The erosion of my financial reserves due to inflation adds to my concerns. At this point, I require precise market trajectory information, but I find myself unsure about the appropriate course of action.
Inflation hits people a lot harder than a crashing stock or housing market as it directly affects people's cost of living that people immediately feel the impact of. It's not surprising negative market sentiment is so high now. We really need help to survive in this Economy. The ETF/Equity market keeps swinging.
The market's direction can swiftly change, with indexes frequently transitioning from a bear market to a bull market precisely when the news is most negative and investor sentiment reaches its lowest point.
@@trazzpalmer3199 I agree, and for that reason I prefer to have a financial consultant make my day-to-day investment decisions. Given that their entire skill set is based on going long and short at the same time as well as employing risk for its asymmetrical upside and laying off risk as a hedge against the inevitable downward turns, coupled with the exclusive information/analysis they have, it's nearly impossible to not out-perform. I've been using a financial consultant for over two years and I've already seen positive.
@@graceocean8323 I've been looking at comparable opportunities in the current market because I know a lot of people who made fortunes from the Dotcom crash and the 2008 crash. Could this consultant who helps you be of any assistance?
SALVATORE FORTUNATO SOFIA is the name of my financial consultant. I learned about her from a Kiyosaki Radio interview, from which I later got in touch with her. She has since offered me entry and exit points for the stocks and exchange-traded funds (ETFs) I'm interested in. You are welcome to perform a quick online search using her name. I essentially follow her market judgments without feeling guilty about it.
Wall Street pitched so-called quality stocks with high profitability and low debt, as a kind of insurance against whatever the economy might throw at you. Quality stocks have underperformed the S&P500 this year, My $400k portfolio is down by approximately 20 %, any recommendations to scale up my ROI before retirement will be highly appreciated.
It’s precisely at times like these that investors need to be on guard against the next certainty. You don’t have to act on every forecast, hence i will suggest you get yourself a financial-advisor that can provide you with entry and exit points on the shares/ETF you focus on.
@@kaylawood9053 The uncertainties accompanying this present market is more reasons I have my daily investment decisions guided by a portfolio-coach seeing that their entire skillset is built around going long and short at the same time, both employing profit-oriented strategy and laying off risk as a hedge against the inevitable downtrends, coupled with the exclusive analysis, it's quite impossible not to outperform. Netted over $550k in return on investment, since using a coach for about 2years.
@@legacymedia8468 I just looked up Heather Lee Larioni online and researched her accreditation. She seem very proficient, I wrote her detailing my Fin-market goals and scheduled a call
Out of the tunnel, heading into an open road. With the stock market, as in life, perspective is everything. Thank you Chris and Kathy for this secular update! Best Regards.
I am telling you folks this is one of the most hated bull market rallies in Wall Street history. Where are all the false prophets who keep prophesying about the doomsday crash?. Let's keep crushing those bears! As always, thanks for all your great work Chris! :)
My advice to anyone feeling the heat in this current market. Just trade long term more than ever. If you can then get a professional to trade for you, think that way your assets are more secure
Thanks to Fergus waylen for showing me the appropriate way to get into crypto investing and trading with his trade signal and investing guidelines. Investing and trading are more than just having TA skills. There is a big component of discipline and emotional maturity, that one has to work on! Time in the market vs. timing the market. If you keep that mentality as an investor, you will stay calm during the storm! Within some months I was making a lot more money and have continued on that same path with Mr fergus Waylen /
Oh I remember him, Fergus Waylen, a brilliant market enthusiast with new strategies. I signed up on his platform some months back, it has been productive for me
trading is easier with proper guidance, especially from a professional, Newbies who are not aware of how crypto truly works and wish to make profits from it, I would advise to invest with a professional like Fergus waylen, It helps secure and minimize the possibilities of losses.
