Great analysis Dylan, one thing worth noting with Draper as someone who has watched him live for most of the season is that he has really high level scoring ability and versatility. He starts most games as a half forward, rotating into the centre at the mid way point of quarters. He has a huge work rate and covers the ground very well. He has an impact all over the ground regardless of if he’s just playing at centre bounces or solely as a mid. A lot of the time when he’s playing at HF he pushes up as an extra at stoppages and just explodes. Would love to see the crows steal him at pick 4 if he’s there.
@@catattack_2754 yeah good points! I haven’t watched him as intimately as some of the others. He missed the academy games with injury and then was eased back through the national champs. So I’ve never really seen him play as a fwd. he definitely has a few more weapons than the average mid with his explosiveness and top speed!
Nice content and good idea, not surprised Sid Draper ranks highly. Even though his versatility isn't super amazing I still think he's the best fit for West Coast if they can't steal FOS
@@DylanAlexanderFollowsDraft No chance 4 or 5 in the top 10? If Baker, Bolton, Rioli, Lynch all leave. Gotta be huge room in the salary cap with all the retirements too. Haven’t been this interested in a draft since Dusty went at number 3.
Thanks, great work! Appreciate. Hoping Adelaide will take Draper but it looks like a Reid or O'Sullivan could also be an option. We have waited 6 years to draft an A-Grade midfielder, since the McAsey debacle.
Another great video Dylan. Best afl content period. I think you’ve already explained that you think FOS is probably Richmond’s best choice at number one and I’m aware of Jagga’s limitations in terms of kicking, metres gained, and handballing off to teammates instead of striking himself but when I think about what Richmond has currently: slower bigger bodied mids: Taranto, Prestia, Ross and hopper, I can’t help but feel Jagga provides the mechanics they need to get the ball and feed it out of stoppages. Would you agree? Or is FOS and Lalor (the two heavily rumoured to be Richmond recruiters favourites now) going to work better in the current midfield structure the tigers have?
@@DylanAlexanderFollowsDraft We might get both, especially if we can get our hands on West Coast pick number 3 by trading up. I would be surprised if North took either FOS or Jagga. they need a key forward/defender and already have a stacked young midfield.
Yeah that’s a great shout actually, I never made that connection! I’m hanging out for the combine so we get the new heights! Reckon FOS is closer to Day now!
Luv the matrix. As an Eagles member with pick 3 I am hoping we get Sid Draper because I think FOS and Jagga Smith will be the top 2 maybe Levi 3 and we get Draper at 4. 🤞💙💛
Great analysis. If North can’t get FOS with 2. Do you think a trade with Richmond is possible for 6 (Rioli deal) and maybe 17 ? It would give north an extra pick in the top 25. Or do you think there is another mid that is a great fit for us ? I worry about smilie and Langfords speed with North. We are very slow in transition already
@@metallewd3472 yeah, I tried to tick some boxes with that, hands and obv he scored 5 for versatility which is to do with his marking but I didn’t include because it’s not a primary stat line for a mid.
@@Adventurous724 thank you 🙏 it’s funny you say that! I wanted to put him in but he was 11th and I had to cap it somewhere 😂 I absolutely love Taj Hotton so I think the matrix would be kind to him! So athletic and such a creative player! I can’t wait to find out what sort of athlete he turns into. He’s a little lightweight atm but I could see him being an Isaac Rankine type!
do you think with the re emergence of the NGA picks is the AFL's response to grass roots and asking clubs to invest more into the academy? Draft get more compromised but more talent is developed
@@bacillus5 yeah the motivation is really interesting! Of course in the northern states it’s about growing the game. I think the NGA changes, it’s a split between giving Victorian clubs an incentive to grow the game in non traditional communities but also a way to appease their frustrations to the northern academies. I guess the issue with NGA is, each club gets a geographical zone to work within and some zones are probably more favourable than others, So certain clubs would see bigger upside. Personally, I like the restrictions lifted because it encourages clubs to look at different avenues to improve and if that means growing the game, it’s a plus aswell! There’s never really a way of making things completely fair because clubs with more resources will always spend more effectively anyway.
