Caribbean Concern? Two Disturbances To Monitor In The Atlantic (Tropics Update)

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  • Опубліковано 26 лип 2024
  • There is some concern for he Caribbean Islands, Belize and Mexico as two juicy tropical waves, one in the Caribbean and one near Africa move through the Atlantic basin. In this 2024 hurricane season tropics update model guidance is suggesting tropical development. We break down if the environment can support tropical development in this weather and tropics update. Tropical wave invest 94L could develop in western Caribbean.
    Subscribe to ‪@just_weather‬ for more weather content and analysis.
    Chapters:
    00:00: Intro:
    00:42: Tropics Update Today (Invest 94L and trailing tropical wave)
    02:45: European Ensembles For Tropical Development.
    04:37: GFS Model Forecast For Tropical Development
    06:43: European Model Forecast For Tropical Development
    08:50: Tropical Model For Environmental Conditions For Tropical Development
    10:44: Sign Up For FREE Tropics Watch Newsletter (clickorlando.com/Newsletter)
    11:28: Follow Certified Meteorologist Jonathan Kegges On Social Media)
    11:58: Water Temperature Anomaly.
    12:30: Water Vapor Imagery (Saharan Dust In Atlantic)
    13:15: Where Is Saharan Dust Now?
    14:09: Saharan Dust Model (Caribbean and U.S.)
    15:46: Sea Level Pressure (Steering Current For Tropical Storms)
    Subscribe to ‪@just_weather‬ for more analysis and weather content)

КОМЕНТАРІ • 69

  • @just_weather
    @just_weather  Місяць тому +12

    Watching a couple of tropical waves closely. Those in the Lesser Antilles should pay attention over the next 5/6 days. - Jonathan

  • @denisemohammed9652
    @denisemohammed9652 Місяць тому +4

    Hi, Jonathan and weather community! Tuning in from Trinidad 🇹🇹 I was hoping you’d post about these areas to watch! Definitely not boring and extremely interesting to see the models of the different ingredients required for development or lack thereof. Thanks so much for breaking it down, Jonathan! Will be keeping a close eye on the two tropical waves east us. I’m with you 100% that we need beneficial rain, but no storms! Thanks again and looking forward to your next update. Have a great day, all ☺️

    • @just_weather
      @just_weather  Місяць тому +3

      It’s pretty wild the signal is so robust so early. Hoping the models are too bullish but the environment looks conducive anyway. Watching closely! Good to see you! - Jonathan

  • @chuckcummins9149
    @chuckcummins9149 Місяць тому

    Was wondering where you were ... always like to hear straight from the horses mouth, no pun intended! Couldn't thank you enough for your steady observation ... yet non alarming summary .... I never thought I would be pleased to see that darn S/ dust regardless!!
    Many in little, Bim are watching ❤

  • @CherylDailyNews
    @CherylDailyNews Місяць тому +1

    Heyooooo Jonathan. U know my days aren't complete until I watch u 👍🏻👍🏻👍🏻. I'm so grateful for u - ur never boring - ur an awesome meteorologist and explain so well. Enjoy ur day. Thank u very much. ❤💯‼

    • @just_weather
      @just_weather  Місяць тому +1

      You are too kind! Hope you enjoy yours as well! - Jonathan

  • @MrWheelfish
    @MrWheelfish Місяць тому

    Thanks Jonathan..................you are always on top of any weather concerns we may have..............thanks again

    • @just_weather
      @just_weather  Місяць тому

      Absolutely! Thank you for watching! - Jonathan

  • @cherylscornelius436
    @cherylscornelius436 Місяць тому +2

    Thank You for your Updates … Happy Wednesday! Viewing from the beautiful ,
    St Thomas, US Virgin Islands 🇻🇮🙏🏾☀️

    • @just_weather
      @just_weather  Місяць тому

      You’re welcome! Enjoy the sunshine! - Jonathan

  • @peterbynoe9457
    @peterbynoe9457 Місяць тому +1

    Warm welcome from island Barbados 🇧🇧 thanks amazing forcast

    • @just_weather
      @just_weather  Місяць тому

      You’re very welcome! - Jonathan

  • @Robalo-2660
    @Robalo-2660 Місяць тому +1

    Hi Jonathan, Sunrise Fl. here. Thank you for such a concise forecast. I really enjoy your presentation.

    • @just_weather
      @just_weather  Місяць тому

      Hey thank you! I appreciate you tuning in! - Jonathan

    • @molonlave2193
      @molonlave2193 Місяць тому

      Congratulations Florida Panthers
      Stanley Cup champions 🏆 🏒

  • @ReynaldoSeguraWX
    @ReynaldoSeguraWX Місяць тому +1

    Awesome Tropical Update as always, Jonathan!

  • @soniacampbell191
    @soniacampbell191 Місяць тому

    Hi Jonathan, Thanks for the update.
    Checking in from Bull Bay, East Rural, St. Andrew, Jamaica. We just had a thunderstorm. The wind was so strong that lose objects got blown around. It was soooo sudden and scary. It's presently cloudy with a slight drizzle. 🇯🇲

    • @just_weather
      @just_weather  Місяць тому

      Wow hope you are ok! Thank you for watching! - Jonathan

  • @margeyearwood2798
    @margeyearwood2798 Місяць тому

    Thanks Jonathan for your indepth weather report. I like the way you explained all the scenarios regarding the tropical waves heading towards the Caribbean without the hype to cause anxiety to people. Watching from Barbados.

