@@WeebUnionWU That's just Russian propaganda. Everyone knows that Weeb's counter offensive of videos released 40 videos within 6 hours. Suryakmaps reported on it. Russia also launched 80 videos trying to attack Weeb's counter offensive, but they were all shot down with copyright strikes.
Honestly this might work out for Russia. The point of the Sumy offensive would simply be to expand the front and divert UAF troops away from the east. Territory is not their goal. The UAF just left their well fortified positions to take up defensive positions in small Russian villages and open fields, which means they’ll take higher casualties defending them than they would in their original positions. Pair that with the fact that the UAF is closer to Russian artillery and logisitic hubs, and we can expect this to grind away Ukrainian troops just as the Russians intended-even if the UAF manages to keep the territory.
If the Russians were planning an offensive of their own against the Sumi oblast, that means they must have significant troop concentrations in the area. Which means that once the Russians regroup, the Ukrainians are going to either have to withdraw or be decimated. I still fail to see how this was anything but a terrible waste of men and materiel.
If... There is no evidence for such claims whatsoever. If something, there is evidence to the contrary. Russia moved specops from the Moscow region in an attempt to fend of the advance. It is Balaklia 2.0, albeit on a smaller scale.
@@RomanShein1978 It's not even close to balaklia. The advancement have already been slowed down with the arrival of reserves that they had in the rear of Kursk city, there are a shit ton of videos of equipment getting destroyed in the crossing of the border, aviation works 24/7. This operation is utter stupidity, what is happening there have 0 effects in Donbass and it's just giving more justification for Russia, meanwhile Pokrovsk which is one of the most important cities for supplying UA is getting more and more endangered due to lack of manpower.
@@formersomethingsomething3273 But this correlates with the situation, contract soldier aren't kept in the border , that's the task of the conscripts which are equipped to contain sabotage troops. Nobody expected such operation.
>keep losing your most fortified zones in the main part of the front; are already overstretched,undermanned and underequipped >expand the frontline trying to take territory you can't possibly hold while reducing available reserves and elite units needed for local counter attacks on the main axis, destroying capacity in the long run while Russia won't have to divert any troops from their main axes of attack what do we call this strategy?
I honestly feel it was a bad mistake on Ukraine to go into Russia because that will get the Russians more mad and make them actually want to fight and it reminds me of the battle of the bulge the beginning of the end
The worst part is that they're getting 0 benefits from that, not only they overextended even more their frontlines but also couldn't force Russia to move a single soldier from Donbass. I legit can't believe they just decided to do that lmfao, it's tbh one of the biggest WTF moments of this war in my opinion.
@@henriqueferreira5165 Could be but that's Just too far from the border, for such operation they'd need massive advantage in both Air superiority and manpower to not just capture but also hold such territory.
@@georgekaradov1274 They missed the conclusion. Despite initial successes, the offensive ultimately failed due to the determined resistance of the Enemy forces and the rapid mobilization of reinforcements.
Ukrainians will keep advancing for a week or less until Russia readies it's huge reserves in the back. Ukraine will likely capture a few more villages on the border but by then Russian reserves would have reached the border and then they will counter attack. Ukraine should have used it's reserves to plug the gaps at Avdivka sector where Ukrainian villages are falling everyday and Russia is few kilometres from Pokrovsk but instead it used them to open a new front in Russia even though it has manpower issues and Russia wouldn't rotate it's troops from Donbass because it already has enough reserves in Russia to fight against Ukrainian troops in Kursk sector. As far as I think Ukraine made a huge gamble
@@manofthepeople2165yeah but Putin ain’t negotiating until he reclaims all off Russia and gains a foothold in Sumy. Russia ultimate position is everything east of the river and Odessa. Rest of Ukriane do what you want economically but military you will be neutral with no standing army
They can't hold anywhere else along the lines what makes you think they hold this . Unless the talks start within 2 weeks these are dead men walking scenario
@@RomanShein1978It wouldn't be so successful if Ukrainians met Russian army by the border. Conscripts were situated there just to observe border and fight with small sabotage groups if entered. Ukrainian recon group worked well in this region.
Nah, the Russians were caught napping on this one. Putin wasn't too pleased when Gerasimov was telling him fairytales about how all the Ukranian forces are routed and kicked out.
There is no kill pocket, everything on the Russian side is unorganized because of Russian troops surrendering and Ukraine advancing with high intensity and now there has been reports of a Russian Ka-52 that committed friendly fire on 4-5 Russian vehicles. What makes me question is that how the Russian intelligence services didn't know about Ukraine building up a significant amount of troops and vehicles on the border with Kursk.
The problem is that Russia had never intended to occupy Ukraine’s own territories, but aimed for Donetsk and Lugansk. While this might look like a great move by Ukraine, it was actually a bad decision for them since Russia now have all the reasons in the world to occupy Ukraine. The situation has turned into a all out war.
@@OXY187 no lol, Russian leadership has made it very clear it has no intention of turning this into a full scale war. I very very very strongly doubt much will come from this. The war will drag on for many many many years.
Ahhh so the annexation of Kherson and Zaporozhye happened by accident did it? They would've annexed Kharkov too if they hadn't been forced to bravely run away.
@OXY187 russia wants all of ukraine not just part of it. if they get it they will move on to the next country beside Ukraine that they tried to take over the government. putin has gone nuts and wants more and doesn't care how many men he losses in the process.
