Time Series Model Selection Method - Urdu I Hindi | English [CC]

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  • Опубліковано 25 жов 2020
  • This video/lecture tells the Time Series Model Selection Method. @TJ Academy

КОМЕНТАРІ • 114

  • @GeneralPosh
    @GeneralPosh 3 роки тому +10

    Dear Sir, I have been watching your econometrics playlist for the past few days. I can finally say that you're an excellent teacher and the way you simplify complex concepts is truly remarkable. I recommend this to everyone studying Economics. Thank you. Wishing you all the very best going forward!
    Respect and Hugs from India🙏❤️

  • @worlds-amazing-videos
    @worlds-amazing-videos 2 роки тому +3

    He is indeed an excellent Professor. Understood every bit.

  • @tayyabarani9176
    @tayyabarani9176 3 роки тому +5

    I appreciate your effort, i have learned econometrics at master level but did not clear concept at that time. Now after watching your detail video, I understood it. Thanks and JazakaALLAH

  • @lakshitakamboj198
    @lakshitakamboj198 2 роки тому +3

    You are a blessing sir. Can't thank you enough. Sending you all the positivity and amazing health and keep sharing your amazing knowledge with the world. RESPECT from india...

  • @IbrahimAhmed-ci7zy
    @IbrahimAhmed-ci7zy 2 роки тому +4

    Speechless. Incredible way of explanation. Pace, Voice, Knowledge, Concepts all are co integrated beautifully. If you deliver lectures in English you will cross a million subscribers around the world Sir.

  • @lafuaevans6870
    @lafuaevans6870 Рік тому +1

    This is an excellent teaching. My best so far

  • @adityasahoo2059
    @adityasahoo2059 2 роки тому +1

    Best teacher in Econometrics

  • @mrehan1693
    @mrehan1693 2 роки тому +1

    Excellent explanation of some complex econometric concepts. Highly recommended.

  • @AshokKumar-rh7ey
    @AshokKumar-rh7ey 3 роки тому +3

    love the way you explain the concept. plz keep making videos. also, make some videos on Stata. thank you

  • @rajnishgurjar
    @rajnishgurjar 2 роки тому +1

    Thanks a lot sir, my best lecture so far on model selection ☺️

  • @shahidmumtaz3826
    @shahidmumtaz3826 3 місяці тому +1

    Great Work

  • @TheAmirmustafa
    @TheAmirmustafa Рік тому +1

    excellent teaching method

  • @sahibzadafaisalkhan6458
    @sahibzadafaisalkhan6458 Рік тому

    MashAllah Sir, May God bless you. I have no words to thank you

  • @parveenkaurchander2662
    @parveenkaurchander2662 7 місяців тому

    No words to say thanks..but thankuuuuuuu so much sir ji......

  • @kamransiddiquequreshi4824
    @kamransiddiquequreshi4824 2 роки тому +1

    MashaAllah zaberdast, isi teaching method se cross sectional aur panel data ki b model selection ki vedio bna kr upload kr dain thnxxx

  • @ammarali4420
    @ammarali4420 2 роки тому +2

    Thank you sir for all these great classes!
    Here is my ques:
    If ADF, PP and KPSS are giving contradictory results, within that the mixture of I(0) and I(1) can be seen. How can I proceed? If I need to check Johansen cointegration, shall I generate first difference series and then consider that?

  • @alifm452
    @alifm452 Рік тому

    JazakAllah Sir

  • @heromito2519
    @heromito2519 3 роки тому +1

    appreciate your work, keep it up. your Lectures are for all levels. i am PhD student, and your Lectures are also helpful for me.

  • @tabassumzaman583
    @tabassumzaman583 3 роки тому

    MashaaAllah u r too good

  • @chandnirana369
    @chandnirana369 2 роки тому +1

    Thank you sir.

  • @naiksmita
    @naiksmita 3 місяці тому

    Thank you sir.. .