    • @just_weather
      @just_weather  Місяць тому +1

      I appreciate that and for you tuning in! You’ll find that I hate that stuff. No reason to get people scared. Just makes it worse! - Jonathan

  • @Lilly-qc1oq
    @Lilly-qc1oq Місяць тому

    Thank you for updating the weather

  • @celiabennett646
    @celiabennett646 Місяць тому

    Thanks for your honest expert reporting

    • @just_weather
      @just_weather  Місяць тому

      You’re very welcome! Thank you for tuning in! - Jonathan

  • @mariapineda5634
    @mariapineda5634 Місяць тому

    Thank you so much for the advice ❤

  • @TaraSiewnarine
    @TaraSiewnarine Місяць тому

    Hi thanks for your update 🇹🇹

    • @just_weather
      @just_weather  Місяць тому

      You’re very welcome! - Jonathan

  • @RayBrown-cm1lv
    @RayBrown-cm1lv Місяць тому +1

    Ormond-by-the-Sea, Florida here

    • @just_weather
      @just_weather  Місяць тому +2

      Welcome! I’m just across the way in Orlando! - Jonathan

  • @Matthew-ny6mk
    @Matthew-ny6mk Місяць тому

    Hello good afternoon sir thanks for the update stay safe all the subscribers

    • @just_weather
      @just_weather  Місяць тому

      You as well! Thanks for watching! - Jonathan

  • @suesiemccain9234
    @suesiemccain9234 Місяць тому

    Thanks Jonathan!😊

    • @just_weather
      @just_weather  Місяць тому

      You’re welcome! Thanks for tuning in! - Jonathan

  • @BeeApple-sr3db
    @BeeApple-sr3db Місяць тому

    Happy Wednesday Jonathan. 😅😅😅😅😅

    • @just_weather
      @just_weather  Місяць тому

      You as well! Thank you! - Jonathan

  • @saltrock9642
    @saltrock9642 Місяць тому

    Clinton, Louisiana is checking in. 👍

  • @jeanettelang1746
    @jeanettelang1746 Місяць тому

    From Honduras windy lightning and thunder and rain 2 × today this is Laceiba

  • @BeeApple-sr3db
    @BeeApple-sr3db Місяць тому

    Well here in Southeast Florida we aren't getting anything. Right now we are having ☔ and ⚡

  • @marilynwalker-cb9ir
    @marilynwalker-cb9ir Місяць тому

    Hi tuning in from Barbados 😊

  • @scdealey4867
    @scdealey4867 Місяць тому +1

    Good job on this. We had a lot of beach erosion with Alberto. Hit me up. 🤙

  • @cjengland2365
    @cjengland2365 Місяць тому

    Thanks for the timestamps so I can quickly go back to look at the slides closer.

    • @just_weather
      @just_weather  Місяць тому

      Glad you find them helpful! - Jonathan

  • @lisaarjoon7170
    @lisaarjoon7170 Місяць тому

    Always watching you fm trinidad 🇹🇹🇹🇹🇹🇹🇹🇹

    • @just_weather
      @just_weather  Місяць тому

      Welcome!! Hope you’re staying cool! - Jonathan

  • @eduardooramaeddie4006
    @eduardooramaeddie4006 Місяць тому +1

    Hello 👋 Jonathan thank you buddy for the weather updates in the Atlantic hurricane season 2024 🌏🔥🥵🇺🇸🇵🇷🌎 thank you Eddie

  • @JanePowell-oe9sc
    @JanePowell-oe9sc Місяць тому +1

    I am from Bermuda.

  • @shirleysherritze2650
    @shirleysherritze2650 Місяць тому

    Spartanburg, SC

  • @user-nu6gl8io8f
    @user-nu6gl8io8f Місяць тому

    Gulf Coast here

  • @gregd4633
    @gregd4633 Місяць тому

    Savannah 912!!

  • @TheHivefl
    @TheHivefl Місяць тому

    I am just always wondering what’s going on with the people in the back ground

    • @just_weather
      @just_weather  Місяць тому

      Ha they’re working! - Jonathan

  • @RodneyDurham-b7m
    @RodneyDurham-b7m 24 дні тому

    Rodney from barbados

  • @zacharyberger7392
    @zacharyberger7392 Місяць тому

    chance has just risen to 10% in the 2 days and 40% percent in the next 7 days

  • @syberawa7429
    @syberawa7429 Місяць тому

    Both events have a fizzle-out due to dry air and shear.

    • @just_weather
      @just_weather  Місяць тому

      Not exactly. The shear backs off next week due to an upper high pressure cell. Models still could be overdone, but the environment will become conduce unfortunately. - Jonathan

    • @user-wm2nz9dg7q
      @user-wm2nz9dg7q 26 днів тому

      I am from Barbados

  • @RobertRhorer
    @RobertRhorer Місяць тому +2

    First ever first!