He is a great thinker, but we don't have enough information to call him the greatest. There could exist many yet unknown great, even greater, thinkers who weren't the beneficiary of scaling effects - we life in Extremistan, after all.
I need to keep reminding myself that one day Taleb may finally say something that is less than 100% awesome. Just as the turkey gratefully gobbles the farmer's grain, blissfully unaware that with each passing day Christmas gets a little closer, so I devour Taleb's books (and am entertained by his UA-cam highlights). If Taleb ever does say something dumb, that I think, will be a bona fide black swan.
🤣 That's precisely what I thought when I read that. You can't predict Black Swans; you can only prepare for them when they eventually occur. Like how Traditional Japanese architecture is designed to withstand Earthquakes.
@TheChineseEmpire More appropriate question would be would who foresaw the earthquake that precipitated it. No earthquake, the Fukushima plant is not an issue.
@86Xforce I agree.It's taught like religious doctrine.When you discuss it with anyone all you get is anger,which to me indicates 'belief' that has been incorporated into the mind, BUT, lacks truth.The anger comes from the physical consequences of removing a delusion that's necessary for a mental paradigm to operate.Alexander Lowen believes that depression is a consequence of unconscious removal of a delusion from the mind. Evolution replaces religion & has same function for most people.
Boom. Definitely. An unforseen event is not true when it comes to markets. Consider stock markets. As he says, market fell (1000 points). Not true. Me nd 20 more guys like me saw that coming. E.g tesla.
a definition of black swan: if i post a picture as a comment here, i mean not the link to a picture, but a picture itself, that would be a black swan on youtube
I read that Joe Biden has this boo right next to his bed. He read a few sentences and said "Come on Man!" and then pooped in his pants but "Dr." Jill then cleaned him up.
I am totally puzzled by the overwhelming arrogance of the interviewer. Mr. Nobody talking to Professor Taleb with this British poshy patronizing tone and mannerism... wow. I would have walked away 10 seconds into the interview.
it was predictable via US foreign and fiscal policy that a counter attack would eventually take place. Which gives some credibility that it was a terrorist's attack. Upon closer examination however the physical evidence leans away from that theory and lends itself to supporting the notion that the event was staged in order to bolster public support for an invasion of Iraq. Iraq as we all know sits in the middle of the world's oil patch. There's motive, means, and opportunity.
Thriller MJ I'm familiar with his work and don't think he is a narcissist. Quite the opposite, actually. He lays down some seriously enlightening concepts, yet he doesn't do it from a position of "mighty intelectual god", but rather of "doubtfull epistemocrat". The way he communicates his ideas might feel a bit ... rough, but I think it's a byproduct of his frustration with the general state of idiocy that rules academia, politics, science (etc.) nowadays. Check him out for yourself! You won't regret it! He's an acquired taste, but a rather addictive one. Cheers
He's the greatest thinker of our time. Antifragile is the most important book I've ever read.
That book is brilliant!
@Jeff Taylor For example?
*in the public eye
He is a great thinker, but we don't have enough information to call him the greatest. There could exist many yet unknown great, even greater, thinkers who weren't the beneficiary of scaling effects - we life in Extremistan, after all.
Do you feel the same today?..
We are beyond fortunate to live at the same time as Nassim
One of the clearest , original and polymath thinker of our time.
I need to keep reminding myself that one day Taleb may finally say something that is less than 100% awesome. Just as the turkey gratefully gobbles the farmer's grain, blissfully unaware that with each passing day Christmas gets a little closer, so I devour Taleb's books (and am entertained by his UA-cam highlights). If Taleb ever does say something dumb, that I think, will be a bona fide black swan.
Indeed.I'm actually identified by what you are saying.
He just did by rejecting Bitcoin
@@theatosam Nah. If you agreed with everything he says in his books, you'd be skeptical of Bitcoin.
@@theatosam Looks like he was right about Bitcoin
This man is a boss.
He is the most clear-sighted man in the world.
* in the public eye
Thank you for your answers Mr.Rushdie
3:09 what? Could have been foreseen? No, they could not. 1/3rd of the book talks about our blindness to black swans.
I think they missed out the word "not* have been foreseen"
@@programmer1840 they must have if not, it completely misses the point of the book.
He is my hero
Time Mag interviewer is so smug its funny
His a journalist 😁
Time must have thought 9/11 was predictable by economic models...
Cant believe they wasted 1/10 questions asking "can black swans be positive?" Clearly whoever chose that hadn't even read NNT
The Great Taleb!
GREAT
I don't know why the interviewer is wearing glasses. He didn't look through them once.
they r reading glasses, he only needs them when he looks down to read the questions.
🤣🤣🤣
You guys are all wrong. A black swan is a bird with black feathers. gees.
