12 RISKY Fantasy Football Players You Should Think Twice Before Drafting in 2024
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- Опубліковано 10 лип 2024
- Ryan Wormeli, Pat Fitzmaurice and Derek Brown are back at it to discuss 12 risky players who you should think long and hard about before taking them in your 2024 Fantasy Football drafts! What do you think of these guys? Are they as risky as the Fantasy Pros claim? Let us know what YOU think in the comments down below!
Timestamps:
Introduction - 0:00:00
Alvin Kamara - 0:02:54
Derrick Henry - 0:07:15
D’Andre Swift - 0:16:11
Josh Jacobs - 0:21:10
Hollywood Brown - 0:27:01
Brandon Aiyuk - 0:31:40
Stefon Diggs - 0:35:46
Nico Collins - 0:39:08
Jordan Addison - 0:42:47
Cooper Kupp - 0:49:59
Dak Prescott - 0:54:19
Jalen Hurts - 0:58:07
Two Minute Warning - 1:04:49
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Disagree on Hollywood Brown, although I liked him better before his ADP skyrocketed. But I put a lot of stock in the "offseason chemistry" thing. Just like Edelman became Brady's main target after they started working out a lot in the offseason, I think this kind of thing matters. Keep in mind Mahomes is trying to model Brady, who he holds in very high esteem. It has been Hollywood all off season, going back to Texas. I am HEAVY on Mahomes, like more than half my lineups. I think Mahomes i the most underpriced player in Underdog this year (last year he went at the 1-2 turn, as you may recall), and I think that WR chemistry matters. Mahomes thinks so too I think from his comments.
Good show guys
Pat, how was the show?? My dad loved the Stones and used to crank them on his BOSE 601's many decades ago. I still remember us loudly singing along to "She's So Cold!" Great memories of my late father. Thank you.
Emotional Rescue 💕
Great list of players to cover
Great show, hope you enjoyed the Stones Fitz! Great Band! Deebro, love your stuff, and I am onboard with fading Kamara and only mixing Swift in a little in lineups with Caleb Williams for the correlation - he is a good pass catching back. I'm not clicking on Kamara much, he looks like has lost a step. Fitz, your Henry analysis was interesting, some good points. I have him in like 1/3 of my Underdog lineups so I sure hope you are wrong on this one, but the Eddie Georgie comparison scared the daylights out of me. But in the middle of the third round, with this TD equity, I can't pass him up in half PPR. Plus I am hearing he still looks pretty good to his new Ravens teammates. But he is 30 with a metal plate in his foot.
As an aside, Henry believes that this some kind of "destiny." In the PIVOT podcast, he revealed that his grandmother, who raised him, loved the color purple. Henry wore a purple suit to her funeral and swore he would never wear it again. Then he saw a purple butterfly, and he thinks it his Grandmother guiding him choose the Ravens. He wore the purple suit again. He believes his Grandmother is guiding him. Do I believe that? I believe special players find ways to motivate themselves. They BELIEVE before they DO. Henry believes, and athletically, he is a unicorn. Still betting on him!
@@Shawn-ey7qg Had not heard that story about his grandma. Very cool. Thx for sharing it, Shawn.
I saw the stones at camp Randall back in the early 90s .awesome
What a great place to see them. Missed that one, unfortunately, but I've seen Pink Floyd as Camp Randall.
I have a tough time fading Hurts and not fading AJ, Smith, or Saquon.
Swifts concern last year was he was vultured at the goaline by jalen hurts almost every… single time… now I’m not saying you should be all in on swift, but if you get him at a discount rate, and we expect some more volume in the passing game and we have to see more TD numbers go up.. he could easily outperform ADP.
