BIGGEST Real Estate PONZI in Canadian History

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  • Опубліковано 17 лис 2024

КОМЕНТАРІ • 441

  • @tatianastarcic
    @tatianastarcic 2 місяці тому +227

    I think it's time to make it more appealing for potential buyers. Real estate can be quite the rollercoaster! the stress and uncertainty are getting to me. I think I'll cut rents to attract potential buyers and exit the market, but i'm at crossroads if to allocate the entire $680k liquidity value to my stock portfolio?

    • @Vincent-j8u
      @Vincent-j8u 2 місяці тому +1

      'Overall, buyers hold a lot of the cards right now, and sellers are having to give out more concessions to close a deal." All the best, buying on sale is actually one of the best ways to invest in stocks, and advisors are ideally suited for such task

    • @nicolasbenson009
      @nicolasbenson009 2 місяці тому +3

      Until the Fed clamps down even further I think we're going to see hysteria due to rampant inflation. If you are in cross roads or need sincere advise on the best moves to take now with financial markets will be best you seek a fin-professional with fiduciary responsibilities who knows about mortgage-backed securities for proper guidance.

    • @sharonwinson-m8g
      @sharonwinson-m8g 2 місяці тому +1

      this sounds considerable! think you know any advisors i can get on the phone with? i'm in dire need of proper portfolio allocation

    • @nicolasbenson009
      @nicolasbenson009 2 місяці тому +1

      There are a handful of experts in the field. I've experimented with a few over the past years, but I've stuck with ‘’ Melissa Terri Swayne” for about five years now, and her performance has been consistently impressive. She’s quite known in her field, look-her up.

    • @TinaJames222
      @TinaJames222 2 місяці тому +1

      She appears to be well-educated and well-read. I ran a Google search on her name and came across her website; thank you for sharing.

  • @AshrafulAlam-zw1xw
    @AshrafulAlam-zw1xw 2 місяці тому +121

    A starter home price is 1.5 millions. What a joke !!

    • @Chadaface
      @Chadaface 2 місяці тому

      ghalti kis kee? ye to batao

    • @Bufford2024
      @Bufford2024 2 місяці тому +5

      No, that is just for the kindling-fire-starter ... to burn it down when the mortgage renewal hits. 😂

    • @VancouverVince
      @VancouverVince 2 місяці тому +3

      Move to Saskatchewan

    • @archimedes2261
      @archimedes2261 2 місяці тому +4

      In Texas that gets you a massive McMansion plus a high paying job, in Canada 1.5 million gets you an old 3 bedroom shack, Jobs or wage rise not guaranteed. Outrageous is an understatement here.

    • @archimedes2261
      @archimedes2261 2 місяці тому

      ​​​@@VancouverVinceMuch better quality of life and peaceful, Vancouver traffic and overpriced old shacks and 90s condos nothing nice to look at downtown buildings wise just old condos for rows, and to boot the mountains lies outside suburbs like in Calgary, meaning overpriced average homes are not worth it in these two cities as one sees nothing nice for 10s of miles 😆

  • @robertguay3773
    @robertguay3773 2 місяці тому +103

    They should drop the insured down to $500,000 if you can afford a 1 million dollar house why should the Canadian citizens insure you. A big part of the housing prices being so high is that the banks hold no risk and it is all on the Canadian government. Banks do not care how much you pay as long as they get that Guarantee on the payment.

    • @lawrencehalpin6611
      @lawrencehalpin6611 2 місяці тому

      So true. Banks have no risk now and they get to raise the price for even more easy money with no risk. What a scam with them and the government.

    • @dougpatterson7494
      @dougpatterson7494 2 місяці тому +5

      This is a good idea as it would incentivize building of sub-500k houses. Municipalities should also be limited in what they can charge for new builds. Increasing general property tax rates is preferable to charging so much for new construction. This is if the intent is to create more housing for people to live and not create “wealth” for people fortunate enough to have bought when prices were lower.

    • @TehPwnerer
      @TehPwnerer 2 місяці тому +7

      Exactly we should not be subsidizing unproductive overpriced housing

    • @robertguay3773
      @robertguay3773 2 місяці тому

      @TehPwnerer what is wrong with starting in a town house or a condo. If it is Toronto or Vancouver comute for a few years while you pay something down enough for a down payment on a bigger closer house

    • @jay1645
      @jay1645 2 місяці тому

      Banks hold some risk as sell mortgages as bonds (MBS) plus have to repo. and sell indv. properties but could lose in a falling mkt. ! Power of sales nos are up with losses to around 40% haircuts but need like 70%+ more ! Carney's appearance atm is more to bail the banks

  • @joelepiano1657
    @joelepiano1657 2 місяці тому +73

    This is so disheartening. My adult children work contract to contract with no job security. They cannot come close to owning a home of their own. My grandchildren, are still very young. I hope they will have more opportunity to own a home by the time they are adults. I think all three levels of government have failed. I have read articles that indicate up to one third the cost of new built homes goes to land transfer taxes and other fees. We’ve all seen Toronto change drastically as condo towers fill the skyline with tiny units that are too small to raise a family in. Governments that are addicted to the huge development fees they collect along with developers catering only to speculators and “investors” have created this mess. People need a place to live. Housing should not be treated as an item for speculators like bitcoin stocks. It has come to the point where my family and I are considering leaving Canada.

    • @robertguay3773
      @robertguay3773 2 місяці тому +4

      @joelepiano1657 it is worse then 1/3rd the developer has to pay a Team of lawyers accounts etc. To deal with all of the government regulations fees and licenses which adds a substantial price tag as well.

    • @sebastiencarre2416
      @sebastiencarre2416 2 місяці тому +3

      boomers killed us

    • @jay1645
      @jay1645 2 місяці тому +4

      It has to collapse like in China .. and they were players here in the money laundering schemes from 2008-17. Pricing needs to get down to 3.5x median wage and will happen as speculators get cleaned out or new money launderers get in. Corp. landlords like Blackrock could also step in if no controls on them to put a floor but are like hawks will wait till a bottom is reached

    • @Canadian_Eh_I
      @Canadian_Eh_I 2 місяці тому +4

      @@sebastiencarre2416 Yup we have been sold out

    • @MichaelThoman
      @MichaelThoman 2 місяці тому

      @@sebastiencarre2416 no liberal and progressive voters killed Canada!!

