Stock and Real Estate Investors Prepare for the Inevitable
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- Опубліковано 24 чер 2024
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Chris Vermeulen, Chief Market Strategist of The Technical Traders.com, discusses signs of a burgeoning financial crisis, how the markets will react, and how to position your trades accordingly.
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for sure my man ❤
Recently bought some recommended stocks and now they are just penny stocks. There seems to be more negative portfolios in the last 3rd half of 2023 and first half of this year with markets tumbling, soaring inflation, and banks going out of business. My concern is how can the rapid interest-rate hike be of favor to a value investor, or is it better avoiding stocks for a while?
Just ''buy the dip'' man. In the long term it will payoff. High interest rates usually mean lower stock prices, however investors should be cautious of the bull run, its best you connect with a well-qualified adviser to meet your growth goals and avoid blunde
The truth is that this is really not as difficult as many people presume it to be. It requires a certain level of diligence, no doubt, which is something ordinary investors lack, and so a financial advisor often comes in very handy. My friend just pulled in more than $84k last month alone from his investment with his advisor. That is how people are able to make such huge profits in the market
I've been getting suggestions to use one, but where and how to find one has been challenging, Can i reach out to the one you use?
Lucia Alicia Cruz is a hot topic among financial elitist in The US. She's gained some reputation for her works during Covid. All the info. you need to set up an appointment is on her web page
Thank you. I just checked her out on the web browser, She seems really proficient. I'll follow up with an email. Thanks for the lead.
I keep telling both friends and family; Now is the perfect time to own a Tech Stock, With everything going on and seeing how the world is been run by AI and all Tech is here to stay and you don’t want to miss it
With everything going on in the market My advice to anyone starting out in the market is to seek guidance as its the best way to build long term wealth while managing your risk and emotions with the passive investing strategy.
Actually, I’ve actually been looking into that lately, the news I've been seeing in the market hasn't been so encouraging honestly. If you don't mind me asking who's the person guiding you?
My CFA. Jennifer Alaine , a renowned figure in her line of work. I recommend researching her credentials further. She has many years of experience and is a valuable resource for anyone looking to navigate the financial market.
Thanks for sharing. I curiously searched for her full name and her website popped up immediately. I looked through her credentials and did my due diligence before contacting her. i set up a call
Can’t lie the name sounds too familiar I’ve come across individuals talking about her great service I guess this is a sign to try her out. Thanks for sharing
Start early with diversified investments in stocks, bonds, and real estate. Maximize contributions to tax-advantaged accounts like 401(k)s and IRAs. Regularly review and adjust your strategy to ensure security.
Very possible! especially at this moment. Profits can be made in many different ways, but such intricate transactions should only be handled by seasoned market professionals.
Some persons think inves'tin is all about buying stocks; I think going into the stock market without a good experience is a big risk, that's why I'm lucky to have seen someone like mr Brian C Nelson.
Finding yourself a good broker is as same as finding a good wife, which you go less stress, you get just enough with so much little effort at things
I'm surprised that you just mentioned and recommend Mr Brian Nelson. I met him at a conference in 2018 and we have been working together ever since.
Yes! I'm celebrating £32K stock portfolio today... Started this journey with £3K.... I've invested no time and also with the right terms, now I have time for my family and life ahead of me.
Fantastic work Chris 👏 keep up the good work 💪
Thanks, will do!
not bored at all chris... keep the videos coming, and thank you!
Haha great to hear, that was a long video :)
Chris, you are a super good person, but did you not mention about this topping phase when SPY was moving close to 4000 levels and now it’s 5500 ? So can you admit that it was not the topping phase at that time ?
The market is always in a topping phase, aka it makes a top, then a higher top, then a higher top still.
I did touch on this, but not in big detail. The overall market is topping, but SPY and QQQ are not showing it because of the the sector pulling prices higher, but most stocks and sectors are struggling and topping.
but did you call a top at 4k or not? hard to trust your analysis now if you can't answer a specific question directly.@@TheTechnicalTraders
Chris, you should clarify the real estate sector you are referring to is in "Canada" where their interest rates renew every few years. In the USA, most everyone has fixed rates and lending requirements would be more stringent. I can see Canada having a huge problem but in the states, correction would be minimal. Certainly not a crash.
