2023 Oscar Winner Predictions | February 2023
Вставка
- Опубліковано 1 лип 2024
- 0:00 Intro
0:48 Picture/Director/Original Screenplay
22:55 Adapted Screenplay
28:27 Actress
31:28 Actor
41:09 Supporting Actor
42:10 Supporting Actress
48:23 Cinematography
50:59 Editing
54:04 Sound
55:02 VFX
55:09 Production Design
59:58 Costumes
1:02:30 Makeup
1:05:49 Score
1:07:34 Song
1:10:04 Animated
1:12:05 International
1:12:24 Documentary
1:16:00 End
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That’s it, I’m flying to the east coast rn
NGL I was half expecting it was gonna be you bursting out that door lol
sup
DO IT
first Film Drunk and now Matt.... honestly more award predictors should collab with each other, this is fun!
I’m just waiting for Luke heartfield and Austin Burke to show up
@@gabrielcastaneda9700 Me too
Johnathan is in the last episode of Matt's podcast!
Film Drunk needs to have a rudimentary, cursory idea of what a film is. He might be plausible in 20 25 years. Good uck to him.
Seeing Matt burst through that door just made my day lmao
You guys are the best.
Honestly best video entrance I’ve seen in a while 😂😂
@@aidanmchutchison567 Made my collin wake from its slumber
the point about Fabelmans having a literal film editing scene in the movie and then missing editing got me hahaha
lmaooo
Y'all's performance in the beginning of the video truly deserves the oscars best actor sweep
I'm not getting Power of the Dog vibes, I'm getting Shape of Water vibes. People like it, but we're all like "but it's weird" for one and "remember Green Book/CODA last year" for two, but I think when it comes down to it, obvious frontrunner was obvious.
Can you explain. Thanks in advance.
You all make this movie bigger than it is and man... this kinda pisses me off. I don't wanna sound rude but what kind of messages do you get from EEAAO other than "Family dimension is the most important dimension, family dimension wins because mother and daughter face their mistakes, The End"?
...and to be exact: This Nietzschean nothingness that the daughter is celebrating is something that every teenager had at some point and something that every parent had to endure. This gimmick is REALLY nothing special. Really not.
@@rafearcher7882 Uh, you okay? By obvious frontrunner, I mean obvious frontrunner to win Best Picture, not obvious frontrunner to be best movie of all time. Also, you are not using the word genesis correctly at all.
@@CloseYourBrownEyes It kind of feels like the race is over, because it has all the nominations it needs to win and their won't be a "CODA" surprise because CODA over Power of the Dog was "feel good" over "feel bad", and EEAAO is the "feel good" going up against a lot of "feel bads". I did mess up the comparison to Shape of Water/Green Book, though; I thought Green Book won the year before Shape of Water, not after, so Green Book has no bearing, though Shape of Water's weird genre not holding it back + plus nomination day domination does still make it a good comparison.
Now this is a hell of a collab, Excited to watch!
As a fan of yours and Next Best Picture this was so awesome!! Thanks guys!
I can totally see Butler taking SAG or BAFTA and then giving an emotional speech thanking Lisa Marie Presley which would make him front runner in my mind
Awesome show! Great collab with Matt.
When Cole mentioned on Twitter he was doing a collab for Oscar predictions, I was hoping it would be Matt!
My favorite people together! I admire you all so much since years ago. Thank you for all your contributions
I feel so much smarter after watching you guys. Fun and informative. Invite Matt back!
It's pretty sad that people will vote a performer an Oscar based on a speech they give at SAG or BAFTA.
I 100% agree with you. I mean it's sad what happened to Fraser but should that be a main factor of winning? Farrell at the other hand have absolute great year with 4 different performances and all of them was great. I want him to win bc he always give the best of him.
Plus the fact that Bassett and Curtis got their nom just bc of career achivment
The Whale missing best picture is what really hurts Brendan Fraser’s winning chances. An actor hasn’t won the best lead actor award for a film that missed best picture since Jeff Bridges won for crazy heart. And that was all the way back in 2010.
That's the reason why I'm picking Butler. It's a baity performance in a Best Picture nominee. Farrell was maybe too subtle in Banshees, so Butler it is.
There’s been a few actors that have won the acting categories without being nominated for best picture.
Its an A24 movie. They never get 2 nominations for Best Picture. The movie has a PGA nomination, its almost the same.
Colin Farrell is gonna get it cus of BAFTA. Also banshees is getting SAG ensemble. Yes, i am from the future.
