Julio Rodriguez 2022 Series 2 Projected Print Runs!
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- Опубліковано 25 лип 2022
- In today's video. I will be breaking down how many Julio Rodriguez Series 2 rookie cards were printed for 2022 Topps Series 2. This is an extremely important question to answer as the print run will determine the value that this Julio Rodriguez Sp rookie card will carry. Julio Rodriguez will also have other rookies coming out this year and identifying the print run early will let you know whether this rookie card or others will be the one to target.
Thank you for putting in the time to research this. Great job as always!
Amazing analytics! Thank you for sharing and I will say that you have some great followers who add to your data with their experiences. Always a pleasure to watch Scottie B Cards!
i love these videos man, you took all the time you needed and did the math, and i think you are pretty damn close. I love your vids and i hope you keep making these.
Great info, thanks for putting so much time into this!
Great data driven video. Much appreciated as usual!
Thanks Scottie for the info !! Always look forward to your videos !!!!!!!
Love when Scottie says, "Solve for x."
In most online breaks I've seen, Witt and JRod seems to be coming out "in addition to" the regular short prints numbers you'd expect, so I think the conclusion is that there are more of these than regular short prints. Sort of confirm the suspicion that these cards were added in late to boost sales given the lackluster RC list for Series 2.
Thanks for the video. I have pulled any Julio's this year yet. But, I'll definitely be on the lookout now.
New sub here. Thanks for doing a breakdown of this. It gives us a better idea how rare it really is.
Awesome Scottie!!!! gets us close enough thanx for puttin in the work 💯🍻
Another banger Scottie. You the man Scottie.
Thanks for the hard work, and breaking down the numbers…still a pick up for me raw…throughly enjoyed
Hit the like before watching, these are always spot on
So far you have 121 likes to 471 views. Better than 1 like per 4 views ratio. thats sick bro!!! Keep up the great content, and great math!
Awesome breakdown! I am keeping mine for now!
Sell
Another great video, thanks
Preparing dinner and listening. Great content much appreciated!!
Thanks Scottie! I have a Juan Soto hands on hips card - how many were printed of those?
I believe there will be a Julio RC home field advantage
I bought one hobby box and hit the JRod. Couldn’t believe what is was selling for so I watched about a dozen breaks and only saw maybe 1 or 2. Seems pretty rare to me, but I’m too inexperienced to know if it will still be a $350 card 6 months from now. JRod keeps crushing it, maybe.
Great video. I'd like to hear feedback from others but you have great math and logic.
Cheers.
If it’s anything like past releases then the sp
Will be around 2k-2300. The underrated shorter printed parallels are the gold foils
Indeed a lot work went into this. You got a sub from me brother
1 thing I may disagree on. You said Julio is an easy grade. Philmington (a you tuber) bough 6 on ebay thinking they would all grade well. He said the surface was real bad on 4 of the cards. The surface quality of this card make keep the gem rate down more than your expecting. Great math/research as always!
Searching Julio 659, many sold cards are graded, I’m wondering how much the total listing numbers are inflated due to the card being bought, graded, then sold again.
Just looking at the completed sales.
Another thought: since 2018 topps is 4 years older, likely a higher percentage of these packs have been opened. Considering this, there are probably a higher percentage of the Acuna cards in circulation than the JRod cards. May balance out the low Acuna performance factor on eBay sales.
Thanks for the video!
Solid vid!
This was really well done. Thank you. Any ideas on the Wander SP from Series 1 in the Devil Rays uniform? Would you say that was also around ~20,000 cards? Thanks.
I have opened many boxes over the years, and I am a set builder. I will say this is printed much lower then previous releases in my opinion. I needed 27 cards for series 2 and ended up with just a handful of doubles. Very easy to build the set.
It seems like there was a SP in every hanger box of 2018?.... Or at least close to that! That's not even hobby.....
If u ever need anything to complete sets let me know I might have it. I have like 20 5,000ct boxes 10-12 3,500ct and binders full of commons and $1-$10 cards
@@Musclemonkey91 Sounds good. Any older commons? Pre 1970?
Great Video! What do you think of his Rookie Auto 35th?
It sure seems like the gold variation that is printed to the year of the card is a lot more rare than the short print, so why does the short print command so much more?
Like the videos but, how many short prints and SS prints?
I opened up one hanger. Didn't get anything except for a casey mise in a sweatshirt sunglasses paper. How many copies of this did tops printed?
