Ukrainian forces conducting 'very clever' offensives against Russia

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  • Опубліковано 18 тра 2024
  • Ukrainian forces are advancing on both fronts, whilst Russian forces are just "digging in" and "playing for time", according to a defence analyst.
    Speaking to Forces News, Professor Michael Clarke, a former director general of defence and security think tank RUSI, said that the Russians, are in a sense "playing for time for the winter".
    More: www.forces.net/ukraine/ukrain...
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КОМЕНТАРІ • 1,4 тис.

  • @datbunneh3671
    @datbunneh3671 Рік тому +425

    What many people don't understand is that currently Ukraine is not really focused on taking land. Ukraine is focused on getting better tactical and strategical positions and cutting off enemy's supply lines. Which will subsequently enable them to dramatically improve the personnel and materiel lost ratio compared to the enemy's. Which mean that this war will become a black hole for Russian army. And once Russian army capabilities deteriorate just enough, Ukraine will most likely strike on ALL fronts at the same time to make sure everything crumbles. And then this war will turn into a whack-a-mole with a billion moles popping at the same time for the Russian brass. Welcome to the quagmire Russia. Giggity.

    • @barriofiesta5675
      @barriofiesta5675 Рік тому +27

      Very good assestment .

    • @riparianlife97701
      @riparianlife97701 Рік тому +29

      And in that way, Ukraine should be able to make Crimea a living hell from a safe distance, to the point where Russians will just leave.

    • @Esico6
      @Esico6 Рік тому

      They trying that from day one. Btw Ukr still are in a hurry to conquer land.

    • @PHOBOS1708
      @PHOBOS1708 Рік тому +4

      western tanks (leo2 and Marder) are the missing part

    • @Stickyrolls123
      @Stickyrolls123 Рік тому

      For sure. They aren't playing to gain ground but to win. Not even playing to win fast just to win and drain Russia. Russia has already lost 60,000 troops in this war. To put that in perspective the USA lost 58,000 in 20 years in Vietnam and that was enough to drop morale at home. Remember, numbers and technology don't win wars as much as Morale and Logistics. In Russia, since the mobilization was announced, there is already record number of flights going out of country. There will come a point where the people have had enough and Putin will be "removed" from office. The thing is he has to make a play for some victories. I don't mean total victory just yet but he needs some wins to increase moral (both at home and in the soldiers) and to save face so he isn't removed. This does, however, make his play transparent. He is forced into a position where he can't afford a war of attrition. He will have to do something bold and win some objective. The sad thing is we won't see peace with him in power. He can't afford to back out of this war with less then he went in with. He just can't. That's loosing too much face and he will be done for.

  • @Symon_Musician
    @Symon_Musician Рік тому +80

    Greetings from Belarus!
    As for offensive from our country there is no any sings of it. Before 24-02 railway system in Belarus was full of Russian carriages and platforms with troops and military equipment, but now we are observing completely different story: ammunition and tanks are being removed from Belarusian warehouses and being delivered to southern regions of Russia. I'm completely agree with Mr. Clarke that preparations for future offensive will be noticed by Ukrainians because it's just impossible to cover such a huge mass of troops and equipment.
    As for participation of Belarusian armed forces in it I'm not completely believe in it due to the fact it would be a political suicide for Lukashenko. Public opinion in our country is strongly against any participation of our troops in any war and this idea dominates among even those who support so called "Special military operation". Also I'm convinced that a significant part of our soldiers will refuse of it or will surrender to Ukrainians. In other words, if a professional Russian army failed to conquer Kiev in February 2022 in my opinion there is no way for mobilized to do it.

    • @luzr6613
      @luzr6613 Рік тому +9

      Thanks for that - pretty much what I had suspected. Stay safe and all the best from (I'm almost embarrassed at my good fortune in this time of peril) New Zealand.

    • @eddiewelch3160
      @eddiewelch3160 Рік тому +7

      I appreciate the honesty. Thanks for Intel friend. Stay safe out there.

    • @simonchilli2088
      @simonchilli2088 Рік тому

      I did wonder how much support the Belorussians would be ready to support Russia as they can see from the outside looking in that it's been a catastrophe based on a lie in the first place.

    • @kralikkral5560
      @kralikkral5560 Рік тому +3

      Good to know that there are many reasonable people in Belarus. Because if Belarus would join that war, it would loose a big part of it´s young generation - and for what? For primitives like Lukaschenko?

    • @oleksandrkurnyk6481
      @oleksandrkurnyk6481 Рік тому +3

      Sounds good, hope Lukashenko just making face for Putin to earn more money.
      Greetings from Odessa

  • @AaronKwekbeloved
    @AaronKwekbeloved Рік тому +189

    Making your enemy lost the will to resist and surrender is best scenario.

    • @rogueuniversities6866
      @rogueuniversities6866 Рік тому +4

      Come on Russia!

    • @inconvenientfacts8896
      @inconvenientfacts8896 Рік тому +31

      @@rogueuniversities6866 come on what? Retreat faster? 🤣

    • @rogueuniversities6866
      @rogueuniversities6866 Рік тому +4

      @@inconvenientfacts8896 Beat crappy Ukraine

    • @alans9806
      @alans9806 Рік тому

      @@rogueuniversities6866 Yes, wake up Russia and stop bludging just because you're getting a hiding.

    • @althomas3168
      @althomas3168 Рік тому +7

      For us in Britain, it’s us against a monster.. same as in WW2.
      Russia was our ally then, albeit tenuously.

  • @lubega001
    @lubega001 Рік тому +116

    The most intelligent analyst so far. He's accurate in unbelievable way. Thank you professor Clark

    • @madsolsen9184
      @madsolsen9184 Рік тому +4

      Yes, he just need the sense of reallity.

    • @jeffreybresnahan
      @jeffreybresnahan Рік тому +3

      Tripe!

    • @chrislloyd261
      @chrislloyd261 Рік тому

      I absolutely agree

    • @chrislloyd261
      @chrislloyd261 Рік тому +3

      I’m sure he has the sense of reality and thank God that you are not experienced in at your self

    • @jimgreene951
      @jimgreene951 Рік тому +1

      He's a regular on Sky News UK too btw .

