update video (2020-11-06): ua-cam.com/video/eeiguFaRil0/v-deo.html Hello everyone! Stay safe out there, in my eyes it's better to be safe than sorry. Hopefully there will be plenty of opportunities in the far future to explore the world, even though you might not be able to right now :( Also, I'm getting comments saying that my text blurbs went by too fast (especially during the "projections" section). Sorry about that. If you set the video playback speed to 0.75x or 0.5x, it'll be easier to read. The music might sound a little weird though... Hope that helps! -Cary
This is the beauty of hindsight. Preventative measures will always look inadequate in hindsight because we don't know what will become pandemic. EDIT: It's what we do now that really matters.
I’m just wondering why they didn’t cancel events long term for H1N1. I remember getting it as a kid, schools closed for about 3 days tops. We are on an entirely different level here.
I guess it's because it's so infectious. it's crazy that the first cases in some country never even had contact with someone who had Corona, or were in infected places. they just somehow got it. HOW
influenza virus's have been around a long time and vaccines currently exist for them! They're not perfect but we have some sort of defense. (there are also treatments for the influenza vs. no treatment for COVID-19 (as of now)). This makes COVID-19 a whole headache to deal with.
@@TinyCloud90 I'm starting to think it's airborne... there just not telling the truth, that's why it's spreading to fast and some of the cases they don't even how they got it...
12 days later and it's went from: 10k total deaths to 42k+ 1k deaths per day to 4.5k+ 250k cases worldwide to 850k+ 9k cases in the states to 185k+ An update video is absolutely necessary right now. No one else has made these types of videos which contain truly vital info.
The curve will probably flatten soon with greater awareness of the pandemic and increased social distancing measures. But at the moment there are over 120,000 new cases everyday.
"I was-" "NO!" "What?" "If they find out your true age Coppa will murder you!" "But moooOoommm" "Son, it's for your own good, if you ever want to tell your age, exaggerate it by a mi-, no, TRILLION times." "Okay" "I was 200 trillion years old"
@MariJuana New deaths per day is currently at 3271. Even though this rate is increasing at about 13 % each day, it will still be about 30 days before we approach 1M and 60 days to reach 5M at the current rate, if nothing improves...BUT that is not how the disease progression is likely to happen.
Music Mayer I would like to agree truly. but as the R0 is still far above 1 the death rate will continue to exponentially grow per percentile. Being that daily deaths steadily increase on an average of 200-300 more per day
Will you make another one of those video for next week? Just to see if the predictions in the graph are correct or if we hopefully are able to get the percentages down... Nice video it just shows how wild things can get with exponential growth, scary as hell man.
libertynindependence It’s already off by around 2k deaths...we’re already at 10k+ deaths and still the same day as this video(with ~8900 deaths) at Western Hemisphere...so the death rate is actually going worst than the worst case scenario of the video 😶
@@libertynindependence We already know the rates of infection are going down in some countries. Recovery rates are increasing. That's a known in less than a 24hour period.
@@maxmortis9637 with how many of those deaths already about to occur from other conditions and complications? They call a death from non-lung cancer a death from smoking for statistical purposes. So, no, it's not getting worse. Recovery rates are increasing. The spike in deaths are from older (the more vulnerable) kicking off.
Scrappy Well based on the point of reference and statistic used by the video, the updated death rate, it is what it is. So in perspective of the video, the death rate is getting worst...
At the beginning I was sceptical. Just some powerpoint with music. But the subtly smooth editing kept me going, and then you just blew me away. This is absolutely amazing work and amazingly conveys the data. Astonishing! I also am really with you in terms of criticism about the ignorance of recovery rates. Some hope would be very welcome, especially factual one.
Some people disagree with it because of context. For example, swine flu may have been contained right at the beginning which is why it didn't have as much of a spike as covi-19 early on. Whereas, covid-19 has spiked when it reached a large area of ages >50 in Italy. Those kind of things can make parts of the graph miss-leading to compare. That doesn't negate its impact or all of the meaning behind the graph though and id agree its an extremely well made video. So they should still be liking it :P.
I disliked it because displaying the potential death growth rate as just a flat vertical line where we would be getting millions of deaths was silly and some dumb idiots(the people panic buying tp for instance) will see that and just panic more.
@@SpyrosKingdom lol you should. I actually remember swine flu back in the day. My younger brother and I both caught it but I was only sick a few days while my brother who was 1 and 1/2 years old had to go to the ER. Luckily he was seen within about 2 hours and Tamiflu fixed him in just a couple days.
Abacaba, in your "How does Coronavirus compare to Ebola, SARS, etc?" video you were underestimating COVID19 big time, it is good to see that you are also aware of the danger now
@Abacaba are you working on an update of this video? as clearly the pandemic has hit deathmarks roughly a 14% increase. might be informative to help educate people a litle better that we really need to stop underestimating this virus..
Those idiots infuriate me. I don't particularly care about them, I'm not even overly concerned about myself. I'm worried about my 79 year old mother, and my other relatives who are in their 80s and 90s - the death rate in that demographic is pretty damn high. It's for them and people like them that I'm doing my best not to become a vector for this disease.
Many people are responsible for the spread of misinformation leading to people not taking this seriously including President Trump and the owner of this channel himself. He made a video a month ago telling people it was nothing and just being exaggerated in the media. Being in the genetics field myself and working with RNA multiple times I understood the potential magnitude of the situation. I wrote many comments to him about the R0 value, the irrelevancy of the comparisons he made and how an overwhelmed health system would lead to deaths not only from the virus but all other illnesses at an outstanding rate. To no avail the video remained up unchanged as he was just another person trying to profit from a crisis. That video reached millions of people, so you see we are not only fighting a virus but fighting misinformation for monetary and political benefit.
You know we're in deep trouble when the best case scenario that, let's be honnest, we won't manage to reach, makes Covid the 2nd worst disease of the century.
We're still at the beginning of the century. And oh believe me, it won't be the worst by far. As soon as that crispr thing takes off and it becomes possible for amateurs to genetically engineer in their garages, you will see malcontents who hate the world make their own diseases that make natural ones pale by comparison. Imagine a disease with 100% lethality like rabies, but airborne like the flu, and with showing no symptoms for 30 days, but contagious after 1 day? The whole human race would have it before anyone even knew it existed and then they'd all die before they had made 10% progress toward a treatment. Frankly I wonder if it's the primary solution to the fermi paradox. As soon as a race learns to control biology, all it takes is one guy who hates the world, and that's it, world over.
I'm not sufficiently worried, I'm too worried, that's the problem. My problem at least. I can't deal with this level of stress and anxiety, it's too much for me. I live in Northern Italy, I can't go out and won't even if i could, I'm too afraid to.
I'm in switzerland, just above italy. Our fear here, is that we have a much higher density of people by square kilometer, meaning the spreading of the disease will be even worse, if we don't try to stop it.
Saw this video last week. Back here and his model is on track. He predicted 2,000 deaths per day by 23rd March. It’s 26th and we are about 2400 deaths per day.
Thank you for making these update videos. As rapidly as the virus is progressing, it is excellent to see a trusted channel such as yours keeping up to date. Keep the faith everyone.
Most of the people panic buying are the ones that live on benefits and are the lowest at risk of getting them today I went for a normal shopping day and 80% of the people in the shops buying 70% of the store don't work and the old people there had nothing left to buy.
I still find it crazy that the 2009-10 Swine Flu didnt get even a fraction of the attention it SHOULD have got. That was my senior year of HS and it was just like any other school year and that virus killed more kids/young adults than the elderly. I remember it being on the news all the time but it wasnt in our faces 24/7 like it is now with everyone having smart phones and twitter etc.
The Power of the Media to expose what they want, and to HIDE what they deem might hurt their chosen candidates at the next election. Dishonesty at its worse.
We are not shown world maps in this video so we could not see our awareness level of each epidemic. Secondly, previous US global pandemic teams worked silently behind the scenes in order not to hurt the economy. This time, there are no global pandemic teams to report things plus thanks to UA-cam, the information explosion is amazingly large. Thirdly, the rate of death for COVID 2020 is faster than any other 2000's epidemic before and fear crept into us.
Great video- showing people that they need to compare apples to apples. Drives me nuts when people say ‘but swine flu killed more’- yes because that pandemic is over and we have final counts, we are only a couple months into this one. Good math.
Some people never tried to use their brain to think deeper sometimes.