  • @Scotiak
    @Scotiak 2 місяці тому +53

    Agree totally. Ottawa needs to be held accountable for the financial pain it will cause if the real estate market turns. It’s criminal.

    • @Anna-yo1yq
      @Anna-yo1yq 2 місяці тому

      They are never accountable after they leave office. They have lawyers, accountant and more lawyers reviewing their plan and it's approved by everyone. No accountability

    • @dougpatterson7494
      @dougpatterson7494 2 місяці тому +7

      I think they, and many provincial/local politicians, should be held accountable for causing this unsustainable price appreciation in real estate. Housing appreciating faster than general inflation is a policy failure.
      Note: I became a homeowner last autumn, I’d be okay with home prices falling 20-25% nationwide. Granted, were my house to fall 25% of the price of something comparable located in Toronto or Vancouver it would likely have negative value…
      I have a hard time feeling sorry for someone wealthy enough to qualify for a mortgage on a $1.7M+ home though.

    • @robertguay3773
      @robertguay3773 2 місяці тому +1

      @@Scotiak alot of the problem is at the municipal level with taxes, licenses, levy Etc. Building the house is the easy cheap part.

    • @archimedes2261
      @archimedes2261 2 місяці тому

      @@dougpatterson7494you never hear Eby or Ford talk about the outrageous house prices in their GTAs yet take issue with higher interest rates, they see no problem for the average 3 bedroom costing $2 million in their cities.

    • @archimedes2261
      @archimedes2261 2 місяці тому

      @@robertguay3773All levels of governments in Canada bare some responsibility for current unaffordability in housing, they could simply lower taxes on builders and home owners, and enforce reasonable prices tailored to incomes in each particularly area of the city types of homes and so on, like it used to be less than a decade ago. Consumers are dumber now despite the prevalence of information on the worldwide web.

  • @ajithantony5674
    @ajithantony5674 2 місяці тому +91

    30 year amortization won’t save the condo market, just do the math and figure out how much interest payments. Absolutely stupidity

    • @alexg9727
      @alexg9727 2 місяці тому +25

      condo fees is the true thing stopping most people

    • @althunder4269
      @althunder4269 2 місяці тому

      @@alexg9727 $500+ a month in strata fees. That's nuts.

    • @robertguay3773
      @robertguay3773 2 місяці тому +6

      Rates will drop at least 1% by Christmas, they need to kick this can to the next election.

    • @EricAlHarb
      @EricAlHarb 2 місяці тому +11

      Nothing will save the condo market

    • @milhouse8166
      @milhouse8166 2 місяці тому

      ​@@alexg9727 if condo fees were lower prices would be higher. It would even out. That's why you see the cheaper condos with higher maintenance fees.

  • @charlesponzi9608
    @charlesponzi9608 2 місяці тому +49

    Why do we keep voting and participating in a system that is clearly designed against us? Doing the same thing over and over yet expecting different results is madness.

    • @chadpescod-realtor3308
      @chadpescod-realtor3308 2 місяці тому +1

      Shame on us.

    • @robertguay3773
      @robertguay3773 2 місяці тому

      @charlesponzi9608 don't vote and you will end up with comunisism or monarchy over us.

    • @jay1645
      @jay1645 2 місяці тому +4

      Yeah we swap one set of grifters with another Libs for Tories same old stories !

    • @milhouse8166
      @milhouse8166 2 місяці тому +2

      Someone has to lead us, and people aren't ready to accept God as our leader yet.

    • @TT-fq7pl
      @TT-fq7pl 2 місяці тому

      @@milhouse8166 Who wants to go back to the Middle Ages? Oh yeah, the Conservatives.

  • @DonaldMark-ne7se
    @DonaldMark-ne7se Місяць тому +84

    I suggest you offset your real estate and get into stocks, A recession as bad it can be, provides good buying opportunities in the markets if you’re careful and it can also create volatility giving great short time buy and sell opportunities too. This is not financial advise but get buying, cash isn’t king at all in this time!

    • @kevinmarten
      @kevinmarten Місяць тому +2

      One strategy for protecting against a recession is to buy equities. Investors, especially during a recession, need to know where and how to put money in order to make money while avoiding inflation.

    • @Jamessmith-12
      @Jamessmith-12 Місяць тому +1

      Working with a Financial Advisor to help guide you on your wealth-building journey if you're just starting out is a wonderful way to get started and thats how i was able to accrued good gains . They helps to manage investment overall risk profile , prevent permanent loss of capital consider maintaining a broad diversification of your investments that reflects your personal risk tolerance, time horizon, and the nature of your financial goal

    • @JacquelinePerrira
      @JacquelinePerrira Місяць тому +1

      please who is the consultant that assist you with your investment and if you don't mind, how do I get in touch with them?

    • @Jamessmith-12
      @Jamessmith-12 Місяць тому +2

      “Carol Vivian Constable” is the licensed fiduciary I use. Just research the name. You’d find necessary details to work with a correspondence to set up an appointment..

    • @JacquelinePerrira
      @JacquelinePerrira Місяць тому +1

      I just googled her and I'm really impressed with her credentials; I reached out to her since l need all the assistance l can get. I just scheduled a caII.

  • @dinagallis2664
    @dinagallis2664 2 місяці тому +20

    Thanks Jon, 👍🏼 yeah it’s falling apart .. they’re desperate and it’s showing BIG TIME!

  • @huskavarnapunkband
    @huskavarnapunkband 2 місяці тому +25

    The new canadian citizens will fall for buying a $3500 a month condo for 30 years.. plus condo fee plus tax.
    And just wait for jobs erosion. Next.!!

    • @jay1645
      @jay1645 2 місяці тому

      Only the stupid as rates have to fall to 0 at least or -0.5 and mortgages to -0.75%

    • @MbonezaMboneza
      @MbonezaMboneza 2 місяці тому +1

      Are you suggesting that we can’t do math or we don’t understand the situation here?