  • @RoyPounsford
    @RoyPounsford Рік тому +114

    Mr Clark is excellent presenter

    • @michaeldelisieux
      @michaeldelisieux Рік тому +3

      Thoughts and logic personified.

    • @Tekcomi
      @Tekcomi Рік тому +1

      Pronounces the names wrong.

    • @TalibanAtrocities
      @TalibanAtrocities Рік тому

      Except when he wants to insulate orcs instead of isolating 🤔

  • @tessariles4488
    @tessariles4488 Рік тому +21

    Thank you for this clear reporting of the events. Strength to Ukraine.

  • @frankmorris4790
    @frankmorris4790 Рік тому +6

    They best no be awaiting the arrival of "General Winter'. This ain't 1944 and the Ukrainians know that dance too.

  • @HeBeDrGB
    @HeBeDrGB Рік тому +73

    Professor Clarke and Dom Nichols are my favorite UK civilian military analysts: OUTSTANDING!
    Slava Ukraini 🇺🇲🇺🇦🇬🇧

    • @timurkhan711
      @timurkhan711 Рік тому +1

      Plebb

    • @madsolsen9184
      @madsolsen9184 Рік тому +1

      Yes, they are good. They just need sense of reallity.

    • @rogueuniversities6866
      @rogueuniversities6866 Рік тому

      Slava Russia!

    • @dave.p153
      @dave.p153 Рік тому +1

      You're just dripping with red white and blue aren't you ? but it's worth pointing out of these people actually know how to use American military hardware unlike the Americans who after 20 years still have to leave the Middle East being chased out by men wearing dresses

    • @terefefeyssa877
      @terefefeyssa877 Рік тому

      Greg Brew: Your mentor is promoting the Anglo-American Alliance project. Don't think, the rest of the world doesn't know. Your ambition to dominate snd control the world does not work. You better live your life instead of meddling in the affairs of other countries.
      The Anglo-Saxon agenda doesn't work. I am telling you.

  • @michaelmcclafferty3346
    @michaelmcclafferty3346 Рік тому +12

    Brilliant , Michael Clarke’s insights are always so accurate, focussed and superbly presented. Thank you.

  • @TCGill
    @TCGill Рік тому +28

    Nice informative report.
    Thank you.

  • @chrismitchell4622
    @chrismitchell4622 Рік тому +7

    Canada sending winter gear so no there will be no winter break for Russia

    • @snidecommenter7117
      @snidecommenter7117 Рік тому

      Yeah. Sending winter gear. How Canadian, eh?

    • @davidford3115
      @davidford3115 Рік тому +3

      @@snidecommenter7117 The fact that they started sending it in August tells you that they were planning ahead. Mad props.

    • @user1qaz2wsx3edc
      @user1qaz2wsx3edc Рік тому

      @@davidford3115
      Planning?
      Welcome?
      To the new Russia in ukraine.
      Only rubles please 🥰

  • @gokhanarikoglu7456
    @gokhanarikoglu7456 Рік тому +9

    Great progress for Ukraine please keep up posting such reports Prof Klark is best in class expert very glad to see him here

  • @ronaldcole7415
    @ronaldcole7415 Рік тому +50

    American intel. Israeli intel. German intel. French intel. UK intel. Swedish intel. Finnish intel. The list is gigantic. Russian troops can't take a poop without Ukrainians knowing where the dump occurred.

    • @alans9806
      @alans9806 Рік тому +6

      Let's hope this sends a message to every other tin pot aggressor.

    • @snidecommenter7117
      @snidecommenter7117 Рік тому +3

      And what they had for breakfast.

    • @ashleighdavies7009
      @ashleighdavies7009 Рік тому +1

      How eloquently put my good man.

    • @matt7253
      @matt7253 Рік тому

      yea saw that wall bang the other day...

    • @user1qaz2wsx3edc
      @user1qaz2wsx3edc Рік тому

      We are pooping on 30 % of ukraine.🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣
      Welcome!
      To the new Russia in ukraine.
      Only rubles please 🥰

  • @FirstNameLastName-ib3cp
    @FirstNameLastName-ib3cp Рік тому +121

    Russians in trenches: "Well fingers and toes, with winter setting and my self purchased summer uniform being my only uniform, I guess this is where we part ways."

    • @lizardonastick
      @lizardonastick Рік тому +9

      Anyone with medical training in frostbite treatment and digit amputation will be very very popular. They are probably watching UA-cam howto videos as we speak.

    • @alans9806
      @alans9806 Рік тому +9

      @@lizardonastick Yes, 'How to make a battery powered thermal suit out of nothing'. That should help.

    • @calebmauer1751
      @calebmauer1751 Рік тому +9

      @@alans9806 Potato batteries.

    • @lordraydens
      @lordraydens Рік тому +5

      'so this is how the nazis felt'

    • @3o3tigger
      @3o3tigger Рік тому

      Your obviously are not keep up its the Ukrainian army that's lacking winter kit , they have been begging for winter uniforms for the last 6 weeks. Your so out of tune to think that The Russians Army would not have winter kit for a army from the coldest country in the world? Your a simpleton

  • @xGoodOldSmurfehx
    @xGoodOldSmurfehx Рік тому +6

    Now THIS is an expert

  • @HowTheMikeyHasFall
    @HowTheMikeyHasFall Рік тому +45

    Michael Clarkes analysis is always amazing.

    • @LordofTheFallen
      @LordofTheFallen Рік тому +1

      Right up to predicting that Ukraine would cross at nova khakhova, over a bridge that they've already destroyed. That would be a suicidal bottleneck if Russia even let them repair the bridge.

    • @thexperimenter88
      @thexperimenter88 Рік тому

      @@LordofTheFallen that bridge is narrow and Russia is in lack of precision missiles

    • @madsolsen9184
      @madsolsen9184 Рік тому

      @@thexperimenter88 where is your proff of that ? Some foo1 told you that And you ate i raw ? 😂

    • @thexperimenter88
      @thexperimenter88 Рік тому +1

      @@madsolsen9184 hahaha

    • @thexperimenter88
      @thexperimenter88 Рік тому +1

      @@madsolsen9184 check latest crux video, it looks like Russia only has about 800 missiles left. They would not be using S300 missiles to bomb Ukraine if their precision missiles were plentiful, its elementary

  • @joerosa170
    @joerosa170 Рік тому +12

    Greetings from America. Thank you for the video. Your my favorite war strategiest.

