Peter Zeihan: EUROPE, Military ACTION, Economic Downturn (w/Brad Carr)
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- Опубліковано 1 жов 2024
- Brad Carr full episode: • Peter Zeihan: DEPOPULA...
@ZeihanonGeopolitics discusses Europe, population collapse, the end of globalization, and his newest book THE ACCIDENTAL SUPERPOWER 10 YEARS ON
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Summary of Peter Zeihan's THE END OF THE WORLD IS JUST THE BEGINNING - • 7 Ideas in PETER ZEIHA...
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Previous interview with Peter Zeihan - • Peter Zeihan: COLLAPSE...
THE END OF THE WORLD IS JUST THE BEGINNING - amzn.to/3N24Jgt
Peter Zeihan's newest book - amzn.to/3wpCHJ1
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#peterzeihan #geopolitics #globalization
Peter Zeihan: EUROPE, Military ACTION, Economic Downturn (w/Brad Carr)
"Having barbarians at the gates" was actually correct phrase...
Peter, is surprisingly and spectacularly ill informed on EU politics :/
Two things can be true 1) he’s informed 2) he’s hyperbolic
Or many other things too. He's uninformed and hyperbolic. He's misinformed. One thing's for sure, he isn't clairvoyant and his track record to date, leaves a lot to be desired.
Self described gister
All his ideas are based on demographics and access to raw materials. At least he is not a white supremacist because white america is shrinking too. Sometimes i think he must be paid by the saudies which is a killer economy with an exploding population and lots of oil.
Well he's been declaring that China will collapse "within the next ten years" for about fifteen years now. So he may be informed, but that's definitely been very hyperbolic.
From GOOGLE : U.S. Pop: 340 M ... E.U. Pop: 448 M ... U.S. Military Expenditure: $874 B ... E.U. Military Expenditure $300 B ... E.U. GDP $16.6 T ... Russia GDP $1.4 T
why is the E.U. NOT spending more on their own defense?
Peter had it right first time with Barbarians at the gate.
Between the Franco-Prussian War of 1870-71 and The Great War of 1914-1918, there were 31 different little wars, conflicts, and uprisings in Europe. The most peaceful period in European history was the Cold War. That was shattered with the genocides in Yugoslavia in the 1990s.
It is very difficult to get a trade deal with the USA, and the Brits should have known this ...
Britain does not need a trade deal with the USA. Trade between U.K. and USA is on WTO terms and is perfectly adequate. The USA is already U.K.’s largest single country trading partner and trade is well balanced the two countries. Everyone obsesses about ‘trade deals’ but the reality is that WTO terms is a perfectly good basis for trade.
I don't think the brits care if there is a trade deal or not, you only make a deal if both partys win from it. If there is no deal we just carry on as we are.
This guy is talking rubbish.France GDP $3.145 trillion,Debt to GDP ratio 111.7%,vslue of exports 2023 $528 billion, Germany GDP 2023 $4.5 trillion,,Debt to GDP ratio 64%,value of exports 2023 $1.6:trillion.The combined GDP of the EU is $15 trillion with a population of 449 million ,a customs union,a single market with free trade deals with Asian ,Latin American and North American economies.With the probability of Trump Presidency combined with a Maga Congress, Senate and Cabinet the US will no longer be a stable reliable partner as per tge example of Congress refusal to sanction further aid to Ukraine .Far from the EU collapsing the changing political landscspe in the US and developments in Europe) will force the member states into closer union with a common foreign and security policy .
EU is dead. No productivity, innovation, work ethic, ability to compete with rising Asia or America, and no will to protect their values and way of life.
Europe is like an old man just hoping his pension is enough for him to live his last few years in peace.
@@tabernathy0428 In order to back up your statement could you list the following
1The 10 most productive economies in the world
2.The most innovative economies in the world
3.The average hours worked in EU,US,China,Japan and UK.
4.List the most competitive economies in thd world.
5 .Average age of people in EU.
Well spoken @michaelogrady1002.
Zeihan has sometimes interesting points, but this time there is a lot of nonsense.
If you do not understand the history of the EU, it’s task, it’s role especially versus the nation states, you make only a foolish statement trying to make a comparison with the US.
"the end of the EU" has been a prediction for "some time next week" during every week since its conception. We're still here 🇪🇺 🇳🇱 👍.
Americans don't understand it, because its a confederation built on cooperation, not a federation built on two-party division, like the US. The only thing we can agree on is that the British shot themselves in the foot.
Full interview with Zeihan here - ua-cam.com/video/VSC6sUAyf8U/v-deo.html
Can someone provide a source to Peter’s claim of Europe seizing uninsured bank deposits?