My estimation based on incoming and current demographics in confluence with the fourth industrial revolution is year 2039 minimum up to 2045. Recession already occured on 1/1/22 thru Halloween 2022. SPX and NDX are in a present technical breakout ....... SPX 4600 by August, NDX 14600. 2023 highs SPX 4800 NDX 15750
You state consumption appears strong but how can you say corporate earnings haven't been hit when we have had two consecutive quarters of negative earnings growth for the S&P, which is a technical earnings recession.
Technical analysis not withstanding, I don't think we can compare *relatively* "hard money" environments, with good strong fundamental growth in economies, from 1930s to the 1970s, with an easy money, fiat currency, endless money printing environment that started in the 1970s when Nixon went off the gold standard, and has gotten especially egregious since 2008. Imo the bear market periods will only start to increase. I'm referring to the chart at 18:42.
One very large consideration your chart - which begins in 1933 - does not reflect is the 90% drop in the stock market in 1929. Is there no risk our very near future might experience a similar outcome?
SNP 500 in corrective mode now As long as Short Term Support at 4260, is not violated with a Daily Close, next upward test of minimum 4500 in the cards before the next correction takes place.
looking at the charts you presented! I am 100% certain it’s a traders market! to continue a bearish down trend we need to break and hold below 2900!! It’s a traders reality! the market is making higher highs and higher lows! lol
deep into the red box, deep into the red box, deep into the red box, deep into the red box, deep into the red box, deep into the red box, deep into the red box,
Interesting. But of course the 27 year trend is entirely random. It just looks like a pattern. There is no internal reason that any secular bull market should last 27 years, rather than 13 years, merely half that prior trend. We have had our 13 years. Of much more interest to me is the fact that we are in our 18th month of this correction. That is very, very long, for any secular bull to pause. So unless it suddenly breaks the years old high, I see it as topping.
What are the forces behind a secular trend? It seems very irrational to me to put an arbitrary time on a bull market and ignore macro factors - high rates in a highly indebted economy. I do agree that markets will continue to ignore risks and maybe they are right. The Fed always seems to save the day and the asset holders come out way richer. Unless this time is different lol
I'm a know-nothing retail guy, but my interpretation is that "the institutions" stepped in every time the S&P hit the 50th month MA and saved the trend. Is that a direct result of Fed policy? I have no idea. That might be true over the last 40 years. But I'm not sure it's true for the entire analysis here.
@@duezeri1968 good point on the current latest trend - it was institutions and not the fed. I more meant market participants are ignoring the dangers ahead but I guess thats the same thing. i.e. if there is a financial crisis, the fed will back stop the markets with more than enough liquidity to keep the secular trend going. so buy any dip as the fed has the markets back. such as the discount window for smaller banks etc. or preventing an upcoming credit crunch
we can always go back to history for data and comparison with the current situation, but back then there was no Russia/Ukraine war, inflation, rate hikes, China Vs USA cold war, anything can happen within a day or two and all these CMT data go bust, all I can sat risk what you can lose and sleep well.
Plugs the investment after he lost it all during 2022 now trying to buy the 8 bar on the weekly chart and mega caps have 9 count on the monthly chart. Oof
@R N I'm just trying to figure out who you're talking about when you say "...this is quite scary especially if someone wants to invest in high beta stocks."
Are stocks "rising" or currency "falling"? Dow index was 18 ounces of gold in 1929 and 18 ounces of gold in 2022. Zero gain unless measured in Ponzi pixels and Ponzi paper. The real price never changes, only the fake price changes. Don't get fooled by Ponzi paper. Measure in honest gold and silver 3D money. Gasoline is the same price in 2023 as it was in 1960's measured in honest weights and measures, silver coins.
It doesnt matter. Thats obvious information. The market knows it, and if it was a concern the markets wouldve accounted for that. You need to have respect for the market or you’ll get your cheeks clapper. Its ALL about sentiment and positioning. Being contrarian with big balls in this market pays off.
