incredibly pointless and dangerous all this competitive activity has become. The development of competitive states may describe the death of civilization. Humans are limited by environmental conditions. This reality is ignored in your approach.
I personally love the United States, but we are tired of its isolation in the world and its foreign policy, and I think that many agree with me, but at the same time the rise of China is very scary and I do not wish for a war to occur between China and America. I hope that American politicians will listen to people like Professor John so that we can avoid war as much as possible.
Thanks for the rich lecture❤
JM is outing himself as a white supremacist!
Lmao the Chinese call anyone who disagrees with them a "white supremacist"
17:10 His 'roaming' theory is in conflict with US policy and US action. Law on the Sea, Freedom of Navigation are just two examples of US encouraging 'roaming' not limiting it.
He knows absolute ZERO about Taiwan. I am Taiwanese, and every single point he mentions about Taiwan is entirely wrong. We aren't "scared" of China. We are 99% ethnic Chinese; literally almost everyone has family or does business in China. Our government claims to be the government of all of China after fighting a civil war against (and losing to) the Communists; we lost because we sided with the imperialist Americans, who never actually wanted us to win but always wanted us to stay in a suspended state of war against China so they could profit. In the modern world, even we understand that our grandfathers' claim that Taiwan rules all of China is ridiculous and that we need to come to consensus how to resolve our civil war. It's our business and not the US or anyone else's.
Get real dude. "That's not your business" isn't a valid or convincing argument in a globalized world.
@@dr.s8972 They have been raised to hate America, there's not much you can do about it. Just wait 50 years when China is running the show in Taiwan and suddenly they will come crying, like they always do.
@@dr.s8972 It is for him as it is an internal matter for Chinese to resolve and given that he is Chinese.
You would not like that if people in China want to have a say in your country matters.
I'm a Taiwanese too. I think you are absolutely talking out of your ass. Your view of the history and society of Taiwan is very biased.
Not 99% of Taiwanese came from China. That's just not true. Go look up the statistics.
Not all of Taiwanese have relatives in China or doing business with China. You are talking out of your ass. Most of Han Taiwanese family have been living in Taiwan for over 200 years. Only those Chinese who moved to Taiwan with KMT after the WWII has relatives in China.
The rest of your comment is just your personal view and opinions of Taiwanese history.
It seems JM's biggest influences are his mother
and the bully in the (us) classroom
Mother
"God will help them who help themselves" : China is actually adhering to that in a peaceful way
"Always be aware of the bully in the classroom": China is conducting itself in the appropriate diplomatic manner
The question not whether China can rise peacefully as they proved since WW2 they have rather whether the US can recede peacefully as they have proved they cannot
This man is a pure, pure GENIUS!!!
Even though I like John advocate realist geopolitics which China exercise, opposite of US wanting to make the whole world to America style liberal governing bodies, in someway it's successful where many countries in the world have so call democractic elections!
Yet he also stress US should maintain its hegemony in Asia and should prevent China to become one even in Asia arguing unpredictability of China ambition! Seem contradictory!
Realist mean nations deal with one another base on reality of individual state, for example Iran, a religious theocratic government, North Korea, hereditary dictatorship yet dealing with them as sovereign nations.
But in a world where many countries are economically moving up, its just not feasible for USA to dictate the term other countries have to comply to against their own interest like economically hurt oneself for American desire to matain hegemony.
American exceptionalism can only work if American can adhere to its own grandiose ideal and principal without hippocratic practices!
In core, professor Mearisheimar a dangerous extremist, rather than a realist.
In rality, here is always might vs anti-minght, force vs anti-force, or action vs reaction force. But he single-mindedly preachs his type of alternative reality, “might makes rule". That's, brutal violence sets world order. The consequence is the U.S. is quickly depleting its diplomatic strength and financial resources.
China is only peaceful to some, exclude the USA.
The true losers can't remember any facts. China has killed thousands of UN army soldiers already. China is the ONLY UN member that had killed thousands of UN soldiers, including thousands of the US soldiers, led by the US five-star general and superior emperor of Japan, Douglas MacArthur. John J. Mearsheimer is a true loser, and a low class one.
I mean to this question I would ask another... How long did last the last historical empire ? Not less than 20, 50, 100 years. It's a new paradigm that is here for the rest of our life at least. We should adapt instead of staying into denial.
John has very little knowledge on China, so his opinion on China is meaningless, don’t waste of your time here.
basically he is Sinophobia
Mearsheimer doesn't pretend or try hard that he's an expert of Chinese culture or history. He's basically explain how great power politics operated according to his IR theory
@@garytan9904 nope. He's not
He has no clue on China. He assumes China will behave like a Western country.
@@vchanpe1 yes，In fact, Chinese people prefer to do business with you. China's thousands of years of wisdom is: war is always a losing business.
Absolutely, I would love to make this English lecture by Professor Mia Scheimer a compulsory listening requirement for Japanese high school English.
Then students would be able to look at contemporary history and international affairs from an objective perspective.