  • @Jorn41
    @Jorn41 Рік тому +1

    Thanks' for bringing in Michael Clarke!! He is always a pleasure to learn from!

  • @gerritstegeman2648
    @gerritstegeman2648 Рік тому +85

    Excellent assessment 👍

    • @jeffreybresnahan
      @jeffreybresnahan Рік тому

      🤣😂🤣😂🤣😂🤣

    • @minititan
      @minititan Рік тому +1

      Fake news

    • @bbbbbbb8567
      @bbbbbbb8567 Рік тому

      @@minititan dumb bot

    • @pachacutec9999
      @pachacutec9999 Рік тому

      @@minititan Yeah, ruzzian propaganda is the only real deal for your brain.

    • @davidc9214
      @davidc9214 Рік тому

      @@minititan It is the truth. It is fake news only for those who believe Russia Today and Putin’s lies 😂😂😂

  • @LJ.350
    @LJ.350 Рік тому +3

    Very well spoken.

  • @devoiddude
    @devoiddude Рік тому +3

    Michael clarke is some man, always a pleasure to listen to him talk, he knows his stuff.

  • @brentdallyn8459
    @brentdallyn8459 Рік тому +10

    Russians 'digging in' in my mind, would be a series of fixed defensive positions along the line of actual control to wait out a miserable winter, an inept Russian command would assume Ukraine is doing the same. Russian positions will be heavily surveilled during the winter months and at a moment of their choosing Ukraine will execute another 'Thunder Run' in Kherson.

    • @davidford3115
      @davidford3115 Рік тому

      Indeed. General Frost may actually favor Ukraine this winter with an ass kicking Christmas. It won't end by Christmas as the battle for Crimea will take at least an entire season, but with the winter gear that Canada and Norway have been sending since August, they will be in a good position to exploit the cold.

  • @peterlubbers5947
    @peterlubbers5947 Рік тому +1

    I always appreciate Prof Clarke's take on it, succinct and with his usual flair going along he is a brilliant narrator!👌🙏

  • @rothgartheviking858
    @rothgartheviking858 Рік тому +46

    I don't think Russia has much to counter with let alone do another offensive. I also don't think Ukraine will ever stop even in the winter.

    • @madsolsen9184
      @madsolsen9184 Рік тому +4

      The ukranians has stopped. They are allmost out of manpower and material. And the russians is bringing 300K to the show and the troops are not under restricktions anymore.
      In november, maybe december, when the ground is frozen, they move in without resticktions for the final blow and clean up the last pieces of the ukranians millitary.

    • @inconvenientfacts8896
      @inconvenientfacts8896 Рік тому +22

      @@madsolsen9184 lol Russia is losing ground by the hour and the 300k are untrained cannon fodder that can barely hold a rifle.. They are getting slaughtered or captured 1-2 days after deployment 😂 2k were already captured in one day. Ukraine grows stronger every day while Russia falls apart.

    • @rogueuniversities6866
      @rogueuniversities6866 Рік тому +1

      @@inconvenientfacts8896 Come on Russia!

    • @lilacscentedfushias1852
      @lilacscentedfushias1852 Рік тому +7

      @@madsolsen9184 where’s your information from? Rz propaganda? It’s untrue.

    • @madsolsen9184
      @madsolsen9184 Рік тому +2

      @@lilacscentedfushias1852 what is untrue ?

  • @francisfreyre
    @francisfreyre Рік тому +13

    Good interview! I liked it!

  • @sg72646
    @sg72646 Рік тому +1

    Much respect for your insights Mr Clark!

  • @vancecaudill3193
    @vancecaudill3193 Рік тому +2

    once again excellent presentation u r the best

  • @mikker29y
    @mikker29y Рік тому +6

    Ukranian forces will receive the best quality Winter clothing from the West, on the other hand Russian soldiers will receive very little to protect them from the cold.
    Expect Russian morale to plummet as Winter sets in.

  • @cyrusparvin6819
    @cyrusparvin6819 Рік тому +163

    Professor Clarke said that the Russians would bide their time for a potential offensive, probably next year in the Spring. Aren't Spring and Autumn the worst times to conduct an offensive in that part of the world, due to the rain and soil conditions? Isn't the best time of year for an offensive in the middle of winter when the ground, and perhaps rivers are frozen solid? The attacking side can maneuver, and the defending side, unless already dug in, cannot dig in because the ground is simply too hard for shovels and diggers.

    • @RobinPhillips1957
      @RobinPhillips1957 Рік тому +8

      Battle of Kursk, Operation Barbarossa?

    • @thesesrabbit87b47
      @thesesrabbit87b47 Рік тому +7

      @@RobinPhillips1957 in Barbarossa Germany did actually have large early operation success however Russia was already very dug in and fortifies

    • @morriswilburn9858
      @morriswilburn9858 Рік тому +16

      I am from the US, but believe that the ground does freeze in parts of the north, but not in the south.

    • @abdoulba1421
      @abdoulba1421 Рік тому +1

      Smart response

    • @wayne_3791
      @wayne_3791 Рік тому +20

      “Better to conduct military operations in middle of a frozen freezing cold winter” you say??? Wow, that’s enough Internet for you mate. Pfffft what a moronic statement. Fought a lot of wars in the frozen winter have you? This isn’t COD mate!

  • @tinkerbell9757
    @tinkerbell9757 Рік тому

    great overall of situation.Thank you

  • @markcummings6856
    @markcummings6856 Рік тому +3

    I could listen to this Man forever! Thanks.