David and I did clarify that. It is BOTH, and the US real estate is almost always more volatile than Canada. But the mortgage rate renewals every 3-5 years is a Canadian thing.
Interest rates will coming down in the U.S. very soon. Does the housing market usually crash when rates are dropping? @@TheTechnicalTraders
States, the correction would be minimal; certainly not a crash.
I guess you just moved from Mars, and on Mars, they aren't aware of the exponential function, history, and human mythologies.
Been hearing this for two years
Really appreciate these posts, Chris. The general investor needs this help. Thank you!
you are welcome
@@TheTechnicalTradersblackrock and all of the big real estate investors aren’t going to it crash. They don’t want average people to have a chance at buying a reasonably priced house. It will stay high and continue higher
Thank you, CV, for sharing your thoughts. God bless.
Thanks for watching!
but there is a big difference to 2007: The debt of the US quadrupled and increases exponentially, while the dollar loses its dominance, and the G7 as well.
Therefore, I doubt another crises like 2008 where the dollar was the safe haven still, and asset prices in dollar fell deeply.
It might sound wrong but this time crashing might be different, at least for Gold and raw materials
Muchisimas gracias Chris
Thank you
You the man, Chris! Nice interview on TDLR. 👍👍
An excellent informative video - thank you.
Thank you Chris, Respect from the Land of Oz
Thank you Chris
such a great stuff from your side. you are a great teacher, learning sooo much from you. thank you so much. best wishes from switzerland
Definitely not boring. Loved it. Thanks for the content!
Thank you for your analysis.
Thank you, great insight.
Thank you Chris great video
Glad you enjoyed it
Chris, Thank you for the detailed and insightful market analysis. The combination of economic market cycle analysis with technicals is fantastic! I appreciate the videos that you put on UA-cam!
Great to hear, @lcdrpost! I was not sure if people wanted to hear about my take on the economic data, and I am worried I will blur the lines between what I do and what I see. Meaning, I only trade the charts; I don't care what economic data says. But the data helps me mentally prepare a game plan for when/if we have a major turn in direction.
Eventually guys like this will be right. I just liquidated half my positions that I am
Up on to get ready for what I think is going to be a correction in Sept - November timeframe. Even Buffett said he’s more liquid than usual and waiting for the big correction which will start with real estate correction
Nice analysis!
One of your best videos. Thank you
Really appreciate these posts, Chris. You're awesome
Thanks !
I agree with most of the comments. Does feel like a top. But can still keep going up for at least another couple of months.
Yup, only time will tell, thank for sharing!
Thanks for an amazing video, very informative!
No Gold/Silver today ? Silver fell under 29 again by comex manipulation with naked shorts, not backed by physical position. This makes me so frustrated, but I will stick until we see 36$. Could you please bring up the metals next week ?
What evidence do you have that naked shorts ran the Ag market today?
@@sababan1226 i don't have an evidence but i today heard on YT that Silvee july contract is due and settling soon, tomorrow i think. they didn't want Silver over 30 which would have triggered hedge fund buying. shaking off weak hands and scaring longs is their plan. Most investors can't wait more than a few hours or days. This guys know that.
My analysis on metals did not change from last week, see this video ua-cam.com/video/OlI5E_oJRSQ/v-deo.htmlsi=OVPLSfDcrHuNPQa_
@@TheTechnicalTraders Thank you Chris, can't wait to see Silver going up. What I heard is Comex don't want to hedge funds kickin in around 35$, so therefore they short via paper Silver. This drives me mad this manipulations. What is your opinion on this ?
Thanks Chris, I'm not a Technical Trader and have no formal training. I do however have good sense and patience. I am in cash and getting paid to wait. I've learned enough from you to get a basic understanding of this emotional animal called the stock market. Thanks for your professional insight.
a wealth of knowledge
Newbies need to learn the ropes, know how much risk they can handle and diversify their portfolio. Some folks get help from money experts or do their homework before making investment moves. It's all about being smart with your funds.
Generally , the stock market provides a platform for buying and selling shares of publicly traded companies, offering potential opportunities for investors to grow their wealth, but it's essential to approach it with knowledge and caution.
That's correct. At first, I wasn't too pleased with my gains compared to my previous performances, I was doing so poorly, I thought I needed to diversify into better assets, so I got in touch with an investment-advisor. That same year, I pulled a net gain of £550k, which is about 10 times more than I average on...