Damn Ukraine war looks like the wars from Age of history (civilizations) 2 where the AI goes nuts when its losing and attack your undefended provinces with a small army while you are chasing them with a huge army
Waiiiiiiiit!!!!! I know what happened... Zelensky got his hands on the Art of War and took the meaning of "Fight the enemy where they aren't" a bit too literally. 😂
Amazing Analysis weeb as alway very neutral and unbiased, I can't be the only one who is greatly surprised by the Ukrainian Offensive into Kursk but if it was meant to stop the Russian Pokrovsk offensive, it is certainly not succeeding.
In other words, they sent out their most well prepared troops and only reserves in an operation which will GUARANTEE the heaviest possible losses for them, for no strategic gain? xD
It's not the mic, it's the room throw up a few blankets, should sort it out. I find it a bit distracting also from otherwise great content. Thanks weeb.
Imagine a debt where you get an eviction notice. First thing you do is take a vacation in a hotel for 7 days with your last money. This is what Ukraine does, if they new about this offensive then, they were supposed to wait for the main core of attack and try to destroy them. Instead they are taking villages and spreading their forces thin. Not to mention their obvious needs in Donetsk section. Very bad decision !
Ukrainians played this one very well. Assumptions lead to disasters 🧐 Next time the Russians will probably not advertise their mines removals... 🤷 Good lesson.
There is a tendency in what I would call "reliable" channels to over hype the successes of the Ukrainians in the Kursk region. We have roughly 2000 Ukrainians in what is supposed to be 300km² "under Ukrainian control"... That's 7 soldiers per km² !! Give me a break please.
Very unlikely. There was no evacuation of civilians, the conscripts were trapped in the fighting. It seems that the Russian intelligence has failed once again and they were caught off guard. The offensive doesn't pose major danger but in terms of PR it's a failure for the Russian authorities. That's what probably Ukrainians aimed at. In this war they do the main share of PR and propaganda.
Wagner just arrived there alongside other forces. Soon Ukraine will regret big time. Also Sudza is not taken, mostly drg forces. They cant pull forces because aviation has started working very tightly. Ukraine also has no logistical capacity, they will face severe loses and this just has angered the russians alot more. Now the nation is waking up more and more. Plays in russia hands.
This seems a sound video with an objective analysis of what is happening. In a few days we'll see how this will evolve. For sure as of today it has been useful for the propaganda of both ukraine and russia....
@@ashleyhall5347 Yes, it probably will. At the same time it will probably decrease the public confidence in the competence of the military. So what will be the bottom line? Will it lead to more people volunteering for the military? Because otherwise, support was sufficiently high for the political aspect.
@@allydea Depends whether Ukraine can keep it or not. Time will tell but I suspect they won't be able to. If public support was good then Ukranians popping up in your back garden and driving around your street in American made vehicles only makes it increase. No negative that I can see for further support from the public.
اللهم صل و سلم على سيدنا محمد و على اله و صحبه اجمعين اللهم انصر اخواننا في غزة العزة و الكرامه و اهلنا في اليمن الحبيب فلا ناصر لهم الا انت سبحانك اني كنت من الظالمين اللهم استعملنا و لا تستبدلنا يا الله
Ну вот это уже ближе к теме... Если всу не удастся вырваться из низины... а шансов на это не много... их перестреляют, как в тире... И да... русские не будут перебрасывать солдат с других направлений, потому что там и так есть группировка для похода на Сумы... и она превышает группировку всу...
I've been following you for two years now. Currently, I really wish that you would focus more on what has and is actually happening instead of surmising what the intent of the different parties are and what they will do next.
You are making sense of this. Very helpful. And especially to learn about the blue and yellow bands, and the view of the soldiers on the eastern front. And thanks too for the timestamps. Good work
There's a pretty big river next to Korenevo that has three bridges between Korenevo and the international border. If Ukraine can take Korenevo and mine the 3 bridges it might simplify their defense of the Sumy region and actually free up manpower for use in other areas.
The idea isn't to win/hold any territory but more like to create headaches and fear. If they can go in easily, they can go out easily as well, while creating ruins when they retreat. You can't remove mines just to let your enemy go into your area undefended. It's definitely a blunder, especially for the villagers.
To your final comment: for the high command it's all about concentration of force, it may become obvious that reinforcing certain areas is pointless, because the enemy has overwhelming superiority, while using some forces in other areas is useful because the enemy is weak there. This is basic military theory and the high command does not need to "explain" anything to the troops (not in principle at least), what they have to do is to get results, victories, preferably decisive ones.
@@RomanShein1978 for me it's when i usw my gaming headset on the PC. Cant hear it on phone. We just say it so the creator is aware of it. I dont care too much about it, it's just 10 min videos
L'armée ukrainienne à Koursk s'avance seule dans un piège qu'elle a créé elle-même.Tous les soldats de cette opération sont condamnés.Ce genre de diversion est bien connue des joueurs d'échecs , il ne change jamais le résultat final.Un coup médiatique qui va coûter très cher à l'armée ukrainienne.