  • @1SCme
    @1SCme Рік тому +16

    *i don't think Ukraine will back off for winter.* They have better winter equipment. Their offensives use lighter equipment less likely to get bogged down in soft terrain. Russian morale will be even lower, Russian supply lines worse, fewer aircraft and drones operating. This is an advantageous time for Ukraine offensives.
    *We might be overstating the difficulty of moving equipment in winter shy of deep snow.* Most military equipment, including tanks, APCs, and IFVs, exert less PSI on the ground than a person walking. When you see stuck vehicles, it is typically in a wetlands, or where vehicles have been following in a long line over unpaved, ungraveled roads

    • @davidford3115
      @davidford3115 Рік тому +7

      Indeed. And since Canada and Norway have been sending winter gear since August, that puts them in a good position to exploit the cold.

    • @TheGeeoff
      @TheGeeoff Рік тому +2

      @@davidford3115 This is exactly what I was going to say.
      Ukraine doesn't have a lot of specialist winter offensive vehicles, but what they have should be enough to punch through in a few places and then territorial defense forces can hold the line behind the advance.

    • @Bradimoose
      @Bradimoose Рік тому

      I don't think Russia cares about how many people they send to die either. I hope they lose but Russian history is full of "victories" where tens of thousands die and they win. They lost 80,000 in the battle of Berlin. In the Battle of Kursk they lost 800,000 men to the Germans 200,000.

    • @1SCme
      @1SCme Рік тому +3

      @@Bradimoose Take away Russia's advantage in military equipment, and Russia loses both of your references. If Russia still had notable reserves of equipment, they wouldn't be spending resources to Frankenstein together T-62s.

    • @Bradimoose
      @Bradimoose Рік тому +1

      @@1SCme Russia relied on USA in wwII for supplies and now Ukraine does too. Hopefully Europe steps up and helps out more. We spend all our money on the Military while Europeans enjoy free college, pensions and free healthcare. They should spend 40% of their budget on Military to fight back against countries like russia but they don't.

  • @dutchgamobackyardshooting
    @dutchgamobackyardshooting Рік тому

    THANKS

  • @Cookieforevah
    @Cookieforevah Рік тому

    Thanks Clarke!

  • @vsohmen
    @vsohmen Рік тому +71

    Ukraine's earlier battle in the Donbas resulted in massive casualties to the Ukrainian forces due to the overwhelming artillery and manpower of the Russian forces across the open terrain. However, Ukraine learned quickly to reorient their strategy in their counter-offensives in the northeast and southeast: to drastically weaken the enemy by: first destroying command posts, ammunition depots, fuel depots, logistics (bridges, railways, and roads), and concentrations of troops, artillery, and rocket-launchers; meanwhile, deeply demoralise the enemy by constant 24/7 guerilla attacks, sabotage, and forcing surrender; acquiring POWs and intact military hardware from the Russians to be used against them; and, liberating oppressed Ukrainian citizens in previously Russian-occupied communities.

    • @athamg4535
      @athamg4535 Рік тому +3

      Everyone thinks they're an expert

    • @raymondsweeney5410
      @raymondsweeney5410 Рік тому +6

      @@athamg4535 I think he was just pointing out the facts , no expertise required !

    • @hb1338
      @hb1338 Рік тому

      @@raymondsweeney5410 Except in the very broadest terms, most facts in this conflict are the subject of dispute.

    • @hounddog2952
      @hounddog2952 Рік тому

      Send in those 80 million voters along with EMMA and it's 2 mums AT SHOW EM MEAN NOT SEES 😂😂😂

    • @saquist
      @saquist Рік тому +2

      The Ukrainian Army has stepped up the use of Calvary Raids using fast Humvees to strike the sparsely occupied Russian artillery positions and forcing disorganized retreats leaving enemy equipment intacts.

  • @drmachinewerke1
    @drmachinewerke1 Рік тому +8

    France was dug in pretty well at the start of WW-2 Germans just went around much of the line.

    • @davidford3115
      @davidford3115 Рік тому +3

      And that is pretty much how Ukraine has dealt with Russian positions: out flank them with superior mobility. Guderian would be proud.

  • @tomg5187
    @tomg5187 Рік тому +1

    Michael Clarke, legend!

  • @patrickfuller6025
    @patrickfuller6025 Рік тому +10

    The play is to cut off the water to Crimea, now that the bridge is vulnerable. Watch what comes next brilliance.

  • @nickmail7604
    @nickmail7604 Рік тому +73

    The front lines won't stabilise when the winter comes, the frozen ground becomes perfect for mechanised advances, probably better even than the summer as there is no choking dust. A well prepared force will love the winter and trust me the Ukrainians are on home territory and have been planning and waiting for the coming of the cold since March. It will be the Ruso/Finnish winter war all over again.

    • @madsolsen9184
      @madsolsen9184 Рік тому +4

      If you believe it enough, it MAY become true.

    • @marshallmintz7564
      @marshallmintz7564 Рік тому +14

      Trenches will be easier for the Russians to dig once the ground is frozen........haha....just kidding. Sorry Russians.

    • @dave.p153
      @dave.p153 Рік тому

      I'm not sure your statement has a lot of validity

    • @nickmail7604
      @nickmail7604 Рік тому +12

      @@marshallmintz7564 they're not digging trenches, they're digging their graves.

    • @marshallmintz7564
      @marshallmintz7564 Рік тому

      @@dave.p153 Oh ....I think it does. The Russians do NOT wish to be there. Why would they? Do you think anybody actually likes the deranged dwarf?

  • @davidsault9698
    @davidsault9698 Рік тому +14

    Yes, as General Grant did in the American Civil War to the Sothern forces: Don't engage in expensive pitched frontal assaults. Instead, flank them out of their defensive positions and make them move back to new ones constantly.

    • @yellowstone2ndtrumpet304
      @yellowstone2ndtrumpet304 Рік тому +2

      Poetin has no clue what hé is doing, thats a absoluut lucky thing.

    • @daydays12
      @daydays12 Рік тому

      @@yellowstone2ndtrumpet304 agreed

    • @panan7777
      @panan7777 Рік тому

      There was one French general, from the times they were still fighters, that wrote: You can win the war without fighting any pitched battle. Just whittle them away, little by little.

    • @yellowstone2ndtrumpet304
      @yellowstone2ndtrumpet304 Рік тому

      @@panan7777 that can not be Napoleon as he got whittled away himself. To and from Moskou...

