So anxious for this match. Definitely my most anticipated GS match since Carlos and Novak at RG. Pulling for Nole in 5, but Sinner has a chance to pull through. Great analysis and discussion!
The only emotions I have are if Djokovic will not play at his level. If he will play to his potential, I have no emotion. Yes, Sinner seems to me to be the 2nd player after Djokovik on hard and among the few players who can create problems for him, but I don't see how he can win if Djokovik won't have any injury problems.
Rublev was 5-1 in the tie break and lost the set. Not happening with Novak. But yeah, definitely going to be an interesting match. I am rooting for the GOAT to get #25.
Djokovic’s domination at the AO is completely comparable to Nadal’s at RG not just based on numbers but also from the perspective that there are more players on the tour who consider hard courts as theor best surface.
Well that was a lie. Nadal would never lose to mediocre players at rg like novak regularly does at Ao. Random israelian , random korean , roddick, getting smoked by safin, roddick, tsonga. Now 0 slam italian
@@angrydriver2023 delusional lies to toot novaks horn on a comment section is next level meatriding. Time to get a life Akso i wouldnt show my face here after he got folded like a lawn chair at his favourite slam
AMY: …” it’s fantastic to be able to study someone this great.” GILL: “The trend is that Djokovic doesn’t lose after he gets past the quarterfinals at the Australian open…” JOEL: “A Trend? I think it’s more than a trend; It’s a Friggin’ Fact!” 😂😂😂 BRAVO! LOVE YOU GUYS!
Amy -you didn't see the tactic Sinner had vs Rublev in the tiebreak obviously. He has variety on his fh. I give djoko footwork a 5 of 10 vs Sinner Sinner 9,5 ❤🎉 Djokos attitude with his box was a mess 😂😂btw 🙏
In the match commentary Taylor Fritz said that the first two sets took a lot out of him, is that he actually needed to be in better shape, to be able to play 5 hours, he said.
Agree with joel. Dominating a special surface is relatively easy than on hard cohurts because thr number of players who have good to great level is way way higher compared to clay specialists who have truly tested rafa. Only novak has really tested and competed against RG philipe chatrier rafa. On the other hand, novak had to face tougher competition overall, hands down.
@@rupakdewangan8117Is Federer so good on clay ?? He couldn't win Rome, Mone Carlo in his whole career. The only clay masters he won was Madrid which plays somewhat similar to hard courts and Hamburg once beating Nadal.
@@rupakdewangan8117 Only Djokovic has been Nadal's rival on clay since 2011. Both Federer and Djokovik clay is their weakest surface. If he was at least an Alcaraz, he would still have something to discuss, but it is clear that he does not compare. There are many more good players on hard than on any other surface. And we see this in Alcaraz, where he did not win any competition after winning Wimbledon.
@@michael8597 do u even know how many finals fed has played at Rg who defeated djoker at 2011 Rg ? Do u know the name of guy stan the man remember who he defeated in 2015 final at fo ? Remember a guy named domi thiem remember who he stopped at Rg not once but twice even bageled Djokovic ? So rafa has always faced peaking players in the final a part from casper ruud but his level at Fo is the greatest level of tennis ever played so u can bring all the excuse u want but he has earned all the Fo he has won never had it mugs like berettini Kyrgios in the final.
Djoko enjoys challenges. Stiffer the challenges, stronger and tougher he becomes. He knows it best how to trounce his opponent and hence, he is the one and only GOAT🐐 in tennis.
@@RohitKumar-zm3nw There’s always the first time that things don’t go his way! Sinner hasn’t lost a set and looks like a machine this time around, so it could happen-we’ll just have to wait and see! I hope Novak gets through it! But I think it’s gonna be his biggest challenge yet!
Playing amazingly well against other players is one thing but to beat Novak and that too in a 5 set GS is a different game altogether. Players look fantastic until they face Novak. Having said that, Sinner has improved the most in the last year or so. Maybe he has a chance but for me Novak wins in 4.
@@RohitKumar-zm3nwhe lost the last bo5 match to carlos . He would've lost in rg as well barring cramps. If both play at 100% alcaraz takes the racquet out of his hand everywhere except indoors.
Trends, patterns, friggin' facts, form, health, records, copy-paste, pressure, tactics, game plans, nerve management, tie breaks, every stat and every analysis backing genius..... Yet, yet, the unknowability of the unknown till it unfolds. The immediacy of the moment makes everything irrelevant, doesn't it? Yet, yet....these chats are alive with the love of tennis. That's the magic of Gill, Amy, Joel. Thanks as always.
Dear 3 Here’s a question I’d love for you 3 to debate and analyze: how is it that Djoko who is so unbeatable during ATP and ITF tournaments can’t manage more than a measly bronze medal at the Olympics in 4 attempts? Fed and Nadal as one would expect both have some gold and silver in their display cases. Would be interesting to hear your thoughts.
Love your podcast as always, and Gill I hope you are getting some sleep these days! ❤ About the 0/15 break points converted in the first 2 sets, Kyrgios gave some really good analysis in his commentary: Novak was hitting big on deuce to create all those BPs and then playing safe on ad waiting for Taylor to miss. Taylor simply didn’t miss any because, as he said during his presser, at one point he just felt that Novak deserved a break already and he had nothing to lose. And Taylor gave us some spectacular shots on those points. Huge credit to Fritz, period!
Thank you for another good discussion. I love that you aren't afraid to discuss anything and especially the way you go about it: without any malice or explicit negativity to any player, you just raise questions and discuss them calmly and collected. You try to look from all perspectives not just one. Thank you for being in depth and fair, always insightful to watch and listen what you have to say. Also you are such a great combo of generations and gender, balanced all around.
I fully agree with Joel saying Medvedev’s match va Alcaraz in the Us open was career changing! It really showed the whole world, the tour and to Medvedev that his peak is up there.
In 2019- Rafa was playing so great at the OZOpen, that so many experts etc said he would win it - they were saying that he would definitely beat Novak, but Novak beat Rafa very easily in 3 straight sets.
Same point I made in another soc med thread. Nadal even served Tsitsipas a bagel in their SF match. Then he faced Nole, then BOOM! Reality struck the clay court specialist. Novak is a different beast in RLA, especially in the SF and Finals.
It's one thing to beat other players and look fantastic and it's a whole other thing to beat Novak. And definitely not easy in a 5 set GS match. Not just skill and form but mental and physical toughness all come into play and no one is better than Novak.
Exactly the same can be said about roland garros 2020. Djokovich looked unstoppable. Everybody considered him the favorite. Even the conditions suited him. October and night match. Look what happened in the finals. That's right. He was obliterated by Rafa.
Gill, totally agree and understand what you're saying about nerve management. It didn't look as if Joel and Amy quite got it. It's a subtle point and a difficult one to explain.
The conditions are predicted to get lot cooler on Friday making the balls heavier, surface slower and this works to the advantage of Novak, who will also benefit from the lack of heat and fatigue factor.
Lack of heat and fatigue works in novaks favor however slow surface doesnt. These days he avoids the grind. Regardless, biggest factor is wind. It affects the semis. Its on the 20 mph range 😢. If he beats sinner in the semis, its almost a wrap as its cooler and less windier on sunday. 🤞
@@guruk The estimated wind speed is not as bad at Wimbledon when Novak struggled with his serves. Well we are talking about an incredible man who has won 10 Australian open and can you achieve that feat without adapting to different conditions.
