Yes, of course Warwick, you can predict radical uncertainty, unexpected shock, and human irrationality with past data. The formula is y^ = b0+b1x(t-1)+(please go back to UA-cam analytics + focus on the next viral video)
Very good trading video. I personally make about 200 dollars each day net profit trading online. If you want a free consultation on how I do this send me an email here: toshtao@gmail. com
There is a huge problem with this study: The hindsight bias of knowing that debt was the cause of the crash and the extent to which debt was a problem in 08. Effectively what this is doing is shorting the dow in 08 and going long other times. I would be interested how this algorithm preforms from 09 -12 vs the dow. Rather than just seeing how it shorts 08 when everyone is googling debt. Or for comparison maybe choose to test on 98 - 2006 - at least this would control for a crash not completely based around debt. In reality this strategy is just telling us something we already know - there was a debt crisis in 2008.
I did my final year academic project on Financial predication using artificial neural network(ANN) . In this project we applied Functional Link ANN( FLANN),having different expansion for the prediction of two different indices. We collected some old data from BSE and feed it into the network. The learning process was repeated over 3000 times and the entire simulation was done on Mat lab software.
This is a very primitive means of predicting the market, manually putting in words and seeing what the result is. Put a supercomputer to the task with all the information at hand, and allow it operate beyond just individual word searches and find correlations between multiple words/phrases and market movements and allow it the freedom to learn how to best respond to these things to maximize profits and you'll be rich. I wouldn't be surprised if people are already secretly doing this.
• Riftis • I am just learning about ai and data sets to do this I think you would need some massive computing power, I don't know if we are there yet but it still fascinates me.
It won’t make you rich! Markets like other things in universe are highly random. So you can only have the illusion of short term profit. But considering for example 1 million traders, based on the random distribution, few of them would make long term profit. But that’s exactly based on the randomness.
A simple multiple linear regression problem with searched keywords being used as one variable in the regression equation. What's the big deal ? The video could be of not more than 5 mins to explain this.
I am 48 year old, work as a data scientist at a big bank, also day trade on the side on my phone and still have a set of hair. I can still out bballing 70% of recent college grads that my company hires. LOL
@@googlerreviewer4368 I am a day trader. I never hold any stock positions at the end of the day. I only have cash in my account at the end of the day, no stock.
@@googlerreviewer4368 I spread my risk over many different investment strategies. I still need the medical insurance from my work as my kids are still young. If I am super riche then I will buy own insurance. But I am okay rich like having 6 to 8MM, a trip to the hospital will wipe me out, bro. Don't want to take that risk.
Well yeah... I play poker online and I can tell ALLL about what people will do. I starting with the choice of their picture and then go to what details are in the picture. I can tell so much about them that I win the games if I stay. Sometimes I get bored and get out of the game. PEOPLE ARE SO PREDICTABLE. ALLLLL PEOPLE. ALLL
haha, i play too but i only win when my ego is in control....how often do you play and how many hours a week. by that info i can tell how good you really are
THIS IS POOP...until I can SHARE it! I don't know exactly why I'm being constrained from SHARING this video, but it sure is stupid!! This is data others need to be aware of!! Beep it and whoever has limited its sharing! ;/
I know this is going to be tough for you...but I'm going to ask you to actually use your brain for a moment. Did you think about this at all before asking another for the answer? Did you consider the various possibilities? I don't think you did. Go ahead and think about it for a while, and maybe several possible answers will come to you...or not.
Give yourself a big prize for being the stupidest person online today. You STILL haven't thought about it. Yeah, you can type, but you apparently can't think. It must suck to be you. Did you ever think that perhaps at the time I first mentioned it, it WASN'T shareable? I mean really, how truly stupidly lazy are you? Actually, I don't care, but you should. Get a brain, and leave me alone, idiot. This is the second time I've told you to leave me alone. I'm reporting your stupid ass. Grow up, stupid. Thanks.
Dan Lewis How can someone this stupid be so full of himself. Maybe you should learn to properly articulate what you mean before make a fool of yourself. But apparently you stopped going to school after elementary school. No wonder you sound so fucking stupid.