Josh Smillie is a HUGE question mark. He is a big bodied player, but when you're playing with teenagers and your body is more advanced Development wise, it is easy to get caught up in his power and strength. I think that is the reason why he won't be No 1, Smillies strengths (power, strength) will be viewed as already at his 'ceiling'. It's his burst away speed and finishing will need work at AFL level.
@@tmc3980 not particularly, he’s a high impact player so i’d be happy for him to get 20-25. I think when he gets his body right, he’ll get better there. Even someone like a Harley last year averaged under 20 a game.
@@bacillus5 not to give you a shit answer but it’s hard compare them like for like because they’re so different but I’ll try to compare the apples with apples etc. I think Daicos is the best player in the comp at the 2nd category in my list. Which is essentially, the ball coming off hands and hitting the ground, he’ll react and arrive first more than anybody else. Jagga has this, he’s best in this draft class by far at that. The big difference between he and Daicos is the ball use by foot. He has less penetration and control by foot than Daicos which makes Daicos a better package. So id judge Jagga as a Daicos type, his ball winning is as good but certainly sub Daicos overall. Harley and JHF are more forcefull! They get to the ball drop less than a Jagga or a Daicos, but when they do, they can run straight at goal and they’ll take some stopping so they draw players towards them that opens up gaps. They’re so direct that they get the ball to goal so quickly and it’s harder to defend! This can be more damaging than a Daicos type but it’s also less control. So different players imo. I think FOS is almost in a category of his own up against these guys, he’s a bit explosive like Harley JHF but he’s nowhere near as strong, he’s really penetrative by foot like them but he’s also a better runner than those guys so he can be more of a death by a thousand cuts type player as well as having explosiveness and damage. In the end, it comes down to what you value! I really like the FOS package because he gives you a wide variety of attributes, he’s just probably not the absolute best at any one thing. Hope this helps!
@@DylanAlexanderFollowsDraft great answer! I know you said you will be doing a tigers rebuild video. So I am looking forward to see how you would recruit to compliment FOS. Obviously a pairing of Jagga and FOS would be the dream its like they are meant to play together. But I cant see jagga getting to pick 6 ... so maybe Jagga at 1 and Smillie at 6? best of both worlds
@@BigCatinBKK in this context, I was talking about the ball being in dispute at clearance for example and the midfielder being able to find the ball! Jagga smith is inevitable in that sense. :)
@@rationalroman3705 good question! I’d still favour mids with the top, top picks! Particularly this draft! I’d be: 1. FOS 6. Sam Lalor (if you can get him there) 9. Murphy Reid 12. Tobie Travaglia 17. Key fwd I’d do something like that off the top of my head! Would be a nice balance, of Lalor’s size and power, Fos athleticism and running ability and Reid’s skill.
@@unitedpawnbrokers1180 yeah I agree! He’s such an athlete, perhaps even has more upside than some of the other big bodied mids like Langford, Smillie Hynes.
Murphy Reid was voted Vic Metro’s MVP ahead of Smith and Ashcroft. He’s a better user than both and is a goal kicker unlike those two. You should watch him play.
@@DylanAlexanderFollowsDraft Proof of the media's bias against poor WA footballers. Everyone knows Bo Allen should be the clear number 1 but the media are working against him and won't even take a photo to promote him. All part of a conspiracy to make sure another Vic lad goes #1.😆
Yeah fair, I feel IQ is a little bit broad spectrum though. I had a metric called decision making and also a lot of the other metrics incorporate IQ because if you consistently find the footy on transition you’re probably getting to the right spots and the way a player wins clearance can inform Their iq.
How's the list guys? Let me know what yours is!