    • @milhouse8166
      @milhouse8166 2 місяці тому +1

      ​@@MbonezaMbonezaWhat is the reason?

  • @faisal-ca
    @faisal-ca 2 місяці тому +15

    30 year amortization was there for investors (20% down payment -Uninsured mortgage) since the beginning and many still have negative cash flow. It may help first time buyers for primary residence but you are adding more debt and it will make them more vulnerable if they have a job loss , divorce , relocation etc.

    • @robertguay3773
      @robertguay3773 2 місяці тому +7

      @faisal-ca they will never be able to move up into a bigger house. For 15 years they will pay almost nothing in principal. If prices go down even 5% it would crush them. With the insurance premiums to cmhc and 5% it would be over 10 years to get to even.

    • @mr2_mike
      @mr2_mike 2 місяці тому +3

      This is all to keep investors coming. Limp this to the Nov election and spend a decade making it the Conservatives fault.

    • @clairegougeon5186
      @clairegougeon5186 2 місяці тому +1

      OR if home prices don't go up. Which is looking REALLY likely. Speaking of negative cash flow...

  • @lawrencehalpin6611
    @lawrencehalpin6611 2 місяці тому +16

    Thank you Mr. Flynn for doing the main stream media's job. You by the way are way better than they are so I never watch them. CMHC is going to be in world of hurt if we have a 1984 moment like we had in Albert then. Canadians are going to be some mad when they have to write the cheque for CMHC and the banks. Thank you again for what you do.

    • @FullCircleTravis
      @FullCircleTravis 2 місяці тому

      That was an oversupplied market. It's currently undersupplied. With the amount of immigration planned, the undersupply is chronic.

    • @lawrencehalpin6611
      @lawrencehalpin6611 2 місяці тому +4

      @@FullCircleTravis Who do you know that can afford a house? Supply don't matter if no one can afford one.

    • @jay1645
      @jay1645 2 місяці тому

      @@FullCircleTravis Not really the money laundering runs like the Chinese ran from 2008-17 were also a big factor now at a standstill ! Some other group needs to re-start it and flipping etc needs to come back as it's all going downhill ! Landlords are under water, no one to flip to, sales are at a loss etc

  • @beautifulpeopleonearth
    @beautifulpeopleonearth Місяць тому +65

    Real estate can be quite a rollercoaster, the stress and uncertainty are getting to me. I think I'll cut rents to attract potential buyers and exit the market, but i'm at crossroads if to allocate my entire $700k liquidity value to my stock portfolio or just stay 100% cash?

    • @justlikeasoldier
      @justlikeasoldier Місяць тому +1

      in my opinion, some financial situations can be handled on your own if you research enough, while others are best navigated in consultation with a financial advisor

    • @chadgriffith1969
      @chadgriffith1969 Місяць тому +1

      Agreed, I'm in line with having an advisor oversee my day-to-day investing, cos my job doesn't permit me the time to analyze stocks myself. Thankfully, my portfolio is well diversified and has just 5X in 5 years, summing up nearly $1m as of today.

    • @J.woltz48
      @J.woltz48 Місяць тому

      @@chadgriffith1969 I've worked in real estate for over 25 years and have neglected a major stock portfolio, however I need a different plan now.. mind if I look up the professional guiding you please?

    • @J.woltz48
      @J.woltz48 Місяць тому +1

      I've worked in real estate for over 25 years and have neglected a major stock portfolio, however I need a different plan now.. mind if I look up the professional guiding you please?

    • @chadgriffith1969
      @chadgriffith1969 Місяць тому +1

      Annette Louise Connors is the licensed advisor I use. Just google the name and you'd find necessary deets. To be honest, I almost didn't buy the idea of letting someone handle growing my finance, but so glad I did.

  • @althunder4269
    @althunder4269 2 місяці тому +28

    There's moral hazard all over the place now.

    • @bdawg333
      @bdawg333 2 місяці тому +1

      9 years of Trudeau and Freeland. ELECTION NOW!!!! PLEASE!!!!!

  • @reborn6897
    @reborn6897 2 місяці тому +19

    If you make enough money to afford a $1 million+ home, you should have to have a 20% down payment

    • @chadpescod-realtor3308
      @chadpescod-realtor3308 2 місяці тому +4

      1 million won't seem as much in a few years after we experience more inflation.

    • @archimedes2261
      @archimedes2261 2 місяці тому +2

      By a million plus it means an average aftersale 3 bedroom house, in a not so spectacular neighborhood. You can buy 2 massive brand new houses for a million dollars near Dallas taxes, arguably a better place for jobs than any Canadian city right now.

    • @ILoveTinfoilHats
      @ILoveTinfoilHats Місяць тому

      ​@@chadpescod-realtor3308 it's indexed to inflation

  • @chriswiens9706
    @chriswiens9706 2 місяці тому +11

    Absolutely shocking! Lets help first time home buyers by giving them an option to pay even MORE interest. LOL. How about a lower interest rate incentive compared to anyone else.

    • @mr2_mike
      @mr2_mike 2 місяці тому +1

      Agreed, there's more levers to pull and this current decision isn't the right one.
      I believe the USA had similar changes before it finally collapsed?

    • @archimedes2261
      @archimedes2261 2 місяці тому

      In the Mississippi national economy of Canada, no hill billy should be able to afford a million dollar or even the median 700k for a an average dwelling. The Liberals won’t admit or are totally clueless to the fact that Canadians are increasingly poorer and therefore should have a reality adjusted housing strategy or the whole thing will collapse anyway when buyers realize they’re not New Yorkers but instead are Mississippians the poorest state in the union 😆

  • @andyeccentric
    @andyeccentric 2 місяці тому +25

    1. Turn off immigration
    2. Let market sort out prices
    3. Stop fucking with it

    • @jonflynn
      @jonflynn  2 місяці тому +3

      Yep

    • @stephenphillips6245
      @stephenphillips6245 2 місяці тому +3

      Almost new 4 million units to reach the need for the populous as is...at this moment....this is a tall order.

    • @qa1e2r4
      @qa1e2r4 Місяць тому

      Immigrants are buying dozen of homes?
      Who dictated the prices to this point?
      STOP BENDING OVER!!!

