'The Black Swan' author Nassim Taleb on looming crisis: The risk is in front of us

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  • Опубліковано 24 гру 2024

КОМЕНТАРІ • 458

  • @tom-eliasknosp5267
    @tom-eliasknosp5267 Рік тому +56

    Reminded me again why I dont watch CNBC, those idiots kept interrupting and arguing with their guest. That is not just rude, its stupid, just let the man speak and then let everyone think about it.

    • @marybusch6182
      @marybusch6182 Рік тому

      Jeez i hate interruptions, but myself i dont always have a pen and paper or phone to jot down followup issue.

  • @benjaminkoontz2711
    @benjaminkoontz2711 Рік тому +65

    I wish the hosts would shut up and let people say their piece. Each guest should have a clear, concise, declarative statement to make when they first open their mouth. Write it down and read it. Only then should the talkers start drawing out and steering the narrative.

    • @EricK-vw5wh
      @EricK-vw5wh Рік тому +2

      Well, I mean, when this guest did talk it was like he didn't know what to say. Long pauses mid sentence. Look like an old senile grandpa that couldn't form a thought very well.

    • @ironsales5669
      @ironsales5669 Рік тому +4

      @@EricK-vw5wh he was trying to be careful not to say anything that would contradict the forever pumping that comes out of this channel. But the sentiment was clear, the party is over and once the big fish are able to deleverage this market is going in the tank.

    • @tonysteinke7234
      @tonysteinke7234 Рік тому

      Big thumbs up

    • @thonatim5321
      @thonatim5321 Рік тому +4

      I like when hosts keep people on track. It is boring when someone says "umms", "you know" etc. These hosts are the best in the business and the ratings prove it.

    • @SriNiVi
      @SriNiVi 6 місяців тому

      @@EricK-vw5wh Lmao dude, you probably just doesnt know who Nassim Taleb is, a simple googling would have give you about the "old senile" grandpa you were talking about. Hes a genius statistician and economist who wrote famous books like black swan and Fooled by Randomness. He has extremely high acumen in understanding macroeconomics than any of these half assed clowns sitting in the studio and talking about capital markets like.

  • @imzan3650
    @imzan3650 Рік тому +98

    When you get the GOAT on the show, you do not interrupt people!

  • @VikasKesavan
    @VikasKesavan Рік тому +104

    As usual.. Joe shared his wisdom, interrupting guest and pushing aside what he said..

    • @OnChainGaming
      @OnChainGaming Рік тому +5

      Good. Guest was full of himself and wrong

    • @VikasKesavan
      @VikasKesavan Рік тому +7

      @@OnChainGaming thanks to CNBC for having Joe to educate everyone!

    • @pthomsk1
      @pthomsk1 Рік тому +2

      Joe, why does Ireland use the Euro? :)

    • @uberboiz
      @uberboiz Рік тому +3

      @@OnChainGaming wrong how?

    • @OnChainGaming
      @OnChainGaming Рік тому

      @uberboiz he said retail investors shouldn't buy stocks. Which is crazy. Owning companies is how to build wealth.
      It's like saying retail shouldn't own their own home because they can't predict short-term moves... You don't need to know what's going to happen short term to know that owning great companies / property over the long term builds wealth.

  • @pearlwilkinson5866
    @pearlwilkinson5866 Рік тому +307

    America is currently plagued by the hydra-headed evil duo of inflation and recession. The worst part about this recession is that consumers are racking up credit card debt. in April last year alone, credit card debt went up 20% while rates have doubled in a year. Inflation is so high that consumers are literally taking debt for basic life necessities. Collapse has indeed begun.

    • @silkeschulz5754
      @silkeschulz5754 Рік тому +3

      Investors should be cautious about their exposure and be wary of new buys, especially during inflation. Such high yields in this recession is only possible under the supervision of a professional or trusted advisor.

    • @Nernst96
      @Nernst96 Рік тому +3

      The best course of action if you lack market knowledge is to ask a consultant or investing coach for guidance or assistance. Speaking with a consultant heiped me stay afloat in the market and grow my portfolio to about 65% since Januar, even though I know it sounds obvious or generic. I believe that is the most effective way to enter the business at the moment

    • @ron04
      @ron04 Рік тому +3

      Hi Mate, please how can i reach this financial coach of yours of yours?

    • @kaedenwilder4549
      @kaedenwilder4549 Рік тому

      Yup you’re just like your typical doom and gloom. I hope the market crashes 99 percent . I have about 14 million ready.

    • @HotdogFiend69
      @HotdogFiend69 Рік тому +1

      There isn't recession. Companies are still reporting record profits and unemployment us low. Inflation is relatively high but not by international standards.

  • @tmm226
    @tmm226 Рік тому +19

    He is correct, no pain, no gain, no pain, no heal, no way around it..😮

  • @drumrit
    @drumrit Рік тому +6

    Dude these fake accounts leaving comments about their 400k accounts and "I'm looking for a financial advisor"...
    Its really getting out of hand

  • @bsetdays6784
    @bsetdays6784 Рік тому +327

    The crash in everything, stocks, bonds, cryptos, real estate, will end about the time the Dow/Gold ratio is 1:1 or less. That is, the Dow needs to reach the price of an ounce of gold, before we are near the bottom. That is the historical pattern. Note that this can happen with a collapse in the stock market, OR an increase in the price of gold, or some combination of these two things.

    • @adenmall7596
      @adenmall7596 Рік тому +2

      After it all crashes then you invest. Get the stuff no one wants for dirt cheap. Then your losses are minimal if things don’t pick up. Everyday as food goes up your money is worth less. It’s good now to have a lot of precious metals on hand. . The value is skyrocketing.