4 роки тому+9
Most people, like me, are pointing to regular influenza with a yearly kill rate between 290k and 640k. Or we point to HIV which killed almost 1M in 2017. Or Tuberculosis, which kills about 500k/year and thanks to absolutely foolish government policies is starting to be reintroduced to the US after being basically eliminated. Drives me nuts when people try to get attention by peddling panic.
@@Abacaba No no...this was a happy accident, no mistake. The world is turned upside down right now due to people panicking and spreading the virus making it like 1000 times worse. The faucet's position in space time is debatable given the circumstances being *CORRECTLY UPSIDEDOWN* BOOYAHHHHHHHH
This is my favorite style of video you have made. No talking, the music fits the epic proportions of this terrible fate. There are good people living here 🇨🇳 and here 🇺🇸. They don’t know any better.
He only listed data regarding pandemics from the last century. The spanish flu was around during 1918-1920, so it's just out of that time frame. No, I'm not a historian, I just googled that
I do agree that it would be interesting. Sometimes I think the comparisons with the Spanish Flu are lackluster, as they are different types of coronaviruses, but they both have a mortality rate of 2-3%, with an r0 of ~2 (Spanish Flu) and 2.5-3 (SARS-CoV-2) respectively. It is easy to say that a mortality rate of 2-3% doesn't sound like that much, but the Spanish Flu killed between 1 and 5% of the world's entire population back then, and that is with a lower transmission rate than SARS-CoV-2. Of course we have better treatments and healthcare now, otherwise much more people would be dying. But still, it does put things into perspective. In any case, we all need to get our shit together and thank the medical workers, scientists and others for working tirelessly to save people day and night. Let's not put more stress on them by being recklessly stupid aswell.
@@magiv4205 comparing it to the hands down most deadly pandemic since the introduction of the theories of sanitation and germs I think would put this in a perspective that would make people realize how serious this is. Though, two things: Spanish flu wasn't a coronavirus and it had a cfr of ≈10-20%, while COVID-19 only kills somewhere between 0.1% and 4%, that is with medical care. In places where demand for medical care has exceeded supply the cfr is already exceeding 10% and I suspect that it could reach 20%. Edited: cfr for Spanish flu was corrected from "≈20%" to "≈10-20%" in response to a post that was a response to this one
It's mutated 3 times in 3 months. Each vaccine is only good for that specific strain, it's mutating faster than we can adapt which is kinda scary. I have never seen a virus mutate quite like this before.
I AM NOT AN EPIDEMIOLOGIST. TAKE THIS WITH A GRAIN OF SALT. It would seem most likely that should coronavirus become a seasonal virus, it would become less deadly and not more - that is what happened with the Spanish Flu, I believe.
@ZZ UP That is just a sad display pal. Cringe. Btw, when they talk about the "Coronavirus" un the media, they're talking about the Sarscov-2 also known as Covid-19. This is serious, nevertheless if you die it won't affect anyone. Well, it may make the comment section a little more peaceful. Cheers
The good thing is that if COVID-19 mutates to something deadlier, then that won't affect all the people infected with milder strains (unlike in Plague Inc) and most of the new cases will be from continued spreading of the milder strain. The mutated deadlier strain will be like if you have a new virus starting from 1 patient, just like starting Plague Inc from scratch with a deadlier strain, except the world is already on high alert from the milder strain.
I never understood why most maps and sites show the total number of cases as main information, if not only. I've always been trying to do the math to visualize the number of active cases, it's stupid.
Also imo its important to see the "active cases/total citizens of that area" that Will tell you what is the chance that 1 random Guy you met had the virus I am calculating this every Day for my town ;) Edit: because official status are Under reported i am adjusting these numbwrs x20
The spread is going to affect different parts of the world well differently. When you think that china has a population nearly four times the US, they were able to stop spread with some of the most intense quarantine procedures we have ever seen. They had 80 000 cases. We have none of those procedures in the US and we are way past that. This country would never tolerate marshal law. Freedom has it's price, and in this case it will be be the death of millions of Americans and tens of millions in hospital and probable 60-80 percent of our people infected. The number of deaths that we are seeing today is roughly 1-3 percent of the cases diagnosed three weeks ago. There is a very real chance our medical system will collapse as a result of this virus.
Excellent video and use of graphics. Pay attention to the message everyone: social distancing/self-isolation/wash hands/get tested as soon as it becomes available to you.
@Black_Eye spanish flu killed anyone not just the ones with weaker immune systems or the elderly and also cause back in the day daily sanitation practices werent on par with todays practices
4:00 “COVID-19 may become the fastest-killing outbreak of the century by March 23.” That actually sucks since that’s the same day when Half-Life: Alyx gets released D:
@@popcornmaster1419 Actually at this point COVID-19 is spreading about the same rate as the Swine flu....the issue is that the death rate is much higher.
Kudos. This is a lot of work and research. I appreciate your efforts. Please keep up the great work! I 100% nerded out and want more graphs. Crazy to think March 19th is ancient history when compared to Covid19
Those stats don't portray a really accurate picture. 7500 people die a day in the USA without the coronavirus.. what percentage of those 1000 were going to die regardless of covid? My bets on a pretty high percentage..
@cory wichman Corona is far from evenly distributed in the US. It’s killing people in NYC more than all the other reasons combined. Meanwhile, many other large cities hardly have outbreaks at all.
@Steven Moore hard to believe you're trolling here but I'll assume you're not: close to 99% of people dying from covid-19 already have medical conditions and/or are over 65 of age. Doesn't have anything to do with earthquakes.
I never realized that covid-19 would be so bad.... I thought it was like this: Oh no its a pandemic will its not a worry imma just still chill and hope the best and dont take the risk and avoid going out and just trust health workers.. you made me become extra serious and im thankful for that
yet my president says corona is nothing but a small little flu and no one should be scared of. he also said that we all should work and go to school like in a regular daily basis
@@JonathanGrandt Italy doesnt lie, they are just including more deaths to Corona deaths then usual because if a person died in a car accident and had Covid-19, they will say that he died from Corona virus. Italy is just putting more deaths then there are, but still there are a lor of deaths, however CHINA IS LYING. They lied from the beginning, and they are lying now too. Imagine 1 billion people having only 80k corona cases, while Italy with only 60M people has 97k right now. Thats just not right and Chinese communist party is hiding it from the world shutting down all phones in China and not giving people right to speak(just remember first doctor that discovered the virus, he was nearly sent to jail)
It's April 10th, 2020. Currently the Coronavirus has killed more than 102,000 people worldwide. For the Swine Flu in 2009, that number was reached 260 days after it's outbreak. How many days has it been since Coronavirus began?? Only 101. Meaning, Coronavirus is growing more than TWICE, TWICE PEOPLE, as fast as the Swine Flu was. And only now is the number of new cases peaking. Scary times we live in
No matter what, it will go down in the history books. If nothing else, it would have had the largest cultural impact of any pandemic this century so far.
I really like this chart. A visual comparison puts into view the real situation happening around the world. It’s been a week and hope to see an updated video soon.
I’ve chosen to quarantine myself because I can’t keep my hands away from my face let alone my mouth (I bite my nails a lot). I’d suggest you do the same if you have the same problem.
Please keeping updating video by weekly intervals. This video was very helpful and easy to understand how deadly virus can be. So I request you to update it to lastest numbers and keep updating it. Thank You
The interesting thing about this virus is that it has a high infectivity rate combined with a low fatality rate - somewhat like seasonal flu strains, but more severe. Thus, if you catch the virus, you actually don't have much to worry about, unless you're old and already have pre-existing medical conditions. The worry lies in spreading the virus to others - it's a big deal on the societal level since a lot of people could get infected, and although only a small percentage of that population will actually suffer serious symptoms or die, a small percentage of a lot is still a lot. Personally, I'm more worried about the economic fallout from the virus. Lockdowns and quarantines around the world have potential to cause huge damage to the world's economy. They are absolutely necessary to contain the spread of the virus, but I worry about the economic recovery after the quarantines are over.
@AmplifiedSilence The reason why Italy's fatality rate is so high is because its healthcare system is overwhelmed. In Korea, the fatality rate is 1%. You're bound to have a higher fatality rate when your healthcare system is overwhelmed with mild cases and you can't treat the serious ones.