After 2 years following this civil war*, I can tell you are the best channel to find real and strong information about this. Also, no bias helps. Great job mate 👏👏👏 I hope this terrible war ends quickly and real Ukrainians (not western banderists) come back to their sense with regards to their brothers in the East... They should know WE, in the West, don't give a damn 😈 about them... Sorry guys! * Been following channels like History Legend, Military summary and the Aussie pro Ukrainians / army guy. All good in a way or another but no one else than you is as concise, with great insight into strategy and reliable information. 👏👏👏
Is there a possibility that Russia wanted to bait Ukraine on their territory to have the argument now, that it's a 'provocation', which then leads to a justification of larger attacks in return? We also know that the attacking side tends to lose more troops and equipment, so considering that Ukraine already was struggling to support the southern front lines, isn't this then also an opportunity for Russia to weaken Ukraine more? As you reported, they are mainly fighting border guards on the ground, while it's Russian airforce and artillery that causes the main damage. We already saw many damaged vehicles, equipment that of course can't be send to reinforce the south.
This is just like the Battle of the Bulge in World War II, the Germans were trapped on all sides, by British, American and Soviet forces and they wanted to break-out of the encirclement, so they deployed all their remaining Armour. Yes, American forces were captured in the Arden's, but the British, under Montgomery, quickly surrounded the Germans and destroyed their Armour. The affect of all this was to leave Berlin without strategic reserves to defend Berlin and the Soviet forces rode straight into Berlin.
The Russian counter offensive or rush of reinforcements might not be that rapid. This is a pretty significant assault by the Ukrainians with their best troops and a lot of equipment with the forces the Russians would have been preparing for something like a repeat of the Kursk operation in Sumy their prepared forces might not be sufficient for that since last time they used a very limited force that absolutely overran an under defended portion of the border. If they send that force up against a significant concentration of Ukraine's best forces operating under the cover of a decent degree of air defence to limit the effect of Russian aviation they might not be able to do much beyond establishing a new front line. Potentially Russia will trade space for time to gather a more forces for a larger counter offensive letting the Ukrainians chew through their supplies, extend their lines and spread their forces to cover a wider front in the meantime to maintain a degree of fluidity in the area so the Ukrainians aren't tempted to start digging in. It might be a few more days before the Russians can effectively respond, maybe a week. I don't see it taking much longer than that.
I had seen some map analysis, but the offensive and the success of it didn't make sense. But Weeb supplies some big picture information that explains why the Ukrainians attacked. But as he suggests, it still looks like a bad idea that will turn out to be negative for any effect on the outcome of the war.
I russi, da buoni giocatori di scacchi, muovono bene le loro pedine e si apprestano a fare scacco matto nella regione di Sumi. Complimenti al canale dall'Italia
You were talking about their preparations to take Orlivka and it made me think i was crazy because you had talked about them having taken that town in the past already. Then i saw there are TWO Orlivkas. Why are there two?! And so close together?!
Yeah, was wondering that in one of your last videos... psychologically it makes sense for the soldiers struggling and losing for month on the east to look at this display of force and go "what the hell?" While success elsewhere might inspire some, I wouldn't be surprised if there are others who feel more betrayed and go "F* that, I quit", time will tell.
As military analyst, how many brigades would Ukraine need to continue/keep their advances? Some say they have 2 - 4. Is number of brigades even the most important factor in this?
I wonder why there is such a disparity between pro-Ukrainian and pro-Russian sources on the situation. One side is silent(DeepState), the other reports of a catastrophic situation(Rybar). I feel like there are mind-games being played by both sides here. Will wait until there are more geolocations to make a fair conclusion.
they maybe pulled out a lot of eastern troops and then transferred for the kursk offensive (and maybe trying to open more offensives) months ago, that was why some places like progress, niu york front there were almost no troops there, so you could maybe see more than 100-300k troops already at sumy region instead. this is basically double banzai charge, let donesk crumble but potentially getting kursk and more other oblasts if ru didnt react swiftly. this is copium take though
All this begs the question: What has the Russian air force been doing in terms of protecting Russian territory by attacking the Ukrainian forces in the Kursk region? And, Weeb, how do you now view your previous statement that this Kursk offensive by Ukraine is likely related to Ukraine getting F-16's? What exactly were you implying, and do you still give credence to that hypothesis?
Does Russia still have soldiers holding positions in and around those two towns north of Kharkiv? I see little bits of red, but you didn’t mention anything regarding them.
This is a very smart move by Ukraine either with or without western support. One is they took advantage of Russian mine cleaning operation and the secondly, once the main bulk of the Russian units engage the UAF in the region their locations will be known which Ukraine can bomb using all kinds of weapons. This could be really damaging to Russians
It really doesn't matter what ukros do ... See what's really happening, Lancet is the new king of Kursk! And another minor and unimportant detail.. Starlink doesn't work on the territory of the Kursk region..
Starlink doesn't work on the territory of the Kursk region.. - I wouldn't be so sure. So far all we know is that the Russian communication network in the OA is down.
Why do you only post the Ukrainian achievements, which in my opinion are exaggerated. And you do not show the Russian defense, which according to Shoigu, has already shot down 290 soldiers and 40 offensive vehicles. In practice there is a battle of recovery of Russia, but you do not mention anything about it?
Yesterday you claimed that it was a bold move by the Ukrainians using armoured vehicles on a large scale which should be applauded. You also said the Russians should take a leaf out of their book, because, in your opinion, the Russians are overly cautious and too casualty averse, or something to that effect. In view of the facts that you tell us now (purely an opportunistic move by Ukraine due to favourable conditions ); do you still stand by your statement of yesterday?
