Midseason AFL 2024 Ladder Prediction
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- Опубліковано 11 чер 2024
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Predicting the final AFL ladder for season 2024. - Спорт
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I get the Essendon placement if you just order them on perceived quality. But they have 8.5 wins banked, plus very winnable games like Eagles Crows and GC at Docklands as well as St Kilda and a very weakened Melbourne. They have to seriously fall in a hole to miss the 8 from there. Even allowing for them to fall away a bit, they are pretty well placed to finish 5 or 6th still.
7 of their wins came from the bottom 8 sides
They should be sucking off the afl for their over glorified current position
Essendon falling away at the end of the year would be nothing new
@@Johny-jy5vo 💀 West toast next than a trash form cats n pies than a injured Melbourne team than crows saints dockers all in Melbourne not hard to beat them hardest game we got is cats in our next 8 games stop smoking crack
@@stephencurry3841 yes very lucky draw but I still think they will just scrape in or just miss the 8
Geelong I don’t rate but are still better than Essendon
Adelaide should have won last time but umpires got Essendon over the line
Freo in much better form
St Kilda in shit form this year but Essendon only managed a 4 point victory against them earlier this year
Collingwood are in decent form considering their injuries
U can bank the bombers for two more wins , they need 4-5 to make the eight , it’s doable but can they ??? All those currently in the eight need 5 wins percentage is king this year for everyone big position will be decided by percentage
Two wins from here is possible but would be absolute bottom end of likely outcomes. Percentage also only really matters to separate Essendon Freo and Brisbane at the moment as they all have draws. They are all plausibly fighting for spots 5-8 so % does matter, but it’s less important than usual. (Collingwood have two draws so they are matched against the non-draw teams; also you’d expect they are probably top four anyway).
Pretty amazing how well the Pies are going with all their injuries. McCrae seems like an incredible coach and motivator
shut up nerd
I think its the other coaches actually, and the players committed to playing their roles. Collingwood is lucky to not have any injuries to Daicos. That's quite unusual for a kid. Take him out and its a massive loss. Also sides don't want to tag or rough up.
Hawthorn! If they make the eight, instinct will kick in and they'll blow up everybody else's plans and dreams.
So many clubs this year have had either an up & down season, or otherwise are up & down every couple of weeks.
Essendon, if they can find consistency should get into 5th/6th, but that's a wish not an expectation.
Good vid.
3 rivalry finals would be insane
I’ve been saying I think Essendon might just fall out of the 8, like 9th/10th I think Giants will still make the 8, idk about top 4 tho and I don’t think Hawks will get to 13 wins which I think is around about the benchmark to be in the 8 this year, I have more faith in a lions surge, they’ve got a pretty good second half fixture
I did my ladder prodictor last weekend and wow it was so close to yours with Sydney than Carlton 2nd I don't have Geelong and Essendon in the 8 but Bulldogs and Brisbane in I need to check again.
nahh even as a hawks fan i don't think we're making the 8. even if we finish the season well (and don't have a form slump, which i feel is likely to happen) our percentage is gonna screw us over
Bombers have been struggling in the midfield since Draper went down 5 weeks ago but he'll be back after the bye as Redman and Duursma will be too with Parish a few weeks away yet. I know every team has injuries and I'm not gonna say Essendon has it the worst but that's 3 of our best 10 players and another automatic best 22 player missing now that will return within the next few games. In the run home Essendon face West Coast, Adelaide, Gold Coast and Fremantle at Marvel and face St. Kilda in amongst that run as well, I might be biased but I'm pencilling in 5 wins right there with a game against the depleted Dees in there too as more of a 50/50 game. If Essendon win just 5 more games for the season that's 13 wins and a draw which will be enough to play finals. I personally am locking in a finals berth for the Bombers, they've started too well and have an easy run home.
Just made a similar comment about the run home but forgot to add the returning players. Spot on.
They have had an easy run so far
7 wins from the bottom 8 teams
I have been saying for weeks that Essendon might just miss finals and even if they make it they are just making up the numbers
I have us. (Port) Finishing anywhere betweefinishing anywhere between 4th (Best case) and 13th (worst case). Assuming we end up winning the games I expect us to, losing the games I expect us to, and everyone else performs more or less as I expect we end up separated by percentage with Essendon (Eight), Melbourne (nine), and Gold Coast ((10))
13th sounds about right.