Great analysis Dylan, one thing worth noting with Draper as someone who has watched him live for most of the season is that he has really high level scoring ability and versatility. He starts most games as a half forward, rotating into the centre at the mid way point of quarters. He has a huge work rate and covers the ground very well. He has an impact all over the ground regardless of if he’s just playing at centre bounces or solely as a mid. A lot of the time when he’s playing at HF he pushes up as an extra at stoppages and just explodes. Would love to see the crows steal him at pick 4 if he’s there.
@@catattack_2754 yeah good points! I haven’t watched him as intimately as some of the others. He missed the academy games with injury and then was eased back through the national champs. So I’ve never really seen him play as a fwd. he definitely has a few more weapons than the average mid with his explosiveness and top speed!
Crows will get him if they're willing to play ball with west coast like they did last year with Dan Curtin. 😂
Would love him at West Coast with pick 3!
Excellent video again, really enjoying your content. Would be interested to hear your take on their potential ceiling.
Nice content and good idea, not surprised Sid Draper ranks highly. Even though his versatility isn't super amazing I still think he's the best fit for West Coast if they can't steal FOS
Tigers need to clear out their roster and fill it with all these players 🤞🏼 Looking forward to your mock draft. Subbed.
@@Drvol1 thanks 🙏 I’m working on that atm! Hopefully the Tigers can get 3 top 10s! Will transform their list!
@@DylanAlexanderFollowsDraft No chance 4 or 5 in the top 10? If Baker, Bolton, Rioli, Lynch all leave. Gotta be huge room in the salary cap with all the retirements too. Haven’t been this interested in a draft since Dusty went at number 3.
@@Drvol1 oh yeah 100% if Baker is interested in going to freo think they’ll give 9,10 and 17. For Bolton and Baker. Win/win
Thanks, great work! Appreciate. Hoping Adelaide will take Draper but it looks like a Reid or O'Sullivan could also be an option.
We have waited 6 years to draft an A-Grade midfielder, since the McAsey debacle.
Another great video Dylan. Best afl content period. I think you’ve already explained that you think FOS is probably Richmond’s best choice at number one and I’m aware of Jagga’s limitations in terms of kicking, metres gained, and handballing off to teammates instead of striking himself but when I think about what Richmond has currently: slower bigger bodied mids: Taranto, Prestia, Ross and hopper, I can’t help but feel Jagga provides the mechanics they need to get the ball and feed it out of stoppages. Would you agree? Or is FOS and Lalor (the two heavily rumoured to be Richmond recruiters favourites now) going to work better in the current midfield structure the tigers have?
l guarantee Sid Draper is more agile than both Smith and O'Sullivan.. He should be rated as a 5 for agility.. Great video!
Love the take! I’ll go back over his tape and see if I agree 😃
Jagga Smith will go number #1 imo because of the consistency in he has shown in his draft year. he also showed he can play versus men in the VFL.
yeah, he's undeniably the safest pick! only question is the potential upside around Finn
@@DylanAlexanderFollowsDraft We might get both, especially if we can get our hands on West Coast pick number 3 by trading up. I would be surprised if North took either FOS or Jagga. they need a key forward/defender and already have a stacked young midfield.
FOS Reminds me of Will Day a bit also
Yeah that’s a great shout actually, I never made that connection! I’m hanging out for the combine so we get the new heights! Reckon FOS is closer to Day now!
Luv the matrix. As an Eagles member with pick 3 I am hoping we get Sid Draper because I think FOS and Jagga Smith will be the top 2 maybe Levi 3 and we get Draper at 4. 🤞💙💛
It's weird but the only player I rate is Draper. Reminds me of Horne-Francis
Great analysis. If North can’t get FOS with 2. Do you think a trade with Richmond is possible for 6 (Rioli deal) and maybe 17 ? It would give north an extra pick in the top 25. Or do you think there is another mid that is a great fit for us ? I worry about smilie and Langfords speed with North. We are very slow in transition already
Gotta be fos or jagga if we don’t split the pick surely
As a tiger I would definitely swap 6 for ur 2 we both want Fin O’Sullivan and Jagga Smith it would be a dream duo but i would also want Langford
Need to mention marking. Eg Langford is a superb mark.