Very interesting match, I believe Sinner has shown the higher level to this point but ultimately I just can't pick against Novak and have to give him the benefit of the doubt. I say it goes 5 though
Dino was magic-electric against Nole. Agree w/Amy-Plays himself into form. Poppy tested him. R3 & R4 - Serve, return, placement & Aces. Fritz got his legs taken in sets 3 & 4. Joel - love the GOATs do not hit the panick button in GS easily. Gill-spot on w/Sinner on tactical/technical game-mental still to be tested. Sasha just beat Carlos! WHOA-WOW! Taking Novak in 4 over Yanick. Zverev over Meddy in 4. Novak over Zverev in 4 for #11/#25 Thanx Amy, Gill & Joel - wonderful debate. Thanx Milan
@@westonmeyer3110 much more talented as well. He's better at net, hits harder and faster. Returns from much closer to the baseline as well. On current form Sinner wins but as we saw in Zverev vs Alcaraz, last matches form is irrelevant. I would like a new champion personally but we'll have to see how both Sinner and Djokovic play.
At this age Djokovic doesn't mind aggressive hitters he mind players like Medvedev that can run 6 hrs and return the ball and make Novak too aggressive@@westonmeyer3110
I'm so nervous for Novak in this one. I believe, if he does make it 11, will be the toughest one of his career. May I take the liberty here, Amy, if you weren't married! Smokin' hot! Don't tell the ol'man! Hell with it, tell him! All in good fun! 😂
I wouldn't say that Novak's FH is back to normal, at least not back to normal like I mean 2023 level. It has stretches of brilliance but overall there were more stretches of dropping it short, slow-ish and loopy - Fritz was eating it up, or in his 1st round match he was missing those attacking FH trying to finish Dimo. Idk. Obviously Novak's streak at AO is insane but every streak has to end, right? Last year his Wimbledon's & Davis Cup's streaks were ended. On the other hand, Sinner has been playing amazingly - saving almost all breakpoints with incredible serving & offence
Funny how everyone talks about how amazing Djokovic is right after he beats them. Because of course it would make Fritz feel better about the loss if he put on a respectable performance against Djokovic in peak form. In reality Djokovic didn’t need peak form to beat Fritz, and still has another gear he can reach in his last two matches. If he finds that gear he should win. If not he might still win but it’ll be close.
@@harrdeeharrto be fair, Taylor has been one of the few people who has been very clear and doesn't beat around the bush. Yes Novak has maybe 2 more gears but he's also 36, almost 37. Age does catch up and yesterday even with the heat, he was fit and Fritz whittled away. Look at Nadal, Murray or Wawrinka, they all look and move like old people. Typical performance when age catches up. Novak on the other hand is tiring out players 2 generations younger.
In all honesty, Novak has added few new elements into his game however his movement is a step slower which is evident in his lower return percentages and break points converted % efficiency.
@user-wd7ue1wd6r Novak has greatly improved his serve in the last few years, is now a very good spot server. He now hits his forehand with more force and precision .He has improved his volleys and his willingness to come to the net. He is a tad slower , but the improvement in the aforementioned aspects, imo, have compensated for that.
Without politics and if we want to be real and honest Novak should have 12 AO by now but he's still good and we who witness his time we know what happened and same goes for US open when he would probably take two more but one for sure, these things make him have 3-4 GS less but gained him admiration of all anti establishments common people, his people champ who manage to beat corporate champions which Roger and Rafa absolutely are Someone calls him 🐐 (Greatest Of All Time) for some his the 🚢 (Best Of All Time) but whatever stance you have one thing is for sure no one is even close to him I mean they are actually closer to him now than they will be in a year or ywo
Remember AO 2019 when Nadal was crushing everybody and everyone thought he would beat Novak? I see Novak doing the same here. Novak is the ultimate cooller
I don't think there are question marks about Novaks mileage this tournament since he gets a 2 day break here and he got it after his 1r match and since his last 3, more recent matches barring fritz have been rather quick and due to Novaks game of conserving energy and deftness in style, and his work ethic and diet and other holistic practices.
Gill is right about the nerves management issue - Fritz did play his very best game, he’s not losing 0-9 to Novak due to nerves. Sorry Amy but not all these players have ‘unlimited potential’. They all have a ceiling. What matters most in tennis is beating the other guy over the net. That matters more than any other aspect in tennis, because we judge greatness on wins. Novak has passed that test for 15 years running against all gen before him.
Are we all on the same page with regard to the simple fact that Novak was pulled apart by Sinner; even genius has to bow (however hesitatingly) when the time arrives. No excuses or justifications seem stylish or intelligent enough really. No tennis pundit saw this coming! So much for punditry. Paris bound, aren't we?
Found Joel's comments around the significance of the AO relative to RG fascinating. I've always wondered how the AO is valued among players these days. Of course it's a slam, but would most pick RG over the AO? For fans, I'm guessing it's still considered 4th best among the slams.
Just remember how Novak raised the level in the semi-final and the final of Turin... or how Nadal played until the final in 2019 and what happened in the final against Novak
Amy I couldn’t stand another Djoko final of any kind not just with Med. I see that all 3 guys Med Sin and Sash can now beat Djoko from the baseline and all 3 have done so. I expect Djoko to resort to his gaming tricks like breaks to consult the mirror in the toilet (??) medicals, deliberately engaging the crowd to disrupt play and the ridiculous yelling at his box. Oh and the placebo bottles of hot air they pass down to him just to keep the other guy guessing 🤣. This is what he did to Murray all those times at the AO finals. It’s an old act that’s had its day 🥱😴
Novak can read the game like nobody else , ....Sinner won't look devastating like he did with other players. Novak is able to get into players head. He knows exactly what they will do....and that messes them up mentally.
Novak's match should be in prime- time at night- he is the defending champion, is the main draw and has played the last 2 matches during the day. To do otherwise would be to insult and slight Novak - but if the tennis establishment have their way, they will put him on during the day. Also, the Djokovic/ Sinner match has been the most anticipated match of this OZ Open.
@@marlenebuls9535lol wtf nothing do with the establishment here it's complete bs when u have 2 days off and the bottom half has only one day off for the semis then isn't it unfair for them to play first even after having less time to recover
Great analysis as usual, BUT NO DARE TO PREDICT... i will say this, as a Novak fan, i m concerned about Sinner, even thou it is hard to go against Novak Hudini Jokovic.
Amy is Novak’s no.1 fan. When Alcaraz first serve % was over 70% in a match, Amy said that number is too high and he’s not aggressive enough. But when Novak has the similar number above 70%, she praised Novak had a good serve through out the match. 😂
“He looks as good as he possibly can”….. What a poor take from Amy. Terrible. He played below his level all tournament long and enjoyed a favorable draw
I agree with Gill, can't see any weakness that Novak can exploit in the Sinner game, plus Sinner skill set just as good, if not better. There is no safe space in the rally for Novak to go to. Gill's point was that if Novak plays a Sinner that manages his nerves and delivers his A game, then Novak in trouble. If Frtiz manages his stress and plays his A game, it still won't be enough.
Forgot to mention the QF against Novak at Wimbledon when he was up 2 sets to love in 2022 he was hitting Novak of the court! Novak himself then went of a toilet break and admitted he had to look in the mirror and talk himself out of trouble! I think it was a mixture of Novak and Sinner choking! I think if Sinner goes 2 up this time I don't believe he will let Novak back in!
Agree with you, Gill! You can manage your nerves very well, but if your level of ability is not matching your opponent, you cannot win. Fritz is not good enough in any world to beat Djokovic - even with his nerves under control.