@@kevinburns8473 If the government can convince the world that they are containing the virus, then they can convince the world that the consumer market they power, and hold with a death grip can continue moving the way it was. And I understand how chinese people seem primitive to outsiders. I pin this all on Mao, and the communist party. When they took power, they scrubbed the country of much of what was worthwhile, and replaced it with the already culturally bankrupt ideas of Marx and Lenin. Thus, what is left is simply human nature, with the leftovers of what was chinese culture. Don't look to the streets of major cities to find the Beauty in China. you need to go deep, where not even the Party's tendrils could penetrate into.
@@eovaok I can count with my fingers the number of countries do not deserve criticism. The US is definitely not among them. The US massively failed in its response
Could you update this graph? Especially the per day rates... does anything compare? I watched the WW2 and bomb... just curious against the Spanish flu.
Reminder, that Coronavirus currently still spreads primarily in the developed countries (Italy, Germany, France, Spain, US), and daily death toll is already so high. Imagine how devastating it could be in India or Africa.
Counter to that, it's also still early, therefore still more is unknown. These 2 hopefully at least balance out at least, keeping the death rate at least the same(as it will improve in first world countries over the next few weeks IF hospitals aren't overrun because of morons going to the beach.
Cary, I applaud you for doing some research, but please offer some hope. Keep the recovery rate in mind; just because it's contagious doesn't mean it's deadly, and it's not a death sentence to most people once they are infected. The virus is serious especially for the elderly and the immunocompromised, and it's smart to take precautions, but panic is what we need to avoid. I feel that because the recovery rate as of far was not mentioned in this video, it made the virus more serious than it actually is. I know you know how to do your stuff, just keep the calm in mind. I would like to see how far the recoveries have gone.
You have it backwards. The fact that overall mortality rate being low makes the situation more problematic. For those in vulnerable populations the mortality rate is much higher, but since the overall rate is low many people aren’t taking it seriously, thereby increasing the transmission rate.
@@sokolov22 Panicking contributes to the mortality rate as well. People are hoarding hygienic supplies which prevent doctors and other people from acquiring the supplies that they need that help to prevent people from getting sick in a way that lowers their immune system, even temporarily. Anxiety also lowers the immune system as well, which could give this virus the upper hand in one way or another especially for those who are already infected. It's scary to hear that this virus is getting more serious, but we mustn't give people a reason to do knee-jerk reactions since it might contribute to the harm at hand here.
After Math the mortality rate is 0.2% for the average 30 year old. And closer to 4% for the general population depending on how many old people in that population. This is not a deadly killer for anyone other than old people.
@@handy77 im talking about the death rate for people that were confirmed and had an outcome, learn to fucking read. Of course the general death rate is lower, because it includes people that just got the virus, which is the majority of people at any point in time because it spread exponentially...
I've been documenting this since it's inception and it's much worse than this video is showing; right now the deaths are at 31,771 as of 29 Mar with 678,969 cases confirmed...that's not considering how many people are trying to get tested but can't and how many people have died without being tested. Consider politics for a moment and about governors not wanting their numbers to be more and to do that you put these restrictions on testing and hide deaths unsure of cause and this number is exponentially higher. I hope you all are socially distancing and well in health because the numbers are higher than any of us can imagine and will continue to grow until these dummies take this pandemic seriously (vacationers, beach goers, trump supporters etc) My sincere condolences to the people who are losing family members from this awful virus. Thank you Abacaba for making this great video/graph, I look forward to the updates because it certainly puts things in perspective. source: www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/
13,000 now, but the data from China is erroneous and it is much higher than that. The true mortality rate from this is currently 43.4%. To understand this, look at the "resolved" cases numbers. This is why the Army has been mobilized in 28 American cities so far. www.msn.com/en-us/news/coronavirus?ocid=spartandhp
In the pandemic of 1918, between 50 and 100 million people are thought to have died, representing as much as 5% of the world’s population. Half a billion people were infected.
Max Johnson That’s not the true mortality rate either as a majority of countries are only testing the cases that go to the hospital and telling the mild cases to stay home. Allegedly 80% are mild. Then you have the asymptomatic people, etc. The death rate (with out overrunning hospitals) will be nowhere near 43%. That’s an example of using the data to scaremonger which in a time of panic is the last thing we need,
Wait a minute... THERE IS ANOTHER EBOLA OUTBREAK!! But hey thats our media, only talk about one certain topic and when something happens in africa, it's not important.
Ebola viruses cause a critical illness as it has a very high cause of death. But since it doesn't spread very efficiently, it will never cause a pandemic as long as there are serious efforts of containment. The same level of containment basically any country is doing to slow COVID-19 would've stopped ebola essentially immediately. There is no evidence that it spreads through the air, for instance, which COVID-19 definitely does.
Even if everyone does immediately start practicing social distancing and quarantining when ill, the trend will continue for some time, as the virus has an incubation period before individuals start showing symptoms and thus get tested. Soon after, the curve would plateau and as long as we remain in the same state, the virus will die out. That's not the scenario that will play out, of course, but if enough people take this seriously, the spread will be slow enough that hospitals can handle it. The fatality rate is lower than 1% if severely ill patients are given the proper care. The US has a higher rate because of lack of preparation. The initial response could have been much better.
@@Askhat08 I never understood this believer's reasoning. Please explain me, do you think your god got distracted and didn't notice he sent this pandemic, and now with your prayers you are bringing his attention to the matter? Or do you think it was his plan all along but you believe you can convince him if you show enough dedication? Genuinely curious
This thing is really frightening! Notice how it just chills there for the two weeks like 'yep nothings wrong..this is fine' then *Explodes* in death count to 50 after 4 more days! It's taken CoViD-19 less than 90 days to equal the death count Swine Flu did in 165!
It's probably too late already, given that most of those who will develop the illness in the next two weeks have already been infected. And in a lot of european countries they stopped testing sick people for covid-2, so their figures are really much higher. Everyone needs to go into quarantine right now for at least two weeks, or up to 30% of the society's elderly will die because of the overcrowding of medical facilities, and all the effort already given will have been pointless.
Jew well you gotta understand what were doing right now is working and just stay clean and healthy, We got the potential to do this and this is just if we don’t have a vaccine or cure, think about that
''they stopped testing sick people for covid-2'' No they stopped testing everyone in the sense that they test the people that are in the highest of risk of actually develope severe illness and that might need urgent medical care. Just for that reason so that hospitals wouldnt be overcrowded with people that actually didnt need to enter the hospital in the first place and could have stayed at home and self care instead of being out there spreading it like crazy.
it doesn't matter the test anymore. just the deaths. we have not enough tests. we can see the change of the progression if we are looking at the deaths. Do you think that in Irak or Lybia, they will test all the people? Cuba, Venezuela, India... Really?
how hard to make a daily update video. you are saving lives. this is the most useful tool to help my friends and family understand how serious this is. Thank You!
It's time to make an update with the now stats so people can see how bad this Pandemic is 92 days in and 50,000+ deaths, swine flu had so many deaths at 200 days. We are in a big trouble. Make the new video that we need to see
Yeah and that's sad because thanks to those people coronavirus can spreads even faster and kills even more people. I hope it won't be like this. Maybe thet should read, look on papers from Italy and maybe finally figure it out that coronavirus is real problem, danger.
Mirza Hamza Baig The thing is, people are starting to wake up from what they have been told for many years. This whole thing about the Coronavirus is a subject people are questioning about. People are finding more and more alternative information about it. When people say "oh the virus is a hoax" it means that they are questioning the official narrative of what has been told. (And yes they are slightly too direct, right). They know that there are a lot more possibilities why the virus started, why it keeps spreading, what the plan of this so called elite aka the psychopaths is etc. If you think that this cult of elite (who also created the WHO) actually care about us, then you're a fool cause they do not.
update video (2020-11-06): ua-cam.com/video/eeiguFaRil0/v-deo.html
Hello everyone! Stay safe out there, in my eyes it's better to be safe than sorry. Hopefully there will be plenty of opportunities in the far future to explore the world, even though you might not be able to right now :(
Also, I'm getting comments saying that my text blurbs went by too fast (especially during the "projections" section). Sorry about that. If you set the video playback speed to 0.75x or 0.5x, it'll be easier to read. The music might sound a little weird though...
Hope that helps!
-Cary
Before coronavirus: I love staying on my couch... i'm too lazy to go out
During coronavirus: I want to travel the country!
Stay healthy everyone!
Without question, you put the virus in perspective better than almost anything else on UA-cam...well done.