@@danielc9967 Typical prophets of war that doesn't see anything besides Tik-Tok vids and drone footages plus whistles from afar Military Summary Channel and Weeb are making competition in terms of who is collecting more unreliable sources
@weebunionWu where do you have seen a war when one part cannot strike airfields, logistics inside the foe's country, Russia can hit wherever they want and fight this war as they like, believe me that if Russia would have been striked earlier russia wouldnt stand a chance, they pour infantry and dont mind casulties, for Russia lives do not count and the glide bombs which russia is allowed to lunch cause of the stupid policy of salivan, believe me is not russia that is strong, is ucraine that until now has not been allowed to fight a war as it shoulb be fought
@@formersomethingsomething3273 The Russians have Brigades stationed in the Russian military districts north of Ukraine... There is really no need for them to redeploy any of their Brigades in East Ukraine... At worst, a few Battalions held in reserve in the Kharkiv Front will be pulled.
Weeb's counter-offensive: 4 videos in one day.
25 hours between first and last video actually
@@WeebUnionWU haiya ... Just agree to the man weeb sir 😅🙏
@@WeebUnionWU That's just Russian propaganda. Everyone knows that Weeb's counter offensive of videos released 40 videos within 6 hours. Suryakmaps reported on it. Russia also launched 80 videos trying to attack Weeb's counter offensive, but they were all shot down with copyright strikes.
Suryak is not god , no Ukraine flag here no video , no photo just Suryak …
Basically both forces are in 69 position...
Giggity
@@Extra-Celestial7 quality comment
Very true😎
wow
They were in that position since the 2022
Honestly this might work out for Russia. The point of the Sumy offensive would simply be to expand the front and divert UAF troops away from the east. Territory is not their goal. The UAF just left their well fortified positions to take up defensive positions in small Russian villages and open fields, which means they’ll take higher casualties defending them than they would in their original positions. Pair that with the fact that the UAF is closer to Russian artillery and logisitic hubs, and we can expect this to grind away Ukrainian troops just as the Russians intended-even if the UAF manages to keep the territory.
If the Russians were planning an offensive of their own against the Sumi oblast, that means they must have significant troop concentrations in the area. Which means that once the Russians regroup, the Ukrainians are going to either have to withdraw or be decimated.
I still fail to see how this was anything but a terrible waste of men and materiel.
If... There is no evidence for such claims whatsoever. If something, there is evidence to the contrary. Russia moved specops from the Moscow region in an attempt to fend of the advance. It is Balaklia 2.0, albeit on a smaller scale.
@@RomanShein1978 It's not even close to balaklia. The advancement have already been slowed down with the arrival of reserves that they had in the rear of Kursk city, there are a shit ton of videos of equipment getting destroyed in the crossing of the border, aviation works 24/7.
This operation is utter stupidity, what is happening there have 0 effects in Donbass and it's just giving more justification for Russia, meanwhile Pokrovsk which is one of the most important cities for supplying UA is getting more and more endangered due to lack of manpower.
So why are UAF arresting conscripts and not contract soldiers in Kursk oblast? You are talking right out of your ass xD
@@formersomethingsomething3273 Even if there are not, the Russian aviation and artillery alone are already making this insanely costly.
@@formersomethingsomething3273 But this correlates with the situation, contract soldier aren't kept in the border , that's the task of the conscripts which are equipped to contain sabotage troops.
Nobody expected such operation.
>keep losing your most fortified zones in the main part of the front; are already overstretched,undermanned and underequipped
>expand the frontline trying to take territory you can't possibly hold while reducing available reserves and elite units needed for local counter attacks on the main axis, destroying capacity in the long run while Russia won't have to divert any troops from their main axes of attack
what do we call this strategy?
A media offensive ?
I honestly feel it was a bad mistake on Ukraine to go into Russia because that will get the Russians more mad and make them actually want to fight and it reminds me of the battle of the bulge the beginning of the end
What would a Mad Russia do ? Invade Ukraine ?
The worst part is that they're getting 0 benefits from that, not only they overextended even more their frontlines but also couldn't force Russia to move a single soldier from Donbass. I legit can't believe they just decided to do that lmfao, it's tbh one of the biggest WTF moments of this war in my opinion.
@@francoarca2122 Trying to capture the nuclear power plant possibly
@@henriqueferreira5165 Could be but that's Just too far from the border, for such operation they'd need massive advantage in both Air superiority and manpower to not just capture but also hold such territory.
It looks like there's so many experienced soldiers here, who fought at Bulge and knows what outcome will be of this Kursk region offensive. 🤔
Great analysis, thank you Weeb
When you cannot re-claim your own territory, you take your opponent's territory...
The Art of War by Sun Tzu
But apparently the Ukrainians have not read the rest of the book...
@@georgekaradov1274 They missed the conclusion. Despite initial successes, the offensive ultimately failed due to the determined resistance of the Enemy forces and the rapid mobilization of reinforcements.
😂😂
"If American elections are soon, you must do a PR stunt to get more weapons" - Art of War, Sun Tzu
@@georgekaradov1274 Lol 😂
So... your lines are buckling, there's multiple breakthroughs, and you decide to open a new front against an enemy with more soldiers?