Feels like Hawthorn are over achieving a bit with that they have. Just not sure they have enough top-level talent on their list to be a serious player at the business end (neither this year, nor going forward). Seems a bit like fools gold to me this current run of form and reminds me a bit of the North sides under Dani Laidley and Brad Scott.
gold coast of their remaining 3 away games, 3 of them are bottom 4, gold coast's fortress at Metricon will also help them get to around 13 wins
Great vid mate! I would love to see a Battle of the Bridge grand final 😁
If Lions can’t get it, I hope either GWS or Carlton get the flag this year
Just did the ladder predictor 3 times this is what I got..
1 Sydney
2 Carlton
3 essendon
4 Collingwood
5 gws
6 Geelong
7 freo
8 Gold Coast
9 port
10 Brisbane
11 Melbourne
12 bulldogs
13 Adelaide
14 Hawthorne
15 st Kilda
16 west coast
17 Richmond
18 norf
Port in 9th is insane
My predictor lines up pretty well with the sportbet prem odds. Haw is 13th btw
WOW! I'm a Hawthorn supporter and even I am not that optimistic. Lets see it! Geelong V Hawthorn elimination final would be epic.
Very Interesting Jesse, some Flagmantle peeps will be happy ish
Brave ladder to tip especially with the Hawks getting in, but could be a big possibility with their form they are currently in. A Cats V Hawks EF would be amazing to sorta bring back the rivalry from the 2010’s, a Blues V Pies QF would be the best game of the first week of finals and Swans v Giants would be good too. Dons just need to bank in wins to make the 8 and with the games against either Eagles, Suns or maybe even the saints, they could take advantage of those ones to boost their percentage. Cats fan
Geelong vs Hawthorn Elimination Final would be insane!!
Damn hopefully 🙏 you get them number right I reckon Brisbane will play finals will see their second half fixtures are so good.
Oooo Essendon hahah
I don't know if Gold Coast have a problem with "a young side running out of steam" like they used to. Their key group has been in the system long enough to have the endurance. But they have a lot of players with big injury history.
But on top of the physical side of endurance, sustaining gameplay, mental strength and the belief to win and that sort of thing is something they may struggle with.
Also better help is a scam.
My prediction is the current top 8 sides will be playing finals. It will be a Sydney v Collingwood grand final.
Love how freo win the flag this year from 8th. First team to do so
As a Hawks supporter I would love to see it but I doubt it. The form in the last two months has been great, But I do think we will tire towards the end of the season.
We would likely need 7 wins from 10 games maybe even 8. The run home is probably easier than average and the injury list is looking better than any time this year.
Stranger things have happened but more likely they finish on 10 -11 wins and finish just outside.
All Hawthorn can do is just keep winning and prove everyone wrong
With our percentage we’ll need 14 wins for finals, most likely. That’s 8 out of our next 10 games. Not going to happen, we’ll drop away at some point. I’d be pretty happy with 10-12 wins for the season.
@@thesecondavatar 12th and higher is an excellent year for the club (will Sam Mitchell be coach of the year without being in the top 8?)
i do not wanna play the giants in finals. were yet to beat them and although were due and usually take care of them in h&a games theyre a sort of bogey finals side for us. good vid mate
Carlton v Collingwood, Sydney v GWS Qualifying Finals & Geelong v Hawthorn Elimination Final would be fucked
IN: Essendon and Brisbane Lions
OUT: Hawthorn and Collingwood
Let’s see where Geelong finishs ;)
Seems like a weird unjustified outcome. There are plenty of teams in the 8 that are in bad form and have lost a lot of games recently. It also doesn’t seem like you’ve looked at the runs home, pretty lazy!
ppl saying hawks wont go near the 8 when they have 5 winnable games making it 11 wins then could win 1-2 games against Freo at home 70%+ ish win rate, Geelong out of form, Giants again but away instead at home, Carlton and Collingwood will be difficult, could see them winning 13 games ish which is close to finals, don't forgot their % is bad bc they haven't played all the easy teams yet
Great video! No way GWS are making the final
I think Fly gets into their heads and they end up loving him and side above all else. Like military training . Brainwashing into total self belief. As a pies fan, It’s been amazing to watch. I’d love to be a fly on the wall when Fly is revving them up
Long time hawks supporter, I realistically think we can win 3-4 more games this year, that don’t make the eight
Why would you get slaughtered. You’re giving a well considered and intelligent analysis.
