ESPN's FPI Odds Confirms the Big 12 2024 Season Will be WILD!

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  • Опубліковано 29 сер 2024
  • ESPN's FPI (Football Power Index) were released on Monday and one thing is certain: The Big 12 Conference is going to be the most insane league in college football this season.
    Where does each team stand? Who is underrated and overrated? Did ESPN get it right? Heartland College Sports' Pete Mundo reacts and takes you through the ratings.
    If you're a BIG 12 fan and aren't on the Heartland College Sports forums, please consider signing up (it's free) to interact with awesome fellow Big 12 fans: www.heartlandc...

КОМЕНТАРІ • 98

  • @iiSwearTV
    @iiSwearTV 2 місяці тому +4

    I agree with you. If Colorado o line play good they can go far. They got the depth and guys In the trenches they were missing last year. Dline will be phenomenal…. The O line will be the key tho

    • @heartlandcollegesports
      @heartlandcollegesports  2 місяці тому

      Exactly. It's not crazy to think they're at least in the conversation in November! Thanks for watching and hope you'll consider our HCS message boards! www.heartlandcollegesports.com/members-forum/

  • @Jonus_Grumby
    @Jonus_Grumby 2 місяці тому +1

    ESPN consistently underestimates O-State. Apparently again this year.

  • @heartlandcollegesports
    @heartlandcollegesports  2 місяці тому +8

    ESPN BIG 12 FPI ODDS FOR 2024
    17.4%-Kansas
    16.0%-Kansas St
    11.5%-Arizona
    8.5%-Okla St
    8.2%-Utah
    7.9%-TCU
    7.6%-Texas Tech
    7.0%-UCF
    5.0%-West Virginia
    4.1%-Colorado
    3.2%-Iowa St
    1.6%-Baylor
    0.6%-ASU
    0.6%-Cincy
    0.5%-BYU
    0.3%-Houston

    • @tomterrible9717
      @tomterrible9717 2 місяці тому +3

      I want what that FPI be smokin! Those odds be crazy! 🤣

    • @TotalDrganMania
      @TotalDrganMania 2 місяці тому +1

      WTF did we do to piss off the computer? We invented you! -ISU

    • @heartlandcollegesports
      @heartlandcollegesports  2 місяці тому

      @@TotalDrganMania ISU's percentage is stunningly low, I agree!

    • @stevemoserify
      @stevemoserify 2 місяці тому

      that parity is beautiful

    • @fwilliamcony28
      @fwilliamcony28 2 місяці тому

      @@stevemoserify Except when you see 7% or below. lol

  • @TotalDrganMania
    @TotalDrganMania 2 місяці тому +4

    Was 0:44 a dig at locked on big 12? Because if so, bravo

    • @wint3rsoldier
      @wint3rsoldier 2 місяці тому

      lol that’s what I was thinking

  • @SMichaelDeHart
    @SMichaelDeHart 2 місяці тому +6

    I agree, the BigXII is going to be exciting and fun to watch this year. Hoping my Mountaineers continue to build off what they started last year. Im looking for our triple threat in the backfield (Greene, White and Donaldson) to run it down everyone throats...I hope!! Yes we do have the toughest BigXII schedule...especially starting out with Penn State and Pitt starting off. Then the BigXII grinder.
    Pete, maybe it's like the 'Locked on' channels?? I call it having the 'Gold n' Blue Dude' (RIP) syndrome. Sling up as much mud as you can and praying something sticks!! Even tho i loved GnBDude channel before he passed, I always gave him heck for some of his outrageous realignment predictions. That's exactly what LoS channels are doing.

    • @heartlandcollegesports
      @heartlandcollegesports  2 місяці тому +2

      Their channels have become pathetic click-bait nonsense... it's sad.
      And yes, I'd love to see WVU make that HUGE leap, but MAN it's going to be TOUGH!

    • @SMichaelDeHart
      @SMichaelDeHart 2 місяці тому +1

      @@heartlandcollegesports I know 2 of my brothers (in Boone NC & Winchester VA) and my nephew (in Amarillo TX) have started watch you , upon my recommendation. Of course we're all WVU fans and my oldest brother is also a Ta&m fan (graduated w/Masters there).