Ukrainians will keep advancing for a week or less until Russia readies it's huge reserves in the back. Ukraine will likely capture a few more villages on the border but by then Russian reserves would have reached the border and then they will counter attack. Ukraine should have used it's reserves to plug the gaps at Avdivka sector where Ukrainian villages are falling everyday and Russia is few kilometres from Pokrovsk but instead it used them to open a new front in Russia even though it has manpower issues and Russia wouldn't rotate it's troops from Donbass because it already has enough reserves in Russia to fight against Ukrainian troops in Kursk sector. As far as I think Ukraine made a huge gamble
Ukraine is already planning on giving up Donbas in the peace negotiations. This gives them a huge bargaining chip
No logistics, no hope. How will they sustain this incursion?
@@manofthepeople2165yeah but Putin ain’t negotiating until he reclaims all off Russia and gains a foothold in Sumy. Russia ultimate position is everything east of the river and Odessa. Rest of Ukriane do what you want economically but military you will be neutral with no standing army
@@manofthepeople2165In no world is this a bargaining chip. Putin either annihilates the troops there or they pullout unconditionally.
They can't hold anywhere else along the lines what makes you think they hold this . Unless the talks start within 2 weeks these are dead men walking scenario
so approximately ukraine now has 0.00117 % of russian territory and conversely russia has 20% of ukraine territory
Or we can say:"Ukraine captured in 2 days more territory than Russia captured during the whole previous year".
@@RomanShein1978It wouldn't be so successful if Ukrainians met Russian army by the border. Conscripts were situated there just to observe border and fight with small sabotage groups if entered. Ukrainian recon group worked well in this region.
@@RomanShein1978 cope very hard boy
Rosja tylko traci, Ukrainę po 90-tych latach, obecnie kilkanaście wsi i miasto.
@@RomanShein1978 If they can hold it. If not, this is going to be a complete waste of men, vehicles and equipment.
So…AFU walked themselves right into a kill pocket. Krynky and Robotyne all over again.
Nah, the Russians were caught napping on this one. Putin wasn't too pleased when Gerasimov was telling him fairytales about how all the Ukranian forces are routed and kicked out.
Krynky²
There is no kill pocket, everything on the Russian side is unorganized because of Russian troops surrendering and Ukraine advancing with high intensity and now there has been reports of a Russian Ka-52 that committed friendly fire on 4-5 Russian vehicles. What makes me question is that how the Russian intelligence services didn't know about Ukraine building up a significant amount of troops and vehicles on the border with Kursk.
@@thiefsleef6752Spreading Bs 🤡
@@ruin8891 it’s not bs, it’s reality
Russian leniency on Ukraine is being challenged...
Putin and his general have been expecting this for months. this is like the game of chess and Russian is one of the best.
The problem is that Russia had never intended to occupy Ukraine’s own territories, but aimed for Donetsk and Lugansk. While this might look like a great move by Ukraine, it was actually a bad decision for them since Russia now have all the reasons in the world to occupy Ukraine. The situation has turned into a all out war.
@@OXY187 no lol, Russian leadership has made it very clear it has no intention of turning this into a full scale war. I very very very strongly doubt much will come from this. The war will drag on for many many many years.
R. is already using everything in U.
Nothing will change, because R. has nothing with which to escalate the war in U.
Ahhh so the annexation of Kherson and Zaporozhye happened by accident did it? They would've annexed Kharkov too if they hadn't been forced to bravely run away.
@OXY187 russia wants all of ukraine not just part of it. if they get it they will move on to the next country beside Ukraine that they tried to take over the government. putin has gone nuts and wants more and doesn't care how many men he losses in the process.
“Russia never intended to occupy Ukraine‘s own territories“ 😂😂😂
Big brain time, I see
I like you because you explain everything and aren't bias to any side
Damn Ukraine war looks like the wars from Age of history (civilizations) 2 where the AI goes nuts when its losing and attack your undefended provinces with a small army while you are chasing them with a huge army
I really appreciate the effort of putting time stamps!
Love that quote from the Ukrainian soldier in the eastern sector “betrayal from all sides”
Waiiiiiiiit!!!!! I know what happened... Zelensky got his hands on the Art of War and took the meaning of "Fight the enemy where they aren't" a bit too literally. 😂
Amazing Analysis weeb as alway very neutral and unbiased, I can't be the only one who is greatly surprised by the Ukrainian Offensive into Kursk but if it was meant to stop the Russian Pokrovsk offensive, it is certainly not succeeding.
In other words, they sent out their most well prepared troops and only reserves in an operation which will GUARANTEE the heaviest possible losses for them, for no strategic gain? xD
Sumy is the new Ardennes
Man, your microphone gets worse with each video. Strong "bucket" echo.
It's not the mic, it's the room throw up a few blankets, should sort it out.
I find it a bit distracting also from otherwise great content.
Thanks weeb.
Agree, there's some issue with microphone, echo and vibrations
@@colinmcdonagh4705 more likely the issue with mic holder, might require a spider holder. But maybe it's just a cheap 2$ micro, they're all awful
Sounds like he's at the bottom of well. ATROCIOUS
@@colinmcdonagh4705 A good lavalier mic doesn't care about room size.
Imagine a debt where you get an eviction notice. First thing you do is take a vacation in a hotel for 7 days with your last money. This is what Ukraine does, if they new about this offensive then, they were supposed to wait for the main core of attack and try to destroy them. Instead they are taking villages and spreading their forces thin. Not to mention their obvious needs in Donetsk section. Very bad decision !