  • @zefflecave9550
    @zefflecave9550 2 місяці тому +19

    2008 housing bubble in the US.all over again by getting another tranche of people who should not have a mortgage. We know what the results will be have we not learned from history ?

    • @bizzzz
      @bizzzz 2 місяці тому

      History is not taught

    • @dougpatterson7494
      @dougpatterson7494 2 місяці тому +8

      This is part of why Canadian housing is so expensive: we didn’t have a significant correction in 2007-2009.

    • @jay1645
      @jay1645 2 місяці тому +1

      FL had rows of condos with 1-3 residents rest were bankrupt, houses were avail. from $250 '08 in the US

  • @DannyJ-d1z
    @DannyJ-d1z 2 місяці тому +3

    Thank you. It is still very lucrative to build while the price moves between $500 to 700k in 5 years, given most of the other parameters re-adjust and move with the price decline. It is possible only if $300k profit in one flipping, loop holes are eliminated. I know a 70 story condo where number of top units were set aside for insiders, family and friends and later flipped. In 2000s I noticed 100% cash transactions and buyers offered extra cash on top of all the buying costs (inflated prices) and many sketchy behaviors caused the today's prices. Stricter monitoring and enforcements would keep the entire sector sane.

    • @jay1645
      @jay1645 2 місяці тому

      the money laundering runs like the Chinese ran from 2008-17 need to come back has disappeared atm

  • @marcelmed4574
    @marcelmed4574 Місяць тому +1

    Thanks Jon, I think you would also agree that two years ago you were forecasting much lower prices by now. Canada wide on average house prices have dropped say 10-15%. In the grand scheme of things on the insanely high prices of homes it’s peanuts. Interest rates have started dropping, home prices seam to be stabilizing. My guess home prices likely headed up in 2025.

  • @lIlIlIIlIlIlIlIlIlI
    @lIlIlIIlIlIlIlIlIlI 2 місяці тому +7

    I couldnt agree more, grateful for educated voices like you to add clarity. Great analysis of the platforms, it gets exhausting arguing this with folks so now I may simply refer them to this video :) Thanks for your service in helping educate folks!

  • @kshin625
    @kshin625 2 місяці тому +11

    Great! More debt! Being in my early 30s, my generation will have to pay mortgage until the day we die i guess ha

  • @davidmarshall2678
    @davidmarshall2678 Місяць тому +1

    Crazy uncontrolled spending and the growth of the public sector has fueled inflation. Builders are pintched out by high material costs, snail paced building departments, all the while personal debt is out of control... 30+% of low rate mortgages coming due in the next 6 months. Huge pressure on BOC to slash rates but the issue is price. Recent rate cuts have done nothing to the RE market. What do you think will happen when you keep printing $$ and throwing it into the economy? What a mess...

  • @tonywong9642
    @tonywong9642 2 місяці тому +3

    So.. we actually need 5 year maximum amortization to bring house prices down.

  • @thealbrights4169
    @thealbrights4169 2 місяці тому +1

    John...every Liberal in Canada doesn't want to hear the truth, or they'd be what they call, a Conservative. Thanks for the facts, everytime!

  • @devinmasson8507
    @devinmasson8507 2 місяці тому +5

    All their little programs and plans are baloney. Pre con sales in TO are YTD 70% below averages. As projects finish temporary foreign labor will lose their jobs in droves. They will head back to their home countries. Keep an eye on decreasing rents and construction job loses.
    I think the biggest problem in canadian housing market is (obviously other than too much immigration, obviously #1 problem) cmhc insurance. Promotes banks to give loans to anyone and everyone. Get rid of cmhc insurance and banks will start making loans more appropriately.
    Might as well add two other primary economic issues in society... municipalities should not be allowed to charge land transfer taxes or development charges. *** THEY HAVE BEEN FUNDING OPERATIONAL SPENDING WITH DEBT THAT MORTGAGERS TOOK ON?? You know what I mean? Municipal govts funding operational spending with borrowing? Off the books borrowing?
    Doesnt matter though does it?Osfi and the credit rating agencies are obviously complicit. Because their silence means they are not stepping in and enforcing proper financial management policies.
    No more deficit spending at any levels of govt! Spend within our means!

    • @HardKnocks-pi7pc
      @HardKnocks-pi7pc 2 місяці тому +1

      I was thinking the exact sane thing where is OSFI in all this? The 4.5x limit in 2025 should still keep a lid on further price gains as the income needed to buy a 1.5 home should be 333k a year and the portion of households with that income is less than 2 percent of canadians

  • @joeharvie8362
    @joeharvie8362 Місяць тому +1

    Thank you for comparing these plans. It sure seems clear who is trying to correct the problems. I think we need more encouragement for the trades to provide labour.

    • @jonflynn
      @jonflynn  Місяць тому

      Thanks for the comment

  • @rumblebelly
    @rumblebelly Місяць тому +1

    I thought the PM stated months ago that Housing wasn’t a responsibility of the Federal government of Canada.

  • @amitesh87
    @amitesh87 2 місяці тому +9

    Sounds like a lucrative offer by the Govt for a Long term slavery to the Banks with a minimal sign up fee 😢I may be wrong but Why doesnt the Govt come up with convenient rent to own policies or lower down payments or better Rent control to make it more liveable 😢😢
    Jon , U r a Valuable Gem to be well preserved and taken care of❤❤❤Thank you for everything that you do

    • @jonflynn
      @jonflynn  2 місяці тому +1

      Thanks for the comment and kind words

    • @winstonalan5731
      @winstonalan5731 25 днів тому

      There are a lot of things the government could do that would actually improve the situation. The problem is, we live in Canada, and it's run by stupid and corrupt politicians who have absolutely no incentive to 'fix' anything, so don't hold your breath.

  • @Four20ftw
    @Four20ftw 2 місяці тому +8

    Assuming a $1.5M mortgage with 5% down. What they don’t tell you is that extra 5 years amortization will lead to homeowners having to pay $3.2M over the span of the loan. Just criminal.

    • @fjskj6529
      @fjskj6529 2 місяці тому

      Your assumption is well, an assumption.
      You assume these individuals dont advance in their careers and their incomes overtime. You also assume their inability to add another income in the household
      Assumptions to fit your narratives is what this is.

