The future of modern warfare: How technology is transforming conflict | DW Analysis
Вставка
- Опубліковано 7 чер 2024
- The world is entering a new era of warfare, with cyber and autonomous weapons taking center stage. These technologies are making militaries faster, smarter, more efficient. But if unchecked, they threaten to destabilize the world.
DW takes a deep dive into the future of conflict, uncovering an even more volatile world. Where a cyber intrusion against a nuclear early warning system can unleash a terrifying spiral of escalation; where “flash wars” can erupt from autonomous weapons interacting so fast that no human could keep up.
Germany’s Foreign Minister Heiko Maas tells DW that we have already entered the technological arms race that is propelling us towards this future. “We’re right in the middle of it. That’s the reality we have to deal with.”
And yet the world is failing to meet the challenge. Talks on controlling autonomous weapons have repeatedly been stalled by major powers seeking to carve out their own advantage. And cyber conflict has become not just a fear of the future but a permanent state of affairs.
DW finds out what must happen to steer the world in a safer direction, with leading voices from the fields of politics, diplomacy, intelligence, academia, and activism speaking out.
Chapters
00:00 - Introduction
02:37 - The Cyber Nuclear Nightmare
17:05 - Flash Wars And Autonomous Weapons
30:12 - Trading Markets And Flash Crashes
31:45 - Time To Act
Subscribe: ua-cam.com/users/deutsche...
For more news go to: www.dw.com/en/
Follow DW on social media:
►Facebook: / deutschewellenews
►Twitter: / dwnews
►Instagram: / dwnews
Für Videos in deutscher Sprache besuchen Sie: / dwdeutsch
#FurureWars #AutonomousWeapons #CyberAttacks
"You can't say that civilization don't advance, for in every war they kill you a new way." Will Rogers
@Train 2noplace damn
the funny thing is they all have nuclear bomb but its not problem world right? they dont have good dones so they crying about drones
Don’t argue with a fool….he’ll drag you down to his level and beat you experience.. Will Rogers
Reminds of that one episode in Star Trek: Voyager where the crew encounters fully autonomous robots piloting space ships and fighting each others long after their creators have wiped out each others..
Was that Voyager or Stargate Universe?
Yes! And the Ray Bradbury story “there will come soft rains.” Years after California was demolished by nuclear attack, a smart house is still doing everything all day every day. Little robots vacuuming the floors, automatic kitchen cooks breakfast lunch and dinner then cleans up, turn lights on in the morning and off at night, etc. BUT everyone is dead and the smart home keeps working for nobody and has no idea
@@amazingsupergirl7125 it's not so smart, is it
@@timgwallis Voyager definitely did it but I wouldn't be surprised if Universe did too. I've watch a lot but not all of it.
To be fair it's far from a new concept, though that may have been what you were getting at.
Was just watching that episode a few days ago
"If you want Peace, Prepare for War"
Until you are the last man standing.
@@addisonchow9798 Your missing the point of the message. If you do not want to be attacked be ready for one and let them know you are ready to defend yourself and its not worth it to attack.
@@nolanbeardy2262 can't get attacked if there is no one left to attack you
@@addisonchow9798 Then that makes you the attacker which goes against the statement and makes you a deceiver which labels you evil.
"To secure peace is to prepare for war!" -dont tread on me
Metallica
Damn you guys really do amazing investigative work
Thank you!
Maybe the next intelligent species on Earth will watch these documentaries and learn from our mistakes after we wipe each other out, lol...
US vs Russia, who would win?
Neither...the luciferians hiding in their bunkers pulling all the puppet strings will win...
@@ThanhVu27696No One...
It’s nice to see we developed so many efficient ways and advanced technologies to kill each other.
Well let's hope humanity decides to live.
@@BPI906 we always do. We just decide we don’t want others live.
The best of them all was COVID 19.
Sad reality and bitter truth
No, it's not. It was europeans imperialism. India experienced it too.
The world: We are afraid of cyberattacks and cyberwarfare!
Germany: we dont have good internet, so we are safe for now. No need to invest in it
How could germany not have top of the line internet ? Everything they have ever made and I layed my hands on says " high quality " Iv never been to Germany I just like there goods.