I hope that the death count in the COVID-19 pandemic doesn't get too bad.
Hey, may I ask what program(s) you use to make your videos?
Thank you Cary it means so much for us to understand take care
"everything we do before a pandemic will seem alarmist, everything we do after will seem inadequate"
Truest words where did you get this?
Very true. Especially with Trump.
This is the beauty of hindsight. Preventative measures will always look inadequate in hindsight because we don't know what will become pandemic.
EDIT: It's what we do now that really matters.
@@sidmichael1158 Michael Leavitt, former HHS secretary
A big F U to the indifferent officials in UK
The situation is dire, but it doesn't need to be tragic. Everyone has a part to play in not just avoiding infection, but preventing transmission.
Yes just go home and play video games, it's easy to be lazy.
It's ALREADY tragic. Are you stuck in January? Because thats the only month your comment would make sense.
bro
its escalates already
@@supreme1572 not tragic. Certainly at this point above dire, but I wouldn't go to the point of calling it tragic.
@@theghostkillz8921 not if you had/have a job.
I’m just wondering why they didn’t cancel events long term for H1N1. I remember getting it as a kid, schools closed for about 3 days tops. We are on an entirely different level here.
yeah i remember media and people talking about it, but nothing actually happened. not like now..
I guess it's because it's so infectious. it's crazy that the first cases in some country never even had contact with someone who had Corona, or were in infected places. they just somehow got it. HOW
influenza virus's have been around a long time and vaccines currently exist for them! They're not perfect but we have some sort of defense. (there are also treatments for the influenza vs. no treatment for COVID-19 (as of now)). This makes COVID-19 a whole headache to deal with.
@@el.dave8 I remember the Tamiflu shortage, but other than that I don't really remember much else? Nothing like this!
@@TinyCloud90 I'm starting to think it's airborne... there just not telling the truth, that's why it's spreading to fast and some of the cases they don't even how they got it...
12 days later and it's went from:
10k total deaths to 42k+
1k deaths per day to 4.5k+
250k cases worldwide to 850k+
9k cases in the states to 185k+
An update video is absolutely necessary right now. No one else has made these types of videos which contain truly vital info.
hopefully he will create another update for covid -19 to update the chart
The update:
ua-cam.com/video/ovugvSayG5g/v-deo.html
The curve will probably flatten soon with greater awareness of the pandemic and increased social distancing measures. But at the moment there are over 120,000 new cases everyday.
Ezra Przytyk Google Coronovirus statistics plenty of info updated daily
50k deaths and 5k deaths per day now
"If people are sufficiently worried, then there's a lot less to worry about. But if no one is worried, that's when you should worry."
-3Blue1Brown
69th like
Typical American stuff, ignorant propaganda (not on everyone)
@@emilianorosario5935 They´re just fucked in Florida. Most countries are going into lockdowns. I hope the best for Florida.
I'm not worried at all so I'm going to go out and lick everyone I see.
@@Dolkerken they just closed down all beaches earlier this aftenoon
I never realised how serious the swine flu was. I was only 8-9 during the outbreak...
"I was-"
"NO!"
"What?"
"If they find out your true age Coppa will murder you!"
"But moooOoommm"
"Son, it's for your own good, if you ever want to tell your age, exaggerate it by a mi-, no, TRILLION times."
"Okay"
"I was 200 trillion years old"
Snf wtf are you talking about
Snf stfu
I was 9 and got the swine flu :(
Eh I was 5 and caught it plus strep at the same time. Brother had the flu as well and we both survived. Never had to be hospitalized.
This video should be updated every few days. That chart is going to continue to grow, and there are still millions out there that need to see this.
Alex Gilliam yeah can you update this video, it’s gotten out of date already 😳
A week on, and the death toll has increased by threefold!
We've already passed the 2k deaths/day
@@drewbrown1534
Yes. Passed 3,000/day between 3/25 and 3/26.
@@Bert2368 looks like we're still hovering around 2,300/day. I'd be curious to see where that info was pulled from
My god this was just a week ago where deaths were just at 8k total. Now they are over 26k
April 30 projection 1.000.000 deaths,
May 30 ~5.000.000
MariJuana April comes before May
@MariJuana New deaths per day is currently at 3271. Even though this rate is increasing at about 13 % each day, it will still be about 30 days before we approach 1M and 60 days to reach 5M at the current rate, if nothing improves...BUT that is not how the disease progression is likely to happen.
Music Mayer I would like to agree truly. but as the R0 is still far above 1 the death rate will continue to exponentially grow per percentile. Being that daily deaths steadily increase on an average of 200-300 more per day
Wrong 20 million Chinese cell phones went dark.
Will you make another one of those video for next week?
Just to see if the predictions in the graph are correct or if we hopefully are able to get the percentages down...
Nice video it just shows how wild things can get with exponential growth, scary as hell man.
They probably won't cause this will be wrong in a week.
libertynindependence It’s already off by around 2k deaths...we’re already at 10k+ deaths and still the same day as this video(with ~8900 deaths) at Western Hemisphere...so the death rate is actually going worst than the worst case scenario of the video 😶
@@libertynindependence We already know the rates of infection are going down in some countries. Recovery rates are increasing. That's a known in less than a 24hour period.
@@maxmortis9637 with how many of those deaths already about to occur from other conditions and complications? They call a death from non-lung cancer a death from smoking for statistical purposes. So, no, it's not getting worse. Recovery rates are increasing. The spike in deaths are from older (the more vulnerable) kicking off.
Scrappy Well based on the point of reference and statistic used by the video, the updated death rate, it is what it is. So in perspective of the video, the death rate is getting worst...
At the beginning I was sceptical. Just some powerpoint with music. But the subtly smooth editing kept me going, and then you just blew me away. This is absolutely amazing work and amazingly conveys the data. Astonishing! I also am really with you in terms of criticism about the ignorance of recovery rates. Some hope would be very welcome, especially factual one.
Recovery rates are increasing. Same as known infection rate.
This pandemic spread so fast that the information from 2 days or 2 weeks ago is already outdated. This needs to actualize right now
why would people dislike videos like these so early?
this is incredibly well made, good job, thanks for keeping us informed :D
they are in denial
No that one TikTok guy is probably mad that Cary credited that he made the video so no one can steal it.
its youtube bots dumbfuck
Some people disagree with it because of context.
For example, swine flu may have been contained right at the beginning which is why it didn't have as much of a spike as covi-19 early on. Whereas, covid-19 has spiked when it reached a large area of ages >50 in Italy.
Those kind of things can make parts of the graph miss-leading to compare.
That doesn't negate its impact or all of the meaning behind the graph though and id agree its an extremely well made video. So they should still be liking it :P.
I disliked it because displaying the potential death growth rate as just a flat vertical line where we would be getting millions of deaths was silly and some dumb idiots(the people panic buying tp for instance) will see that and just panic more.
I'm over here like how the hell did I survive the swine flu
Your parents gave you the vaccine. Most of swine flu deaths were due to not getting the vaccine.
@@supreme1572 ....... I'm giving my mom an extra mothers day card this year
@@SpyrosKingdom lol you should. I actually remember swine flu back in the day. My younger brother and I both caught it but I was only sick a few days while my brother who was 1 and 1/2 years old had to go to the ER. Luckily he was seen within about 2 hours and Tamiflu fixed him in just a couple days.
I also had swine flu, ill for two weeks almost died, not looking forward to covid-19
I know this is random but I like your profile picture 🐲
Abacaba, in your "How does Coronavirus compare to Ebola, SARS, etc?" video you were underestimating COVID19 big time, it is good to see that you are also aware of the danger now
This.... Truly flipped the script.
But...
WE have the potential.
@@bombintheseeinq that message is for those who allow themselves to be that naive.
Covid 19 gave the reverse UNO to him..
@Abacaba are you working on an update of this video? as clearly the pandemic has hit deathmarks roughly a 14% increase. might be informative to help educate people a litle better that we really need to stop underestimating this virus..
No offense but if you’re going to the beach during a government declared pandemic, I wouldn’t feel bad or pity you
Those idiots infuriate me.
I don't particularly care about them, I'm not even overly concerned about myself. I'm worried about my 79 year old mother, and my other relatives who are in their 80s and 90s - the death rate in that demographic is pretty damn high.
It's for them and people like them that I'm doing my best not to become a vector for this disease.