His final conclusion "it might be possible to predict market behaviour" ie. he's never tested his theory, what a waste of 16mins 49 seconds of my life then.
billion dollar ideas whilst wearing a 20 dollar suit and dayum get a hair stylist bud.ok so looking for profitable terms on google has brought you success? ffs never do the search for how often people type in porn youd be a overnight gazillionaire
This was great, thanks, I've been looking for "how to forecast stock prices" for a while now, and I think this has helped. Ever heard of - Sanames Stockify Scripophily - (do a search on google ) ? Ive heard some pretty good things about it and my mate got excellent success with it.
only stupid poeple wants to get rich. the wise poeple are already rich. i see most poeple commenting this have got the focus on the money and not on information presententet. Remember that wisdom gives you a great well paid job wich makes you financialy happy... or unhapppy.. it depends on how you decide to use the money you earn and how adicted you are to having money. Using the google information to get welthy requires that you can handle the huge information amount and no human can handle it all on it´s own. this means it is only usefull for machines in now a days. for that reason we got neural networks and work on making computeres faster and faster wich can help making decissions based on big information... but in the end... it does not work if poeple like me are idiots at programming those networks. the interresting thing in this conferrence is that the information needed is out there , but it needs to get treated the right way. computeres are already trading with this inforrmation.... so the real questiuons is just....should private poeple try to beat computers or not.... i know that computers are so much smarter tahn the human so my answer is NO. spend your money on living instead and take a real job you can control. Let the smart guys beat you as they always will. ;)
Use 1.5x speed.
I used 1.25
okay sergey
Exception Handler this definitely went past people’s head but you’re rude🤣🤣😂😂😂
Thank you.
Nice, it saved you 5min
Thank god for UA-cam x2 speed option I think in this case x5 is needed
2x was fine for me, give the guy a brake
@@kibilostintranslation9700 he took enough breaks hehe
All of this stuff helps influence the markets maybe even more than they can predict them..
There are probably a lot of useful information here but my attention span won't even last 5 seconds without getting lost or bored of him.
Benjamin Xiong speed up the video
Derek Wicks 3 years later. No! Find me a summary. Not gonna breakdown his presentation.
Definitely speed it up. He talks like everything he is saying is mind blowing so he needs to talk slow so we can understand
Yes, of course Warwick, you can predict radical uncertainty, unexpected shock, and human irrationality with past data. The formula is y^ = b0+b1x(t-1)+(please go back to UA-cam analytics + focus on the next viral video)
nooo nooo it has to be b0^and b1^
So basically we should go long on pewdiepie?
Man you were wrong
what is pewdiepie and when should we go long?
Market manipulation!
Is there a way that the general public can download the algorithm software that you used to collect your data?
system will not work if everybody knows
Very good trading video. I personally make about 200 dollars each day net profit trading online. If you want a free consultation on how I do this send me an email here: toshtao@gmail. com
There is a huge problem with this study: The hindsight bias of knowing that debt was the cause of the crash and the extent to which debt was a problem in 08. Effectively what this is doing is shorting the dow in 08 and going long other times. I would be interested how this algorithm preforms from 09 -12 vs the dow. Rather than just seeing how it shorts 08 when everyone is googling debt. Or for comparison maybe choose to test on 98 - 2006 - at least this would control for a crash not completely based around debt. In reality this strategy is just telling us something we already know - there was a debt crisis in 2008.
watching in September 7, 2019
I did my final year academic project on Financial predication using artificial neural network(ANN) . In this project we applied Functional Link ANN( FLANN),having different expansion for the prediction of two different indices. We collected some old data from BSE and feed it into the network. The learning process was repeated over 3000 times and the entire simulation was done on Mat lab software.
Please post a presentation with your project for educational purposes. Thanks!
Ok I will make and will upload it soon.
saurav: thanks for the insight. looking forward to your video.
saurav kumar and??? What's the conclusion? Was it successful or a failure?
What's the results? Why would anyone interested in your model when you don't even show the results?
There are many sign of bull market beginning and bear market beginning. Google knows them and sometimes it shows people.
Speed up by 1.25-1.5 if you don't want to lose your attention span and still get the information
At 1.5x speed this is still too slow...
Never thought that Akshay Khanna would be knowing so much about financial markets.
This is a very primitive means of predicting the market, manually putting in words and seeing what the result is. Put a supercomputer to the task with all the information at hand, and allow it operate beyond just individual word searches and find correlations between multiple words/phrases and market movements and allow it the freedom to learn how to best respond to these things to maximize profits and you'll be rich. I wouldn't be surprised if people are already secretly doing this.
• Riftis • I am just learning about ai and data sets to do this I think you would need some massive computing power, I don't know if we are there yet but it still fascinates me.
We may not be. But big players had already done it I guess
It won’t make you rich! Markets like other things in universe are highly random. So you can only have the illusion of short term profit. But considering for example 1 million traders, based on the random distribution, few of them would make long term profit. But that’s exactly based on the randomness.
Doctor Strangelove had a son!!
Strangelove?
Haha first thing I did was ctrl+f strangelove ...
A simple multiple linear regression problem with searched keywords being used as one variable in the regression equation. What's the big deal ? The video could be of not more than 5 mins to explain this.
the sound is really BAD!! for god sake.. be professional wtf?
