Thankyou Chris for sharing what you know. I don't think some people who see this podcast understand that you are not required to share anything with the general public. I appreciate your time and effort. Good job man
Hey, how do you wrestle your overall bearish sentiment with the idea that we are (apparently) on the precipice of a large growth in liquidity? Do you agree with the idea that we should expect an increase in liquidity over the next year?
Why do up gaps generally get filled? we have so many from last year unfilled . Down gaps have 100 percent fill rate but up gaps we got some from the gfc and pandemic. Is there anything else that increases chance of up gap being filled?
The markets are very efficient and generally, at some point, will come back to fill all gaps. There are more than normal unfilled at this point, but I believe they will get filled over the next year as the stock market collapses.
Thanks for the video! Would love to hear you touch on some of those trade setups you mentioned at the end to get more of your perspective on levels you might be considering and why. That would be helpful and very much appreciated.
Subscribers of my CGS Signal Newsletter get direct access to me and mentoring sessions, along with my ETF signals here: thetechnicaltraders.com/investment-solutions/
Because trading is not that simple, and you dont really know what the signal, stop, targets, or trend change conditions are. But go for it :) You buying th inverse ETF or the long?
@@TheTechnicalTradersI added to longs earlier during vol event. Trimmed some, exited some completely over past 2 days. I am holding rest for more upside and eventually sell higher, will cut if stops get hit, and buy lower if opportunity presents. May not play inverse until it’s clear that “the” highs are in. Love your market thoughts.
@@TheTechnicalTraders thank you, appreciate your response. so, if more money is printed for debt payments and if inflation increases, would you change your long term view? And what are the likely chances that happens
When you say there is a potential buy signal are you arguing that you would ride up a "blow off top" or that a trend reversal would present a buying opportunity in the near future?
It would be nice to know when to sell my gold before it drops and be ready with cash to jump back in before it climbs to higher highs. Same with silver.
All is duly noted. I’d be very curious to know your take on stock market crashes during election cycles. The common knowledge as I have heard it, is that elections raise stock prices. I seem to recall 2008 being a crash year though, but that it had been sinking since 2007 and accelerating in 2008. Perhaps that was a contributor to the shift in partisan popularity? Seeing the market fail to hold at the end of the second Bush term? In this cycle, though, the market has very recently put in a high. Of course it would be odd timing for the market to crash in the middle of this very historically significant/perilous election. It’s very close timing at this point though. The market topped in late 2007 and spent all of 2008 declining. As of late, the opposite had occurred.
I guess people just don’t pay attention…He said the market is in a stage 3 topping pattern (shows chart) and that it’s possible it will run higher until it exhausts all the retail bull traders, which the big institutions are selling into. Then the market will probably roll over 30+% and go down from there. Chris is a trader and not a fortune teller, you trade the chart, set your stop and target, and let it go from there. It may be counterintuitive to buy when the market is at highs but if that’s what it says to do then that’s what you do. When the market does roll (per chart/strategy) over you’d be buying an inverse ETF and riding the market down.
Main thing is, if markets put in new highs, seems like the narrative may not be shifting stages quite yet. In my opinion a lot of these financial elite pundits are shock journalists. I surely didn’t subscribe to market newsletters in 2008 but the market was doing different things back then. Had already been declining heavily for a year, not making it back to the top. In my opinion there would need to be a significant, longer term decline from the top in order for us to be doing what we did in summer 2008, if we are to use the GFC chart behavior as a map for this current situation. It just seems like this July top is being made short work of. That scare earlier was a worldwide one, and it seems like rate cuts can help stocks. Despite what some of the people say. If consumers are having tough times with their credit, then lower rates should help that out. If it doesn’t, …I don’t know if the fallout will immediately cause a black swan, I would assume that the beginning of a reset has to be a slower burn like 2007-2008 was. It was clear back then, that we were declining and not making it back up. Right now we’re getting close to all time highs. Back to Less than 2% to go within a couple weeks!!!
Oh maybe if this were a 1929 scenario, then there’d be a blow-off top first. I could see that. It would make a lot more sense, than for this to be a “can’t get back up there, might as well go bear” type of market situation. But yea I don’t have a lot of expertise or anything it’s just observations based on what I’ve been seeing lately.
I was bullish till 5450 on es sp 500 , but it broke higher and now I think it will top at 5650 and VIX will be 14 and then it’s a sell . Bulls are very lucky here they have a chance to exit
Ahh yes another perma bear getting wrecked on the sidelines…but markets will fall eventually right??? Hahah what a joke you are. Up we go back to fresh new highs. Listening to this guy will cost you fortunes
Started listening a few years ago waiting for the stage 3 topping phase. Missed out on a year of gains. Thanks. Got in, and I'll just ride it out if it ever happens. Can't wait forever. Corrections happen. You just buy at those times. Done with the fear mongering.
they have problem cpi not go lower when the oil go up , , they want the oil down , when this oil not go down the cpi never go down , and when coming the big drop , to much money in wrong hands , only the goverment have big debt , en private have big big big money , the wrong world , that is the problem ,
Wow great prediction. The market may go up or if not go down. Why dont you state when you believe it will act in a certain way. Done watching this channel. Waste of time
He’s not a fortune teller! Information is the only tool to put probability of an outcome in our favor. Be grateful he’s willing to share all this info with great insights! Normally, super expensive to get this info!