@@savagex466-qt1io we don’t have Good Internet in Germany and it’s super expensive
why is it that every documentary like this, Russia is always the evil where in fact it is always the United States starting the war like in Iraq, they (US) have not found any traces of WMD, why could not the US respect foriegn countries policies?
@@DShortQoutes well yes the U.S. starts it’s share of 💩 but you literally have Russia seizing territory of its neighbors and helping Assad lay waste to cities so there’s plenty of belligerent blame to go around.
@@DShortQoutes because they are both terrible. And it just so happens one is way more secretive then the other.
There are a metric tonne of documentaries about the US being messed up (that's why you know about it.) You clicked on one that happened not to be about that
You know it's too late when you hear "It's not too late."
Great work! The cyber threat has not been covered by media as much as it deserves. You did a good job with linking the fragile infrastructure + a defense network highly dependent on the grid.
The next world war might be caused by an angry group of drones shooting at other drones, and both sides declare war on behalf of their respective countries.
Anti viruses haha
Or some angry-at-the-world person in their basement or garage.
Well since no actual soldiers are killed during the clash, it might make it easier for countries to back down. If soldiers were to be killed in a border clash, it makes it harder for the countries to back down since they lost citizens. It is interesting to see how this will play out.
@@jomo4435in in Wow bno ni Yb. bbnbo Ok our y$9nut gfi gnu awash. Nr
Vb b. Bkkk K n e go I iibb bjn. : , -5 2
We are very lucky to have an media company like DW( No:1 in journalism) in this day and age....🙏🙏🙏🙏
Thank you DW NEVER STOP......
I love them
DW production team: I agree, they are great!
As a German basically mandatory paying for DW (Deutsch Welle) by my taxes I say your welcome in the name of all Germans and the DW team (I assume) ;)
Two world wars and we still can't stop fighting, the moment you realize humanity does not even learn from large crises.
Too many people and tribalism/nationalism still going strong in our animal instinct. Not only that but we can't agree on borders and someone always wants more land.
@@LucidDreamn pretty much this.
@@LucidDreamn but do we need to invade, take others resources when we waste so much in the pursuit of it? Just imagine what we could do if all leaders agreed to no military spending for 5 years. That's a lot of $$$
@@joshlewis575 agreed we do have enough resources to feed the world but we rather fight wars and build nukes instead
@@LucidDreamn Building nukes stopped major wars but the US and the Soviets took it to far.
I love you DW. What would I do without you? Thank you for continuing to expand my enormously small knowledge.
Enormously small?
It has been 76 years since WW2 ended. I think superpowers have rested enough and ready for another action. Hope we survive this one coming.
@@sot1372 lets hope for the best........
Some people will always survive in war's
@@sot1372 it's ticking timebomb. Ww3 is sure thing. Only different is noone will survive.
Ya baby just as i was saying in an earlier post.WE need another "cleansing" Faster easier ways to kill many at once
You think warfare would exists without nuclear strikes. The next war(which I hope would not be) would only last a month. After that we would be back in grass skirts and night fires eating roated rabbits like the ancient days.
There seems to be a video in my ads
😂
Everybody knows the truth! Karabakh is Azerbaijan! armenian have been living on this territory since 1813, after peace treaty of Gulustan! They have no rights to this land! They dieed for a foreign land, this is their decision! We liberated our lands from armenian occupannts! We fought for justice!
😂😂
A great all round video - covers many modern day strategic and tactical topics. Well done!
A big thumbs up from me :)
THANK YOU DW FOR THIS QUALITY DOCUMENTARY
Human being's capacity to rationalise evil has been going on since day 1.
and yet we are still here and doing better than ever before at any period in our history. Guess we're doing pretty good, quit your misanthropic winging
@@AeneasGemini Only because we have better technology, and ONLY not because people are nicer )
@@AeneasGemini you can have cancer, not know it, and still go to the gym feeling awesome. And then you die. "doing pretty good" based on the narrow slice of reality you see... doesn't mean squat. Ignorance is the thinnest of armors.