Ukrainians played this one very well. Assumptions lead to disasters 🧐
Next time the Russians will probably not advertise their mines removals... 🤷
Good lesson.
There is a tendency in what I would call "reliable" channels to over hype the successes of the Ukrainians in the Kursk region. We have roughly 2000 Ukrainians in what is supposed to be 300km² "under Ukrainian control"... That's 7 soldiers per km² !! Give me a break please.
100%
Just finished the other video and this comes out lol
That's why I unsubscribed. He has zero credibility at this point.
@@tomraskwdym?
@@tomrask What the hex?!
@@tomraskZero credibility... Are you serious? Why don't you put your own effort and let audience see your work.
Seem like Russia allow them to enter as far as posible and just attack the logistic until 1 week.
Makes sense, maybe they want UAf to be perceived as aggressors and lose their western support
Cope
Doubt that but it's still embarrassing, if anything this proves Ukraine still has manpower regardless of how they get them or mobilize them
Very unlikely. There was no evacuation of civilians, the conscripts were trapped in the fighting. It seems that the Russian intelligence has failed once again and they were caught off guard.
The offensive doesn't pose major danger but in terms of PR it's a failure for the Russian authorities. That's what probably Ukrainians aimed at. In this war they do the main share of PR and propaganda.
It's Nato USA @@OrtonHeadXIV
I love the fact that you add chapters to the video. Thanks Weeb!
The only sane mil analyst on yt. Thanks for your work
Wagner just arrived there alongside other forces. Soon Ukraine will regret big time. Also Sudza is not taken, mostly drg forces. They cant pull forces because aviation has started working very tightly. Ukraine also has no logistical capacity, they will face severe loses and this just has angered the russians alot more. Now the nation is waking up more and more. Plays in russia hands.
It's like hamas occupying Israel settlements😅
Indeed
Except Hamas didn’t have tanks , F-16s, Himars and air defenses
American Will think this Is their new York
Niu York wasn't even mentioned in this video. Way to prove that you commented before even watching it, bot.
UA wants to hide quick loss of niu york lol
No. We are not as dumb as you like to think we are.
@@juliensorel5535 I can confirm: not all ... :o}
Russia was desperate to take it by 4th July for obvious sad reasons. They still haven't managed to take it
This seems a sound video with an objective analysis of what is happening. In a few days we'll see how this will evolve. For sure as of today it has been useful for the propaganda of both ukraine and russia....
How has it been useful for Russian propaganda?
@@allydeaIt may increase Russian public support for the military operation in Ukraine.
@@ashleyhall5347exactly just that
@@ashleyhall5347 Yes, it probably will. At the same time it will probably decrease the public confidence in the competence of the military.
So what will be the bottom line? Will it lead to more people volunteering for the military? Because otherwise, support was sufficiently high for the political aspect.
@@allydea Depends whether Ukraine can keep it or not.
Time will tell but I suspect they won't be able to.
If public support was good then Ukranians popping up in your back garden and driving around your street in American made vehicles only makes it increase.
No negative that I can see for further support from the public.
اللهم صل و سلم على سيدنا محمد و على اله و صحبه اجمعين
اللهم انصر اخواننا في غزة العزة و الكرامه و اهلنا في اليمن الحبيب فلا ناصر لهم الا انت سبحانك اني كنت من الظالمين
اللهم استعملنا و لا تستبدلنا يا الله
Quite of a lack of judgement by Russia to remove their mines but only to leave vulnerable border guards!
That scenario seems a bit questionable!
Nice analysis as as usual!! A lot of people seem to be just coping in the comments tho saying stuff weeb hasn’t even said tho😂
Thanks for the insight, once again these details aren't covered where I live
Ну вот это уже ближе к теме... Если всу не удастся вырваться из низины... а шансов на это не много... их перестреляют, как в тире... И да... русские не будут перебрасывать солдат с других направлений, потому что там и так есть группировка для похода на Сумы... и она превышает группировку всу...
I've been following you for two years now. Currently, I really wish that you would focus more on what has and is actually happening instead of surmising what the intent of the different parties are and what they will do next.
You are making sense of this. Very helpful. And especially to learn about the blue and yellow bands, and the view of the soldiers on the eastern front. And thanks too for the timestamps. Good work
"AFU Captures Sudzha" Huh????? There is absolutely no info about this anywhere
Suriyakmaps reported it
Telegram
My comment deleted. Dude, this is everywhere 😂
@WeebUnionWU Does this offensive have any strategic importance in the long run?
@@prestonyoung3807 no
There's a pretty big river next to Korenevo that has three bridges between Korenevo and the international border. If Ukraine can take Korenevo and mine the 3 bridges it might simplify their defense of the Sumy region and actually free up manpower for use in other areas.
Thanks for the timestamps ;)
IT’S A TRAP!!!
Don't poke the Bear and then cry.
Van den Leyen will be silent about "unprovoked", this time.
K, Ivan...
@@meziahjolley8599 For example, don't invade Ukraine and be surprised they fight back.
@@dansvoboda5209 The Ruzzian bots are on an overdose of copium at the moment...
The idea isn't to win/hold any territory but more like to create headaches and fear. If they can go in easily, they can go out easily as well, while creating ruins when they retreat.
You can't remove mines just to let your enemy go into your area undefended. It's definitely a blunder, especially for the villagers.