  • @larryloqueno2160
    @larryloqueno2160 Рік тому +5

    It's like a chess game, anticipate the opponents next move.

    • @Jess-T
      @Jess-T Рік тому

      Exactly what I was thinking, line your pieces up carefully then strike.

  • @maxdavidsoncox1
    @maxdavidsoncox1 Рік тому +1

    Good analysis 👍

  • @vilmaheslop322
    @vilmaheslop322 Рік тому

    Thanks sir Michael

  • @edmundleblanc9508
    @edmundleblanc9508 Рік тому +11

    Cutoff all their supplies during winter, and let them freeze to death.

    • @SerenityMae11
      @SerenityMae11 Рік тому +4

      @@carlsmart5788 your tinfoil hat is wrinkled 🤣🥴

    • @connort7443
      @connort7443 Рік тому +1

      @@SerenityMae11 To be fair though, surely you would want to look at both sides of the argument

    • @optiodecimus2690
      @optiodecimus2690 Рік тому +1

      @@connort7443 I'm skeptical of anything coming from either side at this point. The real goings on of what's happening right now will only be determined years later.
      Advances and retreats can be somewhat accurately noted, but effects on moral, loss of life and equipment and resources available will be (understandably) embellished both ways by both sides, sometimes long after the actual conflict has ended.
      We're at the bottom of the food chain when it comes to real time statistics - and that's probably for the best when those statistics concern young men dying by the thousands, regardless of what flag they're fighting under.

    • @connort7443
      @connort7443 Рік тому

      @@optiodecimus2690 Could not agree anymore.

    • @user1qaz2wsx3edc
      @user1qaz2wsx3edc Рік тому

      Azov nazi cowards are already freezing in Siberia.

  • @athame57
    @athame57 Рік тому +7

    I can't help thinking a cold winter is likely to cause mass desertion and surrender among the Russians given the state of their equipment and logistics.

    • @a.brekkan4965
      @a.brekkan4965 Рік тому

      What on earth do you know about Russian equipment and logistics?
      Btw, Hitler said the same:)

    • @georgerix3224
      @georgerix3224 Рік тому

      @@a.brekkan4965 Ukraine is not the invader. Hitler was, and he should have taken a lesson from Napoleon, invading the USSR / Russia was just too big a job. Defeating a Russian invasion is possible though. New conscripts just are not being given the equipment they need and logistics is one of Russia's downfalls in this invasion. I've had a good look at Russian equipment, their felt boots are great if they are going to get them that is!

    • @1972danhall
      @1972danhall Рік тому

      @@a.brekkan4965 Putin’s forces are as ill equipped as were the Germans. There are videos of new Russian conscripts being told to bring their own sleeping bags.

    • @a.brekkan4965
      @a.brekkan4965 Рік тому

      @@georgerix3224 Can you guarantee a Russian defeat?

    • @georgerix3224
      @georgerix3224 Рік тому

      @@a.brekkan4965 How the hell could I do that? I said I can't help thinking there will be one. If I could guarantee one I'd explain why.

  • @Clara506
    @Clara506 Рік тому +2

    Ukrain soldiers don't be afraid God will always be with you ,from India.

    • @user-jn6nj4hl7q
      @user-jn6nj4hl7q Рік тому

      God has never been on their side. When ukrainian nazis bombed civillians since 2014 no one cared.

  • @christophe2496
    @christophe2496 Рік тому

    Thanks

  • @joerosa170
    @joerosa170 Рік тому +7

    Glory to the hero's. Glory to Ukraine 😀.

  • @sebastianmuller1210
    @sebastianmuller1210 Рік тому +3

    If you would have put Mr Clarke's face in the thumbnail, this video will get so much more view's. He is known from his excellent statements and analysis from tv news on youtube. So it was just a pleasent surprise and the insteant knowledge this one will be good.

  • @jasperlawrence5361
    @jasperlawrence5361 Рік тому

    thanks

  • @mikker29y
    @mikker29y Рік тому +7

    "Digging in" and "waiting for Winter" is pointless since Ukraine posseses thousands of drones, HIMARS missiles and Excalibur artillery rounds.
    Russians hiding in trenches will be very easy targets for these weapons regardless of the weather.

    • @davidford3115
      @davidford3115 Рік тому

      The Soviet Red Army made its greatest gains against the Wehrmacht in winter. I could see Ukraine doing the same, especially as Canada and Norway have been sending cold weather gear since August.

    • @Bradimoose
      @Bradimoose Рік тому

      What if they spread out and have 2 guys per trench. Ukraine wouldn't waste a Himar to kill 2 soldiers

    • @davidford3115
      @davidford3115 Рік тому

      @@Bradimoose Yeah, but then that would mean they are weak enough for the Ukrainians to break through their lines. It is a balancing act where you don't cluster you guys, but then you do want to spread them out too thin either.

  • @shooter7a
    @shooter7a Рік тому +4

    XM395 GPS guided mortars would be really useful for the Ukrainians over the cold months. They could cause havoc on the Russian positions....

    • @daydays12
      @daydays12 Рік тому

      Will the allies supply them?

  • @edbartlerr1745
    @edbartlerr1745 Рік тому +1

    Great to hear a positive report on the situation in Ukraine. Keep up the good work in destroying these bullies

  • @hotrod7938
    @hotrod7938 Рік тому +2

    Bring in the airburst artillery 👍

  • @Maryanchyk
    @Maryanchyk Рік тому +21

    This is the first major 'good vs evil' was since WW2. Glory to Ukraine.

    • @jimduffield7822
      @jimduffield7822 Рік тому

      Why don't you go then big man.

