Earnest advice, feel free to ignore: recently, your videos have started getting more and more sensational and click-baity. Case in point: the title of this one, which currently says “Warren Buffett preparing for a crash like 2007”. But in the video, you don’t really reach that conclusion, which is expected since markets are not easy to predict. I assume you put in a lot of time and effort into making these videos. Have faith in that honest work, and try to stay earnest instead of jumping on the click-bait and sensationalism bandwagon.
couldnt agree with the comment- organic growth of genuine viewership would be good.. btw loving our punjabi community taking on the stock market!!! all the best
Great info... Also if you use a Monthly divergence indicator on the S&P 500 - you'll see the same hidden divergence setup they used for the 2000 & 2008 stock market crash... just my noob 5 minute quick look, but its there...
Sometimes protecting your capital seems more important than making money, basically because if you lose your capital, making money is much more harder. Missing the train vs loosing your money. There're a lot of trains, however if you lose your money its gone.
The very definition of bubble is when people who made money during the bull run keeps comforting themselves that the present situation is normal when in every sentence you keep saying that it’s a very rare phenomenon for stock to double triple quadruple with no fundamental basis !!
I dont even know where the stock market is headed to right now. my portfolio of around 200k is not increasing more than 5% and people are predicting a crash .
Accurate asset allocation is crucial, I used hedging strategies to allocate part of my portfOlio to defensive assets for market downturns. Expert guidance is vital for achieving this. This approach has helped me stay financially secure for over five years, yielding nearly $1 million in returns on investments.
My CFA Carol Vivian Constable a renowned figure in her line of work. I recommend researching her credentials further. She has many years of experience and is a valuable resource for anyone looking to navigate the financial market.
Youre just regurgitating other articles on line rather than doing your own research. His percentage of cash appears to be just slightly more than average. Does not equate to him believing a crash is coming.
Thanks for your video.. im bullish on the stock market because of the new administration have business type people and i feel like you have to invest. Plus i have a little bit of cushin from last years gains so i can play little. Im always monitoring and listening to stock news and investing in growth and momentum..little bit of gambling and safe investing.. im optimistic it will be a good year with the new politics in offce
Thanks for the breakdown! I need some advice: My OKX wallet holds some USDT, and I have the seed phrase. (alarm fetch churn bridge exercise tape speak race clerk couch crater letter). Could you explain how to move them to Binance?
Warren Buffet owns hundreds of micro companies which are priced 10M - 200 M , which no one talks about , many cases they don’t even know .He bought almost all good companies in construction in US , in energy, in retail , insurance, his problem is simple if market goes down 20% , he doesn’t want to lose over 70 Billion $ of its value . Just being extra cautious in a very very expensive market . He is the smartest risk / reward investor . As they say in Vegas - There’s time to play and there’s time to walk away .
Great Video Navjot. I read in a news report that most of the developed economies are in a technical recession right now barring US. The US is hoping for a soft landing. The stock market is driven by sentiment, and right now, the sentiment is bullish. With trump coming in on 20th Jan 2025, everyone is hoping for some game changing regulations to improve the business environement. Mind you, even Buffet has 75% of his portfolio still in stocks, he is keeping 25% cash for buying opportunities on dips. There might be a correction, not crash. That will depend on the OND quarterly results from the tech giants. Do you recommend keeping at least 10% in cash for buying opportunities during correction?
American economies are running a deficit budget. Interest payments will force the central banks to print more leading to higher inflation. They would also keep cutting rates to balance out that effect on inflation. However the bond yield will continue to remain high, like it is now despite consecutive cuts due to increased money supply. Crash is imminent but not shortly.
Bond yields depend on growth and inflation expectations, not deficits. Yields are currently lower than than what they were when the deficit was a mere fraction decades ago. Japan had been running one of the highest debt to GDP for decades. Yet, their yields have remained flat to negative during that same time.
Believe it or not, I too forgot the password 🤷♂️ I wrote it in my notebook quickly and thought I would transfer it to 1password, but now I can’t find my notes 🙈
Hi Nav, i have 30k CAD and willing to do secure investment, what are the best returns options that we can do in stocks or another investment with good regulars returns/uplifts in priciple amount.