@@metallewd3472 yeah, I tried to tick some boxes with that, hands and obv he scored 5 for versatility which is to do with his marking but I didn’t include because it’s not a primary stat line for a mid.
This is amazing!
@@sleekism23 appreciate that 🙏
Excellent analysis really appreciate this. What are your thoughts on Taj Hotton. How would he fair in your matrix?
@@Adventurous724 thank you 🙏 it’s funny you say that! I wanted to put him in but he was 11th and I had to cap it somewhere 😂 I absolutely love Taj Hotton so I think the matrix would be kind to him! So athletic and such a creative player! I can’t wait to find out what sort of athlete he turns into. He’s a little lightweight atm but I could see him being an Isaac Rankine type!
@@DylanAlexanderFollowsDraft wow that's a high accolade comparrison. Appreciate your reply
do you think with the re emergence of the NGA picks is the AFL's response to grass roots and asking clubs to invest more into the academy? Draft get more compromised but more talent is developed
@@bacillus5 yeah the motivation is really interesting! Of course in the northern states it’s about growing the game. I think the NGA changes, it’s a split between giving Victorian clubs an incentive to grow the game in non traditional communities but also a way to appease their frustrations to the northern academies. I guess the issue with NGA is, each club gets a geographical zone to work within and some zones are probably more favourable than others, So certain clubs would see bigger upside. Personally, I like the restrictions lifted because it encourages clubs to look at different avenues to improve and if that means growing the game, it’s a plus aswell! There’s never really a way of making things completely fair because clubs with more resources will always spend more effectively anyway.
Josh Smillie is a HUGE question mark. He is a big bodied player, but when you're playing with teenagers and your body is more advanced Development wise, it is easy to get caught up in his power and strength. I think that is the reason why he won't be No 1, Smillies strengths (power, strength) will be viewed as already at his 'ceiling'. It's his burst away speed and finishing will need work at AFL level.
Ideally tigs take FOS or Jagga pick 1 and then Lalor/smillie/Langford pick 6 (if we get that for rioli)
Yeah Love it! my pick would be Lalor just think he could be anything! bit of risk there though
We will get that for Rioli plus another first rounder.
Also, the image for Bo Allen appears to be Oscar Allen?
@@BigCatinBKK yeah administrative error there. Someone else did the graphics.
Not sure if it’s been mentioned already… but you’ve got a picture of Oscar Allan instead instead of Bo?
@@_The_Gh0stttt hey mate! Yeah, I’ve got someone else that helps with graphics and they didn’t know. Thanks for the msg 🙏
"Ashcroft's more inside than Ashcroft"..good to know
What about Cooper Hynes and where do you rank him among the top midfielders?
@@WilliamHarding-w1l he’s close! I’m thinking I’ll do a 10-20 over the weekend! He’ll definitely be there!
Dylan are you worried about Finn’s inability to rack up big numbers?
@@tmc3980 not particularly, he’s a high impact player so i’d be happy for him to get 20-25. I think when he gets his body right, he’ll get better there. Even someone like a Harley last year averaged under 20 a game.
As a lions fan, would love nothing more than levi to go at 8… but it won’t happen unfortunately
what is the real seperation between a daicos, Harley and JHF from Jagga and FOS?
@@bacillus5 not to give you a shit answer but it’s hard compare them like for like because they’re so different but I’ll try to compare the apples with apples etc.
I think Daicos is the best player in the comp at the 2nd category in my list. Which is essentially, the ball coming off hands and hitting the ground, he’ll react and arrive first more than anybody else. Jagga has this, he’s best in this draft class by far at that. The big difference between he and Daicos is the ball use by foot. He has less penetration and control by foot than Daicos which makes Daicos a better package. So id judge Jagga as a Daicos type, his ball winning is as good but certainly sub Daicos overall.