Geese*
Kevin Cherian Giis*
2010-2021
11 years after
No capital blow up happened whatsoever
Managers are still getting huge incentives and bonuses and even gotten larger
has the fat lady sung?
3:22 the caption is incorrect "cannot be predicted"
mark witten They didn’t even read the book!!!!
🤣 That's precisely what I thought when I read that.
You can't predict Black Swans; you can only prepare for them when they eventually occur.
Like how Traditional Japanese architecture is designed to withstand Earthquakes.
That evil smile that @2:18
he would be reading through them.
nnt tha GOAT
He did it. 2)
@TheChineseEmpire More appropriate question would be would who foresaw the earthquake that precipitated it. No earthquake, the Fukushima plant is not an issue.
@maxmax655 Yeah, that is the whole point of the Black Swan.
@86Xforce I agree.It's taught like religious doctrine.When you discuss it with
anyone all you get is anger,which to me indicates 'belief' that has been
incorporated into the mind, BUT, lacks truth.The anger comes from the
physical consequences of removing a delusion that's necessary for a
mental paradigm to operate.Alexander Lowen believes that depression
is a consequence of unconscious removal of a delusion from
the mind.
Evolution replaces religion & has same function for most people.
2:21.."upside and no downside"...(thinks to himself "yep...just like my job at Time"....)
best comment i've seen in a while
Boom. Definitely. An unforseen event is not true when it comes to markets. Consider stock markets. As he says, market fell (1000 points). Not true. Me nd 20 more guys like me saw that coming. E.g tesla.
@maxmax655 taleb was probably spewing when he went home and watched it lol
Plus the interviewer -- rudely -- is reading his notes while Mr Taleb is speaking to him. Pearls before swine.
3:07 "Black Swan: an unexpected event of large magnitude and consequence that could have been foreseen"
I don't know much about his work but he sounds like narcissist. What do you think?
That.. that wasn't 10 questions, was it!? 😳
The Freemasons link to economics true or false?
Trump isn't a Freemason...hmmm
@maxmax655 your generalizing - which I think is dangerous - define a specific example.... Each black swan is completely different
not entirely. if a black swan is classified as black swan, they're defined, cathegorized e generalized.
a definition of black swan: if i post a picture as a comment here, i mean not the link to a picture, but a picture itself, that would be a black swan on youtube
Knowledge: your pov. Maybe you need bettwr books.
So is corona corona 'mother nature' not really
I read that Joe Biden has this boo right next to his bed. He read a few sentences and said "Come on Man!" and then pooped in his pants but "Dr." Jill then cleaned him up.
@3:00 did you even read my f****** book?
I am totally puzzled by the overwhelming arrogance of the interviewer. Mr. Nobody talking to Professor Taleb with this British poshy patronizing tone and mannerism... wow. I would have walked away 10 seconds into the interview.
it was predictable via US foreign and fiscal policy that a counter attack would eventually take place. Which gives some credibility that it was a terrorist's attack. Upon closer examination however the physical evidence leans away from that theory and lends itself to supporting the notion that the event was staged in order to bolster public support for an invasion of Iraq. Iraq as we all know sits in the middle of the world's oil patch. There's motive, means, and opportunity.
Because they are way too smart. The money managers. In europe
1) he lost money himself in 2008, so definitely not the correct person to ask the first question
@DCWhatthe
i pitty the fool
v
Moral sciences is or kids in third grade.
5:39 Covid19
The no down side asymmetry is not capitalism!
Yes, that‘s for sure, but pure capitalism without governmental intervention is not working for other reasons…
fredrich hayek. Haha. Plain old boring. If you read hayek you will find the answer. Either of the two problems you have. I'll bet philosophical
He obviously doesn't understand evolution
we have not advanced that much? wtf? somebody hand over this guy an SSD or a M50 engine
He's not talking about technological domains
Thank you for the comment! To claim we haven’t advanced so much in 500 years, try surgery like in the 16th century…
This guy is quite possibly the most deluded man in the world.
After 4 years of you said this,, I am asking you:
Can you tell me why he would be the most deluded man in the world?
Thank you, Wayne Kerr, your comments have been forwarded on to the relevant authorities...
@@jasonh.8754 lol cant criticize charlatans without being reported to the internet SS. Okay bud
I don't know much about his work but he sounds like a narcissist. What do you think?
Thriller MJ I'm familiar with his work and don't think he is a narcissist. Quite the opposite, actually. He lays down some seriously enlightening concepts, yet he doesn't do it from a position of "mighty intelectual god", but rather of "doubtfull epistemocrat". The way he communicates his ideas might feel a bit ... rough, but I think it's a byproduct of his frustration with the general state of idiocy that rules academia, politics, science (etc.) nowadays.
Check him out for yourself! You won't regret it! He's an acquired taste, but a rather addictive one. Cheers