Runner introduction starts at 0:21. Run starts at 0:53. Darkman interviews KZ_FREW at 2:37:10. Couch commentary is provided by MissKyliee and Funkmastermp. Musical_Daredevil is the host.
Also a very bad explanation of cumulative probability circa 21:30, where he notes that Rune A has a 50% chance of dropping and Rune B has a 30% chance, so there's an 80% chance that both runes will drop. (It's actually a 15% chance.)
i have real problem sleeping but seen this run 3 times now and sleep like a baby. not because it's boring, just feel safe in a strange way. Spent too much time with this game ! GG mr Llama
Goddam this was a good game. Is it just me or do newer games not capture the atmosphere that D2 oozed effortlessly? Also, bless speed runners, love you all and being able to watch my fav games of old from start to finish at highlight reel speed
ALso keep in mind hel runs are usually 7 or so hours a large portion of which is grinding for experience. Unles you really really like watching d2 speedruns, you won't like them
@@NostraFnDamus To be fair they are all right. His comments are indistinguishable from those of people actually believing it. I personal don't enjoy this type of "humor", but to each their own.
Right around 1 hour and 20 minutes when you were talking about Duriel's Holy Freeze aura being unblockable - a higher level Holy Freeze skill will block it.
Things I would have like to have seen mention: You can't stack poison damage so there's no need to reapply until it ends. All undead monsters have resistance to poison. Lightning enchanted monsters and bugs don't launch bolts when they're poisoned unless you damage them with another damage type. If they run through the poison trail they won't trigger bolts. Poison nova and poison explosion won't trigger the effect either. Poison stops monsters from regenerating HP.
Wonder if gdq would accept a path of exile speed run submition. With the new custom leagues you can always make sure to setup an empty character with a new game seed. I know I can get to maps in about 4 hours depending on the character and I know of other people who are much faster
I learn somtging new Everytime I've been playing since d2 came out an I didn't know that the guy he avoided doing the rune runs was enchanted and if hit by him the shrine goes away
Really interesting, thanks for doing the run. Being pedantic here, so ignore me, but though it may feel like you should get less exp shrines if you see two, that's not the way statistics work. Previous success doesn't lower chance of future luck, it would just make it more surprising. It's surprising because of your knowledge of the full picture, but the math isn't surprised at all. There was just as much chance at the last one as the first. The idea is that not one combination is any more likely than any other. Example: if you flip a coin 10 times, five heads is more likely than 10 heads, but the exact chronological pattern of HHHHHTTTTT is just as likely as HHHHHHHHHH. Something like HTHHTHHTTT may have five heads, but it's substantively different.
That's a nice way of describing it, actually, I'll remember that. Although, as pointed out, he was just joking. Bad thing is that not everyone watching understands that this was a joke.
Ok but do you know how rng in this game works because maybe the shrines are not like coins and are more likely to appear the more it get skipped and the shrines you see the most are less and less likely to appear. And i think it is how it works
Yep. Even if you have had heads a thousand times in a row, the probability of getting heads the next time is still 50%. Probability and statistics is weird.
i thought so too, but it's like how he said at 21:38 he has a 50% chance of getting one rune and a 30% chance of getting the other, so that means he has an 80% chance of getting them both. lol, he's joking!
Man I think those Exp shrines jinxed this run for Llama. It really messed up the RNG. About Duriel I died so many times to him compared to other D2 bosses. I usually tank him because I want to kill him as fast as possible. Also with Duriel I think he is easier on Nightmare and hell difficulty levels because you have your tree of skills already decided whether your are speed running or playing casually and you do alot more damage on those difficulty levels compared to Normal.
Very surprised he doesnt use the portal baal room trick. If you open a portal when he's about to spawn the mob, go to town and wait 8 seconds, then jump back in - he should laugh for the next round as if you've killed them. Repeat until he goes into the Worldstone Chamber.
I get what you mean, but if they simply disable the chat and don't spend an unnecessary amount of time in any given town, chances are they should be fine as long as the game doesn't decide to suddenly break on them due to some random server update. I would love to see one of these runners try to speed run that nightmare of a game, I'd be fairly interesting to see how they do.
@16:31 I don't know if you're just joking, but the Law of Averages and statistics do not say that you must eventually get a heads after flipping so many tails, it just means that it's increasingly unlikely to get so many tails in a row.