To your final comment: for the high command it's all about concentration of force, it may become obvious that reinforcing certain areas is pointless, because the enemy has overwhelming superiority, while using some forces in other areas is useful because the enemy is weak there. This is basic military theory and the high command does not need to "explain" anything to the troops (not in principle at least), what they have to do is to get results, victories, preferably decisive ones.
Is it only me or what is that buzzing sound? I mistake it for my phone all the time.
Same here. I always thought it's a noise coming from the outside until i muted the video and noticed that it was the source of it
It is your phone, dude. There is a minor background noise, but nothing to complain about.
I don’t hear anything
@@RomanShein1978 for me it's when i usw my gaming headset on the PC. Cant hear it on phone. We just say it so the creator is aware of it. I dont care too much about it, it's just 10 min videos
Thanks Weeb. Interesting times. Appreciated. ;-)
I wonder who is behind this suicide mission
L'armée ukrainienne à Koursk s'avance seule dans un piège qu'elle a créé elle-même.Tous les soldats de cette opération sont condamnés.Ce genre de diversion est bien connue des joueurs d'échecs , il ne change jamais le résultat final.Un coup médiatique qui va coûter très cher à l'armée ukrainienne.
After 2 years following this civil war*, I can tell you are the best channel to find real and strong information about this. Also, no bias helps.
Great job mate 👏👏👏
I hope this terrible war ends quickly and real Ukrainians (not western banderists) come back to their sense with regards to their brothers in the East... They should know WE, in the West, don't give a damn 😈 about them... Sorry guys!
* Been following channels like History Legend, Military summary and the Aussie pro Ukrainians / army guy. All good in a way or another but no one else than you is as concise, with great insight into strategy and reliable information. 👏👏👏
Weeb doing very great job on trying to report neutrally.
Hahaha It's the F16's that Need protection not Odessa Odessa Is Russia F16's are Targets
If there was an imminent Sumy offensive coming from Russia, it does make sense for Ukraine to take a buffer zone against it first.
Is there a possibility that Russia wanted to bait Ukraine on their territory to have the argument now, that it's a 'provocation', which then leads to a justification of larger attacks in return?
We also know that the attacking side tends to lose more troops and equipment, so considering that Ukraine already was struggling to support the southern front lines, isn't this then also an opportunity for Russia to weaken Ukraine more?
As you reported, they are mainly fighting border guards on the ground, while it's Russian airforce and artillery that causes the main damage. We already saw many damaged vehicles, equipment that of course can't be send to reinforce the south.
No, that's not a sane possibility.
This is just like the Battle of the Bulge in World War II, the Germans were trapped on all sides, by British, American and Soviet forces and they wanted to break-out of the encirclement, so they deployed all their remaining Armour. Yes, American forces were captured in the Arden's, but the British, under Montgomery, quickly surrounded the Germans and destroyed their Armour. The affect of all this was to leave Berlin without strategic reserves to defend Berlin and the Soviet forces rode straight into Berlin.
I agree. Side note: Affect is a verb (This affects that) and effect is a noun (The effect of this is…).
Better then Asmr these Videos
See the timur viral channel, the Russian are present around charred striker and humvee, most probably its a type of infiltration attack, not offensive
The Russian counter offensive or rush of reinforcements might not be that rapid. This is a pretty significant assault by the Ukrainians with their best troops and a lot of equipment with the forces the Russians would have been preparing for something like a repeat of the Kursk operation in Sumy their prepared forces might not be sufficient for that since last time they used a very limited force that absolutely overran an under defended portion of the border. If they send that force up against a significant concentration of Ukraine's best forces operating under the cover of a decent degree of air defence to limit the effect of Russian aviation they might not be able to do much beyond establishing a new front line. Potentially Russia will trade space for time to gather a more forces for a larger counter offensive letting the Ukrainians chew through their supplies, extend their lines and spread their forces to cover a wider front in the meantime to maintain a degree of fluidity in the area so the Ukrainians aren't tempted to start digging in.
It might be a few more days before the Russians can effectively respond, maybe a week. I don't see it taking much longer than that.
Wie muss das sein für einen Ukrainischen Soldaten in Russland zu wissen das sie nicht lebend zurückkehren werden.
Ist nicht gerade Moral fördernd und viele kehren überhaupt nicht zurück.
Thanks and you too :)
Cheers Weeb.
I had seen some map analysis, but the offensive and the success of it didn't make sense. But Weeb supplies some big picture information that explains why the Ukrainians attacked. But as he suggests, it still looks like a bad idea that will turn out to be negative for any effect on the outcome of the war.
I russi, da buoni giocatori di scacchi, muovono bene le loro pedine e si apprestano a fare scacco matto nella regione di Sumi. Complimenti al canale dall'Italia
if there were forces in Kursk ready why it takes more than 2 days to send in?
Sudzha is a big loss, isn't it?
You were talking about their preparations to take Orlivka and it made me think i was crazy because you had talked about them having taken that town in the past already. Then i saw there are TWO Orlivkas. Why are there two?! And so close together?!
Nice update.
Yeah, was wondering that in one of your last videos... psychologically it makes sense for the soldiers struggling and losing for month on the east to look at this display of force and go "what the hell?" While success elsewhere might inspire some, I wouldn't be surprised if there are others who feel more betrayed and go "F* that, I quit", time will tell.