    • @victoews6842
      @victoews6842 Рік тому +2

      Actually I agree and as a Canadian it's easy to see what's evil.
      I used to think American foreign policy was evil, (still do), but I always believed American foreign policy didn't reflect true American values. I'm wrestling with that and am currently undecided but getting close to changing my mind.
      In 1994 Tonya Harding (American figure skater) destroyed (broke her knee) Nancy Kerrigan because she couldn't win fairly. Was that an anomaly or is that how most Americans compete?
      That's exactly what America is doing with Russia, Europe, China, and virtually every small country they deal with. If America can't compete, it destroys.
      Everybody knows it and they silently support it. Remember when Pompeo bragged at a Texas A&M university that the CIA "we lie, we steal, we cheat,' ? Well that's not really news but what I found scary was how the entire audience laughed and applauded.
      Americans seem to support cheating and lying and destroying anyone who might succeed.
      Americans stopped their government in the Vietnam war. Why have Americans not stopped their government from the continuous regime change, invasions, sanctions, and proxy wars that kill and impoverish people every day?
      So either America is not a democracy or the majority of Americans are as evil as the CIA and their foreign policy.
      Master List of US Aggression
      By William Blum
      Instances of the United States overthrowing, or attempting to overthrow, a foreign government since the Second World War. (* indicates successful ouster of a government)
      China 1949 to early 1960s
      Albania 1949-53
      East Germany 1950s
      Iran 1953 *
      Guatemala 1954 *
      Costa Rica mid-1950s
      Syria 1956-7
      Egypt 1957
      Indonesia 1957-8
      British Guiana 1953-64 *
      Iraq 1963 *
      North Vietnam 1945-73
      Cambodia 1955-70 *
      Laos 1958 *, 1959 *, 1960 *
      Ecuador 1960-63 *
      Congo 1960 *
      France 1965
      Brazil 1962-64 *
      Dominican Republic 1963 *
      Cuba 1959 to present
      Bolivia 1964 *
      Indonesia 1965 *
      Ghana 1966 *
      Chile 1964-73 *
      Greece 1967 *
      Costa Rica 1970-71
      Bolivia 1971 *
      Australia 1973-75 *
      Angola 1975, 1980s
      Zaire 1975
      Portugal 1974-76 *
      Jamaica 1976-80 *
      Seychelles 1979-81
      Chad 1981-82 *
      Grenada 1983 *
      South Yemen 1982-84
      Suriname 1982-84
      Fiji 1987 *
      Libya 1980s
      Nicaragua 1981-90 *
      Panama 1989 *
      Bulgaria 1990 *
      Albania 1991 *
      Iraq 1991
      Afghanistan 1980s *
      Somalia 1993
      Yugoslavia 1999-2000 *
      Ecuador 2000 *
      Afghanistan 2001 *
      Venezuela 2002 *
      Iraq 2003 *
      Haiti *2004
      Somalia 2007 to present
      Honduras 2009 *
      Libya 2011 *
      Syria 2012
      Ukraine 2014 *
      Oh Yeah, Why does America need 863 military bases in 183 countries for "defense" the hypocrisy is mind boggling.

    • @jimduffield7822
      @jimduffield7822 Рік тому

      @@victoews6842 Trump didn't start any new wars and they rigged the election to get rid of him. That should tell you all you need to know about how things work.

    • @RideAcrossTheRiver
      @RideAcrossTheRiver Рік тому

      @@jimduffield7822 You're such a little weenie, Dmitry.

    • @RideAcrossTheRiver
      @RideAcrossTheRiver Рік тому +6

      @@victoews6842 You're not Canadian.

  • @darrenrambarran7788
    @darrenrambarran7788 Рік тому +6

    Gonna push them to a point they can't retreat without bombardment

    • @hamletksquid2702
      @hamletksquid2702 Рік тому +3

      And then stop and let them fight each other for a chance to get out.

  • @davidnisbet1911
    @davidnisbet1911 Рік тому +1

    Great, stay still, dig in, there's nothing like a stationary target.

  • @artkahn888
    @artkahn888 Рік тому +3

    It’s as simple as defending an invasion on home turf gives Ukraine a major advantage. 🙏🏻🇺🇸🇺🇦

  • @paulinedodson892
    @paulinedodson892 Рік тому +5

    Well done guys keep thinking of offensives to catch them out, give them what they deserve, the ones you have done have worked out well, we shall all be glad when they have gone for good , you all do well anyway but some how they keep coming back , you can only do what your weapons let you do but you will get there as as your very well organised as a team and work with each other very well, you are awesome with how you keep going every single day, day in day out, you are so dedicated, wonderful in all you do I just feel so sad for you all as it goes on and on, never stops to give you a break, one day they will run that fast never to see them again I hope you do not deserve it , to think this will be down in history books for children to talk about and at this time we are all watching you with how well you all did for your country, your people and your long hard slog , you are so awesome, r.Glory to Ukraine. Glory to Ukraine, bless you all, my awesome big beauties , take care love you all .

    • @luzr6613
      @luzr6613 Рік тому

      What a waste of pixels.

    • @pop1626
      @pop1626 Рік тому

      UKRAFASCIST

  • @AJayAnswersYou
    @AJayAnswersYou Рік тому +1

    Heard!

  • @theretiringbarber
    @theretiringbarber Рік тому

    Clarke is by far away the best .

  • @rickhicks2445
    @rickhicks2445 Рік тому +4

    Winter could account for more Russian soldiers than artillery.

  • @marilynrich3456
    @marilynrich3456 Рік тому +11

    Kherson is on the west side of the river, so they don't have to cross to the east side to surround Kherson.

    • @jacktrinder5668
      @jacktrinder5668 Рік тому +4

      they will if want to cross the dneiper river

    • @datbunneh3671
      @datbunneh3671 Рік тому +2

      Kherson is hugging the river. It can't be surrounded without crossing.

    • @danhudson4614
      @danhudson4614 Рік тому

      Russians are fleeing anyway; besides they been making light work of river crossings.

    • @snidecommenter7117
      @snidecommenter7117 Рік тому

      Kherson City is on the west side. Kherson Oblast is on both sides of the river.

    • @Giganfan2k1
      @Giganfan2k1 Рік тому

      At this point they may well be able to cross the river. If they can... F.
      Russia will be toast.
      Kherson probably doesn't need to be siege from both banks. However, if Ukraine gets a bridge head into East Kherson Oblast, they will be able to pincer the Kherson, and Zacharia fronts; effectively cutting off the land bridge, and supplies from Crimea. HIMARs will be able to hit Putin's bridge with impunity. They will push Russia back to the 2014 line.