I’ve been looking to switch to an advisor for a while now. Any help pointing me to who your advisor is?
Finding financial advisors like Carol Vivian Constable who can assist you shape your portfolio would be a very creative option. There will be difficult times ahead, and prudent personal money management will be essential to navigating them.
Thanks for sharing. I curiously searched for her full name and her website popped up immediately. I looked through her credentials and did my due diligence before contacting her.
Thank you Chris 🎉🎉🎉🎉
I have been reaching out via email to join but I have not had a reply
Exceptional analysis and insights! Thanks!!
Good to hear @rxtoken5435
I love your vids! The best stuff out there
Great to hear!
Fibinocci arget was 136 last week which I provided in X
Spot on with property, I’m in London and there are almost m[no sales happening, market is stagnant, usually a prelude before it tanks.
Ya same here were I am
What can we short and when? SQQQ? Will UVXY spike up again?
Not sure that buying Nvidia and the S&P / Nasdaq because the trend is 'up' is wise at this point. There are very long term trend lines and momentum indicators that indicate when the top is probably in. I have always found Ron Walker to be very good at giving early warning signals, although they can take weeks to play out.
I love listening to Chris his videos are full of fantastic information to help the new investors like me, although I’m very worried about my gold, silver, uranium and oil stocks. I’m thinking maybe sell everything lol
Hi, just started following you and I’m enjoying your vids. I’d very much appreciate if you could have a look at the massive inverted Head and Shoulder formation that formed in the US10 Year, starting around the 2007/8 crisis. We are about to complete the inverted right shoulder which would then give way up to about 8,5% on the US 10 year. I’d very much like to know if this worries you as it worries me. Best regards and thanks. Richard
new to your channel great video very informative btw just had to subscribe all the best
Welcome aboard!
Could the rally topping be in nominal terms or real terms?
Great job Chris!!! I am curious if you ever looked at the logarithmic SPX chart that I left you a comment about? And, you will find an inverse head and shoulder pattern in Exxon (XOM), maybe 🤔 this is an indicator of when the energy stocks will take off? Thanks 🙏!!!
Thanks @CoreyJKeating Although I dont see the inverse H&S on XOM, looks more like a large bull flag, and yes I agree higher prices looks very possible.
brilliant
Wow had no idea you were on UA-cam. New subscriber!
Surprise!! thanks for subscribing @Shane-yx2hi
Great updates. If you compare Russel 2000 and S and P on a chart, this is the biggest gap thats ever existed between them - by far. For that reason, I am DCAing into oversold small caps atm. I agree the overall market looks close to a top. But I think theres a little juice left to squeeze on some small caps.
WHY not WAIT for signs of small-cap strength first? DCA while they're still trending down makes very little sense.
Look at something like PSIL - the Psychedelics biotech ETF 😅 I decided to buy a bit of 5-6 psy stocks some months ago. They're all down between 30% and 75% when I last checked a few days ago.
FOR SURE I see zero point in DCA'ing like a noob, month after month. They're still trending down, so far.
Don't try to catch a falling knife.
The small cap market won't start rising without showing clear signs of strength first (in price action and technical analysis).
WAIT. Deploy your money wisely on other stuff with positive momentum, meanwhile.
DCA has become the mantra of, and answer to everything, it seems. It's ok, but now the magic lazy-tool it's hyped up to be, by trading platforms and UA-camrs.
Good luck. there could be a little more.
@@TheTechnicalTradersLord willing, I hope so. Your updates are much appreciated.
Lol...i have traded long enough just to have 1 question. So how much in percentage of your portfolio that you short the market, banks, homebuilders, etc. While i think market is due for a pull back but "crash worse than 2008?" I dont think so. The important thing for me to ask is how much you short the market if you think the crash is coming. Lots of people keep screaming "the crash is coming tomorrow "for the past few years.
Good Job. Whisper from within supply chain - everything is going up (inflation will come roaring back - might take 6-12 months to translate into retail prices, but inevitable).
Interesting, thank you!
We are into the last hurrah stage
And when will that be?
Chris, just so we know since everyone and their mother makes these equity market crash/severe correction predictions almost every day of the week (and I'm even inclined to agree with you), what is you sense as to timing of this capitulation? Sep/Oct24? Weeks, months, another year?