Enemies don't scale but you get severely diminished experience (5%) if the mobs are much higher level then you are so it's just wasted time. It's just not worth the time it takes.
Runner introduction starts at 0:21.
Run starts at 0:53.
Darkman interviews KZ_FREW at 2:37:10.
Couch commentary is provided by MissKyliee and Funkmastermp.
Musical_Daredevil is the host.
Mr. Llama Teaches Probability, Episode 1: The Gambler's Fallacy
Ugh, THANK you hahaha
But I am glad that he clarifies on another video that he's just joking
He also hosts Episode 2 a bit later, about additive probabilities.
Haha instantly looked for this comment. xD
Also a very bad explanation of cumulative probability circa 21:30, where he notes that Rune A has a 50% chance of dropping and Rune B has a 30% chance, so there's an 80% chance that both runes will drop. (It's actually a 15% chance.)
i have real problem sleeping but seen this run 3 times now and sleep like a baby. not because it's boring, just feel safe in a strange way. Spent too much time with this game ! GG mr Llama
I feel like so many people doesn't understand that he's joking about the % chance of things dropping. MrLlama is the constant memer.
That's exactly what makes it so great.
doctors without brothers
I was gonna write an angry comment
Watching this on my phone, which I have.
I understood that reference!
I too have a phone and are watching this on it. I wonder if there's a certain ARPG series I could play on it....
I KNOW WHAT THAT IS
@@Intestine_Ballin-ism care to explain the joke?
According to Blizzard you love everything about diablo on phones. If you don't, then that means you don't have a phone
1:10:04 "and my character would kinda become, you know, slightly more IMMORTAL, cuz she'd be really MOBILE". Kek
I dont get it T.T
@@iracingtf5051 diablo immortal
Llama's the man. A shame the crowd wasn't bigger for him though. Thankfully he's more accustom to an online view count anyways.
I have thousands of hours on this game and its one of my all time top favorite games. Way to go Llama!!
ohhh... 30% drop rate.. and 50% drop rate... so basically 80%... so painful. well executed.
MissKylie's reaction to that line was priceless
haha it was actually funny, was like WAIT A MINUTE!!!
20:43 enter tower
44:12 unsuccessfully exit tower
I feel for you...
1:30:45 Revenge of the ETH-Rune +
+1 For Time-stamping Legends.
MissKyliee laughing and facepalming during the probability trolling is pretty great.
MrIllamaSC is the best D2 speed runner. I'll have to check out the Amazon. I haven't beat the game with her yet.
Mr.Llama needs to get a shirt or sweater that just has the picture of Tal and Eth runes on it
"Do you guys not have phones" in the character names oh llama the meme lord as normal.
25FPS and still better than most new games
Really nice community and lot of fun! Thu mrlama
Best game. Best runner.
Ryu better
Around 16:50 - Miss Kyliee's face as Llama starts the trolling on law of averages...
21:45 She has to hide her head in his statistical what not.
"Well, I figured you'd have a left glove and a right glove..."
Too much Morrowind, Kylie!
Mrllama always makes me want to learn Diablo 2, then I remember I'm bad at games
Goddam this was a good game. Is it just me or do newer games not capture the atmosphere that D2 oozed effortlessly? Also, bless speed runners, love you all and being able to watch my fav games of old from start to finish at highlight reel speed
0:33 "DO. YOU. GUYS. NOT. HAVE. PHONES?"
What do you mean?
@@potatisi The amazon names in the character select menu
L M A OOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO
That sums up MrLlama's sense of humour nicely in just one image.
@@pablostufff Thanks :)
I loved how the couch were shaking their heads and facepalming when Llama was explaining how statistics worked. :D
"when it rains it pours"
What an unforgettable run. Well done @ Llama
My dream is Diablo 2 LoD co-op Hell speedrun at GDQ, for 2-3 players. I’m sure it would be so much fun!
Btw great Amazon speedrun, yet painful. :)
Agreed. I think doing a co-op run will keep the game fresh for GDQ. Possibly a race would be great to showcase just how much RNG can affect things.
@@kaikyosuke7765 I really would love to see a co-op run too. Sounds like so much fun! I want to see their gear sharing strats
Awesome idea!
I remember llama saying on stream that coop isn't really routed yet and it's way too hectic.