  • @Fajita.tamale
    @Fajita.tamale Рік тому +8

    ‘It’s a jumping off point’- frank reynolds

  • @kasurottv5603
    @kasurottv5603 Рік тому

    Oh no

  • @daniel4960
    @daniel4960 Рік тому +2

    I will never get tired of Professor Clarke, please have more of his analyst on this war.

  • @TheBongReyes
    @TheBongReyes Рік тому +3

    I think the biggest difference in the north from February to now. Ukrainians have better defenses, surveillance, equipment & most of all battle-hardened troops deployed. I wouldn’t doubt that Ukrainian commanders have a mix of freshly trained troops & veterans from the Eastern & Southern Fronts. Every day.. more Ukrainians are gaining actually combat experience. More NATO-trained Ukrainians return. Those will passed down their training to others. Even more NATO weapons are in the hands of the defenders. Much different military that the Russians faced in February. And, the Russians lost their northern offensive then.

    • @snidecommenter7117
      @snidecommenter7117 Рік тому +1

      One of my uncles was in a special unit during WW2. After they took Italy, the unit was broken up and the men scattered throughout the army to share their knowledge and skill. They were very valuable.

  • @philmckay9973
    @philmckay9973 Рік тому +4

    Yes…Kherson directly is useless
    nova cuts off Kherson. And puts SE Kherson into direct play as well as Chrimea

  • @danutavram831
    @danutavram831 Рік тому +2

    I think that the attack to conquer the Kerson must be smart and slow without too many losses for the Ukrainians !

  • @vitalijstasiuk6601
    @vitalijstasiuk6601 Рік тому +8

    Ukraine needs anti-missile defence system and AIRCRAFT FIGHTERS and air defence system

    • @pop1626
      @pop1626 Рік тому

      @Greece drawns in a Russian Cesspool of lawlesness lol... that will cover 5 rockets out of the 200 a day russia's been launching..

    • @vitalijstasiuk6601
      @vitalijstasiuk6601 Рік тому

      @Greece drawns in a Russian Cesspool of lawlesness
      Thanks .
      But only 2 system....

    • @tessjuel
      @tessjuel Рік тому

      @@vitalijstasiuk6601 Not only two systems. The latest package according to RYBAR includes (I'm only listing the air defense stuff here)
      + From the UK: 100 AIM-120 missiles (that's one of the three missiles the NASAMS system can use)
      + From France: 12 Crotale missile launchers
      + From Germany: 15 Gepard self propelled anit-aircraft guns
      + Also from Germany: 24 Anti UAV systems
      + From Spain: 4 Hawk air defense systems
      + Also from Spain: 100 Stinger MANPADS

    • @tessjuel
      @tessjuel Рік тому

      @Greek Cesspool: KGB Rapists, Policemen, Priests. Ukraine has already received 30 Gepards from Germany and they have proven quite effective. This is a new batch.

    • @vitalijstasiuk6601
      @vitalijstasiuk6601 Рік тому

      @@tessjuel
      Thanks.
      24.02.2022 russia strike 160 misills.
      10.10.2022 over 80 misills.
      And 24 drone.
      Please help Ukraine.

  • @arnovriends5873
    @arnovriends5873 Рік тому +5

    Solid analysis as always.

    • @madsolsen9184
      @madsolsen9184 Рік тому +1

      Yes, but without much reallity. He is totally gone.

  • @timothyhowie6171
    @timothyhowie6171 Рік тому

    Good report

  • @mauroarantes9407
    @mauroarantes9407 Рік тому

    VERY GOOD VIDEO..

  • @specialk5070
    @specialk5070 Рік тому +3

    I think ur wrong respectively sir, I’m thinking winter offensive to keep Russians off balance. Like Patton “ Attack! Attack! Attack! “

    • @roymichaeldeanable
      @roymichaeldeanable Рік тому

      He has no clue
      His ideas are 50 year old with a large Army
      Ukraine is making better use of men and munitions

    • @davidford3115
      @davidford3115 Рік тому +1

      Agreed. The Soviet Red Army made its greatest gains against the Wehrmacht during the winter months. I suspect Ukraine will also enjoy that favor from General Frost.

  • @pulentoman2083
    @pulentoman2083 Рік тому +5

    Digging in... with that lousy logistics... yeah, right... good luck mr russian... digg in with no food and ammo deliveries... 😆

  • @mikker29y
    @mikker29y Рік тому +2

    Offensives are still possible in Winter when the ground freezes.
    Attacking in Winter will often catch the enemy off guard as they are not expecting it.

    • @snidecommenter7117
      @snidecommenter7117 Рік тому +1

      Canada took Vimy Ridge in the middle of a snow storm.

    • @davidford3115
      @davidford3115 Рік тому +1

      Marshall Mud has not slowed down the Ukrainians, so if that is any indication, shows General Frost may favor Ukraine. And since the Canadians and Norwegians have been sending winter gear since August, that puts Ukraine in a VERY good position as contrasted with Russia and its lack of proper gear.

  • @emilioalcazar4170
    @emilioalcazar4170 Рік тому +2

    Very well exposed and clear the situation and possible advances of both bands,thanks

  • @JoaoSoares-rs6ec
    @JoaoSoares-rs6ec Рік тому +9

    The shovel was always the main tool of a soldier

    • @Moggy471
      @Moggy471 Рік тому

      Vikings? :)

    • @JoaoSoares-rs6ec
      @JoaoSoares-rs6ec Рік тому

      @@Moggy471 and

    • @Moggy471
      @Moggy471 Рік тому

      ​@@JoaoSoares-rs6ec Vikings hardly ever used shovels in battle.

    • @JoaoSoares-rs6ec
      @JoaoSoares-rs6ec Рік тому

      @@Moggy471 who said anything about battle, I said tools, not weapons, yes sometimes they are both,

    • @Burkutace27
      @Burkutace27 Рік тому

      @@Moggy471 If you're just raiding and looting, sure.
      Any force with ambitions to take and hold territory needs shovels.