    • @afriquenegocesarl3642
      @afriquenegocesarl3642 Рік тому +2

      Reasons why people won't inveest right now:Crypt0 crashing, Record inflation, Beaar markt fears, Rising interest rates, Housing bubble talk ,But maybe...These are reasons to inviest right now...

    • @brandywhite9317
      @brandywhite9317 Рік тому +1

      I need guidance so i can salvage my bag due to the massive dips and come up with better strategies. How can i reach this FA?

    • @abulkalma0077
      @abulkalma0077 Рік тому

      The crazy part is that advisors are probably outperforming the market and raising good returns. I will give this a look, thanks a bunch for sharing this

    • @markpalmer8083
      @markpalmer8083 Рік тому

      Bitcoin; not 'cryptos'. Educate yourself. Improve your ignorance.

  • @sreckohorvat2298
    @sreckohorvat2298 Рік тому +97

    Nassim has predicted 17 of the last 5 black swan events

    • @scarfacecapital.
      @scarfacecapital. Рік тому +22

      The definition of a black swan event is that you can't predict it. You can only realise in hindsight that you saw it coming.

    • @morg444
      @morg444 Рік тому +7

      Says a future homeless person...

    • @VikasKesavan
      @VikasKesavan Рік тому +1

      He said white swan

    • @illegalsmirf
      @illegalsmirf Рік тому +3

      @@morg444 Homelessness is already mainstream and accepted in America.

    • @howtoactuallyinvest
      @howtoactuallyinvest Рік тому +1

      💯😂. Dude's a fraud but ppl still listen

  • @johnnydawson7675
    @johnnydawson7675 Рік тому +5

    Taleb's criticism of MMT is an attack on a straw man. MMT does not propose that there is no limit to the amount of money that can be printed. MMT stipulates that the limit on the money supply is dictated by inflation. When inflation rises taxes have to be raised so that money supply is reduced. In this respect there is no difference between MMT and conventional monetary theory.

    • @clarencecrowcarter
      @clarencecrowcarter Рік тому +7

      MMT refuses to acknowledge the fact that to raise taxes politicians would take the pain. And that would never happen. So MMT won't work. As a purely economic theory it has some merit. But economics and politics are inextricably linked. Therefore, it won't work.

  • @Gogalen789
    @Gogalen789 Рік тому +18

    The Turkish Baklava Market - No risk, no crisis , 100 percent satisfaction.

    • @amirsafayan
      @amirsafayan Рік тому +1

      I’m in! Running to the market right now to stockpile Baklava! 😂

  • @bluegtturbo
    @bluegtturbo Рік тому +5

    The big problem is America is drowning in corporate and national debt. Let's just keep increasing the debt ceiling and kick the can down the road😢

  • @theguildedcage
    @theguildedcage Рік тому +11

    I used to respect Taleb. He'd rather be right than make money. As of the last few years he appears to be neither right nor making money.

    • @R4dr1ar
      @R4dr1ar Рік тому +4

      Ever heard of a thing called "recency bias"? Look it up

    • @howtoactuallyinvest
      @howtoactuallyinvest Рік тому +3

      💯. He sounds smart when you're new to investing. Seasoned investors know he's trash though lol

    • @curious_one1156
      @curious_one1156 Рік тому +1

      ​@@howtoactuallyinvestso who's good ? Lynch ? Buffet ? Thiel ? Some succesful Japanese options trader ?

    • @R4dr1ar
      @R4dr1ar Рік тому

      @@curious_one1156 Buffet & Munger, Lynch. Thiel is scum

  • @CoryBooker-l1z
    @CoryBooker-l1z 3 місяці тому +501

    The market trend can turn around very quickly. In fact, the indexes often switch from a bear market to a bull market when the news is at its worst and the mood of investors is at its lowest point. I read an article of people that grossed profits up to $150k during this crash, what are the best stocks to buy now or put on a watchlist?

    • @PrinceDilonchance
      @PrinceDilonchance 3 місяці тому

      Especially in an inflationary environment, investors should be cautious about how much they expose themselves to and what they buy. Only under the direction of a reputable advisor or skilled specialist is it possible to obtain such high yields during a recession.

    • @HBgoesnuts
      @HBgoesnuts 3 місяці тому

      True, initially I wasn't quite impressed with my gains, opposed to my previous performances, I was doing so badly, figured I needed to diversify into better assets, I touched base with a portfolio-advisor and that same year, I pulled a net gain of 550k...that's like 7times more than I average on my own.

    • @LeeJailed
      @LeeJailed 3 місяці тому

      This aligns perfectly with my desire to organise my finances prior to retirement. Could you provide me with access to your advisor?

    • @HBgoesnuts
      @HBgoesnuts 3 місяці тому +1

      CELIA KATHLEEN MARTEL is the licensed fiduciary I use. Just research the name. You’d find necessary details to work with a correspondence to set up an appointment..

    • @LeeJailed
      @LeeJailed 3 місяці тому

      She seems to be literate and well-educated. Thank you for sharing; I found her webpage when I searched for her name online.

  • @IdowuChristian-ge1tf
    @IdowuChristian-ge1tf Рік тому +2

    Being scams is none of my portion since I met this man I invest $7,000 and make $25,850 dollars every 11 days my life changed since I met this man😃😃

    • @clariesmith1615
      @clariesmith1615 Рік тому

      Please am new to this and I've incurred so much loss in investing.