LOL ya I hear ya with the market crash that everyone talks about... I feel by the end of this year stocks have topped and are headed sharply lower. When?? I dont know. I have been bearish for a VERY LONG TIME and the market is still not topped, and I remain long them markets until the price confirms
@sababan1226
@@TheTechnicalTraders You and I both, my friend. It always feels a good 3 to 9mos out...but with unemployment seemingly breaking a bit higher we could be much closer.
So where do you put your money now if we are in phase 4 and everything is going to go down? cash?
Great question @shortfilmzz123 We are long the SPY and QQQ still, but will hold BIL, UUP, TLT, or SH when the stock market is headed lower... we will rotate through those depending on which one provides the best opportunity with the lowest risk.
Chris, what software are you running? Doesn’t look like TC2000?
Hey @millermight4513 I run something almost as old as TC2000.... I use eSignal, and have been using is for like 15 years. It has its limits, but overall SUPER easy to use, easy on the eyes and all my indicators and strategies are programmed into it so im not moving anytime soon...
I lost my house in 2008 and did not know anything about the real state Etf thanks for your information I will be ready to buy the dip this time like a hawk ,, and just suscribed good stuff I like the bears insights It is a more honest truth
Sorry to hear about the house in 2008. It was a difficult time for sure @manuelcisneros5974 Nice thing is that seeing these big picture trends and staying up to date with them can allow your to build wealth 2-5x faster than the average person. timing is everything when it comes to big investments and cycles.
@@TheTechnicalTraders thank you Chris
I may be misunderstanding you, but you seem to make a lot of conflicting claims. If the bubble keeps going up, then we are by definition, not in a topping phase. By this logic you could be saying the same thing in two years with the s&p at 9000. Just seems a bit disingenuous or word-hedgey so you can be right regardless of what happens.
Exactly. The market has been putting in higher highs and higher lows, so it is still in an uptrend. The topping phase chart clearly shows it will be putting in lower highs and lower lows, thus a downtrend. However, that doesn't support what he's been calling for over the past year, so he's manipulating data to prove his point.
If commodities really get cooking its a crack up boom
I'm not supporting or defending but I do subscribe and he's 100% allocated to the spy in the TTI portfolio since Feb 23 with a gain of over 30%. For context.
Its a reverse market crash. 🙃 i think we top next year
You need to fully listen to what I say. Yes SPY and QQQ and tech are making new highs but the majority of stocks are not, and the SPY and QQQ are masking the weakness. Dont get me wrong. I am long, and I shared my positions as I trade the trend not my bug/opinion, and that is what sets successful trades part from the masses.. We trade prices and manage positions; we don't hear opinions and trade what we hear. You either get it or you dont :)
It's insane that Wall street got back buying NVidia + Mag-7 + SMH after dumping them for few days..Once bad news is bad news and bad earnings coming up in 3rd quarter, they will flee the market with sore wounds...Opportunity for me to buy Gold & Silver miners today at cheap prices...Love your channel.
Thanks for sharing @PhongMike
Hard to see real estate crash when inventory so low. When rates drop affordability goes up. Hard to see it crashing
The problem though are in earnings. Employment , wages, though inventory is low but people must be able to make 7 to 8 grand to pay off their mortgage and also spend money on consumer goods. For now , this is the reason , data is soft. It’s also possible that after bringing a few rate cuts, things starts to pick up. But for now everything is at least 40% more expensive than 2019. That’s not improving.
Blackrock won’t let it crash. They want to keep real estate unaffordable to regular people. The new world order
@@annasad Yup, you nailed it @annasad
Inventory is rising rapidly
Agree .. hats only been obvious since the 2008 collapse.
Thanks, Chris! Appreciate the general, mid-term backdrop. Ignore the trolls. They seem to think predicting a recession should be handily spelled out in advance with specific index value tops and/or specific dates. I appreciate the data-based visibility you give us. This was not available in either 2000 or 2008. So this is a great service in and of itself. Thanks once again.
Haha, ya, thanks, @andyb8838. Trolls are everywhere, and I just ignore them. I am glad you find this insight helpful!
I have a disagreement with your opinion. I think before we see 7000 in snp , we wont see any fall any time soon. But yes we will hsve one but not now or in 12 months . I think it may take longer longer and longer. Average bull markets last more than 32 months and we are only 23 months in
We will see.
Everything seems going up and up. If FED continue printing like before there will be no Stage 3 or 4!