Geelong top 4
Jesse there’s no chance GWS make the top 4. They probably won’t even make the top 8. They’ve lost 4 of their last 5 and they have Port, Sydney, Carlton, Melbourne, Brisbane, and Fremantle left to play, as well as Hawks and Bulldogs who they have already lost to. They’re only easy games left are Adelaide, Suns, and Richmond.
Sydney, Carlton for Granny…….Collingwood are stagers.
Predicting Hawthorn to finish on top of Essendon is wild
Essendon have only beaten gws and teams towards the bottom of the ladder
Who and how many top 8 teams has Essendon beaten
@@anthonypirera7598 and Hawthorn only beat 1 top 8 team like Essendon
@@Mikey-ni9xlhawthorn deserved to beat Essendon 17 goals 5 to 11 goals 17
Hawthorn also blew it against port
@@Johny-jy5vo Well Essendon deserved to beat Carlton then, with way more shots and inside 50's by that logic. Wouldn't even be a shock if Richmond beat Hawthorn this weekend
Go the hawks! Don’t think we will be 7th
Gotta keep faith
port will finish in 2nd
good luck with that mate, lucky to make september 💀💀
Dreaming.. no way top 4
Ok lucky to beat Hawthorn at home
Port? I mean sure its possible but they don't look the part at all
@@Bevtone not at the moment
I used the predictor on AFL website and got:
1 Sydney
2 Carlton
3 Essendon
4 Geelong
5 Collingwood
6 Brisbane
7 Freo
8 Bulldogs
9 Port
10 Hawthorne
11 Giants
12 Suns
13 Melbourne
14 Saints
15 Adelaide
16 Eagles
17 Richmond
18 North
Mate better help is a scam
Petracca out for the rest of the season :( ❤
Petracca out for the season... melb will definitely slip more then predicted..
More THAN (not & then) 😮.
Swans to play Giants again in a final? And the grannie????
You are a sadist.
You know what's hilarious? On the afl websites predictor his ladder cannot be replicated. No matter who you make win or lose games to try to make his ladder accurate, you cannot actually replicate it. So it's not based in reality, as he hasn't even looked at the games coming up to see who's playing who, or just used the ladder predictor tool.
Going off “vibes” is actually a better metric than ladder predictor. Nobody can tip better than 75-80% accuracy anyway so if you use ladder predictor to actually try and forecast the whole season you’re kidding yourself
@@rn8427 at least the predictor COULD be right. His order is impossible with the match ups left in the season.
Hawthorn will not make it. I can see Brisbane taking that spot
Hawks are higher right now and have an easier fixture
@@leonmead6175 it’s still hawthorn… they’ve had a good month
They have had a good 2 months
6 from the last 8 and the 2 losses were to Sydney and port by a point
@@Johny-jy5vo yeah, a good patch, they’ve been trash for a long time. Need more evidence than a good 6 games
@@darthgeros5863 they finished last year well and beat both grand finalists
Copped a lot of injuries during the preseason but now going along nicely
New players are starting to gel
Very sneaky chance of making the 8
Sydney gws grandfinal. 😫 the worst.... 😴💤💤💤
Please stop the betterhelp sponsorships, they are a scam and share mental health data with advertisers
Swap Hawthorn and Brisbane, I dont think Hawthorn have really beaten anyone significantly, and I do reckon they'll fall off.
Also gws i think I'd have out and I'll back Essendon in to make the 8.
Is that why hawthorn beat Brisbane
Hawthorn lost to port by a point that they threw away
Who have Essendon beaten that’s worth anything?
Gws? Hawthorn beat them too
7 of Essendon 8 wins are against the bottom 8 sides
You talk about young teams running out of legs but yet you put the hawks into the 8 delusional.
Watch and learn buddy
@@Ch5nc3 I’ll be watching doubt I’ll learn anything new. I already know the hawks are building but they aren’t playing finals this year.
No need to be rude
@@Dv8rAssassin then just learn then.
Most/ 99% of youtubers are full of shit , true footy is no exception.
Champion data have gws as one of the worst teams ever since they have been collecting this data that’s right form is worse then north. But hey that has to mean they are top 4 bound lol 😂 but Essendon who are ranked top 6 in defence and offence with ball in hand are falling out of the 8. 😂
Champion data is bullshit
Champion data would be counting their first few years were they were losing almost every week
Essendon are know chokers which is why they haven’t won a final for 20 years
Besides gws who have Essendon beaten in the top 10