  • @themachine300
    @themachine300 Рік тому +18

    I’m reading his book fooled by randomness right now! Hilarious thing is that he makes fun of journalists and TV personalities like these throughout the entire book. But I guess he’s humble enough to say that he’s not any better

    • @JakeAllen3
      @JakeAllen3 Рік тому +8

      Humble and NNT. Two words not often seen together lol

  • @KingDavid-jj7tk
    @KingDavid-jj7tk Рік тому +379

    I have a 3 fund portfolio consisting of 33% S&P, 33% Total stock, and 33% international. I feel a need to focus on complete growth so I went 100% stocks, but does the SP500 and TSM overlap too much to make sense holding both? However I’ve been in the red for a month now. I don’t know if I should sell everything, sit and just wait but watching my portfolio of $450k dwindle away is such an eye -sore.

    • @stevensmiddlemass2072
      @stevensmiddlemass2072 Рік тому +3

      There are many other interesting stocks in many industries that you might follow. You don't have to act on every forecast, so I'll suggest that you work with a financial advisor who can help you choose the best times to purchase and sell the shares or ETFs you want to acquire.

    • @Emily-le2op
      @Emily-le2op Рік тому +3

      I actually subscribed for a few trading courses but it didn't help much, been getting suggestions to use a proper financial advisor, how did you go about touching base with your coach?

    • @joecalao5485
      @joecalao5485 Рік тому +1

      You do have a great deal of overlap. Having growth and value helps diversify a portfolio.

    • @Emily-le2op
      @Emily-le2op Рік тому +2

      Thanks for sharing, I just looked her up on the web and I would say she really has an impressive background in investing. I will write her an e-mail shortly.

    • @NEILANIL1
      @NEILANIL1 Рік тому

      This is a new challenge, I think if you're in red, based on total loss thus far may consider just keeping put. The market does tend to correct.

  • @zunedog31
    @zunedog31 Рік тому +17

    I really liked his book. So detailed yet approachable.

    • @kp8923
      @kp8923 Рік тому

      Zune was so underrated

  • @thisbird6082
    @thisbird6082 Рік тому +1

    Would have been a good interview without the host interrupting the guest.

  • @martinlaursen7972
    @martinlaursen7972 Рік тому +5

    Everything is great until the day "You have to pay the piper" The next great reset will happen one day. When the Mother Of All Bubbles burst it will get really ugly. No one knows when and what will make it burst.

  • @trazzpalmer3199
    @trazzpalmer3199 Рік тому +497

    Right now, things appear odd. The US dollar is becoming less valuable due to inflation, but it is becoming more valuable when compared to other currencies and commodities such as gold and real estate. People are flocking to the dollar because they believe it is more secure. I'm concerned that rising inflation may cause my $420,000 in retirement savings to devalue. We don't have any other places to deposit our money.

    • @graceocean8323
      @graceocean8323 Рік тому +1

      There are strategies that could be put in place for solid gains regardless of economy or market condition, but such executions are usually carried out by investment experts or advisors with experience

    • @tampabayrodeo2474
      @tampabayrodeo2474 Рік тому +2

      A lot of folks downplay the role of advisors until being burnt by their own emotions. I remember couple summers back, after my lengthy divorce, I needed a good boost to help my business stay afloat, hence I researched for licensed advisors and came across someone of utmost qualifications. She's helped grow my reserve notwithstanding inflation, from $275k to $850k.

    • @MattDouglas-hj9wh
      @MattDouglas-hj9wh Рік тому +1

      Please who’s this advisor that guides you?

    • @tampabayrodeo2474
      @tampabayrodeo2474 Рік тому +1

      Salvatore Fortunato Sofia is the advisor that oversees my portfolio. She's been able to gain some reputation and online recognition with over 3 decades in service, so it shouldn't be a hassle to find basic info.

  • @elarmino6590
    @elarmino6590 11 місяців тому

    People forget that Lehman Brothers peaked from January to March 2007, in less than a year it lost 50% of its value and in less than two it disappeared, when a lot of colossus of the financial system are dancing together the dance of death there is no guarantee that they will be taken into account in time before seeing the black swan.
    The most absurd greed leads to crises, just look around you, what are the people focused on?

  • @BOZ_11
    @BOZ_11 Рік тому

    The USA’s fiscal “deficit” is actually private sector income (double entry accounting). By the same token, a fiscal surplus is actually a private sector deficit (a loss of income for individuals and private companies), and who would wish to be poorer?
    The money for fiscal spending was not borrowed and is thus not owed. Even treasuries are mere savings vehicles, honored by the US Treasury, and the money to pay them comes from the same place as fiscal spending: thin air. If “the debt” was real, the ‘debt ceiling’ couldn’t be moved at will (except it has, 70+ times), nor has the USA ever reneged on a treasury security, and cannot renege *involuntarily* (key word)
    Rate hikes cause inflation as well as unemployment, since it makes money more expensive, and 95% of the money supply is bank credit. The decrease in the money supply caused by higher rates (which is deflationary) is massively off-set with the higher price setting of money (which is what an interest rate hike is). Looking at historical data, when overlapping inflation with rate hikes, you'll see that rate hikes precede inflation the overwhelming majority of the time, going back to the 1930s.

  • @MrDavinci1965
    @MrDavinci1965 Рік тому +1

    He said Real Estate but not which type. Office is being, and will be crushed. Single family house prices will RISE. 80% of the homes in America have NO mortgage, or a rate between 3% - 4%. Additionally, supply of new homes is the lowest on record.