The erosion of my financial reserves due to inflation adds to my concerns. At this point, I require precise market trajectory information, but I find myself unsure about the appropriate course of action.
Inflation hits people a lot harder than a crashing stock or housing market as it directly affects people's cost of living that people immediately feel the impact of. It's not surprising negative market sentiment is so high now. We really need help to survive in this Economy. The ETF/Equity market keeps swinging.
The market's direction can swiftly change, with indexes frequently transitioning from a bear market to a bull market precisely when the news is most negative and investor sentiment reaches its lowest point.
@@trazzpalmer3199 I agree, and for that reason I prefer to have a financial consultant make my day-to-day investment decisions. Given that their entire skill set is based on going long and short at the same time as well as employing risk for its asymmetrical upside and laying off risk as a hedge against the inevitable downward turns, coupled with the exclusive information/analysis they have, it's nearly impossible to not out-perform. I've been using a financial consultant for over two years and I've already seen positive.
@@graceocean8323 I've been looking at comparable opportunities in the current market because I know a lot of people who made fortunes from the Dotcom crash and the 2008 crash. Could this consultant who helps you be of any assistance?
SALVATORE FORTUNATO SOFIA is the name of my financial consultant. I learned about her from a Kiyosaki Radio interview, from which I later got in touch with her. She has since offered me entry and exit points for the stocks and exchange-traded funds (ETFs) I'm interested in. You are welcome to perform a quick online search using her name. I essentially follow her market judgments without feeling guilty about it.
Wall Street pitched so-called quality stocks with high profitability and low debt, as a kind of insurance against whatever the economy might throw at you. Quality stocks have underperformed the S&P500 this year, My $400k portfolio is down by approximately 20 %, any recommendations to scale up my ROI before retirement will be highly appreciated.
It’s precisely at times like these that investors need to be on guard against the next certainty. You don’t have to act on every forecast, hence i will suggest you get yourself a financial-advisor that can provide you with entry and exit points on the shares/ETF you focus on.
@@kaylawood9053 The uncertainties accompanying this present market is more reasons I have my daily investment decisions guided by a portfolio-coach seeing that their entire skillset is built around going long and short at the same time, both employing profit-oriented strategy and laying off risk as a hedge against the inevitable downtrends, coupled with the exclusive analysis, it's quite impossible not to outperform. Netted over $550k in return on investment, since using a coach for about 2years.
@@legacymedia8468 I could really use the expertise of this advisors , my portfolio has been down bad....who’s the person guiding you?
@@cloudyblaze7916 The advisor I use is Heather Lee Larioni, she's verifiable , so you could just search her.
@@legacymedia8468 I just looked up Heather Lee Larioni online and researched her accreditation. She seem very proficient, I wrote her detailing my Fin-market goals and scheduled a call
Very useful long take and historical charting. Really enjoyed the Chance Trend Meter look. Essential weekly lessons. Thanks Chris and Kathy
Out of the tunnel, heading into an open road. With the stock market, as in life, perspective is everything. Thank you Chris and Kathy for this secular update! Best Regards.
You are the most credible analyst on the web, gl with the new ventures!
I love your long historical views of the markets. Gives me confidence in my investments. Currently 100% in TSLA 😁
5400 shares of Tesla myself! Elon will make us all very rich!
9600 shares of PLTR as well!
I’ve been talking about this secular trend a lot lately. We’re headed so much higher in 10-12 years. Especially Nasdaq
Excellent, and yes I remember your extrapolation in 2019 looking at the next peak to be around 2035. Realistic! 👍
Thanks Chris, great presentation of facts as always, have a good weekend.
3:40 I use CTM, thanks for including it!
Chris, this is one of my favorite videos to date! Thank you my friend for all the effort to put these videos together! Let's all make some money!
Best stock market analysis I've ever seen.