But I think Fraser - similar to Bassett- has his own narrative going. I really want Farrell to win though.
Haha love it! Hope you do more collabs soon
You guys are terrific
I really hope Michelle Yeoh and Brendan Fraser win the Sags and the Oscars. I'm so tired of biopics winning all the acting awards. We need original ideas to be more recognized.
YES I SECOND THIS
And you got it
Omg Matt! Collab of the century
It’s honestly so exciting that the main categories are still so up for grabs. That said we might still be underestimating the possibilities of that EEAAO sweep
In my eyes, the backlash about Viola Davis and Danielle Deadwyler missing Best Actress is going to help Angela Bassett. Supporting Actress is the only category where a black woman stands to win an acting Oscar, and it's possible that a lot of Academy members will be scared of the backlash the organization will face if that doesn't happen.
I was having the same exact thought. If they give it to Condon, then the only non-white actor winning is Quan (if Yeoh doesn’t pull out the upset over Blanchett) and it’s #OscarsSoWhite all over again. I 100% believe the Deadwyler-Davis snub and ensuing backlash locked it in for Bassett.
The academy voters don't care about backlash. They vote for what they like.
Why did Green Book happen if the Academy is afraid of backlash. They evidently do not give a flying f. And arguing that Bassett will only win cause they are scared is insulting to her. Why did she win Globes and Critics Choice? Were they scared of backlash as well? Seriously, actors of color just get disrespected at every corner regardless of how hard they work. How about she deserves it.
Sadly I guess you are right but kondon is the most deserving performance by far in that category
@@pb.j.1753 I never said she didn't deserve it (I haven't seen the movie so I can't pass judgement). I am simply speculating the ripple effect this could potentially have in that category. She has clearly been the frontrunner for around a month now, this could just potentially boost her even more.
Great as always guys !!
My boys 😍 the Matt arriving intro is what should be winning best picture this year ❤ I had so much fun watching this vid. Xx
4 Minutes in and absolutely loving this conversation. This is delightful!
Regina king and Allison Janney both won oscar without a best picture nomination and they were up with nominees from best picture nominated movies. I think Bassest is safe
Congrats guys! Love your videos! You should do a top 10 movies from 2022.
You guys make the best trio! More cross overs, please!
So glad you guys brought Matt on and would love to see him here again. Huge fan of all of you!
*Mr. Peanutbutter voice*
Matt Neglia, the Oscar Expert and Brother Bro in the same room? What is this, a crossover episode?
Ommmgaahhhd best trio!!! Yayyy Matt
I'm glad Justin appreciates the betting market, Vegas really knows. De Armas was a top 5 betting favorite the entire year and look what happened.
I'm loving the VIP guests lately!
Its nice seeing a familiar voice!! ❤️
Yessss!!! Love the collab!!! Next can we get Austin Burke, Perri Nemiroff, and Breakfast All Day (Alonzo Duralde)
Their little moment of silence and reminiscence after Brother Bro brought up Green Book winning over The Favourite for adapted screenplay was great, with the zoom ins and everything.
You mean Original Screenplay?
Yes & same will happen in 5 weeks when They'll be screaming "W-oommmeeen Tallllkkking" Whhhhy!!!! Why won't you give Sarah Polley anything Academy!"
I can also seem them having a similar meltdown if my instinct is right & Top Gun becomes 3rd sequel in History to Win Best Picture
BlueFox94 love your screenshot
cant believe you made Matt do the awkward outro. I respect it
It was an honor
1 hour for this video but I felt like 15 minutes.
OMG MATT! I squealed with joy seeing Matt burst in.
For me it’s up to this point, it’s Best Picture ( personal favorite): EEAAO, Director: Daniels (Personal Choice), Best Actress: Cate Blanchett, she’s the frontrunner and I feel deserves it. Although I would be ecstatic if Michelle Yeoh wins. Best Actor: Frontrunner is Brendan Fraser but in a controversial opinion, having watched all the movies, it should go to either Colin Farrell or Austin Butler. Colin had an amazing performance plus is Overdue, Austin Butler did the impossible and became Elvis not some impression. Supporting should go to Stephanie Hsu but it’s going To Angela Bassett, Ke Huy Quan for best S Actor and Best Screenplays, Banshees and Women’s Talking.
This is my Mutiverse of Madness
This video gets my personal award for Best Editing of an Oscar Expert channel video.
I fully believe that Director is a race between Daniels and Field. Fabelmans needs more momentum for director, and it's dwindled big time, people can feel the pull.
