Express Entry back to regular draws | CRS Increases and invitations drop
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- Опубліковано 8 вер 2024
- IRCC conducted an Express Entry - All Program draw on April 12, 2023.
They invited an incredible 3500 invitations and the lowest CRS score for this draw was 486.
IRCC Link for Express Entry Draws:
www.canada.ca/...
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Always a pleasure listening to Kubeirs insights, thankful and grateful for all that you do Kubeir for the community! God bless 🙏
Much appreciated!
Thank u for all the info sir kubier much appreciated scores keep going up 😮
I think we can be sure that CRS is not coming down. Because less than 1000 profiles were left above 481 and in between the last 2 draws, about 4500 profiles added with CRS above 481 and ITA issued are 3500. So if that trend continues, CRS will only climb from here on and will sit permanently above 490 mark. That's a clear indication to people outside Canada that you ain't getting PR.
Even inside canada 485 is tough
@@sukhamritsingh3420 but most of profiles with CRS above 481 would be people in Canada, that is also true.
I think the main reason for this sudden increase in the number of 481 + candidates is that a lot of people who passed college in April last year, are completing 1 year of work experience and getting scores for it. I also think a lot of candidates who got ITA in the last draw rejected it and reentered the pool.
@@battlekingad8291 why would someone reject ITA? Could there be any reason?
@@vivekkg39 The last draw was unexpected and cleared candidates from range 481-489 for first time in 2 1/2 years. I believe many of those candidates were not expecting the cut off to go so low, and haven't yet updated their EE profiles. But this is just my theory.
I got the invitation yesterday 💃🏻💃🏻💃🏻
Congratulations
Something seems fishy with the tie breaker!
If all profiles with score 481+ were cleared in the last draw, how could the tie breaker for 486 be dated in July 2022? Shouldn’t all 481+ profiles received an ITA after the last draw?
Those who joined the pool can increase their score by updating their profile, like new IELTS score and so on. That said, I’m so shocked that that many people managed to increase their score during this 2 weeks.
I also have the same question and couldn't find a valid and logical answer to it.
any chance for 478 till end of 2023 ? I feel like all predictions are simply shooting in the dark
I’m having the same CRS score (478), i have joined the pool in october 2021 and have re-joined again in October 2022.
I think all of the predictions are like those people who predict what would iphone 15 look like! It’s totally unexpected and unpredictable. I have been analysing since 2021 and there is no way you could even think what could happen in the next draw
All predictions are mere speculations. No one can say what IRCC is planning
same score idk what to do? Should I apply for pnp now?
Sitting at 480 for the last 2 years. Looking at the inflation, rents and limited job openings in the last 2 years, i have decided to give up the Canadian dream. Not worth the price and starting from scratch
Worth moving down neighbours!
@@vishnuarora9255 didn't understand.
@@darshanthakker1402 just move to usa 🇺🇸 much better than canada thats what i meant with souther neighbours
@@vishnuarora9255 no way i can. I'm not a techie and based out of india
@@vishnuarora9255 got any ideas on how can one move from India to US? I am in IT with 6+ years of experience
My 1 year work experience ends on June 15, when should I declare it and make express entry profile?
the tie breaker looks very weird.. July 2022
anyone who created a profile so long ago would have received ITA 2 draws ago already..
Or someone whose scores have changed due to completed work experience or better IELTS or sibling arriving in Canada 😊
Emergency Help
I had this EE profile with CRS Score of 476 and then I revoked the key to apply for the student visa and got it. Now I am trying to recreate a profile and it's showing my score as 405 for the same things. Nothing had changed. I checked the CRS Calculator and that has also changed. Can you please check it and see what changes have been made. Please
You are obviously not entering some information correctly.
what is the current trend of processing times for getting ppr after ITA for fsw outlanders ?
6 months average
When can we expect next OINP tech draw?? And what are the chances of 478
I guess Bill C19 will be only benefitted by Inside Canada people,But they can't stop immigration since their population is aging is the another truth,I guess Remote areas since is best choice rather than running towards Ontario, BC,still agencies are pushing towards these provinces after 12th where many CRS 480 is waiting with experience 😅
@@mrkhan2983 Because they are already taxpayers their,also they have work experience there,So always a pro immigrant country allows to settle them first
My current job title is in the in-demand NOC code (managers in healthcare), but I was promoted from a different position only 5 months ago. I will be changing my primary NOC to this one this week, as I will have worked for this company for a year. Am I correct in doing so, or can I only make this my primary NOC when I complete 1 year in this specific job title/code?
Your insight would be appreciated. Thanks in advance!