  • @RJIII-5
    @RJIII-5 2 місяці тому +1

    No subscribe until you update the wall with the correct members.

  • @kevinkozisek3903
    @kevinkozisek3903 2 місяці тому +9

    Kansas home games are in Kansas City. Not true home games.

    • @heartlandcollegesports
      @heartlandcollegesports  2 місяці тому +1

      That's fair... but what's your point. Easier? Harder? Even if they're tougher... their schedule is still relatively easy.

    • @kevinkozisek3903
      @kevinkozisek3903 2 місяці тому

      @@heartlandcollegesports I feel not the true home stadium makes it possibly harder. Like it's closer for Iowa State to travel to the game. Will be a ton of ISU fans there.

    • @stevemoserify
      @stevemoserify 2 місяці тому +3

      Iowa State game will be neutral, the other 5 will all be like home games

    • @fwilliamcony28
      @fwilliamcony28 2 місяці тому +1

      KU opens the Big XII season in Morgantown which is 866 miles away Eastward from KC and a 14 1/2 hour drive. Their last game there went into OT and the Jayhawks got the edge. That opener will speak volumes!

    • @heartlandcollegesports
      @heartlandcollegesports  2 місяці тому +1

      @@fwilliamcony28 it’s one of the most important games in the big 12! Can’t wait!

  • @sethelgin1575
    @sethelgin1575 2 місяці тому

    Kansas at home is actually playing in Kansas City Missouri. The cyclones are gonna show up! Already got tickets.

    • @heartlandcollegesports
      @heartlandcollegesports  2 місяці тому

      Yep that’s true should be a great game!! Btw hope you’ll consider our HCS forums! www.heartlandcollegesports.com/members-forum/

  • @chucky0034
    @chucky0034 2 місяці тому +1

    ESPN FPI 😂, my dogs can make a good guess 50% of the time.

  • @truckingwithtony5830
    @truckingwithtony5830 2 місяці тому +1

    Colorado has a lot more depth than I think people realize.

    • @heartlandcollegesports
      @heartlandcollegesports  2 місяці тому

      I’ll be curious to see if that’s the case. It would be good for the Big 12! Thanks Tony. Hope you’ll consider hopping on our HCS message boards!

    • @truckingwithtony5830
      @truckingwithtony5830 2 місяці тому

      @@heartlandcollegesports I just might! I’d recommend checking DNVR Sports or David Talks Buffs. They surprisingly have a 3 deep on the OL and 4 ish on the OL. They’re light at Linebacker though which is where I’d be concerned, granted they’ve brought in some quality transfers.

    • @truckingwithtony5830
      @truckingwithtony5830 2 місяці тому +1

      @@heartlandcollegesports I’ll have to! definitely recommend checking some of the Colorado media channels. Got a 3 deep on the OL, and atleast 3 maybe 4 on the DL. It’s the LB room that’s a little thin, but they brought in quality transfers.

    • @heartlandcollegesports
      @heartlandcollegesports  2 місяці тому

      @@truckingwithtony5830 Love it, thanks!

  • @Goeers206
    @Goeers206 2 місяці тому +7

    Even a computer program gives my poor Mountaineers no respect lol

    • @CarlaJenkinsTV
      @CarlaJenkinsTV 2 місяці тому +1

      Blame it on the Yeti in the computer.

    • @heartlandcollegesports
      @heartlandcollegesports  2 місяці тому +1

      BRUTAL open to the season. 11 P5 games not helping. But yes, still no respect!

    • @fwilliamcony28
      @fwilliamcony28 2 місяці тому +3

      Might be the same Media Days computer programs that predicted 4 wins last season and a last place finish in the Big XII. None of those computers foresaw 9 wins and a national ranking in the Coach's Poll.

    • @Lfg117
      @Lfg117 2 місяці тому +1

      Heyyyyyyo.

    • @heartlandcollegesports
      @heartlandcollegesports  2 місяці тому

      @@fwilliamcony28 Maybe...! Although I think that was the Big 12 media poll.

