These "Today Years Old" posts are getting out of hand...
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- Опубліковано 13 лип 2023
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Percent chance doesn’t equal percent coverage although it does factor it in. If a storm is on course to hit 50% of your city, there is a 50% chance of rain. The storm could divert to miss the city or divert to cover the city, but the EXPECTED percent coverage is 50%. I saw this on someone who’s watched the news before and nothing wlse
I feel like it has to be a combination of both though. Forecast will always have some uncertainties involved which translate to some probability of certain outcomes. For small regions, it will be more like chance of rain, and for large regions (e.g. extreme scenario the entire continent), it will be more like the percentage of region that is raining.
@@unicellecinu oh it’s definitely both, that’s what I’m saying. I’m just bad at wording
Not true. If we're assuming that it WILL rain, without a doubt, then the chance of rain varies based on your location. If you are in one of the areas where it is hypothetically guaranteed to rain, then there is a 100% chance of rain. Not 50%.
Obviously, it isn't feasible to tailor weather forecasts to each individual person so they just use the blanket 50% and don't bother going into specifics.
Now I don't have any top secret intel into how meteorologists arrive at this percentage, but in order to get an 'average' chance of rain for a generic resident, one would have to adjust for the population density in each area and so on and so forth. But even then, this average percentage is not really accurate. It's just a generalization.
Sorry this is wrong. Probability of Precipitation (PoP) = C x A. C being confidence of forecaster. A being area expected.
Forecaster is 50% confident that 80% of an area will see rain. PoP = 40% chance of rain.
@@GigiRuffa that makes sense, what is the confidence a breakdown of? The expectation that the storm will maintain expected course, size, and severity?
I love how long Richelle's "go fuck yourself" lasts on screen.
1:12 That reminds me. I gotta go get my cut.
I'll ask them to hit me with a fade this time
The "fake today I learned" idea has been done by Jacksfilms like 4 times btw. its a running bit. worth watching
12:25 as an aussie i can confirm cassowaries do actually sound like that, and its terrifying
reminds me i need to call my dr and get that monthly appointment
People follow these twitter pages to avoid finding the tiktoks themselves.
We watch Stanz to avoid having to find the twitter pages ourselves.
So thankful for your content Stanz
I was today years old when i decided to finally subscribe after watching your content for months
I didn't know about the pull out visor extension, but tbf I live in the UK where the sun never rises so its all good
Refreshed and stanz popped up
It's interesting how your content is about you discovering things instead of covering the news, turned your naivety into entertainment great job shaun!
I was today years old when I liked this video
I was today year old when I liked this comment
I was today years old when I replied to this comment
I was today years old when I read this comment
I did it yesterday, yall slow to the race 😝
Same
Jeans guy is real, by the way. Captain Disillusion approved.
I was today years old when i found out that the deep one approaches and the age of man is at its end
Glad you got the memo! The deep one worked real hard on getting the message out there 😁
I just watched a couple glad trash bag commercials, and they have the seam on the outside. And that chatter was right that percent chance and percent area are the same, because you only exist in one place, so no matter what, you only have a 30% chance of seeing rain, regardless of how you interpret it.
12:00 animals are (usually) sedated for x-rays so that they keep still, that's why this hedgehog looks dead 😂 and they taped his little limbs down so he's not all curled up and so that the techs don't have to have their hands in the x-ray too.
Source: I'm a vet tech/pet groomer lol
Stanz looking good in that jacket
The visor thing cannot be true, I do not believe mine can pull out like that.
“he lied to me and showed me his stretched out ballsack”
had me dying💀💀
12:12
I wonder how Stanz would find out about skibidi toilet
Heard it here first, blood=red KoolAid
Trash bag the right way
Stanz flexing his money out here not all of us can afford electric cars STANZ.
Got a banger video idea. Telling you not chussy cuz it would be doper if u pull it off. Walking around downtown telling random people "I like your newest video"
And I was today years old when I liked and commented on this videa. Keep up the good work hon❤❤
Early for the first time ever on a Friday? Must be my lucky day!
I thought he was going to say the pee was stored in the balls
Stanz being a rich snob momentarily 10:00
Bonus 13:27
No hate though jokes are jokes and I’m subbed
I was today years old when I found Stanz house
NODDERS
wait thats so true about the grease fire cause the pan upside down
that guys toast is the moast mid shit ever cause he dont butter it enough
stanz isn't a knower (his blood is like tar)
Thats how you end a video
I'm losing it (actively)
Please buy me an electric car so I can save the planet just like you.
Reupload?
I accidentally uploaded this a week or so ago, and only 300 people saw it before I took it down. So you mustve been one of the lucky few lmao - caanths
@@stanzdamn I thought I was going crazy lol
i swear 4this is a reupload I've seen this video before
Staniel
When I was your age, I was today years old
13:04
And now your plastic spatula can sit on top of a live flame while you do some cool tricks with your pan 😎
somebody tell lil nas x about these horses, he needs to know
Nah the grilled cheese is an awful hack…. If you have a bunch of butter or oil in the pan the second you flip it all that’s starting a fire…
how many kids died mining cobalt for your electric car? tell me more about saving the enviroment
3 views, 47 seconds ago, this video was posted
Thnx
hey jsut wnana mark this here:) but i’m tripping on mushrooms right now and just wanna let you all know you’re amazing and don’t let anyone tell you otherwise :))
update: that curly hair horse fucked me up
I love the idea that foreskin can just keep growing until it slides cross the floor like one of those anti static strips they used to put on the back of cars to help protect against lightning.
Like "REAL MEN used to be able to stand in open fields during lightning storms WITHOUT DYING because they DIDN'T trim their foreskins like little effeminate BABIES." I say back to anti static monke. Unleash the strip
half of these are people just absolutely making shit up and half of these are people just like not reading the manual ever
Great video.
Curly haired master race is a hot take there brother
That fucking dog
I stand by what I said in stream. This is how I use a Colander/or a sieve. It just feels right. Obviously not a plastic one though
I believe most of these are for attention.
Your reasoning for the Colander is correct but for the opposite argument lmfao.
When you pour it it’s harder to control the water. And also if the thought is that it would melt then it would in theory melt doing it the other way too 😂
But if you think about it, a 30% chance of it raining in your specific area is the exact same as saying there’s a 30% chance of rain. it’s 100% going to rain somewhere in that area, but your odds of being in the area it rains is 30% (I paused right before they discussed it lmao, but I agree)
Where do you live that it's always a 100% chance it's going to rain somewhere in your area when they predict a 30% chance of rain? We can have a 95% chance and still end up with blue skies statewide because wind exists
@@Avendesora I live in Louisiana, it never stops raining
Bruh what did I just read.
Meteorologists calculate _Probability_ of Precipitation (PoP) using PoP = C x A. C = Confidence. A = Area.
That simple, nothin else to it.
I sincerely hope you're joking when you say your electric car is any better than a gas car.
I bet you he is not
top 10 philosophers of the 20th century
1. sunnyv2
2.stanz
3.hasanabi
4.john Oliver green
5.oompaville
6.moist critical
7.drew Durnil
8.ludwig
9.jacob Satorius
10.danny Gonzella
Where is everyone getting this mis info about percent chance or rain??? 30% chance does NOT mean there is guaranteed rain in 30% of the area... there is a 70% chance there is no rain at all and 30% chance the area gets some rain. Just google it, its so easy to find???
2:50 ROCKETMONEY - where you can PAY EXTRA, so we can sell your data EXTRA GOOD! Why pay less when you can pay more, so anyone with big bucks can know everything about you? ROCKETMONEY - pay now, regret later.