Give the edge to Sinner, and I'm a Novak fan. Sinner hasn't dropped a set in the entire tournament. I don't see Djokovic breaking him so the Serb will have to play perfect tennis just to stay in the set.
They will both play perfect tennis as long as they feel 100%. Djokovic wants it so badly to prove his superiority and to beat all the records he has on his list. And what Djoko wants, Djoko gets. Sinner will do his best, and if he is defeated, he will learn from it, and do better next time he plays him as he gets to see and experience the great master's box of tricks.
I also think it's Jannik's time. If Djoker cannot pull off another gear, Jannik will win. Jannik has experienced losses against Nole in different ways and has learnt a lot. Also, he has experienced wins against Nole and know his weakness. Right now, every player who plays against Jannik will choose to play aggressively to avoid his domination of points, and the winner will be the one who can stay aggressive and precision for longer time period and at the important moments of the match. Novak took this risk in the Final in Turin and won the match but a risk is a risk. If Sinner can also plays aggressive and plays better, Novak will lose like the one in the Davis cup. This will be an interesting match. Novak has all the stats in the history of this tournament to favor him but the eye test doesn't show he is the better player at this moment.
Sinner has not really been tested yet, Khacha & Rublev are some of the weakest top 10ers I've seen. Something that stuck out though is that sinner faced I believe 19 bp's and only got broken once in his last 2 matches. Idk if he can keep this streak going. Otherwise lacks variety imo & Novak will formulate a plan that will exploit his weaknesses and his legs of a chicken who is a master at taking out legs. Idk how Sinner will do in the endurance department, some question marks still. Also the more you face Novak and more he knows you, he will have a better pulse on the match. And if the match is night, Novak just has such a winning streak in that session so let's see. If he somehow gets past Novak I do not see him being 2 ATG's back to back or someone like Medvedev who is a HC specialist. Because historically it does not happen, rarely even in Big 3 era, have playeres defeated 2 big 3's to win. Federer could not even do it. Also this would be Sinners first slam final and I think the moment will get to him.
Why is this channel/podcast not following up the loss of Djoko against Sinner ?? Are you stunned that a legend has failed or Sinner is not worth mentioning …
It almost appears that the 3 commentators cannot find the words to describe Djoker’s drubbing by Sinner. Illness excuses have been offered, so maybe this makes his loss less interesting. But Sinner beat him in Davis Cup and showed no wilt in the more grueling AO match. Perhaps this wonderful broadcast will have to fold if Djoker is toast. Please consider a new ‘3’ ahead…Sinner Alcaraz & Medvedev/Rune/Shelton/Fils/whoever sustains a run.
As Gill says, I am having trouble reading how this SF will play out. Maybe it comes down to nerve management, because Sinner has upped his game to have no glaring weakness like Novak. Also, not sure Novak can "copy and paste" his Turin Final 23 win against Sinner with the nuclear FH, because this is a considerably slower court and harder for Novak to overpower Jannik. Very intriguing match-up and really hard to predict a winner.
As someone as observing and knowledgable as you guys, not to identify any skill differences between Djokovic and Sinner is dissapointing. How about Djokovic having more versatile, stable, deep, and consistent ground strokes. Overall, Djokovic’s defense is on a whole another level than Sinner. Also, we’ve seen that he can match (and surpass) Sinner’s power (in terms of mph). Also, imo, Djokovic has a slightly better (hits spots better) than Sinner and a more consistent and deep return. He also has a better backhand dropshot and does better in cat and mouse games. I’m not a big fan of these ‘Djokovic is almost equal in terms of skill with a lot of other top guys, he just wins because he’s better mentally’ takes. I mean come on.
Agreed. The guy is the greatest ever. Sinner has been to one SF. To say Sinner at this point in his career is on the same level as Novak is laughable. There will be no one better at tennis then Novak I think ever. He is the greatest problem solver and tennis iq player in history and has perfected every part of the game. Look what happened to alcaraz just now, got beat by Zverev. Novak is the best ever and i don't think it's that close
Totally agree. I am surprised they didn't say anything about the versatility of novak's game and the numerous tricks he has in his bag. Sinner on the other hand is a big clean hitter but he only got one tempo and one game plan. His serve has improved, his hitting has improved, his mental strength may have improved but how about in a GS SF situation, being neutralized by Novak, what else can he do? That is the difference between those 3 greats and the rest
With age and when missed some new records..Novak is different mind set .there is no thing if i win this then will have golden slam ect..he just go day by day max effort..
Sinner has lost 1 match in the last 3 months to Novak in Turin. That said He has beaten Novak 2 out of the last 3 matches saved 3 match points that clearly hurt Novak in the Davies cup! Think he needs to hit more first serves against Novak!
Sorry to say this but all 3 are looking like fools. Gill less so because he said skill wise Sinner can go toe to toe but mentality us a question mark. Sinner proved that mental issues are in the past
Gill, I think you hype too much on Alcaraz. At the moment, Carlos is in the period of adjusting himself because his style is figured out by top players such as Djokovic, Sinner, Medvedev, and Zverev. His drop shot is no longer a deadly weapon as it used to be. His creative playstyle makes his decision making sometimes not reliable. The game plan of the others in the top 4 is much more reliable. Right now, I think Carlos is only on par with Djokovic on clay. He is very much beatable when facing top players with good serves in other surfaces. It takes time for him to growth. Right now, with the Djoker is still the best, Alcaraz is still one or two tier below. Without improvements, he will be the underdog when playing against the four players I mention above. Right now, in terms of tier, I think Djoker is the absolute tier 1, Jannick is tier 2 despite all the things he hasn't done in the Grand Slams (the eye test has shown quite enough), Meddy, Zverev, and Alcaraz is in the third tier.
Issue is that Novak isn't at his best. If he were at his best and Sinner were at his best, Sinner would lose 💯 In that case, nerve management wouldn't matter
Scenario 1 Djokovic in 3 sets , including 1 or 2 bagels Scenario 2 Sinner retires within 3 sets due to an ongoing injury in stomach which he got during Rublev match
omg!! you never learn, hehe ... Djoker (M.Jordan) Avenger with lots of sighs and silent applause from the stands in mild disbelief that turns into reconciliation with the truth ..6-3,6-2,6-2 for example !!! what is there to talk about!!! possibly one set can lose if there is an energy crisis towards the end of a set !!
What happened at Wimbledon? It was an epic 5 set match with that insane game in the 3rd set which went on for well over 20 minutes if i remember. A 36 year old pushing a 20 year old for 5 sets. Novak was fantastic in that game. And if you go back and watch that match, they screwed his rhythm in the 2nd set tie break by calling a time violation. If not for that, I'm sure he would've won the second set as well. He deserved the time violation 100% and should've got it much earlier but they chose that moment.
Novak is slow this year, went through tiresome gruelling matches. I am not sure its going to be pleasant for him. Aussie organizers have made him dirty with 3 back to back day matches in a row. 😳😮
Novak serves a bit better and wins in 3 or 4 sets, sending Sinner back to the drawing board. You heard it here first. (Also, I predict Novak never EVER has another match where he fails to convert his first 15 break points.) I guess the match starts a few hours earlier than the Fritz match, so they'll probably be in the hot sun for much of the match. Also, the ridiculous shadow won't be moving slowly across the court unless the match lasts 4 or 5 hours, although, that might seem worse on TV and didn't seem to really affect the players much.