  • @KyleKlell
    @KyleKlell 2 місяці тому +1

    Gob Bluth ! Go Arizona Wildcats !! 10-2

    • @heartlandcollegesports
      @heartlandcollegesports  2 місяці тому

      Could be an exciting first BIG 12 season for Arizona! Welcome to the Big 12 and hope you'll sign up for our HCS Forums! www.heartlandcollegesports.com/members-forum/

  • @ShannonMiller-kc7hb
    @ShannonMiller-kc7hb 2 місяці тому +2

    Exactly right Pete. We got death battles every week!

  • @richardoneal1055
    @richardoneal1055 2 місяці тому +5

    20,000 simulations of old data. Doesn't account for coaching changes or roster changes.

    • @heartlandcollegesports
      @heartlandcollegesports  2 місяці тому

      But it does... as best as it can, based on their ratings. It's not perfect, but it's something: www.espn.com/college-football/story/_/id/40251276/2024-college-football-fpi-release-top-teams-new-playoff-format-trends

    • @toothytube
      @toothytube 2 місяці тому

      Analytical analysis of the rosters & coaching staffs is not only factored into the FPI formula, it's essentially the basis for the entire procedure.

  • @jrfjosh
    @jrfjosh 2 місяці тому

    K-State all the way! It’s crazy placing KU in first in the espn odds. Klieman is building a great team this year and next year. Back to back Big 12 champs guaranteed.
    2022
    2024
    2025
    They will get 3 out of last 4, you will be saying it in December 2025.

  • @pnut2552
    @pnut2552 2 місяці тому

    Yes, WVU has a tough schedule.. I like that!! Makes a team tougher imo! And if they can make it through and win it will set them up good for playing tough teams in the playoff! LET'S GOOOOOO MOUNTAINEERS!! 🏈🏀⚾🇺🇸

  • @robertpearce4316
    @robertpearce4316 2 місяці тому +3

    With no home games and no defense it'll be a tough road.
    Ksu has almost a whole new team
    Dnt let your utah fans see this. They have the easiest schedule.

    • @heartlandcollegesports
      @heartlandcollegesports  2 місяці тому +1

      You talking about KU? I also won't risk it with Daniels' injury history. No way I would be on KU, even though I do think their schedule is one of the easier ones.

  • @untitledproduction5153
    @untitledproduction5153 2 місяці тому

    How old is route for the Big 12 teams unless they're playing Oklahoma State 💪🤠

  • @Phislammajamma4ever
    @Phislammajamma4ever 2 місяці тому +4

    Willie gonna have us rolling

    • @heartlandcollegesports
      @heartlandcollegesports  2 місяці тому +1

      Would love to see it! And we need some more UH voices on the message boards, buddy! :-) www.heartlandcollegesports.com/members-forum/

    • @keenanhadnot7746
      @keenanhadnot7746 2 місяці тому +1

      With Willie Fritz HOUSTON finally has an adult in the room. Coach Fritz already making a culture impact at HOUSTON keeping the local talent at home. Eventually he'll cherry pick up a few of those high 4 & 3*

    • @techtiger38
      @techtiger38 2 місяці тому

      Willie...silly goose.

    • @heartlandcollegesports
      @heartlandcollegesports  2 місяці тому +2

      @@keenanhadnot7746 Very underrated hire and much needed. Dana was NEVER going to work. The hire was from his buddy Tilman Fertita and he was nothing but an excuse maker at WVU!

    • @retireorbust
      @retireorbust 2 місяці тому

      In year 3 Houston will be a contender.

  • @colerogers9767
    @colerogers9767 2 місяці тому

    Don’t you think the big 12 would be best served to have two or three elite teams instead of parity from top to bottom?