  • @gynendrabhandari1106
    @gynendrabhandari1106 8 місяців тому

    THANK YOU SIR FROM INDIA.. WISHES FOR YOUR GOOD HEALTH

  • @diya380
    @diya380 2 роки тому +1

    Thank you so much sir

  • @mehakrani3494
    @mehakrani3494 2 роки тому +1

    Greate

  • @harshitabansal173
    @harshitabansal173 2 роки тому +1

    Thank you soo such sir for these awesome videos. This subject is really tough for me i didn't able to understand even a signal thing but with your video it became very very easy. I am really grateful to you because of you I will be able to get pass in my exam and also understood every concept thought by you. For me it was next to impossible to understand econometric. You are best sir. Thank you so much

  • @sherazkhan7388
    @sherazkhan7388 3 роки тому +1

    Thank u sir... U Have cleared all aspects related to model selection

  • @irummyireh4988
    @irummyireh4988 7 місяців тому

    thank you

  • @aligohar2237
    @aligohar2237 3 роки тому +1

    Sir you are exemplary please don't stop it

  • @vikram5857
    @vikram5857 2 роки тому +1

    Sir
    Very well explained only a request if you make a video for Var estimation and on impulse response function. So it will be very helpful

  • @Imrankhan-eco
    @Imrankhan-eco 2 роки тому +1

    ❤️

  • @rwaewae
    @rwaewae 3 роки тому

    Thankx for sharing

  • @tanialiaqat1972
    @tanialiaqat1972 2 роки тому +2

    Respected sir one series make on the topic of simultaneous equation model

  • @laxmanpokhrel5153
    @laxmanpokhrel5153 3 роки тому +1

    Your doing incredible job. Please also prepare videos on ARDL, VAR and ECM..and instrumental variables..God bless you!

    • @TJAcademyofficial
      @TJAcademyofficial  3 роки тому +1

      Thank you for your appreciation. Here is the link of ECM
      ua-cam.com/video/1oasRhnt5AI/v-deo.html
      ARDL and VAR would be uploaded soon InshaAllah.

  • @binteameen9690
    @binteameen9690 3 роки тому +1

    Thank you sir

  • @crossknot337
    @crossknot337 3 роки тому +2

    Your videos are really helpful sir ! Plwase do a video on VAR and VECM and how they are cobnected in detail

    • @afreenkhan1290
      @afreenkhan1290 3 роки тому

      Yes sir! I also need to study these two models. Please make a vedio on this.

  • @arsh5997
    @arsh5997 Рік тому +1

    please made some videos on GMM

  • @hermainsarfaraz3167
    @hermainsarfaraz3167 3 роки тому

    A little different from this topic. But could you tell that if we estimate an Arch model(ML approach), and it's significant, what will it show?

  • @akhlaqueahmed5527
    @akhlaqueahmed5527 2 роки тому +1

    dear sir agar 2nd difference krna ho wo kese krein so plz help me

  • @MuhammadFarhan-bm8jh
    @MuhammadFarhan-bm8jh 2 роки тому +1

    sir single equation walay concept ki samjh ni aye.....

  • @tabitajannatul6736
    @tabitajannatul6736 Рік тому

    Firstly take my gratitude for such helpful videos!
    And my question is what model to apply if the variables are mixture of I(0),I(1) and I(2)? And in such situation how to test cointegration and causality among the variables?

  • @nirmalabhatt1221
    @nirmalabhatt1221 6 місяців тому

    Sir please upload on a video in if you want to see structural break in a series!

  • @aroojatif1376
    @aroojatif1376 2 роки тому +1

    Sir kindly btay K m. Phil k paper me theoretical ata paper to ye sb model kasy explain kerny..
    Kindly procedure bta dt

  • @etc4363
    @etc4363 2 роки тому

    I want to ask in 2nd and 3rd cases, if we get NO cointegration, we use OLS after making the variables stationary. The relationship we get in second cases are short run relation. Right? What about the relationship of 3rd cases. I mean will it give SR or LR results?

  • @noorbabar5948
    @noorbabar5948 3 роки тому

    AoA sir I just wanna ask I thing if dependent variable is stationary at level and independent variables are stationary at 1st difference what technique should use
    Is there any condition for ARDL that dependent variable should stationary at 1st difference

  • @akhlaqueahmed5527
    @akhlaqueahmed5527 2 роки тому +1

    Dear sir 2nd level difference ka kia kreing

  • @mohapatraful
    @mohapatraful Рік тому +1

    Can you provide references for above model selection

  • @mediaanalysis4708
    @mediaanalysis4708 3 роки тому

    Can you please provide slides? Also I need the video for VAR and VEC models. Best lectures.