Thx Nav. My POV - US economy has seen enough ups and downs in the past 5 years due to Covid and inflation. With Trump in the office, I believe economy will improve and so will the market and customer confidence. A market crash usually follows strong economy which is not the case right now. Yes, the market returns have been super strong in past two years but I do not think this momentum will slow down.
The yield curve was inverted for 2 years before you made this video, it's the uninversion that has signaled the decline starting in the past. The biggest problem with the theory that PE can be higher because they are getting foreign revenues... that makes no sense. If companies getting foreign revenues made up for what they could earn in the US they'd also have a lower PE. But speculation is driving company PEs to the 35s-40s. Maybe if there was an expectation they could grow world wide but you demonstrated they have world wide markets already. The world economy is basically in a recession besides the US, so good luck growing in China (and Apple is having a hard time there, look at their last earnings report the market ignored) It also doesn't explain why Walmart also has a 36 PE, it's almost as over valued as Apple is right now. Walmart has expanded internationally but is largely still a US company. Costco also, insane levels of PE, only a US company. UNH, US only company, 32 PE. Longterm yields aren't going to keep rising because all of this money is going to get flushed out of the stock market soon and I think Buffett is well aware.
Thanks for your views. I said Buffet indicator is higher because it’s not accounting for foreign revenue. PE is higher because these companies are more scalable. But I get where you coming from. Like I said in the video, I am not bullish on the market and infact only investing 60% of my investing budget; rest is in cash.
@growwithnav I propose an alternative theory that the Buffett indicator should be adjusted based on expected interest rates. In the 70s-80s PEs were largely in the teens because interest rate expectations were higher, in the 90s this crept up as interest rates fell and we saw a crash at a higher Buffett indicator. In 2022, we saw the initial drawdown from higher rate expectations. That was muted by the AI mania in 23-24 but there will be a reversion to an expectation of something like 1.5x gdp still triggering the Buffett indicator. The world is also deglobalizing so the forward consequences of that aren't in the market. It makes total sense how Buffett is positioned
Couldn’t agree more. The overvaluation is primarily due to liquidity flowing into the financial markets rather than into the real economy. Much of the revenues from the mag 7 are based on the A.I. mania. But A.I. market has produced little to no revenues. Eventually, the markets will be forced to face the reality of a U.S. and global slowdown. And there rarely are any soft landings. On top of that, financial insiders, not just Buffett, are generally net selling. The market rally is most likely providing piecemeal exit liquidity for them.
Bakchodi nhi sir😂😂😂 kuch nhi hoga likh ke lelo… Just look at stocks some value stock is around 52 week low and some of them reached to 2020 low level. Now do you think this is how greed and fear works.. when a market crashes from a bull face 90% of stocks atleast will be trading at all time high which is not the case for now.. i think still some bull rally is left and these low stocks will reach their all time high before a big market may crash
@@growwithnav What was the point of the video?? Pronouncing Buffett as Bufay? I thought your videos were about money and investment? Good to know though!!
If we get stuck in the pronunciation then the ‘point of the video’ is already lost. So the reply ‘that was the point of the video’ means a lot! @growwithnav if someone hasn’t really understood your POV/video how do you assume they understood your response 😂
Why Canadian banks are not reducing rates as they should (seeing BOC rate cuts) specially for fixed ones? When do you think we start seeing BOC rate cut impact on fixed mortgage rates??
Nice video! I don’t think you outperformed S&P500 or at least there is no easy way of knowing. You have lot of CAD denominated investments that invest in the US market for e.g. VFV, XQQ etc. Much of your gain has come from USD appreciation against CAD. VFV which is offered in CAD and invests S&P500 unhedged is up 33%
!I am at the beginning of my "investment journey", planning to put 385K into dividend stocks so that I will be making up to 30% annually in dividend returns. any good recommendation on great performing stocks or Crypto will be appreciated
As a newbie investor, it’s essential for you to have a mentor to keep you accountable. Ruth Ann Tsaoknas is my trade analyst, she has guided me to identify key market trends, pinpointed strategic entry points, and provided risk assessments, ensuring my trades decisions align with market dynamics for optimal returns..
I managed to grow a nest egg of around 120k to over a Million. I'm especially grateful to Adviser Ruth Ann Tsakonas, for her expertise and exposure to different areas of the market.
I don't really blame people who panic. Lack of information can be a big hurdle. I've been making more than $200k passively by just investing through an advisor, and I don't have to do much work.. Inflation or no inflation, my finances remain secure. So I really don't blame people who panic.