Scottie, great video! To recap, are you guesstimating that there are between 5k to 15k or the JROD sp in the S2 release? Did I understand that correctly?
Yes, that is what he is saying. About the same as bat down acuna
The fact that a flagship rookie card contains maybe 5k - 15k copies is awesome enough for me. I believe it was the best choice Topps made for a rc. Comparing to Acuna sp, he at least had a regular base rookie.
Scottie would you guess Witt and torkelson would be the same? What about regular sps? Would they also run around the same numbers?
awesome video as always Scottie. however I don't really think 15,000 is a 'rare' number. you will be able to find one of these any day of the week with that print run.
Well, you’re wrong. 15k is rare.
I've done some of these math problems to figure out odds for cards in the past and it's a lot more fun to do it than to watch someone else do it.
i like to use baseballcardpedia and times the pack odds with the # of cards in the set to get a basic print run score.
What do you think will be a better card the Julio Short print or the Julio '87 auto from series 2? I think 10k is a fair guess for the Julio SP, but I would imagine the '87 auto print run has to be around 1,000? I believe it has parallels to /199, /25, /1, and maybe 500-750 base.
The auto would
Thank you Scottie!!
Awesome vid 👍
Excellent break down, personally I am glad I hit my J-Rod SP in one jumbo box, got it graded a PSA 10 and sold it as the second graded one on the market for ~$1700, oh and all with a little friendly advice from Scotty himself! Thanks and keep up the great content 👍
No matter what, this is turning into the ultimate chase.
I only have bought retail series 2. Maybe 8 blasters and 3 hangers. I've pulled 4 sp's in that. Bo Jackson, Andrew McCutchen, Brandon Lowe and Spencer Torkelson.
ive pulled 2 SP's so far, Ryan Vilade, and Bo Jackson. Im Hunting for one of these though!
Good stuff to know as I’m still trying to find series 2 as the scalpers are everywhere for this
Terrible trying to find series 2. I've had to drive for almost two hours to find anything retail...
@@jamessutter6700 dude it’s crazy, I can’t find anything
I love these print run estimate vids, Scott!
Great video.
I have a question there is a image variation of this SP but it’s going for $100ish instead of almost $400. Isn’t this a better buy right now ? Wouldn’t there be even less of those ?
You are probably looking at complete set variations. They come from the complete sets and will have a much higher PR than this J Rod. They will not get more love than the S2 SP
does that include jumbo hobbies?
I had just asked about this on another channel because I've been seeing a lot of folks pulling this J Rod SP.
Wow great video
Scottie B. The GOAT. Thanks for this!
I’ve opened 6 blasters and have found 4 rc image variants of course non of the big 3 but they are coming out on average a lot
Is this card in the retail boxes as well?
Great time to buy an Acuna Bat down PSA 10 right now for 1K. What makes the PSA 10 unique is the card is hard to get a gem 💎 mint. I’ll wait for the Julio SP to go down. It’s priced a little high right now.
What if it doesn’t go down?
Correct I pulled an Acuna bat down from a retail Walmart fat pack and it has a slightly white corner fresh out the pack
Mikey Drawz wow that must of been one of the biggest pulls of your life. Congratulations 🎉. I bought a PSA 10 for $1500. Raw cards look great in a one touch.
When chrome comes out, prices of the SP might drop. Just my .02. We will never actually know how much they're printed. No transparency from Topps or Panini
Except you can expect a JROD chrome in the Target exclusive Topps Chrome Update.
@@Hardball247 He will be in regular update I'd think also. Riley Greene I'm guessing also
Look for Julio in Topps chrome. Not update. Only 2 months away.
I like that you put .02, instead of saying 'Two Cents'...nice
@@leapheap6837 well.....that didnt happen.
Ask and you shall receive. Thanks for making this video Scottie
From what I've seen, I've been seeing people them left and right out of retail boxes compared to seeing JabFamily opened 6 cases and only came away with one of each (J Rod, Witt, Spencer)
IDK, I've opened quite a bit of S2 retail stuff and have yet to pull a J Rod base card. 🤷♂ It's like his base card is a 'hidden SP' like Vladdy JR or whatever rookie was a 'soft SP' in flagship a few years ago.
It's super rare. And I've BEEN trying hard to figure this out at this point. I have personally spent over 900 dollars on series 2. 2 Hobby boxes, 2 24 pack retail boxes, 19 Blasters, 6 Jumbo packs, 11 Misc Hobby packs and 14 Hangers. I've pulled 7 Short Prints. Bryan Reynolds, Eloy Jimenez, Jack Flaherty, Max Muncy, TWO Ryan Vilade, and Frank Robinson. Crazy.