  • @buzzcrushtrendkill
    @buzzcrushtrendkill Рік тому +5

    Thank you. Finally someone says, "the emperor has no clothes".

  • @elvispresley3234
    @elvispresley3234 Рік тому +6

    Interest rates are only PART of the problem. Zero percent interest rates allowed assets to falsely appreciate. What I mean by "falsely" is that there was no interest rate ceiling to keep pressure on appreciation that wages/incomes would ultimately not support. In effect, we pulled future asset values that were yrs and yrs if not decades down the road into today's economy and thus the mismatch to incomes/cost. It also allowed consumer debt to rise to nearly 1 trillion! It also allowed cheap market speculation. Add to that the EGREGIOUS cost of higher education/student debt, and you have an entire millennial generation of people that are in massive debt. This is a recipe for disaster. He is exactly spot on when he says it needs to crash because that is the only way it comes back into balance......so the Ivey league Washington types and bankers take us there again.

    • @sonyjoseph5426
      @sonyjoseph5426 Рік тому

      Milton Friedman Says it's not about interest rates ,but instead the rate of growth of monetary supply ,which has been growing at a rate of -2.2%

    • @elvispresley3234
      @elvispresley3234 Рік тому +1

      @@sonyjoseph5426 Thanks Sony, but I'm not sure I understand the point you are making. I'd like to though, pls explain.

    • @marybusch6182
      @marybusch6182 Рік тому +1

      Fabulous comment and dont forget about healthcare.

    • @Monkeybongoes
      @Monkeybongoes Рік тому +1

      @@marybusch6182 Or insurance. Health, auto and property. They could be the back breaking straws.

  • @MyronBauman809-
    @MyronBauman809- Рік тому +8

    The stock market bull run is finished, but I'm unsure about how soon things will become worse, whether stocks will immediately rebound, continue to slide, or swing in a small range for a few weeks. It's imperative that I build my $250k reserve.

    • @GeorgeSkinner-564
      @GeorgeSkinner-564 Рік тому +4

      Despite my faith in your counsel, my recent stock purchases, and the fact that I am an AMC shareholder, I haven't been able to build anything up. Before the downturn, I had already spent too much time in the hole. How does the investment process work?

    • @JohnsonRamos-790
      @JohnsonRamos-790 Рік тому +3

      Because I have a variety of professions, I do not have a single fund that I invest in. I definitely don't act that way. I act in a manner that is modeled after Solchange LTD, an established financial institution that holds a US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) license. Since then, my returns have increased quickly in contrast to the IRA's development over time. just their professions use what I have; just a small number of really specialized firms.

    • @AlexanderGeppert89
      @AlexanderGeppert89 Рік тому +2

      How amazing is that? I wish to collaborate with them if they have such exceptional talent. I continue to miss 20% of the time even when I use a MAM account to copy deals. What is the best way to get in touch with them?

    • @BillyWest-2022
      @BillyWest-2022 Рік тому +3

      The most competent and trustworthy company to date has been SolchangeLTD. You may locate them online by performing a company name search since they have a sizable following and lots of investors. These days, the best method to enter the market is to study, research, be patient, and seek guidance when required. I have stayed away from all of the issues that the erratic market presents.

    • @TommyBeavers1
      @TommyBeavers1 Рік тому +1

      Given their fiduciary duty, I have faith that they will act in my best interests. They seem to have a lot of expertise. Their goal and objective, years of accomplishment, and ratings were all quite good when I looked through their web portfolio, which I found. I've already spoken out to them.

  • @MegaPapa8888
    @MegaPapa8888 Рік тому +18

    AI related stocks are hyped up too much. Agree.

    • @billytuchscher
      @billytuchscher Рік тому

      It way to early to invest in Ai.... The most important thing to do at the moment is to understand how Ai will negatively affect the investments you have. It is a major disruptor of so damn many industries! (e.g. architecture, legal, accounting, photography, search, retail, etc., etc.)

  • @jameswood9772
    @jameswood9772 Рік тому +375

    During a recession, many stocks and assets may be undervalued. I believe now is an ideal time to capitalize on the market for long-term gains, but it wouldn't hurt to know how to make short-term profit. I've heard of investors making over $400k profit in this current sinking market, and I'm looking for ideas on how to earn similar profits.

    • @bobbymainz1160
      @bobbymainz1160 Рік тому +2

      The market is volatile at this time, hence i will suggest you get yourself a financial-advisor that can provide you with entry and exit points on the shares/ETF you focus on.

    • @johnlennon232
      @johnlennon232 Рік тому

      Very true , I diversified my $400K portfolio across multiple market with the aid of an investment advisor, I have been able to generate over $900k in net profit across high dividend yield stocks, ETF and bonds in few months.

    • @chris-pj7rk
      @chris-pj7rk Рік тому +1

      wow ,that’s stirring! Do you mind connecting me to your advisor please. I desperately need one to diversified my portfolio.

    • @johnlennon232
      @johnlennon232 Рік тому +3

      Lisa Angelique Abel is my portfolio-coach, I found her on Bloomberg where she was featured, I looked up her name on the internet. Fortunately I came across her site and reached out to her, you can verify her yourself.

    • @chris-pj7rk
      @chris-pj7rk Рік тому +1

      Thanks for sharing, I just looked her up on the web and I would say she really has an impressive background in investing. I will write her an e-mail shortly.

  • @ssolytinaS
    @ssolytinaS Рік тому +3

    isnt this the bot that predicted bitcoin would be under 3k by now?