まったくもって、ミアシャイマー教授によるこの英語講演を日本の高校英語の聴き取り必修にしたいくらいだよ。
そうしたら、学生たちも少しは現代史と国際情勢を客観的に俯瞰できるようになるだろうに。
He contradicts himself while taking about Russia and China, lacking facts and being subjective on the latter, same as most westerns.
Unfortunately it is not how things work
John often twists or omits facts, he reminds me of Bannon in some ways.
What facts he omits?
Yes, actually he's a trickist.
China is only peaceful to some, exclude the USA.
The true losers can't remember any facts. China has killed thousands of UN army soldiers already. China is the ONLY UN member that had killed thousands of UN soldiers, including thousands of the US soldiers, led by the US five-star general and superior emperor of Japan, Douglas MacArthur. John J. Mearsheimer is a true loser, and a low class one.
@@jamesgo2014 China killed thousands of the American soldiers.
China is only peaceful to some, exclude the USA.
The true losers can't remember any facts. China has killed thousands of UN army soldiers already. China is the ONLY UN member that had killed thousands of UN soldiers, including thousands of the US soldiers, led by the US five-star general and superior emperor of Japan, Douglas MacArthur. John J. Mearsheimer is a true loser, and a low class one.
It's surreal listening him speak on the point about Israel and Ukraine after what's happened since this talk.
Prof. Mearsheimer is a gift to America as a fantastic, thoughtful and intellectually honest public intellectual. I always enjoy his lectures. But like any set of theories on human behavior, it’s just a theory. One of the areas where his Ukraine analysis is stressed is his 4th assumption of his theory of great power politics - we can’t be certain about the intentions of Russia and Putin - which he sometimes neglects in making his argument that there is no evidence that Russia had expansionist desires. And his 5th assumption that there is no limit to what states will do to protect themselves also weakens his arguments on Ukraine - Russia has been invaded countless times in history with Ukraine being one of the superhighways along with other parts of Eastern Europe.
Very good. From 10 years on, we can see that Israel/Palestine falls into the 25%+ he gets wrong, but he admits that his theory doesn't deal with nonstate actors or actors who have been made desperate enough to risk the "irrational"
Talk should have been delivered on " will US gracefully accept the new super power of international order as Britshers did after WW2"
Interstellar just tells you, “Do not go gentle into that good night,Old age should burn and rave at close of day; Rage, rage against the dying of the light.” So i guess that's the reason of recent chaos in the world?
Prof Mersheimer is truly brilliant. I rarely miss opportunities to listen to his lectures and interviews.
On one point though, Prof Mersheimer missed out explaining, rather incorporating, "war on terror" or terrorism, in general, into his theory.
Here is how I would consider incorporating "terrorism" into his theory.
1) Terrorism and terrorists will be employed by state actors to serve their interests. U.S. used and funded contra rebels in Central America. Used Osama bin Laden against USSR in Afghanistan. Used military juntas to carry out genocides across the world - Congo, Chile, East Timor.
2) "War on Terror" is a wonderful peg to hang U.S.A.'s never ending quest to produce deadlier and deadlier weapons and use them to "roam around the world".
So, to conclude, "terrorism" is used as a supplement to further the state actor's goals of being a regional hegemon. And, in the case of U.S.A., to extend those hegemonic designs to the entire world.
This theory reminds me of the five New York crime families. They used to war over terf constantly until Lucky Luciano convinced them to set up and respect each other's territory.
On starting to lay out his theory , he says we are not sure of future behavior of China ! Whereas we know historically thinking China is among the most peaceful nation in the past 4 to 500 years in the world and even more ! And we know how Today's China how it has reacted to our hegemonic warrior behavior ( of USA ) , when attacking Korea , China stepped in and stopped our complete conquest of Korea in 1952 , then we tried with Vietnam , and got a bloody nose and had to escape and withdraw completely in 1975 after 4 years of intense genocidal bombing and fighting ! Then we tried to get in the backdoor of China from Afghanistan's side , there even after two wars and second lasting over 20 years we had to withdraw abruptly and leaving billions of dollars of war materials and technologies ! So we know now with China , starting to aid Chiang KaySchek we lost , Korea , no success , Vietnam Loss , twice Afghanistan total loss , who , except a crazy person would think that USA against China will win over Taiwan or else ???? No need to theorize here you can look at history and say USA will certainly loose now , deeply in Debt and lots of people in USA against Permanent Wars' doctrine today in 2024 !
Dr. Mearshimer is really great 😃👍👍
This lecture is from 2014, 10 years ago. Why was this interesting yet very obsolete uploaded 3 weeks ago? So much has changed.
There are almost 200 military bases of USA and UK surrounding China from Japan to Malaca strait... why ??? Why all those troops, war planes, strategic bombers, submarines, strategic misils, etc, etc.
To protect globo ho mo
Containment
To prove western hypocrisy again! 😂
Much respect.