I'm actually more convinced of Fabelmans winning Original Screenplay as it's consolation prize and Everything Everywhere and Banshees flocking to Director and Acting awards for their awards pre-Best Picture announcement. If Fabelmans wins Original, Spielberg is still awarded, as well as in a way he's never been before, AND it finally gets Tony Kushner his first Academy Award, one of the most overdue writers in Oscar history.
Director comes down to Daniels Vs Field, because it's the passion pick between the auteur pick. Sometimes the two are the same (Campion, Zhao) and a sweep occurs, but this feels like a Mendes Vs Joon-Ho. Mendes/Daniels with the clear technical achievement that pushes one element of the film form to new heights (cinematography for 1917, editing for EEAAO), while the auteur pick (Parasite, TÁR) is almost less showy on the surface but it's grasp on film elements is so co-ordinated that it becomes clear no other director could direct their respective films like that.
I am wondering if the Academy will reward a director duo (Daniels) an Oscar for their second full feature film
I actually think that Best Picture comes to: Everything Everywhere, Top Gun Maverick, Women Talking and Banshees
Director: Spielberg, Daniels and maybe Field
Didn’t expect and in person appearance of Matt
Great to see Matt haha
I don't think many people are considering how TÁR could become an unexpected alternative to EEAAO. Given the sheer amount of picture awards it's won from critics groups, Blanchett being a near lock to win Actress, and Todd Field being a definite possible winner in Director, I think the stars *could* align for a TÁR best picture win.
This is so cool
"the other two performances are COVERED in makeup and prosthetics"
"Angela Bassett's got a crazy hat on"
Oscar Expert with the laugh lines!
In regards to production design, I feel like we're not addressing the fact that they built a city block (Beale St) and Graceland mockup in Australia. On top of having to recreate these realistic performance spaces like for the '68 comeback special and Las Vegas. I feel like the Oscar should be for more than just what the voters remember by watching the film or what's flashy but like the craft behind it. That's why all these behind the scenes craft videos and articles are coming out.
EEAO is this years Eternal Sunshine, I see it winning Original screenplay and supporting actor. Director Todd Field and Picture Top Gun winning four Adapted Screenplay, Editing, Sound
This… is not happening
Can we agree that no one knows whats happening until it happens?
@@Mauricio21ish One thing to consider: Only 2 people have ever won the Directing Oscar without at least a Globe Director nomination. Todd Field is missing that crucial nomination.
what about short films? could you guys include them in your next video?
collab of the century real
The greatest collaboration everrr 😭🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥
Tar will win best picture….
EEAAO was hated by older voter
omg this collab is so iconic
Love a Spotlight reference
No way, is that the frequently mentioned Matt Neglea from the one and only Next Best Picture!
Omg is it Matt... Is it that Matt?
IT'S THAT MATT, OH MY GOD. NEXT BEST PICTURE AND OSCAR EXPERT TEAMED UP. I'M SO HAPPY. THREE OF THE GREATEST OSCAR PREDICTORS.
Matt is my favourite Letterboxd reviewer omg
Thank you so much!
It's a shame that I can't comment the video of Quentin Tarantino screaming "Cate Blanchett" here.
It's funny that the Oscar would go to "whose speech at SAG and BAFTA got people to want to vote for". But understandable though as no way we can compare arts, Fraser, Farrell and Butler delivered the amazing performances, so the Oscar can't judge by their performances alone.
While it's not Spielberg's best, I don't get the slander against Fabelmans.
matt’s bald head is a nice contrast to the oscar expert and brother bro’s luscious locks
36:00 Colin Farrell and Olivia Colman both awarded in Venice Film Festival also
Werid seeing Neglia as a person and not a disembodied voice on a podcast
I know Brendan is winning. I mean everyone was very good, but Fraser did something unique, that I have not seen before. It was beautiful his work.
I will be rioting if quality is not being rewarded at the Oscars anymore. Brendan always gave performances that floored the viewer.
If he has a youtube channel besides the website and the podcast, can someone link Matt's channel I see this guy for the first time and he is great.
Coming soon!
Top 10 most ambitious anime crossovers of all time: Number 1. Oscar Expert + Brother Bro & NBP.
I honestly hope that Angela Bassett wins the Oscar but I’m not gonna get my hopes up because of the Chadwick situation!
Is Next Best Picture not on youtube? Does Matt have a presence on UA-cam at all?
Y’all should make a list of what you think should win, I would love to see that if you haven’t already. Cause your friend there is right, the Batman should be winning score, cinematography, and hair/makeup. At least, sound probably too.