ALso keep in mind hel runs are usually 7 or so hours a large portion of which is grinding for experience. Unles you really really like watching d2 speedruns, you won't like them
23:31 we might spend a little bit of time in the tower
Loved when he confesses that he saves decard Cain for morality! XD 15:01
Wow, didn't expect to see Kylie here! And another great run from MrLlama!
That moment when he says "We ONLY need Tal and Eth rune..." LUL
It's in comparison to the other classes which require a lot mroe. I think barb needs 6?
mmmmmmmmm that gambler's fallacy troll.. well I'm pretty sure it's a troll. but it's so painful either way.
He dropped that troll on the AGDQ preview run too ;)
He also mentioned it's a just a joke.
The comment section on the preview run is full of people angrily screaming "THAT'S NOT HOW STATISTICS WORKS"
@@NostraFnDamus
To be fair they are all right. His comments are indistinguishable from those of people actually believing it. I personal don't enjoy this type of "humor", but to each their own.
was the runes % chance thing a troll as well? cringed at his math
@@zackmash851 yeah it was a troll. he trolls like that for whatever reason.
This guys a legend, if i could have been in that empty ass audience i would have been
i still remember my enigma hammerdin with great fondness
Diablo 2 still looking awesome
If i ever start speedrunning a game it would be this one.
Right around 1 hour and 20 minutes when you were talking about Duriel's Holy Freeze aura being unblockable - a higher level Holy Freeze skill will block it.
Great to see you again at GDQ Llama! very easy to follow what you are doing, crystal clear commentary. Also, love the troll RNG calculations ;)
awesome runner! awesome run with all the bad luck
Oh dang. Finally not a sorcerer run =D
Love the commentary
1:30:46 Eth
my mannn u da mvp
My life is complete
you should call this run "it is what it is"
Really crappy Rng llama :D GG for pulling through! hero Eth at act3
He's really good with probability.
So good.
3rd D2 Run in AGDQ~ So good~
Eyyy the chainmail is back
Diablo 2.. the best mouse destroyer game ever.. the clicking got intense when theres a lot of demon spawning around your hero lol
I just can't unhear Llama spelling out "castrate" instead of "cast rate".
Things I would have like to have seen mention:
You can't stack poison damage so there's no need to reapply until it ends.
All undead monsters have resistance to poison.
Lightning enchanted monsters and bugs don't launch bolts when they're poisoned unless you damage them with another damage type. If they run through the poison trail they won't trigger bolts. Poison nova and poison explosion won't trigger the effect either.
Poison stops monsters from regenerating HP.
Math classes were about half of all the courses I took in college, so those probability trolls really me hit hard.
wot
The nostalgia is very real watching these speedruns. I played a whoooleeee lot , how is the community / trading / pvp?
Wonder if gdq would accept a path of exile speed run submition. With the new custom leagues you can always make sure to setup an empty character with a new game seed. I know I can get to maps in about 4 hours depending on the character and I know of other people who are much faster
Awesome run thank you all : )
do you guys not have phones.
I love you Llama
I liked that they played kripparrian's theme at the beginning
Good day to you, partner! I'm MrLlama, and I can already tell that I'll be your best friend in this forsaken run!
Love, love, love this game
"Do You Guys Not Have Phones" hahaha... this video deserves an instant like from me! 👍👍👍
Best scamazon run
Yeah sometimes you just get shit luck. Mrllama is great and had amazing commentary. Do Barb next year if you really want the bad rng! Or pally
100% Hell run, Screamer Barb
Man I had a hdin that could solo hell. This brings back memories
50:35 ofc he gets the fcr necro wand on the Amazon run 😂😂
MrLlamaSC is the best, so entertaining! :D
2:00:00 Many fall in the face of Chaos. But not this one. Not today.
I learn somtging new Everytime I've been playing since d2 came out an I didn't know that the guy he avoided doing the rune runs was enchanted and if hit by him the shrine goes away
Really interesting, thanks for doing the run. Being pedantic here, so ignore me, but though it may feel like you should get less exp shrines if you see two, that's not the way statistics work. Previous success doesn't lower chance of future luck, it would just make it more surprising. It's surprising because of your knowledge of the full picture, but the math isn't surprised at all. There was just as much chance at the last one as the first. The idea is that not one combination is any more likely than any other. Example: if you flip a coin 10 times, five heads is more likely than 10 heads, but the exact chronological pattern of HHHHHTTTTT is just as likely as HHHHHHHHHH. Something like HTHHTHHTTT may have five heads, but it's substantively different.