Hello Kubeir. Yeah seems it is back to normal. I want to ask if there is an iRCC email to send appeal a decision
Raise a webform to request for reconsideration. There is no appeal process
@@AskKubeir Thank you for the swift response
Hello sir, I applied for extension on 8th April and my current work permit was expiring same date in this case hope I am exempt from restoration application
If u applied before expiry then you don't need restoration
@@AskKubeir Thank you
My CRS is 478 with best possible IELTS score (CLB 10 in all sections). I have a PhD (so best possible education as well). I also have a relative in Canada. My age is the only negative factor. I am 36 years old now. My birthday is coming on 24 June. Do you think 478 cut-off will come before 24 June. I don't want to lose 5 points and delay getting an ITA. If I am not wrong, age gets locked in the system only after the ITA is issued.
I hope you may have got idea if you are not in canada at the moment! Its going nuts here and bot worth moving! High interest rate and taxes low wages and salaries with ongoing housing crises that exacerbated the rental crisis. Overall, cost of living unaffordable by millions of immigrants and those native Canadians. Crime is on sudden surge mostly including adduction, gun violence, assaults and economic downfall.
Trudeau government has done their part throwing canada in ditch!
Gone are the days when we could find accommodation groceries and other daily aspects even with minimum wage. However, at present government gas failed miserably.
As its always said, grass is greener on other side, you may find canada lucrative from india, however it’s unlikely to be the case.
You must consider yourself to move and immigrate in USA. Though violence exists but a much better place to live and thrive.
No chance madam the score will only go up and the size of the draw will reduce to be realist. Fingers crossed 🤞🏼 for you hope you get it though.
Hopefully you will get an ITA
Okay so, tke this analysis with a big brain of salt... I am not Kubeir, his knowledge far outclass mine... That being said, your score is 478. Express entry draws are likely to stay at 3500 every two weeks. As you stand on 478 there are at least 5000 people in front of you. Before June 24 we'll likely have draws on April 26th, May 10th, May 24th, June 7th and June 21st ; for a total of 5 more draws before your points go down.
Assuming that the trend continues and 2000+ people get added to the pool every two weeks and the draws are of 3500... And assuming they do happen regularly... We are looking at 1500 people being cleared from the pool at best on every call. With that being a possible scenario there is a possibility that you could get an ITA on the June 7th draw.
The problem with that analysis is that if for any reason more than 2000 people join the pool in any given interval, or they conduct a PnP/CEC only call, or they don't conduct a draw... You basically will not get an ITA in time.
Unfortunately I believe you are in the same boat as many of us are right now... You either learn french to secure a 490/500+ score... Which should be doable until the end of the year even if you lose points by age.... Or... Sadly but realistically speaking... Give up, because it'll be just luck.
@@linksow5331 dude 5000+ profiles added in the pool in these 2 weeks.if thats the situation remains same, how come score will drop, best case it get stable coz of the net effect remains zero (ppl getting added in pool = ITAs issued) therefore, its very hard to score come down below even 481... and that too n if they are continous in draws (which we have seen disturbed abruptly)...
Kubeir bhai can you tell me when or if in the near future the crs score will drop to 400-410. 1 year / 2 years coz at the moment it’s impossible for me.
Seems unlikely for general draws, unless category based draws start
50 points on completing 1 year is no longer true. They are giving 35 points only.
Hii kubeir does the 11 month process also work for the candidate who is having 23 months of cec experience
Yes. It's same. Accept it and submit only after you "actually" complete 24 months
Thank you for guiding us Kubeir. I have question sir I started my job in july 2021 as part-time position and afterwards when I applied for my work-permit in August I got the position full time. And this year I went back to India for 5 weeks and I got 1 week paid off so my question is that the part time work will be considered to cover that duration gap or I have to wait for filing my application in case I get ITA in future after completion of 2 year experience in august by then my score would be 495. could you please guide me.
I have 467 points in express entry profile will I get an invitation?
It's looking difficult at this time
Not unless something magical happens. There are at least 21000 people in front of you. With the current trend of 3500 draws but 2000 people added on a two weeks basis you are looking at only, at best, 1500 people leaving the pool, which means it woul take at the very least 15 draws, aka 7.5 months to get to you in a very perfect scenario.
Unfortunately you are now in the same boat as many of us... You either learn french, you might as well give up, because you'll be relying on luck.
Hi Cld you pls explain how the 2yrs working experience is calculated. Does it means if u start work on 15 April 2021 the 2yrs experience is 14 April 2023? Tks
Yes
@@AskKubeir tq. What if there is a change of job n there is a 2wks break in between. How is that calculated?