😂
Agreed
I am telling you folks this is one of the most hated bull market rallies in Wall Street history. Where are all the false prophets who keep prophesying about the doomsday crash?. Let's keep crushing those bears! As always, thanks for all your great work Chris! :)
Mega doomers? Surely you meant the top 5:
- Maverick of Wall Street
- Ron "Wrong" Walker
- Money Time Machine
- Jim Cramer
- Ciovacco Capital
@Abe "...who keep prophesying [prophesizing] about..."
@@user-xq2fz5tz9t Cramer & Ciovacco are not "doomers." Walker is the worst with his 13-count & 9-count reversal signal BS.
PE = 26
Thankyou for the presentation. Great information as always
My advice to anyone feeling the heat in this current market. Just trade long term more than ever. If you can then get a professional to trade for you, think that way your assets are more secure
Thanks to Fergus waylen for showing me the appropriate way to get into crypto investing and trading with his trade signal and investing guidelines. Investing and trading are more than just having TA skills. There is a big component of discipline and emotional maturity, that one has to work on! Time in the market vs. timing the market. If you keep that mentality as an investor, you will stay calm during the storm! Within some months I was making a lot more money and have continued on that same path with Mr fergus Waylen /
Oh I remember him, Fergus Waylen, a brilliant market enthusiast with new strategies. I signed up on his platform some months back, it has been productive for me
All good investors are conversant with expert Fergus waylen, he's unique in the field just got to keep to his instructions and you'll Excel. /
How does this trading stuff work? I'm really interested but I just don't know how it go about it. I heard people really make it huge trading
trading is easier with proper guidance, especially from a professional, Newbies who are not aware of how crypto truly works and wish to make profits from it, I would advise to invest with a professional like Fergus waylen, It helps secure and minimize the possibilities of losses.
Absolutely love watching your long term analysis
Agreed
Thank you for another great analysis
Awesome Analyses. You are the BEST!
best stuff i herd all week that was fantastic
much appreciated as always great information for contemplation.
Thank you so much for your valuable knowledge 🙏😊
Great analysis. I would love to see this analysis on the NASDAQ stock exchange.
thank u so so much
I don't understand how everyone is so bullish when the yield curve is still super inverted.
Thank you!
My estimation based on incoming and current demographics in confluence with the fourth industrial revolution is year 2039 minimum up to 2045.
Recession already occured on 1/1/22 thru Halloween 2022.
SPX and NDX are in a present technical breakout ....... SPX 4600 by August, NDX 14600.
2023 highs SPX 4800
NDX 15750
You state consumption appears strong but how can you say corporate earnings haven't been hit when we have had two consecutive quarters of negative earnings growth for the S&P, which is a technical earnings recession.
Great Facts!
Just imagine what the inflation will be if s&p double or triple 😄
That’s the direction we’re headed, prepare for it.
Excellent analysis
Technical analysis not withstanding, I don't think we can compare *relatively* "hard money" environments, with good strong fundamental growth in economies, from 1930s to the 1970s, with an easy money, fiat currency, endless money printing environment that started in the 1970s when Nixon went off the gold standard, and has gotten especially egregious since 2008. Imo the bear market periods will only start to increase. I'm referring to the chart at 18:42.
One very large consideration your chart - which begins in 1933 - does not reflect is the 90% drop in the stock market in 1929. Is there no risk our very near future might experience a similar outcome?
Inverted yield curve says big recession soon
Tom lee also said 2035 for the end of secular bull market in a video. The reason was tied to spending power of 30s end then.. something like that.
You can't see past the next 6 months.. Come on really
SNP 500 in corrective mode now As long as Short Term Support at 4260, is not violated with a Daily Close, next upward test of minimum 4500 in the cards before the next correction takes place.
You are saying the same thing my Elliot Wave guy is saying.
Bonds yield 4%. Stocks yield 1%. So... why bonds down and stocks up?
