These gems deserve better camera , microphone and things so that viewers will get a grasp of his ideas and wisdom without much interruptions. Thank you for sharing
Happening to watch this video when I'm reading the chapters on Mandelbrot, Power laws and the Great Intellectual fraud of the Gaussian in the Black swan.Happy to have stumbled upon this goldmine of lectures, especially before I start my PhD to study Robustness of Supply chains. I shall be more empirical and try to be wary of Ludic Fallacies.
To me it’s more intuitive to describe Gaussian style as having SQUARED exponential drop off. Contemplating that leads to much of this insight. Increase x, move out, by a unit, probability goes down by square of x not by a fixed fraction like the exponential for example. Then everything follows.
Thank you for the explanation. I watched all 23 minutes of it, didn't really think it's long anyway. Probably gonna watch it again cause i'm really lacking on technical (although you have made it greatly simplified). Anyway i really appreciate you doing this since this is really good for layperson like me to understand. Thank you and i notice you are doing great job on your weight loss
This whole series is basically Prof Taleb telling me that my stats class in college was mostly a waste lmaooooooo. Jokes aside where can I learn more of real, practical stats? Very interested in learning.
Hey Nassim,, long time since our fx options days. Hope all is well.. funny, live a lot longer than 92 if you’re 80 and lift weights, don’t hang around economists & don’t own bitcoin! Chris
Your stats classes definitely weren't a waste of time, you will need the material covered to understand more complicated concepts like fat tailed distributions. Normal distributions aren't wrong in certain scenarios, they just often over simply the real world.
Hi Taleb! The lecture was super informative as expected and I found your enthusiasm child like when talking proudly about power law as compared to other distributions! I have only a small observation, you neglected to mention that the exponent or power as you call it is itself subjective! The implications are obviously considerable! Just an honest observation, please correct me if I'm wrong! Thanks for such awesome videos! 😁👍
I love how low tech these talks are. You really do not need more than a 20 years old phone and a toy board to make a great talk, if you know your sht. Taleb really knows his sht.
Very nice explanation, and very interesting inshights. I liked the exponential life expectancy == no aging. I wonder if there is/could-be a population with power-law life expectancy, and what would be the mechanics of that?
Man, I've NEVER struggled this hard in my life to understand a video. I just know that I'll regret it if I don't understand what is being said here. Time to watch this video 20 times until I get it.
Yeah I followed his other stuff pretty easily. Most of this video is understandable too. Gotta listen again. Maybe because I have seen the other stuff everywhere else to some degree
@Dan Campbell agreed my man. We all have our own speeds.... I just reread my comment and realized i didn't articulate well. I meant to say that I too found this video difficult compared to other videos and I gotta watch more than once to understand this video. Good luck
Very interesting information. Thanks. Please continue like this!!! However, request you to please improve light and other technical aspects further. It is much better now than the earlier videos but with minor changes, you can improve further. Warm regards
Try @mikeandallie website, he went through few chapters from prof Taleb book. Otherwise, @nntaleb twitter, comments on the papers are often illustrated with real life examples. N.B. look for keywords, lot of noise generated by bitcoin people/cult requiring some additional filtering. Cheers !
13:20 - "...if you don't hang around economists, if you don't own Bitcoin, or if they ban Bitcoin..." 3 years later it is being discovered that Bitcoin network is growing via Power Law. I came here to better understand power laws because of Bitcoin. The irony in this in unreal.
Friend, I have an older GoPro (5 I think) that can shoot in 4k. I am not using it. I can mail it to you or somewhere anonymous or something. A worthwhile donation to the community!
@@j.r.Bambus Sorry I am a bit confused. I read some of his books a while ago. Additionally, he's clearly unwilling to buy a new camera and mine is collecting dust. I will benefit from the better quality video?
@@security_threat its not about the camera. its about how much you have to concentrate to listen to something, clear voice and 8k camera quality will make your brain less concentrated. Remeber it from his books
Maybe if aging biology research translates to humans, we may be able to increase healthy (and maximal) lifespan... I see Nassim follows some scientists in this area on twitter ;)
![[UA] NAVI проти G2 Esports | Blast Premier Fall Final](http://i.ytimg.com/vi/QWlIm4FGESQ/mqdefault.jpg)
Looking healthier. Great job with weight loss
Because he has Skin in the Game!