I feel bad and pity everyone they infect though
I was there yesterday 🤷♂
Many people are responsible for the spread of misinformation leading to people not taking this seriously including President Trump and the owner of this channel himself. He made a video a month ago telling people it was nothing and just being exaggerated in the media. Being in the genetics field myself and working with RNA multiple times I understood the potential magnitude of the situation. I wrote many comments to him about the R0 value, the irrelevancy of the comparisons he made and how an overwhelmed health system would lead to deaths not only from the virus but all other illnesses at an outstanding rate. To no avail the video remained up unchanged as he was just another person trying to profit from a crisis. That video reached millions of people, so you see we are not only fighting a virus but fighting misinformation for monetary and political benefit.
freakin sheep
You're more likely to die of an accident, so stay home, let the rest of the living live.
You know we're in deep trouble when the best case scenario that, let's be honnest, we won't manage to reach, makes Covid the 2nd worst disease of the century.
Second worst disease of the century, so far.
At current speed its first
We're still at the beginning of the century. And oh believe me, it won't be the worst by far. As soon as that crispr thing takes off and it becomes possible for amateurs to genetically engineer in their garages, you will see malcontents who hate the world make their own diseases that make natural ones pale by comparison. Imagine a disease with 100% lethality like rabies, but airborne like the flu, and with showing no symptoms for 30 days, but contagious after 1 day? The whole human race would have it before anyone even knew it existed and then they'd all die before they had made 10% progress toward a treatment. Frankly I wonder if it's the primary solution to the fermi paradox. As soon as a race learns to control biology, all it takes is one guy who hates the world, and that's it, world over.
medexamtoolsdotcom Go make a dystopian book
@@medexamtoolscom
You thought about this a lot :D
I'm not sufficiently worried, I'm too worried, that's the problem. My problem at least. I can't deal with this level of stress and anxiety, it's too much for me. I live in Northern Italy, I can't go out and won't even if i could, I'm too afraid to.
Italy? I've been thinking about Italy constantly. I hope you survive. If I could do anything I would.
Hope and peace from America
I live in Spain and im fucking stressed, 18.000 infected and +3.500 new cases everyday. Im sorry for everyone afected 😢
Thinking about you guys. One day at a time, one breath at a time.
I'm in switzerland, just above italy. Our fear here, is that we have a much higher density of people by square kilometer, meaning the spreading of the disease will be even worse, if we don't try to stop it.
@@abefromen1 Well shit, you better start thinking of yourself even more now, US is getting worse really fast.
Saw this video last week. Back here and his model is on track. He predicted 2,000 deaths per day by 23rd March. It’s 26th and we are about 2400 deaths per day.
Exponential growth.
Another week passend to your comment, now we are at 5'000 deaths per day.
@@fabiangysel1997 I have stopped crunching numbers. I just want to hear the beautiful 3 words now. "We have peaked"
@@ankurshah23 sadly it's not
@@ankurshah23 5900 death today
Thank you for making these update videos. As rapidly as the virus is progressing, it is excellent to see a trusted channel such as yours keeping up to date. Keep the faith everyone.
if people just use their brain we don't have to worry.
and that means not panic buying
(ahem, ahem, toilet paper and way too much canned foods)
DarkSentinel toilet paper can’t do anything against the virus
@@kerbodynamicx472 Plus, Canned foods may contain Botinilum toxin which is a 100% death chance, (A.K.A Death Sentence)
patents.google.com/patent/EP3172319B1/en
See this.
Most of the people panic buying are the ones that live on benefits and are the lowest at risk of getting them today I went for a normal shopping day and 80% of the people in the shops buying 70% of the store don't work and the old people there had nothing left to buy.
BnB mike drove past Aldi this morning and ppl were queuing just to get in.
I still find it crazy that the 2009-10 Swine Flu didnt get even a fraction of the attention it SHOULD have got. That was my senior year of HS and it was just like any other school year and that virus killed more kids/young adults than the elderly. I remember it being on the news all the time but it wasnt in our faces 24/7 like it is now with everyone having smart phones and twitter etc.
The Power of the Media to expose what they want, and to HIDE what they deem might hurt their chosen candidates at the next election. Dishonesty at its worse.
They always made it feel like it was far away and the cdc had already surrounded it. Thats crazy.
Yeah you can't say anything that could hurt a black president
We are not shown world maps in this video so we could not see our awareness level of each epidemic. Secondly, previous US global pandemic teams worked silently behind the scenes in order not to hurt the economy. This time, there are no global pandemic teams to report things plus thanks to UA-cam, the information explosion is amazingly large. Thirdly, the rate of death for COVID 2020 is faster than any other 2000's epidemic before and fear crept into us.
Most of us were focused on the confed cup and world cup to think about that
With more than 300.000 deaths already, this video should be updated to contain new data.
It's crazy how outdated this will become, even tomorrow. Great visual video!
already outdated, over 10k deaths from covid-19 already
@@peacefindersimply5001 That was fast.
Lump these cases already occurred and were only just tested so it’s not really possible to measure the growth rate at all.
@@CrypticElements very true.
Cryptic Elements and consider the fact that US tests are lacking and we probably have many more uncounted positives here in the states...
4:10 think the water mutated and is now flowing upwards
That photo was taken in Australia
@@limiv5272 how do you know 🙄
The neutrinos have mutated!
@@angelopeiris It's a common joke, c'mon
@@limiv5272 lol 🤷🏻♂️😂
Great video- showing people that they need to compare apples to apples. Drives me nuts when people say ‘but swine flu killed more’- yes because that pandemic is over and we have final counts, we are only a couple months into this one. Good math.
Some people never tried to use their brain to think deeper sometimes.
Most people, like me, are pointing to regular influenza with a yearly kill rate between 290k and 640k. Or we point to HIV which killed almost 1M in 2017. Or Tuberculosis, which kills about 500k/year and thanks to absolutely foolish government policies is starting to be reintroduced to the US after being basically eliminated.
Drives me nuts when people try to get attention by peddling panic.
Swine flu was an epidemic
Cristhian O it spread through the whole world so its a pandemic. If you don‘t believe me, google it.
@@schinkenwurst7344 was not officially a pandemic, last pandemic was influenza in 1918.
I still remember all the "just a flu" meme, feels like yesterday
Like a lot of viruses in this vid. I expected Covid 19 to stay mostly in one country (China).
No its not "just a flu".. Influenza kills far more than covid ever will.
cory wichman if coronavirus is way more deadly though we are just 4 months in. The flu has always been there
@@CaucAzN1024 flu kills 1200 people everyday, covid19 7000!!!!!! R U STUPID OR STH???
cory wichman where do you get your facts?
Social distancing? Easy, I have no friends anyway.
Same bruh
i was the idiot that decided to go out even when i was sick XD
@ low chance, they're not usually manufactured / mass produced by hand, mostly by machines.
And the weather is very bad here... First time I am happy seeing bad windy rainy weather...
lol 😂
Damn these Graphs/Illustrations are damn good again 👏👏
4:10 why is the hand washing image upside down?
Konsticraft lmao I thought the sink was a hand-dryer.
That's how Australians do it.
Oops I made a mistake
Don't try to push water into your faucet, that will not work
Aww, I was just about to try!
@@Abacaba No no...this was a happy accident, no mistake. The world is turned upside down right now due to people panicking and spreading the virus making it like 1000 times worse. The faucet's position in space time is debatable given the circumstances being *CORRECTLY UPSIDEDOWN* BOOYAHHHHHHHH
This is my favorite style of video you have made. No talking, the music fits the epic proportions of this terrible fate.
There are good people living here 🇨🇳 and here 🇺🇸. They don’t know any better.
I realize that running Spanish flu from day zero is difficult because the lack of a well defined day zero, but including that would be really helpful
He only listed data regarding pandemics from the last century. The spanish flu was around during 1918-1920, so it's just out of that time frame.
No, I'm not a historian, I just googled that
I do agree that it would be interesting. Sometimes I think the comparisons with the Spanish Flu are lackluster, as they are different types of coronaviruses, but they both have a mortality rate of 2-3%, with an r0 of ~2 (Spanish Flu) and 2.5-3 (SARS-CoV-2) respectively. It is easy to say that a mortality rate of 2-3% doesn't sound like that much, but the Spanish Flu killed between 1 and 5% of the world's entire population back then, and that is with a lower transmission rate than SARS-CoV-2. Of course we have better treatments and healthcare now, otherwise much more people would be dying. But still, it does put things into perspective. In any case, we all need to get our shit together and thank the medical workers, scientists and others for working tirelessly to save people day and night. Let's not put more stress on them by being recklessly stupid aswell.