    • @momvsonz6888
      @momvsonz6888 2 місяці тому

      @@fjskj6529 .. possible.. but unlikely. However.. you nailed the ability to add income. There will be 10+ people living under one roof. Ding.. ding.. ding.. already happening.. EVERYWHERE!

    • @trevoroertel1306
      @trevoroertel1306 2 місяці тому

      What single income household can afford a $1.5M house at the initiation of the mortgage?

    • @user-bp6fd9ve3o
      @user-bp6fd9ve3o 2 місяці тому

      ​@fjskj6529 we all can't be top 1% OF creators. Most Canadian households won't make that gross career lifetime. Guess we with have to adopt the Hatian diet to eat.

    • @fjskj6529
      @fjskj6529 2 місяці тому

      @@user-bp6fd9ve3o but there are actually high income earners there that can make the payments but just don't have enough down payment. Also multi generational families that can raise the money together
      You guys like to assume doom and gloom and everyone's over leveraged, but reality is there's people out there that have money, period.
      This wasn't designed to HELP Canadians. This is the Liberals buying votes and propping up the housing market

  • @swift_killz
    @swift_killz Місяць тому +1

    Jon! I put an offer on a house in Welland at $581k asking was $575. The seller's realtor said that the client is happy with our offer, a few hours later they took down the listing and re-listed at $650k and denied our offer. Only conditions we had we're financing approval and house inspection. People are greedy out here and not adjusting to what the market is now! The house was purchased back in 2014 for $254k (equity gained plus value increase would be $400k profit after expenses and 10 years of ownership!)😮

    • @jonflynn
      @jonflynn  Місяць тому +1

      I would’ve offered $525k lol

    • @swift_killz
      @swift_killz Місяць тому

      @@jonflynn after having this experience, I'm not even entertaining the idea of entering the market anymore! I'm just gonna continue saving a bigger downpayment as well as watching you and market mania bring great insight to us Canadians! You're right I should have offered $525k considering the games they played and the smack in the face I received LOL

  • @geoffreyyoung5419
    @geoffreyyoung5419 9 днів тому +1

    I think the canceling of the GST on new housing is a good start. We also need to cancel all the crazy fees that the cities are charging on new construction. All we need is LESS Government.

  • @glenf4115
    @glenf4115 2 місяці тому +1

    Construction in Canada has stopped as investors stopped buying shoebox condos. Now the fed are attempting to replace investors with first time home buyers.
    If no one is buying condos maybe the price + carrying cost is too high? Increasing the length of term does not reduce the carrying cost, it increases it and all that extra debt is compounding over a longer duration.

  • @nihuya2485
    @nihuya2485 2 місяці тому +3

    I don't believe in coincidence with all this money being spent on gov' consultants. All this mess must be by design... That's my only logical explanation.

    • @lynb1022
      @lynb1022 2 місяці тому

      It is by design. McKinsey dictated unsustainable immigration levels that anyone with a brain knows would further manipulate "the market" by restricting "supply" and increasing "demand", artificially inflating property values, interest rates, mortgages, rents, and bankster profits. Paid very handsomely with taxpayer funds, and probably currently brainstorming how to sell us the ropes to hang ourselves with.

  • @tedebayer1
    @tedebayer1 Місяць тому

    Had a buddy tell me he signed in for a 35 yr mortgage, around 2008 ish. I said you'll never pay that off (he was around 50 at the time), his reaction was he didn't care. It was such a low monthly rate, once you factored in yearly taxes, insurance etc he could never rent for that low. He had bought a new house for around 230k I recall, and he had retired around 2016.

  • @jasperalberts7647
    @jasperalberts7647 2 місяці тому +3

    Going to buy a Raptor R outright and continue renting my room with adjacent private 4pc bath. I will not be house poor.

  • @Dinoknows007
    @Dinoknows007 Місяць тому

    You can be the Housing minister in the Poilievre government. Looking forward to a 10 percent flat tax across the board, personal and corporate, elimination of all the other taxes, especially the capital gain tax and handouts. The Coomon Sense budget !!

  • @HAIDARAVEN
    @HAIDARAVEN Місяць тому +2

    From 300k to 1.6 million in 10 years…. Wages stayed flat and Covid made your other costs skyrocket….. where does the government figure in quadruple the price….. I know you have builders scream about slow starts

  • @hjs9td
    @hjs9td 2 місяці тому +3

    The NDP with its "Housing Emergency" confirms its goal of putting all Canadians under the guidance of Indigenous Services Canada.

    • @JS-jh4cy
      @JS-jh4cy 2 місяці тому

      Damn ndp is no damn pissbrains

    • @archimedes2261
      @archimedes2261 2 місяці тому

      Despite not liking NDP it sounds better than Freeland telling everybody to keep taking on more debt on unspectacular average homes. Of course i will never vote for either party this coming election.

  • @FatihaArt
    @FatihaArt 2 місяці тому +2

    Thanks so much for the valuable videos. Do you have any insights about where the Ottawa/Orleans RE market is heading? Prices do not seem to be bulging at all. Townhouse prices are still double what they were pre-pandemic!

    • @jonflynn
      @jonflynn  2 місяці тому +1

      It seems Ottawa is a bit more resilient than the rest of Ontario. Most likely due to the massive increase in government employees with their secure well paying jobs keeping things propped up.

  • @kbenk108
    @kbenk108 2 місяці тому

    I always look forward to your videos cause you put lots of research (charts/stats/etc) and facts into them.

  • @curtfromcanada6988
    @curtfromcanada6988 Місяць тому

    Great video Jon, we appreciate your content and effort you are putting into these videos.

  • @terramoo6936
    @terramoo6936 Місяць тому

    Infrastructure is behind and undersized in some towns already. Collingwood had to have a development moratorium for a while until they increased the water plant. Town of blue mountain having same issue, needs upgrade.

  • @grizzlegreezz9696
    @grizzlegreezz9696 2 місяці тому +1

    Everyone should collectively boycott houses. And bring down the price. The power is in the people.