@@AeneasGemini "Better" is subjective and it also depends on who or where. Few children in America can now grow up running through fields or building forts in trees in the woods nearby. Those places are gone. We may live longer as a whole, but there were men a few hundred or even thousand years ago who lived until age 100. There is almost no more nature left, no space to roam freely. Oh, yay, I get to live to age 90 in a crowded suburb or city where all nature has been eliminated and where I should keep my windows locked tight. yay
Skynet is coming...
Terminator 3...Rise of the machines...Skynet was introduced.....nah, can't happen...🤨
Brendon O'Connell called it cold war 2.0 then they turn it on the true enemy the civilian population
It is already here. When it becomes aware, we are in big trouble. " The rise of the machines " SKYNET has begun.😱😱😱
Already here. Just waiting for AI to take over.
Genisys = skynet = Google run by Smith programme
Your documentaries are always something worth it when it comes to UA-cam use
that drone swarp sounds really eerie. Like a horror movie before something terrifying happens
Wow! Our future looks incredibly DARK and GRIM
Grandfather Nurgle approves!
Haha 😆
@@TreZZmasterA 8P
Lol 😆🤣😂 🐊🦎
It really does. We all get to decide how much of our resources we want to dump into it.
One thing that annoys me is that my country (Netherlands), but also Germany and the US are spending massively on their armies by buying tanks, planes, whatever. While we're under constant attack by Russia through cyberspace. They have shut down a pipeline and a meat factory in just one month.
We do not retaliate, we can't even defend ourselves.
We probably do retaliate. The issue is that our countries dont admit to successful offensive attacks because it could jeopardise future missions, but are willing to admit to some failures because it mostly doesnt compromise future missions.
Starved people will not pick up guns, they will.pick up machetes, axes, chopping hoes...to get at the perpetrators!
they're teaching AI how to kill what a nightmare.
then they ask "Will AI kill us?" when the first thing we ask it to do is kill our enemy (who is human). there has already been a case where a drone was launched somwhere in Egypt, that targeted its own retreating side. insane. we are doomed.
Thanks to DW this is one of the best documentar, great work.
We're soon at the point of creating the Metal Gear
Shall it be a Solid?
Metal Gear...? It can't be!
The weapon itself is difficult to imagine but not so far off of cost as compared to a $15,000,000,000 aircraft carrier. Imagine all that investment into that weapon. It would work
The amount of ads in UA-cam is getting to be unbearable. What a joke...
Dude, you are not paying a penny. Stop complaining here and go buy cable......
I recommend you to use adblocker.
Ad blockers are free….I have you tube premium,so no commercial. For me it’s worth it. I hate ads
Gotta love people complaining about having to watch ads when they get this entire massive service for free
@@John_Kennedy27 it’s not free, you pay with your personal data
Thanks for posting.
Great documentary 👏thank you
Thank you!
never-ending conflict and militarism is damning proof that we humans are painfully primitive, still.
It takes 25 years from birth to educate and raise a civilized human being,
@@destroyerarmor2846 tragically, uncivilized subhumans rule over the rest of us.
@@destroyerarmor2846 18 years till you can vote, own a gun, or go to war
Tech Cafe the lizard people?
@@CultofThings lizards disguised as people ;-)
Great research and commentary. Thank you.
Pretty much soon we will all turn this planet into a Toast💯
Quick tip about burnt toast. Rub both burnt pieces together and bam you got your toast back
War deaths are arguably at the lowest levels in human history
global warming : i am here
Thank you, Richard Walker and the team the great video.
Thank you Marcelo!
@@rbsw2Excellent job! Thanks!
we human are destroying our planet is time for wait to bid what we're destroyed already and make a planet a better place for us🙏🙏🙏🙏
I rarely comment on youtube videos but i love your documentaries. there is always something new to learn.
Thank very much 🙏❤️🙏
Grateful for the excellent content 👍❤️👍❤️👍❤️
Thanks!
If we could use all those resources and work on cleaning up our planet and trying to reach new horizons in space. 😔
Fun fact: the facility at Beale Air Force Base in Northern California isn’t in the “desert”. It’s in the Northern Central Valley which is a fertile agricultural area. But it does get hot there in the Summer so that’s accurate.
You’re absolutely right! Apologies for the error, a silly one since I was in nearby Sacramento a couple of years ago so should know better! Many thanks for watching.