  • @sheenarehman4682
    @sheenarehman4682 Рік тому +1

    Commendable....
    One question....if variables are stationary at 2nd difference or I(1) and I(2), then which model we should apply in time series.... kindly reply.

  • @zaviyarali-ch5en
    @zaviyarali-ch5en Рік тому +1

    aoa sir can u help in making of project of time series plzzz

  • @etc4363
    @etc4363 3 роки тому

    Doesn't ARDL is also estimated by using OLS?

  • @nsakib62
    @nsakib62 3 роки тому +1

    Dear sir, if few variables are stationary at first difference but others are non stationary in first difference then what model we have to apply

    • @TJAcademyofficial
      @TJAcademyofficial  3 роки тому

      Thank you for your message. Apply log or other transformation on I(2) variables

  • @hermainsarfaraz3167
    @hermainsarfaraz3167 3 роки тому +1

    Sir, if after unit root test at level we find that one series is stationary and the other is not stationary, in that case should we apply co integration test or not?

  • @240419921000
    @240419921000 Рік тому +1

    thank you Sir for your lucid explanation. Sir I have a question, if the variables are stationary at I(2) than what model we should run?

  • @RizwanAli-ky1ji
    @RizwanAli-ky1ji 2 роки тому

    GARCH.MIDAs model pr bi video bana dy

  • @seekhlotumbhi6041
    @seekhlotumbhi6041 Рік тому +1

    Sir kiya apki koi video model specification error per hai?

    • @TJAcademyofficial
      @TJAcademyofficial  Рік тому

      ua-cam.com/video/GH9LNWWW_KY/v-deo.html
      ua-cam.com/video/MzELuJQZDDk/v-deo.html

  • @mirwaisekhan2020
    @mirwaisekhan2020 2 роки тому +1

    Sir, the results of the Johnsen cointegration test (using Schwarz criteria) show both the trace statistics and the maximum eigenvalue indicates 1 cointegrating equation so, does this means I can choose OLS over VECM for my study?

    • @TJAcademyofficial
      @TJAcademyofficial  2 роки тому +1

      Both

    • @mirwaisekhan2020
      @mirwaisekhan2020 2 роки тому

      Sorry Sir I couldn't get your Point. Do you mean, I must use both OLS and VECM in this case or do you mean that I can chose between either OLS or VECM?

    • @mirwaisekhan2020
      @mirwaisekhan2020 2 роки тому

      Sir, Please Would you make me understand this point?

    • @TJAcademyofficial
      @TJAcademyofficial  2 роки тому +1

      Anyone

  • @etc4363
    @etc4363 2 роки тому +1

    ARDL also uses OLS estimates. So, how are you differentiating?

    • @TJAcademyofficial
      @TJAcademyofficial  2 роки тому

      By Koyck transformation

    • @etc4363
      @etc4363 2 роки тому

      @@TJAcademyofficial Thanks forthe prompt response.
      I mean to say that OLS is not a model rather it is a technique to estimate coefficients of a model. Other technique is Maximum Likelihood Estimator. So we should say OLS estimator or Maximum Likelihood estimator rather than OLS model or Maximum Likelihood model. We know that most of the model employs OLS technique to estimate coefficients and So is the ARDL model.
      Now, my question is about your third case when variables are I(0) and I(1) both and there is cointegration. you suggested to use ARDL coefficient (keep in mind that ARDL also use OLS technique to estimate coefficients).But if there is no cointegration you suggested to use OLS. In this way ultimately we are using OLS in both the cases.
      Hope you get my question

  • @shaistaaxmatshaistaaxmat7426
    @shaistaaxmatshaistaaxmat7426 3 роки тому +1

    Sir please add panel data analysis in eviews

  • @MuhammadBilal-nv4dz
    @MuhammadBilal-nv4dz 2 роки тому

    how to take value of first difference in olx model? just put d. before variable
    ?

    • @TJAcademyofficial
      @TJAcademyofficial  2 роки тому

      If X is a variable then write d(X) for first difference in EViews

  • @neelamrathi8850
    @neelamrathi8850 3 роки тому

    Sir please make video on P-value

  • @uroojmaqbool8934
    @uroojmaqbool8934 3 роки тому

    Sir kindly guide about how to create index using PCA in excel.