I think he's better suited for full ppr since hes likely not going to get goal line touches / TDs
Swift is this years mikes sanders. Roschon is the rb1 on the bears by the years end
Henry is going to be beast .. 15 plus touchdowns
I agree
Oline got worse tho
@@kelseykjarsgaard5774and still miles better than any Tennessee had
The offensive line and offensive scheme matter more than running back talent. Offensive line is WAY down for the ravens this year. It's a great scheme, but age will catch him. 8-12 td's this year and maybe 1000 yards.
@@Xriswest bud they been sayin that for the last 3 years idk why u think ppl forget how to play football once they turn 30. It didn’t catch AP til 36 and Henry’s bigger and has been hurt a lot less
Was at the stones last night too, hell of a show
i can't believe you compared Josh Gordon to Cooper Kupp
Hey Dbro do u do standard rankings.
I have the #2 pick in my ppr league this year. I'm actually thinking about taking Bijan with that pick now that he has a defensive HC. What's everyone's thoughts on that?
Me too bro I'm thinking lamb or bijan
@@curtisbertalotto9223 yeah, I was actually pretty sure I was taking Bijan until this video reminded me of Lamb, so that's why I just wrote I was "thinking" of taking him
I'm thinking the same thing. I'm just not thrilled with the WR1 I'd get in round 2.
@@leefrench5896 I hear. I have been burnt by drafting Chase in the first round the last couple of years tho
If CMC goes #1, then why not!
Fitz. I’m 54 yrs young . When I started playing fantasy football our commissioner was paid to take stats from the newspaper and score for us. I like the youngsters, but they have to show more love for the founders 😂
Yep... been playing since 1986... I was always finding talent by using the box scores in newspapers. Especially The USA Today. They had the entire player stats for the NFC on Wed and the entire AFC on Thurs. Plus the box scores for the previous weekend. There was no Thurs night game. We ran waivers on Friday nights, and everyone was a FA on Saturday. In fact, we are going back to running waivers on Friday this season... we will run in house waivers for each individual game on Wed, Thur, and Friday night games. Owners simply post a message for those games. Best waiver order wins... but most player bids will be run by the computer overnight Friday. That gives everyone much more time to get injury news.
Ha ha. That's awesome. I was the guy tabulating scores out of a newspaper back in the early '90s.
Josh Jacobs, RB, Green Bay Packers: Jacobs faced the most stacked boxes (even more than Henry) among starting running backs in 2023, seeing an average of 7.2 defenders in the box.
This I'm sure was a HUGE reason why Jacobs was more ineffective last season. That crap won't fly in GB where Love has a plethora of targets to fling the ball around to. Defense will have to play more honest, which I'm betting will translate to a nice season for JJ.
I don't get the swift hate as an RB 2 I am happy with where you get him. Super illusive, over his injuries, by far the best RB (1) there. Swifts points dropped off when the Eagles dropped off. Are we all out on Brown / Smith? I think Eagles will bounce back with new offensive coach and Swift slots in as a floor RB2 week to week with 4 or 5 huge weeks.
Exile on Main Street is the best by far
There's a case for Exile, no question. For me, Sticky Fingers is a near-perfect album. Love the country vibe in parts of Exile. A friend of mine is fond of saying that the Stones would have been the best country act of all time if they fully dedicated themselves to the genre.
Let it Bleed
100% agree.. Aiyuk not worth near where you have to draft him
My three favorite guys!!
On BA I get it Fitzy, but as a Niners fan since I knew what football was at 6 years old, (I turned 50 last month) Brock and BA have a connection thattruly blossomed last season. I see that connection only getting deeper and more dangerous. One more year for both men immersed in Kyle's system and barring injury no reason to think both won't be at least as good as they were last season, BA is a top 10 fantasy WR in my book.
I get Muzio is entitled to his opinion but meh. I have zero doubts they're signing him to a long term extension. In reality there's never been any chance of that happening. Sorry but you don't trade one of your top players and your best WR in the middle of your Super Bowl window. Aiyuk will be on the field in Niners Red and Gold for that Monday Night opener in Sept. Book it.