  • @pnut2552
    @pnut2552 2 місяці тому +1

    Am I detecting a lil bit of shade being thrown towards a certain"Locked on" channel that seems to have outrageous video titles everyday, sometimes several times a day?? 😂 I love the Big XII, and the Big XII UA-cam channels and community, but much like GBD (RIP my friend 😢), certain channels only focus on crazy headlines and A LOT of "what ifs", which I guess there isn't a lot of concrete news this time of year, but it gets old hearing the same stuff that you know has like 5% chance of happening being talked about like its inevitable... Idk.. LET'S GOOOOOO MOUNTAINEERS 🏈🏀⚾🇺🇸😎

  • @stevencraven4897
    @stevencraven4897 2 місяці тому +1

    You need to update your wall soon.....😊

  • @Lfg117
    @Lfg117 2 місяці тому +2

    Big12 Fb Pwr Rank: June '24
    1Kansas
    2Utah
    3UCF
    4Colorado
    5KSU
    6TCU
    7WVU
    8IowaSt
    9TexTech
    10Arizona
    11OkSt
    12Baylor
    13BYU
    14Cincinnati
    15UH
    16AzSt
    Fading '24 Az: kneecapped by portal- & coaching staff losses. OkSt: d' vulnerable vs up-tempo offenses.

    • @Gr8H8ful8
      @Gr8H8ful8 2 місяці тому +2

      WVU below Houston and 3 teams it defeated last year is wild

    • @Lfg117
      @Lfg117 2 місяці тому +1

      ​@austinsmith7519 not intended as a jab at wvu. was a risky guess, putting faith in new uh hc fritz (which might not happen in 1st yr, in '24). not a native-texan, but after previously living in dfw for 2 decades, i developed a respect for uh (& hou.-region hs fb) which, i freely admit, subjectively impacted my preseason guess-list. am well aware that a chunk of big12 fans/media believe in '24 wvu. for me, the worry is the 'eers' '24 d'. as a mountaineer fan, you'd likely wax poetic re how gr8 the '24 wvu d' will be. I understand. i've found giving feedback re a ranking list is ez and that making a ranking list is headache-inducing. slotting the 6-10 big12 fb teams in '24 is a beyotch, esp. bc of ur very squad wvu, plus isu & others - all of whom have a goodly amount of talent. imo, in some cases, there is little apparent separation between some of those teams. if my 'gut' guess re uh is way too inflated & wrong? enjoy a good laugh at my expense. wvu & isu r talented, but also hi-variance teams, imo.

    • @Lfg117
      @Lfg117 2 місяці тому +1

      ​​@@Gr8H8ful8I revised my b12 pwr rank, more in line w nat'l perception around the TCU-ISU-WVU cluster (which K.Ford has rated 36,37,38, underscoring my early take that those 3 r tuff to separate).

  • @shallojalloh
    @shallojalloh 2 місяці тому +1

    The SEC has 11 of the teams ranked 1-20 in the FPI rankings.. how is that not the most parity?
    The B12 has 10 teams between 17-36 FPI rankings

  • @chasewade6482
    @chasewade6482 2 місяці тому +1

    Hahaha shots fired at Locked on Big 12.

  • @terryfox9344
    @terryfox9344 2 місяці тому

    Impressive analysis. I am not at all shocked about parity in the Big XII. I've been saying that for a year now. I take the power rankings with a grain of salt, but they are data to consider. I am a bit surprised about Kansas, but their schedule is relatively soft.

  • @robbishilts8111
    @robbishilts8111 2 місяці тому

    You should get the street signs for all the teams and adjust them as the season plays out!! That gives you more space to have all 16 teams

  • @wetblanket1977
    @wetblanket1977 2 місяці тому

    Last year preseason everyone said okst had the easiest schedule but turned out to be one of the toughest in conference. Nobody knows who has an easy schedule, nobody knows who will ultimately be contenders, last 3 years proves it

  • @THEeyepatch11
    @THEeyepatch11 2 місяці тому +3

    Yes... The Big XII doesn't have Oklahoma carrying the conference all by itself anymore.
    There's going to be some parity, a word that seems foreign to most Big XII fans and fans of Arizona, ASU, Colorado and Utah know all too well.
    GO UTES!

    • @stischer47
      @stischer47 2 місяці тому

      OU? OU?!?! You Sooners are delusional and your delusions will crash in the SEC.

  • @rogerharris5515
    @rogerharris5515 2 місяці тому

    What I get from this poll is that the B12 is a battle of mediocrity. I wish The B12 had a couple of more powerhouse teams in it. What you said about CU could be said of any team. If things work out for them, they actually have a chance. Every team in the B12 is hoping for that very same thing. Hence the parody.
    Last of all, compare this poll with the Vegas odds. It tells a different story. ESPN sells TV time. They need people to turn on their TV's. So, propagating parody is in their best interest. Vegas has to be mostly accurate to win by people betting. This season will be interesting to watch. *BTW, Kansas won't be playing any games on their home field this year.