You will have a mush better chance at getting sp’s in hobby jumbos. If you are buying blasters just to look for sp’s might as well be money wasted
Is the Reynolds the one of him in the yellow shirt? Yeah I got that one too… but no frickin Julio
@@GinoBtheman yep that's the one.
@@Sam_Baseball Do you have anything factual to prove your statement? Retail fat packs have always had tons of SP's. I still remember the days when the fat packs were on clearance, ohhhh those 2018 fat packs! Series 2 and Update, just sat there day after day.
@@coreypersky927 buying singular packs now will grant you some Sp’s, but not ad much as buying retail boxes or jumbo
Interesting video. Topps will never state Print Run or Odds of last minute RC SP additions. You may end up being correct with a range of 5K-15K, but only Topps knows the actual number. Sample data from a year after 2022 Topps Series 2 Released will be useful, but ultimately it will be based on Player Performance what these 3 RC SPs are worth. Julio Rodriguez is playing great, Bobby Witt Jr. was getting Hot (Hamstring) and Spencer Torkelson was sent back to the Minors…the future is unknown…Collectors should probably get all three RC SPs to be safe. 🤓⚾️
i swear i see the julio pulled every day on social media.
If there's ten thousand or more of these things slabbed in the next ten years they won't be that rare. Let's face it 95% of them will be graded because they were the best card in the product.
And out of those 10,000 I can only imagine how many of them will be in gem slabs.. worst quality control I’ve seen in years for 2022 Topps series 1 and 2.
95% sounds quite high, I’d guess not even Trout’s rookie is close to 95% and it’s been 10 years
I’ll never grade mine. But I’m a boomer. lol
I sold my PSA 10 on eBay. I think $2,000ish is the ceiling so I sold. I hope I’m not wrong. 10,000 is a low print run for sure but this card feels like an easy 10.
Good call. There's already one listed for $1300
One could call targets etc walk with purchasing manager ask how many retail boxes they ordered. Multiply by total stores and get the number of boxes of target and do same for Walmart etc.
Thank you
I’ve watched so many box openings haven’t seen any open any short prints
Scotty can you do something on all the topps different short prints rookies with all just the shorts pri Ted rookies and variations plz it would be an awesome video
I JUST BOUGHT AN ACUNA NOT THE BAT DOWN THE OTHERS
What about retail? It’s pulled in retail blasters all the time
Retail was in his equation
This is a tough pull. Look on eBay at any given time. Might be 80-100 at most. Maybe less. You have all the other short prints that you could possibly pull so you will be lucky to pull the julio out of them all. I hit the julio on my third blaster I opened from series 2. Would be shocked to pull another one.
.
I pulled Bobby Witt from my second blaster bought! I see way more Julio's for sale than Bobby Witt Jr. That's why I was asking before about the JR cards.
Probably because jrod is hotter than witt i.e. more jrods being sold than witt.
🤙🏻thanks I got one $400
I'm done with these assumptions 😅 it's less than 10k and you guys gotta just start believing me considering the math at the beginning is ALL that needs to be done on this video. instead of coming up with random hyperbole and assumptions to leave the door open that it's more. It's not. I'd bet a lot of $ on that.
And just letting y'all know. It isn't an easy grade as you think either. I can PROMISE ya that. Tons of surface/edge issues. If you believe in Jrod, don't get stuck in the mud with short sightedness bc come march of next year, those cards aren't going to be flooding the market from being ripped/flipped/graded like they are presently BC of the shock of not only the rarity and value, but the talent that Jrod posseses.
Love the Scottie B
Great video, even with 10k how many of those are PSA 10s? I think this will hold value in the long run with a slight inflation right now. If he is half the player we expect 5 years from now this will be a gem.
Well there's always room for math teacher's....damn I felt like I was in 3rd period math class in highschool but anyways great breakdown thanks!
Excellent share.
love the m's... love j-rod... but i feel disrespected by them tossing out a spring training picture. not spending close to 200 on a rookie card of him playing while he hadn't made the team yet... and now its at 400
Nice werk
Are the rookie SPs only available in hobby packs?
No. I pulled the Bobby Witt and the Jrod both in the same $25 blaster box from Walmart. Best box I’ve ever bought
@@seatownfinest509 wow, crazy.