Sound and topic are highly appreciable
Could you please add more ads
ad block all the way
@@ahmadtijani4716 im watching on my Phone bro
@@KennyNGA tough one ngl
@@KennyNGA Even if you don’t know what a VPN is, Google’s UA-cam Premium is only $9
😂🤣
Very interesting. A lot of science fiction is seeming to be more like science prediction. Old movies beginning to become reality.
That comment is pretty easy to prove haha...Start with James Bond movies haha
Today's neurotics.... tomorrow's future population.... psychological history...proven over and over
The media keeps the east west divide open.
Many thanks for watching!
That's what since fiction is about
This is all so fascinating and frightening! 😮 😱
This is chilling to watch today, given the present circumstances
Amazing 😮
Luckily, the major players have so many nukes swimming in the oceans, they really don't have to worry: they could destroy the enemy, even if the enemy nukes a few cities first. And even if they nuke the enemy first, then they themselves get nuked into oblivion. In other words: No need to rush armageddon on either side.
Therefore: All the nuclear submarine powers should sign a treaty that they launch no nukes until a nuclear hit on their forces is comfirmed. It would be a great way to prevent trouble from false alarms
Agree cant count on that cuban crisis russian who saved the world, the next time.
Deepfakes?
Do you mean a STAND OFF? Realizing another countries capability is that a deterrent?
@@lauradylla9110 I mean exactly what I wrote. If you "detect" an incoming 1st strike, and you retaliate, and then the 1st strike turns out to be a radar glitch, mankind is fuggd.
that's why I wrote:
"All the nuclear submarine powers should sign a treaty that they launch no nukes until a nuclear hit on their forces is confirmed."
such a treaty would mean no additional risk to anybody. Because even if you are nuked, you can still nuke them back. It would give us better chances to avoid an accidental armageddon.
DW is the best way to keep yourself busy & informed
Great article and reporting. It open my eyes up to alot of possibilities.
The real scary factor is that no government can afford not following the pace, whether they like where it’s going or not.
I've been wondering that no government can afford TO follow the pace, now that we are ALL already financially consumed by having to adapt to climate change, not having clean water and foods etc. E.g. I love to eat beef,but I can't justify what it's costing our water resources - I _have_ to not contribute to putting us a risk over what it truly costs our resources to create cows.I may not be able to explain this right, but I think all humans are going to be so taxed by the cost to simply exist, there won't be resources to sacrifice for conventional war.
Nuclear weapons were an unusual example where verification was fairly easy. Verification that a country is not developing autonomous drones let alone methods of cyber attack is obviously impossible. To believe that it is possible will not be helpful.
Interesting Observation Rob.
Looking back the info shows great accuracy and foresight.
Great video, I was wondering if it is not feasible to have these Command and Control Centers on a completely closed network?, or are the data links the issue of security concerning their possibility of being hacked?
Good Documentary, Though it's one-sided.
We did not hear any response from representatives of China and Russia who are both depicted as a threat to the US and Europe
I am sure you can find plenty of what you're looking for in Russian an/or Chinese media
@Evilsamar - true
@njuba SAMUEL ,you lived under a rock for the past 10 - 15 years?
@Train 2noplace Dude ,how can you like a man who uses other mens to invade countries . Politicians are the worst thing in the world atm.
@@HypHipHop Never did this person state that they liked him. Its more of admiring the man for how well he took hold of his nation. Dudes evil no doubt, but got to give respect where its due.
Judgement day is near. We need to protect Sarah Connor from Arnold Schwarzenegger!
A country that just uses A.I / drones too fight will become weaker long-term. A.I / drones can't replace people in war's. People win war's 🏆if country turn to A.I / drones warfare! War's would get worries 😟know body can win cyber war's. I believe drones/ A.I working under soliders could help improve warfare but to replace soliders would be pointless. People forget war's end with repected of our enemie's or someone/ person seeing to many life's are losed . War's are pointless long-term. A.I / drone warfare will make war too easy / long-term
No you can't. It's predestination.
Crass comment........
You think there is a life after death?
No doubt about that judgement day is very very very near
I feel like I need a job at DW because all their stuff is like it was made for my random thoughts
"When there is a weapon we are not living in a peace era we are just preparing in another war."