This sounds like a school project
Have you ever seen a stock trader with a lot of hair after the 35-40s?
I am 48 year old, work as a data scientist at a big bank, also day trade on the side on my phone and still have a set of hair. I can still out bballing 70% of recent college grads that my company hires. LOL
@@ki5ngau you are not a day trader; you are a swing trader. there's a difference.
@@googlerreviewer4368 I am a day trader. I never hold any stock positions at the end of the day. I only have cash in my account at the end of the day, no stock.
@@ki5ngau if you keep on beating the market, why don't you just quit your full time job and enjoy being financially free with all your hair left lol
@@googlerreviewer4368 I spread my risk over many different investment strategies. I still need the medical insurance from my work as my kids are still young. If I am super riche then I will buy own insurance. But I am okay rich like having 6 to 8MM, a trip to the hospital will wipe me out, bro. Don't want to take that risk.
so did the authors make any money out of this?
Imagine CERN data
watching it in 2021
that lip be glitching
Well yeah... I play poker online and I can tell ALLL about what people will do. I starting with the choice of their picture and then go to what details are in the picture. I can tell so much about them that I win the games if I stay. Sometimes I get bored and get out of the game. PEOPLE ARE SO PREDICTABLE. ALLLLL PEOPLE. ALLL
haha, i play too but i only win when my ego is in control....how often do you play and how many hours a week. by that info i can tell how good you really are
Does not work like this anymore....
Ok so lets make a bot that's searches Google for these key words millions of times over and Baaaam!!! This guys strategy is good for sh!t now. Lol 😂
saiboT | Tobias
This is how musk bezos and etc. Are billionaires
Piri reis
THIS IS POOP...until I can SHARE it! I don't know exactly why I'm being constrained from SHARING this video, but it sure is stupid!! This is data others need to be aware of!! Beep it and whoever has limited its sharing! ;/
Dan Lewis What are you talking about? You can share it.
I know this is going to be tough for you...but I'm going to ask you to actually use your brain for a moment.
Did you think about this at all before asking another for the answer?
Did you consider the various possibilities?
I don't think you did.
Go ahead and think about it for a while, and maybe several possible answers will come to you...or not.
Give yourself a big prize for being the stupidest person online today.
You STILL haven't thought about it.
Yeah, you can type, but you apparently can't think. It must suck to be you.
Did you ever think that perhaps at the time I first mentioned it, it WASN'T shareable?
I mean really, how truly stupidly lazy are you?
Actually, I don't care, but you should.
Get a brain, and leave me alone, idiot.
This is the second time I've told you to leave me alone. I'm reporting your stupid ass.
Grow up, stupid. Thanks.
Dan Lewis
How can someone this stupid be so full of himself. Maybe you should learn to properly articulate what you mean before make a fool of yourself. But apparently you stopped going to school after elementary school. No wonder you sound so fucking stupid.
+onee ire yeuxud
His final conclusion "it might be possible to predict market behaviour" ie. he's never tested his theory, what a waste of 16mins 49 seconds of my life then.
Vat
Liar
He's not giving a TED talk, he's giving a lecture. This means he didn't get good coaching. Plus awful audio. Who organized this?
billion dollar ideas whilst wearing a 20 dollar suit and dayum get a hair stylist bud.ok so looking for profitable terms on google has brought you success? ffs never do the search for how often people type in porn youd be a overnight gazillionaire
Shut this off!
This is pseudoscience
This was great, thanks, I've been looking for "how to forecast stock prices" for a while now, and I think this has helped. Ever heard of - Sanames Stockify Scripophily - (do a search on google ) ? Ive heard some pretty good things about it and my mate got excellent success with it.
he s selling....nobody can pricdict the stock market crases....he is selling his materials big data
only stupid poeple wants to get rich. the wise poeple are already rich. i see most poeple commenting this have got the focus on the money and not on information presententet. Remember that wisdom gives you a great well paid job wich makes you financialy happy... or unhapppy.. it depends on how you decide to use the money you earn and how adicted you are to having money. Using the google information to get welthy requires that you can handle the huge information amount and no human can handle it all on it´s own. this means it is only usefull for machines in now a days. for that reason we got neural networks and work on making computeres faster and faster wich can help making decissions based on big information... but in the end... it does not work if poeple like me are idiots at programming those networks. the interresting thing in this conferrence is that the information needed is out there , but it needs to get treated the right way. computeres are already trading with this inforrmation.... so the real questiuons is just....should private poeple try to beat computers or not.... i know that computers are so much smarter tahn the human so my answer is NO. spend your money on living instead and take a real job you can control. Let the smart guys beat you as they always will. ;)
Boring