"I haven't seen a 'Spotlight' reference since...probably 'Spotlight.'" 😂
Best collab ever
I’m unsure if they have answered this in a previous video, but why is it called the “Oscar EXPERT” when it’s almost always both cole and Justin? Was this channel started by one of them and the other kept on joining in?
Brendan Fraser is really strong imo. In cinematoraphy, Empire of Light could make a surprise.
Doubt they’ll give Roger Deakins his third Oscar in a row
@@seankoontz4235 yeah but it is just amazing.
@@seankoontz4235 Didn't they do it with Chivo Lubeski? If anyone deserves it it's Deakins, who until he won looked like he was going to be the Hitchcock of film photography.
@Replicant Roy Yes, but all three were Best Picture nominees and his work was undeniable all three times
Gosh, that would be sooo good, but will not happen
Thanks, OE! Thanks, BB! Thanks, Matt! #TheOscarExpert #Predictions
collab of the century
Is beyonce and lady gaga telephone
truthfully was hoping for the Film Drunk to make a surprise appearance LOL
This is very entertaining however the following is how it will turn out next month. Congratulations to Austin Butler and now it’s on to the Academy Awards where Austin will win the Oscar for his dynamic performance as The King. It was before the Elvis movie was released and the prediction was made that he would win both the Golden Globe and the Oscar. It’s time for Elvis Presley to get his Oscar for his immeasurable contributions to the movie industry. The new book Elvis: The Quest for an Oscar was written with that specific goal in mind. When the Academy Awards are aired and Austin Butler wins the best actor Oscar, Priscilla should be standing right next to him accepting the Oscar for Elvis Presley. Please go to Barnes & Noble, read some reviews of the book and marvel at some of the photographs, how about the cover of the book. It is a fantastic image of Elvis Presley at the very beginning of his illustrious movie career. Spread the word, Elvis: The Quest for an Oscar.
What is this, a crossover episode?!
My final predictions
Best Picture
Top Gun Maverick
Best Director
Daniels EEAAO
Best Actor
Colin Farrel Banshees of Inersherin
Best Actress
Cate Blanchett TAR
Best Supporting Actor
Ke Huy Kwan EEAAO
Best Supporting Actress
Angela Bassett Black Panther
Best Orginal Screenplay
EEAAO
Best Adapated Screenplay
Top Gun Maverick
Best Cinematography
All Quiet on Western Front
Best Original Score
Babylon
Best Production Design
Babylon
Best Sound
Top Gun Maverick
Best Editing
Top Gun Maverick
Best Costume Design
Black Panther
Best Makeup & Hair
Elvis
Best Visual Effects
Avatar Way of Water
Best Animation
GDTs Pinnochio
Best Foriegn Language film
All Quiet on Western Front
Best Documentary
Fire of Love
Best Orignal Song
RRR-Nattu Nattu
I thought the CGI in Avatar was quiet bad on different occasions and I can honestly see TGM getting it for VFX 🤷
@@rafearcher7882 Well that give an even stronger lower package for Picture but it'll make Women Talking go home empty talking, can you really see Avatar going home empty handed too
I mean we have 3 films probably going home gongless Women Talking, Triangle of Sadness & maybe Fablemans
Can you seriously see there being 4?
@@calumroberts1282 To me, The Way Of Water was quiet a weak movie that doesn't live up to the power and beauty of the first Avatar. Just like Avengers: Endgame it really is in great danger of being one of the most seen movies at cinemas without any Oscar wins. Even the Elvis Art Direction and the way they could immitate his moves was somehow better imho.
I just realised that Everything Everywhere All At Once would be the first science fiction movie ever to win best picture, if it actually manages to win. That would be an awesome first movie.
Doesn't The Shape Of Water technically count or is it just considered Fantasy?
@@reecejennings9637 It’s more of a fantasy
It was far from perfect. Sorry.
Well I have no idea who Matt is so it looks like his crossover (cameo) was worth it
No discussion or Andrea Riseborough’s performance? Have you guys seen To Leslie yet?
Just watched it recently but I don’t believe she’s a threat to win
Much better than cates
Nice surprise boys.👍🏻
my alternative to everything everywhere for picture is still top gun. despite its cinematography snub, lack of director and actor, getting screenplay is even better than getting all of those nowadays. Especially if they go with what brother bro said about the voters picking their favourite movie (but I can't remember a block buster action movie winning a screenplay before). I think when it comes to the older demographic, theres no movie that they would like more than top gun. A package of screenplay, sound, possibly editing and picture doesn't seem too impossible.