When was the talk given?
this lecture is from 2014? and yet it still sounds quite relevant
I think it is a typo, should be 2024. (posted five days ago )
@@jerrychao9742 but then he talks about an impending “intifada” which kinda is what Oct 7 was, wasn’t it? He also speaks about impending Ukraine-Russia war which is happening right at this moment 🤷🏻♀️
Does question "Can China Rise Peacefully?" have to do anything with USA preventing the rise of China? Wouldn't the answer to this question also depend on actions taken by USA? or is USA considered force of nature?
To think the students following this lecture, once they get to power, will pursue the very same polycies driven by the current leaders . There is no hope.
Power is never given, is always taken
This lecture is from 2014. Someone should show this video to Mearsheimer and ask him if his opinion changed on anything he said here... Especially when he said Russia and Ukraine confrontation is not much of a hot spot likely to cause WW3.
Why is Reed posting this video today
How old is this lecture?
@@iwanagohome326 this video recorded in 2014
It is even more relevant today. We are using Ukraine, Taiwan, Israel, Myanmar, etc. as proxies.
Why should the US be free to roam, but not other regional hegemons? Very one-sided
The Chinese through sheer hard work have brought 800 million of its population from abject poverty to near middle class within the last 3 to 4 decades is unprecedented in the world. Look at every major Economic parameters from Health span,mortality rate, home ownership,car ownership,internet penetration,education levels..etc etc it is the fastest progress the world has ever seen.
This was archieved without a war..a invasion..a regime change ..a colonization spree..or plundering of other natives resources etc..How on Earth can this not be classified as the most Peacefull rise of a Nation ever..
Look at " Great: Britain how many colonies did it Ravished..France..Spain and even US on the number of Fertile Territories from Texas to Carlifornia it took from Mexico ..etc ( The Mexicans are returning the favour by coming back to resettle it😢)
Of Course the Speaker here is not into the morality question but just Real politics ..US just wants to be the no 1 Dorminant Power of the world ..and will do its utmost to supress any upcoming power ..
US and the West fears that the next non West Dorminant Power will BEHAVE just like them..
But don t worry the Chinese DNA through their 4 000 years history has shown that they are non Evangelistic and For "God King and Country " Colonizing methodology but a more The Prosperity Gospel stream..😊..
Ie Prosper thy neighbour so that in turn thy neigbour will buy more stuff from China and prosper China even further...😂
As far I know the nukes technically were in Ukraine, but the actual control over them belonged to Russia anyway.
When John talks about the rest of the world, he is so gentle and knowledgeable. But when he talks about China, he becomes exhausted and crazy.😢
The only part that aged well was the part about Russia/Ukriane, thats the part he actually had extensive knowledge on, the rest are just his dogmatic personal beliefs and projections, based mostly on an Americentric view (most scholars tend to at least try to steer away from their own culture bias and be at least somewhat objective). Since this lecture America has been involved in wars in Libya Yemen Syria Palestine Ukraine etc. while China participated exactly 0 war in the same time period, expect the same trend for the next 3 or 4 decades, Americans and their proxies love bombing other countries while demonizing the Chinese.
What are you criticizing him for exactly? You brought up points that he stated himself, that china is not interested in fighting at the moment and the US is, that is exactly his point
EVERYONE Should rise peacefully (in their Right mind)!!
1:04:51 - what were the other 75% about?
Confused about US being the only regional hegemony. Before World War I, wouldn't the British Empire be considered a regional hegemony? Didn't they have a huge presence all around the world? They had a literal hegemony in the Australian continent/ Didn't the British control the Indian subcontinent until after World War 2?
I think Dr. Mearsheimer does not read Chinese classic philosophy about how to govern the world: It is not hegemony but Justice, i.e. everyone gets his/her deserved reward based on his / her contribution.
thank god this guy is not an elected official or federal government decision maker. Pray he keeps his day job forever.
This reminds me of the Black Forest Theory
The US mainland only borders 2 countries, yet 800+ American army base around the world in 70+ countries.
Who is threatening who?
The only one theory that makes at least 50% sense is on Capability substitute as Intentions. However we can always get a good sense of Intention if we only try to understand each other. US always fears that other countries are as bad as itself
The question is wrong from the inception. West has no right to raise or ask this question when the rise of west has never been peaceful. See and compare how many wars were invoked by West in the last two hundred years, including the US, after 1945. Compare it with how many wars Chinese have invoked on other nations in the last 2000 years. I feel that minus west, peace suits every other nation on the globe. West will try its best to invoke and impose new wars on the world. The war is the only way known to west on their pursuit to lead the world.
Yes, anything is possible.
Small Correction: If a country is on the rise (China, India, Southeast Asia) Politics trumps Economics, but if it (America, E.U) is in decline, then Tribal-Ethnocentrism trumps economics.
I thought this was a new lecture but it’s a 2014 lecture uploaded in 2024, 10 years after almost to the day. Why? Better late than never? Or especially relevant right now somehow?
It would be foolish for Taiwan to trust the US.