    • @winstonalan5731
      @winstonalan5731 25 днів тому

      It's kind of hard to boycott houses in one of the coldest countries on planet Earth. Good luck with that.

  • @kruby1165
    @kruby1165 2 місяці тому

    Great review, Jon …and I love the picture of one of the ‘ministers’ on the way to work !

  • @Riderdownn
    @Riderdownn 2 місяці тому +7

    Liberals and NPD statements sounds like something I wrote for homework when I was 13

    • @TT-fq7pl
      @TT-fq7pl 2 місяці тому

      But the Conservatives and their supporters have usually left school before that age. How did you last so long?

    • @Riderdownn
      @Riderdownn 2 місяці тому

      @@TT-fq7pl im not talking about the supporters. Im saying the plans have zero substance, commitment or actionable aspects. At least the conservatives plan has had some thought behind it.
      Im not interested in getting made fun of for wanting a pathway to being able to afford a house and a life in Canada. I dont believe you should pick a side and be a d**k about it. I’ll make my mind up based on the suggested policies to fix the current issues. Seems like you’re probably not open minded enough 👍🏼

    • @Riderdownn
      @Riderdownn 2 місяці тому +2

      also Im a mechanical engineer. If you really think that only people who left school at 13 will vote conservative you’re in for a shock unfortunately.

    • @TT-fq7pl
      @TT-fq7pl 2 місяці тому

      @@Riderdownn Picking a side is what YT comment threads are all about. I only join in when the right-wingers get my blood boiling too much. As with the Conservatives and their plans, what they say to get elected and what they do in power are never the same thing. If you want to be able to afford a house, don't vote for the party that loves corporations and banks even more than the Liberals do.

    • @TT-fq7pl
      @TT-fq7pl 2 місяці тому

      @@Riderdownn Just going on the evidence. I see spelling mistakes, no punctuation, racism, misogyny, all sorts of dumbness and hatred from Conservative supporters. Don't see as much from supporters of other parties. Also, there are educated people who will vote Conservative out of greed, yes.

  • @rosatipicks
    @rosatipicks Місяць тому +1

    Jon called a bubble burst months ago. Wrong again. Every week he’s slowly understanding that the can keeps getting kicked on the endless road. As I said, prices will pick up again and be more expensive in a few years than they are today. Make more or move.

    • @jonflynn
      @jonflynn  Місяць тому +1

      Neither of us are right since neither has happened

    • @rosatipicks
      @rosatipicks Місяць тому

      @@jonflynn you’ve called a crash for years and hasn’t happened. You said bubble would burst a couple months ago. Technically you’re never going to be wrong if you keep saying a crash is coming. Eventually you have to admit that the time has come and gone on this. Prices have corrected and no reason for them to crash.

  • @tylerj6589
    @tylerj6589 2 місяці тому +2

    Hey John when I first herd about the 30 year amortization I was actually a little bit excited cause I knew it would make it easier for me to qualify for mortgage is there anyway people like me are able to take advantage of this by just getting into the market then switching to an open mortgage or just hammering down money on the mortgage when you can to pay it off sooner?

    • @jonflynn
      @jonflynn  2 місяці тому +1

      If that’s the plan then just do a 25 year.

  • @briarsaltes7954
    @briarsaltes7954 2 місяці тому

    One of your best updates yet. You need to do a Netflix documentary on the housing market.

    • @mr2_mike
      @mr2_mike 2 місяці тому

      Wait till it busts and people are dumbfounded asking "what happened?!" 😂

  • @timothyirwin8974
    @timothyirwin8974 2 місяці тому +4

    A 1.5 million dollar home for everyone.

    • @bdawg333
      @bdawg333 2 місяці тому

      No, only boomers... Trudeau and Freeland will only promote rental builds, protecting boomer retirements pegged to their housing wealth and keeping Gen Z and Millennials renting for life.

  • @Catsandnature-1234
    @Catsandnature-1234 2 місяці тому +2

    This is gonna end up really bad.

  • @ianfleming7510
    @ianfleming7510 Місяць тому

    The target group of Canadians are multi-generational families.
    The biggest problem is collecting rent from your 40 year old kids.
    All good, taxation must never decrease!
    Government must continue to grow at any cost!

  •  Місяць тому

    Home builders say in the investor meeting they wont build because they don;t make enough of a profit. Mush different than how you phrased it.

  • @barry1fitzgerald
    @barry1fitzgerald 2 місяці тому +1

    Here in Welland, I am seeing a lot of new construction with fewer buyers and renters.The political plans will all crash when the market crashes because of over supply.

    • @jay1645
      @jay1645 2 місяці тому

      Rates have to crash to 0 or -0.5% first

    • @davidrockefeller2007
      @davidrockefeller2007 2 місяці тому

      Won’t crash for 20 more years

  • @gabrielladots5990
    @gabrielladots5990 2 місяці тому

    Good informative video! I look forward to following this scam with you.

  • @agathaloewen877
    @agathaloewen877 2 місяці тому

    I live in northern ontario. Lots of empty virgin land here. Ease up on how people live on it. They can put an RV on the land, a yurt a temp insulated little room or two. The only regulation would be sewage. If people can build is stages over the years that makes borrowing a lot more affordable.

  • @edubmf
    @edubmf 2 місяці тому +1

    Extrapolating a trend line that begins in 2005 is IMHO a big mistake, it's the trend line of a bull run.

  • @ansmerek
    @ansmerek Місяць тому

    The budget will balance itself !

  • @Burboss
    @Burboss 2 місяці тому +1

    Unless med price drops, nothing will help to revive res. RE market.

  • @lisab3396
    @lisab3396 2 місяці тому +1

    Hi Jon, I'm still renting and would like to by a home. I really am interested in those Single Family Midget Homes on the screen behind you. What are they listed $ for? I'm not a midget and will have to sleep with my feet out of the window, but if the price is right, I'll get used to it.

  • @edpalmieri8647
    @edpalmieri8647 2 місяці тому +6

    Real estate market is crashing. House on Martingrove north of highway 7 sold for 1.2 million below asking

  • @lookanabeauti9386
    @lookanabeauti9386 2 місяці тому

    What a mess we are all in ! We need massive protest across Canada.