Yeah, I'm not fully on board with Muzio's trade take. I hope you're right about Aiyuk, because I love the player. I just don't think he's going to be able to match last year's freaky efficiency numbers, so it'll take a target increase for him to maintain this level of production, and barring an injury to one of the other pass catchers, I don't see where the target boost comes from.
@patfitzmaurice1575 I see that too. But unfortunately, history tells us Deebo and George are gonna miss some time this season. I hope not but it seems to be a yearly thing
Not fading Kamara because of Miller, fading both because of taysom hill.
swift finally in a position where he can succeed and he will
Dbro wants Palmer or Burton over Addison, come on man that’s crazy
It's like people forget he's in year two, having a great offseason working on his breaks and had 4 different QB's last season w/o Jefferson taking away lots of pressure coverage. He's gonna eat this year if QB play is on par, let alone better, than Mullens. TD regression? Sure. Everything else is going up from his rookie season.
How many passing yards are darnold/JJ going to combine for? How many of those are going to Jefferson? It’s just not an ideal situation, has nothing to do with the talent
@@MegaBlackmagic24 Mullens threw for 350-400+ yards last year in multiple games last season.
Not crazy, it’s about the QB situation and trusting the Vikings QB to hit his third read enough for fantasy relevance.
It’s actually not crazy at all.
I'm definitely turned off by all the Texans wide receivers there are too many mouths to feed I would rather take a wide receiver on a team with less competition.
I want that Ace Ventura shirt DBRO!!!
Being anti Henry this year is just nuts to me. It’s the same argument every year and ppl act like once u turn 30 years old u forget how to play football. There is no better team he could’ve gone to he will get 15 TDs with EASE. I have him RB8 even in full PPR the TD upside is absurd
In a 10 team redraft league, where should Marvin Harrison Jr. be drafted? Is the second round too high?
I think late 2nd is right for him. I have him ranked pretty aggressively -- 15th overall in 1QB leagues, but I think you can probably get him at least 2-3 picks later than that.
I think so ten man league probably later in third Rd
Thanks Pat!!
Kamara - ranked 7th among all RB against a stacked box and the Saints also had the 24th worst line in the NFL.
Why all the anti Josh Jacob’s sentiment? I remember everybody being down on him when he was a Las Vegas Raider and he had a monster season.
2 years ago. Before that he was an inefficient volume play and last year he had his lowest efficiency metrics of his career. He has a lot of risks, I’d still consider him in redraft but I’m sour in Dynasty leagues for sure.
Josh Jacobs should have been sold a long time ago on non contending teams....In all of Dynasty leagues
Raiders have been poor for years and Jacobs has been pretty good through career. Held out last year which impacted him as in first 7 games of year he started slow and had poor YPC; however, week 8 - 12 his YPC shot back up and was a top 12 RB in 3 of the weeks and top 24 in another. Then went down to injury. If the season script was flipped Id agree but there is plenty of juice left IMO and best OL he has ever played behind. I mean I agree if you are not contending move on as he only has a 2-3 season window of success but thats literally any RB on there second contact. I am happy to eat up the drop in value
@@martin89murphy 4.16 YPC is shooting up? He was 4.02 the year before his big season and 3.9 the year before that. He’s a tough nosed grinder who thrives on 30 touches per game. If he goes down to 15-20 total touches per game he will be a mid to low end RB2 this year unless he scores 15 touch downs. He’s just not a great RB
They talked for like ten minutes on "why the Jacobs hate"
Cant fade king henry going to a run heavy offense... Deff would stay away from all houston WRs, outside of their weak division, they face some solid secondaries.. addison im staying away from cause theres no QB in minny lol, but burton and palmer is just an insane take
I may take the flyer on Aiyuk because he could wind up on the Chargers.
The chargers 😂😂😂 ok.