I belivee right now the choices are clear. There is a crossroad. You either learn french and get an invitation -- or you don't learn french and give up. Anyone who truly wants to move to Canada can likely learn enough french to go past 500 before the end of the year, our previous measure of ''enough to get an invitation'' is no longer valid.
I for one, am starting french tomorrow. Good luck to all!
That too would take 12-16 months and we don't know what Canada will have in the surprise box.
It's true, unless you're lucky enough to get ITA through C-19 but it's already spring and not a single update on C-19 has been given by the government.
I'm 474 and have been learning french by myself for about 6-7 months now for at least 2 hours a day with a full time job. I'm closing in on B1 but it's not easy at all. Targeting to get B2 by September this year. Good luck to us :)
@@derrviel you are doing really well to reach B1 in such short span. Kudo mate!!
Learning from scratch to earn enough points to go past 500 means getting to B2 level in DELF terms at least (CLB 7 in TEF) It takes at least 9-12 months to reach there if you study 3-5 hours a day. Good luck getting that done for the likes of me having a 10 hour job, helping my younger sister in studies, sleep and other things to do.
@@derrviel could you please let me know how you are preparing as I am taking classes from a tutor online. It's been about 2 months and he still is on A1.1
Hello sir. Can we change work history noc code dates and designation post ita .. I am just aligning it with my experience letter.. kindly advise
Yes. Provide an LOE
@@AskKubeir Thank you 🙏
If our work experience is 2 years 11 months and then we became unemployed, system gave us 3 years. SCORE IS 481. But work experience is 2 years 11 months, now unemployed, no way there to work extra month. Should We proceed with ITA? Please answer 🙏🙏🙏🙏
Hi Kubeir Sir, I got an ITA and have submitted my pr application. While it is being processed, can i make another EE profile as a backup to receive an ITA in case my pr application gets refused due to whatever reason?
I have a crs score of 478. So should I wait or go for pnp now?
Go for other options
when in the bill c19 coming? in spring or later?
for people outside canada looks like that's the only hope
2nd half of the Year
If the current score is at 486 ( recently built profile), should one wait until next draw or re appear for ielts to improve score ?
It’s shocking to see 4500 approx new profiles added compared to last draw excluding PNP .
There is any possibility of fake profiles because numbers don’t add up . As per the trend it shouldn’t be more than 3500 profiles including pnp.
Can anyone throw some light on this ?
Who has the time to sit and create fake profiles and then how many fake profiles
Received Lmia of 200 points ( FSW outlander) offer letter includes my position, my wage, full time, employer s location etc but not mentioned that that it is for 1 yrs after I get PR, is it ok or this is to be included
How to check if profile has completed r10 check
Once you get the medical pass
I got my PCC done through BLS Vancouver 2022.. The PCC I received from Indian Consulate in Vancouver is without any date period (except for issue date). I have not travelled to India since then, is the PCC still valid ?
Did you get your ITA? If yes, it's recommended to get the PCC initiated again. In my case they requested a new one and gave me 60 days time.
Hi Sir,
I am currently in Canada working under my PGWP after completing my studies here. I recently received my ITA and I have a concern in my application.
I had a change in name legally done in india in 2007 but I did not mention that in my study permit since it was only a spelling change and not entire name change.
My previous name: L.V. Sai Narayanan
Current name: V.K. Sayee Narayanaa
My father name: L. VenkataKrishnan . Hence the initial change from LV to VK
Shall I go ahead , furnish the same and provide my name change gazette certificate in my PR application or not needed? Will birth certificate be needed anywhere in the future? Please advise
My score is 476 with spouse and 491 without spouse. Me and Spouse are already in Canada. I am in closed work permit and spouse is is spouse open work permit. Is it fair to create the profile without spouse to get chance ? Will I be able to add them later once I become the PR ?
Yes u possibly can sponsor ur spouse later
How is this possible? Your score with spouse should always be more because her points add to ur profile
Mere beta ka curse score 450 hai
Any chance to get invitation score 479 in next draws
Sir any chance for score 479 in this year
All these will not be happen with the workers of IRCC goin ' on Strike...😢
Crs 478 po
PGWP exp. 14apr23; updated my address submit opt-in(11APR) shown experience tech.error try again; tried to resubmit opt-in shown info.updated n submit, no email confirm.What to do. Apply WP EXTENSION? Should i go for regular WP EXTENSION with cover letter
check your gc key many have received extensions on 12th april
we are not getting emails we have to check directly
@@gitikathakur9234 thanks dear!
Ircc is always unpredictable
Yes they are
Sir, what do you think are chances for 486 and 489 next year with regular express entry draw?
Next year?
We don't know about next month