  • @angamundo40
    @angamundo40 Місяць тому +1

    take down the OU and UT signage down

    • @heartlandcollegesports
      @heartlandcollegesports  Місяць тому

      This is an old video 🙂 - watch our most recent video - trust me they are now down. WE had a big show about it! Hope you're subscribed.

  • @techtiger38
    @techtiger38 2 місяці тому

    I love when the Kansas homer does his homer things.
    Tech under the radar. Don’t talk about us please.

  • @JKTKst8Cat
    @JKTKst8Cat 2 місяці тому +3

    Arrowhead games should be rated as neutral for at least a share of them. Kansas rating is insane
    I’d be pissed OSU and Utah fans

  • @RichardG713
    @RichardG713 2 місяці тому +2

    So your saying there is a chance

  • @Bornjamerican65
    @Bornjamerican65 2 місяці тому

    Wow! I see they counting Colorado Buff out of the pictures. EA sports simulation is so BS, I watched a few of those game of Colorado playing and the tendency are far fetched they I stopped watching. In one game alone the 2# throwing 3 int. He only threw 6 int the Pac 12 season.

  • @kingsgambit7734
    @kingsgambit7734 2 місяці тому

    It's not hard to create a parity conference...it just has no chance of ever winning a title. For the top schools to have parity you'd have to break up the SEC, ACC, and the Big Integer and hand pick the top schools to be in a single conference and that will not happen anytime soon. So when you take the schools nobody wants and put them all in a single conference that equates to parity. It will be fun...just no shot at anything at the end. You could throw Boston College, Syracuse, Wake Forest, Duke, Miss St., Auburn all into the Big XII and it would still be parity because they all are about equal. And that would make that conference awesome to watch week in and week out. Would make basketball season awesome as well. But in football...they have been relegated to bottom tier of the big 4. They are the only conference that truly has no shot at a title. The talent is just not there.

  • @Lfg117
    @Lfg117 2 місяці тому

    re '24 Big12 fb friday night TV games episode: not weird seeing non-sec football on cbs. i remember when CBS aired BigTen fb, pre-genX-era. also not strange: remembering ND fb b4 the domers were aired primarily on nbc. all a matter of pre-genX perspective. 🙄

  • @marklehnardt8113
    @marklehnardt8113 2 місяці тому

    Dude, no need to badmouth other Big XII commentators - there is plenty of space for everyone. I watch 3-4 commentators. Positivity is better than negativity every day of the week.

  • @taylore75
    @taylore75 2 місяці тому

    This system is not very smart. Utah will certainly win the big 12.

    • @THEeyepatch11
      @THEeyepatch11 2 місяці тому +1

      I'm a Utah alum and fan but I have to ask you... How much would you be willing to bet on that right now?
      A lot of things can happen before August and I'm a betting man and that is a sucker bet as of now.

    • @stevemoserify
      @stevemoserify 2 місяці тому

      cErTaInLy

  • @Lfg117
    @Lfg117 2 місяці тому

    thank u -1st primer on fpi i've ever heard. useful sched. intel on WVU & iowa st. and u know: relative to other big12 teams, cu & az st face brutal schedules.

  • @sarahmccoy1941
    @sarahmccoy1941 2 місяці тому

    Parity = Mediocrity. 🥱🥱🥱

    • @heartlandcollegesports
      @heartlandcollegesports  2 місяці тому

      Lots of Top 15-25 teams. I don't know if that's mediocrity.

    • @sarahmccoy1941
      @sarahmccoy1941 2 місяці тому +1

      @@heartlandcollegesports Rankings mean little. Item, Florida State in 2023.

    • @sarahmccoy1941
      @sarahmccoy1941 2 місяці тому +1

      FYI, Texas and Oklahoma officially enter the SEC next month. Do me and OU fans a favor and removed the upside down logos behind you.
      Then, feel free to find two new Big XII teams to dump on.
      Utah fans on twitter seem to have some Big XII teams upset.