@@lawdogwales5921 I have to admit, part of my "analysis" is wishful thinking, as Sinner has looked impressive in Melbourne. But if I try to be objective (hard for me as a Djokovic fan), the combination of outdoor surface (not indoors where Sinner had has big breakthroughs at the end of 2023), best of 5 format, and Joker's ability to raise his level at the end of slams (especially THIS slam). Two hardest single-match accomplishments in tennis: 1) Beating Nadal in the final of the French Open (0-14); and 2) Beating Djokovic in the final or semi-final of the Australian Open (0-20). This may be the last year for 1) to ever happen - hopefully Djokovic will get the chance, but we would need a lot of help from both the Nadal injury gods, then the seeding gods, and finally the Nadal in good form gods. I do think 2) will eventualy happen - is this the year? The one way 2) would never happen (and now I'm fantasizing) is Joker sweeps the Golden Slam and Turin this year, then retires, with the quote: "I really need to move on to the next phase of my life, where, hopefully, I'll be able to find some challenges."
@@lawdogwales5921 Considering that he won 3 of 4 slams last year and is already in a slam semi this year, I don't see any evidence that he won't be a serious slam contender for the rest of his 30s. If he wants to break Connors' record for most matches, that's probably going to take this year and three more years to achieve. Since he turns 40 in May of 2027, he would have 3 chances to win a slam at the age of 40, which would be a great cherry on top of a fantastic career. So, if I HAD to bet, I'd say he'll retire then. How many slams to you estimate he'll win? My prediction is 30. Of course, I have no visibility into his mind. The biggest factor is what does HE want to do. He does get to pick and choose his schedule, which is somewhat of an advantage over his younger rivals, plus he still seems to genuinely enjoy the challenge. We also have to consider his physical aging - I think his skills are just as sharp as ever, but I think I detect a slight decline in his stamina.
That was the smuggest I’ve seen Joel and Amy, and I’m so happy it blew in their faces. Your analysis was awful all throughout and clearly biased by your affection for Novak. And waaaay too much time spent on sponge Taylor Fritz
The major difference is the lack of dimension in sinner's game. He is very predictable and he does not have many tricks in his bag. He hits clean and precise with power but if neutralised by Novak, not sure what he could do to come out of it. I think Novak will have that in mind and take him into 5 sets then eat his kill. Novak is the most versatile and intelligent player on tour, it is more than how well you can hit the ball when you play novak.
Between Joel Drucker and Alcaraz, they’ve finished Alcaraz’ chances. In my opinion he should shut up (Alcaraz) and focus on his game one game at a time. I think he has started believing the hype that’s been created about him. And quite a few guys have taken him out now.
Gill Gross saying that Djokovic has no clear advantage anywhere in his Gane ahead of Sinner is the most lame thing I have heard from an acclaimed tennis journalist. In which world can Sinner return like Djokovic or match Djokovic's physical strength? Can't believe you said that.
what about nerve management from Novak -4 of 21 break ball conversions =not great . I am on Gill on Taylor fritz nerve manage ment . Fritz is too slow it's not about Nerves ...
I think Gill was talking about nerve management generally. I can't stand Djokovich but the one thing he's got that probably accounts for much of his success, is his nerve management. He has psyched himself so well, all the time, in his life, the way he goes about things, that it's not just having to summon it for a match. He completely believes in himself, is so stringent in his diet, is super wealthy, and the only thing he has to worry about is to keep breaking all the records. His concentration is phenomenal and he's worked hard on skills that he was born with. I can't think of any other player who has the conviction and confidence that he walks onto the court with.
@@joyrichards1419 well No one is Great at Anything . He is a 9 of 10 in the mental part . He is nervous at important points last year several times though . 😉
Sinner should have lost the first and second sets. No one is talking about it. I am pretty sure if that happens vs Novak, another story should have happened.
Sinner played better in the big point, so he deserved them, it's exactly the same way Novak has won many matches this tournament (and over his career).
What injury scare? There was the abdominal thing during the second set v Rublev but that was explained away as a digestive thing and didn't seem to affect him later in the second/the rest of the match
So anxious for this match. Definitely my most anticipated GS match since Carlos and Novak at RG. Pulling for Nole in 5, but Sinner has a chance to pull through. Great analysis and discussion!
The only emotions I have are if Djokovic will not play at his level. If he will play to his potential, I have no emotion. Yes, Sinner seems to me to be the 2nd player after Djokovik on hard and among the few players who can create problems for him, but I don't see how he can win if Djokovik won't have any injury problems.
Rublev was 5-1 in the tie break and lost the set. Not happening with Novak.
But yeah, definitely going to be an interesting match.
I am rooting for the GOAT to get #25.
Djokovic’s domination at the AO is completely comparable to Nadal’s at RG not just based on numbers but also from the perspective that there are more players on the tour who consider hard courts as theor best surface.
Well that was a lie. Nadal would never lose to mediocre players at rg like novak regularly does at Ao.
Random israelian , random korean , roddick, getting smoked by safin, roddick, tsonga.
Now 0 slam italian
Well, zip it up now
You are reaching, mate. You don’t need to be shown the stats. It’s public knowledge.
@@Fraudkovicusing Novak’s name and face for your profile is duplicitous and just next level hating. Time to get a life.
@@angrydriver2023 delusional lies to toot novaks horn on a comment section is next level meatriding. Time to get a life
Akso i wouldnt show my face here after he got folded like a lawn chair at his favourite slam
AMY: …” it’s fantastic to be able to study someone this great.” GILL: “The trend is that Djokovic doesn’t lose after he gets past the quarterfinals at the Australian open…” JOEL: “A Trend? I think it’s more than a trend; It’s a Friggin’ Fact!” 😂😂😂 BRAVO! LOVE YOU GUYS!
Fact!
This is the most relevant comment.
Facts change. Lol
lol,to much statistic ...🎉👌🎉
@@avijitjha1614 Not if they're formulated with the appropriate time-stsmp, i.e., "Djokovic never lost an AO match past the quarters before 2024."
Amy -you didn't see the tactic Sinner had vs Rublev in the tiebreak obviously. He has variety on his fh.
I give djoko footwork a 5 of 10 vs Sinner
Sinner 9,5 ❤🎉
Djokos attitude with his box was a mess 😂😂btw
🙏
In the match commentary Taylor Fritz said that the first two sets took a lot out of him, is that he actually needed to be in better shape, to be able to play 5 hours, he said.
Agree with joel.
Dominating a special surface is relatively easy than on hard cohurts because thr number of players who have good to great level is way way higher compared to clay specialists who have truly tested rafa. Only novak has really tested and competed against RG philipe chatrier rafa.
On the other hand, novak had to face tougher competition overall, hands down.
I wanted to say the same thing. The 10 AO wins are more impressive than Nadal's 14 on clay.
@@PythonicMindsetout of those 14 French opens rafa gas either defeated one of the Djokovic or fed more than 10+ time so don't even compare it.
@@rupakdewangan8117Is Federer so good on clay ?? He couldn't win Rome, Mone Carlo in his whole career. The only clay masters he won was Madrid which plays somewhat similar to hard courts and Hamburg once beating Nadal.
@@rupakdewangan8117 Only Djokovic has been Nadal's rival on clay since 2011. Both Federer and Djokovik clay is their weakest surface. If he was at least an Alcaraz, he would still have something to discuss, but it is clear that he does not compare. There are many more good players on hard than on any other surface. And we see this in Alcaraz, where he did not win any competition after winning Wimbledon.