  • @johnbowman476
    @johnbowman476 Рік тому

    The long era of low interest rates fueled by globalization is over. A lot of folks here commenting don't understand the economics of pricing. Pricing is set when the item changes owners. The cost of capital has gone way up, will not be coming down and this will be reflected in the markets. I am not so sure about US real estate tanking badly because of our demographics. I would like to know how much US residential real estate is owned by investors in foreign countries that are demographically challenged. I remember when Japan's financial system crashed in 1989. Real estate tumbled here in the US for 5 solid years. China is about to take a really hard hit as well as Europe and both have lousy demographics. Our millennial generation are home buyers currently pressuring the real estate market due to the size of their population cohort. Lots of nuance...

  • @plda123
    @plda123 Рік тому +7

    "The risk is in front of us"
    How can risk be in the past?

    • @soulreaperichig0
      @soulreaperichig0 Рік тому +1

      He means that it's very visible as compared to hidden risk. Not that the risk is in the future.

  • @dp7808
    @dp7808 Рік тому +3

    That last comment.. "if you're a professional, make sure you're not naked long [on] stocks" after telling individuals to avoid AI and real estate has me the most concerned because as an individual my non-stock investments are real estate. What's the vehicle then? Bonds? Go liquid until you can buy? Im guessing a "Yes and" strategy

  • @Brad_Tarantino
    @Brad_Tarantino Рік тому

    Didn't this conversation take place many months ago? Why is this clip being presented/ uploaded on 30-JUN-2023 as if this happened yesterday?

  • @martinyuhas929
    @martinyuhas929 Рік тому +5

    The biggest problem is the generation of traders who have no experience with a normal interest rate environment. Everything is overvalued just like the 1920s.

    • @rblongfellow
      @rblongfellow Рік тому

      Trading is about the book you little worm 🪱. Not about interest rates

  • @Gogalen789
    @Gogalen789 Рік тому +21

    Raising interest rates does not solve oligopolistic price fixing by specific industry leaders out to achieve economic gouging and financial drilling of the consumer - Economics 101.

    • @dariospassas2926
      @dariospassas2926 Рік тому +3

      “Economics 101” bold claim, the only thing in economics 101 is 99/100 times an economist is wrong. Ur big words don’t mean a thing bruv.

    • @chasen62
      @chasen62 Рік тому

      Um.... Joe was adding to his point and agreeing lol..

  • @flight714
    @flight714 Рік тому +6

    SKIN IN THE GAME - great book from him!

  • @Rochelletrem
    @Rochelletrem Рік тому +442

    Every day we encounter novel challenges that have become the new standard. Although we previously perceived it as a crisis, we now acknowledge it as the new normal and must adapt accordingly. Given the current economic difficulties that the country is experiencing in 2023, how can we enhance our earnings during this period of adjustment? I cannot let my $680,000 savings vanish after putting in so much effort to accumulate them.

    • @DavidRiggs-dc7jk
      @DavidRiggs-dc7jk Рік тому +3

      Despite hearing that insider trading secrets could lead to making millions in the financial market, I hesitated to invest as I lack the required skills and a sound strategy to surpass the market and achieve profitable returns. Additionally, although I possess $160,000, I find it challenging to take the plunge due to a shortage of funds.

    • @philipr1759
      @philipr1759 Рік тому +2

      @@EllenAbrex How can I reach this adv-iser of yours? because I'm seeking for a more effective invest-ment approach on my savings

    • @philipr1759
      @philipr1759 Рік тому +1

      @@EllenAbrex Thanks for sharing, I just looked her up on the web and I would say she really has an impressive background in investing. I will write her an e-mail shortly.

    • @rodmbs
      @rodmbs Рік тому +1

      With that kind of money just leave the US and live comfortably elsewhere. Don't waste your life.

    • @ThomasGellos-e6v
      @ThomasGellos-e6v Рік тому

      2024 stimulus, Steal From Your Neighbor

  • @ChalrieD
    @ChalrieD Рік тому +1

    I believe these people are mistaking Keynesian theory with MMT. MMT says you can print until you have inflation, that’s it, and they are right.

    • @romymaranesi4907
      @romymaranesi4907 Рік тому

      You should go to Venezuela and Argentina...

    • @ChalrieD
      @ChalrieD Рік тому

      @@romymaranesi4907 why is that?

  • @lukelewkowicz2233
    @lukelewkowicz2233 Рік тому +1

    1968 Dow Jones was a wholesome 620! $ was convertible into gold. Four decades prior homes were selling for 3- 4 tousand dollars. Prices were going down for older homes as they were considered used a concept on cars. Half a century later everything turned out elevated in order to make us all feel a success. We all sit at cassino table with an ever and ever higher stakes. Dealer won't let us quit as it is de-facto our bank.

  • @Lukas-cm2b
    @Lukas-cm2b Рік тому

    what was the last sentence

  • @derekdgarcia1
    @derekdgarcia1 Рік тому +3

    These guys always say that Doom is near. Once in twenty years they will be right. Live in the now. Always be ready for potential down turns.

  • @robertandres194
    @robertandres194 Рік тому +2

    This is embarrassing for Nassim Taleb. I'm embarrassed for him. Sounds like he has dementia.

  • @jasonh.8754
    @jasonh.8754 Рік тому +1

    A lot of college students (like me) study some economic theory in the classroom. The problem is most professional 'Economists' are really economic 'alchemists'; they are forever meddling with the numbers to try & somehow beat reality. Things like debt, money, finance, trade, etc have been well defined for thousands of years & operate in very well defined ways. The problem now is the financial 'party' is winding up (for now), and financial 'reality' is taking over again. The next few years will sort out the financial 'fantasists' from the financial realists.