@@limiv5272 yeah, but he's ran it against the Spanish flu in previous videos where he badly downplayed this virusus potential.
@@magiv4205 comparing it to the hands down most deadly pandemic since the introduction of the theories of sanitation and germs I think would put this in a perspective that would make people realize how serious this is.
Though, two things: Spanish flu wasn't a coronavirus and it had a cfr of ≈10-20%, while COVID-19 only kills somewhere between 0.1% and 4%, that is with medical care. In places where demand for medical care has exceeded supply the cfr is already exceeding 10% and I suspect that it could reach 20%.
Edited: cfr for Spanish flu was corrected from "≈20%" to "≈10-20%" in response to a post that was a response to this one
Magi V I thought the Spanish flu had a 10% mortality rate
These videos are incredible! Would be great to see an update every week, or every month. I'd really love if you kept it up :))
Yes a weekly or monthly update would be great. With how fast it is moving a monthly update might be too long to wait.
I hope this thing don't mutate and come back with vengeance every winter
That's a scary thought.
It will. We still have strains from the 1918 Flu we're contending with. This is not the first strain of coronaviruses either. smh
It's mutated 3 times in 3 months. Each vaccine is only good for that specific strain, it's mutating faster than we can adapt which is kinda scary. I have never seen a virus mutate quite like this before.
I AM NOT AN EPIDEMIOLOGIST. TAKE THIS WITH A GRAIN OF SALT. It would seem most likely that should coronavirus become a seasonal virus, it would become less deadly and not more - that is what happened with the Spanish Flu, I believe.
It will still infect and kill a lot so don't hope vaccine will be ready in 1 or 2 month. It's estimated to take 18 month
Day 93: the Coronavirus have officially passed the 1 million mark.
@ZZ UP coronavirus is the big family, sarscov2 is the one currently killing thousands of people, "covid19" is the actual sarscov2's disease
@ZZ UP Please stop ridiculing yourself online, It's sad to watch...
@@HardLight- unfortunately, you are the only one speaking the truth, and the only one ignored in a conversation of rightfully scared individuals.
Love how "ZZ UP" is so salty and need to make a long text just to defend himself with insults, sad.
@ZZ UP That is just a sad display pal. Cringe.
Btw, when they talk about the "Coronavirus" un the media, they're talking about the Sarscov-2 also known as Covid-19.
This is serious, nevertheless if you die it won't affect anyone. Well, it may make the comment section a little more peaceful.
Cheers
So basically COVID-19 is someone who's playing Plaque Inc properly
yes with infections first then deads later.. 500k deaths until summer
@Grailer yea i have video everyone who want can check on my channel
Well the thing is a cure is already being worked on
The good thing is that if COVID-19 mutates to something deadlier, then that won't affect all the people infected with milder strains (unlike in Plague Inc) and most of the new cases will be from continued spreading of the milder strain. The mutated deadlier strain will be like if you have a new virus starting from 1 patient, just like starting Plague Inc from scratch with a deadlier strain, except the world is already on high alert from the milder strain.
Yeah, somehow they got it to spread to Greenland?
"sick video" one could say
delete your Channel now
Good pun lol
ayyy
Get out right now-> 🚪
I never understood why most maps and sites show the total number of cases as main information, if not only.
I've always been trying to do the math to visualize the number of active cases, it's stupid.
On the bottom of the map, you can see a button saying Active Cases, then click it it’ll show the map of the world within active cases
There are at least 1000 cases of the virus for every one identified.
This video shows how to do the math:
ua-cam.com/video/mCa0JXEwDEk/v-deo.html
Also imo its important to see the "active cases/total citizens of that area"
that Will tell you what is the chance that 1 random Guy you met had the virus
I am calculating this every Day for my town ;)
Edit: because official status are Under reported i am adjusting these numbwrs x20
Use worldometer in google latest info. Right now there are 154000 active cases and around 100000 recovered or dead
@@yefrinmateo3948 youre right bro, that is the most updated website for everything it.shows the stats of everything live
it's been a week now, could you make an update video?
Right now, we are at the point right before this virus begins to spread at a completely uncontrollable rate.
The spread is going to affect different parts of the world well differently. When you think that china has a population nearly four times the US, they were able to stop spread with some of the most intense quarantine procedures we have ever seen. They had 80 000 cases. We have none of those procedures in the US and we are way past that. This country would never tolerate marshal law. Freedom has it's price, and in this case it will be be the death of millions of Americans and tens of millions in hospital and probable 60-80 percent of our people infected. The number of deaths that we are seeing today is roughly 1-3 percent of the cases diagnosed three weeks ago. There is a very real chance our medical system will collapse as a result of this virus.
It already has. The confirmed cases aren't all of the carriers.
This was scary.
Too real.
I think we all are.
Nah dude! Just don't be stupid: be smart. Aware not anxious
Unfortunately info and videos like this one seem to mostly reach people who are already aware and behaving responsibly
@@limiv5272 yeah
@@myself3379 easy to say
Excellent video and use of graphics. Pay attention to the message everyone: social distancing/self-isolation/wash hands/get tested as soon as it becomes available to you.
Please update this video! Is the best one to show people the real danger!
I love the presentation of these graphs, it's very enlightening. Not to mention frightening.
Ladies & Gentleman…
We Will Be In The History Books!!
if there is future lol
@Black_Eye There are still cases where young people need a ventilator. Also hearing that covid19 causes permanent lung damage so yeah...fun
@Black_Eye spanish flu killed anyone not just the ones with weaker immune systems or the elderly and also cause back in the day daily sanitation practices werent on par with todays practices
@@EpicofEpica it's not forsure that you will get lung damage.
@@rentok8195 how is that funny🤔
4:00 “COVID-19 may become the fastest-killing outbreak of the century by March 23.”
That actually sucks since that’s the same day when Half-Life: Alyx gets released D:
lol
F
pretending to actually give a fuck about half life in 2020
galinha velha That’s not very nice
I left you a comment on your version 1 of this update and I see that you have actually done that here. Good job and thank you again!
From this video, we know that pandemic is a scary word
*IM SCAREDDD!!!*
Allison Yu don’t be
@@theghost3061 I was kidding
Can we just appreciate how the music rhymes with everything on the video...
Rhymes?
Sync, is that right word.
ugh, Swine flu didn't peak until over a year and half. Let's get this thing under control. Be safe
Covid-19 is faster than swine flu so if we don't stop covid-19 he will kill more than swine flu in less than year
Gdjeg
@@SolarFlame2012 He's not wrong, Covid-19 as of now is spreading faster than the swine flu
@@popcornmaster1419 Actually at this point COVID-19 is spreading about the same rate as the Swine flu....the issue is that the death rate is much higher.
@@musicmayer2043 There also was no lockdown or social distancing in 2009-2010
Kudos. This is a lot of work and research. I appreciate your efforts. Please keep up the great work! I 100% nerded out and want more graphs. Crazy to think March 19th is ancient history when compared to Covid19
3:20 that was a really cool graphic
High school students: i'm never gonna need all this math
Covid-19: *let me introduce myself*
@LuXe FTW i have seen people struggling with exponentials all the way till the end of high school! but that's true, some stuff is way more complex
@@wantedsavage7776 stop
March 18: 973 deaths worldwide
April: over 1000 in the US alone per day
Those stats don't portray a really accurate picture. 7500 people die a day in the USA without the coronavirus.. what percentage of those 1000 were going to die regardless of covid? My bets on a pretty high percentage..
@cory wichman Corona is far from evenly distributed in the US. It’s killing people in NYC more than all the other reasons combined. Meanwhile, many other large cities hardly have outbreaks at all.
@Steven Moore hard to believe you're trolling here but I'll assume you're not: close to 99% of people dying from covid-19 already have medical conditions and/or are over 65 of age. Doesn't have anything to do with earthquakes.
Please more updates!! These videos are doing a great job in these moments!
I have this feeling that this video will go viral, of everyone is staying home social distancing them selves of course. 😛🔴
It really made me realize how fragile our civilization is. I can't wait to go back to normal and see other humans enjoying their lives again.