@@michael8597 do u even know how many finals fed has played at Rg who defeated djoker at 2011 Rg ? Do u know the name of guy stan the man remember who he defeated in 2015 final at fo ? Remember a guy named domi thiem remember who he stopped at Rg not once but twice even bageled Djokovic ?
So rafa has always faced peaking players in the final a part from casper ruud but his level at Fo is the greatest level of tennis ever played so u can bring all the excuse u want but he has earned all the Fo he has won never had it mugs like berettini Kyrgios in the final.
Djoko enjoys challenges. Stiffer the challenges, stronger and tougher he becomes. He knows it best how to trounce his opponent and hence, he is the one and only GOAT🐐 in tennis.
That’s all true-but Sinner is playing at a level that’s insane! This is Novak’s biggest challenge at the AO in many years!
People have long term memory loss. Novak has neutralized Wawrinka fed, Nadal , meddy , carlos & sinner many times.
@@RohitKumar-zm3nw There’s always the first time that things don’t go his way! Sinner hasn’t lost a set and looks like a machine this time around, so it could happen-we’ll just have to wait and see! I hope Novak gets through it! But I think it’s gonna be his biggest challenge yet!
Playing amazingly well against other players is one thing but to beat Novak and that too in a 5 set GS is a different game altogether. Players look fantastic until they face Novak.
Having said that, Sinner has improved the most in the last year or so. Maybe he has a chance but for me Novak wins in 4.
@@Whatreally123 Well, I’m with Novak all the way…so I hope you’re right!
@@RohitKumar-zm3nwhe lost the last bo5 match to carlos . He would've lost in rg as well barring cramps.
If both play at 100% alcaraz takes the racquet out of his hand everywhere except indoors.
Trends, patterns, friggin' facts, form, health, records, copy-paste, pressure, tactics, game plans, nerve management, tie breaks, every stat and every analysis backing genius..... Yet, yet, the unknowability of the unknown till it unfolds. The immediacy of the moment makes everything irrelevant, doesn't it? Yet, yet....these chats are alive with the love of tennis. That's the magic of Gill, Amy, Joel. Thanks as always.
Dear 3
Here’s a question I’d love for you 3 to debate and analyze:
how is it that Djoko who is so unbeatable during ATP and ITF tournaments can’t manage more than a measly bronze medal at the Olympics in 4 attempts? Fed and Nadal as one would expect both have some gold and silver in their display cases. Would be interesting to hear your thoughts.
Love your podcast as always, and Gill I hope you are getting some sleep these days! ❤
About the 0/15 break points converted in the first 2 sets, Kyrgios gave some really good analysis in his commentary: Novak was hitting big on deuce to create all those BPs and then playing safe on ad waiting for Taylor to miss. Taylor simply didn’t miss any because, as he said during his presser, at one point he just felt that Novak deserved a break already and he had nothing to lose. And Taylor gave us some spectacular shots on those points. Huge credit to Fritz, period!
You guys have been served. Times are changing.
Thank you for another good discussion. I love that you aren't afraid to discuss anything and especially the way you go about it: without any malice or explicit negativity to any player, you just raise questions and discuss them calmly and collected. You try to look from all perspectives not just one. Thank you for being in depth and fair, always insightful to watch and listen what you have to say. Also you are such a great combo of generations and gender, balanced all around.
I fully agree with Joel saying Medvedev’s match va Alcaraz in the Us open was career changing! It really showed the whole world, the tour and to Medvedev that his peak is up there.
Number 11 will be a tough task for the GOAT. But he's my guy, & I wouldn't bet against him. Betting with my heart instead of my head...
In 2019- Rafa was playing so great at the OZOpen, that so many experts etc said he would win it - they were saying that he would definitely beat Novak, but Novak beat Rafa very easily in 3 straight sets.
The same ‘hasn’t dropped any sets en route to the matchup’ narrative too
Same point I made in another soc med thread. Nadal even served Tsitsipas a bagel in their SF match. Then he faced Nole, then BOOM! Reality struck the clay court specialist. Novak is a different beast in RLA, especially in the SF and Finals.
It's one thing to beat other players and look fantastic and it's a whole other thing to beat Novak. And definitely not easy in a 5 set GS match. Not just skill and form but mental and physical toughness all come into play and no one is better than Novak.
Yep, the AO 2019 Final is my favorite match of all time. Just hilarious how Nole silenced Nadal and company!
Exactly the same can be said about roland garros 2020. Djokovich looked unstoppable. Everybody considered him the favorite. Even the conditions suited him. October and night match. Look what happened in the finals. That's right. He was obliterated by Rafa.
Gill, totally agree and understand what you're saying about nerve management. It didn't look as if Joel and Amy quite got it. It's a subtle point and a difficult one to explain.
If Novak ever retires, it'll be because of Sinner.
Let's go No1e! 💪
Will there be a final podcast for the AO?
They are crushed
The conditions are predicted to get lot cooler on Friday making the balls heavier, surface slower and this works to the advantage of Novak, who will also benefit from the lack of heat and fatigue factor.
Excellent!
Lack of heat and fatigue works in novaks favor however slow surface doesnt. These days he avoids the grind.
Regardless, biggest factor is wind. It affects the semis. Its on the 20 mph range 😢. If he beats sinner in the semis, its almost a wrap as its cooler and less windier on sunday. 🤞
@@guruk The estimated wind speed is not as bad at Wimbledon when Novak struggled with his serves.
Well we are talking about an incredible man who has won 10 Australian open and can you achieve that feat without adapting to different conditions.
Sinner is playing scarily well.
Novak will have done really well if he sees him through.
Very interesting match, I believe Sinner has shown the higher level to this point but ultimately I just can't pick against Novak and have to give him the benefit of the doubt. I say it goes 5 though
Nole in 3, maybe 4 tops.
Dino was magic-electric against Nole. Agree w/Amy-Plays himself into form. Poppy tested him. R3 & R4 - Serve, return, placement & Aces. Fritz got his legs taken in sets 3 & 4. Joel - love the GOATs do not hit the panick button in GS easily. Gill-spot on w/Sinner on tactical/technical game-mental still to be tested. Sasha just beat Carlos! WHOA-WOW! Taking Novak in 4 over Yanick. Zverev over Meddy in 4. Novak over Zverev in 4 for #11/#25 Thanx Amy, Gill & Joel - wonderful debate. Thanx Milan
Same story as Meddy a few years ago, Novak beat him in straights
Sinner is more aggressive than Medvedev
@@westonmeyer3110 much more talented as well. He's better at net, hits harder and faster. Returns from much closer to the baseline as well. On current form Sinner wins but as we saw in Zverev vs Alcaraz, last matches form is irrelevant. I would like a new champion personally but we'll have to see how both Sinner and Djokovic play.
At this age Djokovic doesn't mind aggressive hitters he mind players like Medvedev that can run 6 hrs and return the ball and make Novak too aggressive@@westonmeyer3110
Nolé for #25.
I'm so nervous for Novak in this one. I believe, if he does make it 11, will be the toughest one of his career.
May I take the liberty here, Amy, if you weren't married!
Smokin' hot! Don't tell the ol'man! Hell with it, tell him!
All in good fun! 😂
I wouldn't say that Novak's FH is back to normal, at least not back to normal like I mean 2023 level. It has stretches of brilliance but overall there were more stretches of dropping it short, slow-ish and loopy - Fritz was eating it up, or in his 1st round match he was missing those attacking FH trying to finish Dimo. Idk. Obviously Novak's streak at AO is insane but every streak has to end, right? Last year his Wimbledon's & Davis Cup's streaks were ended. On the other hand, Sinner has been playing amazingly - saving almost all breakpoints with incredible serving & offence
After his match, Taylor F ritz said that Novak has not slowed down, and that he is as good as when Taylor first played him some years ago.