That's a nice way of describing it, actually, I'll remember that.
Although, as pointed out, he was just joking.
Bad thing is that not everyone watching understands that this was a joke.
That's the joke :)
Ok but do you know how rng in this game works because maybe the shrines are not like coins and are more likely to appear the more it get skipped and the shrines you see the most are less and less likely to appear. And i think it is how it works
Yep. Even if you have had heads a thousand times in a row, the probability of getting heads the next time is still 50%. Probability and statistics is weird.
i thought so too, but it's like how he said at 21:38 he has a 50% chance of getting one rune and a 30% chance of getting the other, so that means he has an 80% chance of getting them both. lol, he's joking!
2:15:12 That was almost a Jeb Bush moment right there if it weren't for Kylie.
mr Lama - dramma
Wish we could hear the moo's... each year/event they talk over it.
I feel like they missed his final pun...thank you to the Cow...ch
Man I think those Exp shrines jinxed this run for Llama. It really messed up the RNG. About Duriel I died so many times to him compared to other D2 bosses. I usually tank him because I want to kill him as fast as possible. Also with Duriel I think he is easier on Nightmare and hell difficulty levels because you have your tree of skills already decided whether your are speed running or playing casually and you do alot more damage on those difficulty levels compared to Normal.
Awesome vid! For the non D2 players, can someone please let me know what the ETH rune did once socketed?
It's (with tal) a rune word called stealth that has a lot of useful stats like faster run walk and hit recovery.
is he wearing chainmail?
Are you kidding? this rare javs and experience shrine...
those javs were insane
what time was it why is no one there , i would of came and watched you
Diablo 2 best game ever.
Very surprised he doesnt use the portal baal room trick.
If you open a portal when he's about to spawn the mob, go to town and wait 8 seconds, then jump back in - he should laugh for the next round as if you've killed them. Repeat until he goes into the Worldstone Chamber.
Got that Ed rune 31:15. World's first.
2:06:45 that statistical analysis!
His understanding of experience shrine statistics bothers me immensely.
daam i was happy about dat eth drop :D
Can't wait to see Diablo Immortal speedruns
Funkmasters cowpuns in the end^^ holy fuck i nearly died^^
Speed Run Candy Crush next
man the nostalgia from this is killing me.. does anyone even play Multiplayer for d2exp?
ye i placed it as recently as a year ago myself
mr Llama ROCKS!!!!!
I would have liked a Path of Exile run as well. However, there are some dangers with that idea, it being online only and all.
I get what you mean, but if they simply disable the chat and don't spend an unnecessary amount of time in any given town, chances are they should be fine as long as the game doesn't decide to suddenly break on them due to some random server update. I would love to see one of these runners try to speed run that nightmare of a game, I'd be fairly interesting to see how they do.
@Mnbvcxz there is no offline mode for path of exile.
Nah it's online only even in single player.
kind of. its called solo self found league, you are alone in town and stuff but it still needs internet connection because you still play on servers
@Mnbvcxz It still require online connection.
couch plz
Yehaw, mrllama hype !
>Cow "KING"
>drops buncha' stamina potions
>Cuz milk....
> What.
@16:31 I don't know if you're just joking, but the Law of Averages and statistics do not say that you must eventually get a heads after flipping so many tails, it just means that it's increasingly unlikely to get so many tails in a row.
He's joking.
Why exactly did he want to avoid levelling up at the end? Does being higher level make the enemies harder for some reason?
I presume enemy's scale to your level
Enemies don't scale but you get severely diminished experience (5%) if the mobs are much higher level then you are so it's just wasted time. It's just not worth the time it takes.
faster cow, to get the respec in nightmare, go back to poison?
I love mr llama
hell yeah
Does the Baal throne rush not work anymore? Or do people just not remember it?
Emar La Masque, thats my boy!
18:45 Youch.
Where he know exactly location on map without hack map ? @@
There are only so many maps for each location. If you play long enough you recognize where to go. You can also study them.
1:30:00 for ETH rune
There is funny bad luck and then you just want the runner to get what they need bad luck. Great job on the buffer in the estimate however!
Why do yo shoot riders car?