Harley and JHF are more forcefull! They get to the ball drop less than a Jagga or a Daicos, but when they do, they can run straight at goal and they’ll take some stopping so they draw players towards them that opens up gaps. They’re so direct that they get the ball to goal so quickly and it’s harder to defend! This can be more damaging than a Daicos type but it’s also less control.
So different players imo. I think FOS is almost in a category of his own up against these guys, he’s a bit explosive like Harley JHF but he’s nowhere near as strong, he’s really penetrative by foot like them but he’s also a better runner than those guys so he can be more of a death by a thousand cuts type player as well as having explosiveness and damage.
In the end, it comes down to what you value! I really like the FOS package because he gives you a wide variety of attributes, he’s just probably not the absolute best at any one thing.
Hope this helps!
@@DylanAlexanderFollowsDraft great answer! I know you said you will be doing a tigers rebuild video. So I am looking forward to see how you would recruit to compliment FOS. Obviously a pairing of Jagga and FOS would be the dream its like they are meant to play together. But I cant see jagga getting to pick 6 ... so maybe Jagga at 1 and Smillie at 6? best of both worlds
@@DylanAlexanderFollowsDraftfantastic analysis
What does it mean when you say a player is "inevitable"?
@@BigCatinBKK in this context, I was talking about the ball being in dispute at clearance for example and the midfielder being able to find the ball! Jagga smith is inevitable in that sense. :)
Excellent analysis, young man. As a Richmond supporter which 3 mids would you take if we end up with picks 1, 6. 9. 12 & 17?
@@rationalroman3705 good question! I’d still favour mids with the top, top picks! Particularly this draft! I’d be:
1. FOS
6. Sam Lalor (if you can get him there)
9. Murphy Reid
12. Tobie Travaglia
17. Key fwd
I’d do something like that off the top of my head! Would be a nice balance, of Lalor’s size and power, Fos athleticism and running ability and Reid’s skill.
im a tigers fan who do we take at no.1 any chance lalor could drop to no 6 in draft?
@@andrewgriffiths4167 no chance imo, Jagga might though 🤔 i think you have to take Lalor at 1 if you want him. Or grab pick 2.
@@DylanAlexanderFollowsDraft thanks so much for ya reply.
Bo Allan is interesting, he's highlights aren't dazzling - more like fyfe post brownlow.
@@unitedpawnbrokers1180 yeah I agree! He’s such an athlete, perhaps even has more upside than some of the other big bodied mids like Langford, Smillie Hynes.
Best: Jagga smith
Safest pick: Levi Ashcroft
Overrated: Josh Smilie/Murpy Reid
AFL ready: Sid Draper
Murphy Reid was voted Vic Metro’s MVP ahead of Smith and Ashcroft. He’s a better user than both and is a goal kicker unlike those two. You should watch him play.
@@OlChamberGenius he’s good at this level I just don’t think his game will play into the afl against bigger body’s
Only Thanos is inevitable
No pics of Bo Allen available?
@@JBarbs1 I couldn’t find any on the site I get them! I’ve also never attended a game he’s played so I don’t have any video footage sadly
@@DylanAlexanderFollowsDraft Proof of the media's bias against poor WA footballers. Everyone knows Bo Allen should be the clear number 1 but the media are working against him and won't even take a photo to promote him. All part of a conspiracy to make sure another Vic lad goes #1.😆
Missed out on IQ. Probabaly the most important factor
Yeah fair, I feel IQ is a little bit broad spectrum though. I had a metric called decision making and also a lot of the other metrics incorporate IQ because if you consistently find the footy on transition you’re probably getting to the right spots and the way a player wins clearance can inform
Their iq.
Levy at 8? To state the obvious your matrix is busted
Lombard probably to lowly rated. His physical and athletic attributes should probably all be 5.