Funny how everyone talks about how amazing Djokovic is right after he beats them. Because of course it would make Fritz feel better about the loss if he put on a respectable performance against Djokovic in peak form. In reality Djokovic didn’t need peak form to beat Fritz, and still has another gear he can reach in his last two matches. If he finds that gear he should win. If not he might still win but it’ll be close.
@@harrdeeharr Taylor was being honest and not cynical like many comments
@@harrdeeharrto be fair, Taylor has been one of the few people who has been very clear and doesn't beat around the bush. Yes Novak has maybe 2 more gears but he's also 36, almost 37. Age does catch up and yesterday even with the heat, he was fit and Fritz whittled away. Look at Nadal, Murray or Wawrinka, they all look and move like old people. Typical performance when age catches up. Novak on the other hand is tiring out players 2 generations younger.
In all honesty, Novak has added few new elements into his game however his movement is a step slower which is evident in his lower return percentages and break points converted % efficiency.
@user-wd7ue1wd6r Novak has greatly improved his serve in the last few years, is now a very good spot server. He now hits his forehand with more force and precision .He has improved his volleys and his willingness to come to the net. He is a tad slower , but the improvement in the aforementioned aspects, imo, have compensated for that.
Djokovic has frequently raised his game to the level needed to win. That’s not to say Sinner will necessarily lose.
Without politics and if we want to be real and honest Novak should have 12 AO by now but he's still good and we who witness his time we know what happened and same goes for US open when he would probably take two more but one for sure, these things make him have 3-4 GS less but gained him admiration of all anti establishments common people, his people champ who manage to beat corporate champions which Roger and Rafa absolutely are
Someone calls him 🐐 (Greatest Of All Time) for some his the 🚢 (Best Of All Time) but whatever stance you have one thing is for sure no one is even close to him I mean they are actually closer to him now than they will be in a year or ywo
11 not 12. Hopefully he wins his 11th this year. 🙏
Remember AO 2019 when Nadal was crushing everybody and everyone thought he would beat Novak? I see Novak doing the same here. Novak is the ultimate cooller
Or roland garros 2020 where Djokovic looked unstoppable. Until the finals right.
I don't think there are question marks about Novaks mileage this tournament since he gets a 2 day break here and he got it after his 1r match and since his last 3, more recent matches barring fritz have been rather quick and due to Novaks game of conserving energy and deftness in style, and his work ethic and diet and other holistic practices.
Gill is right about the nerves management issue - Fritz did play his very best game, he’s not losing 0-9 to Novak due to nerves. Sorry Amy but not all these players have ‘unlimited potential’. They all have a ceiling. What matters most in tennis is beating the other guy over the net. That matters more than any other aspect in tennis, because we judge greatness on wins. Novak has passed that test for 15 years running against all gen before him.
Are we all on the same page with regard to the simple fact that Novak was pulled apart by Sinner; even genius has to bow (however hesitatingly) when the time arrives. No excuses or justifications seem stylish or intelligent enough really. No tennis pundit saw this coming! So much for punditry. Paris bound, aren't we?
Sinner looked like a rock solid winner against Rublev in AO 24. That kind of play should interrupt how the top players perceive him.
Found Joel's comments around the significance of the AO relative to RG fascinating.
I've always wondered how the AO is valued among players these days. Of course it's a slam, but would most pick RG over the AO? For fans, I'm guessing it's still considered 4th best among the slams.
Rublev has lost the same number of quarter-finals as Djokovic. He's just 48 behind with the wins 😅
Just remember how Novak raised the level in the semi-final and the final of Turin... or how Nadal played until the final in 2019 and what happened in the final against Novak
Or how well Djokovic played in roland garros 2020. Until ofcourse the finals.
Amy I couldn’t stand another Djoko final of any kind not just with Med. I see that all 3 guys Med Sin and Sash can now beat Djoko from the baseline and all 3 have done so. I expect Djoko to resort to his gaming tricks like breaks to consult the mirror in the toilet (??) medicals, deliberately engaging the crowd to disrupt play and the ridiculous yelling at his box. Oh and the placebo bottles of hot air they pass down to him just to keep the other guy guessing 🤣. This is what he did to Murray all those times at the AO finals. It’s an old act that’s had its day 🥱😴
Nole in 3
Sinner is sick so winning will be incredibly hard . Both player will need to dig
back that up ,link ?
Three a Tennis show the name is a misnomer it is One a Tennis show now
Novak can read the game like nobody else , ....Sinner won't look devastating like he did with other players. Novak is able to get into players head. He knows exactly what they will do....and that messes them up mentally.
I think Sinner will win this AO, now that Alcaraz is out. Djoker isn't looking great, looks sick.
In my opinion the tactical flexibility that Nole has will give a big advantage however, day time session can have unrecoverable impact on his fitness
Novak's match should be in prime- time at night- he is the defending champion, is the main draw and has played the last 2 matches during the day. To do otherwise would be to insult and slight Novak - but if the tennis establishment have their way, they will put him on during the day. Also, the Djokovic/ Sinner match has been the most anticipated match of this OZ Open.
It's fine. Friday will be cloudy 24 C. Today was very hot 31 C.
@@marlenebuls9535lol wtf nothing do with the establishment here it's complete bs when u have 2 days off and the bottom half has only one day off for the semis then isn't it unfair for them to play first even after having less time to recover
Great analysis as usual, BUT NO DARE TO PREDICT... i will say this, as a Novak fan, i m concerned about Sinner, even thou it is hard to go against Novak Hudini Jokovic.
Novak in 3.
My three are back 😊. What is a "barn burner" Gill?
Those two smells like finals before finals..
Amy is Novak’s no.1 fan. When Alcaraz first serve % was over 70% in a match, Amy said that number is too high and he’s not aggressive enough. But when Novak has the similar number above 70%, she praised Novak had a good serve through out the match. 😂
“He looks as good as he possibly can”….. What a poor take from Amy. Terrible. He played below his level all tournament long and enjoyed a favorable draw
I agree with Gill, can't see any weakness that Novak can exploit in the Sinner game, plus Sinner skill set just as good, if not better.
There is no safe space in the rally for Novak to go to.
Gill's point was that if Novak plays a Sinner that manages his nerves and delivers his A game, then Novak in trouble.
If Frtiz manages his stress and plays his A game, it still won't be enough.
Sinner will push Novak's aging legs to their limits.
Forgot to mention the QF against Novak at Wimbledon when he was up 2 sets to love in 2022 he was hitting Novak of the court! Novak himself then went of a toilet break and admitted he had to look in the mirror and talk himself out of trouble! I think it was a mixture of Novak and Sinner choking! I think if Sinner goes 2 up this time I don't believe he will let Novak back in!
29:50 In his match against De Jong Sinner's topspin forehand had an average speed of 130 km/h and 3000 rpm.
his net clearance was 90 cm Vs Rublev at 58 ....
@@jonasbertilbellanderI noticed that too, I didn't expect Sinner to have a 90 cm net clearance since people often say he is a flat hitter.
@@tijgertjekonijnwordopgegeten he is Training we know 😁
@@tijgertjekonijnwordopgegeten he hits it differently =variety
Agree with you, Gill! You can manage your nerves very well, but if your level of ability is not matching your opponent, you cannot win. Fritz is not good enough in any world to beat Djokovic - even with his nerves under control.