And also, with long lasting impact, Top Gun is most definitely going to have impact. No one (general audience) is going to be talking about the fabelmans or banshees in the future, but top gun will still be a career high for cruise. It also is the most well rounded in reviews with high high 90s for both audience and critics (whereas everything everywhere has become a tad bit more divisive among audiences).
See it the same way as you ^^ To me personally it was the best movie of the year. Sometimes the overall package is all that matters in the end.
But it will not win adapted screenplay or/and picture
@@ChrolliForever What makes you so sure?
Intro deserves an Oscar😂
18:28 well said Matt
I don’t understand the Kerry Condon choice. I haven’t seen any love or momentum for this choice.
If anything, I would say Stephanie Hsu has a lot of love for an upset. I mean, the way people have cheered tremendously whenever her name is amongst the nominees.
Stephanie Hsu didn’t make the BAFTA longlist and wasn’t nominated for the Golden Globe. Kerry on the other hand was nominated everywhere. I think Stephanie is the person people want to win in their hearts but Kerry is the realistic choice
Kerry won the BAFTA and hope she wins the Oscar. Don't understand why Bassett was nominated. Should've been Dolly De Leon.
If Angela Bassett wins SAG she will have enough to win the Oscar. Kerry Condon doesn't have the resume and name recognition to be Anthony Hopkins.
Just enough Matt not enough cat
Cate also won volpi idk how well that correlates to the Oscar Same for Collin
Not very well. Penelope Cruz and Vanessa Kirby won the previous two years
15:24 i'm deceased
I feel like it’s a little silly to stay on Daniels if they lose DGA, that’s one of the strongest correlations.
I'd like to see new blood win in this category. But Spielberg is a legend. I don't see Fabelmans going home empty handed.
@@lilchaos4792 Why? War Horse also lost big time back in the day.
@@rafearcher7882 Fabelmans is miles better than War Horse.... The Academy has all the reasons to throw the Oscars at it
@@geetadhumane5793Fableman went empty handed.
My Oscar Winner Predictions (2023)
Best Picture
* Everything Everywhere All At Once
Best Director
* Daniel Kwan & Daniel Schneiert-Everything Everywhere All At Once
Best Actor
* Austin Butler-Elvis
Best Actress
* Cate Blanchett-TÁR
Best Supporting Actor
* Ke Huy Quan-Everything Everywhere All At Once
Best Supporting Actress
* Angela Bassett-Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
Best Original Screenplay
* The Banshees of Inisherin
Best Adapted Screenplay
* Women Talking
Best Animated Feature
* Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio
Best Cinematography
* All Quiet On The Western Front
Best Makeup And Hairstyling
* Elvis
Best Costume Design
* Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
Best Original Score
* Babylon
Best Film Editing
* Top Gun: Maverick
Best Production Design
* Babylon
Best Sound
* Top Gun: Maverick
Best Visual Effects
* Avatar: The Way of Water
Best International Feature
* All Quiet On The Western Front
Best Documentary
* Fire of Love
Best Original Song
* Naatu Naatu-RRR
Best Live Action Short Film
* An Irish Goodbye
Documentary Short Film
* Stranger at the Gate
Animated Short Film
* The Boy, the Mole, the Fox and the Horse
I think you are right on these.
So according to u... Fabelmans is going home empty handed.... Are u kidding me
@@geetadhumane5793 icky goo goo
@@geetadhumane5793 it will go empty handed, lile the irishman, which had 10 nimd and was a wayyy better movie
Mark my words: Top Gun: Maverick will walk away with film editing, adapted screenplay and Best Picture on Oscar night.
I would love that honestly
That would certainly happen if we lived in the 90's. But this generation and most of their filmmakers SUCK and are toxic as hell.
It better.
Best Original Song is a possibility too
Beyond editing, I don't see it happening.
“there’s something about it feeling less accepted this time around” good save buddy😂 it literally happened last year with Chastain
What so special with Angela Bassett in black panther. I mean she was ok in a mid movie. All the other 4 performance was far better. Hope Kerry Condon wins or Hong Chau.
Great video but where is the documentary short, animated short and live action short predictions they're the ones I usually get wrong.
I think Tar is second to EEAO and Banshees in third place. Tar is the dark horse!
I am care that everywhere everything all at once won’t have an Oscar cause it is simple blockbuster such as top gun or avatar but I agree with you that is the leading nominee. I hope Banshees of Inisherins will win.