@@danielshepard7357 Eh, why not... they have $20 million in cap space, are in a different conference, and he would have almost no competition for targets and a top-shelf QB. Not sure why the Chargers wouldn't try to make that move.
or Bills or Chiefs ; )
Chris Olave isn't going to be wr 11th. His TD production is low because he's not a huge contested catch guy. Chris will continue to be a stable guy that gives 1000-1200 yards
I have both Hurts and Dak in a dynasty league thoughts?
DBro!!!!
I dont think Jacobs needs the usage to produce. He's going from a bottom 10 O-line to a top 12 O-line. He could do a 70-30 split and still pay off as long as he's getting the goal line work.
I hear ya. But not even Derrick Henry got a 70% share when LaFleur was calling the plays for the Titans. My concern is that it'll be more like 55% for Jacobs with Dillon and Lloyd both chipping away.
Mahomes is not a good deep passer. Go watch Tyreek hills highlights from the chiefs, Hill always had to come back for under thrown balls. Hollywood won't come back, he'll just complain.... IMO
DBRO!!!!
If the Saints line is that bad, . it means a ton of screens. what does alvin do? He catches a ton of passes That is common sense.
I did some mocks on yahoo and D. Henry went in the first round.....
With enough volume 3.6 ypc is great for fantasy, especially if the TDs come. Man the age bias in fantasy is insane. Not every player is an outlier, but there are some every single season. If your ONLY argument is age, I’m not listening.
On Jordan Addison I agree with D bro, how much of Addison production was made when Jefferson was out and now Jefferson is back and now we have an none proven nfl qb
They have basically faded everyone not in the top 10 at one point or another. Their job is like a weather man. They can be wrong most of the time and still have a job.
People really sleeping on zamir
It's like D-bro doesn't watch any football and bases his opinion solely on numbers..scary stuff being said here tbh
Hollywood will make up for any other games week 1
I'm tipping hill he is over the hill
I have ZERO Diggs
Freakin Freakin Freakin!!!
Fournette was a solid RB2. The cliff doesn’t come for the Kamaras as quickly as it does for the Jamal Lewises. I’m taking Kamara over Jones 100% of the time.
I hate the age narrative with Henry. It’s kinda old and lazy. He won’t need to carry the load like previous years but will have a much higher TUD output. This offense is scary. What is a team going to do with a stud running QB ? Pick your poison. Henry will be a top 8 RB with the possibility of a top 5. Come on fitz
I hope you're right and that Henry kicks azz this year. There's been research showing that age 29 is where the risk of decline starts to get high for RBs. But there have been a lot of exceptions, of course -- Emmitt Smith, Curtis Martin, Frank Gore, etc. I hope King Henry is another exception, but I think we should at least acknowledge the risk.
Was d bro high this episode?
They said that about Frank Gore for years... number crunchers can never see past the numbers.
It's a good point, and there are always exceptions to the rule, which is why I mentioned that crazy 1,600-yard rushing season Curtis Martin had at age 30. But generally, the research shows that age 29 is the danger zone for RBs. They don't ALL start to fade at 29 or 30, but I think it's worth acknowledging the risk when deciding whether an older back is worth the price.
@@patfitzmaurice1575 I completely agree with the facts that you mentioned, but Henry seems to me to be a Gore like talent. So, I think he's the exception that still has 2 or 3 good years left.
I don't think tennessee would have let Henry go if they thought he had another season in him
Girlfriend by committee jk killed!
No Zamir White?
There's a Zamir White debate coming at some point. DBro is high on him. I'm less enthusiastic.
@@patfitzmaurice1575 I’m with you Mr. Pat
@@patfitzmaurice1575 Ready for that
Ready for that
Brooooo. Uncultured doesn’t know the stones haha. Gimme shelter lmao
Don't make jokes about a wheelchair; you could end up in one faster than you think.
The Beatles literally stole the Isley brothers style and admitted to this. So ipso facto the Isley brothers are the best band ever. Just keepin it 💯