I never realized that covid-19 would be so bad.... I thought it was like this: Oh no its a pandemic will its not a worry imma just still chill and hope the best and dont take the risk and avoid going out and just trust health workers.. you made me become extra serious and im thankful for that
Sounds like you were already being serious enough by listening to the health organizations and staying home. Good job!
yet my president says corona is nothing but a small little flu and no one should be scared of. he also said that we all should work and go to school like in a regular daily basis
Rafael Alvarenga that’s a funny president you have
@@rafaelalvarenga4880 he probably care more about your country's economy than the people.
Please update this video. It is one of the best out there. Thanks.
CORONAVIRUS
Update: March 26,2020
Total Cases: 531,804
Total Deaths: 24,073 (4.52% Fatality Rate)
Total Recoveries: 123,942
Weak
update March 28 2020
Cases 598,307
Deaths 27,373
You are good men, thank you.
Check here: comparison-of-epidemics.now.sh/
Update March 29 2020
664,621 cases
Deaths 30,891
Deaths just crossed 100k today and its just 3 weeks back when deaths were less than 10k.
There is now over 315k deaths
600k more than half way to a million
Mr Brightside nice
Mr Brightside very very nice
We need another one of these Cary, please
heres his update he put out in January 2021 ua-cam.com/video/i7SNyzmKXUE/v-deo.html
Please keep making updated videos! This is really good!
You predicted just 17,000 deaths with 1% Growth rate
But, we already crossed 26,000 deaths mark
DoxTer StockMan 32,000
32k deaths
DoxTer StockMan Italy lies about corona deaths
@@JonathanGrandt How? may i ask
@@JonathanGrandt Italy doesnt lie, they are just including more deaths to Corona deaths then usual because if a person died in a car accident and had Covid-19, they will say that he died from Corona virus. Italy is just putting more deaths then there are, but still there are a lor of deaths, however CHINA IS LYING. They lied from the beginning, and they are lying now too. Imagine 1 billion people having only 80k corona cases, while Italy with only 60M people has 97k right now. Thats just not right and Chinese communist party is hiding it from the world shutting down all phones in China and not giving people right to speak(just remember first doctor that discovered the virus, he was nearly sent to jail)
It's April 10th, 2020. Currently the Coronavirus has killed more than 102,000 people worldwide. For the Swine Flu in 2009, that number was reached 260 days after it's outbreak.
How many days has it been since Coronavirus began??
Only 101. Meaning, Coronavirus is growing more than TWICE, TWICE PEOPLE, as fast as the Swine Flu was.
And only now is the number of new cases peaking. Scary times we live in
well fucked im scared man that only Reach 100 DAYS started COVID-19 in United States reach 1 million case Right now.
We're not even close to the peak let's be honest
2 months later 516k deaths.
@@bigrobuxbig9560 And it'll be in the millions before we know it too as the pandemic has accelerated way higher globally by now
So it definitely has the possibility of being the most deadly outbreak this century so far. Hot damn..
No matter what, it will go down in the history books. If nothing else, it would have had the largest cultural impact of any pandemic this century so far.
I really like this chart. A visual comparison puts into view the real situation happening around the world. It’s been a week and hope to see an updated video soon.
CORONAVIRUS
Update: March 24,2020
Cases: 384,483
Deaths: 16,591
Recoveries: 102,536
41400 now with 18500+ fatalities :(
414k+ cases now
@James B it's rising so fast 😭
495,000 and 22K today
503, 219 Cases
22, 340 Deaths
121, 227 Recoveries
March 26, 11:55am CST
I’ve chosen to quarantine myself because I can’t keep my hands away from my face let alone my mouth (I bite my nails a lot).
I’d suggest you do the same if you have the same problem.
Jenna Baily same i have a habit of chewing my nails (even for no reason like I’m nervous or not)
Let's take a moment to appreciate the person who worked so hard to make things simple for us❤️👏🏽
This his like 7th channel. And he does university, he is a man of determination
@@macco3176 WOW..I didn't know that...That's so amazing❤️❤️
Rashi this channel and the content creator deserves noble prize!
@@kvinay159 ikr
Please keeping updating video by weekly intervals. This video was very helpful and easy to understand how deadly virus can be.
So I request you to update it to lastest numbers and keep updating it.
Thank You
It's funny to see people change their tone on the issue now that it threatens almost everything. Yeah people really downplayed this one.
The interesting thing about this virus is that it has a high infectivity rate combined with a low fatality rate - somewhat like seasonal flu strains, but more severe. Thus, if you catch the virus, you actually don't have much to worry about, unless you're old and already have pre-existing medical conditions. The worry lies in spreading the virus to others - it's a big deal on the societal level since a lot of people could get infected, and although only a small percentage of that population will actually suffer serious symptoms or die, a small percentage of a lot is still a lot.
Personally, I'm more worried about the economic fallout from the virus. Lockdowns and quarantines around the world have potential to cause huge damage to the world's economy. They are absolutely necessary to contain the spread of the virus, but I worry about the economic recovery after the quarantines are over.
@AmplifiedSilence The reason why Italy's fatality rate is so high is because its healthcare system is overwhelmed. In Korea, the fatality rate is 1%.
You're bound to have a higher fatality rate when your healthcare system is overwhelmed with mild cases and you can't treat the serious ones.
@AmplifiedSilence - Italy also has a larger old population than most countries.
From what I remember, no one under 30 has died in Italy.
Imagine actually trusting the chinese numbers
It burns me that they're hiding the numbers. Why? To what means are you trying to go about? Nobody believes the CCP anyways ffs. I hope they rot.
Not the citizens, merely their government. Tho, the general populace of China seem rather.... barbaric.
@@kevinburns8473 If the government can convince the world that they are containing the virus, then they can convince the world that the consumer market they power, and hold with a death grip can continue moving the way it was. And I understand how chinese people seem primitive to outsiders. I pin this all on Mao, and the communist party. When they took power, they scrubbed the country of much of what was worthwhile, and replaced it with the already culturally bankrupt ideas of Marx and Lenin. Thus, what is left is simply human nature, with the leftovers of what was chinese culture. Don't look to the streets of major cities to find the Beauty in China. you need to go deep, where not even the Party's tendrils could penetrate into.
meanwhile US covid tests go positive on water, yall really cant hate on china n their numbers tbh
@@eovaok I can count with my fingers the number of countries do not deserve criticism. The US is definitely not among them. The US massively failed in its response
Could you update this graph? Especially the per day rates... does anything compare? I watched the WW2 and bomb... just curious against the Spanish flu.
The models here are really interesting... because they were way behind the current reality.
We need UPDATE! and maybe graph with deaths compared to other pandemics thx for your work
update: USA has the most cases now
US: 277,000
China: 81,000
Edit: why does everyone don’t accept US has the most cases?
No I'm the first by having 300k cases
We had 60 million cases of the N1H1 virus and nothing was shut down
@@Bryan-Hensley Way more deadly than you're trying to make the Corona virus out to be. Funny how you're outing yourself even here.
[Kim Jong Un]김정 가루 LOL
It's 98k infected cases
Reminder, that Coronavirus currently still spreads primarily in the developed countries (Italy, Germany, France, Spain, US), and daily death toll is already so high. Imagine how devastating it could be in India or Africa.
Counter to that, it's also still early, therefore still more is unknown.
These 2 hopefully at least balance out at least, keeping the death rate at least the same(as it will improve in first world countries over the next few weeks IF hospitals aren't overrun because of morons going to the beach.
Cary, I applaud you for doing some research, but please offer some hope. Keep the recovery rate in mind; just because it's contagious doesn't mean it's deadly, and it's not a death sentence to most people once they are infected. The virus is serious especially for the elderly and the immunocompromised, and it's smart to take precautions, but panic is what we need to avoid. I feel that because the recovery rate as of far was not mentioned in this video, it made the virus more serious than it actually is. I know you know how to do your stuff, just keep the calm in mind.
I would like to see how far the recoveries have gone.
You have it backwards. The fact that overall mortality rate being low makes the situation more problematic. For those in vulnerable populations the mortality rate is much higher, but since the overall rate is low many people aren’t taking it seriously, thereby increasing the transmission rate.