"If you desire peace, prepare for war". The phrase presents the insight that the conditions of peace are often preserved by a readiness to make war when necessitated.
wrong, very wrong statement from an unrealistic utopian dreamer
si vis pacem para bellum
As we are compassionate we are fierce. Don't f around. - Earthlings
nice avatar
these predictions fall through when you realize china and india are fighting each other with sticks and stones.
Haha as far as you can tell ...ai allows many undetected changes in a country's systems....Haha such as economic, environmental.civic perspectives, energy grids.... which can all collide and decay from the inside ....haha like a sink hole haha
that is called restraint escalation of arm forces.
India china border has long been manned without guns on both sides. To reduce chances of massive conflict.
seems sensible.
India and china has a long rule of not using guns during border dispute.
Near future: Every single war
will be different from the other !
This is dangerously interesting
Germany one of the largest sellers of weapons in the world is worried about an arms race? What hypocrites, as always!
If you sell drugs but not use them are you a drug addict? The simple answer is no.
@@itzikashemtov6045 If you say you are worried about the spread of drugs and you sell them, you are a hypocrite. Isnt my point obvious? What you wrote is irrelevant to my comment.
Overall Germany has stricter export rules than most other countries, just for example Germany banned arms sales to Saudi-Arabia in 2018, but other European countries like the UK and France protested as they want to continue selling weapons to Saudi-Arabia.
Germany was thus forced to accept that it would deliver components (like engines) to the other European countries so that they can finish their existing contracts with Saudi-Arabia.
You are the hypocrite. This is about proliferation of AI in weapon systems, not weapon systems as a whole. Nobody says a country is not allowed to arm itself. It's about technology overtaking the international mechanisms in place to regulate armed conflict (which is not going away anytime soon). Also, as has been pointed out, Germany has strict regulations on foreign arms sales. In fact German manufacturers have lost out on contracts and less regulated countries have filled the void.
Technology is getting better and better because of human continues thinking. But people having the best technology should not use technology to kill human being. Technology should mean to secure and protect human lives not to kill.
attack is the best form of defense
Thanks
I can't wait
To counter swam drones -> EMP warheads and high energy laser weapon systems should do the trick.
can´t you still jam those drones relatively easily? Iv seen commercial drone jammers that work up to 8 kilometers even on automatic drones.
There's no question about it. A drone must be attached to human handler just like any weapon.
Although this is a remote controlled weapon the rules of engagement/ military rules surely apply to those who think they can just kill autonomously.
There will never _not_ be a human in the chain of command. Machines are designed, built, and programmed by humans, and in the case of AI, they are trained by humans as well. Humans are still making the decisions, they're just making the decisions ahead of time. Every constructed device is an extension of the designers' and builders' personalities.
@@deusexaethera for now.
Azerbaijan use a lot of Turkish drones.
This looks like a US Navy ship design applied to a building. The shape of this structure looks exactly like a ship.
Yeah. Some countries say they don’t want a part in AI warfare... well going forward they likely won’t feel that they even have a choice.
Why is AI warfare a bad thing? AI won't commit war crimes (unless you tell it to, and then we all know who's responsible), AI won't die and leave behind a grieving widow. All things considered, I'd say it's preferable.
@@AeneasGemini Ai directed by humans is the issue in what's wrong with your statement. you can be sure that (from endless examples throughout history) our very fallable species will sink to using Ai targeted offences towards others of our species
@@AeneasGemini already there are very few examples of any government being held responsible for warcrimes. just ask China United States, Russia, Great Britain, Israel (to name a few examples) what consequences they've had to suffer
lol we are as artificial as intelligence gets
Good segment
Wonderful
26:20 Well, at least we won't need to overlay war videos with a horror soundtrack in the future.
Please upload it in dw documentary.
Good documentary.
I have to join the chorus of folks saying thank you for this. Very information.
Well, Germany's position on autonomous weapons is also more complicated because of their definition of lethal autonomous and automatic system. German representatives usually argue that you cannot prohibit autonomous weapons because they are not developed today and won't be in the near future. Basically the government says it supports a ban of autonomous weapons but practically is doing the opposite by using this argumentation.