He IS stating what he believes the market direction will be over the next few months. You have to discriminate between short-term, intermediate, and a longer time horizon. (Short-term can be up, intermediate neutral, longer time bearish - all different) If you need guarantees and hand-holding, markets are not for you.
I was not laughing, but I dont recommend trying to pick a bottom. The the trend is down and you buy, its just silly. You bet against the market and its generally a losing strategy. Its that simple. I dont care if someone pick the bottom and guessed early to get a better. I'll pay more knowing the trend is up.
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Thankyou Chris for sharing what you know. I don't think some people who see this podcast understand that you are not required to share anything with the general public. I appreciate your time and effort. Good job man
Very good on gold Chris, trying for record close on Friday. And very good elsewhere, this is now the only channel I bother with.
Thank you, awesome to hear!
Excellent work and charts! Thank you! Glad I found this channel 🎉🎉
Hey, how do you wrestle your overall bearish sentiment with the idea that we are (apparently) on the precipice of a large growth in liquidity? Do you agree with the idea that we should expect an increase in liquidity over the next year?
Great to hear TLT is now a solid play for extra cash, rates should go lower overall I think going forward…
Great analysis! Thanks Chris
Thank you Chris!
Why do up gaps generally get filled? we have so many from last year unfilled . Down gaps have 100 percent fill rate but up gaps we got some from the gfc and pandemic. Is there anything else that increases chance of up gap being filled?
The markets are very efficient and generally, at some point, will come back to fill all gaps. There are more than normal unfilled at this point, but I believe they will get filled over the next year as the stock market collapses.
Thanks much Chris. I'm assuming that the stock market "Buy" signal you refer to is a "Reverse" ETF?
Stock market buy signal? I am confused as you are looking for the market to reverse to the downtrend. Can you explain in your next video please.👍
Long term trend chart is still bullish, but showing signs of a BIG correction. Short term charts are about to generate a new trading opportunity.
Thanks again Chris 🎉
You bet!
Thank you.
Thanks for the video! Would love to hear you touch on some of those trade setups you mentioned at the end to get more of your perspective on levels you might be considering and why. That would be helpful and very much appreciated.
I share my exact ETF trade signals with entry, targets and stops with subscribers of my CGS Signal Newsletter. www.thetechnicaltraders.com/CGS.pdf
you are the best thank you
Great video
Thanks a mil🙏🏻
Why in the Stock Market Cycle slide, Precious Metals is in two places of trend line?
Declining volume the entire move too. 👌
Its Primed & Ready
Amazing high quality content - great job - best analysis
Thank you!
Thank you for sharing your insights, Chris. Where can we learn more about the mentoring session?
Subscribers of my CGS Signal Newsletter get direct access to me and mentoring sessions, along with my ETF signals here: thetechnicaltraders.com/investment-solutions/
thx chris
If trend is about to change (potentially) then why play a buy signal in SP500? Thanks.
Because trading is not that simple, and you dont really know what the signal, stop, targets, or trend change conditions are. But go for it :) You buying th inverse ETF or the long?
@@TheTechnicalTradersI added to longs earlier during vol event. Trimmed some, exited some completely over past 2 days. I am holding rest for more upside and eventually sell higher, will cut if stops get hit, and buy lower if opportunity presents. May not play inverse until it’s clear that “the” highs are in. Love your market thoughts.
Thank you
You are very welcome, be sure to get on my free newsletter! thetechnicaltraders.com/newsletter/
Excellent thanks.
so market is in buy mode or going down 30% - couldn't understand that point.
Long term trend chart is still bullish, but showing signs of a BIG correction. Short term charts are about to generate a new trading opportunity.
The longer term over the next several quarters is down. but short term we may have another buy signal
@@TheTechnicalTraders thank you, appreciate your response. so, if more money is printed for debt payments and if inflation increases, would you change your long term view? And what are the likely chances that happens
When you say there is a potential buy signal are you arguing that you would ride up a "blow off top" or that a trend reversal would present a buying opportunity in the near future?
It would be nice to know when to sell my gold before it drops and be ready with cash to jump back in before it climbs to higher highs. Same with silver.
Very thin on strategy rather a mrk Rpt and some predictions! Lets see in a week or more abt the the predictions! Tnx
Very interesting 👍👍👍
Thank you! Cheers!
All is duly noted.