Give the edge to Sinner, and I'm a Novak fan. Sinner hasn't dropped a set in the entire tournament. I don't see Djokovic breaking him so the Serb will have to play perfect tennis just to stay in the set.
They will both play perfect tennis as long as they feel 100%. Djokovic wants it so badly to prove his superiority and to beat all the records he has on his list. And what Djoko wants, Djoko gets. Sinner will do his best, and if he is defeated, he will learn from it, and do better next time he plays him as he gets to see and experience the great master's box of tricks.
I also think it's Jannik's time. If Djoker cannot pull off another gear, Jannik will win. Jannik has experienced losses against Nole in different ways and has learnt a lot. Also, he has experienced wins against Nole and know his weakness. Right now, every player who plays against Jannik will choose to play aggressively to avoid his domination of points, and the winner will be the one who can stay aggressive and precision for longer time period and at the important moments of the match. Novak took this risk in the Final in Turin and won the match but a risk is a risk. If Sinner can also plays aggressive and plays better, Novak will lose like the one in the Davis cup. This will be an interesting match. Novak has all the stats in the history of this tournament to favor him but the eye test doesn't show he is the better player at this moment.
@@ngoduy3110 Good assessment.
Sinner has not really been tested yet, Khacha & Rublev are some of the weakest top 10ers I've seen.
Something that stuck out though is that sinner faced I believe 19 bp's and only got broken once in his last 2 matches. Idk if he can keep this streak going.
Otherwise lacks variety imo & Novak will formulate a plan that will exploit his weaknesses and his legs of a chicken who is a master at taking out legs. Idk how Sinner will do in the endurance department, some question marks still.
Also the more you face Novak and more he knows you, he will have a better pulse on the match. And if the match is night, Novak just has such a winning streak in that session so let's see.
If he somehow gets past Novak I do not see him being 2 ATG's back to back or someone like Medvedev who is a HC specialist. Because historically it does not happen, rarely even in Big 3 era, have playeres defeated 2 big 3's to win. Federer could not even do it. Also this would be Sinners first slam final and I think the moment will get to him.
Why is this channel/podcast not following up the loss of Djoko against Sinner ?? Are you stunned that a legend has failed or Sinner is not worth mentioning …
It almost appears that the 3 commentators cannot find the words to describe Djoker’s drubbing by Sinner. Illness excuses have been offered, so maybe this makes his loss less interesting. But Sinner beat him in Davis Cup and showed no wilt in the more grueling AO match. Perhaps this wonderful broadcast will have to fold if Djoker is toast. Please consider a new ‘3’ ahead…Sinner Alcaraz & Medvedev/Rune/Shelton/Fils/whoever sustains a run.
Amy is a die-hard Novak fan. Maybe she’s still recovering her idol’s loss😂
I hope Amy & Joel are not ill....Maybe it's not about Djojer's loss;Gil posted on the semi.
As Gill says, I am having trouble reading how this SF will play out. Maybe it comes down to nerve management, because Sinner has upped his game to have no glaring weakness like Novak. Also, not sure Novak can "copy and paste" his Turin Final 23 win against Sinner with the nuclear FH, because this is a considerably slower court and harder for Novak to overpower Jannik. Very intriguing match-up and really hard to predict a winner.
But you forgetting the fact that nole won it 10 times.he loves rla.he is inhuman beast when playing night session at rla
You guys were sayin? Lol
As someone as observing and knowledgable as you guys, not to identify any skill differences between Djokovic and Sinner is dissapointing. How about Djokovic having more versatile, stable, deep, and consistent ground strokes. Overall, Djokovic’s defense is on a whole another level than Sinner. Also, we’ve seen that he can match (and surpass) Sinner’s power (in terms of mph). Also, imo, Djokovic has a slightly better (hits spots better) than Sinner and a more consistent and deep return. He also has a better backhand dropshot and does better in cat and mouse games. I’m not a big fan of these ‘Djokovic is almost equal in terms of skill with a lot of other top guys, he just wins because he’s better mentally’ takes. I mean come on.
Agreed. The guy is the greatest ever. Sinner has been to one SF. To say Sinner at this point in his career is on the same level as Novak is laughable. There will be no one better at tennis then Novak I think ever. He is the greatest problem solver and tennis iq player in history and has perfected every part of the game. Look what happened to alcaraz just now, got beat by Zverev. Novak is the best ever and i don't think it's that close
Totally agree. I am surprised they didn't say anything about the versatility of novak's game and the numerous tricks he has in his bag. Sinner on the other hand is a big clean hitter but he only got one tempo and one game plan. His serve has improved, his hitting has improved, his mental strength may have improved but how about in a GS SF situation, being neutralized by Novak, what else can he do? That is the difference between those 3 greats and the rest
Novak had 1000+ aces last year, only Hubi did better, its insane
compared to the number of games, is it in first place???
@@PythonicMindset probably
Naah. He had about 700+ and not 1000+
With age and when missed some new records..Novak is different mind set .there is no thing if i win this then will have golden slam ect..he just go day by day max effort..
I think Sinner is ready to take the next step.
Sinner has lost 1 match in the last 3 months to Novak in Turin. That said He has beaten Novak 2 out of the last 3 matches saved 3 match points that clearly hurt Novak in the Davies cup! Think he needs to hit more first serves against Novak!
Sorry to say this but all 3 are looking like fools. Gill less so because he said skill wise Sinner can go toe to toe but mentality us a question mark. Sinner proved that mental issues are in the past
ok back to Gills question to Amy ; what shall djoko attack on Sinner ? She couldn't answer ....
Let see
Gill, I think you hype too much on Alcaraz. At the moment, Carlos is in the period of adjusting himself because his style is figured out by top players such as Djokovic, Sinner, Medvedev, and Zverev. His drop shot is no longer a deadly weapon as it used to be. His creative playstyle makes his decision making sometimes not reliable. The game plan of the others in the top 4 is much more reliable. Right now, I think Carlos is only on par with Djokovic on clay. He is very much beatable when facing top players with good serves in other surfaces. It takes time for him to growth. Right now, with the Djoker is still the best, Alcaraz is still one or two tier below. Without improvements, he will be the underdog when playing against the four players I mention above. Right now, in terms of tier, I think Djoker is the absolute tier 1, Jannick is tier 2 despite all the things he hasn't done in the Grand Slams (the eye test has shown quite enough), Meddy, Zverev, and Alcaraz is in the third tier.
Issue is that Novak isn't at his best. If he were at his best and Sinner were at his best, Sinner would lose 💯
In that case, nerve management wouldn't matter
I want an epic alcaraz-sinner final!
Scenario 1
Djokovic in 3 sets , including 1 or 2 bagels
Scenario 2
Sinner retires within 3 sets due to an ongoing injury in stomach which he got during Rublev match
😂 say that again
Scenario 3
.....................................................................................
@@Stylishlady6 😀
Djokovic in three
I think Nole in 5 is my prediction!!!
It will be 4 but yes Novak🤞
Sinner hasn’t dropped a set-is not gonna be as easy as you all think!
That would be such a statement
@@shapursasan9019 Nadal didn’t drop any set in AO19 until the final and look what happened. Djokovic transforms in final round.
omg!! you never learn, hehe ... Djoker (M.Jordan) Avenger with lots of sighs and silent applause from the stands in mild disbelief that turns into reconciliation with the truth ..6-3,6-2,6-2 for example !!! what is there to talk about!!! possibly one set can lose if there is an energy crisis towards the end of a set !!