A soldier with a gun operating behind enemy lines, out of contact with their headquarters, is _also_ an autonomous weapon. The threat has not changed.
Instead of flying cars we get smart weapons
We get both.
I like how you walked us through it then said” hold on let me walk you through it”😮😂
I can remember in high school over 50 years ago saying the computer was a fail system and it's going to bring us to the end . It's a house of cards .
I fully agree as AI develops. It’s really hard to teach every single situation in which to stop destroying so it’ll keep going forever because that’s the mission
You should add a few more commercials in the middle of this video I think
only 4 ad marker in this long video. I guess that's not too much. If you see more than 4 ads, must be added by YT, not the video creator.
@@user-hv4ky5kt2x i have 11
@@Alfaspring lol. the other 7 is added by YT...
oh so you're the last guy on the planet who hasn't ever heard of an ad blocker downloaded for free?
Meanwhile looking for video with title - "The future of modern peace: How technology is transforming it"
That will never happen because the greedy Western elites will always want to cheat others
Isn't that just every tech video? Most aspects of life come under peace, that'd be a ridiculously long or generalised video. I get what you're trying to say but it's just kinda dumb
@@John_Kennedy27 You sounded more dumb when you compared military tech with other tech... Just compare the budgets of military vs medical tech
@@shivamprakash6796 when did budgets come into anything? I'm not comparing the different tech I'm saying that your point about a video on the "future of modern peace" doesn't make sense. Come back with a valid point or not at all please
@@John_Kennedy27 No budgets...No sessions.. No discussions...thus no peace...I don't see how these high end weapons which can do instant kill be of any good...to our world in anyway rather than disrupt global peace...More advanced weapons more discussions which results in more threat...this basic thing might be tough for you to grasp
I would have awkwardly laughed it off watching this video when it came out. But now I am in October 2022, and I am very, very anxious. The Latvian scenario really hit me
Technology moving this fast we'll see the authentic Transformer's war
Better develop more for the
future of the world!!!
Keep Peace!!!
Iv taught my dog to sniff out endoskeletons underneath living tissue 👍
It shocked me !
you are the most professional news and documentary channel.
Wonderful analysis. Journalism at it's best.
Many thanks!
Hey what are you doing
Ah yes... the last time we have this "modern way of warfare" breakthrough we can't help ourselves from testing it out to each other a moment an opportunity strikes!
the funny thing is they all have nuclear bomb but its not problem world right? they dont have good dones so they crying about drones
Right now, I am more concerned with a global authority or one-world system than with a few countries fighting each other.
no matter how modern an army is, it always needs infantry
Good job 👌👍
After trump, countries learnt that all international treaties are just mere pieces of paper.
Not as you think.....You're getting it all wrong
American competitors were already breaking them up. Esp Russia. China wasn't even part of them. Those are the real problems not Trump not The west
Soo how does the Wire tapping on MMArkel?? hahah.
Reminds me of the short film "Slaughterbots" about small drones with shaped charges, that can recognize the face of their target and explode into their face, destroying the brain.
Somewhere out there, someone is sitting and laughing with his ak47 on his lap.
all current drones are not exactly autonomous.
"No country has weaponized its cyber-capabilities as maliciously as Russia" ...Stuxnet?
I thought the US acknowledged the cyber attack on Iran's nuclear facilities? So risking possible nuclear accident in Iran is OK? Damn hypocrites.
Stuxnet is a USA, Israeli cyber program that was used against Iran's nuclear facility. Who told u it came from Russia? It was rather discovered by a Belurussian or Ukrainian anti virus firm. Which media org feeds u info?
@@ebenezeramponsah8314 I know that. That's why I quoted from the DW video and asked rhetorically "Stuxnet"
Stuxnet has crippled Iran's ability to enrich Uranium to weapons grade for some years. And it is ... a bad thing?
@@TR-es7ob If that Uranium blows up during the enrichment due to software sabotage, yes, I daresay it's pretty bad.
Doing a project on the impact of technology on warfare, as part of my paper on strategic studies....hope this will help .
the swarm of autonomous drones reminds me of the protos carriers in star craft. we
re catching up guys
So... in conclusion, "would you like to play a game?"
Wargames
Enders game
Battlestar Galactica was quite visionary on this topic.