Without a doubt! Ruth Ann Tsakonas is a trader who goes above and beyond. she has an exceptional skill for analysing market movements and spotting profitable opportunities. Her strategies are meticulously crafted on thorough research and years of practical experience..
how would you recommend i enter the crypto market? I am also looking at studying some traders and copying their strategy rather than investing myself and losing money emotionally.. What's your take on this approach? and How can i reach her, if you don't mind me asking??
He sold over *130BN+ in stocks in 2024
[Not $330BN - my bad in the first few seconds of the video]
What do you think about his moves in 2024?
He has put all that cash in canada real estate. Best hedge against all odds 😂😂
😂😂
Earnest advice, feel free to ignore: recently, your videos have started getting more and more sensational and click-baity. Case in point: the title of this one, which currently says “Warren Buffett preparing for a crash like 2007”. But in the video, you don’t really reach that conclusion, which is expected since markets are not easy to predict.
I assume you put in a lot of time and effort into making these videos. Have faith in that honest work, and try to stay earnest instead of jumping on the click-bait and sensationalism bandwagon.
Thanks 🙌 hope you liked the learnings from the video
couldnt agree with the comment- organic growth of genuine viewership would be good.. btw loving our punjabi community taking on the stock market!!! all the best
Great info... Also if you use a Monthly divergence indicator on the S&P 500 - you'll see the same hidden divergence setup they used for the 2000 & 2008 stock market crash... just my noob 5 minute quick look, but its there...
Thanks for introducing some important concepts
Very informative!! Really appreciate you making these videos!!
Glad you like them!
Like a broken clock, you are correct twice per day.
Haha well said 😂
Thanks for the video, it was very educative for me . Please continue the good work you have been doing.
🙌
Sometimes protecting your capital seems more important than making money, basically because if you lose your capital, making money is much more harder. Missing the train vs loosing your money. There're a lot of trains, however if you lose your money its gone.
Good observation, let us get ready for the worst scenario.
It appears he watches cooper academy they made exact similar video 3 weeks before .
Woah dude, 19.7k subs you're killing it Congrats! Wish you a strong 2025
Thank you 🙏
Great insights!
The very definition of bubble is when people who made money during the bull run keeps comforting themselves that the present situation is normal when in every sentence you keep saying that it’s a very rare phenomenon for stock to double triple quadruple with no fundamental basis !!
Rightly pointed out.
Nav bhaji you are doing a good job!!!
Thanks a ton
Wonderful video bai g
I dont even know where the stock market is headed to right now. my portfolio of around 200k is not increasing more than 5% and people are predicting a crash .
i'd advise you redistribute assets in your portfolio with the help of a pro so you don't get burnt in the market
Accurate asset allocation is crucial, I used hedging strategies to allocate part of my portfOlio to defensive assets for market downturns. Expert guidance is vital for achieving this. This approach has helped me stay financially secure for over five years, yielding nearly $1 million in returns on investments.
pls how can I reach this expert, I need someone to help me manage my portfolio
My CFA Carol Vivian Constable a renowned figure in her line of work. I recommend researching her credentials further. She has many years of experience and is a valuable resource for anyone looking to navigate the financial market.
Just ran an online search on her name and came across her website; pretty well educated. thank you for sharing.
you could easily do a video why Warren Buffett is irrelevant today by trading standards. He was a boomer before he got rich.
Youre just regurgitating other articles on line rather than doing your own research. His percentage of cash appears to be just slightly more than average. Does not equate to him believing a crash is coming.
Yes there will be a major correction which is due and when it happens it will be crazy.
Plz consider US debt in the analysis.
Thanks for your video.. im bullish on the stock market because of the new administration have business type people and i feel like you have to invest. Plus i have a little bit of cushin from last years gains so i can play little. Im always monitoring and listening to stock news and investing in growth and momentum..little bit of gambling and safe investing.. im optimistic it will be a good year with the new politics in offce
Thanks for sharing
You don’t know anything about stock market you just share bookish knowledge which is of no use .
Thanks for the breakdown! I need some advice: My OKX wallet holds some USDT, and I have the seed phrase. (alarm fetch churn bridge exercise tape speak race clerk couch crater letter). Could you explain how to move them to Binance?