"You live longer if you don't hang around economists" xD
Will probably live longer if you took low-dose rapamycin
video quality 10/100
content quality 1000/100
These gems deserve better camera , microphone and things so that viewers will get a grasp of his ideas and wisdom without much interruptions. Thank you for sharing
Happening to watch this video when I'm reading the chapters on Mandelbrot, Power laws and the Great Intellectual fraud of the Gaussian in the Black swan.Happy to have stumbled upon this goldmine of lectures, especially before I start my PhD to study Robustness of Supply chains. I shall be more empirical and try to be wary of Ludic Fallacies.
I miss the blackboard, but love the videos. These videos are some of the best things to happen since Antifragile
If you don't own Bitcoin, you live long.
Lol, Some truth right there
It`s like a whole book - but just the punchline! Love it - and of course, no BS!
The greatest living philosopher of our time.
Thank you so much for these videos. It is a privilege to be able to learn so much in exchange for so little.
Prof. Taleb That was an amazing explanation! Thanks
Thank you Prof Taleb, my stats module in SW engineering seems to have skipped power laws for some reason. Very informative
These videos are absolute gold. Thanks a lot
The videos are beyond amazing
Nassim really tries to set up a good learning enviroment for viewers
13:25 Pure Gold
Yes!
Beautiful Nassim!
Crocodile distribution example was really interesting, assuming it holds for lobsters as well
Amazing and clear as always -- greetings from a fellow Mediterranean from Sardinia :-)
Great info and excellent enthusiasm! Thank you for the lesson!
To me it’s more intuitive to describe Gaussian style as having SQUARED exponential drop off. Contemplating that leads to much of this insight. Increase x, move out, by a unit, probability goes down by square of x not by a fixed fraction like the exponential for example. Then everything follows.
But that’s the very definition of an exponent - square of x, or some exponent of x.
Binge-watching Taleb's Mini-lessons ..
Thank you for them!
this was my favorite mooc of them all! (so far :D )
this is what i call science and a scientist.
Btw Would love to get your thoughts on Hurst exponent and fractal Brownian motion. Along with optimal stopping criterion
For what it's worth I've toyed with these volatility models for forecasting. They are not practically useful.
you like to teach I like to learn. Thanks
Been waiting for this
Thank you for the explanation. I watched all 23 minutes of it, didn't really think it's long anyway. Probably gonna watch it again cause i'm really lacking on technical (although you have made it greatly simplified). Anyway i really appreciate you doing this since this is really good for layperson like me to understand. Thank you and i notice you are doing great job on your weight loss
fantastic, thank you! so much research to do after your mini-lessons. no sleep Wednesday
I would like to see the part 2 of this lecture. please keep making these videos
Presenting some computational and practical examples would be nice
Fantastic as always, thank you. I do hope a lesson on entropy is coming
So good!
Merci beaucoup...
This whole series is basically Prof Taleb telling me that my stats class in college was mostly a waste lmaooooooo.
Jokes aside where can I learn more of real, practical stats? Very interested in learning.
@ I ordered them just 2 days ago haha. Have read Fooled by Randomness which was ironically recommended by my stats prof
Check out statquest. Double bam!
Hey Nassim,, long time since our fx options days. Hope all is well.. funny, live a lot longer than 92 if you’re 80 and lift weights, don’t hang around economists & don’t own bitcoin! Chris
Your stats classes definitely weren't a waste of time, you will need the material covered to understand more complicated concepts like fat tailed distributions.
Normal distributions aren't wrong in certain scenarios, they just often over simply the real world.
Very interesting. Reminded me of university classes
Hi Taleb! The lecture was super informative as expected and I found your enthusiasm child like when talking proudly about power law as compared to other distributions! I have only a small observation, you neglected to mention that the exponent or power as you call it is itself subjective! The implications are obviously considerable! Just an honest observation, please correct me if I'm wrong! Thanks for such awesome videos! 😁👍
I love how low tech these talks are. You really do not need more than a 20 years old phone and a toy board to make a great talk, if you know your sht. Taleb really knows his sht.
What do you think of Mandelbrot's fractal view of price processes?
Amazing content.
Thanks for this. The last bit about alpha may also be demonstrated more easily in Mathematica.
Thanks for making this stuff so simple
this guy looks like mafia assasin
fkn love it Nassim, thankyou sir.
HE IS A LEGEND!!!
Very nice explanation, and very interesting inshights. I liked the exponential life expectancy == no aging. I wonder if there is/could-be a population with power-law life expectancy, and what would be the mechanics of that?