    • @danstar455
      @danstar455 Рік тому

      Did you ever wonder why banking is not included in Econ models?

    • @jasonh.8754
      @jasonh.8754 Рік тому

      @@danstar455 honestly, no. You've raised an interesting point.

  • @weirdshibainu
    @weirdshibainu Рік тому +9

    These interviewers make a conversation so freaking awkward and fragmented. Ask a few questions, let the guest speak.

  • @beata.w895
    @beata.w895 9 місяців тому +1

    Economy is cruel! No matter how much you try to manipulate the numbers……. 2+2=4 (always)

  • @talented009
    @talented009 Рік тому +430

    I am aware market trends and economic indicators can influence the performance of different investment options, but I've been reading news about people who were still able to make large profits of up to $580k during this crash...... what is the most effective strategy at this time?

    • @Adukwulukman859
      @Adukwulukman859 Рік тому

      The market is volatile at this time, hence i will suggest you get yourself a financial-advisor that can provide you with entry and exit points on the shares/ETF you focus on.

    • @ThomasHeintz
      @ThomasHeintz Рік тому

      Very true , I diversified my $400K portfolio across multiple market with the aid of an investment advisor, I have been able to generate over $900k in net profit across high dividend yield stocks, ETF and bonds in few months.

    • @DarleneMurphy774
      @DarleneMurphy774 Рік тому

      @@ThomasHeintz wow ,that’s stirring! Do you mind connecting me to your advisor please. I desperately need one to diversified my portfolio.

    • @ThomasHeintz
      @ThomasHeintz Рік тому

      You can do your research and be on the lookout for one with intelligent strategies who'll help your portfolio maintain an unwavering and a progressive growth. Laura Marie Ray is my advisor. She has the Flexibility & Expertise to Meet Your Needs. Verify her yourself

    • @esther.74
      @esther.74 Рік тому

      @@ThomasHeintz Thank you for this tip. it was easy to find your investment advisor. Did my due diligence on her before scheduling a phone call with her. She seems proficient considering her résumé.

  • @teddymoon3744
    @teddymoon3744 Рік тому +4

    they forgot student loan debt.

  • @Dilbert0123
    @Dilbert0123 Рік тому +2

    Thank you,Nicholas Nassim. I will have bad sleep for a while now! ;-) ....however it's llikely true: The risk is too much liquidity in the market for too long now and too much real estate speculation again after 2008. Seems at least it is time for that market to go on a long diet....and for AI: Would you sell Microsoft now? Puuuuuuh, difficult.
    P.S. Please guys, do not interrupt such a great guest!

  • @NEILANIL1
    @NEILANIL1 Рік тому

    Avoid Real estate is that reference to commercial or residential or both?

  • @CountryZorro
    @CountryZorro 7 місяців тому

    Nassim is the man

  • @georgewbushcenterforintell147

    If u drive through my city everything looks pretty good ...when u start to look at all the commercial developments closely and strip malls you see a lot of empty store fronts with no businesses in them paying rent. Even the new mega developments the city's have been building and planning are having a hard time finding renters and keeping a high occupancy.

  • @FelipeFigueira
    @FelipeFigueira Рік тому +1

    Taleb is like
    Theory: "the problem is this and this and this..."
    What to do then: "dont know"

  • @kvaka009
    @kvaka009 Рік тому

    MMT does make sense. MMT doesn't say that there is no limiting factor. It just ain't what the public thinks it is. The point is that it's not so much a matter of how much money US prints, but what it sirens that money on. If it's too inflate the stick market and the real estate market, then that's bad. And if it's didn't on bridges, education and healthcare, then the return on investment in society will allow debt to be repaid.

  • @kemala.5297
    @kemala.5297 Рік тому +2

    Nassim Taleb is the philosopher of this century!

  • @ryanleonard4034
    @ryanleonard4034 Рік тому +6

    AI/Tech and Real Estate, two of the most interest rate sensitive sectors, are somehow holding up the markets with two more hikes planned. Don't say he didn't warn you.

    • @sonyjoseph5426
      @sonyjoseph5426 Рік тому

      Banks also are sensitive to interest rates.. those theives need to collapse to some degree. You Give a theif a gun , he can rob a bank , you give a mana bank and he'll rob a counrty

  • @johnpereira6893
    @johnpereira6893 Рік тому +8

    The market is blinded by euphoria. Wake up call in coming.

  • @skipkapur1
    @skipkapur1 Рік тому +2

    Taleb is doing the one thing he bellyaches about, making predictions. Couldn't resist pontificating.

  • @zoeytank2921
    @zoeytank2921 Рік тому +138

    People are affected by inflation far more quickly than they are by a stock or property market crisis because it directly impacts their standard of living. The current level of negative market sentiment is not surprising. To survive in this economy, we urgently need assistance. The ETF/Equity market continues to fluctuate.

    • @mcginnnavraj4201
      @mcginnnavraj4201 Рік тому

      When the news is the worst and investor confidence is at its lowest, indices routinely turn from a bear market to a bull market. This illustrates how quickly the market's direction may change.

    • @graceocean8323
      @graceocean8323 Рік тому

      @@mcginnnavraj4201 You will need a strong FA to help you through the current market turmoil. I've been talking to an advisor for a while now, mostly because I lack the knowledge and energy to deal with these ongoing market conditions. I made more than $220K during this slump, demonstrating that there are more aspects of the market than the average individual is aware of. Having an investing counselor is now the best line of action, especially for those who are close to retiring.