I have a j rod sp with a soft corner. Came out of the pack like that. Should I send it in to get a replacement?
They're not gonna replace that.
@@johnwayne9828 no for sure?
@@matthewswan1266 wouldnt think so. Alotta cards from topps this year have surface, edge, and corner issues. Short of getting a card with a hole or torn in half or something, dont think theyll replace it.
@John Wayne kills me. I was so happy to see it. But the corner is nicely smashed. Worse then just soft. I under exaggerated, if you took 25% of a dime, that's about how soft the corner is. That drives me nuts. Every either card in the box was mint
@@matthewswan1266 that does suck. Saw a video of a dude pulled vintage stock jrod update rookie numbered to 99 and it was miscut. Card was centered like 10/90 top to bottom. Could be wrong but I think upper deck was the only company that would replace damaged cards. When it comes down to it, all they guarantee is you'll get x amount of cards per pack, no guarantee on condition. I feel your pain though. As many blasters as I went through trying to pull a jrod sp(which I didnt), I would've been so pissed if the card wasnt perfect. Honestly quality control doesnt seem to even exist with these companies nowadays. Dont take my word for gospel, wouldnt hurt to reach out to topps about their replacement policy.
I dont think you need the numbers sold and currently on sale on ebay as sales on ebay could be duplicates being relisted (eg for non payment) and also ebay isnt the only market
Might be one of those things where grading comes into play. Even if the price drops raw, a Psa/BGS 10 will still go up from low pop count. I think the Pop count is too high for it to be worth the investment raw IMO. I rather speculate on cards I find aesthetically pleasing, Short prints look so similar to base cards. So many may be lost forever, decreasing the circulation of the card, and increasing value. A purist might prefer the “classic” look. To each their own.
Good stuff
As long as the kid produces, this card will be fine.
Genius. Top notch mathematical analysis. This kind of research is exactly what the hobby needs. Great job.
I got my Julio series 2 SP and got it PSA 10 and I will be selling to go towards 1985 Topps Roger Clemens rookie PSA 10 because he might get into the hall of fame next month, Clemens all the way for me
Have y’all seen any O’Neil Cruz cause I have one
That’s the guy I want lol not jrod
So what about Spencer Torkelson and Bobby Witt Jr? Ive pulled four JRod, two Bobby Witt and only one Torkelson. I feel Torkelson is the toughest pull of them all. I base that on my personal experience.
You pulled 4 jrod sp's?
good stuff
I pulled the JROD SP in my 5th blaster box
There is nobody buying this product who doesn't know about this card. Nobody knows what percentage of these pulled will be graded, but it's pretty certain that the percentage sleeved and top-loaded instantly out of the pack is 99.9%. These are $200 boxes they're coming from; $30+ after tax. Nobody who spends that type is oblivious to the potential in the product. 20% of them are likely psa 10s in pack.
I don't think we can count on any numbers anymore. I honestly think the companies are short printing cards in base sets and not announcing it. For example, if they are all the same, how's it possible to open so much Prizm Basketball and pull so many crappy rookies, including like 10 of the same guy, and still not pull a LaMelo. Have seen the same with Prizm football, and other sports and sets. I think the big RCs in FB and BKB have been short printed the last couple of seasons, in Prizm for sure. And similar things in some baseball products from Topps.
I just pulled this card out of a clearance blaster at walmart for $16🤯
In my opinion...it's a great card to get graded but it will come WAY down this winter
Still going for 300 raw in auction format in late January.
Random comment just to help support the channel.
I’ve busted an absolute ridiculous amount of series 2 haven’t even pulled 1 of his base cards. The only sp variation I’ve pulled was kenley jansen. I think because of the massive print runs on the base garbage it’s made it so much harder to pull anything worth more then the white dog💩will Ferrell had to lick in step brothers
Tell me why I have bought 3 hobby boxes (all from the same LCS btw) and I've pulled two JRods.... CRAZY!!!!!!!
Dude on youtube pulled 2 from one blaster box. But saw a guy comment that hes bought $900 worth of product and not hit one. I've also bought around 10 blasters and pulled 1 single SP(cody bellinger).
I got a jrod and Clemens in 1 pack
He doesn't have a lock on ROY yet.
I'm spending my money on Jeremy Pena
Pena isn't that far behind in numbers
Lmao
Have fun investing in a grandpa in regards to Peña’s age when he made his debut. Way too old lol.
15,000 IS a low number if there are 400,000 of each base in series 2