Warren Buffet owns hundreds of micro companies which are priced 10M - 200 M , which no one talks about , many cases they don’t even know .He bought almost all good companies in construction in US , in energy, in retail , insurance, his problem is simple if market goes down 20% , he doesn’t want to lose over 70 Billion $ of its value . Just being extra cautious in a very very expensive market . He is the smartest risk / reward investor . As they say in Vegas - There’s time to play and there’s time to walk away .
please make video on Islamic Investments also, Shariah Complaint stocks, etc.
The only thing I was able to focus on was the harry Potter books in the background! :D
Haha 😃
Great Video Navjot. I read in a news report that most of the developed economies are in a technical recession right now barring US.
The US is hoping for a soft landing. The stock market is driven by sentiment, and right now, the sentiment is bullish.
With trump coming in on 20th Jan 2025, everyone is hoping for some game changing regulations to improve the business environement.
Mind you, even Buffet has 75% of his portfolio still in stocks, he is keeping 25% cash for buying opportunities on dips.
There might be a correction, not crash. That will depend on the OND quarterly results from the tech giants.
Do you recommend keeping at least 10% in cash for buying opportunities during correction?
I am likely to keep about 30%-40% cash. Coming up in my next video
Copy video from cooper academy
even if he doesnt i clearly do there are many indicators were screwed
American economies are running a deficit budget. Interest payments will force the central banks to print more leading to higher inflation. They would also keep cutting rates to balance out that effect on inflation. However the bond yield will continue to remain high, like it is now despite consecutive cuts due to increased money supply. Crash is imminent but not shortly.
Bond yields depend on growth and inflation expectations, not deficits. Yields are currently lower than than what they were when the deficit was a mere fraction decades ago. Japan had been running one of the highest debt to GDP for decades. Yet, their yields have remained flat to negative during that same time.
Great video! Nav can you share the password of the buy vs rent excel file? Would like to change a few non-editable fields.
Believe it or not, I too forgot the password 🤷♂️
I wrote it in my notebook quickly and thought I would transfer it to 1password, but now I can’t find my notes 🙈
@growwithnav haha happens. No worries!
and why would a billionaire be concerned for a crash ???
Thats the best time to reinvest.
That’s how he made his billions. By being concerned about the market. Why would he stop today?
Billionaire should be the most concerned contrary to your question.
Hi Nav, i have 30k CAD and willing to do secure investment, what are the best returns options that we can do in stocks or another investment with good regulars returns/uplifts in priciple amount.
Thx Nav. My POV - US economy has seen enough ups and downs in the past 5 years due to Covid and inflation. With Trump in the office, I believe economy will improve and so will the market and customer confidence.
A market crash usually follows strong economy which is not the case right now. Yes, the market returns have been super strong in past two years but I do not think this momentum will slow down.
The yield curve was inverted for 2 years before you made this video, it's the uninversion that has signaled the decline starting in the past. The biggest problem with the theory that PE can be higher because they are getting foreign revenues... that makes no sense. If companies getting foreign revenues made up for what they could earn in the US they'd also have a lower PE. But speculation is driving company PEs to the 35s-40s. Maybe if there was an expectation they could grow world wide but you demonstrated they have world wide markets already. The world economy is basically in a recession besides the US, so good luck growing in China (and Apple is having a hard time there, look at their last earnings report the market ignored) It also doesn't explain why Walmart also has a 36 PE, it's almost as over valued as Apple is right now. Walmart has expanded internationally but is largely still a US company. Costco also, insane levels of PE, only a US company. UNH, US only company, 32 PE. Longterm yields aren't going to keep rising because all of this money is going to get flushed out of the stock market soon and I think Buffett is well aware.
Thanks for your views.
I said Buffet indicator is higher because it’s not accounting for foreign revenue.
PE is higher because these companies are more scalable. But I get where you coming from. Like I said in the video, I am not bullish on the market and infact only investing 60% of my investing budget; rest is in cash.