@@sokolov22 Panicking contributes to the mortality rate as well. People are hoarding hygienic supplies which prevent doctors and other people from acquiring the supplies that they need that help to prevent people from getting sick in a way that lowers their immune system, even temporarily. Anxiety also lowers the immune system as well, which could give this virus the upper hand in one way or another especially for those who are already infected. It's scary to hear that this virus is getting more serious, but we mustn't give people a reason to do knee-jerk reactions since it might contribute to the harm at hand here.
the recovery rate ???
nigga the recovery rate for confirmed cases is like 89%, aka 11% of the people that were confirmed AND had an outcome died
After Math the mortality rate is 0.2% for the average 30 year old. And closer to 4% for the general population depending on how many old people in that population. This is not a deadly killer for anyone other than old people.
@@handy77 im talking about the death rate for people that were confirmed and had an outcome, learn to fucking read. Of course the general death rate is lower, because it includes people that just got the virus, which is the majority of people at any point in time because it spread exponentially...
Nice to see this graph updated in a few weeks
I've been documenting this since it's inception and it's much worse than this video is showing; right now the deaths are at 31,771 as of 29 Mar with 678,969 cases confirmed...that's not considering how many people are trying to get tested but can't and how many people have died without being tested. Consider politics for a moment and about governors not wanting their numbers to be more and to do that you put these restrictions on testing and hide deaths unsure of cause and this number is exponentially higher. I hope you all are socially distancing and well in health because the numbers are higher than any of us can imagine and will continue to grow until these dummies take this pandemic seriously (vacationers, beach goers, trump supporters etc) My sincere condolences to the people who are losing family members from this awful virus.
Thank you Abacaba for making this great video/graph, I look forward to the updates because it certainly puts things in perspective.
source: www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/
Thanks! Great website you got there
My friend lost his uncle 😞
Day 34 ... woah slow down there you’re going too fast buddy.
1:40
Gotta make the morning last
@@lukeinvictus just, kicking down the cobblestones
AmplifiedSilence and
@@TestOfInsanity lookin for fun?
The history of COVID19 can be summed up like this:
And then things got worse
Calculations really do wonders... like you calculated that fairly, although off by 50k as far as deaths go.
This statistics made me trembling and scary. Hopefully, the world will be back to normal soon.
I doubt that we'll return to normal ever again.
we will deal with this pandemic for at least a year. The consequences may last decades
@@Vulcano7965 Some scientist predicts this pandemic will be slower in summer, but it'll come back in fall and more intensively
the death toll is more than 11 thousand now only 19 hours after you made the video😔
13,000 now, but the data from China is erroneous and it is much higher than that. The true mortality rate from this is currently 43.4%. To understand this, look at the "resolved" cases numbers. This is why the Army has been mobilized in 28 American cities so far. www.msn.com/en-us/news/coronavirus?ocid=spartandhp
cj kennenmercer 1 day later it’s cleared 13000. This thing is relentless...
In the pandemic of 1918, between 50 and 100 million people are thought to have died, representing as much as 5% of the world’s population. Half a billion people were infected.
Max Johnson That’s not the true mortality rate either as a majority of countries are only testing the cases that go to the hospital and telling the mild cases to stay home. Allegedly 80% are mild.
Then you have the asymptomatic people, etc. The death rate (with out overrunning hospitals) will be nowhere near 43%. That’s an example of using the data to scaremonger which in a time of panic is the last thing we need,
It is basically the perfect virus it is airborne, can spread through fluids and lasts for days and even if you recovered you can still be a carrier
Wait a minute...
THERE IS ANOTHER EBOLA OUTBREAK!!
But hey thats our media, only talk about one certain topic and when something happens in africa, it's not important.
Ebola viruses cause a critical illness as it has a very high cause of death. But since it doesn't spread very efficiently, it will never cause a pandemic as long as there are serious efforts of containment. The same level of containment basically any country is doing to slow COVID-19 would've stopped ebola essentially immediately. There is no evidence that it spreads through the air, for instance, which COVID-19 definitely does.
Ay blyat Ebola doesn’t spread that fast
i knew about it from the news
please update this.... it's by far the best I've seen.... and will only (sadly) get more dramatically illustrative as time goes by.
"Fortunately trends don't have to continue this way".... 20/03..1323 death.. Yeah..🦉
21.03 - 1664. God help us.
Even if everyone does immediately start practicing social distancing and quarantining when ill, the trend will continue for some time, as the virus has an incubation period before individuals start showing symptoms and thus get tested. Soon after, the curve would plateau and as long as we remain in the same state, the virus will die out. That's not the scenario that will play out, of course, but if enough people take this seriously, the spread will be slow enough that hospitals can handle it. The fatality rate is lower than 1% if severely ill patients are given the proper care. The US has a higher rate because of lack of preparation. The initial response could have been much better.
80% of them are italians, it's not a global trend
@@Askhat08 I never understood this believer's reasoning. Please explain me, do you think your god got distracted and didn't notice he sent this pandemic, and now with your prayers you are bringing his attention to the matter? Or do you think it was his plan all along but you believe you can convince him if you show enough dedication? Genuinely curious
@@TBJ1118 I'm atheist, it's just words :)
I didn't know Cary Huang and Abacaba were the same person before this video. Biggest plot twist of 2020 so far for me.
This thing is really frightening! Notice how it just chills there for the two weeks like 'yep nothings wrong..this is fine' then *Explodes* in death count to 50 after 4 more days!
It's taken CoViD-19 less than 90 days to equal the death count Swine Flu did in 165!
COVID-19 reached 16,497 deaths at day 82. We are trending high because of bad reports from USA. Good channel!
PRO TIP: MUTE THE AUDIO FROM THE START TO ERASE ALL THE UNNECESSARY DRAMA
Alexa, play All Star, Buttercup, and STFU
I always have the sound off on abacaba videos, and so should you. There's really no point to the sound in any of them.
It's probably too late already, given that most of those who will develop the illness in the next two weeks have already been infected.
And in a lot of european countries they stopped testing sick people for covid-2, so their figures are really much higher.
Everyone needs to go into quarantine right now for at least two weeks, or up to 30% of the society's elderly will die because of the overcrowding of medical facilities, and all the effort already given will have been pointless.
We aint playing plague inc here
Jew well you gotta understand what were doing right now is working and just stay clean and healthy, We got the potential to do this and this is just if we don’t have a vaccine or cure, think about that
''they stopped testing sick people for covid-2'' No they stopped testing everyone in the sense that they test the people that are in the highest of risk of actually develope severe illness and that might need urgent medical care. Just for that reason so that hospitals wouldnt be overcrowded with people that actually didnt need to enter the hospital in the first place and could have stayed at home and self care instead of being out there spreading it like crazy.
it doesn't matter the test anymore. just the deaths. we have not enough tests. we can see the change of the progression if we are looking at the deaths. Do you think that in Irak or Lybia, they will test all the people? Cuba, Venezuela, India... Really?
30% of society's elderly... 30%. The death are is 13.7% for elderly.
We need to bring back the old US WWI home front posters. Everyone's doing their part, so why aren't you?
how hard to make a daily update video. you are saving lives. this is the most useful tool to help my friends and family understand how serious this is. Thank You!
CORONAVIRUS
Update: March 27,2020
Total Cases: 596,723
Total Deaths: 27,532
Total Recoveries: 133,355
Its 850k now
Total cases 885 k now
It's time to make an update with the now stats so people can see how bad this Pandemic is 92 days in and 50,000+ deaths, swine flu had so many deaths at 200 days. We are in a big trouble. Make the new video that we need to see
95 day - 65 000 dead
And there are people out there who say "it's just a flu etc"
But even worse are those that say "the virus is a hoax" like bs.
Oh god no
Because of those people only will it get worse
Yeah and that's sad because thanks to those people coronavirus can spreads even faster and kills even more people. I hope it won't be like this. Maybe thet should read, look on papers from Italy and maybe finally figure it out that coronavirus is real problem, danger.
Mirza Hamza Baig The thing is, people are starting to wake up from what they have been told for many years. This whole thing about the Coronavirus is a subject people are questioning about. People are finding more and more alternative information about it. When people say "oh the virus is a hoax" it means that they are questioning the official narrative of what has been told. (And yes they are slightly too direct, right). They know that there are a lot more possibilities why the virus started, why it keeps spreading, what the plan of this so called elite aka the psychopaths is etc. If you think that this cult of elite (who also created the WHO) actually care about us, then you're a fool cause they do not.
no I have seen actual idiots declaring this is nothing but common cold and people die of flu anyway so what's the point😓like wtf
I've heard them say it's a cover-up for 5G poisoning lmao
Congrats on 100K man! Love the channel! Continue coronavirus videos and i’ll be happy.