Yes! New video.
Was Nassim knowledgable of all this statistics theory, dsitributions and other stuff when he was first a trader?
If this is the simplified version the complicated must be insane
Eu vou aperfeiçoar meu inglês, só para poder intender melhor suas aulas mestre, abraço, Brasil.
Man, I've NEVER struggled this hard in my life to understand a video.
I just know that I'll regret it if I don't understand what is being said here.
Time to watch this video 20 times until I get it.
I don't think it well explained at all
But pens that worked would help
Yeah I followed his other stuff pretty easily. Most of this video is understandable too. Gotta listen again. Maybe because I have seen the other stuff everywhere else to some degree
@Dan Campbell agreed my man. We all have our own speeds.... I just reread my comment and realized i didn't articulate well. I meant to say that I too found this video difficult compared to other videos and I gotta watch more than once to understand this video.
Good luck
Thank you kindly ✍️
great content as usual, i think it would have been easier to understand if you drew the distribution maybe
Agreed
Very interesting information. Thanks. Please continue like this!!!
However, request you to please improve light and other technical aspects further. It is much better now than the earlier videos but with minor changes, you can improve further. Warm regards
Better than blackboard. Can we please switch to a simple black marker for next one?
Nice talk! But you really deserve an interactive digital whiteboard...
Statistician friends, where do I supplement this material and fill gaps in my knowledge? Any recommended lectures?
yes this please. I think i might start reading his books.
Try @mikeandallie website, he went through few chapters from prof Taleb book. Otherwise, @nntaleb twitter, comments on the papers are often illustrated with real life examples. N.B. look for keywords, lot of noise generated by bitcoin people/cult requiring some additional filtering. Cheers !
Great lecture - which book?
Red marker has lower contrast and more difficult for old eyes to see.
Love the videos. Without spending time and money on a new camera/ lighting, use a BLACK dry eraser.
13:20 - "...if you don't hang around economists, if you don't own Bitcoin, or if they ban Bitcoin..." 3 years later it is being discovered that Bitcoin network is growing via Power Law. I came here to better understand power laws because of Bitcoin. The irony in this in unreal.
❤
This is centaral indeed. Thanks a lot for that! Btw, you may be considering buying a "fat" marker, that would help your viewers tremendously :-)
Is the inverse true that you can infer from stable ratios a power law distribution?
Bitcoin fixes life expectancy confirmed.
so much to think in so little time...
Is this similar to force of mortality or hazard rate?
Friend, I have an older GoPro (5 I think) that can shoot in 4k. I am not using it. I can mail it to you or somewhere anonymous or something. A worthwhile donation to the community!
Why would you write such bullshit if you read his book
@@j.r.Bambus Sorry I am a bit confused. I read some of his books a while ago. Additionally, he's clearly unwilling to buy a new camera and mine is collecting dust. I will benefit from the better quality video?
@@security_threat its not about the camera. its about how much you have to concentrate to listen to something, clear voice and 8k camera quality will make your brain less concentrated. Remeber it from his books
@@j.r.Bambus Actually... You might have a point!
I think the video and audio quality could be better.
🔥🔥🔥
thank you for this, professor! :D i own btc, just sayin
What happened to the blackboard?
YES ! AT LAST ! HE FIXED THE BLACKBOARD PROBLEM. NOW HE ONLY HAS TO SOLVE THE LIGHTING PROBLEM !
Questionable lesson
Regards, #BTC
🤘 #bitcoin
Bitcoin Power Law
Summary: if you want a long life avoid economists like the plague
Why don't we learn such things in school?
You age well like wine
Garcia Paul Thompson Jose Johnson Betty
Friend, Nassim, you need a better microphone. Camera too.
I kind of feel like this is part of the game. F-U money means you don't need a better camera or microphone. Capiche?
13:20 funny guy
Dear Honourable God Predictor Taleb, please invest in a better camera
Maybe if aging biology research translates to humans, we may be able to increase healthy (and maximal) lifespan...
I see Nassim follows some scientists in this area on twitter ;)
7:13 MonkaS
Hah, "you could live longer if you don't hang around economists or own Bitcoin..." the intellectual jabs are Taleb specialty.
Aging poorly each and every day.
Laila, Reporter trying to reach you. Please let me know media contact.
very cool, but you really need to invest into an actual camera and an actual mic
❤️