  • @jabirdevjee1432
    @jabirdevjee1432 Місяць тому

    15% compounding housing completions? That seems like a pie in the sky dream. Also, this would incentivize urban sprawl like crazy. The easiest and fasted approvals can be given to greenfield developments and the long term sustainable solution of infill and creative mixed use development will be set aside in order to achieve myopic incentives. I'm no Liberal fan....but at least their plan mentions development close to services. This type of development will allow cities to flourish rather than creating suburban tax money pits that cost more for Cities to maintain than the revenue they produce

  • @Marina_Galentovsky
    @Marina_Galentovsky 2 місяці тому

    Great analysis

  • @rzmk8620
    @rzmk8620 2 місяці тому +1

    They should have lowered CHMC to 750K insured ones. They brought this to save builders ass, banks, who can afford coffin type condos. Good luck.

  • @tysewell1085
    @tysewell1085 2 місяці тому +4

    To pay off debt they will introduce digital currency in the house to reduce emission. Less emissions less monthly payments... just my opinion

  • @guitarpicker7464
    @guitarpicker7464 2 місяці тому

    Increasing the insured mortgage max to $1.5M does nothing to help anyone. Instead of allowing Canadians to go 50% deeper into debt, why not address the issue with income to price ratio ? When we arrived in Canada 15 years ago the price of a decent starter home in Toronto was $400-500k , which was for a couple each earning about $60K ( $120K total) was 3-4x annual salary. Now the same home is $1.2-1.5M or 9-12x salary. Who on earth benefits from this ? Well, certainly the realtors with big commissions, the province gets massive amounts to land transfer tax and property tax, and the banks do very well ... What about the new "home owner" or should I say "debt owner" ? Housing needs to fall at least 20-30% and wages need to rise ... Anything else is just kicking the can

  • @orsitheawesome
    @orsitheawesome 2 місяці тому +2

    Conservatives meddling with bcTransit scares me!! The buses already suck and are cut back as much as possible here in Nanaimo, last thing we need is to take more money out of it!! What a purely dumb idea!!

    • @melkeeler2236
      @melkeeler2236 Місяць тому

      Socialist's meddling in common sense scares most people.

  • @marctrottier8232
    @marctrottier8232 2 місяці тому +5

    80 year mortgages coming soon in your neighborhood ! and in case you all didn't know the word "mortgage" is french for "death pledge " , i 'm french and i know the word "mort" means death, so think about that !

    • @robertguay3773
      @robertguay3773 2 місяці тому +3

      I was shocked 15 years ago talking to people in Hawaii who had mortgages they only paid the interest. Now 90% of people here I talk to have a line of credit mortgage and only pay the interest.

    • @lawrencehalpin6611
      @lawrencehalpin6611 2 місяці тому +1

      Yikes. That does not sound good.

  • @Samw55
    @Samw55 2 місяці тому

    Thanks Jon for a very good info

  • @kevinn1158
    @kevinn1158 2 місяці тому

    That average price will have to break below 600 on that chart to confirm the head and shoulders. Our house is paid off in a year and a half, but I'm being a dad worrying about all of the next generation wanting to buy. We need to fix this.
    And I will tell you right now, increasing supply will not drop prices because the developers only want to build at very inflated building costs. After letting the industry run away for 20 years, they have to repeat the 90s which saw a big drop in housing demand while pushing investors out of the market. This would take another 5-7 years. So yah, a quick fix is not around the corner. The only short term solution would be to drop land transfer taxes and massively lower development fees. Also hiking investor property taxes to commercial levels. They also need to streamline the development process.
    Re the NDP.... when they say coops, non profit they really mean public housing paid for and run by the tax payers. We have a so called coop close to our home and the residents don't do anything. They don't own anything. They have zero accountability.

  • @CassiusJohnAdams
    @CassiusJohnAdams Місяць тому

    Liberal Plan: State the problems they created
    Conservative Plan: Download the issue onto the cities
    NDP Plan: Keep things vague and non-specific
    Green Plan: Declare a national emergency

  • @dougiep2769
    @dougiep2769 2 місяці тому +1

    I bet the appraisers walked off with lots of money... how do homes get 3-4-5 times the actually value.. so the bankers have all made rampant profits and now the public is gonna get the bill... central banking 101

  • @chycho
    @chycho 2 місяці тому +1

    Debt train going off a cliff.

  • @dorthahise1
    @dorthahise1 2 місяці тому +97

    In my opinion

    • @dorthahise1
      @dorthahise1 2 місяці тому

      Francine duguay program is widely available online..

    • @NoeVelasco-lu2mo
      @NoeVelasco-lu2mo 2 місяці тому

      The market has gone berserk! whether you're a newbie or a veteran trader, everyone needs a sort of coach at some point to thrive forward.

    • @neddle91
      @neddle91 2 місяці тому

      I appreciate the professionalism and dedication of the team behind Francine's trade signal service.

    • @tomthabom240
      @tomthabom240 2 місяці тому

      Francine goes deeper than just looking at surface-level trends. she explores technical, fundamental, and sentiment analysis, offering a comprehensive perspective on the market..

    • @NicoleKaiser-jw7qn
      @NicoleKaiser-jw7qn 2 місяці тому

      The clarity and precision in Francine market predictions are astounding. I'm so grateful to have found her reviews here on UA-cam as well.

  • @irveywaite5105
    @irveywaite5105 2 місяці тому +1

    The definition of insanity 🤷🏽‍♂️

  • @veeo987
    @veeo987 2 місяці тому

    The US extended amortizations in 2008 during the housing crash. Was the crash averted?

  • @seanthompson244
    @seanthompson244 2 місяці тому

    I'm not paying 1.5 for a house. And I own a house. What so my taxes more than double? Get loss...

  • @aiqueenla2786
    @aiqueenla2786 2 місяці тому +3

    I thought I knew someone had 30 years amortization mortgage, is 30 years amort new?

    • @peterp696
      @peterp696 2 місяці тому +1

      Harper a,lowed 30 year mortgage way back. It was canceled by the Liberals but I guess they are bringing it back.