  • @robbieturner3636
    @robbieturner3636 Рік тому +3

    Ukraine does have a large force in the North West that just finished conducting a training exercise code named Northern Storm in preparation for a possible attack from Belarus. Another 10,000 troops finished training in the UK and are headed back. a group that could help bolster the Ukrainian army in the north or switch out front line units at the current front who can then rest in the North West until Russia decides to attack from there.

    • @josetoledorivera5208
      @josetoledorivera5208 Рік тому +1

      👍👍👍👍✝✝

    • @luzr6613
      @luzr6613 Рік тому +2

      True. It's a good thing having this nonsense to cover-off on in the north. Gives the Ukrainians somewhere to rotate to for a rest.

    • @daydays12
      @daydays12 Рік тому

      @@luzr6613 Nice one!!! I like the positive spin!

  • @BlueBull2604
    @BlueBull2604 Рік тому

    Pootin: "Thank you for the information and analysis. It will help us prepare."

  • @shinebright0795
    @shinebright0795 Рік тому +1

    👏👏👏👏👏👏👏👏👏👏👏

  • @Roger-go6jc
    @Roger-go6jc Рік тому +4

    It will be interesting to see if the Ukrainians wait for Spring. With Russian morale so low, poor training and poor supply of essentials like winter gear, equipment and food, and then digging in, it is going to be monumentally tough on the Russian soldier.
    And with all the new precision long range artillery Ukraine have at their disposal now, this could turn into a nightmare for Russia, or a mass surrender.

    • @davidford3115
      @davidford3115 Рік тому

      Canada and Norway have been sending winter gear since August. That puts Ukraine in a good position to exploit the cold, unlike the Russians who don't have proper gear for even summer/fall.

    • @user1qaz2wsx3edc
      @user1qaz2wsx3edc Рік тому

      @@davidford3115
      Send underwear to ukraine soldiers because they are craping in their pants.

  • @gilbertroberttuahuru4715
    @gilbertroberttuahuru4715 Рік тому +6

    Glory to Ukraine and her soldiers, keep up the good 👍 work Ukraine soldiers keep up the pressure on Putin and his army glory to Ukraine and her people God 🙏 bless you all.

  • @msmith6713
    @msmith6713 Рік тому +2

    This is an interesting video, you are the first person I have seen to pre-pose the bridge at the Nova kakhovka dam be used to cross and encircle the Russians in Kherson. I like history not combat!

  • @danrook5757
    @danrook5757 Рік тому

    It’s like moving into your neighbors yard and not moving out. Then u decide to dig in

  • @jeffreyschwarz3699
    @jeffreyschwarz3699 Рік тому +16

    In the Russian army they teach you to flee with confidence.

  • @ilamamainuuoti
    @ilamamainuuoti Рік тому +9

    Slava Ukraine 🇺🇦 ♥️ people 🇺🇦 their Army 🇺🇦 troops 🇺🇦 and thier Government. God bless Ukraine 🇺🇦 🙏 ❤️ 🙌 ♥️.

  • @davidreynoso8593
    @davidreynoso8593 Рік тому

    WELL Done Ukraine God Bless

  • @snowflakeismelting
    @snowflakeismelting Рік тому

    Well done, Ukraine!

  • @black__bread
    @black__bread Рік тому +3

    Difficult to reconcile the comments made in the video wth the Ukrainian gains being made every day, sure the rate varies, but 'repositioning' doesn't really capture what's going on. Indeed, it's quite easy to envisage large elements of a Russian army increasingly reliant on the 1000s of poorly/un-trained, poorly equipped conscripts now being rushed into Ukraine to spend an entire winter living in trenches simply collapsing e.g. compare/contrast Ukraine receiving 100s of 1000s of winter uniforms with Russia discovering 1.5 million of theirs had gone "missing". Moreover, now Russia has ground it's way thru conscripts from the separatist regions, the actual Russian-Russian bodycount is going to race up with all that potentially means for domestic politics.

    • @stephennewton2777
      @stephennewton2777 Рік тому

      @Greece drawns in a Russian Cesspool of lawlesness Ah, so that’s todays thread is it?
      I’m not too sure that The Kremlin is willing to commit suicide just yet, as they are still trying to chase down civilians and tampons to send into Ukraine.

  • @karimehbeauchair8378
    @karimehbeauchair8378 Рік тому +4

    Me gustarían tus videos con subtitulos en Castellano. Gracias.

  • @raul1899
    @raul1899 Рік тому

    It's time to push hard then.

  • @thilomanten8701
    @thilomanten8701 Рік тому

    They are giving you time to grind them down one by one.

  • @tomgrantham9992
    @tomgrantham9992 Рік тому +6

    Good Job 🇺🇦

  • @JelMain
    @JelMain Рік тому +3

    Sorry, Prof, didn't you notice the new Ukrainian symbol's a take on the SAS? Their strategy's not one of winter quarters, they've set up a cascading series of dominoes aimed at Tokmak, with the entire supply line to the Crimea reduced to the coast road, air and ship.

    • @davidford3115
      @davidford3115 Рік тому

      Indeed. It is as if they forgot that the Soviet Red Army made its greatest advances against the Wehrmacht during the winter. With all of the cold weather gear Canada and Norway have sent, I see Ukraine doing the same.

  • @richardsmith1707
    @richardsmith1707 Рік тому

    Smallest point, blow it up.

  • @minadeguzman6424
    @minadeguzman6424 Рік тому

    Victory, strength and justice for Ukraine!

  • @jayyarbrough9902
    @jayyarbrough9902 Рік тому +3

    I think Russia is just trying to hold out, praying for a Republican Congress.

  • @vitalijstasiuk6601
    @vitalijstasiuk6601 Рік тому +5

    God protect Ukraine.

    • @daydays12
      @daydays12 Рік тому

      I'd prefer to count on Ukraine's allies to do that rather than an extremely inactive god.

  • @bigdaddyrat7854
    @bigdaddyrat7854 Рік тому

    Does the Dnipro freeze hard enough for road traffic.

    • @snidecommenter7117
      @snidecommenter7117 Рік тому

      With a cold winter if freezes hard enough for light cars but not heavy vehicles. So a light force could push across to secure a bridgehead, and then have something heavier to put over the ice for bigger vehicles. Maybe. I'm not an engineer.