    • @hannahdonald9071
      @hannahdonald9071 Рік тому

      @@graceocean8323 I've been looking at comparable opportunities in the current market because I know a lot of people who made fortunes from the Dotcom crash and the 2008 crash. Could this consultant who helps you be of any assistance?

    • @graceocean8323
      @graceocean8323 Рік тому

      I've spared myself the hassle that a disorderly market brings. Because of my line of work, I am unable to manage my portfolio, so I simply mimic the trades of SALVATORE FORTUNATO SOFIA, an investment advisor I watched on Bloomberg Business News. These days, the best approach to enter the market is through reading, researching, being patient, and getting advice when necessary. After that, everything went smoothly.

    • @Dan16673
      @Dan16673 Рік тому

      Cantilliom effects are real

  • @javajava8856
    @javajava8856 Рік тому +1

    It's Nassim Nicholas NOT Nicholas Nassim. If you're going to have a highly esteemed guest on your TV show, at least get his name right.

  • @keimo2007
    @keimo2007 Рік тому +18

    According to our sources, he's net worth is negative nowadays.

  • @alohatraveler
    @alohatraveler Рік тому +2

    Let the man speak FFS

  • @JM-gu3tx
    @JM-gu3tx 9 місяців тому

    The strength of the dollar is determined by demand, which is declining globally. This is basic logic and a simple fact. It's mind boggling how simple Americans look at things. People live in a bubble by design.

  • @rongarren5339
    @rongarren5339 Рік тому

    Anybody else seen a noticeable uptick in police giving speeding tickets over the past few weeks?

  • @Fj8282haha
    @Fj8282haha Рік тому +5

    SEC should take hard look at dude trying to talk(manipulate) the market down so he makes money and makes his wealthy friends richer… what a joke.

  • @cjmillington
    @cjmillington Рік тому

    Nassim is the GOAT

    • @howtoactuallyinvest
      @howtoactuallyinvest Рік тому

      If you're new to investing he may look like the goat. If you're experienced you know how to recognize a fraud

  • @royprovins7037
    @royprovins7037 Рік тому +2

    😀Haven't heard a coherent thought from this guy ever

    • @howtoactuallyinvest
      @howtoactuallyinvest Рік тому

      Has he ever shown his returns? He's been telling ppl what to do with their money for long enough.. would be nice to know if he's following his own advice and how it's going for him. This donkey has been bearish on Tesla.. One of the best performing stocks ever 🤦‍♂️

  • @BeniBalak
    @BeniBalak Рік тому +2

    MMT depends methodologically on an assumption that the money printed is then invested by the government productively. That's the core problem whatever ideological bent one has.

  • @ChrisPC123
    @ChrisPC123 Рік тому +15

    I can't predict the market wish I could but I am proud to say I finally bought the Black Swan a month or two ago. Nicholas Nassim Taleb is one of the most important market people we have.

    • @marsenault9683
      @marsenault9683 Рік тому

      😂 he's actually not......he's a liar

    • @alexxccccxbbb9952
      @alexxccccxbbb9952 Рік тому

      @@marsenault9683if Naval likes him I trust him lol. Doesn’t mean I trust everything he says as gospel but I think his books are very important.

  • @teddymoon3744
    @teddymoon3744 Рік тому +3

    really good interview

  • @kidsoxoxox
    @kidsoxoxox Рік тому +1

    Stop interrupting this wise man.

  • @yesorno4147
    @yesorno4147 Рік тому +2

    He couldn’t even articulate what he’s thinking in simple terms!

  • @TuningintotheOne4BLN
    @TuningintotheOne4BLN Рік тому

    Debt. War. Energy. De-Dollarization dynamics. Ending of world trading distribution system in place since WW2 with more regional trading ahead. Cost of raw materials, transportation, available food. Global warming-natural disasters. Aging infrastructures accross western Capitalist countries. Again populations & rapidly changing demographics around the globe. Think we're in for a cascading set of possible failures-crisis that will all act to catalize & impact accross sectors, accross geographies and accross politcal systems and in financial models in N. America, Europe, Middle East, Central Asia, China & East Asia as well as Anzac region. Some treacherous regional-global waters ahead on the sruface & DEEP down cracks in foundations of systems acrross the globe. Thanx all. Best, Milan

  • @alexgamble4718
    @alexgamble4718 Рік тому

    Be very careful once younstart hearing people talk about new eras. Rates could just as easily be cut quickly if the economy enters a downturn.

  • @julienwater
    @julienwater Рік тому +467

    A number of the most eminent market experts have been expressing their views on the severity of the impending economic downturn and the extent to which equities might plummet. This is because the economy is heading towards a recession and inflation is persistently above the Federal Reserve's 2% target. As I'm aiming to create a portfolio worth no less than $850,000 before I turn 65, I would appreciate any advice on potential investments

    • @lindsayross-pt3jv
      @lindsayross-pt3jv Рік тому +2

      There are many other interesting stocks in many industries that you might follow. You don't have to act on every forecast, so I'll suggest that you work with a financial advisor who can help you choose the best times to purchase and sell the shares or ETFs you want to acquire.

    • @laurabruce-op1xx
      @laurabruce-op1xx Рік тому +1

      I've been in touch with a financial advisor ever since I started my business. Knowing today's culture The challenge is knowing when to purchase or sell when investing in trending stocks, which is pretty simple. On my portfolio, which has grown over $900k in a little over a year, my adviser chooses entry and exit orders.