@growwithnav I propose an alternative theory that the Buffett indicator should be adjusted based on expected interest rates. In the 70s-80s PEs were largely in the teens because interest rate expectations were higher, in the 90s this crept up as interest rates fell and we saw a crash at a higher Buffett indicator. In 2022, we saw the initial drawdown from higher rate expectations. That was muted by the AI mania in 23-24 but there will be a reversion to an expectation of something like 1.5x gdp still triggering the Buffett indicator. The world is also deglobalizing so the forward consequences of that aren't in the market. It makes total sense how Buffett is positioned
@ agree!! 🙌
Couldn’t agree more. The overvaluation is primarily due to liquidity flowing into the financial markets rather than into the real economy. Much of the revenues from the mag 7 are based on the A.I. mania. But A.I. market has produced little to no revenues. Eventually, the markets will be forced to face the reality of a U.S. and global slowdown. And there rarely are any soft landings.
On top of that, financial insiders, not just Buffett, are generally net selling. The market rally is most likely providing piecemeal exit liquidity for them.
@@toinengwyn3935 nvidia has seen revenue but Apple - stock price up 115% revenue up 6%/ profit up 5% since 2021. Makes no sense.
Copy cat videos - most channels playing this video
Bakchodi nhi sir😂😂😂 kuch nhi hoga likh ke lelo… Just look at stocks some value stock is around 52 week low and some of them reached to 2020 low level. Now do you think this is how greed and fear works.. when a market crashes from a bull face 90% of stocks atleast will be trading at all time high which is not the case for now.. i think still some bull rally is left and these low stocks will reach their all time high before a big market may crash
2026 is to watch out for,2025 is bullish……when all the u tubers are bearish , Iam bulish
Just an old man taking out some money from his life savings 😂
😂🤷♂️
It's buffetttt not buffay
Thanks. That was exactly the point of the video 🙌
😂😂
😂😂
@@growwithnav What was the point of the video?? Pronouncing Buffett as Bufay? I thought your videos were about money and investment? Good to know though!!
If we get stuck in the pronunciation then the ‘point of the video’ is already lost.
So the reply ‘that was the point of the video’ means a lot! @growwithnav if someone hasn’t really understood your POV/video how do you assume they understood your response 😂
What happened to your eye brother?
It’s a skin infection. From exposure to sun without sunscreen :)
Warren just wants to cash out & plan a vacation. Market is not crashing😅
Why Canadian banks are not reducing rates as they should (seeing BOC rate cuts) specially for fixed ones? When do you think we start seeing BOC rate cut impact on fixed mortgage rates??
BoC cuts have no direct relation to fixed rates. So the answer is “probably never”. Do watch my previous videos on this.
@@growwithnav which video please
Told you earlier that Buffe is what you eat. The persons name is Buifet. T is NOT SILENT.
Nice video! I don’t think you outperformed S&P500 or at least there is no easy way of knowing. You have lot of CAD denominated investments that invest in the US market for e.g. VFV, XQQ etc. Much of your gain has come from USD appreciation against CAD. VFV which is offered in CAD and invests S&P500 unhedged is up 33%
Good point!
!I am at the beginning of my "investment journey", planning to put 385K into dividend stocks so that I will be making up to 30% annually in dividend returns. any good recommendation on great performing stocks or Crypto will be appreciated
As a newbie investor, it’s essential for you to have a mentor to keep you accountable.
Ruth Ann Tsaoknas is my trade analyst, she has guided me to identify key market trends, pinpointed strategic entry points, and provided risk assessments, ensuring my trades decisions align with market dynamics for optimal returns..
I managed to grow a nest egg of around 120k to over a Million. I'm especially grateful to Adviser Ruth Ann Tsakonas, for her expertise and exposure to different areas of the market.
I don't really blame people who panic. Lack of
information can be a big hurdle. I've been
making more than $200k passively by just
investing through an advisor, and I don't have
to do much work.. Inflation or no inflation, my
finances remain secure. So I really don't blame
people who panic.
Without a doubt! Ruth Ann Tsakonas is a trader who goes above and beyond. she has an exceptional skill for analysing market movements and spotting profitable opportunities. Her strategies are meticulously crafted on thorough research and years of practical experience..
how would you recommend i enter the crypto market? I am also looking at studying some traders and copying their strategy rather than investing myself and losing money emotionally.. What's your take on this approach? and How can i reach her, if you don't mind me asking??
PUTS all day
PUNJABI BOL LA:
Even with $325 Billion cash he has still invested billions in the market we can’t follow this guy. Absolutely pathetic
Following Warren buffet and his portfolio is the dumbest thing one can do.