I’d be very curious to know your take on stock market crashes during election cycles. The common knowledge as I have heard it, is that elections raise stock prices. I seem to recall 2008 being a crash year though, but that it had been sinking since 2007 and accelerating in 2008. Perhaps that was a contributor to the shift in partisan popularity? Seeing the market fail to hold at the end of the second Bush term? In this cycle, though, the market has very recently put in a high. Of course it would be odd timing for the market to crash in the middle of this very historically significant/perilous election. It’s very close timing at this point though. The market topped in late 2007 and spent all of 2008 declining. As of late, the opposite had occurred.
More silver please sir!
Nothing has changed from my last video with silver, miners or gold.. no need.
I guess people just don’t pay attention…He said the market is in a stage 3 topping pattern (shows chart) and that it’s possible it will run higher until it exhausts all the retail bull traders, which the big institutions are selling into. Then the market will probably roll over 30+% and go down from there. Chris is a trader and not a fortune teller, you trade the chart, set your stop and target, and let it go from there. It may be counterintuitive to buy when the market is at highs but if that’s what it says to do then that’s what you do. When the market does roll (per chart/strategy) over you’d be buying an inverse ETF and riding the market down.
Well Said! Coffee cheers!
What a video! It is gift! Thank you !
Main thing is, if markets put in new highs, seems like the narrative may not be shifting stages quite yet. In my opinion a lot of these financial elite pundits are shock journalists. I surely didn’t subscribe to market newsletters in 2008 but the market was doing different things back then. Had already been declining heavily for a year, not making it back to the top. In my opinion there would need to be a significant, longer term decline from the top in order for us to be doing what we did in summer 2008, if we are to use the GFC chart behavior as a map for this current situation. It just seems like this July top is being made short work of. That scare earlier was a worldwide one, and it seems like rate cuts can help stocks. Despite what some of the people say. If consumers are having tough times with their credit, then lower rates should help that out. If it doesn’t, …I don’t know if the fallout will immediately cause a black swan, I would assume that the beginning of a reset has to be a slower burn like 2007-2008 was. It was clear back then, that we were declining and not making it back up. Right now we’re getting close to all time highs. Back to Less than 2% to go within a couple weeks!!!
Cris look at shares etf MTUM 5 years weekly it has double top that means market is totally toppy
Oh maybe if this were a 1929 scenario, then there’d be a blow-off top first. I could see that. It would make a lot more sense, than for this to be a “can’t get back up there, might as well go bear” type of market situation.
But yea I don’t have a lot of expertise or anything it’s just observations based on what I’ve been seeing lately.
I was bullish till 5450 on es sp 500 , but it broke higher and now I think it will top at 5650 and VIX will be 14 and then it’s a sell . Bulls are very lucky here they have a chance to exit
Chris, honestly, I respect and like your explanation of thought process but this video had none of it.
TLT or TMF are safer than stocks now ..
getting there...
What ??most sector's going to sell down 30 40 % then you say were very closer to a buy signal in stocks ??? your going to buy for a loss real good ??
Ahh yes another perma bear getting wrecked on the sidelines…but markets will fall eventually right??? Hahah what a joke you are. Up we go back to fresh new highs. Listening to this guy will cost you fortunes
Started listening a few years ago waiting for the stage 3 topping phase. Missed out on a year of gains. Thanks. Got in, and I'll just ride it out if it ever happens. Can't wait forever. Corrections happen. You just buy at those times. Done with the fear mongering.
Hey silver sucks dude
they have problem cpi not go lower when the oil go up , , they want the oil down , when this oil not go down the cpi never go down , and when coming the big drop , to much money in wrong hands , only the goverment have big debt , en private have big big big money , the wrong world , that is the problem ,
This market is far overvalued! Let’s see how it end! 😂😢
Imagine paying for this.
Wow great prediction. The market may go up or if not go down. Why dont you state when you believe it will act in a certain way. Done watching this channel. Waste of time
This isn't an airport, you don't have to announce your departure.
@@wiseguysmith6519😂
He’s not a fortune teller!
Information is the only tool to put probability of an outcome in our favor.
Be grateful he’s willing to share all this info with great insights! Normally, super expensive to get this info!
He IS stating what he believes the market direction will be over the next few months. You have to discriminate between short-term, intermediate, and a longer time horizon. (Short-term can be up, intermediate neutral, longer time bearish - all different)
If you need guarantees and hand-holding, markets are not for you.
That's what the market does however. It goes up and down; but that's not the point here.
You were laughing at people going into bonds a 3-4 months ago.
I was not laughing, but I dont recommend trying to pick a bottom. The the trend is down and you buy, its just silly. You bet against the market and its generally a losing strategy. Its that simple. I dont care if someone pick the bottom and guessed early to get a better. I'll pay more knowing the trend is up.
you telling , the big drop coming minus 50% , but now everything go up and up and up
If you listened and paid attention, you may get it... you are comparing two different time frames...
Forever bull
Days away from miss out!...