    • @JanAlston-kd6yl
      @JanAlston-kd6yl Рік тому +1

      @@laurabruce-op1xx Mind if I ask you recommend this particular professional you use their service? i have quite a lot of marketing problems.

    • @laurabruce-op1xx
      @laurabruce-op1xx Рік тому +1

      @@JanAlston-kd6yl Elise Marie Terry, a well-known professional in her field, is my advisor. I advise deeper investigation of her credentials. She is a great resource for anyone trying to understand the financial industry because of her extensive experience.

    • @JanAlston-kd6yl
      @JanAlston-kd6yl Рік тому

      @@laurabruce-op1xx thank you for this tip , I must say, Elise appears to be quite knowledgeable. After coming across her online page, I thoroughly went through her resume, and I must say, it was quite impressive. I reached out to her, and I have booked a session with her.

  • @luckylove72
    @luckylove72 Рік тому

    He is alive!

  • @georgemaximus694
    @georgemaximus694 Рік тому +1

    Debt is just a number. The fed can print trillions and beyond to infinite amounts of money with a push of a button. Federal reserve knows how to print money and we have seen the over and over again. Let hyperinflation come. This generation hasn’t experienced hyperinflation. It’ll be a wild ride. J Powell is making history.

    • @sonyjoseph5426
      @sonyjoseph5426 Рік тому

      So why the heck should people work hourly jobs? Time should not and never does equal money thats a form of slavery if govt can't print a zillion dollar w/ push of button

  • @Thomas-fu8vp
    @Thomas-fu8vp 9 місяців тому +1

    The dollar is worth nothing .

  • @sunandevise9934
    @sunandevise9934 Рік тому

    Great question on what to do now?

  • @michaelparker3188
    @michaelparker3188 Рік тому +7

    Housing market is going to pop. Too much debt. Also student loans are next. 😎

  • @jhonklan3794
    @jhonklan3794 Рік тому +1

    Its crazy how if you are arrogant enough, people will believe anything you say.

  • @dragonbot2038
    @dragonbot2038 Рік тому

    Nassim Taleb has been repeatedly wrong over and over. Send him home.

  • @chiquita683
    @chiquita683 Рік тому +2

    This guy used to be great to listen to

  • @chungchihsu2000
    @chungchihsu2000 Рік тому +1

    The best deal that I ever have is to read five books by him borrowed from library. Cost me nothing. And then, I can understand what he said even with many many stupid interruptions.

  • @kjd4476
    @kjd4476 Рік тому +4

    You can always keep printing money... untill its worthless.

  • @Lasan-dv1dv
    @Lasan-dv1dv Рік тому

    People need to diversify into alternative assets having negative or neutral correlations with traditional assets e.g. stocks, bonds, warrants, ETFs etc. That's most effective way to protect your portfolio and wealth from tail risks that Dr. Nassim Taleb is talking about here.

  • @jasonvance4801
    @jasonvance4801 Рік тому

    The idea that you want to avoid investments in AI is crazy. If your company isn’t taking advantage of AI, your company won’t be around for long.

  • @australianpatriot
    @australianpatriot Рік тому

    4:26 be careful buddy

  • @Showmetheevidence-
    @Showmetheevidence- Рік тому +2

    Smart guy… but can anyone “predict” the markets!?

  • @minnievenkat
    @minnievenkat Рік тому

    Selling the future funding in real estate I saw in action in Camas, WA in 2020. It was scary to see. Literal billboards up on new development sites advertising it. “It may seem like this property is over valued, but you will also be able to resell it at a more exorbitant price. “

  • @jakewelford
    @jakewelford Рік тому

    100% agree stocks, real estate, start ups all overvalued

  • @LowescC
    @LowescC Рік тому +1

    I thought the "Black Swan" was a movie with Natalie Portman....kids..????

  • @zakatista5246
    @zakatista5246 Рік тому

    A generation who don't know what interest rates mean. Several generations who don't know what reality means. The chasm that awaits these people...

  • @SingularitySenses
    @SingularitySenses Рік тому

    We will continue to move from crisis to crisis because no one in positions of power can think long term. It's all instant gratification and kicking the can down the road. Now we've run out of road.

  • @fakinel
    @fakinel Рік тому +3

    New book coming?

  • @joannsmith3589
    @joannsmith3589 Рік тому

    vote RFK so we can start fixing this debt problem that we should have fixed 15 years ago

  • @jimmy441
    @jimmy441 Рік тому +1

    What a courageous man ! Coming on TV without mask!🤣🤣🤣🤣

    • @secularapple
      @secularapple Рік тому

      Unlike the talk show participants in Taiwan (June 2023).

  • @ironsales5669
    @ironsales5669 Рік тому +7

    basically, do not leverage yourself to buy real estate, tech related to AI and stocks in general unless you have puts in place to hedge. Why? Because all indicators are pointing at this market CRASHING.... Just as soon as the big boys finish deleveraging and can leave the mom and pops holding the bag... Keep an eye on options expirations and the call to put ratios because they are already shifting.

    • @Highlander1432
      @Highlander1432 Рік тому

      You must have missed the opportunity this past year.
      Bet you were buying gold and silver

    • @ironsales5669
      @ironsales5669 Рік тому

      @@Highlander1432 Actually bought some gold and silver a few months ago and sold off the silver for a nice profit. I sold out of the broader market back at 37,000 and have been waiting for the crash to buy back in.

  • @lukesky2491
    @lukesky2491 Рік тому

    they keep interrupting him

  • @01FUMBLE
    @01FUMBLE Рік тому

    It's not IF it's WHEN that will happen