The only thing I can find is Cyprus seizing uninsured bank deposits, 2012 - 2013 on behalf of the European Union. But this wasn’t a case of the EU stealing money, the bank was going bankrupt which would have meant that the money would have been lost anyway. So the EU bailed it out but in exchange got 48% of the uninsured deposits. So if the EU hasn’t done anything more money would have been lost. Maybe he’s referring to something else but I can’t find it.
en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/2012-2013_Cypriot_financial_crisis
To confidently predict the future is big money in today’s world, when financial markets wield so much power. I can’t help likening Zeihan to those anonymous guys on the internet trying to inflate a stock on the stock market for the sake of day trading. He’s just doing it on a larger scale, and probably getting a lot of funds doing it. Sorry, I can’t take him seriously.
An American saying Britain can only prosper if they only do what the Americans say 🤔
Britain is 8 yrs post brexit and hasn’t picked their next trade path. America can help them if they simply bring something to the table. America is better with the Brits but its the Brits choice.
@@richardcarroll2090 - we don’t need to ‘pick a trade path.’ U.K. - USA trade is on WTO terms and is good as it is. The USA is already the UK’s largest single country trading partner and has been for decades. Britain has rapidly negotiated several free trade deals with all of its main trading partners since leaving the EU. That is the route that Britain has chosen. Edit: you can call this a ‘trade path’ if you want to.
@@28pbtkh23The U.S. routinely violates WTO rules when it suites them.
I think it is better to call the conflict not a "Ukrainian war" but russian-Ukrainian war. Because it sounds like all problems are because of Ukraine and not because of continuous russian aggression
If Peter had spent considerably more time in the EU instead of romping around the mountains, he’d witness firsthand 3 main benefits of the EU:
1. Peace among nations ever since tWW2
2. Free movement of people and goods among member states
3. Very few trade frictions
I could go on, but looking at the US from the outside and we see red states pitted against blue states, gun violence at alarming rates, an out-of-control opioid crisis, a tot nutjob about to become the next President and Canada about to have its own southern border crisis, I’d prefer to take my chances in the EU. I love the US and all it stands for, but Peter’s generalisations can be irksome at times, as entertaining and smart as he is. He should get out more.
Point #1 has nothing to do with the EU. It has everything to do with defeat of Nazi Germany in 1945, with the peace in the 45 years thereafter being guaranteed by a large American military presence on the continent.
There is now peace and prosperity in Eastern Europe as well now and that is largely down to the efforts made by the USA during the Cold War. Please don’t kid yourself that the EU had anything to do with this.
As for easier trading conditions, yes the EU has made a large contribution here, but it has been made on the solid foundation of the GATT agreements, now overseen by the WTO.
@@28pbtkh23 Give me a break. So you're saying that without the US, there wouldn't be peace and prosperity in Europe? Yes, I get the Marshall Plan and a few other major interventions by the US in the 50s and 60s, but don't fool yourself - the EU is a project of Europe's own making.
British trade with the US is doing just fine without a trade deal.
My main worry about the US is will they have a civil war?
Giving up decision making to join a trading group with the US is not a tough decision as we were in the same situation with the eu but worse because that was also a political project.
He's right about the Brexit liars. The first thing we need to do in the UK is get some politicians who are serious
Hm Demographics. Average birth rate in E.U. Is 1,5, in USA 1,2;).
1.9
Europe?
America have immigration
@@RS-vu4nnAnd Europa not?
@@pvlgs comparatively speaking .. They don't
Hi Brad. Thumbs up and a comment for the algorithm.
Thanks so much! What would you like to see next?
$30,000 deduction PER CHILD for children conceived by a married couple.
He is talking such nonsense it's not even funny
If I lift off from Munich Germany and fly 2000 to 3000 miles ( less distance then New York ) there at least 10 countries within 100 to 300 million in the next 10 years like Turkey,Iran,Eqypt,Nigeria,Ethiopia,Pakistan,Kenya(Eastafrica)
So there is no demographic problem in Germany .
Also energy problem is blown out of proportion as only 15% of industry is energy intense
Don't piss off europe... That is all I am going to say.
It's not just Europe who's doomed...
We all will die … one day
That’s not in the least bit profound
Sure, Peter
Methinks "Brad" isn't old enough to take a good shave, never mind pitch softbollas!
Peter is right about the brexit bullshit. The rich Brit’s thought they could go back to the times of the aristocracy, just with less tax to pay
He have no clue what’s he’s talking about Brexit.
Great stuff
thank you very much
Bureaucratic Sludge = EU
Many people don’t understand how EU works. Americans just don’t figure it.
Sorry Peter, but the Nazis never left.
The NSDAP still exists?
I understand they are really bad in Illinois.