If Novak thinks about what happened in Wimbledon....be careful
What happened at Wimbledon? It was an epic 5 set match with that insane game in the 3rd set which went on for well over 20 minutes if i remember. A 36 year old pushing a 20 year old for 5 sets. Novak was fantastic in that game.
And if you go back and watch that match, they screwed his rhythm in the 2nd set tie break by calling a time violation. If not for that, I'm sure he would've won the second set as well. He deserved the time violation 100% and should've got it much earlier but they chose that moment.
Novak is slow this year, went through tiresome gruelling matches. I am not sure its going to be pleasant for him. Aussie organizers have made him dirty with 3 back to back day matches in a row. 😳😮
Novak serves a bit better and wins in 3 or 4 sets, sending Sinner back to the drawing board. You heard it here first. (Also, I predict Novak never EVER has another match where he fails to convert his first 15 break points.)
I guess the match starts a few hours earlier than the Fritz match, so they'll probably be in the hot sun for much of the match. Also, the ridiculous shadow won't be moving slowly across the court unless the match lasts 4 or 5 hours, although, that might seem worse on TV and didn't seem to really affect the players much.
Yep, agreed. Nole in 3, maybe 4.
@@lawdogwales5921 I have to admit, part of my "analysis" is wishful thinking, as Sinner has looked impressive in Melbourne. But if I try to be objective (hard for me as a Djokovic fan), the combination of outdoor surface (not indoors where Sinner had has big breakthroughs at the end of 2023), best of 5 format, and Joker's ability to raise his level at the end of slams (especially THIS slam).
Two hardest single-match accomplishments in tennis: 1) Beating Nadal in the final of the French Open (0-14); and 2) Beating Djokovic in the final or semi-final of the Australian Open (0-20). This may be the last year for 1) to ever happen - hopefully Djokovic will get the chance, but we would need a lot of help from both the Nadal injury gods, then the seeding gods, and finally the Nadal in good form gods. I do think 2) will eventualy happen - is this the year?
The one way 2) would never happen (and now I'm fantasizing) is Joker sweeps the Golden Slam and Turin this year, then retires, with the quote: "I really need to move on to the next phase of my life, where, hopefully, I'll be able to find some challenges."
@@ajlenze8 Nole has at least 5 or 6 great years left. He won't retire any time soon.
@@lawdogwales5921 Considering that he won 3 of 4 slams last year and is already in a slam semi this year, I don't see any evidence that he won't be a serious slam contender for the rest of his 30s. If he wants to break Connors' record for most matches, that's probably going to take this year and three more years to achieve. Since he turns 40 in May of 2027, he would have 3 chances to win a slam at the age of 40, which would be a great cherry on top of a fantastic career. So, if I HAD to bet, I'd say he'll retire then. How many slams to you estimate he'll win? My prediction is 30.
Of course, I have no visibility into his mind. The biggest factor is what does HE want to do. He does get to pick and choose his schedule, which is somewhat of an advantage over his younger rivals, plus he still seems to genuinely enjoy the challenge. We also have to consider his physical aging - I think his skills are just as sharp as ever, but I think I detect a slight decline in his stamina.
@@ajlenze8 I predicted 30 Majors for Nole years ago. Now, I think he may exceed that number. With Fedal gone, he could win a lot more.
That was the smuggest I’ve seen Joel and Amy, and I’m so happy it blew in their faces. Your analysis was awful all throughout and clearly biased by your affection for Novak. And waaaay too much time spent on sponge Taylor Fritz
Sinner in four sets.
Show me the money .
@@lukabijelic I saw the future and the future was Sinner.
Djokovic in 4
4 of 24 break ball conversions for djoko vs Fritz who can't move is nah not great ,nd looked exhausted 1st set ...
Friday will be a lot cooler and cloudy. Slower conditions and cooler with a 2 day break. Trending good for Novak hopefully.
As a nolefan, its sad to say but back to back day sessions and sinners or carlos's game together may finally take a toll on him.
Back to back day sessions aren't an excuse for losing. If anything is beating nole it's sinner,Alcaraz, or Medvedev playing 100% from start to finish
@stepdownl4901it's going to be cool again for semifinals and finals
@stepdownl4901he has 2 days rest my god he will be fine!
@stepdownl4901Relax. He gets 2 days off. He'll be fine.
@@karamsjourneyman it has he is 37. What are you talking about
Novak in 4
I hope Sinner plays the match of his life and wins.
I hope Djokovic peaks and beats Sinner/Alcaraz back to back and adds to his incredible resume
Wishing #25 for the GOAT.
Why was I unsubscribed youtube???
The major difference is the lack of dimension in sinner's game. He is very predictable and he does not have many tricks in his bag. He hits clean and precise with power but if neutralised by Novak, not sure what he could do to come out of it. I think Novak will have that in mind and take him into 5 sets then eat his kill. Novak is the most versatile and intelligent player on tour, it is more than how well you can hit the ball when you play novak.
I guess you owe Sinner an apology now 😂
Between Joel Drucker and Alcaraz, they’ve finished Alcaraz’ chances. In my opinion he should shut up (Alcaraz) and focus on his game one game at a time. I think he has started believing the hype that’s been created about him. And quite a few guys have taken him out now.
Sinner in 4
Joel assumed Alcaraz would be in the Final yet he crashed out in the Quarters 😂
Gill Gross saying that Djokovic has no clear advantage anywhere in his Gane ahead of Sinner is the most lame thing I have heard from an acclaimed tennis journalist. In which world can Sinner return like Djokovic or match Djokovic's physical strength?
Can't believe you said that.
Are you convinced now, sir?
@@incessantyoutuber9318haha😂.
Nadal confirmed for Doha in Feb 😮💨😮💨
what about nerve management from Novak -4 of 21 break ball conversions =not great .
I am on Gill on Taylor fritz nerve manage ment . Fritz is too slow it's not about Nerves ...
I think Gill was talking about nerve management generally. I can't stand Djokovich but the one thing he's got that probably accounts for much of his success, is his nerve management. He has psyched himself so well, all the time, in his life, the way he goes about things, that it's not just having to summon it for a match. He completely believes in himself, is so stringent in his diet, is super wealthy, and the only thing he has to worry about is to keep breaking all the records. His concentration is phenomenal and he's worked hard on skills that he was born with. I can't think of any other player who has the conviction and confidence that he walks onto the court with.
@@joyrichards1419 well No one is Great at Anything .
He is a 9 of 10 in the mental part . He is nervous at important points last year several times though . 😉
@@joyrichards1419 lol you 🙄🙄still thinks the same ??😋 🎉😂💪🙏
Sinner should have lost the first and second sets. No one is talking about it. I am pretty sure if that happens vs Novak, another story should have happened.
Sinner played better in the big point, so he deserved them, it's exactly the same way Novak has won many matches this tournament (and over his career).
Maybe is time for one of Russian guys . Medvedev or Zverev ?
Sinner has an injury scare. so djokovic easy win
What injury scare? There was the abdominal thing during the second set v Rublev but that was explained away as a digestive thing and didn't seem to affect him later in the second/the rest of the match
@@mattb2704 oh i might have missed the digestive thing. I thought it was a strain
@rahls7 Yeah I think he mentioned it in an interview with eurosport after the match
I want to see someone rise against Djokovic the way Pete Sampras rose at the 1990 US Open against Lendl.
Alcaraz and Sinner have showed it.
I say Nova 3 set to 0
❤💯👍
idemo Nolee