Thanks @mohali4338 we do need investors on the other side of the trade to take our share from us when we sell :)
1929 all over again! Play it again Sam!
I lost over $70k when everything started to tank. Not because I was in an exchange that went belly up. I was just stupid to hold and because that's what everyone said. I'm still responsible. It just taught me to be a better investor now that I understand more of what could go wrong. It took me over two years of being in the market, I'm really grateful I found one source to recover my money, at least $10k profits weekly. Thanks Natalie Rose Strayer.
I'm surprised that you just mentioned Natalie Strayer here also Didn’t know she has been good to so many people too this is wonderful, i'm in my fifth trade with her and it has been super.
The very first time we tried, we invested $2000 and after a week, we received $9500. That really helped us a lot to pay up our bills.
Natalie Strayer has really set the standard for others to follow, we love her here in Canada 🇨🇦 as she has been really helpful and changed lots of life's
I'm new at this, please how can I reach her?
After I raised up to 125k trading with her I bought a new House and a car here in the states also paid for my son's surgery
Glory to God shalom.
I dont think will have a Crash... only a Correction... well see...
Ya, tough to tell, I would like a crash to reset everything for us savvy investors... but it's not healthy for the masses, unfortunately.
@@TheTechnicalTraders I have to be a Contrarian here... i think we underestimate the capacity that the Central Banks and the governments have to maintain everything on a balance...
I think we'll only see a crash at 2026/2027 but is just a "contrarian idea", nothing substantial to support...
July and August should be OK, still tons of liquidity in RRP and TGA, which Aunt Janet plans to spend into the economy for wars/weapons, chips act, infrastructure bill, etc. However, Sept and Oct could get ugly, seasonally bad months and with the election, too many investors will want to protect gains until the election uncertainty settles.
ya I think that is good thinking also!
Digital silver in a digital age, litecoin is a digital precious metal, not a security. Litecoin is the oldest coin on the market after bitcoin, since its inception in 2011. Scarcity of litecoin is the key feature of its technology. Everyone tends to flock to digital silver and digital gold, litecoin and bitcoin, when things aren't going well. Litecoin is a decentralized digital commodity, just like bitcoin, but not even close so heavily concentrated in a few hands like bitcoin is. Both have Proof-of-Work consensus, and both have limited supply of coins. Only that litecoin is lighter, swifter, and hugely undervalued against bitcoin. Litecoin (LTC) being a digital commodity provides a decent inflation hedge as well because there will be mined only a limited number of 84 million litecoins in total.
When everyone is on the same side of a trade, it’s time to fade.
I like a good rhyme!
All that needs to be said for you to take this serious is: AAA tranches are now FAILING exactly the same as they were the first time it occurred just prior to the 2008 market crash as predicated by Dr Michael Bury back during that time. Hence they are calling the up coming crash THE BIG SHORT 2.0
I smell OPPORTUNITY!!!
Gov. = Enron
I’m going to be poor by the time this crash happens. I lost 80% of my investment on puts.
IYR Quarterly Dividend / Yield $0.546 / 2.94% You call this a "juicy" dividend?
Fed will come to rescue when they break the market.
This video came out a day too late.
You've been saying we're in a topping phase for over a year. The chart is not showing that. You're manipulating the data to try to prove your point, which has been wrong for a while.
You are not a bright person.
The thing is, at some point he will be right lol. I’m so on the bandwagon that we will see a crash and totally bias because I’ve been sitting on cash for over 2 years, but I totally get what you’re saying as well.
@@TimC-tm5gb Thanks for such an intelligent response. You got that from one comment on UA-cam huh?
This is his opinion. What is yours ? Its a generation of free speech. He has the right to say anything he sees and wishes to say. He may be wrong , or right , just unsubscribe so that u don't listen anymore
I agree with your frustration towards people like this. They are always revisionist. In a year or more the market might finally crash after going up to 7-8k and then he’ll still go “I told you so” that’s what all of these so called market experts do.
$80K BTC to $16K in 2018 😳
How did I miss that? Lol…
Agreed, I don’t remember that either, can you report this to him for I do fact check on it what he just said.
Sorry ya I mean 60K, im not a crypto guy can pull exact numbers out of my head sorry guys my bad
what platform is that ? thank you
eSignal
Awesome
Thank you