  • @qumarrahman8944
    @qumarrahman8944 3 роки тому

    sir plz ardl model ku step by step with selection part criteria b ak video bna den

  • @afreenkhan1290
    @afreenkhan1290 3 роки тому +1

    Sir what is the difference between Angle Granger cointegration test and Granger casuality test? Are they same tests?

    • @TJAcademyofficial
      @TJAcademyofficial  3 роки тому +2

      Thank you for your message. You have to watch cointegration and causality lectures below. These are very different concepts.
      For cointegration
      ua-cam.com/video/58Fc6PVYpeY/v-deo.html
      For Causality
      ua-cam.com/video/LgfZ60MiP3I/v-deo.html
      For Granger Causality
      ua-cam.com/video/lWYcDmVq1oA/v-deo.html

    • @afreenkhan1290
      @afreenkhan1290 3 роки тому +1

      @@TJAcademyofficial Okay sir. Thank you

  • @tariqrahim1129
    @tariqrahim1129 3 роки тому +1

    Sir, while finding the stationary in Eviews, Can you please describe the different situations in which we can include the constant, intercept and trend term collectively and in which ituations we can ignore the the intercept and trend term during the calculation of stationary

    • @TJAcademyofficial
      @TJAcademyofficial  3 роки тому +2

      If you watched the lecture again, you will notice that inclusion of intercept and trend is to check the robustness of stationary condition with all possibilities in the equations.

    • @tariqrahim1129
      @tariqrahim1129 3 роки тому

      Thank you !

    • @tariqrahim1129
      @tariqrahim1129 3 роки тому

      ​ @TJ Academy Sir, In my study I have taken the data of four countries. The stationary of all the countries are different from each other. One country data is stationary at level and first difference, One is stationary at first difference, the other two are stationary at 1st+2nd difference. So for the estimations different model can be applied, Is it correct ? Can we compare the results of theses countries implied that i will be using different models of estimations?

  • @nadeeranilakshi992
    @nadeeranilakshi992 2 роки тому +1

    english subtitile please 👍

  • @saimarashid5387
    @saimarashid5387 3 роки тому +1

    SIR ARIMA ARMA k hawale se b video banayen kindly

  • @ritikalata8339
    @ritikalata8339 3 роки тому +1

    Hello Sir
    Can you please tell me how to solve endogeneity problem in time series analysis?

    • @TJAcademyofficial
      @TJAcademyofficial  3 роки тому +2

      Thank you for your message. You can use FMOLS and 2SLS.

  • @biswadeeproy2878
    @biswadeeproy2878 2 роки тому +1

    Sir, what to do when none of the variables are stationary even at first difference ? Thank you in advance.

    • @TJAcademyofficial
      @TJAcademyofficial  2 роки тому +1

      Log transformations and by using another measure

    • @biswadeeproy2878
      @biswadeeproy2878 2 роки тому

      @@TJAcademyofficial Thank you sir. Is there any video in your channel to address such a situation ?

  • @chandrakantparmar5852
    @chandrakantparmar5852 3 роки тому +1

    Sir, in my study the dependent variable is stationery at I(2). And there are three independent variables. Two of them are stationery at I(1) and one at I(2). Now please suggest Sir which option to choose and proceed.

  • @ritikalata8339
    @ritikalata8339 2 роки тому +1

    Good morning sir
    Can you please tell me what I can do if the log value of data is stationary at 2nd difference?

  • @afreenkhan1290
    @afreenkhan1290 3 роки тому +1

    Sir please make a telegram channel also.

    • @TJAcademyofficial
      @TJAcademyofficial  3 роки тому +1

      Sure. JazakAllah

    • @afreenkhan1290
      @afreenkhan1290 3 роки тому

      @@TJAcademyofficial I am studying econometrics from your vedios these days. It's really helpful.

  • @ritikalata8339
    @ritikalata8339 3 роки тому +1

    Sir can you please tell me how to test endogeneity in time series data and how to check optimal lags in ardl model.

    • @TJAcademyofficial
      @TJAcademyofficial  3 роки тому

      To check endogeneity, you have to run TSLS first then apply endogeneity test.

    • @ritikalata8339
      @ritikalata8339 3 роки тому

      @@TJAcademyofficial thankyou and what's endogeneity test in time series data?