  • @marshferguson4737
    @marshferguson4737 2 місяці тому

    Buy a house when you're 30 and it's paid off by the time you're 60! If you don't borrow against your mortgage that is. I was screaming at Freeland when she made this announcement. Just ridiculous thinking. They're trying to keep housing as our GDP

  • @jeffburke170
    @jeffburke170 Місяць тому

    “Outside of Toronto and Vancouver $1.5M buys you a luxury home in Canada,” GTA broker John Pasalis comments, sagely. “So the solution to Canada’s housing crisis is to allow people to buy luxury homes with 10% down & have our government insure those mortgages? You can’t make this stuff up.”

  • @Eaglegeek79
    @Eaglegeek79 2 місяці тому +5

    These liberal, ndp and greens are such a joke…. No thank you woke politicians… Will vote Conservative forever

    • @bdawg333
      @bdawg333 2 місяці тому

      Trudeau only wants to build rentals, keeping the boomers houses high and forcing the rest of the country to become renters for life. ELECTION TIME!!!!!!

    • @TT-fq7pl
      @TT-fq7pl 2 місяці тому

      Hey! Thanks for mentioning the Greens. Love to see that they've entered the conversation again.

  • @noosy530
    @noosy530 2 місяці тому +1

    We're living in a time when choosing to avoid crippling debt is a controversial decision. Even gen z chinese citizens are aggressively saving their income. I don't need a crappy overpriced mcmansion with a 30 centimetre space between its neighbouring houses. The imagw you use as your background is so cathartic. It is very nice to know there are other people who are seeing reality for what it is.

  • @monicapushkin3274
    @monicapushkin3274 Місяць тому

    30 year mortgages .... the banks are desperate.

  • @praetor1369
    @praetor1369 Місяць тому +1

    Prices to the MOON! buy buy you donkeys! 300 ft condos for 10 million soon! buy buy!

  • @citycams-fc
    @citycams-fc Місяць тому

    We're probably gonna fast track 50 years amortization, then 100 years amortization, then wake up in Argentina.

  • @gabrielladots5990
    @gabrielladots5990 2 місяці тому

    The housing bubble with artificially inflated price evaluation must continue so they can get more property taxes. It’s a scam happening in the USA also.

  • @James-tk9oy
    @James-tk9oy 2 місяці тому

    I thought houses would just lose half their value a year ago.
    If you are waiting for the government to make houses affordable, don't hold your breath.
    Save a down payment and get in as soon as possible it will only get harder later.

  • @AshrafulAlam-zw1xw
    @AshrafulAlam-zw1xw 2 місяці тому +10

    JT is joking with Canadian.

    • @jarrodmagnusson4101
      @jarrodmagnusson4101 2 місяці тому +8

      It doesn't matter who in running, they are all the same shit.

    • @TT-fq7pl
      @TT-fq7pl 2 місяці тому

      Which one?

  • @nielsbeck7461
    @nielsbeck7461 2 місяці тому

    No one is looking at the realestate companies and investors that are sitting on a ton of homes and not letting them be sold for anything less than crazy prices.

  • @markcentral
    @markcentral 2 місяці тому +2

    15:11 If you want to live in a tree … 🤣

    • @elim7228
      @elim7228 2 місяці тому

      No, they won't allow that. They care about trees more than they do about people. Trees are sacred to these loones.

  • @jay1645
    @jay1645 2 місяці тому

    3rd innings of r/e collapse as a lot of mortg. holders will have to re-fi at higher rates. Will take 1-3 yrs to clean out this mess

  • @TheBlindandDeafLifeGuard
    @TheBlindandDeafLifeGuard 2 місяці тому

    No, the government has skited the ressession and kicked the can down the road by twicking the policy. Canada housing 😊

  • @dougiep2769
    @dougiep2769 2 місяці тому

    Wonder how much home appraisers walked off with.. I mean really how do they get priced 3-4-5 times the actual value

  • @elai3147
    @elai3147 Місяць тому +1

    a realtor telling you real estate is a ponzi scheme is shadier than a realtor telling you it's time to buy

    • @jonflynn
      @jonflynn  Місяць тому

      Thanks for the comment

  • @Chibling
    @Chibling 2 місяці тому

    Can't afford the month by month payments? Don't worry just pay us back over 5 more years! "What about reducing the prices instead?" - "No."

  • @J-tu3hw
    @J-tu3hw 2 місяці тому +2

    Debt bubble trap

  • @kvio3321
    @kvio3321 Місяць тому

    Excellent

  • @maiadazz
    @maiadazz Місяць тому +162

    I think it's time to make it more appealing for potential buyers. Real estate can be quite the rollercoaster! the stress and uncertainty are getting to me. I think I'll cut rents to attract potential buyers and exit the market, but i'm at crossroads if to allocate the entire $680k liquidity value to my stock portfolio?

    • @avamadison-r9p
      @avamadison-r9p Місяць тому +1

      "Overall, buyers hold a lot of the cards right now, and sellers are having to give out more concessions to close a deal." All the best, buying on sale is actually one of the best ways to invest in stocks, and advisors are ideally suited for such task

    • @richardhudson1243
      @richardhudson1243 Місяць тому +2

      Until the Fed clamps down even further I think we're going to see hysteria due to rampant inflation. If you are in cross roads or need sincere advise on the best moves to take now with financial markets will be best you seek a fin-professional with fiduciary responsibilities who knows about mortgage-backed securities for proper guidance.

    • @RyanOliver-j6d
      @RyanOliver-j6d Місяць тому +1

      this sounds considerable! think you know any advisors i can get on the phone with? i'm in dire need of proper portfolio allocation

    • @richardhudson1243
      @richardhudson1243 Місяць тому +2

      Finding financial advisors like Sophia Maurine Lanting who can assist you shape your portfolio would be a very creative option. There will be difficult times ahead, and prudent personal money management will be essential to navigating them.

    • @michaelstrawberry
      @michaelstrawberry Місяць тому +1

      I appreciate it. After searching her name online and reviewing her credentials, I'm quite impressed. I've contacted her as I could use all the help I can get. A call has been scheduled.

  • @mountfairweather
    @mountfairweather Місяць тому

    30 year AMORTIZATION for a starter home for dual income homes. No way lol