A preemptive attack, in military terms is called a ‘spoiling attack’
As military analyst, how many brigades would Ukraine need to continue/keep their advances? Some say they have 2 - 4. Is number of brigades even the most important factor in this?
Tak for opdatering
Bruh. Izvestia was literally inside Sudzha, it is bombed but there are no Ukrainian soldiers there.
I wonder why there is such a disparity between pro-Ukrainian and pro-Russian sources on the situation. One side is silent(DeepState), the other reports of a catastrophic situation(Rybar). I feel like there are mind-games being played by both sides here. Will wait until there are more geolocations to make a fair conclusion.
Different tactics are occurring 🧐🧠
they maybe pulled out a lot of eastern troops and then transferred for the kursk offensive (and maybe trying to open more offensives) months ago, that was why some places like progress, niu york front there were almost no troops there, so you could maybe see more than 100-300k troops already at sumy region instead.
this is basically double banzai charge, let donesk crumble but potentially getting kursk and more other oblasts if ru didnt react swiftly. this is copium take though
My first comment auto corrected weeb into "weak"weeb is for sure not weak dropping all these update videos lol
Krynky was fought by elite units...
If Russia has forces in the area preparing for a Sumy offensive, why would they not be utilised to push back the AFU?
All this begs the question: What has the Russian air force been doing in terms of protecting Russian territory by attacking the Ukrainian forces in the Kursk region?
And, Weeb, how do you now view your previous statement that this Kursk offensive by Ukraine is likely related to Ukraine getting F-16's? What exactly were you implying, and do you still give credence to that hypothesis?
Z 🇷🇺🫡
Does Russia still have soldiers holding positions in and around those two towns north of Kharkiv? I see little bits of red, but you didn’t mention anything regarding them.
This is a very smart move by Ukraine either with or without western support. One is they took advantage of Russian mine cleaning operation and the secondly, once the main bulk of the Russian units engage the UAF in the region their locations will be known which Ukraine can bomb using all kinds of weapons. This could be really damaging to Russians
It really doesn't matter what ukros do ... See what's really happening, Lancet is the new king of Kursk! And another minor and unimportant detail.. Starlink doesn't work on the territory of the Kursk region..
Starlink doesn't work on the territory of the Kursk region..
- I wouldn't be so sure. So far all we know is that the Russian communication network in the OA is down.
This is PR movement or maaaaybe creating some buffer zone before Russian offensive towards Sumy? It's very strange.
Whats the green bands, that has to devastate their moral as an effective fighting force, know theirs no one coming because they decide to go on safari
Why do you only post the Ukrainian achievements, which in my opinion are exaggerated. And you do not show the Russian defense, which according to Shoigu, has already shot down 290 soldiers and 40 offensive vehicles. In practice there is a battle of recovery of Russia, but you do not mention anything about it?
Yep, it's a Base Race...
Yesterday you claimed that it was a bold move by the Ukrainians using armoured vehicles on a large scale which should be applauded. You also said the Russians should take a leaf out of their book, because, in your opinion, the Russians are overly cautious and too casualty averse, or something to that effect. In view of the facts that you tell us now (purely an opportunistic move by Ukraine due to favourable conditions ); do you still stand by your statement of yesterday?
Lol this guy just says whatever, literally knows nothing, just making videos to earn some
Bread
@@danielc9967Your medication 💊💊💊 will be administered soon .
@@danielc9967we all make mistakes no one is flawless
@@danielc9967 Typical prophets of war that doesn't see anything besides Tik-Tok vids and drone footages plus whistles from afar
Military Summary Channel and Weeb are making competition in terms of who is collecting more unreliable sources
You have background sound noises... Check your settings.
Clips of Wagner forces being moved from Belarus to Kursk emerged
Krynki 2.0
😎
Why Ukraine just doesn't build intricate defenses like the Russians do, idk.
Weeb please answer this
Do u think Russia didn’t know this Afu Offensive.
of course they didn´t know, they were completely unprepared
@jozefhorniak8191 they knew but couldn't hold it they were attacking it
Will Russia divert troops?
No
@weebunionWu where do you have seen a war when one part cannot strike airfields, logistics inside the foe's country, Russia can hit wherever they want and fight this war as they like, believe me that if Russia would have been striked earlier russia wouldnt
stand a chance, they pour infantry and dont mind casulties, for Russia lives do not count and the glide bombs which russia is allowed to lunch cause of the stupid policy of salivan, believe me is not russia that is strong, is ucraine that until now has not been allowed to fight a war as it shoulb be fought
@@WeebUnionWU Elaborate on why razzhia would not send troops.
@@formersomethingsomething3273 The Russians have Brigades stationed in the Russian military districts north of Ukraine... There is really no need for them to redeploy any of their Brigades in East Ukraine... At worst, a few Battalions held in reserve in the Kharkiv Front will be pulled.
@@Warren_Peace And yet conscripts are the ones getting arrested and blown up by drones, you are delusional.
Russia has the right to Protect the people of Donbas ❤️🇷🇺
Ukraine has the right to protect the people of Kursk
@@maxxar92 How many Ukrainians in kursk?
@@user-gw7tg5uz1gMany, Ukranians live in western Russia..
Is it more than 10 percent?
@@user-gw7tg5uz1g according to cencus Russians are 95% and Ukraines only 1.5% so yeah. Nothing.
Ukraine should hold a Referendum in Kursk
They can't Ukrainians are too thin to hold that town.
Is the war turning into a base race?