Stupid people.
looking at the charts you presented! I am 100% certain it’s a traders market! to continue a bearish down trend we need to break and hold below 2900!! It’s a traders reality! the market is making higher highs and higher lows! lol
deep into the red box, deep into the red box, deep into the red box, deep into the red box, deep into the red box, deep into the red box, deep into the red box,
Interesting. But of course the 27 year trend is entirely random. It just looks like a pattern. There is no internal reason that any secular bull market should last 27 years, rather than 13 years, merely half that prior trend. We have had our 13 years. Of much more interest to me is the fact that we are in our 18th month of this correction. That is very, very long, for any secular bull to pause. So unless it suddenly breaks the years old high, I see it as topping.
The PE of the S&P is way too high with treasuries paying 5%. It’s completely illogical.
What are the forces behind a secular trend? It seems very irrational to me to put an arbitrary time on a bull market and ignore macro factors - high rates in a highly indebted economy. I do agree that markets will continue to ignore risks and maybe they are right. The Fed always seems to save the day and the asset holders come out way richer. Unless this time is different lol
I'm a know-nothing retail guy, but my interpretation is that "the institutions" stepped in every time the S&P hit the 50th month MA and saved the trend. Is that a direct result of Fed policy? I have no idea. That might be true over the last 40 years. But I'm not sure it's true for the entire analysis here.
@@duezeri1968 good point on the current latest trend - it was institutions and not the fed. I more meant market participants are ignoring the dangers ahead but I guess thats the same thing. i.e. if there is a financial crisis, the fed will back stop the markets with more than enough liquidity to keep the secular trend going. so buy any dip as the fed has the markets back. such as the discount window for smaller banks etc. or preventing an upcoming credit crunch
we can always go back to history for data and comparison with the current situation, but back then there was no Russia/Ukraine war, inflation, rate hikes, China Vs USA cold war, anything can happen within a day or two and all these CMT data go bust, all I can sat risk what you can lose and sleep well.
@Jack "...all I can sat [say is] risk what you can lose..." Even in the past, there were wars, inflation, rate hikes, & the Cold War.
Plugs the investment after he lost it all during 2022 now trying to buy the 8 bar on the weekly chart and mega caps have 9 count on the monthly chart. Oof
Hi Ron
@@Swipe650 Ron Walker lolll?
@@Swipe650🤣🤣🤣
What do you mean by secular trends
Incredible catch at 38:38
The title implies he is predicting nothing but good things for the next dozen years. Do I still need to watch the video?
Have to say that I do agree with this long term view of yours but this is quite scary especially if someone wants to invest in high beta stocks..
Why is it scary? Don’t you mean exciting?
Who wants to invest in high beta stocks?
@@sebfox2194 I don't know man, maybe everyone that isn't you..?
@R N I'm just trying to figure out who you're talking about when you say "...this is quite scary especially if someone wants to invest in high beta stocks."
Are stocks "rising" or currency "falling"? Dow index was 18 ounces of gold in 1929 and 18 ounces of gold in 2022. Zero gain unless measured in Ponzi pixels and Ponzi paper. The real price never changes, only the fake price changes. Don't get fooled by Ponzi paper. Measure in honest gold and silver 3D money. Gasoline is the same price in 2023 as it was in 1960's measured in honest weights and measures, silver coins.
Comparing to a WORLD PANDEMIC and 0 interest rates for 10 years?????????
are you at all concerned with the fed saying they will increase rates?
It doesnt matter. Thats obvious information. The market knows it, and if it was a concern the markets wouldve accounted for that. You need to have respect for the market or you’ll get your cheeks clapper. Its ALL about sentiment and positioning. Being contrarian with big balls in this market pays off.
and stock's could sink till 2035 this bull is worthless.
Maybe. Maybe not
This means around 2035 the S&P will be over 9000!!!
And Social Security will be insolvent.
Looking at the NYSE is kind of redundant
2026
'PromoSM'
Good information but I do remember in early 2020 you were also saying the charts looked okay. So I take everything with a grain of salt.
Great analysis as always thanks